$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 9, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 9, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Small Biz Pulse: NFIB report before the open — insight into hiring & inflation expectations.
🍏 Apple Mega-Cap Event: 1 PM ET — expected iPhone 17 lineup, Apple Watch, AirPods updates. Mega-cap headline risk for NASDAQ:AAPL and $XLK.
📉 Tape Watch: Traders positioning ahead of 🚩 PPI (Wed) and 🚩 CPI (Thu).
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 🚩 6:00 AM — NFIB Small Business Optimism (Aug)
⏰ 10:00 AM — Wholesale Inventories (Jul, rev.)
⏰ 🍏 1:00 PM — Apple Product Launch Event
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #AAPL #AppleEvent #NFIB #inflation #tech #MegaCap
AAPL
Apple Shares (AAPL) Fall After iPhone 17 LaunchApple Shares (AAPL) Fall After iPhone 17 Launch
Yesterday, Apple unveiled its new products, including the iPhone 17. The new model features a sleeker form factor, an improved display and battery, and a new processor. However, analysts believe the model lacks the breakthrough impact needed to drive the stock higher.
The charts confirm this: while the main stock indices rose yesterday, AAPL shares fell by around 1.5%.
Technical Analysis of Apple Shares (AAPL)
When analysing the chart six days ago, we:
→ confirmed the upward channel (shown in blue);
→ highlighted the $235 support level;
→ suggested that while AAPL stock could maintain upward momentum, disappointment over the new product launch might trigger a correction.
In addition to the AAPL price action we noted earlier, several bearish signals on the hourly chart support the correction scenario:
→ a long upper shadow (marked with an arrow);
→ aggressive price action when breaking the $235 support;
→ bearish divergences on the RSI indicator.
Bulls might find support at line S, which is part of a fan drawn from the starting point of the bullish impulse on 6 August.
However, if bearish sentiment persists, price action could unfold within the structure shown in red (potentially a bull flag pattern inside the prevailing bullish trend). Bearish pressure could aim to push AAPL shares down towards the median of the red channel.
In that case, bulls may find support in the area where several lines converge:
→ the lower rays of the fan (shown in orange);
→ the psychological $230 level (which has repeatedly switched roles between resistance and support since August);
→ the median of the blue channel;
→ the lower boundary of the bullish gap from 2 September.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts Updated: Analyst Views September🚀 Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views — Updated September 2025
________________________________________
📝 Summary Outlook (September 2025)
Nvidia remains at the center of the global AI boom, with dominant GPU share, a strengthening networking/software moat, and multi-year sovereign and enterprise buildouts driving demand. Q2 FY26 confirmed strong momentum, while Q3 guidance points to continued growth. The main risks lie in tariff policy, China licensing, supply chain tightness, and valuation sensitivity. Street consensus remains bullish, with targets in the $207–$211 range and a Strong Buy bias.
🔑 Key Catalysts Driving Nvidia’s Stock Growth (2025+)
1. 🏆 AI Chip Dominance — Score: 10/10
Nvidia still commands ~90%+ of data-center AI accelerators, with CUDA/NVLink lock-in keeping switching costs high.
2. 🏗️ Surging Data Center Demand — Score: 10/10
Hyperscalers remain in an AI “build” cycle. 2025 data-center CapEx is approaching ~$300B, with Nvidia reporting record $41.1B Data Center revenue in its latest quarter.
3. 🌐 Enterprise & “AI Everywhere” Adoption — Score: 8.7/10
Companies across industries are rolling out AI assistants, copilots, and retrieval-augmented applications; Nvidia benefits via GB200 NVL72 racks and RTX-based inference at the edge.
4. 🤝 Strategic/Channel Partnerships — Score: 8.9/10
Cisco is integrating Spectrum-X into networking solutions, while HPE has expanded its Nvidia “AI factory” offerings—broadening reach into enterprise and hybrid AI buildouts.
5. 🚗 Automotive & Robotics — Score: 8.4/10
Auto revenue grew ~70% Y/Y; DRIVE Thor shipments have begun, and Nvidia’s Jetson/AGX Thor and robotics platforms are expanding into industrial automation.
