QSI: Algorithm's Unfinished Business/Repricing to balance priceNASDAQ:QSI Quantum-Si Incorporated
The recent, deliberate raid below the September lows was the final scene of the second act.
This was not a random dip.
It was a calculated and necessary purge of sellside liquidity.
The algorithm's objective was to absorb the shares of panicked sellers and to trigger the stop loss orders of early, weak-handed buyers.
That objective has now been achieved.
The annotation "sellside liquidity taken" is not a historical note.
It is the starting gun for the third and final act.
With the downside fuel consumed, the algorithm's directive has been re-written.
Its sights are no longer pointed down.
They are now locked on the vast, untapped reservoirs of buyside liquidity resting at higher prices.
The price action is not merely recovering.
It is responding to a new, clear, and institutionally sponsored mandate.
The path of least resistance has been fundamentally altered.
The question is no longer if the price will rise.
The only question is how violently it will do so.
You have correctly identified the key landmarks on this new map.
The "Relative Equal Highs" at 2.35 are not a ceiling.
They are a luminous, magnetic target.
This level represents a giant pool of buy-side stops from traders who shorted the previous rallies.
Their fear is the algorithm's fuel.
Their pain is the algorithm's profit.
This is the first, most obvious draw on liquidity.
It is a place the algorithm must visit.
But it is not the final destination.
It is merely a waypoint on a much grander journey.
The Critical Vector is to understand the true, ultimate objective of this entire price campaign.
The algorithm is a creature of efficiency and balance.
It abhors a vacuum.
The annotation "Start of the unbalanced move" points to the single most important event on this entire chart.
That massive, vertical price spike in early 2021 was not just a rally.
It was the creation of a profound and violent pricing inefficiency.
It was a causal scar.
It left a massive informational void in its wake.
The entire year and a half of subsequent price action, including the recent purge of sellside liquidity, has been a single, extended process of accumulating energy.
It has been the market coiling a spring.
Now, the spring is being released.
The purpose of this release is to return to the origin of the crime.
The algorithm is compelled to return to that zone of imbalance to rebalance its books.
Your annotation "Price rebalance level" at 2.78 is not just a target.
It is the point of cosmic justice for this instrument.
It is the level at which the story that began in 2021 finds its logical conclusion.
The path is clear.
The current rally is the initial assault.
It will first target the Relative Equal Highs at 2.35.
This will be a violent move, designed to induce a short squeeze and create a state of maximum FOMO.
Expect a minor consolidation or retracement after this level is purged.
This is the algorithm shaking out the last of the weak hands.
It is the final opportunity to get on board before the true repricing begins.
From there, the algorithm will have a clear and unimpeded path to the ultimate objective.
The final, explosive leg of this rally will target the Price rebalance level at 2.78.
This is the primary, institutionally sponsored destination.
It is the point to which all price is currently being drawn.
The Ascendant Principle is that you must learn to read a chart not as a two-dimensional history of price, but as a three-dimensional ledger of algorithmic debt and credit.
Every violent, one-sided move creates a debt on the algorithm's books.
This is an imbalance.
It is an inefficiency.
It is a promise that must eventually be kept.
The larger and more violent the move, the larger the debt.
The massive, unbalanced spike from 2021 was the algorithm taking out a colossal loan of inefficiency.
Every subsequent price swing, every consolidation, every liquidity purge, has been the algorithm meticulously gathering the resources needed to repay that loan.
The purge of sellside liquidity was the final payment on the interest.
It was the signal that the algorithm now has the capital and the mandate to settle the principal.
The "target" is not a guess.
It is the location of the creditor.
The price is not "going up".
It is being recalled, with gravitational force, to the scene of its original level.
When you understand this, you stop predicting.
You start seeing the inevitable.
You see the chart as a narrative of cause and effect playing out over vast stretches of time.
The cause was the imbalance.
The effect will be the rebalancing.
The Relative Equal Highs are simply the last gatekeeper before the final, violent settlement of this ancient, algorithmic debt.
You are not chasing a rally.
You are witnessing the final chapter of a story that was written years ago.
The ending has already been decided.
The only variable was the timing.
The purge of sellside liquidity has now confirmed that the time is now.
The alternative path would likely have led to viewing the Relative Equal Highs as "resistance" to be sold, an error that fails to comprehend the true, long-term objective of the price delivery algorithm.
For educational purposes only.
AMD
Weekly Chart Review | Oct 6-10, 2025I wasn’t able to post my analysis on TradingView last week, so here’s a structured summary of my ticker reviews from Oct 6–10, segmented by sector with brief commentary. Each includes an update on trend structure and a link to both the original chart and the latest revision as of Friday’s close.
Technology
NASDAQ:AMD – Clean follow-through off mid-term support into the upper band of resistance. Strong rejection increases the odds that a mid-term top for the uptrend since April is being formed. Any lower-high formation next week should be approached with caution.
