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#AN031: January, 5 Geopolitical Shocks January 2026 isn't offering a single "black swan" event, but a sequence of progressively unleashed geopolitical shocks: European energy, the Middle East/Iran, Latin America, Ukraine, and renewed US-Europe/Arctic tensions, along with a parallel Asia-Pacific (Taiwan) element that rekindles risk-on/risk-off sentiment. The result, for the FX market, is a month where the risk premium constantly shifts between the dollar, safe-haven currencies, and commodity-related blocs. 1) Europe: Permanent ban on Russian gas (long timeline, immediate impact on expected prices) On January 26, the EU gave final approval to a regulation to ban Russian gas imports by the end of 2027, including LNG by the end of 2026 and pipelines by September 30, 2027 (with technical possibilities for postponement in specific cases). Why it matters for FX (now, not in 2027): FX price in expectations: a trajectory of reduced energy dependence reduces structural tail risk in Europe, but in the short term it can generate a volatility premium (pricing of bottlenecks, contracts, LNG infrastructure, weather/consumption shocks). If energy returns to being an inflation driver, the chain is: energy → CPI expectations → expected ECB rates → EUR. Operational implications: EUR: tends to react more to energy price surprises than to the news itself. The real issue is "how much does it cost to replace" and "with what stability." NOK/SEK: often become regional proxies when the market recalibrates energy and European growth (focus on oil/gas and global risk). 2) Middle East/Iran: "armada," sanctions, oil, and USD volatility In just a few days, the Iran → oil → global inflation → USD positioning channel has been rekindled: new US sanctions on entities and vessels linked to Iranian oil transport and military rhetoric/deployment pushed Brent and WTI up about 3% in one session, reactivating the energy risk premium. Key FX Mechanism: Oil up → (global) inflation pressure up → expected real rates up → rotation to USD or flight to safe havens (JPY/CHF) if event risk concerns rise. In parallel, domestic Iran is showing financial stress (equity sell-off and currency under pressure), a sign that the local market is pricing in a higher risk scenario. Those who tend to move more: CAD (oil) often benefits if the rally is orderly and growth-friendly. JPY/CHF (safe havens) if the market interprets escalation as a risk of a sudden shock. EMFX: suffers if energy translates into higher import bills and tighter financial conditions. 3) Latin America: Venezuela, "hard power" and geopolitical risk on EM flows The month brought a rare element: a qualitative leap in US posture in the region, with the arrest/capture of Nicolás Maduro and a communication framework that speaks of conflict against narco-networks and pressure on energy assets/routes. The consequences are greater than Venezuela alone: ​​they increase the likelihood that the market will apply a wider risk premium on EM currencies sensitive to geopolitics and sanctions. FX: What to Really Watch It's not just "USD vs. VES" (not traditionally tradable): it's the perception of regional instability and "policy unpredictability." Secondary effect: attention to energy channels and capital flows into USD and liquid instruments when uncertainty rises. 4) Ukraine: harsh winter, infrastructure affected, and European energy risk "returning" Offensive attacks on infrastructure and power grids (Kharkiv and other areas) are making the Ukraine issue "macro-relevant" again, just as Europe is talking about definitively ending its energy dependence on Moscow. For Forex: Any increase in risk on Europe (energy/security) tends to produce: EUR more fragile during risk aversion peaks, demand for USD/CHF and often JPY, repricing on gas/oil which falls under point (1). 5) US-Europe/Arctic: Greenland, NATO, and the Risk of Transatlantic Friction Tensions over Greenland and transatlantic relations are becoming a new geopolitical overlay that the market cannot ignore, especially since it impacts defense, Arctic shipping, and European political cohesion. How it transforms into FX: The risk of policy shocks (tariffs/retaliation/tense negotiations) increases. In times of friction, the market tends to favor the most liquid and defensive asset: often the USD, with rapid rotations between risk-on and risk-off.
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by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
#AN028: London Challenges European Union, Halts Defense Funds The news that the United Kingdom has decided not to pay the €6.75 billion earmarked for the new European Defense Fund sends a clear political and economic signal to Brussels. Hello, I'm Andrea Russo, an independent Forex trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time. Behind this decision is not just a question of money, but a precise strategy of industrial and military independence aimed at reaffirming British sovereignty post-Brexit. 💼 Economic and geopolitical implications The European fund was designed to finance joint defense and technological projects, reducing dependence on the United States and strengthening the EU's autonomous military capacity. By refusing to participate, London is sending a two-pronged message: Economic: Priority is given to its own budgets and its national defense industry, which has seen a strong revival in the last two years with orders from Ukraine, the Middle East, and NATO countries. Strategic: The United Kingdom does not intend to bind itself to European defense plans that could compete with NATO, of which it remains a key member. 📉 Market Impact In currency markets, the news tends to temporarily strengthen the pound sterling (GBP), as it is perceived as a gesture of autonomy and fiscal stability—less public spending in a context of tensions over EU budgets. However, the effect could be short-lived: the decision deepens the rift with Brussels, fueling political risks and potential trade frictions, especially if the EU reacts with restrictive measures on joint military contracts or exports. On the equity front, British defense stocks (BAE Systems, Rolls-Royce Defence) could benefit from "patriotic" sentiment and increased domestic orders. On the bond market, however, the effect is neutral: the move does not change the sovereign rating but reinforces the idea of ​​the pound as a regional safe haven currency in a Europe torn between austerity and defense spending. 🌍 Risks for the EU For Brussels, London's lack of input complicates the construction of a common defense policy: less funding for shared industrial programs, greater dependence on Germany and France, and a perception of European institutional instability, a factor that tends to weaken the euro (EUR).