6. 🧑💻 Software & Subscriptions — Score: 8.6/10
Nvidia’s AI Enterprise, DGX Cloud, CUDA-Q, and TensorRT deepen recurring, high-margin revenue and increase developer lock-in.
7. 🌎 Omniverse, Digital Twins & Industrial AI — Score: 8.2/10
Ansys, Siemens, and other industrial software vendors are embedding Omniverse into simulation suites, accelerating adoption of “digital twins” and simulation AI workflows.
8. 🛜 Networking & Photonics — Score: 8.8/10
Spectrum-X Photonics enables co-packaged optics for exascale “AI factories,” improving bandwidth and efficiency while giving Nvidia more end-to-end control.
9. 🧪 Relentless Roadmap (Blackwell → Rubin) — Score: 9.0/10
Blackwell Ultra is ramping into 2025, with the Rubin architecture slated for 2026—sustaining Nvidia’s upgrade cycles.
10. 🌍 Sovereign & Global AI Buildouts — Score: 8.5/10
Europe, the Middle East, and India are launching sovereign AI projects. Saudi-backed Humain alone has committed to tens of thousands of Blackwell chips for 2026 buildouts.
________________________________________
📈 Latest Analyst Recommendations (September 2025)
• Street Stance: Strong Buy/Overweight remains dominant. ~85% of analysts rate NVDA a Buy; avg 12-mo PT ~$207–$211.
• Recent Calls: Multiple firms reiterated Overweight/Buy, with price targets up to $230.
• Common Bull Case: Nvidia’s accelerator lead, software moat, sovereign/enterprise AI pipeline, and expanding networking portfolio.
• Common Cautions: Premium valuation, competition from custom silicon, and export/tariff risk.
________________________________________
🗞️ Latest Events & News (Aug–Sep 2025)
• Q2 FY26 results (reported Aug 27, 2025): Revenue $46.7B (+56% Y/Y); Data Center $41.1B; Blackwell shipments +17% Q/Q; buyback program boosted by $60B.
• Q3 FY26 guidance: ~$54B (±2%) revenue.
• Networking push: Spectrum-X Photonics unveiled; Cisco partnership expanding enterprise deployments.
• Omniverse OEM deal: Ansys to embed Omniverse tech within its simulation platforms.
• Sovereign AI momentum: Saudi Humain centers to deploy 18k+ Blackwell chips starting 2026; UAE and India also ramping large-scale AI initiatives.
• Ecosystem investing: Nvidia continues selective investments in AI startups, strengthening CUDA adoption.
________________________________________
🇺🇸🇨🇳 US–China Tariffs & Export Controls — September 2025 Update
• Tariff truce extended (Aug 2025): Current tariffs remain at ~30% U.S. on Chinese imports and ~10% reciprocal from China. Next decision point: Nov 10, 2025.
• Supreme Court review: The Court will hear a case challenging U.S. executive authority on tariffs this fall.
• China export licensing: U.S. has begun granting licenses for Nvidia’s H20 China-compliant GPUs. Advanced Blackwell exports remain restricted without further approvals.
Impact on Nvidia: Truce reduces near-term disruption, but future tariff or licensing changes remain key risks. China sales are limited to compliant GPUs with lower margins.
________________________________________
⚠️ Key Negative Drivers & Risks (Updated)
1. 🇨🇳 US–China Tech Policy
Tariff truce is temporary; licensing decisions and court rulings keep China exposure uncertain.
2. 🏛️ Regulatory/Legislative Overhang
Proposals like the GAIN AI Act could impose stricter controls on exports and prioritize domestic deployments.
3. 🏭 Supply Chain Bottlenecks
Advanced packaging and HBM memory remain tight despite expansions—potential bottlenecks for shipments.
4. 🧮 Competitive Threats & Custom Silicon
AMD, Intel, and hyperscaler-designed accelerators continue to advance, potentially eroding Nvidia’s hyperscale share.
5. 🏷️ Valuation & Expectations
Nvidia trades at high multiples; any slowdown or guidance miss could trigger volatility.
6. 💵 Customer Concentration
Top cloud giants still account for a large share of revenue; CapEx pauses or custom chip adoption would materially impact results.
