CAD/JPY: Bullish Continuation Setup - Buy Above 111.33The CAD/JPY pair has completed a bullish wave structure and is now showing a healthy pullback, creating a high-probability continuation setup.
WAVE STRUCTURE ANALYSIS:
✅ Completed bullish wave formation
✅ Pullback has traded below Structure 4
✅ Continuation remains valid above Structure 2 (110.96)
TRADE SETUP:
📍 Entry: Buy above 111.33 (signals uptrend resumption)
🛑 Stop Loss: 110.96 (Structure 2 invalidation point)
🎯 Target 1: 112.46 (Fibonacci key ratio projection)
🎯 Target 2: 112.97 (Extended Fibonacci target)
FIBONACCI ANALYSIS:
Using key ratio Fibonacci measurement from the complete wave structure low to high, we've identified clear target zones for profit-taking.
RISK MANAGEMENT:
Price must hold above 110.96 for bullish bias to remain valid
Entry above 111.33 confirms momentum resumption
KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
📌 Critical Support: 110.96
📌 Entry Trigger: 111.33
📌 Resistance 1: 112.46
📌 Resistance 2: 112.97
METHODOLOGY: WavesOfSuccess Price Behaviour Analysis
Action
BTC – Key Breakout or Major Breakdown? Critical Zone Decides BTC is currently trading within a complex decision zone formed after breaking out of the descending trendline and reacting around the 0.618–0.786 retracement levels. Price is consolidating beneath a major resistance cluster, where both liquidity and trapped buyers are positioned. This behaviour typically precedes a strong directional expansion.
The structure now presents two potential paths, with one showing higher probability based on market context. Despite the short-term bounce, the broader flow remains corrective, and the reaction from the rejection block continues to dominate. As long as BTC remains capped under this resistance region, downward continuation remains the favoured scenario.
Key Observations:
• Price broke the previous descending trendline but failed to establish a sustained higher-high.
• The 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci block is acting as a heavy supply zone.
• Liquidity remains untouched below, aligning with the measured move projections.
• Local consolidation is forming beneath resistance, often a bearish continuation signal.
• The 1.0 and 1.618 extensions project into the 77,360 and 70,817 regions respectively.
Primary Scenario:
BTC may attempt a minor push toward the higher retracement level but, unless it reclaims the supply block decisively, a larger breakdown into the lower support regions becomes increasingly likely. The liquidity zones below remain the most attractive targets for market makers.
Invalidation:
A clean breakout above the supply block with continuation and acceptance would invalidate the bearish scenario and shift the bias to bullish expansion.
In simple terms:
BTC is sitting at a decisive resistance. If it cannot break above this zone, the market is likely preparing for a deeper fall toward the lower targets. If it breaks above with strength, the downside idea is no longer valid.
Gold 🔵Entry
🔴SL
🟢TP
*`ANALYSIS`*
1. Strong support level respected several times
2. 30 min candle closed below support, meaning support is broken
3. Didn't sell cause the SL would have been big & the candle was breaking the previous candles low in first 2minutes without making a liquidity wick first.
*`Entry`*
When price broke the low of previous exhaustion candles wick with stops above the previous 15min candle high.
*`Set-up`* Impulse Entries
*`Session`* Pre-London
*`Trade Result`*
+0.8%💰
+24pips🎯
#202546 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futures Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: We are almost exactly where we were 1 week ago and unless we stay below 24000 on Monday, there is a decent chance we will see a very similar week with support around 23600 and resistance around 24560. Clear triangle with mid-point around 24000. As of now there is nothing happening that could lead us to think this can make lower lows and head for 23000. Something needs to happen. What would that take? I don’t care for the reason tbh but I would need to see a bear gap staying open and continuous selling below 23600 with a big down day, closing at the lows. Otherwise it will just trade back up like literally every sell-off since June.
current market cycle: trading range (contracting triangle)
key levels for next week: 23600 - 24600
bull case: No side is favored so I spare you long texts for both sides. Bulls want to hit 24400+ again and they need to keep the market above 23500 or risk more downside.
Invalidation is below 23600ish.
bear case: Bears want lower lows below 23515 and expand the range to the downside. As of now I doubt they are strong enough for that. Much more likely that most bears will wait for higher prices above 24300 before shorting again.
Invalidation is above 24570.
short term: Neutral. Fade the extremes until we expand the range again.
medium-long term - from 2025-11-16: Still expecting 23000 to get hit this year.
