Silver: A 45-Year Trading Range Has Been Broken 👀 Have you ever looked at silver on the 3-month timeframe?
📌 A very strong and long-standing trading range has recently been successfully broken. Silver entered this range back in 1980, and it has constrained price action for decades.
✔️ In addition, there is a long-term ascending cycle channel, where the midline of the channel plays a key role.
🧐 The big question is: How far can price go from here?
📌Slightly higher from current levels — and above the $90 area — we should start expecting a price correction in silver. This zone aligns with the midpoint of the long-term ascending cycle channel, making it a technically significant area.
📌After the correction begins, we expect silver to retest the top of the previously broken range, around $49. From there, price is likely to enter a consolidation phase before making its next major move.
📌Following this consolidation, the market should begin its attempt to break above the midline of the ascending channel.
This process will be time-consuming, and based on the structure, it’s reasonable to expect that within the next four years, we could be looking at $200 silver.
⚠️This idea is not financial advice and is for learning only. Always do your own research.
🥇 Join our Free Club on telegram if you want to inform about macroeconomy, Technical, Option and also On-chain data. Our scope is Forex, Stock Market, Commodities and also Cryptocurrencies.
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Sincerely,
Neximarket Team
Accumulation
ETHUSD - Leverage Ratio Hits ALL-TIME HIGH
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD is trading at approximately 2976 USD after a sharp 28 percent correction from the December 14-15 highs near 3980 USD to the December 18-19 lows around 2850 USD. While the hawkish Federal Reserve meeting triggered this selloff, on-chain data is flashing unprecedented bullish signals. Binance's Estimated Leverage Ratio just hit an ALL-TIME HIGH of 0.611, and the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio spiked to 1.13 - levels not seen since September 2023. Traders are positioning aggressively for upside. The question now: is the capitulation complete, or does high leverage create liquidation risk?
Current Market Context - December 21, 2025
Ethereum experienced one of its sharpest weekly declines in recent months, dropping from nearly 4000 USD to below 2900 USD in just four days. The catalyst was the Federal Reserve December 18 meeting where the central bank delivered a more hawkish stance than markets anticipated, projecting only two rate cuts for 2026.
The selloff was exacerbated by:
Broad risk-off sentiment across all crypto assets
Bitcoin dropping from 108000 USD to below 92000 USD
Over 1 billion USD in crypto liquidations within 24 hours
Ethereum ETF outflows as institutional investors reduced exposure
Year-end profit taking and portfolio rebalancing
However, the bounce from 2850 USD and current stabilization around 2976 USD suggests the initial panic selling may be exhausted. More importantly, on-chain metrics are telling a different story than price action.
CRITICAL ON-CHAIN DATA - Record Bullish Positioning
Estimated Leverage Ratio - ALL-TIME HIGH
Data from CryptoQuant shows Ethereum's Estimated Leverage Ratio on Binance has climbed to 0.611 - the highest level EVER recorded for this metric. This ratio compares open interest to exchange reserves, revealing how much borrowed capital traders are deploying relative to available liquidity.
What this means:
Traders are committing record leveraged positions anticipating favorable price movement
Current reading surpasses ALL previous cycle peaks
This environment amplifies price moves - modest spot changes can trigger large liquidations
Risk appetite among traders is at unprecedented levels
Taker Buy/Sell Ratio - Highest Since September 2023
The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio recently spiked to 1.13 on Binance - a level last observed in September 2023. A reading above 1 indicates market participants are executing more buy orders than sell orders.
Strong taker demand combined with rising leverage reveals optimism dominating short-term sentiment
Historical data shows spikes in this ratio often coincide with increased volatility
Traders are positioning ahead of a potential attempt to reclaim 3000 USD
This buying pressure is notable given ETH is trading around 2900-3000 USD
WARNING: While these metrics are bullish, record leverage is a double-edged sword. If price moves against leveraged positions, liquidation cascades can accelerate downside moves dramatically.