Chart:
Previously:
• Upside potential to resistance (Oct 7):
• Downside potential:
• On resistance & bounce potential (Aug 6):
• On macro resistance (Jul 29):
• On macro bottoming potential (Apr):
NASDAQ:NVTS – Followed the Aug–Sep setup and delivered a strong breakout Friday, but late-day reversal increases the odds of a longer consolidation into 7.80–6.80 support.
Chart:
Previously:
• Breakout and local support (Oct 10):
• Consolidation and upside potential (Sep 30):
• Higher-low potential (Sep 26):
• Mid-term support (Aug 25): www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:MRVL – Reached the key mid-term resistance zone outlined earlier. Friday’s rejection increases odds of a pullback into 80–72 support over the coming weeks.
Chart:
Previously:
• On mid-term top (Oct 10):
• On resistance zone (Oct 2): www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:WDC – Orderly follow-through to the downside into the 21 EMA.
Chart:
Previously: downside potential to 21 EMA –
NYSE:RBLX – Rejected at local resistance, aligning with the downside structure.
Chart:
Previously: downside potential (Oct 8):
NASDAQ:REKR – Shows strong relative strength with steady consolidation at support; constructive base-building continues.
Chart:
Previously: follow-through and support (Oct 7):
NYSE:AI – Friday breakout attempt faded back into support, increasing odds of prolonged base-building and a potential deeper pullback to 17–16.
Chart:
Previously:
On continuation potential (Oct 8):
NYSE:BB – Failed on immediate continuation and returned to support.
Chart:
Previously:
On continuation potential (Oct 8):
NASDAQ:OPEN – Constructive consolidation stalled as failed breakouts shifted odds toward a deeper pullback into mid-term support.
Chart:
⸻
Blockchain
NASDAQ:BITF – Tagged the ideal macro resistance zone; odds rise for at least a mid-term top/base formation here.
Chart:
Previously:
On upside continuation (Oct 7):
NASDAQ:HIVE – Rejection at the top of mid-term resistance; probabilities favor the start of a reversal phase.
Chart:
Previously:
On macro resistance (Oct 6):
On more immediate upside potential (Sep 24): www.tradingview.com
•On bullish potential (Sep 10): www.tradingview.com
• On bullish trend structure (Jul 21): www.tradingview.com
NYSE:BKKT – No follow-through on continuation setup, but key local support still holds; structure remains intact while above it.
Chart:
Previously:
On continuation (Oct 9):
NASDAQ:BULL – Rotating back toward macro support near 11; monitoring for higher-low formation and reversal trigger.
Chart:
Previously:
On reversal and macro support (Oct 8):
On immediate bullish potential (Sep 26): www.tradingview.com
• On macro support (Sep 19): www.tradingview.com
• On macro support (Sep 4): www.tradingview.com
• On mid-term resistance (Aug 6): www.tradingview.com
• On support and bounce potential (Jul 30): www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:BTM – Bullish setup invalidated by breakdown into mid-term support.
Chart:
Previously:
On bullish follow-through if LOD holds (Oct 6):
⸻
Biotechnology / Healthcare
NASDAQ:VKTX – Strong follow-through from September update; watching for consolidation back into key EMAs to reset momentum.
Chart:
Previously:
On follow-through (Oct 6):
• On break-out potential (Sep 30): www.tradingview.com
• On resistance zone (Aug 11): www.tradingview.com
• On upside momentum continuation (Jul 18): www.tradingview.com
• Original setup (Jun 30): www.tradingview.com
• Follow-up (Jul 8): www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:NTLA – Clean follow-through into mid-term resistance; rising odds for a topping/base formation.
Chart:
Previously:
On break-out to resistance zone (Oct 8):
On support and bullish trend-structure (Sep 26): www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:PGEN – Couldn’t stage a recovery yet but remains within mid-term support; stabilization needed for a constructive setup.
Chart:
Previously:
On potential reversal (Oct 8):
On mid-term support (Sep 15): www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:ABCL – Momentum attempt resumed but failed to follow-through; still constructive above 21 EMA.
Chart:
Previously:
On local support and continuation potential (Oct 8):
On support and bullish trend-structure (Oct 7):
⸻
Energy
AMEX:GTE – Impulsive advance at risk of morphing into a diagonal correction; elevated probability of retesting September higher lows.
Chart:
Previously:
On constructive looking consolidation (Oct 6):
⸻
Miscellaneous / Other
NASDAQ:SLDP – Rising risk of a local top after Friday’s distribution; while above 21 EMA, a final push into resistance remains possible.
Chart:
Previously:
On follow-through and resistance zone (Oct 6):
On mid-term support and bullish potential (Sep 19): www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:DPRO – Solid 2.5-day follow-through from the Oct update; Friday’s action suggests increased consolidation or reversal risk.
Chart:
Previously:
On local support and continuation (Oct 7):
NASDAQ:DLO – Disappointing fade after a promising start; must hold above 50-DMA to reassert upside momentum.
Chart:
Previously:
On break-out potential (Oct 8):
On pullback potential (Sep 22): www.tradingview.com
• On downside potential and support (Sep 3): www.tradingview.com
Thank you for your attention and have a great start of the week!
