Analyse
ElDoradoFx – GOLD SESSIONS ANALYSIS (05/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold closed the US session bearish at 3,932, extending its downside move under the descending trendline and rejecting from the key supply area at 3,953–3,960. The structure, momentum, and RSI alignment all confirm a continuation bias to the downside — the market remains in a controlled sell-off phase unless bulls reclaim 3,954 with volume.
⸻
📊 Technical Outlook
🔹 D1: Gold is in the second leg of a corrective pullback after peaking at 4,046. The RSI at 46 and fading MACD histogram show room for continuation toward the 100EMA near 3,870.
🔹 H1: Price has consistently printed lower highs and lower lows. All EMAs (20 < 50 < 200) slope downward. The most recent break below 3,940 confirms renewed seller strength.
🔹 15M–5M: Consolidation inside a tight bearish channel, forming minor liquidity traps above 3,940–3,946 before further declines. Momentum is stable to the downside, with no bullish divergence detected.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone (Swing 3,953 → 3,932)
• 38.2% = 3,940
• 50.0% = 3,943
• 61.8% = 3,946
🎯 Golden Zone: 3,940 – 3,946 (Rejection zone for re-entry shorts)
⸻
🎯 High Probability Trade Setup (Chosen Bias: SELL)
📉 SELL SCENARIO (High Probability)
✅ Sell Entry Zone: 3,940 – 3,946 (Golden Zone retest)
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 3,925
2️⃣ 3,915
3️⃣ 3,900
4️⃣ Extended target 3,880 (swing projection)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3,954
⚡ Confirmation:
– Price rejection at 3,946 or bearish engulfing candle
– RSI stays below 45
– MACD momentum bars remain red
💡 Rationale:
Structure, EMAs, and momentum fully aligned to downside; the 3,940–3,946 area is a low-risk, high-probability retest before the next leg down.
⸻
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Low Probability)
⚠️ Buy Zone: 3,910 – 3,900 (strong low zone / liquidity pool)
🎯 Targets: 3,932 → 3,940
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,890
⚡ Only if: Strong bullish divergence forms with RSI <30 and MACD crossover.
⸻
📰 Fundamental Watch
• Asia: Low volatility expected early session; traders waiting for European cash flow.
• DXY: Holding above 106 supports bearish gold momentum.
• No major news, but volatility could spike from dollar liquidity flows ahead of midweek positioning.
⸻
📌 Key Levels
Type Levels Notes
Resistance 3,940 / 3,946 / 3,954 Golden Zone / Rejection Area
Support 3,928 / 3,915 / 3,900 Short-term targets
Break Sell Trigger < 3,928 Confirms continuation
Break Buy Trigger > 3,954 Invalidates bearish setup
⸻
✅ Expert Summary (Final Bias)
Gold remains in bearish continuation mode, with clean confluence between structure, EMAs, and momentum.
🎯 Expect short opportunities from 3,940–3,946 aiming toward 3,915–3,900.
📉 Bias: Bearish continuation until proven otherwise.
⸻
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ElDoradoFx – GOLD (XAUUSD) ANALYSIS (04/11/2025, LONDON SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold enters the London session trading just below the $4,000 handle, recovering after an early Asian dip to $3,970. The market remains in a range-to-accumulation phase, consolidating beneath descending structure resistance ($4,008–$4,016) and above key support ($3,985–$3,970). Momentum indicators suggest early bullish restoration, but price action remains capped under the 200EMA, awaiting a confirmed breakout to define London’s direction.
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2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
Gold holds above the 100EMA, keeping the medium-term structure bullish. RSI at ~50.5 indicates neutrality after a corrective pullback from $4,046. As long as price stays above $3,985, the bullish structure remains intact.
🔹 H1
The pair trades within a descending channel, testing dynamic resistance at $4,004–$4,008. The 50EMA is flattening near the 200EMA, hinting at a potential cross for trend continuation. MACD is stabilizing with higher histogram lows, a bullish sign of momentum recovery.