Technical Structure Analysis
Price Action Overview - 45 Minute Timeframe
Analyzing the chart from December 14-21, 2025:
Phase 1 - Distribution and Initial Decline (Dec 14-16):
Price peaked near 3980 USD on December 14
Initial breakdown below 3900 USD signaled distribution
Steady decline through 3800, 3700, 3600 levels
Lower highs forming on each bounce attempt
Volume increasing on down moves - classic distribution signature
Phase 2 - Capitulation Event (Dec 17-19):
Sharp acceleration of selling on December 17-18
Price crashed through multiple support levels without pause
Breakdown from 3400 to 2850 USD in approximately 36 hours
This represented a 16 percent drop in less than two days
Capitulation volume spike visible on the December 18-19 lows
Long wicks on candles near 2850 USD showing buyer absorption
Phase 3 - Stabilization and Accumulation (Dec 19-21):
Strong bounce from 2850 USD low
Price recovered to 2976 USD representing 4.4 percent recovery from lows
Higher lows forming: 2850 to 2880 to 2920 to current levels
Consolidation range establishing between 2950-3000 USD
Decreasing volatility suggesting selling pressure exhaustion
On-chain data confirms accumulation phase is active
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
3000-3020 USD - Immediate psychological resistance and round number
3080-3100 USD - Previous support turned resistance from December 17
3200-3250 USD - Major horizontal resistance zone
3400-3450 USD - Secondary resistance from pre-crash consolidation
3600-3650 USD - Major resistance zone
3900-4000 USD - December highs and psychological barrier
Support Levels:
2950-2960 USD - Immediate support from current consolidation
2900-2920 USD - Recent higher low support
2850-2870 USD - Capitulation low and critical support
2700-2800 USD - MAJOR DEMAND ZONE (Analyst Confluence)
2600-2650 USD - Deep support from November 2025 levels
The 2700-2800 Demand Zone - Analyst Confluence
Crypto analyst Ted Pillows has outlined a clear technical roadmap identifying the 2700-2800 USD zone as a major demand area . According to his analysis, ETH recently tapped into this important demand zone and has started to rebound. This move occurred when Ethereum broke below 3000 USD to reach a low of 2781 USD on December 18.
Multiple analysts are highlighting this zone as critical support with strong buyer interest. The fact that price bounced sharply from this area and on-chain metrics show record bullish positioning suggests smart money is accumulating here.
Chart Pattern Analysis
The current structure shows characteristics of a potential falling wedge pattern:
Lower highs connecting from 3980 to 3400 to 3100 area
Lower lows from 3600 to 3000 to 2850
However, the most recent price action shows higher lows forming off 2850
This divergence between lower highs and higher lows creates compression
Breakout direction will determine next major move
Falling wedges typically resolve to the upside
Fibonacci Retracement Analysis
Measuring from the November 2025 low (approximately 2400 USD) to the December 2025 high (3980 USD):
0.236 retracement: 3607 USD - Already broken
0.382 retracement: 3376 USD - Already broken
0.5 retracement: 3190 USD - Already broken
0.618 retracement: 3004 USD - Currently testing this level
0.786 retracement: 2739 USD - Held as support (low was 2850)
The bounce from near the 0.786 Fibonacci level is significant. This deep retracement level often marks the end of corrections in strong trends. The current test of the 0.618 level (3004 USD) will be crucial - a reclaim would be bullish, rejection would suggest more downside.
Fundamental Analysis
Federal Reserve Impact
The December 18, 2025 FOMC meeting was the primary catalyst for the selloff:
Fed held rates steady but projected only two rate cuts for 2026
Markets had priced in three to four cuts, creating hawkish surprise
Fed Chair emphasized data dependency and willingness to maintain restrictive policy
Higher-for-longer rates increase opportunity cost of holding crypto assets
Risk assets across the board sold off following the announcement
Altcoin Season Approaching - January 2026
A growing number of market analysts believe the long-awaited altcoin season may finally arrive in January 2026, with new data suggesting a shift in liquidity conditions. Ethereum's market behavior has attracted analysts who are highlighting a shift in leadership, typically seen only after a strong Bitcoin rally.