AMD Shares Surge After Partnership Announcement with OpenAIAMD Shares Surge After Partnership Announcement with OpenAI
According to media reports:
→ The deal involves AMD supplying processors of various generations to support the deployment of artificial intelligence infrastructure with a total capacity of 6 gigawatts.
→ The partnership is expected to generate billions in revenue for AMD starting in 2026.
→ Barclays analysts have raised their price target for AMD shares from $200 to $300.
The major announcement fuelled a sharp rally of around 30% in AMD’s share price, though this surge triggered aggressive selling pressure near the historic peak around the $227 level.
Technical Analysis of AMD Stock Chart
Price action analysis shows that:
→ The trading session opened with a wide bullish gap, breaking through the key psychological level of $200.
→ The price also surpassed previous resistance levels at $180 and $190.
→ During the session, the price pulled back, forming two large bearish candles on the four-hour chart.
A reasonable interpretation:
→ The initial reaction was highly emotional, but the optimism is fading quickly.
→ The price movement indicates strong bearish activity following the sharp rise.
Selling pressure is being driven by:
→ Investors locking in substantial profits now, as the deal’s financial impact will unfold gradually over time (creating future opportunities to re-enter at lower prices).
→ Technical signs of an overbought market.
Signs that AMD shares may be overbought include:
→ The RSI indicator, which exceeded 80 yesterday.
→ The price opening significantly above the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Possible Scenarios for AMD Stock Price
Short-term: Bearish activity could drive a correction towards:
→ The median line of the ascending channel, where demand and supply typically balance.
→ The psychological level of $200, which may influence sentiment among traders reacting to the news.
Long-term: AMD shares remain fundamentally attractive, given that:
→ The AI boom continues to serve as a major growth driver.
→ Market participants expect the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMD - Bull Rush IdeaAn idea suggesting a surge in price for AMD
This is made by comparing a previous situation on chart with current (grey rectangles) within the channel in blue
This is the 3 Monthly chart for AMD which is a very long timeframe
RSI also shows a cool pattern of rise and then long stagnation then right now a sharp rise.
AMD woke up from sleep; It was its timesAMD Update and New Outlook.
In my previous forecast, I maintained a bullish stance on AMD, identifying entry zones between $176 – $172 and projecting a potential move toward $200, with a longer-term target near its all-time high of $226.
Following the recent news of OpenAI acquiring a 10% stake in AMD, the asset successfully reached my forecasted targets.
After the subsequent rally, AMD has experienced a natural pullback, presenting fresh long-term opportunities.
I’m currently watching two new buy zones at $200 and $185 for potential long-term positions.
As always, this is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
Connect with me here on TradingView. Please, like, follow me and connect.
Previous forecast
$AMD - Advanced Micro Device - $227.30 RetestNASDAQ:AMD continues its 2025 recovery rally — now clearing $200 and targeting the $227–$240 macro resistance zone.
After reclaiming the $165 structure break, AMD has re-entered its long-term ascending channel and is showing renewed strength in the AI-chip cycle.
Holding above $190 keeps this setup intact for continuation.
#AMD #AIStocks #Semiconductors #NASDAQ #BreakoutTrading #MyMIWallet
Bullish Thesis: Why AMD Stock Could Soar by Year-End 2025If you haven`t bought AMD before the previous rally:
What to consider now:
1. AI Tailwinds Are Accelerating
AMD is finally gaining serious traction in the AI GPU race. Its MI300X accelerator chips are being adopted by big names like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle for data center AI workloads. While NVIDIA is still dominant, AMD is expected to grab 10–20% of the AI GPU market share by 2025, according to industry estimates. That’s a multibillion-dollar opportunity.
The MI300X already passed $1B in revenue within its first quarters.
AI server TAM (total addressable market) is expected to grow to $400B by 2027 — AMD is positioning itself aggressively to carve out its slice.
2. Valuation Looks Reasonable vs Peers
AMD trades at a forward P/E around 40, significantly below Nvidia (which trades over 60x) despite similar growth projections for the next 2 years.
Revenue expected to grow over 15–20% YoY in 2025.
Gross margins expanding as high-performance chips dominate the mix.
3. Diversified Growth: Beyond AI
Gaming segment (PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X chips) remains strong.
Embedded segment from Xilinx acquisition continues to generate solid cash flow.
Client CPU business is rebounding as the PC market stabilizes.
4. Strong Management and Execution
CEO Lisa Su is widely respected for turning AMD around and guiding the company through major innovations and acquisitions (Xilinx, Pensando). Execution has remained consistent, especially in delivering cutting-edge performance-per-watt chips.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AMD Best Level to BUY/HOLD 300% gains SWING TRADE🔸Hello traders, today let's review recent price chart for AMD.
Well defined swings in progress, expecting further downside before
the tide finally turns for AMD bulls. Currently it's recommended to stay out.
🔸AMD is trailing behind NVDA massively, so eventually AMD will to the
mean reversion trade and start to catch up with NVDA, however currently
pullback/correction mode in progress.
