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Unlock Fibonacci Retracement: Predict Pullbacks & TargetsFibonacci Retracement is a powerful tool based on mathematical ratios from the Fibonacci sequence. It helps identify potential support/resistance levels during price pullbacks in trends. Key levels: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% (and extensions like 161.8%). Draw from swing high to low (or low to high) – perfect for spotting entries in Forex, Crypto, and Stocks. How Fibonacci Works (Quick Setup) On TradingView: Use the Fib Retracement tool. Select recent high/low points. Levels auto-plot where price might bounce or reverse. Key Strategies 1- Pullback Entries Buy at 38.2% or 61.8% in uptrends; sell in downtrends. 2- Target Projections Use extensions (100%, 161.8%) for take-profits beyond the swing. 3-Confluences Combine with S&R, RSI, or MAs for stronger signals. Real Examples Right Now (Jan 3, 2026) Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSDT : Between 30 Dec 2022 and 20 Feb 2023 We saw a pullback from top to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. We also saw a hit to the 1st Fibonacci Extension level as a target on March 22, 2023. Pro Tips Use in trending markets; avoid choppy ranges. Adjust for volatility: Shorter swings in Crypto, longer in Stocks. Confirm with volume – strong moves break Fib levels. Backtest on historical charts to master it! Add Fib to your toolkit today and nail those pullbacks! What's your best Fib win? Share in the comments! 👇
Education
by Master_Hunter
10
RENDER / USDT – Trade ideaPrice is still trading inside a range after a strong sell-off. Market shows indecision, but structure is holding for now. This trade is already active, based on confluence with the Total Market Cap analysis. Market conditions align with a potential relief move, as long as structure holds. Technical View * Price is reacting around a key support zone * Multiple rejections from range lows * Break above range highs could confirm continuation * Loss of support would invalidate the setup Do you expect continuation from this range or a breakdown first? MrC
Long
by Mrctradinglab
ZENUSDT: Bullish Push to 18.4? Over 100% Profit PotentialBINANCE:ZENUSDT is eyeing a massive bullish breakout on the daily chart , with price rebounding from key support after touching the downward trendline, converging with a potential entry zone that could launch explosive upside momentum if buyers overpower resistance amid recent consolidation. This setup hints at a game-changing reversal opportunity post-downtrend, targeting sky-high levels with insane risk-reward exceeding 1:4.5 and over 100% profit potential!🔥 Entry in the 7.5–8.3 range for a long position. Targets at 12.3 (first) , 18.4 (second) . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 6.2 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:4.5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with surging volume, leveraging ZEN's volatility for epic gains.🌟 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Long): 7.5 – 8.3 (Scaling into this zone is valid with strict risk & capital management.) 🎯 Targets: • 12.3 (first target) • 18.4 (second target – macro expansion) ❌ Stop Loss: • Daily close below 6.2 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • > 1:4.5 Overall 💡 Your view? Is ZENUSDT gearing up for a true trend reversal and 100%+ rally — or does it need more time to accumulate before the explosion? 👇 🌟If you have any question, don't hesitate to DM me:)
Long
by Master_Hunter
1
TOTAL3: Altcoins Prepare for $8.6T Market Cap by 2029Based on fractals and fibs, considering common possibilities and eliminating those which were deemed unlikely, TOTAL3 appears primed to extend its run throughout 2028. The waves may not produce pure verticals as it did in the past and instead, we could see years of overlapping, ping-pong action. With a market cap of $8.9T (predicted), this suggests that institutions and larger than retail players may find the risk/reward presented in the altcoin space as desirable. My surfboard is ready.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by DigitalSurfTrading