This is significant because:
Bitcoin has already made its major move from 60K to 108K
Capital rotation into altcoins typically follows BTC dominance peaks
ETH historically leads altcoin rallies
January sees fresh institutional allocations entering the market
Ethereum-Specific Fundamentals
Despite the price decline, Ethereum fundamentals remain constructive:
Ethereum staking continues to grow with over 34 million ETH staked
Layer 2 adoption accelerating with Base, Arbitrum, and Optimism seeing record activity
Ethereum ETF infrastructure now established providing institutional access
Pectra upgrade scheduled for Q1 2026 bringing account abstraction improvements
DeFi Total Value Locked on Ethereum remains above 60 billion USD
Security Concerns - Risk Factor
The crypto space continues to face security challenges:
December 20: A trader lost nearly 50 million USD in USDT to an address poisoning attack
2025 has seen over 3.4 billion USD in crypto thefts - a record year
The February Bybit hack (1.4 billion USD) accounted for 44 percent of annual losses
These incidents create headline risk and can spook retail investors
However, institutional infrastructure and security practices continue improving
ETF Flow Analysis
Ethereum ETF flows have been mixed:
December saw net outflows as institutions reduced risk exposure ahead of year-end
The post-Fed selloff accelerated ETF redemptions
However, long-term institutional interest remains intact
January typically sees renewed institutional buying as new year allocations begin
ETF structure provides easier access for institutions to re-enter on dips
Ethereum vs Bitcoin Analysis
The ETH/BTC ratio provides important context:
ETH has underperformed BTC during this correction
ETH/BTC ratio declined from 0.037 to 0.032 area
This underperformance is typical during risk-off periods
However, ETH tends to outperform during recovery phases
Vitalik Buterin himself said years ago he would respect a technically competent rival - but none has emerged
A stabilization in ETH/BTC would be early signal of ETH strength returning
Directional Bias Assessment
Arguments for Bullish Reversal:
LEVERAGE RATIO AT ALL-TIME HIGH (0.611) - Record bullish positioning
TAKER BUY/SELL RATIO AT 1.13 - Highest since September 2023
Capitulation volume and price action suggest panic selling exhausted
Bounce from 0.786 Fibonacci level is technically significant
2700-2800 demand zone confirmed by multiple analysts
Higher lows forming off the 2850 USD bottom
Exchange outflows during dip suggest accumulation occurring
Altcoin season expected January 2026 per multiple analysts
Strong fundamental backdrop with staking growth and L2 adoption
Pectra upgrade catalyst approaching in Q1 2026
Arguments for Bearish Continuation:
Price remains below all major moving averages
No confirmed trend reversal pattern yet
Fed hawkishness could continue pressuring risk assets
RECORD LEVERAGE = LIQUIDATION RISK if price drops
ETH underperforming BTC suggests relative weakness
Holiday liquidity conditions could exacerbate any selling
3000 USD psychological resistance may cap rallies
Security concerns (50M hack, 3.4B stolen in 2025) create headline risk
ETF outflows may continue into year-end
My Assessment - Bullish with Leverage Caution:
The weight of evidence leans bullish. Record on-chain metrics showing unprecedented trader positioning for upside, combined with technical support holding and analyst confluence on the 2700-2800 demand zone, suggests the capitulation low should hold.
HOWEVER - the record leverage is a double-edged sword. If 2850 breaks, liquidation cascades could accelerate the move down significantly.
Bullish Confirmation: A daily close above 3050 USD with volume would confirm the bottom and open path to 3200-3400 USD.
Bearish Confirmation: A break below 2850 USD would trigger leveraged liquidations and open path to 2600-2750 USD.
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks): Bullish bias. On-chain data strongly supports upside. Expect attempt to reclaim 3000 USD and test 3200 USD.
Long-term (1-3 months): Bullish. Altcoin season catalyst in January, Pectra upgrade in Q1, and structural drivers intact. Targets of 3400-3600 USD valid for Q1 2026.
Trade Framework
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade
Entry Conditions:
45-minute candle closes decisively above 3020 USD
Volume on breakout candle exceeds recent average
RSI breaks above 55 confirming momentum shift
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 3025-3050 USD on confirmed breakout
Stop Loss: 2920 USD below recent higher low
Target 1: 3150-3200 USD previous support zone
Target 2: 3350-3400 USD major resistance
Target 3: 3550-3600 USD extended target
Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 to first target
Scenario 2: Buy the Dip at Demand Zone
Entry Conditions:
Price retests 2700-2800 USD demand zone
Bullish rejection candle with long lower wick
RSI showing oversold bounce
Volume spike on the bounce candle
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 2750-2800 USD on demand zone retest
Stop Loss: 2650 USD below demand zone
Target 1: 3000-3020 USD psychological resistance
Target 2: 3150-3200 USD major resistance
Target 3: 3350-3400 USD extended target
Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:3 to first target
Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown Trade
Entry Conditions:
45-minute candle closes below 2850 USD
Volume confirmation on breakdown
Leverage liquidations begin cascading
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 2840-2850 USD on confirmed breakdown
Stop Loss: 2920 USD above recent consolidation
Target 1: 2750-2780 USD secondary support
Target 2: 2650-2700 USD major support
Target 3: 2500-2550 USD extended target
Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2 to first target
Risk Management Guidelines
Position sizing should not exceed 2-3 percent risk per trade
CRITICAL: Record leverage means volatility will be amplified
Reduce size during holiday period due to lower liquidity
Use hard stop losses - liquidation cascades can move price fast
Scale into positions using multiple entries rather than single entry
Take partial profits at each target level (33 percent at each)
Move stop to breakeven after first target achieved
Monitor BTC price action as correlation remains high
Invalidation Levels
Bullish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes below 2700 USD on 4-hour or daily timeframe
Lower low forms below the December 18-19 capitulation low
ETH/BTC ratio breaks to new lows below 0.030
BTC breaks below 88000 USD triggering broader selloff
Bearish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes above 3200 USD with volume
Higher high forms above 3100 USD
RSI breaks above 60 with momentum
ETH/BTC ratio recovers above 0.036
Conclusion
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD has experienced a sharp 28 percent correction from the December highs near 3980 USD to the capitulation low around 2850 USD. While the Fed meeting triggered the selloff, on-chain data tells a powerfully bullish story.