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
#AN027: US Shutdown Agreement, Effects on the Dollar and Forex The historic political impasse in the United States – with the 2025 United States federal government shutdown – appears to be nearing a resolution. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, an independent trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time. A Senate agreement provides for the reopening of the federal government through a continuing resolution, with the reinstatement of public employees' arrears. In the FX context, this event has immediate and medium-term implications for the US dollar (USD) and major global currencies. In this article, we analyze the dynamics and provide a guide for those trading on TradingView. What Happened The Senate obtained an initial procedural yes to the resolution to reopen the government. Markets are showing initial relief: the US dollar has halted its recent bullish momentum, pending operational confirmation. The government shutdown had already caused delays in economic data and a climate of political uncertainty that is hindering the Federal Reserve's clear definition of monetary strategies. Impact on Forex: Key Factors 1. Political Risk Effect and Sentiment With the prospect of an end to the shutdown, the risk premium associated with the US government and fiscal governance is decreasing. This tends to favor the dollar in the short term, especially against safe-haven currencies. However, sentiment remains cautious, given the residual uncertainty. 2. Delayed Macroeconomic Data and Volatility The lack or delay in the release of economic data (e.g., employment, inflation) complicates forecasting the Fed's moves and reduces traders' ability to confidently position themselves on the USD. 3. Yields and Carry Trades If the agreement fuels an improvement in the US economic profile, US bond yields could rise, attracting flows into the dollar. On the other hand, if the economy shows signs of post-shutdown weakness, the effect could reverse. 4. Technical scenarios in major FX pairs EUR/USD: Possible dollar rebound → downward pressure on EUR/USD. However, if US data deteriorates, a strong USD-weak trend could be triggered. USD/JPY: The dollar could benefit from rising yields + carry trades; but a safe-haven turn on the yen if global risks emerge. GBP/USD / AUD/USD: Commodity or risk-linked currencies could benefit from risk-on, but a strong dollar will limit rebounds.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
#AN023: US Tariffs and Jobs Data Sinking the Dollar Today I want to talk to you about the latest relevant news of the week, focusing on US tariffs and the jobs data sinking the dollar and their overall impact on forex. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, an independent trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time. Let's get started: 1. Disappointing US jobs & new Trump tariffs The Non-Farm Payrolls report (July) shows only 73,000 new jobs (+unemployment rates at 4.2%), with negative revisions for May-June: -258,000 jobs. President Trump immediately signed executive orders imposing reciprocal tariffs (10–41%) on 68 countries, including Canada, Switzerland, India, and Taiwan. The US dollar has lost ground, Treasury yields have fallen sharply, and the market is now pricing in a 90% rate cut as early as September. FOREX Impact: USD weak across all major crosses (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD). Emerging currencies such as MXN, TRY, and INR could stabilize or gain against the USD. JPY and CHF gain safe-haven appeal; USD/JPY and USD/CHF face possible reversals. 2. Return of $5 billion RBI swap, impact on Indian liquidity RBI swap expiration of ₹43,000 cr (~$5 billion) scheduled for August 4: possible drain of liquidity from the Indian banking system. FOREX Impact: Potential downside pressure on the INR, volatility on USD/INR. Monitor capital flows: USD/INR gains possible if trade roles remain balanced. 3. IMF Improves Forecasts but Beware of Tariff Risks The IMF revised global growth for 2025 to 3.0%, but warns of persistent risks from high tariffs and geopolitical tensions. FOREX Impact: Commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD) benefit from a moderately positive tone. USD weak, but emerging markets vulnerable if growth weakens further. 4. 🇺🇸 Fed Maintains High Rates and Delays Cuts The FOMC left Fed rates at 4.25–4.50%, adopting a wait-and-see approach. Internal disagreements on potential anticipated cuts. FOREX Impact: USD gains limited in the short term. If Powell remains wait-and-see, the dollar will tend to remain weak or stagnant. 5. 📉 Correct Treasury rise and rate cut expectations 2-year bond yields -25 bps, pricing in 65–100 bps of cuts by the end of the year. Markets are losing confidence in jobs data, and the credibility of the BLS is being questioned. FOREX Impact: USD under pressure, especially on EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Higher-yielding currencies such as AUD and NZD may gain carry trade flows. 6. 🌏 Asia-Pacific markets nervous on US pressure and strong yen Asian stocks mixed: Nikkei -2%, MSCI Asia +0.3%. Strong yen penalizes Japanese exports. FOREX Impact: JPY strengthens, USD/JPY may compress below 150. AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY are sensitive to risk-on/off flows into the JPY. 7. Rising country risk, emerging markets under stress Experts recommend currency and sovereign hedging due to US volatility, impacting international portfolios. Strengthening CHF, JPY, and possible weakness in less liquid thermal currencies. Interest remains high in the USD compared to high-risk emerging currencies. 8. Key events expected: Jackson Hole Symposium (August 21–23) Powell and other regulators expected to deliver a speech. No Fed/ECB meeting soon, increasing the importance of Jackson Hole as a catalyst. FOREX Impact: Potential flash volatility in the USD, EUR, and GBP following forward guidance.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
7