#202546 - priceactiontds - weekly update – nasdaq e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Again, not much difference to dax. Also in a triangle and for now I highly doubt we will see a big range expansion out of 24600 - 25500. We had two weeks where the bears showed strength but what do they have to show for? We closed above 25000 in both weeks. That’s still as bullish as it gets. Only a bearish daily close below 24600 could change my outlook.
current market cycle: trading range 24000 - 26500 / 4h chart it’s a triangle 24700 - 25500
key levels for next week: 24500 - 25500
bull case: Bulls bought 24700 heavily again and closed the week above 25000. Bears can have no confidence in shorts when we rally for 667 points after a 1095 point drop. Problem for the bulls is that they also have to be very careful with buying high again since the downside can be huge. Which will likely mean that we won’t see much interest in buying above 25400ish. Even longing 25000 when we can drop down to 24600 or lower, is a tough trade.
Invalidation is below 24709.
bear case: Every dip is heavily bought. Has not changed. Can only become more bearish with a daily close below 24000 and that’s far. 25830 is likely the stop, most bears have to have for most shorts next week. That’s a big range and it any short below 25300 from being decent imo. We are making lower highs and lower lows but the lower lows just barely. Until that changes, we will most likely continue sideways in the given range.
Invalidation is above 25830.
short term: Neutral around 25000. Short closer to 25700 and longs closer to 25600.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-02: Market went further in the wrong direction so my targets become increasingly unrealistic. Right now the 50% retracement is 21750 and would mean a 18% drop. That’s a bit too much to ask for as of now. 24150 is the breakout-retest of the prior ath from 2024-12 and a more realistic target.
GBPUSD 1Month1️⃣ Yearly:
The IRL liquidity was taken last year. However, since the beginning of this year, the movement appears to be targeting the IRL level. (12.10.2025)
2️⃣ 2–3 Monthly:
In the first quarter, the price made a fake drop, collected liquidity, and closed the first two quarters with bullish candles.
In the third quarter, the price took the second-quarter high liquidity and closed bearish.
In the fourth quarter, I believe the decision for a bullish outlook will depend on the reactions the price gives in the 3M FVG zone.
3️⃣ Monthly:
When viewed on the monthly timeframe, our current DOL level aligns with the 3M FVG and the Relative Equal Lows formed on the monthly chart. We are currently observing how the price will react around this area.
btcusdtppingpong bols for btc this friday to monday Bitcoin is currently trading around $123,839 USD.
On technicals, many moving averages and momentum indicators are generally giving “buy” or bullish signals (e.g. 5-day, 10-day, 20-day MAs) (per TipRanks)
TipRanks
Support zones are being watched around $109,061, $101,015, and $84,387
MarketScreener
Resistance zones (or supply zones) are around $117,126, $123,375, et
BTC at a Crossroad: Path to 62.5k Is Conditional-Pick Your PlayI’m sharing a possible irregular flat correction that could pull BTC toward ~62,513—only if two key trend supports break.
Note: This Elliott count differs from my main count. It’s my secondary scenario—lower conviction, but it deserves close attention because the structure is developing cleanly. This does not mean BTC is going down (it's just a watch out scenario)
The story so far
From the Nov 22, 2022 low, BTC ran a full 5-wave impulse.
Wave 3 was the extended one.
Wave 4 formed a triangle.
Wave 5 ran hotter than expected (roughly the size of Wave 3). That’s unusual, likely fueled by extreme Bollinger Band Width compression before the final push.
Why this matters: when Wave 3 extends, Wave 5 is usually shorter. It isn’t a hard rule—just a guideline—so this count stays on the board, but it’s not a high-conviction setup.
What I think is happening now
The drop and bounce look like an expanded (irregular) flat: (A) down, (B) up which was our All time high, C down.
If the pattern completes, C could target ~62,513.
Quick pattern note (irregular flat): It’s a 3–3–5 structure — A = 3 waves, B = 3 waves (often pokes above the prior high), and C = 5 waves. On this chart, A and B already printed as 3 + 3. The setup isn’t confirmed until we see C unfold as a clear 5-wave move (1-2-3-4-5). No five-wave C = no completed irregular flat.
What would confirm it (the “if/then”)
Lose the first rising trend support (≈ 109k).
Then lose the second, deeper trend support.
If both break, the path toward ~62.5k could be opening up.
Between those two lines: BTC can go sideways for a weeks—that “range box” is important.
Why the range box matters (Altseason meter)
Altcoins usually need steady BTC to fly:
BTC sideways (not spiking up or dumping).
TOTAL2 (alt mkt cap) breaks ATH.
BTC.D rolls over (dominance falls).
If these three line up, we’ve got a real altseason setup. If not, it’s noise.
Bottom line
This is a watchlist scenario, not gospel.
I’ll respect the levels: no break = no bear target.
If we range between supports, I’ll look for alt strength while BTC stays calm.