The Numbers That Matter:
Leverage Ratio: 0.611 - ALL-TIME HIGH
Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 1.13 - Highest since September 2023
Demand Zone: 2700-2800 USD - Multiple analyst confluence
Fibonacci Support: 0.786 level held (2739 USD)
Key Levels to Watch:
3000-3020 USD - Breakout confirmation level
2850 USD - Critical support / capitulation low
2700-2800 USD - Major demand zone
3200 USD - Major resistance for trend confirmation
Trading Approach:
The on-chain data strongly favors bulls, but record leverage means you must respect risk management. Wait for either:
Bullish breakout above 3020 USD with volume to confirm bottom
Retest of 2700-2800 USD demand zone for lower-risk long entry
Breakdown below 2850 USD to flip bearish (watch for liquidation cascade)
Altcoin season approaching in January 2026 provides a macro tailwind. The setup favors patient bulls who manage risk appropriately.
Drop your comments below on the next move for ETH!
Market Phases Explained: Accumulation, Expansion, Distribution🔵 Market Phases Explained: Accumulation, Expansion, Distribution, Reset
Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐳🐋 (Advanced)
Markets do not move randomly. They rotate through repeatable phases driven by liquidity, psychology, and participation. Understanding market phases helps traders stop forcing strategies and start trading in alignment with the current environment.
🔵 WHY MARKET PHASES MATTER
Most traders struggle not because their strategy is bad, but because they apply it in the wrong market phase.
Breakout strategies fail in accumulation
Mean-reversion fails during expansion
Trend-following fails in distribution
Reversal trading fails before reset is complete
Market phases explain when a strategy works, not just how .
Price action, indicators, and volume behave differently in each phase.
🔵 THE FOUR MARKET PHASES
Markets move in a repeating cycle:
Accumulation
Expansion
Distribution
Reset
Each phase has unique characteristics, risks, and opportunities.
🔵 1. ACCUMULATION (QUIET POSITIONING)
Accumulation occurs after a decline or prolonged sideways movement.
This is where smart money builds positions quietly.
Key characteristics:
Price moves sideways in a range
Volatility is low
Breakouts frequently fail
Volume is stable or slightly rising
What is really happening:
Large players accumulate positions without moving price too much. Liquidity is absorbed.
Indicator behavior:
RSI oscillates between 40 and 60
MACD hovers near the zero line
Volume spikes are quickly absorbed
Best strategies:
Range trading
Mean reversion
Patience and preparation
🔵 2. EXPANSION (TREND DEVELOPMENT)
Expansion begins when price breaks out of accumulation with conviction.
This is where trends are born.
Key characteristics:
Strong directional movement
Increasing volatility
Pullbacks are shallow
Breakouts follow through
What is really happening:
Accumulated positions are now leveraged. Momentum attracts participation.
Indicator behavior:
RSI holds trend zones (40–80 or 20–60)
MACD expands away from zero
Volume increases during impulse moves
Best strategies:
Trend-following
Pullback entries
Breakout continuation
🔵 3. DISTRIBUTION (QUIET EXITING)
Distribution occurs after an extended trend.
Price may still rise, but momentum starts to weaken.
Key characteristics:
Higher highs with weaker follow-through
Increased wicks and failed breakouts
Volatility becomes unstable
Late buyers get trapped
What is really happening:
Smart money distributes positions to late participants while maintaining the illusion of strength.
Indicator behavior:
RSI diverges or fails to make new highs
MACD histogram shows lower highs above zero
Volume spikes near highs
Best strategies:
Profit protection
Reduced position size
Waiting for confirmation of weakness
🔵 4. RESET (LIQUIDITY CLEARING)
Reset is when the previous trend fully unwinds.
This phase clears excess leverage and weak hands.
Key characteristics:
Sharp moves against prior trend
Stop-loss cascades
Emotional price action
High volatility without clear direction
What is really happening:
Leverage is flushed. Weak positions are forced out.
Indicator behavior:
RSI reaches extreme levels
MACD crosses zero decisively
Volume spikes dramatically
Best strategies:
Capital preservation
Waiting for stabilization
Avoiding prediction
🔵 HOW TO IDENTIFY THE CURRENT PHASE
Ask these questions:
Is price trending or ranging?