#AN020: US Tariffs, Euro Weakness, USD Strength, Forex at Risk? 1. New US Tariff Threats Against the EU and Canada Over the weekend, President Trump announced the sending of formal letters introducing new tariffs: 35% on Canadian goods and potential tariffs for the EU as well (15-20%). Context: The return of protectionism fuels uncertainty. Market Impact: Shift to safe-haven currencies — the US dollar gains ground, while EUR/USD and USD/CAD remain under pressure. 2. EUR/USD Below 1.1700 The EUR/USD pair closed the week below 1.1700, failing to recover. 3. GBP/USD Loses Ground The GBP/USD pair fell below 1.3500, hitting a three-week low. Factors: Disappointing UK GDP data + stronger USD. Impact: Pressure on the pound, possible continuation of the downtrend to 1.3420 unless better data emerges. 4. USD/JPY near 147.50 The dollar reached new two-week highs against the yen, hitting 147.50. Causes: Risk flight and reduced expectations for BoJ intervention. Outlook: If global sentiment remains adverse, USD/JPY could head towards 148.00. 5. Gold and safe-haven assets recover Trade uncertainty is supporting gold, which has risen to near $3,360/ounce. Outlook: Volatility and preference for the USD and JPY are increasing; gold will act as a sentinel of fear in the markets. 🔍 Summary of Impacts on Forex Markets EUR/USD Weaker: Push toward 1.1600 due to trade concerns and USD strength GBP/USD Down: UK data pressured + risk aversion USD/JPY Rising: USD refuge and possible break above 148 USD/CAD Volatile: Canadian tariffs penalize CAD, but oil prices and BoC reactions to monitor Gold & XM Gold strengthens, signaling risk, USD support; JPY and USD benefit
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
2
China-US Tariffs: Impact on Forex Hello, I am professional trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about a hot topic that is shaking up global markets: the introduction of new tariffs by China towards the United States and the impact that this news is having on the Forex market. A New Chapter in the US-China Trade War For weeks, the investment world has been monitoring the evolution of tensions between two of the world's largest economies: the United States and China. After months of negotiations, China has decided to implement new tariffs on US products, intensifying the trade war that began a few years ago. The news had an immediate effect on global markets and, as always, Forex is one of the markets most sensitive to these geopolitical developments. Direct Impact on USD Currency Pairs The US dollar (USD) suffered a strong backlash after the announcement. In fact, the tariffs can reduce US exports to China, negatively affecting the US trade balance and fueling uncertainty among investors. The immediate result? A weakening of the dollar against several currencies. The most affected currency pairs were: EUR/USD: The euro gained ground, rising to levels not seen in weeks. Economic uncertainty resulting from tariffs has prompted investors to flee to currencies deemed safer, such as the euro. GBP/USD: The British pound followed a similar trajectory, gaining against the dollar. Although Brexit remains a hot topic, the weakness of the dollar has given the British currency some respite. USD/JPY: The Japanese yen, traditionally considered a safe haven, benefited from the uncertainty, appreciating against the dollar. A flow of capital into Japan was a direct result of the change in risk perception. Effects on the Chinese RMB The Chinese currency, the renminbi (RMB), has also fluctuated significantly. While China is trying to limit the effect of tariffs on its domestic market, the market response has been cautious. In particular, investors are preparing for a possible controlled devaluation of the renminbi, with the intention of maintaining the competitiveness of Chinese exports, which could suffer from higher tariffs. The Role of Central Banks Another factor that cannot be ignored in this context is the approach of central banks. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) could decide to review its monetary policies to counter the negative effects of tariffs on the dollar. We could see an easing of monetary policy or even a reduction in interest rates, unless the Fed wants to contain the rising inflation caused by tariffs. On the other hand, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) could be forced to take measures to support the Chinese economy. The possibility of a currency intervention could have significant effects not only on Forex, but also on other asset classes such as commodities and stock markets. How to Capitalize on the Situation in Forex Trading The developments surrounding the US-China trade war are a boon for Forex traders, provided they are able to carefully monitor the news and react quickly. Here are some strategies to consider: Breakout Trades: The news of the tariffs has triggered significant movements, and experienced traders can look to enter breakout trades on the most volatile currency pairs. This involves looking to enter long or short positions when a currency pair breaks out of certain support or resistance levels. Risk-Based Strategies: The uncertainties surrounding the trade war can force traders to be more selective in their trades. Careful risk management strategies, such as risk-reward ratios and stop-loss orders, are essential to navigate the turbulent waters. Monitoring Central Bank Statements: Any signals from the Fed or the PBoC are crucial. Traders should be prepared to react quickly to any changes in monetary policies, as they can immediately impact the value of the currencies involved. Final Thoughts China’s decision to impose new tariffs on the United States marks a new phase in the trade war between the two economic powers. In an already volatile Forex market, this move adds further uncertainty, with the USD likely to face a period of weakness while other emerging currencies, such as the renminbi, could suffer mixed effects. Happy trading to all. Andrea Russo
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
How I identify the best forex pairs to trade:Here is how I identify the best forex pairs to trade: In the top left panel, the indicator 'Compare Forex' displays the PERFORMANCE of each major currency. The USD (red line) has been the strongest currency for the past 2 months on H6 charts. By identifying the strongest currency, all that remains is to trade the USD against all the other currencies since they are weaker. = Smooth stress-free charts. I look at my trades 2-3 times a day to see if they are still blue or red. Takes a few minutes.
