Keyhiddenlevels — Trading Ideas on TradingView

BLX: Bear market phase...Last portion of historical data covered here, this is the analysis for the bear market since the 2013 top. Mad props to @timwest for coming up with this methodology/witchcraft... Cheers, Ivan Labrie.

HAVING A CLEAN CHART IS MOST IMPORTANT!!!!!!!!!!I remember starting this forex things thinking having all this tools and messy charts would help better my trading which one of the most brainwashing things here on trading view it does not mean if atrader has all the indicators in the world on their chart with trendlines and support and resistance makes their trade go in the right way the key to succesful trading is having a clean chart you can absorb and look at and understand it also mastering a few currency pairs at the bback of your head know you makor and key levels!!!! a clean chart learn how to read price action with your eyes it will take time but it will enhance your trading career

A primer on Key Earnings Support In this chart I'm illustrating a few trading setups that took place in $MCD following each earnings report for a year. The indicators you see in the chart are 'Average True Range' and 'Earnings Price Support' from @timwest's 'Key Hidden Levels' indicator pack. Every time a company reports earnings, analysts, investors, portfolio managers, traders, you name it...are paying close attention on the data that comes out, and the prices that the stock is trading for at all times, this normally starts one or several days before the report, and lasts for a day or a couple days after the report. The indicator my mentor devised plots a technical level that helps us map how far prices can move, and where to seek low risk trading opportunities on subsequent retests of past reports' levels. I use the ATR indicator to define the size of the stop losses that I use, which in turns helps me know how many shares to buy or sell when trading with this tool. To use this you need a method to determine the main trend direction, which can be fundamental or technical, or a combination of both. Time@Mode is the one @timwest created, and the one I use, which together with the proprietary indicators from the 'Key Hidden Levels' suite helps me find low risk trades that have a very good batting average. Hope you found this post helpful, and if you did, check out my site here: www.fb.me I offer trading signals since 2015, covering all markets I trade, or focusing only on specific markets according to each client's needs. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.

BLX: Monthly view, and initial 2013 top...Very interesting how these trends panned out, with a more complete data set we can see that a target zone between 950 and 1850 was established as a potential topping zone well in advance while the price was close to $100... Time @ mode analysis of multiple timeframes, using the system's rules would have let you ride most profitable segments of the trend and avoid drawdowns moving to cash efficiently when needed -or going short-. I haven't included lower than weekly data but we also had multiple signals in the daily-3-day timeframe charts that would have given us additional details and precision. Adding in emotional signals/sentiment data, and fundamental analysis and factors, like key hidden levels of support and resistance from fundamental events, among others, the picture becomes even clearer. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.

BLX: Great historical data - Time at mode breakdown of Bitcoin I'll cover all the main weekly, monthly, and bimonthly trends in $BTC, using the $BLX chart, which very interestingly contains historical data older than what Bitstamp offered until now at Tradingview. Great addition! You can see how the trends work, and how Time @ Mode would have let you ride them all with great precision, and specially, told you 'when to fold 'em' right before huge drawdowns. I won't get into too many specific details about how to combine these techniques and timeframes systematically to find the key turning points since that is the secret sauce of this method, but will illustrate some of the main signals we had over the years. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.