Are breakouts succeeding or failing?
Is momentum expanding or contracting?
Are indicators confirming or diverging?
No indicator works in all phases. Phase identification is the real edge.
🔵 COMMON MISTAKES
Forcing trend strategies during accumulation
Chasing breakouts during distribution
Trading reversals before reset completes
Ignoring momentum deterioration
Most losses come from being right about direction but wrong about phase.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Markets move in cycles because human behavior and liquidity move in cycles.
Accumulation builds positions
Expansion rewards patience
Distribution traps late entries
Reset clears the board
When you learn to identify market phases, you stop fighting the market and start working with it.
Which market phase do you find hardest to trade? Accumulation, expansion, distribution, or reset? Share your thoughts below.
FER | Highway and Freeway Construction will Rise | LONGFerrovial SE provides infrastructure construction and transportation services. It offers all kinds of services related to urban and interurban transport infrastructure, either by land, sea or air. The company was founded by Rafael del Pino y Moreno on December 18, 1952 and is headquartered Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
ETH/USD – Low-Volume Accumulation Breakout SetupETH/USD – Low-Volume Accumulation With Potential Early-Session Breakout Ahead
ETH/USD has been trading inside a tight, low-volume consolidation zone over the past few sessions. The daily volume profile shows a consistent drop in participation, indicating that larger players have stepped aside temporarily. Whenever price moves sideways on contracting volume, it often suggests accumulation or absorption, not weakness.
Historically on this chart, each period of suppressed volume has been followed by an impulsive breakout, as shown by the repeated patterns on the left side. The current structure is forming a similar setup.
Price continues to respect the Daily Value Area and is holding above a key support shelf, showing that sellers are failing to push the market lower—even with low volume. This is a sign of strength from passive buyers.
If today’s session also closes with muted volume, it sets the stage for a potential early-session expansion tomorrow, likely targeting the imbalance and low-volume area highlighted above.
The projected target zone aligns with the next liquidity cluster on the volume profile, where the market may attempt to print a new short-term high before deciding its next macro move.
LTC/USD +2000%All you need is not a chart. The market is much simpler than it seems. The last “bull market” on Litecoin was only +400-500% in 2021. In fact, it wasn't a bull market, but a fake pump test after the real bull market in 2017 to drain people who hold this coin. After all, we have 7 years of accumulation, and in this case, +1000% is the minimum I expect. The ETF is not the real reason, it is just a cover for the positions taken during this entire period.
Anatomy of a Breakaway Gap & What Happens NextAMZN is an excellent example of a Breakaway gap due to improvement of the company's fundamentals. The prior fundamental level is clearly defined on the chart and easy to see. The new fundamental level has not yet been fully established and will begin to form over the next few weeks.
Even if there is a Flash Crash, the fundamental lows of the previous level are very strong support.
What to watch for in the stock price action over the next few weeks:
1. Dark Pool accumulation in the Buy Zone.
2. Pro Trader nudges.
3. Speculative trading by Smaller funds managers.
IONQ — Re-Accumulation Structure📈 IONQ — Re-Accumulation Structure Setting Up for Phase B Expansion
After completing a clear Phase A stopping action marked by the Selling Climax (SC) and Automatic Rally (AR), price action has confirmed a re-accumulation structure rather than a full distribution. The recent retest of the AR level occurred on notably reduced volume and lower implied volatility, suggesting that supply has been exhausted and that composite operators are absorbing shares rather than distributing them.
The Volume Profile (VRVP) shows a strong high-volume node between $56–$62, where demand has consistently stepped in. Below that zone, liquidity thins rapidly—indicating that this area represents a value base rather than a weak support. Meanwhile, successive tests of this range have produced higher lows on contracting downside volume, a hallmark of accumulation nearing its Phase B transition.
As the structure matures, a move to re-test the upper resistance near $83 would represent the Up-Thrust (UT) typical of Phase B, serving as a preliminary sign of strength before the eventual breakout (Phase C–D). With improving relative strength and declining volatility, the stock is poised for a measured $20 swing, aligning with a broader markup continuation once absorption completes.
In short: Low-volume retests + balanced profile + diminishing supply = classic Wyckoff re-accumulation dynamics.
DOW THEORY PLAY - INTC CONFIRMS BREAKOUT FROM ACCUMULATION PHASEINTC - CURRENT PRICE : 29.58
Key Technical Highlights:
1. Breakout from Accumulation Phase with Strong Volume
Intel has successfully broken out of a prolonged sideways accumulation zone. The breakout is accompanied by significantly higher-than-average volume , indicating strong buying interest and institutional participation.