________________________________________
APPL Breakout Play: Ride Momentum w/ $250 Calls
# 🚀 APPL Swing Trade Setup (2025-09-07)
**Bias:** 🔥 Bullish (multi-timeframe momentum confirmed)
**Conviction:** ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (75%)
### 📊 Key Takeaways
* ✅ Daily RSI = 73.3 → strong momentum
* ✅ Multi-timeframe alignment → bullish trend continuation
* ⚠️ Volume = \~1.0x avg → breakout needs confirmation
* ⚖️ Options flow = neutral (C/P \~1.0) → no big institutional push
* 🌐 VIX \~15 → low vol = cheap calls
---
### 🎯 Trade Plan
* **Instrument:** \$APPL
* **Direction:** CALL (single-leg)
* **Strike:** \$250
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-19
* **Entry Price:** 0.78 (ask)
* **Profit Target:** 1.56 (≈100% gain)
* **Stop Loss:** 0.47 (\~40% risk)
* **Size:** 1 contract (adjust to 2% account risk)
* **Entry Timing:** Open (or breakout > \$241.5 + volume)
---
### 🧠 Rationale
* \$250 strike = liquid (OI 36k+) & balanced delta/liquidity
* Low VIX keeps theta drag manageable (12 DTE)
* Upside continuation likely toward \$246–\$250 zone
* Defined risk/reward w/ simple naked call
---
### ⚠️ Risks
* ❌ Failed breakout → fast premium decay
* ⏳ Time decay accelerates after 7–8 DTE
* 📰 Macro/news shocks = whipsaw risk
---
## 📌 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
```json
{
"instrument": "APPL",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 250.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-19",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.56,
"stop_loss": 0.47,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.78,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 13:19:26 EDT"
}
```
APPLE Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 239.67
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 234.66
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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APPLE: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
The price of APPLE will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month HighApple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month High
As the AAPL chart shows, yesterday the price rose above $238 – its highest level since early March.
The optimistic sentiment was fuelled by:
→ A court ruling concerning Google, which we reported on yesterday. Apple shares advanced after the court allowed Alphabet to continue paying Apple for preloading Google Search on the iPhone. Bank of America analysts even raised their AAPL price target to $260.
→ The upcoming Apple presentation scheduled for 9 September. Expectations are that the event could unveil the iPhone 17 and new Apple Watch models, which may provide a bullish catalyst.
Technical Analysis of Apple (AAPL) Stocks
Analysing the chart in early August, we:
→ identified an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ noted that, given the aggressive rally (accompanied by bullish gaps) and a strong fundamental backdrop, any corrections were likely to be limited.
Since then:
→ AAPL has moved higher, justifying the expansion of the blue channel;
→ the pullback (marked by an arrow) was minor, as expected, confirming the median line of the expanded channel as support;
→ in the short term, we could identify grounds for a new upward trajectory (shown in orange).
Yesterday’s price action in AAPL:
→ produced a wide bullish gap at the open (which may act as support);
→ broke through the long-term descending trendline (R), which had been acting as resistance;
→ indicated that the $235 level (around the August high) now functions as support.
Within this context, we could assume that:
→ in the short term, AAPL may maintain its upward trajectory within the orange channel;
→ in the longer term, bulls may target the upper boundary of the blue channel – located near the psychological $250 mark. Reaching this level could trigger stronger selling pressure.
In the event of a significant correction (for example, due to disappointment with new product launches), potential support levels could include:
→ the median of the blue channel;
→ the trendline R.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$GOOG $226 Premarket! 2.61 Golden Pocket Above for Puts Well what do we have here? We have Taz taking a peak at the GOOGLE pop 👀 would you just look at it? If you put the fib right at the last high and low, you get a nice Golden Pocket Target Above at $228.97 …
Now let’s be clear here. Congrats to the Bulls in my Room that saw that Alert from the Bot and Hopped in with the Big Boys.
For now, it’s time to go with tie short side imo. If we can get a tap of that 2.61 pocket above, I’ll swing something to the downside for next week. Targets would include a Gap fill. If not, then I will be patient and possibly not even enter. I would rather optimal entry. Then forced entry. Have a good one yall.