🔹 15M–5M
Short-term structure shows a series of higher lows (3,970 → 3,982 → 3,993) but faces a clear supply ceiling at 4,004–4,010. RSI around 55–60; MACD positive, suggesting accumulation pressure and reduced selling volume.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Swing 3,970 → 4,008)
• 38.2% = 3,993
• 50.0% = 3,989
• 61.8% = 3,985
🎯 Golden Zone: 3,993 – 3,985 → Active demand area for potential long entries.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Buy Zone: 3,993 – 3,985 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH or engulfing candle in zone with RSI > 50
• Targets: 4,004 → 4,016 → 4,028 → 4,046
• Stop Loss: Below 3,970
📊 Justification: The Golden Zone aligns with previous liquidity sweep and ascending channel support — strong probability for continuation if defended during London volatility.
💥 Breakout BUY Setup
• Trigger: Break & close above 4,008
• Retest Entry: 4,004–4,006
• Targets: 4,016 → 4,028 → 4,046 → 4,060
• Stop Loss: Below 3,995
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
• Sell Zone: 4,004 – 4,016 (EMA confluence & descending structure)
• Confirmation: Bearish rejection or RSI divergence > 65
• Targets: 3,989 → 3,970 → 3,945
• Stop Loss: Above 4,020
📊 Justification: A rejection from this area would indicate failed breakout momentum, creating a high R:R short toward range support.
⚠️ Break & Retest SELL Setup
• Trigger: Break below 3,970
• Retest Entry: 3,978–3,974
• Targets: 3,965 → 3,945 → 3,920
• Stop Loss: Above 3,985
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• UK/EU Data: Light calendar — focus remains on USD strength and DXY (106.10).
• US Factors: Factory Orders and Fed speakers later today; could affect volatility mid-London to NY overlap.
• Sentiment: Gold remains technically bullish but constrained by short-term dollar resilience and yield stabilization.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels Notes
Resistance 4,004 / 4,016 / 4,028 / 4,046 Supply + 200EMA zone
Support 3,993 / 3,985 / 3,970 / 3,965 Fibo + structural base
Golden Zone 3,993 – 3,985 Main liquidity pivot
Break Buy Trigger Above 4,008 Confirmed bullish continuation
Break Sell Trigger Below 3,970 Bearish momentum confirmation
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold is building pressure within a compressed wedge, where the Golden Zone (3,993–3,985) represents the pivot of the day.
Momentum indicators lean bullish, but the 200EMA and trendline resistance near 4,004–4,008 remain the key barriers.
A clean breakout above 4,008 opens the path to 4,028–4,046, while failure to hold above 3,985 may trigger a retracement to 3,965–3,945.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
✅ Primary Bias: Bullish above 3,985
⚠️ Neutral Zone: 3,985–4,004 (wait for breakout confirmation)
❌ Bearish Only Below: 3,970
🎯 Expert Outlook: Focus on buying dips near the Golden Zone with confirmation; avoid premature entries before breakout validation.
⸻
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ElDoradoFx – GOLD SESSIONS ANALYSIS (03/11/2025, PRE-ASIA SESSIGold ends the NY session stabilizing near 4,009, after multiple rejections from 4,025–4,030, confirming that sellers are still defending the upper liquidity zone. Meanwhile, buyers continue holding 4,004–3,995, maintaining a short-term ascending structure. This compression phase between resistance and support signals an imminent breakout setup — with Asia likely to decide direction for the next leg.
⸻
📊 Technical Outlook
🔹 D1: Gold remains bullish above the 100EMA, sustaining higher lows from 3,962 → 3,985 → 3,995. RSI ~52 — neutral but holding mid-range momentum. Daily breakout above 4,025 could reopen the path toward 4,060–4,082.
🔹 H1: Structure compressing between 4,025 resistance and 3,995 support. EMAs converging; MACD neutral with low volatility — ideal for a pre-breakout scenario.