Zcash Breakout Long IdeaIf you're like me, you missed the "privacy coin" meta narrative that sent Zooko's Zcash CRYPTOCAP:ZEC (and to a lesser extent, monero CRYPTOCAP:XMR ) soaring to prices NOBODY had on their bingo cards. I haven't traded either of these dino coins since 2019 and 2020, respectively, but here we are. I actually love the renewed interest in privacy because it's true to crypto's cypherpunk origins and fights back against increasing surveillance. But if you didn't ape Zcash early, like me, you got woefully sidelined, waiting for THIS MOMENT, a better entry point (potentially). ZEC has retraced and printed a nice double-bottom pattern and now a potential cup & handle beneath a key S/R level. I think this long gets a lot less risky if you wait for a break above resistance + confirmation of S/R flip around that $443 level. Of course, you might get front run and it could just take off, so don't get too cute with it. While ZEC fully decoupled from the rest of the crypto market during it's epic rally, this trade is probably at least somewhat dependent on BTC's cooperation and continued rally as bulls fight to defend 90k and push higher. IF instead we see a continuation of the downtrend, I think the odds of Zcash rallying are significantly lower. Potential target levels: $528, $572, $644 and I would keep a tight SL given the shaky market conditions. happy trades, CD
Long
by cryptodonovan
ETHUSDT: Bullish Push to 3435?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, BINANCE:ETHUSDT is eyeing a bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from consolidation after a pullback and breakout candle, forming higher lows that could trigger upside momentum if buyers defend amid recent volatility. This setup suggests a continuation opportunity post-correction, targeting higher levels with near 1:5 risk-reward overall.🔥 Entry between 3090–3100 for a long position (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended)🎯. Targets at 3255 (first) , 3435 (second) . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 3050 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of near 1:5 overall. Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging Ethereum's resilience post-pullback.🌟 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Long): 3090 – 3100 (Entry from current price is valid with proper risk & position sizing.) 🎯 Targets: • 3255 (first target) • 3435 (second target) ❌ Stop Loss: • Daily close below 3050 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • ~1:5 overall 💡 Your view? Does ETHUSDT continue this breakout toward 3255 → 3435, or do you expect another consolidation before the next leg up? 👇
Long
by Master_Hunter
2
#MANTA [RR: 1/5] Price reversal and new growth BINANCE:MANTAUSDT There is a 5-wave cycle with an elongated 3rd wave and a corrective (protracted) 4th wave. At the moment, the asset has completed the movement of wave 5 and has shown signs of a reversal in the long direction at the 1.618 extension level. If we look at W1, we see that the volume nodes (HVN) coincide with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This adds weight to the argument that the asset has just completed wave 5. I am considering a move to HVN (0.12), which gives a risk/reward ratio of 1/5.  I do not rule out manipulative movements.
Long
by chiefdaniels
PENDLE – Weekly Structure Higher timeframe structure remains bearish Price continues to trade below a key resistance after a clear rejection Previous support has flipped into resistance → R/S flip is holding, keeping downside pressure intact Recent downside move fully filled the lower wick This indicates liquidity has been taken and short-term relief is possible On the lower timeframe, a Market Structure Shift (MSS) has formed → This suggests a potential corrective move As long as price remains below HTF resistance, any bounce should be treated as reactive Bullish continuation only becomes valid after a reclaim and hold Level-to-level market Wait for confirmation, not anticipation Do you expect a corrective bounce or continuation to new lows from here? Should I break this down on the lower timeframe? MrC
by Mrctradinglab
1
ADA/Crypto Heavy longCardano aswell as many other cryptos have had a very rough 2025 Just for a second, forget about the cycle ideology, forget the fear and FUD, forget monetary policy, and put on a logical lens. Crypto has expanded immensely the past five years, with banks and institutions investing heavily allowing access to exposure in the crypto markets for clients. The pricing of these assets the past few years have been very hard, because on one side you have a crazed, fanatical user like the average crypto leverage trader And on the other side you've had the new but experienced and decisive TradFi people moving into the space, whom are not only a larger driver in terms of capital, but also in understanding of how to manoeuvre markets properly. To me, this seems like a prime opportunity to go in heavy and not to continue risk-off sentiment. I've certainly been surprised myself just how deep this has gone, but it has gotten to