AMD (2025+) Catalysts & Risks: 300 USD PT Bulls🟥 AMD (2025+) Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views
________________________________________
🔑 Key Catalysts Driving AMD’s Stock Growth (2025+)
🌌 Quantum-Centric Supercomputing with IBM
AMD’s collaboration with IBM to merge CPUs/GPUs with quantum computing promises a whole new class of hybrid architectures. If successful, this could unlock brand-new compute markets in research, defense, and enterprise.
Impact Score: 9.5/10
🏗️ Hyperscaler Traction & Data-Center GPU Gains
AMD’s MI355 and upcoming MI400 accelerators are gaining traction with big cloud players. Even a modest 10% market share in AI GPUs would be transformative for AMD’s revenue mix.
Impact Score: 9/10
📈 Analyst Upgrades & Bullish Price Targets
Wall Street has turned bullish—multiple PT hikes point to 20–40% upside. Analyst enthusiasm often accelerates institutional inflows, reinforcing AMD’s momentum.
Impact Score: 7.5/10
🌍 Global AI Accelerator Growth & Middle East Expansion
AMD is securing multi-billion sovereign AI infrastructure deals in the Gulf (Saudi, UAE). These large-scale contracts validate AMD’s credibility as a true Nvidia alternative.
Impact Score: 8.5/10
💰 Strong Financial Performance & Executive Optimism
Q1 results crushed expectations with revenue and profit growth across data center and AI. Sustained beats strengthen AMD’s credibility and support multiple expansion.
Impact Score: 8/10
🔗 Broad Ecosystem & Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions like Xilinx and Silo AI give AMD a richer portfolio spanning FPGAs, AI software, and custom servers (Helios). This positions AMD as more than just a chipmaker—an AI infrastructure player.
Impact Score: 7/10
________________________________________
⚠️ Key Negative Drivers & Risks
🇨🇳 China Export Restrictions
AMD is losing access to a massive end market due to US export rules. This already shaved off ~$1B in projected sales and could worsen with future policy shifts.
Risk Severity: 9/10
📉 Under-whelming AI GPU Sell-In
Past misses on data-center GPU sales remind investors that adoption is not guaranteed. If hyperscalers hesitate, AMD’s AI growth story could stall.
Risk Severity: 7.5/10
💸 Valuation & Excess Rally Risks
Shares are up massively YTD—if results don’t keep pace, profit-taking could spark sharp pullbacks.
Risk Severity: 7/10
⚡ Short-Term Volatility & Earnings Reaction
Even with growth, near-term misses or cautious guidance could swing the stock hard.
Risk Severity: 6.5/10
🥊 Competitive Pressure
Nvidia’s CUDA ecosystem remains deeply entrenched, while custom silicon from hyperscalers (Google TPUs, AWS Trainium) eats into the TAM. AMD is fighting uphill.
Risk Severity: 8/10
________________________________________
📝 Summary Outlook (Sept 2025)
AMD is no longer the underdog—it’s becoming a legitimate AI infrastructure contender. The IBM quantum partnership and hyperscaler adoption of MI400 GPUs could be game-changers. Sovereign AI deals in the Middle East and ecosystem-expanding acquisitions amplify the story.
But execution risk is high—China export bans, entrenched Nvidia dominance, and valuation stretch leave little room for error. Success hinges on AMD proving it can scale its AI GPUs and secure recurring demand.
Rank Catalyst 🚀 Score (0–10)
1⃣ 🌌 Quantum-Centric Supercomputing with IBM 9.5
2⃣ 🏗️ Hyperscaler GPU Adoption (MI355/MI400) 9
3⃣ 🌍 Middle East AI Mega Deals 8.5
4⃣ 💰 Strong Financial Growth 8
5⃣ 📈 Analyst Upgrades & PT Revisions 7.5
6⃣ 🔗 Ecosystem & Acquisitions (Xilinx, Silo AI, Helios) 7
Is September For the Bears?QQQ CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! stock market Forecast
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AAPL Bullish Stock Going UP and Confirmed!Hello,
Ayrfolio trade ideas are based on weekly charts and momentum, so remember to be patient! No day trades here unless the stock soars up intraday. Today we’re covering:
COMPANY: Apple Inc
STOCK SYMBOL: AAPL
POSITION: Long
TP1 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.59
TP2 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.18
Stop Loss: must wait AFTER daily candle closes to exit trade (regular candle, NOT Heiken Ashi)
Ultimate Stop Loss: can exit IMMEDIATELY if price reaches this level during any trading hours
EXPLANATION: Weekly momentum increased and confirmed on Monday 8/11/25 at $231.59/share. Although the stop losses are listed on the chart, if momentum has been lost then we can exit before the price reaches the stop loss.