🔹 15M–5M: Price forming equal highs at 4,011–4,012 and higher lows near 4,004. RSI 54–58, indicating gradual bullish accumulation before volatility expansion.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone (Last Swing 3,995 → 4,030)
38.2% = 4,016
50.0% = 4,012
61.8% = 4,008
🎯 Golden Zone: 4,016 – 4,008 (acting as key liquidity zone and short-term pivot).
⸻
🎯 High Probability Zones
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
✅ Buy Zone: 4,016 – 4,008 (Golden Zone)
🎯 Targets: 4,025 → 4,036 → 4,046 → 4,060
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,995
⚡ Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH above 4,012–4,016 with MACD crossover upward.
📊 Bias Rationale: The market continues to respect higher lows and absorb liquidity dips — indicating smart money accumulation around the Golden Zone.
💥 Breakout BUY Setup
Trigger: Break & close above 4,025
Retest: 4,022–4,024
🎯 Targets: 4,036 → 4,046 → 4,060 → 4,082
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 4,010
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Contingency Setup)
⚠️ Sell Zone: 4,025 – 4,036 (liquidity pocket + supply zone)
🎯 Targets: 4,012 → 4,004 → 3,985 → 3,965
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4,046
⚡ Confirmation: Sharp rejection or RSI divergence >65 from 4,025–4,030 area.
📉 Break & Retest SELL Setup
Trigger: Break below 3,995
Retest: 4,000–3,997
🎯 Targets: 3,982 → 3,965 → 3,945
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4,008
⸻
📰 Fundamental Watch
• Asia session: Low-impact day; volatility expected from liquidity sweeps.
• US Dollar Index (DXY) holding above 106 — mild pressure on gold short-term.
• Global markets: Traders positioning ahead of Fed and NFP later this week, keeping gold in range mode for now.
⸻
📌 Key Levels
Resistance: 4,025 / 4,036 / 4,046 / 4,060
Support: 4,012 / 4,004 / 3,995 / 3,982
Golden Zone: 4,016 – 4,008
Break Buy Trigger: > 4,025
Break Sell Trigger: < 3,995
⸻
✅ Summary (Expert View)
Gold remains bullish-to-neutral, consolidating between 4,004–4,025.
The Fibonacci Golden Zone (4,016–4,008) continues to act as the core decision area — expect Asia to attempt a liquidity sweep before breakout.
⚡ Expert Bias: BUY setup favored above 4,008, targeting 4,036–4,046.
Bearish bias only if 3,995 breaks cleanly.
Gold Price Breakout Toward 4,037 Target(XAU/USD) is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour chart, suggesting potential breakout momentum. The price is currently trading near $4,014, with an upside target of $4,037 if bullish momentum continues. Key support zones are located at $3,960, $3,920, and $3,880.
Mapping the Next Possible Move | Key Breakout and Demand ZonesGold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating between key structural zones, showing a balanced tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The 4025 area remains the short-term resistance to watch — a clean break and close above this level could confirm bullish continuation toward 4075 and the major supply zone around 4150.
On the other hand, failure to sustain above 4025 may trigger a short-term pullback. The 3925–3960 zone has acted as a strong demand area where buyers have consistently stepped in, making it a crucial support for potential bullish rejections and trend continuation.
At this stage, the next possible move will likely depend on how price reacts around these two major zones:
Bullish scenario: Break and retest above 4025 → potential rally toward 4150.
Bearish scenario: Rejection at 4025 → possible correction toward 3925 demand.
Overall sentiment remains neutral-to-bullish as long as price holds above the demand area. Watching for a confirmed breakout or clear rejection structure before taking directional trades is key.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Rebound from Key Support Zone This chart shows the BTC/USD (1-hour) price action with key support and resistance levels. Bitcoin is currently trading near $107,904, slightly above a highlighted support zone around $107,629–$107,000. The analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal from this support, with projected upside targets at $109,028, $110,093, and $111,075.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (31/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold enters the London session consolidating near 4,008–4,010, after defending support at 3,985 and rejecting from 4,046. The market remains in a short-term bullish channel, but momentum is slowing as buyers struggle to reclaim the intraday high.