2. New 52-Week High Achieved
Price has breached the previous 52-week high, signaling bullish momentum and the potential start of a new price discovery phase. Historically, such breakouts often attract trend-following traders.
3. Golden Cross Formation (look at the red circle)
A Golden Cross has formed for the first time in a long period, where the 50-day EMA has crossed above the 200-day EMA — a classic long-term bullish confirmation. Notably, the last occurrence of this pattern was in July 2023 , making this the first reappearance in over two years, further reinforcing its significance as a potential turning point in market sentiment.
4. Dow Theory Alignment – Public Participation Phase
According to Dow Theory, this marks the second phase of a major uptrend — the Public Participation Phase — where broader market participants begin to enter following early accumulation by smart money. This phase typically sees strong price advances.
ENTRY PRICE : 28.00 - 30.00
FIRST TARGET : 35.00
SECOND TARGET : 42.00
SUPPORT : 25.00 (CUTLOSS below 25.00 on closing basis)
Note : This is related to point no 1. Markets have a tendency to "fall of their own weight." At bottoms, however, markets require a significant increase in buying pressure, reflected in greater volume, to launch a new bull market. A more technical way of looking at this difference is that a market can fall just from inertia. Lack of demand or buying interest on the part of traders is often enough to push a market lower; but a market does not go up on inertia. Prices only rise when demand exceeds supply and buyers are more aggressive than sellers.
TTEC – Accumulation Setup and Sector Mean Reversion PotentialTTEC (NASDAQ)
The price structure is forming a descending diagonal, suggesting a potential exhaustion phase of the ongoing downtrend.
The stock is currently trading inside the 1st Buying Zone, with a possible deeper test toward the 2nd Buying Zone before a sustained reversal begins.
The sector average stands near $10, aligning with the gap area, which could act as a major upside target if accumulation continues.
📈 A confirmed breakout from the diagonal pattern would strengthen the bullish bias toward that sector-level equilibrium.
OP/USDT – Order Block Accumulation + RSI OversoldOP is currently bound within a consolidation range, showing signs of a potential order block formation—a zone where larger players may be accumulating. These structures often precede impulsive, expansive moves once the range is broken. We're seeing tight price action between $0.400 and $0.410, which could act as a springboard.
🔍 The RSI is deep into oversold territory, signaling that the selling momentum may be fading. This aligns with the idea of a reversal or breakout from the current accumulation zone. Watch for volume spikes or candle structure shifts as potential early signals.
📊 Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: $0.400 – $0.410
Take Profit Targets: $0.462 → $0.499 → $0.570
Stop Loss: Below $0.39
MRVL | Another Semi Run Coming | LONGMarvell Technology, Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of integrated circuits. Its products include data processing units, security solutions, automotive, coherent DSP, DCI optical modules, ethernet controllers, ethernet PHYs, ethernet switches, linear driver, PAM DSP, transimpedance amplifiers, fibre channel, HDD, SSD controller, storage accelerators, ASIC, and Marvell government solutions. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Singapore, Israel, India, China, and Others. The company was founded by Wei Li Dai and Pantas Sutardja in 1995 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.
PAYPAL(PYPL) 1D - gaining traction On the daily chart, the price has confidently broken through the descending trendline — the first strong sign of a bullish shift.
All key moving averages (MA, EMA, SMA) sit below the price, showing that buyers are clearly in control.
Buy zone: 74.50.
A retest in this area (74.5–76) looks likely before another push higher.
First resistance: 79.47.
This level might trigger a short-term pullback, but a breakout above it opens the way toward targets at 85.90 and 94.00.
In short - the structure looks healthy, the breakout is done, and PayPal may be just warming up for a bigger move. Stay sharp - dips could be opportunities, not danger.
ALU | '21 Fractals | Price Projection Four different fractals with similar results. Q2 '21 price was in convergence and took off in July similarly to price action in '23 -'24. Except price was in divergence and stopped selling off in July and took off in November leaving the middle months for accumulation.
After the expansion phase of the market in '24 price action got tossed into the distribution phase and price was bound to fall to these lows today.
Looking at Q4 '23 Fractal it fits perfectly with what we saw early this year when price was distributing.
Regardless what the news and fundamentals where saying price was able to repeat the same fractal by using the lows of '21.
Q4 '24 Fractal is the most recent pattern that we can reference with todays price action to get a projected estimate.
Current price action has also stopped selling in July and has been accumulating since then
Would like to see price action close at ATHs going into the next year and into the next distribution phase.