DISCLAIMER: Please do your own due diligence before making any decisions.
P.S. - Stocks can soar. YOU can soar. Soaring is possible!
-Ayrfolio
Apple: Another Run at Key ResistanceApple shortly dipped back below the $230.20 mark but has since begun another push higher. We expect the stock to soon break through the $230.20 level sustainably and – as part of the green wave – move up toward the next major resistance at $260.10. The following wave pullback should remain above $230.20, allowing the broader green upward trend to continue gaining momentum.
AAPL RESISTANCE 233VS SUPPORT 215 hi trader's
Apple price is testing a major resistance zone around 233 – 240.
If sellers hold this resistance, a retracement toward the 215.40 support zone and trendline is possible.
A sustained break above the 244.45 risk level would invalidate this bearish view and may open the way for higher prices
Resistance Zone: 233 – 240
Support Zone: 215.40
Risk Level ( 244.45
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Is Fridays Bounce a Bull Trap?CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! stock market Forecast
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SPY | Leap of Doom?SPY just jumped...
The wrong way up!
To sustain you must conserve. To climb up a hill, you need energy, resources like food and water. The energy they give you far out-weighs their absolute mass. Therefore it makes sense for you to carry them.
And they have taken you very far...
But now you have run out of energy.
Price growth needs transaction volume to have strength and meaning.
You are too light(headed) to realize that moving further up is a dead-end.
THIS IS NOT SOMETHING SMALL.
SPY is one of the largest Funds in the world. A first-ever major violation of volume trend, in such a big index, must not be ignored. Imagine what is happening underneath...
Look at some examples:
NVDA
The most massive of companies, has a multi-year issue with volume.
MSFT
Unlike its first growth, Microsoft has a tremendous loss of strength in volume metrics.
Such long-term drop in volume means that companies offload real stocks for cheap futures .
We witness the same with Bitcoin...
And gold...
Not quite doomed yet, but troublesome still.
TSLA
Tesla with their shiny and financially pointless cars, has made a pointless growth. Just like many stocks as you will soon realize.
AAPL
The masses, even though their name suggests that they have some matter, in reality they don't. 10% of people have 90% of wealth. Investors have long left Apple, leaving the hoard inside to bubble up the dream.
There is more and more proof that the Fab5 (well the Fab500 as we can see from SPY/SPX) are replacing stocks with derivatives. Real money replaced by weapons of mass destruction, just like Warren Buffett said.
Good luck to us all...
PS. Something irrelevant to stocks, but relevant to the fundamentals of investing in AAPL.
Judging by the recent UI decisions, they trapped the users in bubbles and they are unable to see the truth. Brilliantly, they changed the name of soap bubbles to liquid glass. (bubbles are shiny, crystals are rough).
As a long-time Apple user, now not much of an Apple lover, I know quite well the changing philosophy of them. iPhone (and all products) began as a phone for the "smart" ones and ended up the No1 desire for the masses.
After a decade, I have switched to Fedora Silverblue for 90% of my leisure.
DAX/GER30 SHORT/LONG sequence Swing Trade +500/+500 points 🔸Hello traders, let’s review the 2hour chart for GER30/DAX. Strong recovery from recent lows, however price testing key resistance and support zones where major reactions are expected.
🔸Speculative setup defined by resistance at 24,500 and key S/R demand zone at 24,000. Both zones have recently been validated with +500 point reactions.
🔸Currently both resistance and support levels are respected and price action remains technical around these areas.
🔸Recommended strategy for DAX traders:
Short Sell at Market from resistance 24,500
SL above resistance, TP 24,200 / 24,100 / 24,000.
Buy & Hold Long from key S/R 24,000
SL below support, TP 24,300 / 24,400 / 24,500.
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures, Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
AAPL Weekly Options: $240 Call in Play!