Education
by ascension
13
Understanding GBPUSDToday we will be taking a closer look at understanding GBPUSD . GBP -no global business -risk currency -more linked to the UK economy, politics, central banking USD -global business currency -safe haven globally -Petrodollar UNDERSTANDING THE CURRENCY PAIR -we have to understand that within this pair “ GBPUSD ” one is a “ risk ” currency ( GBP ). ( USD ) is a “ safe haven currency ” and is also known as the world reserve currency. During times of economic uncertainty our doubt , or during any periods of times where we have more $ strength, which can be induced by the FED central banking, interest rate hikes and so forth, we will always have the $ dominate, even if the other currency can have some short term strength. THE USD IS THE WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY What does this mean? -this means that the majority of INTERNATIONAL business is denominated in USD. We can see this very relevant when we are looking at the OIL industry and how oil is always exchanged in USD. Hence the name “PETRODOLLAR”.
Education
by FxPocket
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 47 - USDTWD - (18th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDTWD, starting from the 4-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
Education
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 46 - USDPLN - (17th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDPLN, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
Education
by Road_2_Funded
2
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 26 - CNYUSD - (8th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing CNYUSD, starting from the 4-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my other videos on TradingView or on YT. If you are interested in private coaching, feel free to get in touch via one of my socials.
Education
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 14 - US10Y - (3rd June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing US10Y, starting from the 3-Month chart. - R2F
TVC:US10YEducation
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 8 - EURUSD - (29th May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing EURUSD, starting from the Monthly chart. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
2
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series] When to trade for best bang for $$?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Okay, let's get started on today's topic. Knowing when to trade and when NOT to trade is very important. This is the "timing" element which is also a crucial part of trading. And, this is especially important if you are looking to trade on a lower timeframe! Understanding the different trading sessions in the forex market and identifying the best times and days to trade can significantly improve trading success. Here's a breakdown of the major forex trading sessions and their characteristics: Asian Session (Tokyo/Singapore/Hong Kong): The Asian session begins with the opening of the Tokyo market, though the AUD and NZD starts trading earlier than it. It's known for lower volatility compared to other sessions, with currency pairs like USD/JPY and AUD/USD often experiencing increased activity.At times, if there's a important news release such as FED interest rate release or Non- farm payroll on a Friday. The preceding Asian Session could have "spill over" activity and increased in volatility in the FX market. European Session (London): The European session, centered around London, is considered the most active session (besides the US). It often sees high liquidity and volatility, making it ideal for day traders. Major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/GBP typically exhibit significant movements during this session. 3. North American Session (New York): The North American session overlaps with the end of the European session, creating a period of increased activity. Day traders loved the volatility during this period of time, more over key news releases could be catalyst for further volatility. It's characterized by liquidity from both European and American traders. Currency pairs involving the USD, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, are particularly active. 4. Best Times to Trade: To be specific, the best times to trade forex are typically during the overlap of multiple trading sessions when liquidity and volatility are highest. This occurs during the overlap of the European and North American sessions, known as the "London-New York" overlap, which occurs from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM EST. Another optimal period is during the overlap of the Asian and European sessions. Best Days to Trade While forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week, certain days tend to offer more trading opportunities. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are generally considered the best days to trade, as they typically see higher volatility and more significant price movements compared to Mondays and Fridays. By understanding the characteristics of each trading session and identifying the optimal times and days to trade, you can enhance your trading strategies and capitalize on the most favorable market conditions. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]All you need for Order types in FX Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Understanding the various order types in forex trading is essential for navigating the market efficiently and executing trades effectively. Here's a concise overview of some common order types: 1. Market Order: This order is executed immediately at the current market price. It is used when a trader wants to enter or exit a trade quickly. More of for Day Trading - A trader might use market orders to quickly enter and exit positions based on real-time news events or technical signals. Live example > A trader sees a positive European's news release and expects a quick upward move in the EUR/USD pair. They use a market order to buy EUR/USD at the current price of 1.1950, aiming to sell it later in the day at a higher price based on the expected market reaction. 