GBPJPY SELL SWEET SETUP SHOOOOOOOOOOOOORT HHHHHHHHHI think we should research selling opportunity
because we have uptrend line has broken and tested
and we have bearish channel and the price reflect from resistance on time frame 1W
SO SHORTLY i will sell Especially since we have a rebound from the imbalance as well.
Look at this picture as it makes it clearer to you
EURUSD - Swing Short Potential OpportunityEURUSD may potentially retest the previous high and trade between fib extension levels 38.2% and then range potentially in that level before pushing higher to the 61.8% extension level retesting and breaking out for a liquidity grab and stop hunt for retails before pushing back down trending back to the mean and retesting previous floor. The 1.1550 & 1.1650 are key historic levels where there has been lots of EURUSD previous action. Expect price to bounce around these areas and trap longs what I think has a high probability of happening per my prediction.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Technical + Fundamental OutlookTechnical Outlook
Gold is currently trading inside a descending channel and has reached the midline, which is acting as dynamic resistance.
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3310 – 3320 (aligned with the midline of the channel) – price has not yet confirmed a breakout above this zone
Next Bullish Targets: 3350 – 3358 / 3385 – 3390
Support Zone: 3270 – 3280 (potential bullish re-entry area)
🟣 All key price levels are marked on the chart with light purple lines for clarity.
🟠 RSI is near 65, showing bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory, signaling a possible short-term pullback.
🔁 Likely scenario: A minor correction toward 3270–3280 followed by continuation toward 3350+ if support holds.
Fundamental Context
The ISM Services PMI came in stronger than expected (51.6 vs. 50.2 forecast), reflecting economic resilience in the U.S. This typically supports the USD and weighs on gold, but:
Rising tariff threats from Trump raise recession concerns.
Services Prices Index rose to 65.1, signaling growing inflation pressures.
These inflation concerns may impact the Fed’s upcoming rate decisions.
Central bank demand and geopolitical risks continue to support gold medium-term.
Summary
Despite being inside a descending channel, gold is showing short-term bullish strength. A confirmed break above 3320 could open the way toward 3350+. Otherwise, a pullback to the 3270–3280 area may offer the next setup.
TRADE ASSESSMENT: March 23 EuroUSD - LOSSwhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalance. that's your narrative. then look for context and entry. (POC+OTE+FVG)
when price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalance
EUROUSD 4H LONG (ALL Targets DONE)This position worked perfectly.
Now it is important to wait for the correction structure, as it was indicated in the previous update post:
Considering the current formations on the 1D TF, the probability of price growth to the current maximum increases multiple times. Locally, I expect to see a price correction (a rollback next week) and preferably with a depiction of a bullish imbalance. After which, you can work long for a whole month until 1.12758
Different Shades of DisciplineIn my decade of trading experience I've come to realize through huge number of trials and errors that discipline in trading is a rather unique and not always universal beast.
While there are definitely broad categories of discipline trading like taking high-quality setups, correctly managing risk, taking profits, and so on; There are also many unique underlying reasons and mind-tangled cognitive dissonances that can become the cause of these lapses.
What I understood in my experience is that discipline seems to be transferrable from 1 area to another. Addicted to smoking? Perhaps, quitting can be beneficial to one's trading. However, not necessarily as some traders smoke (and can't quit that habit) for a different underlying reason and thus quitting for them might NOT be as beneficial for the former one. The devil seems to be in the details. Why one smokes? Is it a coping mechanism for stress, or is it a little ritual that one employs to consciously recalibrate themselves?
The key seems to be in action and number of trials and experiments. Attempting to try the routine of other people might not yield the best results for the expended effort. One person may run for many miles and enjoy that time, for another it will be excruciating agony to do that. The discipline required in that example would obviously be vastly different, and thus the effect that action produces also - different.
At the end of the day - the most important thing in trading is consistency, but coupled with PERSONAL unique discipline is something that gives us edge in the markets.
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction:
Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast.
Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns:
1. Candle Pattern Analysis:
From the provided patterns sequence data:
January 13, 2025, 14:00:
Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes"
Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence.
January 10, 2025, 16:00:
Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over"
Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking.
These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits.
2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis:
From technicals:
Current Price: $135.19
Resistance Levels:
Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart)
Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100)
Support Levels:
Immediate: $127.30
Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30
Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement.
Multi-Dimensional Analysis:
1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases.
Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term.
2. Fundamental Insights:
Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand.
Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth.
However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations.
3. Price Action Analysis:
Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence.
Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high).
Projections:
Short-Term (1 Week):
Target: $138.50
Stop-Loss: $132.00
Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum.
Mid-Term (1 Month):
Target: $145.00
Stop-Loss: $130.00
Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Target: $160.00
Stop-Loss: $125.00
Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery.
