Ethereum Game Plan - TDLRKZ MODELEthereum Game Plan - TDLRKZ MODEL
📊 Market Sentiment
On 29/10, the FED lowered rates by 25BPS, as expected. However, Powell’s comments introduced uncertainty regarding another cut in December, stating that further policy moves depend on incoming data.
Interestingly, one FED member dissented, preferring no cut this cycle — a shift from September when all members supported easing.
Following the statement, rate-cut expectations dropped from 95% to 68%, prompting traders to take profits and hedge, creating a short-term bearish sentiment across markets.
Despite this, the mid-to-long term outlook remains bullish, given the broader liquidity cycle and easing policy bias.
📈 Technical Analysis
Ethereum is currently accumulating inside a well-defined range.
Price failed to sustain above the $4950 range high and has started retracing toward the HTF bullish trendline, a potential reaction zone aligning with prior liquidity pools and confluences.
If price holds around this zone, ETH could seek the range high again once momentum returns.
📘 Model in Use – Trendline Deviation with HTF LR into Key Zone (TDLRKZ Model)
This model identifies setups where price deviates from HTF trendlines while interacting with liquidity zones and key structural levels.
The goal is to align HTF context with LTF confirmation for high-probability trend continuation setups.
Model Steps:
1️⃣ Identify the HTF trend direction and only trade in that direction.
2️⃣ Mark the HTF bullish trendline supporting price.
3️⃣ Spot HTF Key Zones likely to act as reaction areas.
4️⃣ Locate nearby liquidity pools or order concentrations.
5️⃣ Wait for confluence: when all align, confirm with a 4H market structure break for entry.
📌 Game Plan
Looking for ETH to retrace into $3350 and reject from that level.
If a 4H break of structure occurs and daily candle closes above $3350, this will trigger a long-biased setup.
🎯 Setup Trigger
→ 4H structure break after tagging $3350
→ Daily close above $3350
📋 Trade Management
→ Entry: After confirmation above $3350
→ Stop Loss: Below swing low that caused 4H break of structure
→ Targets:
TP1: $4150 (EQ)
TP2: $4550
TP3: $4950 (Range high)
→ Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is reached.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always DYOR before trading.