# 🍏💥 AAPL \$240 Call Weekly Trade Setup (Aug 18, 2025) 🚀🔥
### **Market Snapshot**
📊 **Daily RSI / Weekly RSI:** Falling → Neutral ⚖️
📉 **Volume:** Weak (0.6x vs last week) 🚨
🔥 **Options Flow:** Strong bullish calls (1.84 C/P ratio) 💎
✅ **Volatility:** VIX \~15 → Favorable conditions 🌈
💡 **Overall Bias:** Moderate Bullish (but cautious on volume & momentum)
---
### **Model Highlights**
* **Agreement:**
* Weak institutional volume 📉
* Strong call buying sentiment 🔥
* Falling RSI → caution ⚠️
* **Disagreement:**
* Some lean **moderate bullish** 📈
* Others advise **no trade** due to weak confirmations ❌
---
### **💥 Trade Recommendation**
🎯 **Strategy:** Naked Call
* 🍏 **Instrument:** AAPL
* 💵 **Strike:** \$240 Call
* 🗓️ **Expiry:** Aug 22, 2025
* 💰 **Entry Price:** \$0.63
* 🎯 **Profit Target:** \$1.22 (up to 100%)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.37
* ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market Open
* 📈 **Confidence:** 65%
⚠️ **Risks:**
* Momentum exhaustion 💤
* Weak volume = fragile bullish setup 🚨
* Gamma risk moderate ⚖️
---
### **Trade JSON**
```json
{
"instrument": "AAPL",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 240.00,
"expiry": "2025-08-22",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.22,
"stop_loss": 0.37,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.63,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-18 14:38:09 UTC-04:00"
}
```
📊 **Quick Trade Recap:**
🎯 CALL \$240 | 💵 \$0.63 → 🎯 \$1.22 | 🛑 \$0.37 | 📅 Aug 22 | 📈 65%
AAPL Headed for Breakdown? Bears Eye $182 Support🍎 AAPL Weekly Chart Analysis — Bearish Outlook
Apple (AAPL) is trading near $230–233 on the weekly chart after staging a rebound from early 2025 lows. The chart, however, shows a clear double-top pattern around the $260.10–260.55 resistance zone (red dashed line), which has repeatedly acted as a ceiling. Each test of this zone has been followed by sharp corrections, and the most recent “S” (sell) marker confirms this rejection area as a strong supply zone.
The latest rally has brought price back toward resistance, but structure-wise AAPL is printing lower highs and lower lows since mid-2024. The bounce into $230–233 looks more like a relief rally within a larger corrective phase rather than a fresh bullish trend.
________________________________________
🔎 Bearish Justifications
• Double/Triple Resistance Layer: $260 has capped price multiple times. Without a clear weekly close above it, bears remain in control.
• Trend Structure: From July 2024 peak to early 2025 lows, price made a decisive lower low. The current rally has failed to reclaim that structure.
• Volume Trap: Weekly candles show waning momentum on rallies—less aggressive buying versus prior uptrends.
• Clean Downside Ladder: The chart highlights green dotted support zones at $199 → $182 → $164 → $129 → $124. If $230–233 fails to hold, price could unwind quickly toward these levels.
________________________________________
🔴 AAPL Short Setup (Weekly Chart)
• Entry Zone: $230–233 rejection area (current price)
• Stop-Loss: Above $260.55 (strong invalidation level, beyond supply zone) ❌
• Target 1: $199 (psychological + technical support, book partial profits ✅)
• Target 2: $182.94 (major mid-term support, lock more gains 🔒)
• Target 3: $164.73 (deeper corrective target if selling accelerates 📉)
• Stretch Target: $129–124 if broader market weakness hits tech
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk & Trade Management
Given that this is a weekly timeframe setup, swings will be larg6e and volatile. Position sizing should be smaller than usual because stops and targets are wide. Booking partial profits at $199 and $182 is essential — this way, you reduce risk exposure and can let the remainder run. If AAPL surprisingly pushes above $260 and closes strong, the bearish thesis is invalid and shorts should exit rather than hold against trend.