2. Limit Order: A limit order allows traders to specify the price at which they want to enter or exit a trade. It's used to buy below the current market price or sell above it, ensuring entry or exit at a specific price level or better. For example for Swing Trading - A trader might place a buy limit order at a support level, expecting the price to bounce back up, or a sell limit order at a resistance level, expecting the price to fall. Live Example > A trader identifies strong support for USD/JPY at 110.50 and places a buy limit order at this price, expecting the price to rebound. When the market price dips to 110.50, the order is executed, and the trader aims to sell at 111.50. 3. Stop Order(Stop-Loss Order): A stop order becomes a market order once a specified price level is reached. It's commonly used to limit losses or protect profits by triggering a trade when the market moves in a certain direction. This, in my opinion should be used as Risk Management for all traders - A trader sets a stop-loss order below the entry price for a long position or above the entry price for a short position to limit potential losses if the market moves against their position. Live Example > A trader buys GBP/USD at 1.3500, anticipating a rise. To protect against unexpected drops, they place a stop-loss order at 1.3450. If the price falls to 1.3450, the order executes, limiting the trader's loss to 50 pips. 4. Stop-Limit Order: A stop-limit order combines features of both stop and limit orders. It triggers a limit order to buy or sell at a specified price once the stop price is reached, offering more control over entry and exit prices. More of for Advanced Trading - A trader might use a stop-limit order to ensure they enter a position only if the price reaches a certain level but still want to control the maximum price they are willing to pay. Live Example: A trader wants to buy EUR/GBP only if it breaks above 0.8500 but not pay more than 0.8520. They place a stop-limit order with a stop price of 0.8500 and a limit price of 0.8520. If the price hits 0.8500, the order becomes a limit order, executing only if the price is 0.8520 or lower. 5. Trailing Stop Order: A trailing stop order is a dynamic stop-loss order that adjusts automatically as the market price moves in the trader's favor. It helps lock in profits while allowing for potential further gains. For Trend Following - A trader might use a trailing stop order to lock in profits as the price moves in their favor, allowing the stop price to trail the market price and protect gains if the market reverses. A trader buys USD/CAD at 1.3000 and sets a trailing stop order with a 50-pip trail. As the price rises to 1.3100, the trailing stop adjusts to 1.3050. If the price then falls to 1.3050, the order executes, locking in a 50-pip profit. Hopefully these explanations on the various Trading Orders open you up to more strategies that you can applied in the market for you to trade more efficiently and profitably! Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]Margin? Lots? Spread? What are they?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Today we are going to cover terms such as Margin, Lot size, Spread and What are they. Forex trading is a dynamic and potentially lucrative endeavor, but it comes with its own set of terminology and jargon that can be intimidating for beginners. Understanding these terms is crucial for aspiring traders to navigate the forex market effectively and make informed decisions. Margin One of the fundamental concepts in forex trading is margin, which refers to the amount of money required to open and maintain a trading position. Margin allows traders to control larger positions with a relatively small amount of capital, amplifying both potential profits and losses. It's important for traders to understand margin requirements and manage their leverage carefully to avoid excessive risk. Lot Size Another key concept is lots, which represent the size of a trading position in forex. Standard lots typically consist of 100,000 units of the base currency, while mini lots and micro lots represent 10,000 and 1,000 units, respectively. Lot size determines the potential profit or loss of a trade, with larger lots leading to greater fluctuations in account equity. If you are more comfortable with smaller lot size, you can even go on to nano lots in 100 unit of currency. Spread Spread is another term commonly used in forex trading, referring to the difference between the bid and ask prices of a currency pair. The bid price is the price at which traders can sell a currency pair, while the ask price is the price at which they can buy it. The spread represents the cost of executing a trade and can vary depending on market conditions and liquidity. There are different types of spreads encountered in forex trading, including fixed spreads and variable spreads. Fixed spreads remain constant regardless of market conditions, providing traders with certainty about trading costs. On the other hand, variable spreads fluctuate in response to market volatility, widening during times of high activity and narrowing during periods of low activity. Understanding these trading terms and jargon is essential for beginners to develop a solid foundation in forex trading. By mastering concepts such as margin, lots, spread, and different types of spreads, aspiring traders can make more informed decisions and effectively manage their risk in the dynamic and fast-paced world of forex. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]Understanding Forex Market StructureHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Let's begin with our topic today! The forex market, being decentralized and over-the-counter (OTC), operates differently from traditional centralized exchanges. To navigate it effectively, traders need to comprehend its unique structure. Market structure refers to the arrangement of price action within a given market, encompassing key elements such as trends, support and resistance levels, and price behavior. 1. Trends: Trends are one of the fundamental aspects of market structure. They depict the overall direction of price movement over time. Traders often classify trends as bullish (upward), bearish (downward), or ranging (sideways). Understanding the prevailing trend helps traders align their strategies accordingly. