Ethereum back to $184 by January? >:^)&Right now, ETH is reaching some historical price levels that acted as support and resistance from 2017. What I'm seeing is kind of an upside-down fractal from the start of the bull run, about where the price is now. The rapid increase in dollar price during the months of May and June is comparable to the rapid decrease in the last couple of months, notably the fact that there were 5 green candles in a row followed by a massive retracement. Now we have had 5 red candles in a row. Does it not seem logical that at these price ranges, we could expect to see the reverse happen? The $84 level where we bounced could be a local low for the coming weeks, as it was an important level in 2017. The most bullish scenario would see huge buying volume in the coming weeks, essentially setting a double bottom from 18 months ago.
Having run the numbers, if the retracement is proportional to 2017 bullrun, ETH could see a return to the mid one-hundreds by January. This is supported by the RSI also being at a historical bounce level, but it has been even lower in the past.
Furthermore, I'd like to point on the volume situation we have here is much greater than the volume in the first fractal, which could mean that capitulation is already happening and this bullish scenario is out of the question until we go even lower on the RSI and it starts to turn upwards.
Alternatively, if we break below the $84, there is little support, and capitulation may happen, so somewhere a little lower than that could be a decent stop-loss. What happens will depend heavily on BTC's movements, which I will aim to make an analysis about later.
Just wanted to throw out this Ethereum chart as another way to look at things from the general bearish sentiment :) Could it be possible? Let me know in the comments.
2019
Bulls & Bears prepareBreaking out of the falling wedge I'm expecting sidewards movement for the next couple of days as the bears and bulls take their positions for the next big movement. If the support is broken, I see ~2500 for Christmas, if resistance is broken, I expect a run up to 5500. Using the Elliot wave is think this latest fall was Wave 5 : The Final leg in the direction of the dominant trend. (Zoom out to see where I've place 123&4)
I've also left the Bakkt release date in the chart, I still think that it has the potential to be a catalyst for some big price movements once its up and running. It's going to be an interesting start to 2019!
GLDBTC : Deja-Vu For GoldCoin If history repeats itself, then it is imminent that GLDBTC touching its recent High at 0.000035 BTC around January 2019 as analyzed in the chart. RSI values also stand as a confirmation for the above projected movement.
Nevertheless there is a lot potential for the price to decline by almost 10x to 0.0000035 following the touch at 0.000035 BTC if price conforms to its historical pattern.
BTCUSD : Consolidation Ahead For A While ($6000 - $3300)Bitcoin has hit its ATL of 2018 around $3300 as this article is being written. In the previous analysis which was done in relation to 2013 - 2015 price effect, it predicted that BTCUSD was to reach $3300 key support in 2019 but the price has already met that level in December 2018.
However the price seems to be consolidating between the key levels of $6000 and $3300 during the coming weeks before breaking out and starting a bull run as most traders/analysts are expecting. As seen in the chart the previous pattern of upward wedge lines have showed the current situation of price to be alike and the RSI too confirms that the oversold region is in play thus triggering a possible bullish breakout after the anticipated consolidation.
Cotton: Opening new short positionsAprox. levels SS: 0.745; SL: 0.78; TP: 0.68 (1) 0.58 (2) (8.82%) (-4.49%) = 4.33
Soybean futures - Short to 700; Horizon: 6 monthsSoybean futures in the CBOT will approach the late 2015 levels of 800-850. The last time this downward support was crossed was in 2004 and it was a big downward trend of -35% with good short entry opportunities. This position is correlated with our medium-term view of bearish commodities in the next 6-7 months with a bullish USD and a bearish EUR. Our target is a drop of -18%, approximately at a price of 700.
Copper futures - Short, to -2.40Entering short on copper futures with the objective of a downward trend of approximately -10% with a horizon of 6-7 months, as in most commodities, in this case, both precious and industrial metals.
The bearish trend should be strong after the price crosses down to MM210, which is approximately 2.60.
The price could reach -2.40.
EUR/USD towards 1.03The Euro will most likely move towards 1.03 against the US Dollar, as we published in the previous post ( ). Its bearish trend is starting in this week's candles, having started yesterday on the 26th. Short positions should have been placed by now, even though it is possible to enter today at market prices with a horizon of 7 months. The volume is likely to be high. We maintain in the short term (6-8 months) the most likely scenario, which is a bullish USD, a bullish EUR, bullish stock markets, bullish commodities, and bullish blockchain assets.
Worst yet to comeBTC is pretty much repeating itself of 2013-2015 cycle. there's no easy way out of 1W RSI underground level. There will be a huge bear divergence, which will bring price down to 2k values. Some time around Feb - Apr 2019.
Then a year for consolidated reversal and we can see a bull year starting after next halfing which is due 2020. By 2021 can expected ATH and new bubble.
EUR/ETB, possible correction to 27Short positions can be positioned just below 31.
Stop loss should be placed at 32.2, above the moving average of 14 on the weekly chart, and take profit at price 27.
The most likely scenario is the price heading towards its support of 27, coinciding with the support of the MM210.
Correlated to the downward trend of the euro in the medium term.
BTC: Averaging short in 5300. Averaging short in 5300. Very risky operation.
Investors entering with short positions should be careful with the possibility that these last day moves are a false bearish break.
In the last few days we have opened short positions in several futures of the blockchain sphere for the next 2 months. Our target for Bitcoin -5.65% in January/February is 3,000 to 2,000 dollars.
The triangular pattern that BTC -5.65% crossed bearishly had a volatility of 2300 points, so the first bearish trend that Bitcoin -5.65% should have is 6000 minus 2300. The result is 3700, and if the price falls from its 3400 support level , 1 BTC -5.65% could cost around $2,000 in January-February 2019.
The most likely scenario is that Bitcoin -5.65% will fall to its support lows, with the MM210 on the weekly chart being its strongest resistance. We will not be in an uptrend until the price is > MM70 which is > MM210, with both MM being bullish . For that situation, we could easily wait until 2020.
Short in Bitcoin with a target price of $2kInvestors entering with short positions should be careful with the possibility that these last day moves are a false bearish break.
In the last few days we have opened short positions in several futures of the blockchain sphere for the next 2 months. Our target for Bitcoin in January/February is 3,000 to 2,000 dollars.
The triangular pattern that BTC crossed bearishly had a volatility of 2300 points, so the first bearish trend that Bitcoin should have is 6000 minus 2300. The result is 3700, and if the price falls from its 3400 support level, 1 BTC could cost around $2,000 in January-February 2019.
The most likely scenario is that Bitcoin will fall to its support lows, with the MM210 on the weekly chart being its strongest resistance. We will not be in an uptrend until the price is > MM70 which is > MM210, with both MM being bullish. For that situation, we could easily wait until 2020.