✅ In summary, AAPL looks heavy under $260, with the current bounce likely a retracement rally rather than fresh bullish strength. Unless bulls can flip $260 into support, the chart favors a short bias with targets at $199 → $182 → $164.
10 AI Stocks to BUY/HOLD with Key Catalysts for solid gains 202510 AI Stocks to BUY/HOLD with Key Catalysts for solid gains 2025–2026
________________________________________
1. NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA)
• Catalyst: Expansion of AI infrastructure via new GPU generations (e.g., Blackwell), continued dominance in AI training/deployment. Regulatory/availability clarity in key markets like China could also drive demand.
• Highlights: Leader in AI GPUs; high analyst upgrades and raised targets; strong global demand from data centers and hyperscale AI deployments.
________________________________________
2. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT)
• Catalyst: Deepening integration of AI across products and services (e.g., Office, Teams), OpenAI partnership further embedded in Azure services, AI product launches (Copilot, AI Studio).
• Highlights: Extensive cloud & enterprise reach; strong balance sheet; strategic positioning as AI infrastructure and application leader.
________________________________________
3. Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL)
• Catalyst: Rollout of key AI products (e.g., Gemini, Bard enhancements), continued monetization of AI in search & advertising, rising AI-related cloud license revenue.
• Highlights: Core AI research leader; growing earnings momentum; sustained institutional inflows and investor confidence tied to AI growth.
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4. AMD (NASDAQ: AMD)
• Catalyst: Launch of AI-optimized server chips (e.g., MI400 series), integration of AI functionality in CPUs/GPUs, synergy from Xilinx and Silo AI acquisitions.
• Highlights: Aggressive roadmap in AI compute; acquisitions bringing AI IP and talent; gaining share in AI server ecosystem.
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5. Palantir (NYSE: PLTR)
• Catalyst: Expansion of AI-driven government and commercial contracts, rollout of AI-enabled analytics platforms such as Palantir AI suite, new hyperscaler partnerships.
• Highlights: AI-analytics leader with strong public-sector footprint; pivoting toward cloud-based AI; high-margin recurring revenue potential.
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6. Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU)
• Catalyst: Accelerated demand for AI-optimized memory and storage (e.g., HBM, SSDs); uptake of Micron's AI/space-qualified SSDs; expansions into AI data center deployments.
• Highlights: Strong sequential performance in earnings; double-digit growth in AI segments; positioned as non-GPU hardware beneficiary of AI boom.
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7. TSMC (NYSE: TSM)
• Catalyst: Scaling advanced process nodes (e.g., N3E, N2) to support AI chips, capacity expansion initiatives, securing AI chip orders from Nvidia, AMD, and other fabless players.
• Highlights: Global leader in semiconductor foundry; high-barrier-to-entry business model; direct beneficiary of AI silicon ramp-up.
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8. Oracle (NYSE: ORCL)
• Catalyst: Launch and adoption of Oracle Cloud AI capabilities (OCI AI, embedded ML), AI-driven Oracle Fusion applications, increasing AI-related capex by enterprise customers.
• Highlights: Strong enterprise penetration; AI-infused software suite; renewed investor interest from hedge funds targeting AI exposure.
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9. Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META)
• Catalyst: Continued investment in large-scale AI infrastructure (data centers), Llama 3 and generative AI models, new AI products in social, AR/VR, and enterprise.
• Highlights: Massive AI compute investments; pioneering open models like Llama; turning AI into a core product strategy beyond social media.
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10. Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO)
• Catalyst: AI-related semiconductor solutions (e.g., networking, connectivity, acceleration) embedded in data center infrastructure, demand from AI workload networking.
• Highlights: Integral player in AI infrastructure as part of the “Fab 4”; diversified exposure across chips critical for AI workloads.
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How to Monitor These Catalysts
• Product Launches & Roadmap Updates (e.g., NVDA GPU release events, AMD MI400 launch, META model updates)
• Earnings Calls / Financial Guidance revealing AI revenue — especially with MSFT, GOOGL, ORCL, MU, and AVGO
• Partnership or Contract Announcements — e.g., Palantir industry deals, Oracle enterprise AI deployments
• Capacity & Scaling News — e.g., TSMC fab expansion, Micron memory contracts, Meta data center buildouts
APPLE: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of APPLE right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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