a point where I couldn't be more certain we'll have a wild few years ahead of us. In my view, if we're ever to experience a real dotcom type move, it would have to be the phase up next. Moving retail into maximum greed over the next few years will be a piece of cake for TradFi, now that they are in a position of power, and crypto is largely still disregarded with the majority of people outside of the space, meaning there is a massive potential for expansion. The specific timing will be impossible, but i believe we are at the very bottom, and that most of the well-established cryptos will reach ATH's in 2026 I hear of people calling ADA a dead coin, and you know what, maybe it is relatively, and maybe it will eventually die out, but it will NOT be this time around, there is simply far too much interest, you just have not seen it reflected in the price (yet) Steel your resolve and make a leap. BINANCE:ADAUSDT BINANCE:ADABTC
Long
by RuinedNarrative
2
Happy New Year XRP: These Events Set Up Major Moves for 2026.Hello There, welcome to my new analysis about XRP. In recent times a very important dynamic with XRP caught my attention. Throughout 2025, major events happened that are setting up an important foundation for XRP and the upcoming year. These events are building major cornerstones that will have an enormous effect on the price action. From a fundamental and technical perspective, XRP is about to write an epic future. When looking at my chart, you can watch this gigantic uptrend channel in which XRP has already several times bounced within the bullish accumulation zone marked in green. This zone was also the origin of XRP shooting to the moon in October 2024, marking the all-time high of $3.66. This major breakout was already part of the completion of this gigantic bullish triangle formation. Such a formation already completed once for XRP, being the origin of the historical upthrust. While the MA structure is holding this whole trend to the upside, there are also key fundamental signs that reveal an underlying bullishness for XRP. One of them is that XRP just ended its year-long battle against the SEC. This makes way for a financial framework that does not ignore the positive prospects cryptocurrencies like XRP bring to the monetary market. The winning of this case makes XRP much more attractive for further investments and volume into the market. Also, the launch of the XRP ETF on the 18th of September 2025 at CME has pumped massive volume into the market. In some minutes, millions and millions of dollars were pumped into the XRP network. The key element of an ETF, which makes XRP a much better investment for institutions, is a major milestone. Such an ETF event could be the beginning of historical price moves never seen before, similarly to what has been seen with other cryptocurrencies. Technically speaking, XRP is now just about to confirm this gigantic triangle formation. An important factor here is the bounce from the upper boundary of the triangle. As seen in my chart, such a price move is supported by the moving averages, the lower boundary of the gigantic uptrend channel, and also the lower boundary of the triangle formation. This level is extremely important to hold; however, currently there are no signs of invalidation. It will be an interesting journey ahead. And it will be particularly important to consider how XRP reacts to the main zones of support. In any case, it will be compelling to watch how these major levels will be approached. Thank you very much for watching.
CRYPTO:XRPUSD
by VincePrince
16
29/12/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $90,597.02 Last weeks low: $86,423.04 Midpoint: $88,510.03 As 2025 draws to a close, BTC is currently -6% from yearly open ($93,300). Can the yearly candle be flipped green? Last weeks price action was very much more of the same as the previous few weeks. Clearly defined range with overlapping candles from start to end. That has been the story for the entirety of December and I expect the same for this week also. The struggle is still liquidity based and until that changes this chart pattern will persist. At this stage in the year a lot of Banks and Institutions are window dressing for the end of the year so this is just a waiting game until the new year now in my opinion. Broadly speaking altcoins are the same, BTC.D is relatively flat so the across the entire crypto market the trend is flat with a few outliers. For me the bullish target should be to flip the yearly open $93,300 with acceptance. For the bears a breakdown below $84,000 opens the door to a further drawdown into the $74,500 level.