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Support and resistance levels (or known as supply and demand levels/zones) are areas where price tends to stall, reverse, or exhibit significant buying or selling pressures. These levels/areas form the building blocks of market structure and are crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points. Support represents levels where buying interest outweighs selling pressure, preventing prices from falling further. Conversely, resistance denotes areas where selling pressure surpasses buying interest, hindering further upward movement. If you have cluster of candle's tail in a area/levels, likely it would be supply/demand liquidity pocket 3. Price Behavior: Price behavior within market structure provides valuable insights into market sentiment and participant dynamics. Patterns such as higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend, signify the strength or weakness of a trend. Additionally, the manner in which price interacts with support and resistance levels can indicate potential reversals or continuations. 4. Market Phases: Understanding different phases of the market, such as accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown, aids in deciphering market structure. Each phase reflects the behavior of market participants and their collective impact on price action. Recognizing these phases enables traders to anticipate potential shifts in market direction and adjust their strategies accordingly. Conclusion: In summary, comprehending forex market structure is essential for effective trading. By analyzing trends, identifying key support and resistance levels, observing price behavior, and recognizing market phases, traders can make informed decisions and navigate the forex market with confidence. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series] Various FX involved,Mostly..Hello Traders, here we go again! Let me cover a little bit more on the next topic in this mini series, the various currencies that are involved and a little descriptions about them! Let's begin! In the vast realm of forex trading, understanding the intricacies of currency pairs is fundamental to success. As a Full-time forex trader with years of live experience, I'm here to shed light on the major and minor currency pairs that dominate the market. Major Currency Pairs: The Powerhouses of Forex. Normally most retailers trade these pairs as they offer higher liquidity and therefore tighter spreads. Major currency pairs are the cornerstone of forex trading, encompassing currencies from the world's largest economies. These pairs typically involve the most traded currencies globally and offer high liquidity and stability. Among the major pairs, the most prominent include: 1. EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar): Known as the "fiber," this pair represents two of the world's largest economies, the Eurozone and the United States. It's renowned for its liquidity and tight spreads. 2. USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen): Dubbed the "ninja," , the JPY or the YEN, this pair reflects the economic relationship between the US and Japan, two economic powerhouses with distinct monetary policies. 3. GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar): Often referred to as "cable," this pair reflects the relationship between the UK and the US, and it's influenced by economic data, geopolitical events, e.g. Brexit developments. 4. USD/CHF (US Dollar/Swiss Franc): Known as the "swissie," this pair is influenced by safe-haven flows, Swiss banking policies, and US economic data. 5. AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar): Termed the "aussie," this pair is closely tied to commodity prices, particularly gold and other precious metals, as Australia is a major exporter of raw materials. 6. USD/CAD (US Dollar/Canadian Dollar): Called the "loonie," this pair is heavily influenced by oil prices, given Canada's status as a major oil exporter. Minor Currency Pairs: Navigating the Market Beyond Majors While major pairs dominate forex trading, minor currency pairs offer unique opportunities that should not be overlooked as well. These pairs involve currencies from smaller or emerging economies and could be less liquid than their major counterparts. Notable minor pairs include: 1. EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound): This pair reflects the relationship between the Eurozone and the UK, and it's influenced by economic data from both regions. In my opinion, this pair quite frequently range and sometimes it is termed as "mean reverting pair". 2. EUR/JPY (Euro/Japanese Yen): Combining two major currencies, this pair offers opportunities for traders seeking exposure to both the Eurozone and Japan. 9. GBP/JPY (British Pound/Japanese Yen): Known for its volatility, this pair attracts traders looking to capitalize on the economic dynamics between the UK and Japan. It is also one of the top favorite for scalpers. 10. AUD/JPY (Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen): Influenced by commodity prices and risk sentiment, this pair is popular among traders seeking exposure to the Australian and Japanese economies. 3. NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar): Known as the "kiwi," this pair reflects economic developments in New Zealand and global risk sentiment. 4. CAD/JPY (Canadian Dollar/Japanese Yen): This pair offers insights into the commodity markets and the economic relationship between Canada and Japan. In conclusion, mastering major and minor currency pairs is essential for navigating the forex market effectively. Major pairs offer stability and liquidity, while minor pairs provide opportunities for some diversification. By understanding the dynamics of each currency pair and staying informed about global economic developments, traders can unlock the full potential of forex trading and achieve profitable outcomes in this dynamic and ever-evolving market. And of course don't forget about your technical analysis! Thank you for your time and hope you have enjoyed the content and if you do so please leave a thumbs up or a comment if you have any suggestions to make this better! Do check out the other links if you missed out on the other parts of this Forex Mini Series i put up for all (FREE)! Signing out! STBB