Currently, price sits above key EMAs (50 & 200) but faces overhead resistance between 4,034–4,046, which coincides with yesterday’s rejection zone. Today’s London open is expected to bring higher volatility and potential direction for the next leg — either continuation toward 4,060+ or a pullback toward 3,985.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔸 Daily (D1):
Price is holding steady above the 100EMA, printing a second consecutive candle above 4,000. RSI ~51 confirms a balanced market, while MACD histogram shows flattening red bars — signaling possible transition toward bullish momentum.
🔸 H1:
The structure shows higher lows from 3,915 and a rejection at 4,046, forming a small range. Price remains supported at the 50EMA (around 4,000) and ascending trendline. RSI 54; momentum moderate but favoring bulls as long as 3,985 holds.
🔸 15M–5M:
Gold trades in a tight wedge pattern with clear BOS and CHoCH confirmations. RSI oscillating between 55–60; MACD crossing positive, suggesting renewed buying pressure. However, the 4,034–4,046 zone remains a short-term barrier until a clean breakout occurs.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 3,985 → 4,046)
• 38.2% = 4,022
• 50.0% = 4,015
• 61.8% = 4,008
🎯 Golden Zone for Re-entry: 4,022 – 4,008
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Main Bias)
✅ Entry Zone: 4,022 – 4,008 (Golden Zone)
🎯 Targets: 4,034 → 4,046 → 4,060 → 4,082
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,995
⚡ Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH confirmation from 5M/15M near the Golden Zone.
💥 Breakout BUY Setup
• Trigger: Clean breakout & close above 4,046
• Retest Entry: 4,040–4,043
🎯 Targets: 4,060 → 4,082 → 4,100
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 4,030
⸻
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
⚠️ Entry Zone: 4,046 – 4,060 (Resistance & previous swing high)
🎯 Targets: 4,022 → 4,008 → 3,985 → 3,965
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4,070
⚡ Confirmation: 15M bearish rejection candle or RSI divergence above 65.
📉 Break & Retest SELL
• Trigger: Break below 3,985 → Retest rejection at 3,995
🎯 Targets: 3,965 → 3,945 → 3,920
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4,005
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• London expected to bring stronger liquidity after quiet Asia session.
• DXY near 106.20 — any recovery could limit gold’s upside.
• US Core PCE data later today may influence dollar strength ahead of NY session.
• Market remains risk-sensitive due to month-end positioning.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,034 / 4,046 / 4,060 / 4,082
Support: 4,022 / 4,008 / 3,995 / 3,985 / 3,965
Golden Zone: 4,022 – 4,008
Break Buy Trigger: > 4,046
Break Sell Trigger: < 3,985
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold remains bullish-to-neutral above 3,995, forming a tight intraday range before a breakout.
If 4,046 breaks with volume, expect continuation to 4,060–4,082.
However, failure to clear 4,046 may invite short-term retracement toward 4,022–4,008 (Golden Zone) for re-entry.
The trend remains bullish while above 3,985, with downside risk only below that level.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
Bias: 🔼 Bullish (while above 3,985)**
Short-term Objective: Buy pullbacks toward 4,022–4,008
Invalidation: Below 3,985 → turns short-term bearish.
⸻
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (31/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold closed the US session above $4,020, marking a strong recovery from the weekly low of $3,915. Price has reclaimed the short-term bullish structure, trading near $4,024–$4,027, just under a critical resistance zone. Bulls maintain control as long as $3,990 holds, but the market is approaching a key decision point where a breakout could define the next major move.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔸 Daily (D1):
Price has bounced sharply from the 100EMA and printed the first higher daily close after multiple bearish sessions. RSI at 52.5 supports the early phase of bullish recovery. MACD histogram turning lighter red signals momentum shift. The next key resistance sits at $4,100, while support remains solid around $3,850–$3,900.