by ProR35
2
HYPE – Weekly Structure Price got rejected from a major weekly resistance Clear distribution at the highs → structure shifted bearish Previous support has flipped into resistance (R/S flip) As long as price stays below this level, downside pressure remains valid Price is currently consolidating above a local support zone This area is critical for short-term direction If support fails on a weekly close, continuation to the downside becomes likely Bullish scenario only activates if price reclaims resistance and holds Level-to-level market No prediction — wait for confirmation. Monitor on the LTF What’s your bias from here: support hold or further continuation? MrC
by Mrctradinglab
ETHUSDT: Bearish Drop to 2840?BINANCE:ETHUSDT is eyeing a bearish reversal on the 1-hour chart , with price testing a key resistance zone near cumulative sell liquidation, converging with a potential entry area that could trigger downside momentum if sellers defend against further upside. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity amid recent consolidation, targeting lower support levels with near 1:3 risk-reward .🔥 Entry between 3020–3040 for a short position. Target at 2840 . Set a stop loss at a close above 3090 📊, yielding a risk-reward ratio of near 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging Ethereum's volatility near highs.🌟 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Short): 3020 – 3040 🎯 Target: • 2840 ❌ Stop Loss: • Close above 3090 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • ~ 1:3 💡 Your view? Does ETH reject 3040 and slide toward 2840 — or will buyers absorb supply and push higher? 👇 Share your thoughts below 👇
Short
by Master_Hunter
17
Unlock MACD Mastery: Catch Trends Before They ExplodeThe Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price. It consists of: MACD Line: 12-period EMA minus 26-period EMA Signal Line: 9-period EMA of the MACD Line Histogram: MACD Line minus Signal Line MACD helps spot buy/sell signals, trend strength, and reversals – essential for Forex, Crypto, and Stocks. How MACD Works (Quick Setup) Add MACD(12,26,9) on TradingView. Positive histogram = bullish momentum 📊. Negative = bearish 📉. Key Strategies 1-Line Crossovers Bullish: MACD crosses above Signal → Buy signal. Bearish: MACD crosses below Signal → Sell signal. 2-Divergences Bullish: Price lower lows, MACD higher lows → Potential reversal up. Bearish: Price higher highs, MACD lower highs → Potential reversal down. 3-Zero Line Crossovers Above zero = Bullish trend strength. Below zero = Bearish trend strength. Real Examples Right Now (Dec 27, 2025) Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) *** In the chart which you see, I I have highlighted key points including MACD Line, Signal line, Crossover, Divergence and Histograms. *** ⚠️As you can see in the chart, MACD send the bearish signal in BTC'S ATH (All Time High) on around 6th October. Pro Tips Combine with RSI or support/resistance for confirmation. In trending markets like Stocks, focus on crossovers; in ranging markets like Forex, use divergences. Adjust periods for volatility (e.g., MACD(5,35,5) for Crypto). Always backtest – don't trade blind! Level up your charts with MACD today and ride the trends! What's your go-to MACD setup? Share below! 👇
Education
by Master_Hunter
18
Unless BTC Breaks Above 200/350 Daily SMA ...Still BearishTrading Fam, Crypto traders must have been naughty this year. Even our expected Santa Rally fell short of expectations. In other words, even this crypto grinch expected more from Santa’s reindeer. As stated in previous posts, I was expecting a bounce to at least 100k. But so far, that hasn’t happened. BTC remains in the bear flag and could not even muster enough energy to touch the top of the channel. Unless Santa had mechanical issues with his sleigh and is running behind, it looks like crypto traders have received coal in their stockings this year. So, here’s what I am seeing for price action moving into next year. The only way we can count our Wyckoff Market Cycle as complete is if we happen to rally up above the top of our bear flag channel and break above the 350 SMA (orange) with confirmation. However, even that leaves some doubt. I’d prefer to see us break above that 200 SMA (red) and confirm to be more sure, otherwise, any rally may simply become a big old bull trap. The remaining scenarios I see are noted: we either break down from the bear flag immediately, or we touch the top of the flag first, or that descending red trendline before continuation down. At this point, these are the most likely scenarios. That red trendline on the underside of price, which is currently acting as support, comes all the way from the previous cycle highs in April of 2021 to Nov. of 2021 and is continued out to the present day. If this is broken, further selling should be expected. At that point, I am not even sure my Target #1 would hold strong. Meanwhile, gold, silver, and basically all precious metals are flying! Just don’t let Peter Schiff know you’ve noticed. ✌️Stew