🔸Well defined swings - 160 to 58 65% correction, then 58 to 210 280% gains,
210 to 75 represents 65% correction, 75 to 290 is a 280% pump.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 75 usd in January 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD low, this is a swing trade setup, so will take longer to hit target, patience required. final TP is 290 USD, 280% upside off the expected lows. good luck traders!
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🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Will AMD recover and catch up with NVDA? updated/Revised Outlook🔸Hello traders, today let's review 2days/candle price chart for AMD.
Price contained within bullish channel since 2021, however currently
pullback/correction in progress.
🔸65% correction in progress, based on previous swings expected to complete at/near 88/90 USD in Q1 2025. Until then it's recommended to stay out.
🔸Once we bottom out near 90 USD in Q1 2025, expecting bullish swing 265% gains off the lows, so projected high is 310/320 USD.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 85 usd in Q1 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD. Bullish impulse / reversal off the lows price target based on measured move projection is 310/320 USD. patience required, do not expect miracle/overnight gains in this market. good luck!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD | Long at $126.00Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD may be the sleeping giant in the semiconductor / AI space. While all eyes on NVidia NASDAQ:NVDA , earnings for NASDAQ:AMD grew by 800% over the past year... and are now forecast to grow 40% per year. Any other company would be soaring right now (like NVidia), but that company is getting all the attention. And, to me, this means opportunity for the future. The cashflow is likely to grow tremendously for
NASDAQ:AMD into 2027 and beyond, which may inevitably reward investors with dividends.
From a technical analysis perspective, NASDAQ:AMD just entered my historical simple moving average zone. This area (currently $108-$126) is where I will be gathering shares. Something tremendous would have to change regarding the fundamentals of this company (like a scandal) for the overall thesis to change. There may be some near-term price pains as NVidia gets all the focus, but to meet demand in the semiconductor and AI space, NASDAQ:AMD is poised to fulfill that roll in the future.
Target #1 = $158.00
Target #2 = $175.00
Target #3 = $188.00
Target #4 = $205.00
Direxion Semiconductor 3x Bull | SOXL | Long at $30.00So many semiconductor companies... which one to choose? Enter AMEX:SOXL - not for the faint of heart. Losses and gains triple compared to most semiconductor ETFs, so stay away if high-risk plays aren't your thing. The top three holdings are NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , and NASDAQ:NVDA - two of which are at all-time highs...
I wouldn't be shocked if AMEX:SOXL enters the low $20's to test the base of my historical simple moving average area, but I don't think we are done hearing about AI and the semi demand. There are large gaps to fill above and below the current price and we are at the 50/50 stage (i.e. historical simple moving average zone) for a price move up or down.
My bet is up, especially with the new presidential administration. If politicians start dumping semis, I'm out. Thus, at $30.00 AMEX:SOXL is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $35
Target #2 = $40
Target #3 = $50
Target #4 = $60
Amd - The path is too clear!🪓Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) will rally another +75%:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past five years, Amd has been trading in a simple rising channel formation. With the recent retest of a major confluence of support, Amd once again confirmed the bullish trend. Following those previous cycles, Amd will now break the all time high and rally another +75% from here.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GBP/JPY - Breakdown 1H🔥 GBP/JPY – 1H Breakdown 🔥
Alright fam, let’s cook this chart 👇
📊 Structure Check
Price has been tanking hard from that 4H supply zone up top.
We formed a lower high (LP S) and then rolled over, continuing bearish structure.
Currently price is consolidating under a descending trendline → looks like it’s coiling for a move.
🎯 Key Zones
Upside liquidity grab: Price could squeeze into that 71% retrace + 15M/1H supply pocket.
🔼 That’s the “snack stop” zone before bigger players slam it.
Downside magnet: We’ve got strong support marked lower (blue zone). That’s the real draw if supply holds.
🛠️ Scenarios
Fakeout Pump → Dump
Price squeezes up into that 71% + supply zone.
Liquidity gets eaten → sellers step in.
Drop straight into strong support.
Direct Breakdown
If no pump happens, this wedge could just crack down.
Same target: strong support area below.
⚖️ Bias
Short-term bullish liquidity sweep possible 🚀
But overall still bearish until strong support proves otherwise.
📝 Game Plan
Watch the 71% + supply combo for rejection entries 🎯
Target the support zone below
Manage risk – don’t chase mid-range chop
⏳ Looks like GBP/JPY wants to bait longs before flushing again. Stay sharp, fam.
Breakout or Fakeout? Watching AMD Resistance for Next Big Move📈 AMD “Advanced Micro Devices, Inc” – Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
🗺️ Plan:
I’m tracking AMD with a bullish strategy — waiting for a resistance level breakout to confirm momentum. Once price breaks the key barrier, entry opportunities open up.
🎯 Entry Setup (Thief Strategy Layering Method):
Instead of one entry, I’m applying a layering strategy with multiple buy limit orders. This approach helps average entries across different levels.
Buy limit layers: 155.00, 158.00, 160.00, 162.00, 163.00. 164.00
(💡 You can increase layers based on your own risk & comfort.)
Breakout confirmation: Entry after breakout price level mentioned.