Strategic Recommendations:
Support Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Powerful Support Levels:
-
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 89.599
2. 89.599
3. 63.974
4. 63.974
5. 48.462
Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections.
3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management:
Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades.
Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably.
Tools and Insights:
Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives.
Call to Action:
For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence.
Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
Act/UsdtBINANCE:ACTUSDT
📉 **ACT price analysis**:
- The current price is **0.2591**, which is holding at the previous resistance level. If it stays here, the price could try to move higher to these resistance levels:
1. 🔝 **0.2843**
2. 🔝 **0.300**
3. 🔝 **0.3454**
4. 🔝 **0.400**
- If the price **doesn’t** hold here and starts dropping, it might find support at the following levels:
1. ⬇️ **0.2445**
2. ⬇️ **0.2143**
---
🚨 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions! 😊
GOOGLE INC. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ANALYSIS AND TRADING PLANWelcome to a detailed analysis of Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Using advanced analytical tools, including the proprietary TheWaved™ platform, this report dissects recent market behavior and provides actionable insights for traders and investors. Let’s explore the technical and fundamental dynamics of the stock and forecast future price movements with key support and resistance zones.
Overview of Current Market Position
Ticker: NASDAQ-GOOG
Current Price: $193.52
52-Week High: $202.88 (28 days ago)
52-Week Low: $83.45 (803 days ago)
Key Indicators:
RSI (14): 54.92 (neutral)
MFI (60): 41.67 (indicating low buying pressure)
Moving Averages (Daily):
MA50: $183.31
MA100: $173.39
MA200: $172.54
Technical Analysis
Support Levels:
187.16 | 185.08 | 181.41 | 176.09 | 173.53
Resistance Levels:
202.88 | 197.62 | 194.55
Moving Averages Insight:
The stock trades slightly below the MA50 and MA100 on the daily chart, indicating a potential bearish short-term outlook. However, the long-term trend remains intact as the price remains above MA200.
VSA Patterns:
Recent trading sessions highlighted critical Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns:
Sell Volumes Max (2025-01-13 14:00 UTC): Increased sell volumes pushed prices down by 4.42%.
VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-13 10:00 UTC): Signals potential for a rebound after testing lower supports.
Trendline and Channel Analysis:
GOOG’s price action is constrained within an ascending channel since October 2024. The lower boundary aligns with the $188.00 support zone, while the upper resistance lies near $202.00.
Price Action Insight:
The recent lower highs and consistent rejection at $194.71 suggest a strong overhead supply zone. A break and close above $195.00 will be a decisive bullish trigger.
Key Oscillators:
RSI indicates no overbought/oversold condition, leaving room for directional moves.
Stochastic cross above 50 strengthens the probability of an upward trajectory.
Fundamental Analysis
Google continues to show robust performance driven by its advertising and cloud businesses. Recent developments include:
Q4 Earnings are expected to show a revenue growth of 11% YOY, boosted by robust ad demand and cloud service expansion.
Strong financial metrics: Cash reserves of $130 billion with minimal debt.
AI innovations: Google’s advancements in AI-based ad targeting offer a competitive edge over rivals.
Market sentiment: Increasing institutional accumulation as hedge funds position for long-term growth.
Forecast and Trading Plan
Short-Term Projection:
Price action indicates consolidation within $188.00-$195.00. Traders should monitor the $195.00 breakout level closely.
Medium-Term Projection:
Given the strength in fundamentals and supportive technicals, we anticipate an upward breakout, testing $202.88.
Long-Term Projection:
Once the stock decisively clears $202.88, a rally towards $215.00-$220.00 could unfold, aligning with the next Fibonacci extensions.
Trade Levels:
Entry: Buy at $188.00-$189.50 after confirmation of support.
Stop-Loss: Place at $185.00.
Take-Profit Targets:
Target 1: $195.00
Target 2: $202.88
Target 3: $215.00
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below $185.00 could accelerate selling pressure towards $176.00. In this scenario, adopt a defensive approach or short-term bearish bias.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3. Leverage smaller position sizes when trading near key support or resistance levels.
Conclusion
The technical and fundamental landscape for GOOG appears balanced, with bullish potential outweighing downside risks. Short-term traders can capitalize on the current consolidation phase, while long-term investors may find value in accumulating positions near support zones. Using TheWaved™’s advanced analytics, we’ll provide real-time updates as price action unfolds.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
If you have questions or need personalized analysis for other stocks, feel free to reach out in direct messages. All indicators and tools mentioned are available via our profile link.
Thank you for reading, and as always, trade safely and strategically!
Denis Mikheev - TheWaved™






