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by stewdamus
3
SOL & XRP - Decision Time at Weekly Structure!⚔️Both SOL and XRP are now sitting at a major weekly support zone , clearly marked in blue. This is not just a random level, it’s a key structural area that has defined direction in the past. From here, the market is at a crossroads: 🔁 📉If this weekly support breaks , it would signal a loss of structure, opening the door for further long-term bearish continuation toward the green demand zone below. 📈On the other hand, for bulls to regain control, price must prove strength. That confirmation comes only with a break above the last major daily high, marked in red. Without that, any bounce remains corrective, not a trend reversal. In short: Structure is being tested. Reaction matters more than prediction. Do you think this support holds, or are we heading deeper into demand? 📊 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
14
ZECUSDT: Bearish Drop to 354?BINANCE:ZECUSDT is eyeing a bearish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price testing the upper boundary of a descending channel after forming lower highs, converging with a potential entry zone near resistance that could spark downside momentum if sellers defend amid recent volatility. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity in the downtrend, targeting lower support levels with strong risk-reward exceeding 1:5 .🔥 Entry between 450–458 for a short position (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 354 . Set a stop loss at a daily close above 470 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the channel's bearish bias.🌟 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Short): 450 – 458 (Entry from current levels is valid with strict risk & position management) 🎯 Target: • 354 ❌ Stop Loss: • Daily close above 470 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • > 1:5 💡 Your view? Does ZEC reject the channel top and flush toward 354 — or will buyers force a deeper correction? 👇 Share your thoughts below! 👇
Short
by Master_Hunter
5
DOGE - Descending Channel at $0.127 Executive Summary COINBASE:DOGEUSD is trading at approximately $0.127 on Christmas Day, down 58% YTD and trapped in a descending channel on the 4H timeframe. The performance metrics are brutal: -60.92% over the past year. However, multiple analysts are pointing to a cycle fractal that suggests DOGE may be in the "golden pocket" for accumulation before a major bull run. The key level to watch is $0.138 - a reclaim above this Fibonacci level could signal the start of a significant rally. Meanwhile, futures trading volume has surged 53,000% to $260 million, and spot DOGE ETFs are boosting demand. BIAS: NEUTRAL - Bullish Potential with Current Bearish Structure The chart structure is bearish (descending channel), but the cycle fractal and accumulation signals suggest this could be the calm before the storm. Wait for confirmation above $0.138 before turning bullish. Current Market Context - December 25, 2025 Dogecoin is at a critical juncture: Current Price: $0.127 (-1.22% in 24h) Market Cap: $19.39 billion 52-Week Range (Market Cap): $15.59B - $64.11B Volume: 590.15M (below 30D average of 1.13B) Open Interest: $1.51 billion (11.8 billion DOGE) Rank: #9 by market cap Performance Metrics - MOSTLY RED: 1 Week: +0.83% (Green) 1 Month: -15.91% (Red) 3 Months: -42.45% (Red) 6 Months: -19.67% (Red) YTD: -58.30% (Red) 1 Year: -60.92% (Red) The numbers are ugly. DOGE has lost nearly 60% of its value this year. But is this the bottom? THE BULL CASE - Cycle Fractal Points to Imminent Rally The Dogecoin Cycle Fractal Crypto analyst Cryptollica has identified a cycle fractal that shows DOGE may be at the point before it begins its bull run. The fractal has repeated itself at the macro level with four distinct structural points: Zone 1 & 2: "Boredom phases" where volatility died and smart money accumulated Zone 2: Was the launchpad for the massive 2021 parabolic run Zone 4 (CURRENT): Same rounding-bottom formation playing out Price is stabilizing and forming a heavy base just like before previous explosions Key Insight: The analyst states this is the "Golden Pocket" for accumulation. If the fractal plays out as it did in 2020 (Zone 2), the current price action is simply the calm before the storm. RSI at Historical Support Weekly RSI at 32 level - acts as historical floor DOGE has formed a macro bottom every time RSI touched this baseline RSI has reset to this critical support level Indicates sellers are exhausted Momentum is