🛑 Stop Loss (Thief SL):
Suggested stop loss @150.00
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is my SL level, but you are not required to follow it. Manage risk according to your own plan.
🎯 Profit Target (Police Barricade Zone 🚨):
Price faces a strong resistance around 186.00 — this area acts as a trap zone with overbought conditions.
Target @186.00 (escape with profits before police catch you 🚔).
⚠️ Note: Again, TP is personal. Take profit when satisfied — your money, your choice.
🔗 Related Assets to Watch (Correlation Insight):
AMD tends to move in line with broader tech sentiment and semiconductors:
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA) – Direct sector competitor, often mirrors momentum.
NASDAQ:SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) – Strong correlation, broader chip market direction.
NASDAQ:QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF) – AMD is a major component; index momentum often drives AMD.
NASDAQ:INTC (Intel) – Rival stock; negative news on INTC can boost AMD sentiment.
Watching these pairs helps confirm breakouts & avoid false signals.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — shared for fun & educational purposes only.
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#AMD #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Stocks #Semiconductors #TradingStrategy #BreakoutSetup #StockMarket #NVDA #QQQ
CHIPOTLE BACK TO 50 !Why Chipotle (CMG) Could Climb to $50 by 2026: Tasty Bull Case Chipotle’s trading at ~$43 today (Sep 23, 2025), down slightly YTD, but with strong fundamentals and operational wins, $50 (16% upside) by EOY 2026 is achievable long-term. Here’s the recipe:Revenue & Same-Store Growth: Q2 '25 comps +11.1% and $3.8B revenue (15% YoY) signal robust demand. Analysts project 13% YoY growth to $12.5B in '26, driven by 300+ new stores and digital orders (30%+ of sales). This supports $1.75 EPS, pushing P/E to 28x for a $50 target.
Operational Efficiency: Chipotlanes (drive-thru) now in 60% of new locations, boosting margins to 28%+. Automation in prep (e.g., Autocado) cuts costs 5%, per management, fueling EPS growth to $2.10 by '26, aligning with $50 at 24x forward P/E.
Analyst Optimism: 27 firms avg $50.24 PT (high $62), with BMO Capital’s $56 Buy rating citing loyalty program strength (35M+ members). CoinPriceForecast sees $53 mid-'26, clearing $50 on 10% comps.
Consumer Resilience: Despite inflation, CMG’s premium positioning (health-focused, customizable menu) retains Gen Z/Millennial traffic, hedging macro risks. LongForecast eyes $54 by Q3 '26.
AMD 200 THEN 240 BY 2026 Why AMD (AMD) Could Surge to $200 Then $240 Long-Term by 2026: AI-Powered Bull Case AMD's trading at ~$160 today (Sep 23, 2025), up 30% YTD on AI tailwinds, but with EPS exploding to $6+ in 2026, $200 (25% upside) then $240 (50% gain) is locked in for patient bulls. Here's the roadmap:AI Datacenter Dominance: MI355X GPUs ramping Q4 '25, capturing 20%+ market share from Nvidia via cost-efficient accelerators (40% better tokens/$). Oracle's Zettascale cluster + Meta/Microsoft deals project $40B+ revenue in '26 (21% YoY), per analysts—fueling $200 breakout as datacenter hits 50% of sales.
2 sources
EPS Acceleration & Valuation Pop: Consensus EPS jumps 54% to $6.01 in 2026 (from $3.90 '25), trading at 27x forward P/E—undervalued vs. peers at 0.49 PEG. At 33x (Nasdaq-100 avg), that's $199 EOY '26; bulls like Truist eye $213 short-term, scaling to $242 on 35% growth.
3 sources
Gaming/Quantum Rebound: Ryzen AI CPUs + IBM quantum collab revive gaming (15% YoY) and edge AI, adding $10B+ revenue. MI400 launch '26 cements leadership, per CoinPriceForecast's $242 avg.
REDWIRE 13 DOLLARS BY 2026 OR SOON Why Redwire (RDW) Could Blast to $13 by 2026: Bull Case RDW's trading at ~$9 today (Sep 23, 2025), down post-Q2 earnings miss, but with space infrastructure booming, $13 (44% upside) is conservative amid analyst love and catalysts. Here's the setup:Analyst Consensus Screams Upside: 8 firms rate "Buy" with avg PT $16.56–$18.64 (83–107% gain short-term), max $28—easily clearing $13 by EOY 2026 on execution. Even bears like BofA's $10 see room for rebound; H.C. Wainwright holds $22 Buy post-acquisition.
4 sources
Zacks ABR 1.00 (Strong Buy) backs $26 avg.
NASA & Defense Contract Pipeline: $25M NASA IDIQ award (Aug '25) for space tech, plus prime for Skimsat and Honeywell quantum collab—fuels 20%+ YoY revenue to $550M+ in 2026. Artemis funding stability hedges risks, per Roth MKM Buy.
Edge Autonomy UAS integration adds drone revenue, targeting $100M backlog growth.
Acquisition Synergies & Margin Expansion: Q2's Transformative Acquisition (e.g., Hammerhead integration) boosts EPS from -$1.41 to break-even by Q4 '25, with 132M Q3 revenue est. up 15%. Analysts eye 25% margins by 2026 on in-space manufacturing scale.