CLSK - accumulation before a breakout or a trap?CLSK price is consolidating in the 9.5–10.5 buy zone, which aligns with a key volume area. On the weekly chart, a breakout from the falling wedge is forming, and if bulls manage to hold above the current range, the next targets stand at 17.98 and 24.72. Volumes indicate institutional interest, while RSI at lower levels suggests a potential reversal.
Fundamentally , CLSK is strongly correlated with Bitcoin and the mining sector: declining hash rate among competitors and expectations of a softer Fed policy provide a supportive backdrop.
The tactical setup is straightforward: defending 9.5–10.5 opens the way toward 17.98 and 24.72, while a breakdown would shift the price lower.
For now, it looks like accumulation, but the real question is who will give up first - the bulls or the bears.
Looking to Short Bitcoin From Here : Winter Is Coming !!Looking to short BTC for a continuation of the downtrend.
Trend is your friend is what they say.
So we're basically going to wait for a pullback to 113k range then enter a sell.
The sell entry caters for both H4 & Daily timeframe trend, so it's a strong one.
The sell entry range also has the VAL of the last rotation we had from Sept 21st to Sept 24th when we finally broke down from it at 112k. That VAL should be a strong point for rejection, it'll be one of the places where we'll truly get to test the strength of the bears ( that's if we even make it that far )
TP targets are based on ExoFade peaks of the H1, H4 and Daily timeframe.. You can add the ExoFade to your charts to follow on your own charts as well.
VAL - Value Area Low of the volume profile
Strategy => Volume + Trend + Lots of coffee
Gold – patience versus greedThe current rise in gold to the 3640–3650 range resembles a protracted consolidation rather than a confident trend. The price remains within the upward channel, but there is a risk of correction accumulating near the current values. Key levels to watch are 3629 and 3618: a break and consolidation below will open the way to 3575, where important support lies. Within the range, the market is behaving nervously – false breaks are becoming commonplace, which increases uncertainty for those who are rushing into positions.
Fundamentally, pressure on gold is being driven by expectations ahead of the Fed meeting and weak dollar statistics: investors remain in “wait-and-see mode.” While the dollar is correcting in a downtrend, gold is receiving support, but without new catalysts, an upward breakout is unlikely. Rather, the market is looking for a balance of forces to determine who will lead - buyers or sellers.
The tactical plan boils down to not playing guessing games. In the event of a decline below 3618, confirmation of the bearish scenario with a target of 3575 will appear. If buyers keep the price above 3640, another attempt to storm the highs is likely. At such moments, it is important not to try to outsmart the market, but to wait until it shows the direction itself.
Sometimes the best trade is simply not to rush.
GRAB 1W: Two Years of Silence — One Loud BreakoutGRAB 1W: When stocks go quiet for two years just to slap bears across both cheeks
The weekly chart of GRAB shows a textbook long-term accumulation. After spending nearly two years in a range between $2.88 and $4.64, the price is finally compressing into a symmetrical triangle. We’ve already seen a breakout of the descending trendline, a bullish retest, and the golden cross between MA50 and MA200. Volume is rising, and the visible profile shows clear demand with little resistance overhead.
The $4.31–$4.64 zone is key. Holding this level opens the path to $5.73 (1.0 Fibo), $6.51 (1.272), and $7.50 (1.618). The structure is clean, momentum is building, and this accumulation doesn’t smell like retail — it smells institutional.
Fundamentally, GRAB is a leading Southeast Asian tech platform combining ride-hailing, delivery, fintech, and financial services. Yes, it’s still unprofitable (–$485M net loss in 2024), but revenue is growing fast, recently crossing $2.3B. Adjusted EBITDA has been improving steadily, and the company holds $5.5B in cash equivalents with minimal debt — giving it excellent liquidity and expansion flexibility.
Valued at ~$18B, GRAB operates in the world’s fastest-growing digital market, with increasing institutional exposure from players like SoftBank and BlackRock. The 2-year base hints at smart money preparing for the next big move.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: by market
— Targets: $5.73 → $6.51 → $7.50
— Stop: below $4.00 or trendline
If a stock sleeps for 2 years and forms a golden cross — it’s not snoring, it’s preparing for liftoff. The only thing left? Don’t blink when it moves.
The Four Different Sideways TrendsIn the modern Market Structure, stocks, indexes and industry indexes move sideways or trend moving horizontally most of the time. Understanding this phenomenon and how to use it to your advantage is important to learn.
There are 4 different types of price moving sideways:
1. The consolidation is a very narrow price range, often less than 5% but can be wider. The consolidation trend usually lasts a few days to a few weeks. The price action is very tight and small. Pro traders dominate consolidations usually. Price pings between a narrow price range low and high. Price is a penny spread or few pennies at most. This means the candlesticks are very very small and tightly compacted.