🔸 H1:
Bullish structure with clear higher lows from $3,915 and BOS confirmations up to $4,020. Price currently retesting the intraday trendline with confluence from 50EMA and Fib levels. RSI 62+, momentum still strong but slightly extended.
🔸 15M–5M:
Micro structure shows tight compression under $4,027 (key rejection area). Multiple CHoCH and BOS confirm upward control, but short-term RSI divergence hints at possible minor pullback before further continuation.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 3,985 → 4,027)
• 38.2% = 4,011
• 50.0% = 4,006
• 61.8% = 4,000
🎯 Golden Zone for Re-entry: 4,011 – 4,000
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Main Bias)
✅ Entry Zone: 4,011 – 4,000 (Golden Zone)
🎯 Targets: 4,027 → 4,040 → 4,055 → 4,070
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,990
⚡ Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M after Fib retracement.
💥 Breakout BUY Setup
• Trigger: Clean break & close above 4,027 → Retest 4,024–4,027
• Targets: 4,040 → 4,055 → 4,082
• Stop Loss: Below 4,015
⸻
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
⚠️ Entry Zone: 4,027 – 4,035 (H1 supply & ascending resistance)
🎯 Targets: 4,011 → 4,000 → 3,985 → 3,965
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4,040
⚡ Confirmation: 5M bearish engulfing or RSI >70 with MACD crossover.
📉 Break & Retest SELL
• Trigger: Close below 3,985 → Retest rejection
• Targets: 3,965 → 3,945 → 3,920
• Stop Loss: Above 3,995
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asian session expected to open quietly, but momentum from US close favors continuation.
• DXY pulling back under 106 supports gold near-term.
• Market eyes upcoming US Core PCE and inflation data tomorrow — possible volatility buildup.
• Watch for end-of-month position adjustments and liquidity traps during Asia open.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,027 / 4,035 / 4,055 / 4,070
Support: 4,011 / 4,000 / 3,985 / 3,965 / 3,945
Golden Zone: 4,011 – 4,000
Break Buy Trigger: > 4,027
Break Sell Trigger: < 3,985
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold remains in a bullish continuation structure, with 4,000–3,985 acting as critical support.
• If 4,027 breaks and holds → bullish extension toward 4,055–4,070.
• If 4,027 rejects → expect healthy retracement back to 4,011–4,000 before continuation.
Short-term trend remains bullish above 3,990, but traders should watch for potential exhaustion around 4,035–4,050.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
Bias: 🔼 Bullish (while above 3,990)**
Short-term Objective: Reclaim & hold 4,027 for continuation to 4,055+
Invalidation: Break below 3,985 → bearish correction resumption.
⸻
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ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (30/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold continues to trade in a corrective recovery phase after the sharp sell-off from 4,025. Current price sits near 3,970–3,975, just below a descending H1 trendline and confluence of the 200 EMA (yellow) and 100 EMA (white).
Momentum is improving but overall structure remains bearish-to-neutral, pending a confirmed breakout above 3,990.
The 3,915–3,925 demand zone has held for 3 consecutive sessions, suggesting a possible base formation before a larger move.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
Daily (D1)
• Structure: Retracement phase within bullish macro trend.
• RSI recovering to 49, showing loss of bearish momentum.
• MACD histogram contracting — bearish momentum fading.
• Support: 3,850–3,900
• Resistance: 4,005–4,055
H1
• Market formed higher lows from 3,916; however, still capped under descending trendline.
• EMA confluence (200, 100, 50) between 3,975–3,990 acts as near-term resistance.
• RSI around 55, indicating moderate bullish correction.
• Key structure: BOS at 3,960 → now forming liquidity near 3,978–3,990.
15M–5M
• Compression pattern forming (triangle structure) under 3,975–3,982.