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
1
Domination of USDT + USDC and lows/maxims of BTC. CorrelationIn the graph, combined into one graph of the dominance of such stablecoins as USDT and USDC. Orange color—chart of the bitcoin price against the dollar. The time interval is 1 week. The graph is logarithmic. The same chart and the same parameters on the candlestick chart . All BTC price lows and highs are specially shown. Compare what the capitalization of stablecoins was at the time. At an earlier time, the dominant stablecoin was one USDT, later USDC was added. They occupy a significant capitalization. BUSD and DAI are less capitalized. They too can be added to this “indicator” of the Pumps/Dumps market. I think the dominance history and the bitcoin overlay chart illustrate well which market phase and in which areas to buy and sell bitcoins and other speculative crypto coins. Centralized Stablecoin capitalization of a decentralized market . Sounds crazy, doesn't it? The dominance of centralized in a decentralized market. The 3rd,4th,6th places are naturally occupied by centralized stablecoins such as: #USDT #USDC #BUSD. This kind of decentralized cryptocurrency financial world (freedom from the dictatorship of banks, power states, and so on) did you imagine, for example, in 2015-2017? Is it good or bad? What will happen after a while? What trend will develop further after the community bait has been swallowed? 3rd place . USDT ( .... "Reds" .... ) $67,562,687,657 4th place . USDC (Circle, Coinbase, JPMorgan, Blackrock .... ) $51,726,419,583 6th place . BUSD (Binance) $20,003,320,692 13th place DAI ETH (!) BTC and ETH dominance. Continuing on this “democracy” theme of crypto sandbox capitalization. Today 14 09 2022. Market Cap: $989,560,104,72 Dominance: #BTC: 38.9% #ETH: 19.9% Total 2 assets: 58,7% Also add 3,4,6,13 top stablecoins to this. Stablecoins over 20%. Almost 60% of the market is 2 assets. Over 80% of the market is 6 assets. So much for the true mythology of decentralization ))). How to look for a “live chart” for yourself and combine the dominance of USDT and USDC: 1) Look for the MARKET CAP USDT DOMINANCE, % 2) On the right side of the chart in the search field, press the + button 3) Write MARKET CAP USDC DOMINANCE, %. For the analysis, it will also be useful to track at the same time: 1) BTC dominance 2) US dollar index (DXY, USDX) BTC dominance BTC to altcoin dominance. Stablecoin dominance and market pamp. US Dollar Index (Fed)with prices of BTC lows/maxims. Correlation of assets. DXY and PampDump BTCMarkets Cycles. This is what it looks like on a line chart to illustrate simple correlation things. Preparedness for force majeure. I would also like to say that all stabelcoins are focused on the "stability" of the U.S. dollar. Think about what would happen if, for some reason, that stability were to be undermined in the blink of an eye. Then you are faced with a very difficult choice. What to do? Sell/buy cryptocurrency/shares? Just think ahead "What do you do" if, purely hypothetically, for some fantastic, hard-to-imagine reasons this happens. Think ahead in today's calm time (are you sure it's not calm now?), so you won't be caught off guard in a turbulent time.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DEducation
by SpartaBTC
24
The Evolution Of Money: From Barter-System To Cryptocurrency!Hello, Welcome to this analysis about The Evolution Of Money. Till today money had a protracted history reaching back to times where there even did not exist electricity or industry like we now it these days. Since these beginnings money constantly reshaped and emerged new forms of money that theoretically can be applied still today however it is also a fact that it is important in which form the money circulates bringing innovation and prosperity to the civilization as there are money forms although logical from its form however contra-productive for the further developments. __ The Barter System (High Phase 98000 BC - 900 BC): It is clear that in times where people did not have the ability to keep a sufficient store-of-value they had to adapt to circumstances and exchange what they had in order to receive things they need for everyday living, this form of money is called the "Barter-System". This system principally defines the exchange of goods and services against other goods and services. It was a typical hunter-gatherer-form of exchange between the individual occupations. For example, a fisherman had a lot of fish however no grain to exchange for and on the other side there was a farmer which had a lot of grain, however, no fish to eat, so these two come to an agreement to exchange the fish against the grain in order to fulfill both sides needs. This system had a lot of substantial problems as it was not possible to store any value with the goods and services, besides it only functioned when the other side also searched for the offered product therefore there needed to be a double coincidence of wants otherwise an exchange was not fulfilled by both sides agreements. Besides that there was the issue with the indivisibility of goods, for example, one had one goat and needed one pot therefore it was only possible to exchange one goat against 10 pots and now the goat holder was stuck because he could not share the goat into 10 pieces to received his one pot as needed. Overall it was a complicated exchange system that definitely could have been improved. Commodity Money (High Phase 6000 BC - 500 AD): Since it was not possible to store values with the Barter-System as there were also many goods that fouled by the times this could also be improved by the right commodities that do not foul. In ancient Rome, the Romans moved on to keep salt as a store of value and exchange for goods and services. Salt is easily divisible, it can be stored for a long period of time and it was expensive and labor-intensive to produce therefore limited in quality, besides that it was widely consumed by everybody. Additionally to salt, many other forms of this commodity money emerged such as