primed to flip The $0.138 Level - Key to Recovery Analyst Kevin has identified $0.138 as THE critical level: Must be reclaimed on 3-day to weekly timeframe closes Would place DOGE back above macro 0.382 Fibonacci retracement This Fib level divides bearish and bullish market phases Also aligns with 200-week Simple Moving Average A move above would signal long-term buyers regaining control Next major target after reclaim: $0.46 (liquidity/resistance zone) Futures Volume Surge - 53,000% Dogecoin futures trading volume surged 53,000% to $260 million Driven by Dogecoin ETF activity and derivatives This surge came before recent price stability Could be catalyst for upcoming trend reversal Spot DOGE ETFs launched in late 2025, boosting demand Analyst Price Targets Cryptollica: DOGE could rally significantly and possibly exceed $1 Kevin: Next major resistance at $0.46 after $0.138 reclaim Current resistance targets: $0.148 and $0.196 Support expected in $0.11 range THE BEAR CASE - Descending Channel Still Intact Current Technical Structure The 4H chart shows a clear descending channel: Lower highs and lower lows dominating Price trapped between declining trendlines Channel resistance capping rallies Channel support providing temporary bounces No confirmed breakout yet Bearish structure until proven otherwise Concerning Metrics YTD: -58.30% - Massive underperformance 1 Year: -60.92% - Lost more than half its value Market cap down from $64.11B high to $19.39B Volume below 30-day average (590M vs 1.13B) Open interest dropped 4.03% in last 24 hours Lost crucial $0.13 support level Market Headwinds Broader crypto market in risk-off mode Total crypto market fell below $3 trillion to $2.94 trillion Fed rate expectations pushing out (rates on hold until April) Holiday trading with thin liquidity DOGE utility discussions (sidechains, L2) progressing slowly Technical Structure Analysis Price Action Overview - 4 Hour Timeframe The chart shows a descending channel pattern: Descending Channel Characteristics: Upper trendline: Connecting lower highs (resistance) Lower trendline: Connecting lower lows (support) Channel slope: Bearish (declining) Price oscillating between boundaries Current position: Mid-to-lower channel Recent Price Action: Dec 19 surge to $0.134 high Failed to break channel resistance Pulled back to current $0.127 level Now trading in tight range ($0.126-$0.135) Consolidation setting stage for next move Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: $0.134-$0.135 - Immediate resistance / recent high $0.138 - CRITICAL LEVEL (Fibonacci 0.382 + 200-week SMA) $0.148 - Next resistance target $0.196 - Secondary resistance $0.46 - Major liquidity zone (if $0.138 reclaimed) $1.00 - Analyst moon target Support Levels: $0.126 - Immediate support / range bottom $0.125 - Key support (must hold for bullish setup) $0.12 - Psychological support $0.11 - Major support zone $0.10 - Deep support / psychological Range Analysis Current consolidation range: Range high: $0.135 Range low: $0.126 Range width: ~$0.009 (7%) Breakout direction will determine next major move Above $0.138 = Bullish confirmation Below $0.12 = Bearish continuation Moving Average Analysis Price below major moving averages 200-week SMA at ~$0.138 area - key resistance MAs sloping downward on shorter timeframes Need to reclaim MAs for trend reversal Currently bearish MA structure RSI Analysis 4H RSI at 42 - showing growing buyer interest Weekly RSI near 32 - historical support level RSI breakthrough would boost momentum Target resistance at $0.134 if RSI breaks higher Oversold conditions on higher timeframes Bitcoin Correlation - Key Catalyst Analyst Kevin notes that DOGE's recovery is tied to Bitcoin: Bitcoin needs to reclaim $88,000-$91,000 range This would require BTC to rally 2-6% from current levels BTC strength would support bullish momentum across crypto Without BTC confirmation, DOGE may continue consolidating Watch BTC as leading indicator for DOGE direction SCENARIO ANALYSIS BULLISH SCENARIO - Breakout Above $0.138 Trigger Conditions: 3-day or weekly close above $0.138 Bitcoin reclaims $88,000-$91,000 RSI breaks above 50 on weekly Volume surge on breakout Descending channel breakout confirmed Price Targets if Bullish: Target 1: $0.148 - First resistance Target 2: $0.196 - Secondary resistance Target 3: $0.46 - Major liquidity zone Moon Target: $1.00+ (cycle fractal projection) Bullish Catalysts: Cycle fractal pointing to bull run RSI at historical support (32 level) "Golden Pocket" accumulation zone Futures volume surge (53,000%) Spot DOGE ETFs boosting demand Smart money accumulation phase Rounding bottom formation BEARISH SCENARIO - Breakdown Below $0.12 Trigger Conditions: 4H close below $0.12 Bitcoin weakness below $85,000 Volume spike on breakdown Descending channel continues