An increasing level of concern is rising within the Bond, Equity and Real Estate Complexes or Markets. I prefer Complex as each "Market" has a number of entities using their control mechanisms. The Equity Complex has a number of headwinds approaching for Technology (NQ). Yields, specifically the 10Yr Treasury Note has been a reliable Instrument for an Inverse...
Yields falling have been a good predictor of past market corrections. Look at Feb Jan 20, Oct-Nov 18, Jun-Aug 11. Yields falling indicates a flight to safety. Are we in for a stock market crash/correction in the next few months? Not sure where bottom is, this is just the current trend. Not Fin advice, do you own research!
The last two major stock market retracements occurred in 2000, and in 2007, respectively. Each of these was assigned an underlying cause and an overarching title. Yet, it could just be that both of these were caused by the same de facto trigger; rather than the convenient set of societal circumstances surrounding each at the time. Nomenclature and true cause...
M1 : Levels to watch : Upside : 1.80 Downside : 1.4880 W1: Last week closing below Tenkan-Sen D1 : In an ongoing downtrend channel, currently below TS and MBB; currently traded around the top clouds support zone and still above the middle level of this downtrend channel. H4 : Last recovery attempt towards 1.69, failed !Below KS, MBB and TS. Bottom of the...
H4 : Triangle target filled @ 1.6860 %. Ongoing reversal in progress Watch, on H4 closing basis, Mid Bollinger Band (@ 1.6280) as first support indicator H1: After having briefly broken the uptrend channel (wrong breakout, doji top followed by a long black candle ! the 10 Y is still in this ongoing uptrend channel with a first attempt to downside breakout, which...
M1 : After having nearly reached the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 3.25% to 0.3620 % move, high being 1.7740 % !, the ongoing current monthly price action is showing a potential trend reversal in progress, which could trigger, tomorrow, on a monthly closing level, a "DARK CLOUD COVER" (Wait for confirmation) W1 : Double top price action in progress with its...
Look for a sharp drop in the 10yr now to form base for the next 2 to 4 weeks sell banks if you still have I sold out of everything last week and now only hold DIS also I SAID DO NOT BE SHORT ANYTHING ,And the the QQQ will now see a new high and that sp should see 4071/4131 / But we will have some trouble at or about 4017. be safe BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER !
Depending on where you call the start of the correction, the final 20% drop level is different. From Peak (in blue) = 28,500 From recent low (in yellow)= 26,500 From recent floor (in red) = 25,000 When the TVC:US10Y hits 2%, the Nasdaq could see a 20% drop as they are the growthiest stocks with the most minimal dividends. DJI is the safest from the rise in...
10YR Short term trend getting ready for action across the next 4 days. Expect either a breakout to higher high, or resistance to winout, with a spin back down. Market impacts typically inverse of this price action, especially as of late.
Market responding to changes in the 10yr. Appears to be trapped in bullish channel. Lower supports responded yesterday, expect rates to continue to march higher with risk to growth equities valuations.
The Market is in a DownTrend. Everything is mentioned on the chart The market will keep going down ( My prediction) Target A: 131'20'5 IF you have a,any questions, leave it in the commentbox
We are going to 2% and dragging everyone kicking and screaming. Fed cannot implement YCC just yet, things need to get way more gruesome to justify it in terms of optics.
As the 10YR Treasury yield surpasses the average dividend yield of the S&P at 1.5%, risk assets will lose their shiny appeal and become a much scarier thing to hold. As rates rise, growth companies usually don't do as well since they can't borrow money as cheaply to fuel their rapid expansions. If you look at the all-time 10yr Treasury Bill it looks like we are...
The 10 Year Treasury yields have bounced aggressively from all time lows. However, we are not at the August/September 2020 lows which coincides magically (lookup the gold number found everywhere in the Cosmos) with the 38.2% fibo retracement from the highs to the lows. If rates go sideways or correct from here, we're likely going to see a bounce in the Nasdaq...
CAN YOU TRADE LONG TERM STONK CHARTS? Upper side resistance = 4500. Lower side support = 1500. Good luck have fun. YIELDS IS A PROBLEM RIGHT NOW! YIELDS IS A PROBLEM RIGHT NOW! YIELDS IS A PROBLEM RIGHT NOW!