XBTEUR: To the gamblers, latecomers, and bubble chasers I think it's a good time to reevaluate divesting from crypto once again. We have considerable risks, yet no one even bothers thinking about them. Anyone aware of fundamentals knows that we can see some nasty scenarios in the coming weeks and months. I would reccomend taking a break from crypto, and for instance, holding only 25% of your capital in it, be it in the shape of some cryptocurrency or cash at exchanges. The former induces risk from potential volatility to come, the latter, from 3rd party risks. Either way, it is a risky proposition, so however you look at it, try to use reason, and not emotions to decide how to protect your wealth. Upside vs downside risk favors being in cash, or even short. Fundamental risks, and sentiment extreme in BTC, and the broad crypto markets make me think the technical setup is likely to materialize, and that we can get a correction any time soon. Perhaps after June 16th, since that is the earlierst known date where we might encounter 'scaling risks'. After August 1st, some risky scenarios might ensue, some of which could cause difficulties to exchange operators, and all of which can cause this market's value to decrease significantly. The technical chart called for a rally to 3000 euros, by the end of Dec 2017, or sooner. In this case, I could assume that we have two main scenarios going forward: #1: The time duration of the rally is valid, and we get continued upside. This doesn't imply a correction won't happen. The market can take many detours before finally topping by year end. Sentiment and shorter term signals would be our guide, to navigate trends while risk/reward is positive in the short term and sentiment still negative or neutral. Sentiment is extremely bullish now, which is a contrarian signal and a cause for concern for any astute investor. In this positive scenario, we get a healthy correction during this time and going into August events, and maybe lasting for a while longer until sentiment resets, everyone panics and we bottom in the weeky timeframe again. Then we launch into a rally for the duration of the year again. #2: This was IT, the crypto bubble peaked, we get a nasty 2 year+ correction or consolidation akin to 2013 to 2015. If this is the case, which I fear might be, we might never hit the 3000 euro mark or we hit now before the time expires for the long term rally. This could easily form a top any time soon, and the fundamental events to come would exacerbate the selloff causing the newcomers to lose all their money, longs to get margin called, maybe some exchanges to go bust, and then get a continuous chain of negative events, and increasingly negative sentiment...some possible events include problems after the scaling solutions are implemented in BTC, ETH facing technical design problems that cause the rally in it to peak and massively decline back to monthly support at 11 eur after PoS gets delayed again, China to regulate ICOs, maybe harsher regulations take place broadly accross crypto markets globally, etc. People should be wiser investors, and not gamblers who chase momentum. This never ends well, or at least is not a wise investment strategy. The insanity in sentiment has made people very critical of my work, I get ridiculed, insulted, mocked often. When all is said and done, I might be proven right, to the permabulls dismay. Disclaimer: I think BTC and cryptocurrencies are of tremendous utility in the world, and a new asset class in their own right. I would like to maintain 25% exposure to this market at all times, but it's wise to diversify into 3 other asset classes to store and grow your wealth. (local and foreign stocks, bonds/gold/silver, cash, real world businesses/passive income sources). Specially after a huge win in one market, pour the gains into equalizing your exposure in other fields.

ETHEUR: Long term view, chart of all charts This is how the Ethereum chart looks, plotted against the Euro using Kraken data. It has been the most reliable instrument to perform analysis on this pair, together with $ETHBTC from the Poloniex feed. Currently, we are tracing a daily, weekly and monthly uptrend. Periodically, smaller timeframes might be in a consolidation or retracement phase, to then rejoin the big picture trend in the monthly. Right now, we can anticipate higher prices all month, courtesy of the daily and weekly signals depicted in yellow and turquoise. This weekend is loaded with fundamental events that can further boost this rally, so I think it is logical to see $ETHEUR hit the daily and weekly top target zones in time or even earlier than expected. After the time expires for these signals, we could commence a consolidation phase, which can take a myriad of shapes, and isn't predictable yet, other than on a time duration basis. Normally, the market will absorb supply from profit taking, which takes a proportional amount of time to the rally itself, so it is logical to observe what Tim West has noted in his 'Time at Mode' proprietary method. So far, this methodology has served me well, and I would be glad to share the benefits of it with people interested in trading these powerful trends. Tim is working on new material currently, you can pm me or him to learn more about it. Now, on to the trading reccomendation aspect, if you're long, consider average volatility to determine your position sizing. During a trend, it is reccomended to gain exposure, and while consolidating, trimming it back down, or outright taking profits. Don't risk more than a 10% drawdown on a worst case scenario basis if trading long term, it will be hard to recover otherwise. Keep your coins safe in hardware wallets like the Trezor or Ledger nano, and make sure you do your due diligence when it comes to cybersecurity, and exposure to centralized exchange risk and margin trading. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.