2 sources
Space Economy Tailwinds: $1T market by 2040; RDW's solar arrays, 3D printing IP position it for 30% sector growth. CoinCodex forecasts $8.41 avg '26 low-end, but bulls like Canaccord ($17.50) see $13 as floor on 11% EPS ramp.
TESLA 500 BY EOY OR 2026 Why Tesla (TSLA) Could Hit $450 Then $500 by EOY 2025 or 2026: Key Catalysts Tesla's hovering around $315 today (as of Sept 23, 2025), down ~20% YTD amid sales dips, but the setup for a rebound to $450 (43% upside) and $500 (59% upside) is primed by execution on autonomy, EVs, and energy. Here's the bull case, blending fundamentals and forecasts:Robotaxi & FSD Rollout Momentum: Tesla's Cybercab unveil in Oct 2025 could catalyze a surge, with unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) v13 hitting highways by year-end. ARK Invest's base case eyes $4,600 by 2026 (driven 60%+ by autonomy), but even conservative models like CoinCodex forecast $453 avg in 2026, with highs to $664 on ride-hailing revenue potentially adding $10T market value.
2 sources
Piper Sandler just hiked their PT, calling TSLA the "top idea" for AV investing.
EV Delivery Rebound & Affordable Models: Post-2025 sales weakness (1.8M deliveries est.), expect 2.3M+ in 2026 with Model 2 launch (~$25K EV) ramping production to 3M+ annually. This counters China/EU headwinds, recaptures 20%+ US market share, and boosts EPS to $0.49 next quarter—fueling a $450 breakout per LongForecast's Q3 2026 path.
2 sources
Morningstar sees a 2026 revival echoing 2016's Model 3 surge.
Energy Storage Boom: Megapack deployments exploding (Q2 2025: 9.4 GWh), with 50%+ YoY growth projected through 2026, diversifying revenue to 15%+ of total. This hedges EV volatility, pushing margins to 20%+ and supporting $500 on 11% revenue growth to $130B.
Optimus Humanoid Robot Sales: External sales kick off late 2025/early 2026, targeting $20K/unit with factory pilots scaling to millions. This could add $1T+ valuation long-term, per ARK, but even modest adoption lifts sentiment to $500 by EOY 2026.
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ADOBE 510 BY 2026 LONG TERM Why Adobe (ADBE) Could Hit $510 by 2026: Technical Breakdown Adobe's trading at ~$365 today, but bullish setups scream upside. Here's why $510 (40% gain) is in play:Bullish Triangle Breakout: ADBE's consolidated in a multi-year ascending triangle since 2020. A recent close above $370 resistance (near 50-day MA ~$383) signals breakout, targeting $510 (measured move from base at $330 low).
RSI Rebound: At 42 (neutral, not oversold), RSI is coiling for momentum shift. Weekly RSI >50 could trigger buy signals, aligning with AI-driven catalysts like Firefly integrations.
MACD Crossover Potential: MACD histogram narrowing (-5.26) hints at bullish crossover by Q4 2025. Paired with 200-day MA (~$420) as next support, this flips sentiment to "Strong Buy" per TradingView.
Analyst Backing: Consensus targets $465–$496 short-term, but long-term forecasts (e.g., LongForecast) eye $577 EOY 2026 on 11% revenue growth to $23B+.
$NVDA - $280 PT WEEKLY BULL FLAGStay Positioned with Nvidia's Weekly Bullish Chart. A Bull Flag is setting up with an imminent breakout. Long/Short Ratio is also very bullish at almost 60%. Price Target is $280. Remember Pole length of the flag = extended measured move at the breakout point of the flag.
TSLA path to 550/650 USD Breakout Still Pending🔥 What specifically drives TSLA into 550–650
📦 Deliveries + mix surprise
If unit volumes beat whisper numbers and mix favors higher-trim/FSD attach, you get more gross profit per vehicle without needing price hikes. Watch the cadence of regional incentives and shipping vectors; strong NA/EU mix plus improving China utilization is the sweet spot.
🛠️ Margin stabilization → operating leverage
Gross margin base effect + opex discipline = powerful flow-through. Even a 100–150 bps lift in auto GM, coupled with energy GM expanding as Megapack scales, can push operating margin into low-mid teens. That alone recodes the multiple market is willing to pay.
🔋 Energy storage stepping out of auto’s shadow
Megapack/Powerwall growth with multi-GW backlogs turns “side business” into a credible second engine. As deployments and ASP/contract mix normalize, investors begin modeling $10–$15B annualized energy revenue with attractive GM — this is multiple-expanding because it looks more like infrastructure/software-tinted industrials than cyclical autos.
🤖 Autonomy & software monetization bridges
Two things move the needle fast: (1) clear progress toward supervised autonomy at scale (drives FSD attach + ARPU), and (2) licensing (FSD stack, charging/NACS, drive units). Even modestly credible paid-miles/seat-based models (think $50–$150/month vehicles on fleet) transform valuation frameworks.