Consolidations are relatively easy to identify on a stock chart. These pattern create a liquidity shift which an HFT AI algo discovers and triggers its automated orders to drive price up or down based on the positions the pro traders are holding.
Consolidations create fast paced momentum and velocity runs that you can take advantage of IF you learn to enter the position BEFORE HFTs and then the smaller funds, retail day traders and gamblers drive price upward. You and pro traders ride the run until you see a Pro trader exit candle pattern to close the position.
2. The Platform Position sideways trend is also very precise with consistent highs and lows. These are the realm of the Dark Pools hidden accumulation and if you are trying to day trade a platform then it will whipsaw and cause losses. The width is too narrow for day trading. The platform is about 10% of the price in width. Platforms form after a market has had a correction and numerous stocks are building bottoms. Once the bottom completes and the Dark Pools recognize that the stock price is below fundamental levels the Dark Pool raise their buy zone price range to a new level. Often HFTs gap up a stock and then Dark Pools resume their hidden accumulation at that higher level. The goal is to enter just before the HFT gap up to the new fundamental level for swing or day trading.
Platforms offer low risk and the position can be held for weeks or months generating excellent income with minimal time for busy trades who do not have the time to swing trade. Platforms are also good for swing traders if they time their entry correctly.
3. Sideways trends are a mix of retail investors and retail day traders, smaller funds managers and sometimes Dark Pools hidden within the wider sideways trend. These trends with the wider mix of market participants have inconsistent highs and lows which often times causes retail day traders losses as they do not understand the dynamics of the wide sideways trend. These sideways trends are more than 10% and as wide as 20% of the stock price.
4. The Trading Range is the hardest to trade and often causes the most losses as frequently the trading range is so wide it is not easily recognized on the daily charts but is visible and obvious on a weekly chart. The inconsistent highs and lows within the very wide trading range cause problems and losses for most day and swing retail traders.
The size differential of each sideways trend tells you WHO is in control of price and how to trade it for maximum profits, lower risk, and to make trading fun rather than harder.
Seller Strength Evident as Volume Peaks Fail to Propel Price HigAnalysis
Context – This 1D chart uses the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer to study the A→B→C structure over the last 11 trading sessions. Segment C→B captures the advance (blue), while B→A captures the subsequent decline (red). Each bar’s up‑ and down‑volume is measured on a lower timeframe to detect buying and selling pressure.
Volume ranking – Within this 11‑bar window, the indicator identifies the three largest buying (B1–B3) and selling (S1–S3) bars. Although the B1 bar shows the highest buying volume (~10.29 M units), its selling volume (~12.52 M) exceeds buying, resulting in a negative delta of ‑2.23 M. B2 is the only buyer bar with a positive delta (+1.87 M), while B3 again shows sellers in control (‑0.90 M). The seller bars S1–S3 all display net negative deltas, with S3 registering the heaviest selling (‑4.03 M). This pattern shows that peaks in buying volume are not producing higher closes and that sellers are consistently overwhelming buyers.
Segment behaviour – The C→B segment (the rally) totals approximately +28.9 M up‑volume versus +36.7 M down‑volume, a net deficit of about ‑7.74 M. The subsequent decline (B→A) is even more one‑sided: +26.9 M up‑volume versus +41.4 M down‑volume, yielding a ‑14.5 M delta. The slopes of the segment trend lines reinforce this narrative: the rise from C to B has a shallow positive slope (~ 5° on the upper line), whereas the decline from B to A has a steeper negative slope (‑12° on the upper line). Sellers are pushing the price lower more aggressively than buyers previously pushed it higher.
Price structure – Price currently trades near TRY 3.45,where resistance resides near the recent pivot highs around TRY 3.65 and TRY 3.73 (where B1 and S1 occur). As long as the price remains below these levels and buying peaks fail to translate into higher highs, the bearish bias remains. The red dashed line is not a fixed support; it dynamically connects the lows of the current C→A leg and updates with each new candle’s low. Its red colour confirms the bearish slope of this segment. As long as this guide remains red and slopes downward, the downtrend is intact. A meaningful sign of shifting momentum would be a flattening or reversal of this guide (e.g., changing colour) accompanied by a new B‑ranked bar that shows a positive delta.
Risk management – This analysis is provided for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. Always consider your own risk tolerance and trading plan before entering a position.
Gateway Distriparks positioned for potential uptrend.This is the daily chart of Gateway Distriparks.
The stock is moving in an uptrend channel, with strong support in the ₹62–64 range and resistance around ₹75-77.
If the support zone sustains, we may witness higher prices in Gateway Distriparks.
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