Cattle, Tobacco, Rice, Sugar, or Tea. All commodities which can be stored over a long period and exchange properly. Together with these new gained advancements, it was a step in the right direction nevertheless there remained significant negative aspects in the commodity money these are various things such as some forms of cattle are very difficult to store because they need to be fed constantly and can not obtain a passive store, other forms like cowry shells are fragile and need to be transported carefully. Besides these storing problems, it was always difficult to transport over long routes as the commodities can take up so much room that it was simply so unpracticable to transport them over long distances. Also, there existed not universal acceptability so the two exchange partners needed to agree on the exchange of these commodities to come up with a deal. Metal Money (600 BC till today) Metal money was a true revolution in the money evolution and the story speaks for itself as it is still today widely accepted and a sufficient store of value with gold and silver holding its values. Against the commodity money, it was stable and had an inherent value as it is rare in nature as well as its supply is limited, the perfect characteristics for a natural store of value and also exchange value. As metals were already used for armors and tools and had already the value within these products this kept advancing with the first coins to be pressed in ancient Greece 600 BC after which the metallic money kept advancing into more sophisticated forms such as the IOUs and also tender coinage bringing a practicable way to pay for goods and services. The Metallic Money shaped into different forms like the IOUs where Goldsmiths backed the gold and gave people a trust which they can exchange in order to receive goods and services, so the people came to the goldsmith and bought basically gold for which they received the document to pay with. The only problem with this system was that the Goldsmiths created fake IOUs and kept spending them. Besides this form, there was the legal coinage in Rome for example with gold coins issued by the empire however the problem, in this case, was that it got debased over time as the people mixed more cheap metal like copper with the gold coins to get a higher supply, today it wont function so easily as it can be proved nevertheless in this time it marked a serious issue. Paper Money (1690 till today): The emerging paper money in fact marked a true change in the whole money system as now it was not possible to issue by everybody, now it was issued by a central authority whereas these authorities firstly existed private also the mission came more and more into central bank area. The first printed money was created in 1690 in the form of a bill of credit to serve as a promissory note by the government on its own credit, these bill of credits were unsecured paper money and at this time in the 17th to 18th century, it was still possible to have private money with private companies creating own bills with the individual exchange qualities to get into the circulation. Till today many currencies have established holding the money as it is issued by certain central banks such as the US-Dollar by the Federal-Reserve-System or the EURO by the European-Central-Bank. The problem here is that this money is printed by will and the central banks have the ability to just print more when the time is needed to do so like it was seen in the corona crisis where the money sum moved exponentially to new heights. Although Paper Money is still omnipresent and used as a store of value as well as exchange value to there are important faults that need to be improved to keep a healthy economic balance and obtain continued stable money. Plastic Money (1946 till today): In the 20Th Century, the printed central bank money moved now into the account money especially backed by the payment providers in the individual credit or debit cards. The first bank-issued cards originated in 1946 as a Brooklyn banker created the charge-it card, these were forwarded to the bank account and then the service or good was released. In post-war times further cards followed and till now there established credit-card providers which issue credit or debit cards also with giving their own credits to people that can be paid back. Cryptocurrency (2008 till today): This is the very last money form and the most innovative so far, like Bitcoins, like they invented, are limited in supply and can only be created through the mining process and proof of work they provide a sustainable interface within the blockchain which transactions are scalable and easy to use for peer-to-peer-transactions. It is not a wonder that the cryptocurrency market since the beginnings expanded more and more and several other projects emerged, there are still many projects given however the market will likely sort the not innovative ones out. Cryptocurrency marks the point in the history of money evolution where money advanced significantly from its initial barter exchange system to cryptocurrency. This is a major step and as for now, central banks are looking also into cryptocurrency and blockchain technology to implement their own central-bank-digital-currencies. There are really not many contra-aspects like in the previously stated money forms as cryptocurrency improved all the issues that previously came up and also innovated increasingly above these. __ In this manner, this was my analysis about the evolution of money which is important as the money keeps on shaping as we see it especially in these times with cryptocurrency, it is also not unlikely that these technologies will improve further, and there comes something new that is more applicable and innovative however till now cryptocurrency serves as the highest quality money forms when comparing to the other money forms. Especially it is the case that all money forms still coexist today however mainly not applicable. __ In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support the idea with a like and follow or comment, have a good day, and all the best to you! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. __
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by VincePrince
20