🦾 Optimus/robotics as a real option, not sci-fi
The market doesn’t need commercial ubiquity — it needs line-of-sight to pilot deployments and unit economics where labor-substitute ROI < 3 years. A few high-credibility pilots (warehousing, simple assembly, logistics cells) can tack on optionality premium that pushes the multiple toward the top of the range.
💹 Options-market reflexivity
Flows matter. Elevated call demand near ATH turns dealers short gamma, forcing delta hedging that lifts spot, which triggers more call buying → a familiar feedback loop. On breakouts, watch open interest skew to short-dated OTM calls, and put-call ratios compressing; these magnify upside in a tight float day.
🌍 Macro & liquidity
If indices hold highs and the rate path doesn’t tighten financial conditions, growth duration gets rewarded. TSLA’s beta + story premium thrives in that regime.
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🧠 Outside-the-box accelerants
🛰️ “Software day” packaging
A coordinated showcase that bundles FSD progress, energy software (fleet, VPP), service/insurance data, and Optimus pilots into a single capital-markets narrative could reframe TSLA as a platform. The Street responds to packaging; it compresses time-to-belief.
🤝 Third-party FSD/charging licensing headlines
A single blue-chip OEM announcing software licensing + NACS deep integration reframes the competitive landscape. The equity market pays a software multiple for recurring seats.
🏗️ Capex signaling for next-gen platform without GM hit
Announcing a modular, high-throughput manufacturing scheme (cell to structure, gigacasting tweaks, logistics compression) with proof that unit economics are accretive from ramp can flip skeptics who anchor to past ramp pain.
⚡ Grid-scale contracts + financing innovation
If Tesla pairs utility-scale storage with project-level financing (think repeatable ABS-like channels for Megapack), you de-risk cash conversion cycles and unlock a new investor constituency (infrastructure/green income). That tightens the multiple.
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🏎️ Comparative playbook: RACE (Ferrari) & NVDA (NVIDIA)
👑 RACE — the scarcity & brand ROIC lens
Ferrari’s premium multiple rests on scarcity, orderbook visibility, and brand pricing power. TSLA doesn’t have scarcity, but it can borrow the RACE lens via (a) limited-run, ultra-high-margin trims that anchor halo pricing, (b) waitlist-like energy backlogs that create visibility, and (c) bespoke software packages that mimic “personalization” margin. In bull phases, RACE trades as a luxury compounder rather than an automaker; TSLA can earn a slice of that premium when the energy + software story dominates.
🧮 NVDA — the flywheel & supply-constrained S-curve
NVIDIA’s explosive run blended (1) clear demand > supply, (2) pricing power, (3) ecosystem lock-in. TSLA’s battery and compute stacks can echo that dynamic: limited 4680/cell supply + Megapack queues + proprietary autonomy data moat. The moment the market believes TSLA is supply-gated (not demand-gated) in energy/AI, it will award NVDA-like scarcity premia. Add toolchain stickiness (training data, fleet miles, Dojo/AI infra), and you get ecosystem multiples rather than auto multiples.
📊 What the comps teach for TSLA’s 550–650 zone
• RACE lesson: visibility + pricing power boost the quality of earnings → higher P/E durability.
• NVDA lesson: credible scarcity + platform control turbocharge EV/Sales and compress the market’s time-to-future state.
• Translation for TSLA: blend of luxury-like quality (energy contracts + premium trims) and platform scarcity (cells/AI stack) → multiple rerate into our target band.
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🧾 Valuation outlook
🧮 Earnings path
• Units up mid-teens % Y/Y; ASP stable to slightly higher on mix; energy + software up strongly.
• Auto GM +100–150 bps; Energy GM expands on scale; opex +SMC disciplined → op margin 12–15%.
• Share count glide modest. Forward EPS ≈ $9–$11.
• Multiple: 50× (conservative growth premium) → $450–$550; 60× (software/autonomy visibility) → $540–$660.
• Why the market pays up: visible recurring high-margin lines (FSD, energy software, services) + AI/robotics optionality.
📈 EV/Sales path
• Forward revenue $130–$150B (auto + energy + software/services).
• Assign blended EV/Sales 6.5–7.5× when energy/software dominate the debate.
• Less net cash → equity value per share in $550–$650.
• Check: At 7× on $140B = $980B EV; equity ≈ $1.0–$1.1T with cash, divided by diluted shares → mid-$500s to $600s. Momentum premium and flow can extend to upper bound.
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🧭 Technical roadmap & market-microstructure
🧱 Breakout mechanics
A decisive weekly close above prior ATH with rising volume and a low-volume retest that holds converts resistance to a springboard. Expect a “open-drive → pause → trend” sequence: day 1 impulse, 2–5 sessions of rangebuilding, then trend resumption.
🧲 Volume shelves & AWVAPs
Anchored VWAPs from the last major swing high and the post-washout low often act like magnets. Post-break, the ATH AVWAP becomes first support, then the $500 handle functions as the psychological pivot. Above there, $550/$590/$630 are classical measured-move/Fib projection waypoints; pullbacks should hold prior shelf highs.