Open interest continues declining Price Targets if Bearish: Target 1: $0.11 - Major support zone Target 2: $0.10 - Psychological support Target 3: $0.08-$0.09 - Extended downside Bearish Risks: Descending channel still intact YTD: -58.30% - Severe underperformance Lost $0.13 crucial support Volume below average Open interest declining Broader crypto market weakness Fed rate expectations pushed out Utility development slow NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Continued Range Trading Most likely short-term outcome: Price continues in $0.126-$0.135 range Consolidation before next major move Wait for Bitcoin direction Wait for $0.138 reclaim or $0.12 breakdown Holiday trading keeps volatility low MY ASSESSMENT - NEUTRAL with Bullish Potential This is a genuinely mixed setup: Bearish Factors (Current Reality): Descending channel intact YTD: -58.30%, 1Y: -60.92% Below all major moving averages Lost $0.13 support Volume declining Open interest dropping Bullish Factors (Future Potential): Cycle fractal pointing to bull run RSI at historical support "Golden Pocket" accumulation zone Futures volume surge 53,000% Spot ETFs boosting demand Analysts targeting $0.46 to $1.00+ Rounding bottom forming My Stance: NEUTRAL - Wait for Confirmation The current structure is bearish, but the accumulation signals are compelling. This is NOT the time to short, but also not the time to go heavy long without confirmation. Strategy: Wait for $0.138 reclaim for bullish confirmation Or wait for $0.12 breakdown for bearish confirmation Small accumulation positions acceptable in $0.125-$0.127 zone Don't chase - let the market show its hand Watch Bitcoin for direction Trade Framework Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade Entry Conditions: 3-day or weekly close above $0.138 Volume confirmation Bitcoin above $88,000 Trade Parameters: Entry: $0.138-$0.142 on confirmed breakout Stop Loss: $0.125 below recent support Target 1: $0.148 (Risk-Reward ~1:0.5) Target 2: $0.196 (Risk-Reward ~1:4) Target 3: $0.46 (Extended) Scenario 2: Accumulation in Range Entry Conditions: Price tests $0.125-$0.127 support Bullish rejection candle RSI holding above 30 Trade Parameters: Entry: $0.125-$0.127 at range support Stop Loss: $0.118 below $0.12 psychological Target 1: $0.134-$0.135 (range high) Target 2: $0.138 (key Fibonacci level) Target 3: $0.148+ (if breakout occurs) Risk-Reward: ~1:1.5 to first target Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown Trade Entry Conditions: 4H close below $0.12 Volume confirmation Bitcoin weakness Trade Parameters: Entry: $0.118-$0.12 on confirmed breakdown Stop Loss: $0.128 above recent consolidation Target 1: $0.11 (Risk-Reward ~1:1) Target 2: $0.10 (Risk-Reward ~1:2) Target 3: $0.08-$0.09 (Extended) Risk Management Guidelines Position sizing: 1-2% max risk per trade DOGE is highly volatile - use appropriate size Wait for confirmation before large positions Respect the descending channel until broken Watch Bitcoin correlation closely Holiday trading = thin liquidity Scale into positions rather than all-in Take profits at targets Invalidation Levels Bullish thesis invalidated if: Price closes below $0.11 Descending channel breaks down further Bitcoin crashes below $80,000 Weekly RSI breaks below 25 Bearish thesis invalidated if: Price closes above $0.138 on weekly Descending channel breaks to upside Bitcoin reclaims $91,000 Volume surge on breakout Conclusion COINBASE:DOGEUSD is at a critical inflection point. The current structure is bearish with a descending channel and -58% YTD performance. However, multiple analysts are pointing to a cycle fractal that suggests this could be the "golden pocket" for accumulation before a major bull run. The Numbers: Current Price: $0.127 YTD Performance: -58.30% 1-Year Performance: -60.92% Market Cap: $19.39 billion Key Level: $0.138 (Fibonacci 0.382 + 200-week SMA) Key Levels: $0.138 - CRITICAL (reclaim = bullish confirmation) $0.134-$0.135 - Immediate resistance $0.127 - Current price $0.125-$0.126 - Immediate support $0.12 - Psychological support (breakdown level) $0.11 - Major support The Setup: Dogecoin is consolidating in a descending channel with the cycle fractal suggesting accumulation. The $0.138 level is THE key - a reclaim would signal the start of a potential rally to $0.46 and beyond. Without that confirmation, the bearish structure remains intact. Strategy: NEUTRAL stance - wait for confirmation Small accumulation acceptable at $0.125-$0.127 Bullish above $0.138 (targets $0.148, $0.196, $0.46) Bearish below $0.12 (targets $0.11, $0.10) Watch Bitcoin for direction As analyst Cryptollica says: "Ignore Dogecoin now, chase it later." The spring is loading - patience is required.
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD
by officialjackofalltrades
4