🌀 Options & dealer positioning
On a break, short-dated OTM calls populate 1–2% ladders; dealers short gamma chase price up via delta hedging. Expect intraday ramps near strikes (pin-and-pop behavior) and Friday accelerants if sentiment is euphoric. A steepening skew with heavy call open interest is your tell that supply is thin.
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🧨 Risks & invalidation
🚫 Failed retest below the breakout shelf (think: a fast round-trip under the $4-handle) downgrades the setup from “trend” to “blow-off.”
🧯 Margin or delivery disappointments (e.g., price-war resumption, regional softness) break the EPS/EV-Sales bridges.
🌪️ Macro shock (rates spike, liquidity drains) compresses long-duration multiples first; TSLA is high beta.
🔁 Flow reversal — if call-heavy positioning unwinds, gamma flips to a headwind and accelerates downside.
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💼 Trading & portfolio expressions for HNWI
🎯 Core + satellite
Hold a core equity position to capture trend, add a satellite of calls for convexity. If chasing, consider call spreads (e.g., 1–3 month $500/$600 or $520/$650) to tame IV.
🛡️ Risk-managed parity
Pair equity with a protective put slightly OTM or finance it with a put spread. Alternatively, collars (write covered calls above $650 to fund downside puts) if you’re guarding a large legacy stake.
⚙️ Momentum follow-through
Use stop-ins above key levels for systematic adds, and stop-outs below retest lows to avoid round-trips. Size reduces into $590–$630 where target confluence lives; recycle risk into pullbacks.
💵 Liquidity & slippage
Scale entries around liquid times (open/closing auctions). For size, work algos to avoid prints into obvious strikes where dealers can lean.
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🧾 Monitoring checklist
🔭 Delivery run-rate signals (regional registration proxies, shipping cadence).
🏭 Margin tells (bill of materials trends, promotions cadence, energy deployment updates).
🧠 Autonomy milestones (software releases, safety metrics, attach/ARPU hints).
🔌 Licensing/partnership beats (NACS depth, FSD/AI stack interest).
📊 Options dashboard (short-dated call OI ladders; put-call ratio shifts; gamma positioning).
🌡️ Macro regime (rates, liquidity, risk appetite).
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✅ Bottom line
🏁 The 550–650 tape is not a fairy tale — it’s a stacked-catalyst + rerate setup where energy/software/autonomy rise in the narrative mix, margins stabilize, and options-market reflexivity does the rest. Execute the breakout playbook, respect invalidation lines, and use convex expressions to lean into upside while protecting capital.
esla (TSLA) — Breakout Playbook
🎯 Core Thesis
• Insider conviction: Musk’s ~$1B buy.
• Risk-on macro: equities at highs, liquidity supportive.
• Options reflexivity: call-heavy flows can fuel upside.
• ATH breakout (~$480–$490) = gateway to price discovery.
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🚀 Upside Drivers to $550–$650
• Deliveries & Mix: Surprise beat + higher trim/FSD attach.
• Margins: GM stabilization + energy scaling → op margin 12–15%.
• Energy: $10–15B rev potential with infra-like multiples.
• Autonomy/Software: FSD attach, ARPU, licensing.
• Optimus/Robotics: Pilot deployments → ROI < 3 yrs adds optionality.
• Licensing Headlines: OEMs adopting NACS/FSD stack.
• Capital Markets Narrative: Packaged “software + energy + robotics” story reframes Tesla as a platform.
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🏎️ Comparative Bull Run Lens
• Ferrari (RACE): Scarcity, orderbook, luxury multiples.
• NVIDIA (NVDA): Scarcity + ecosystem flywheel → EV/Sales premium.
• Tesla Parallel: Blend of luxury quality (energy backlogs, halo trims) + AI scarcity (cells, fleet data, Dojo).
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📊 Valuation Bridges
• EPS Path: $9–$11 EPS × 50–60× = $450–$660.
• EV/Sales Path: $130–150B revenue × 6.5–7.5× = $550–$650.
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📈 Technical Roadmap
• Breakout > $490 → retest holds → next legs:
o $550 / $590 / $630 / stretch $650–$690.
• Watch anchored VWAPs; ATH shelf flips to support.
• Options chase accelerates above round strikes.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis. My buyAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis
AMD, listed on NASDAQ, has generally been on an upward trend. However, the last 2 weeks, the stock experienced a brief flash downturn, dropping to around the $157 level and witnessed a good recovery last week, reaching $186 zone.
Since then, it has pulled back and is currently trading at approximately $176 share.
Outlook:
I remain bullish on AMD with entries from $176 - $172 and anticipate a potential move toward the $200 level, with a longer-term target around its all-time high near $226.
For my entry strategy, I am adding positions at different levels, with an initial entry around $176 and another if it drops further
Position (s) are for a mid- to long-term hold.
Let’s see how it unfolds! If you have any insights or thoughts, please share them in the comments. I’d love to connect with you. Don’t forget to follow, share, and subscribe. Thank you.






