• Multiple sweeps below 3,940 confirming liquidity grabs.
• Short-term structure remains bullish while above 3,945; intraday momentum aligns with EMA direction.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 3,916 → 3,978)
• 38.2% = 3,954
• 50.0% = 3,947
• 61.8% = 3,940
🎯 Golden Zone for Re-entry: 3,954 – 3,940
Additional confluence: H1 structure support + liquidity pool at 3,940 = optimal buy zone.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟩 Scenario A – Buy Retracement (Primary Bias)
• Buy Zone: 3,954 – 3,940 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: 5M/15M bullish engulfing or CHoCH after retest
• SL: Below 3,933
• TPs: 3,975 → 3,990 → 4,005 → 4,025
• Rationale: Structure support, Fib alignment, EMA confluence, and fading bearish momentum.
⸻
🟨 Scenario B – Break & Retest Buy
• Trigger: Break and close above 3,990 on 15M/H1
• Retest Zone: 3,985–3,990
• SL: 3,972
• TPs: 4,005 → 4,025 → 4,055 → 4,062
• Rationale: Clean breakout from compression structure confirming bullish continuation.
⸻
🟥 Scenario C – Countertrend Sell (At Supply Zone)
• Sell Zone: 3,975–3,990 (EMA + descending TL confluence)
• Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or RSI rejection near 60–65
• SL: Above 4,003
• TPs: 3,958 → 3,947 → 3,940 → 3,930
• Rationale: Short-term exhaustion + supply reaction at major resistance cluster.
⸻
⚫ Scenario D – Momentum Sell (If Demand Fails)
• Trigger: 15M candle close below 3,939, retest rejection at 3,939–3,945
• SL: Above 3,952
• TPs: 3,925 → 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• Rationale: Demand breakdown and bearish continuation confirmation.
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Low volatility expected early London; attention shifts to US GDP & jobless claims later.
• DXY stable near 106, limiting gold’s upside unless USD weakens.
• Bond yields steady; risk sentiment slightly cautious.
• Key catalyst: Any breakout in DXY >106.5 or <105.8 could shift XAUUSD direction sharply.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 3,975 / 3,990 / 4,005 / 4,025 / 4,055–4,062
Support 3,954 / 3,947 / 3,940 / 3,930 / 3,916 / 3,886
Golden Zone 3,954 – 3,940
Break Buy Trigger > 3,990
Break Sell Trigger < 3,939
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
• Market attempting recovery from 3,915 base; compression under 3,990 suggests a build-up before breakout.
• Momentum improving but confirmation needed via 3,990 breakout or Fib GZ retest.
• Bias remains short-term bullish while 3,940 holds; otherwise neutral-to-bearish below 3,939.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
• 🔹 Primary Bias: Bullish above 3,940; targets 4,005–4,025.
• 🔸 Secondary Bias: Bearish below 3,939; targets 3,916–3,886.
• ⚠️ Key Decision Zone: 3,975–3,990 (EMA and trendline confluence). Wait for breakout or rejection confirmation.
⸻
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (30/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)🧠 XAUUSD (GOLD) – ASIA SESSION ANALYSIS (30/10/2025)
Professional Institutional Breakdown
⸻
1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold ended the NY session bearish after failing to sustain above 4,010, closing near 3,944. The market remains technically weak after a corrective bounce from 3,916, showing exhaustion under key EMAs. The current Asian range sits between 3,916 – 3,955, and the bias leans bearish unless price reclaims 3,985. The broader daily structure continues its retracement phase after the parabolic September–October rally.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Structure: Down correction within larger bullish channel.
• Candle: Small-bodied candle forming near the 20EMA, signaling indecision before potential continuation lower.
• Indicators: RSI at 47, below midline → bearish momentum intact. MACD histogram still negative.
• Key Levels: Support 3,850–3,820 | Resistance 4,005–4,040
📉 Outlook: Daily sentiment remains corrective-bearish. Price needs daily close above 4,005 to shift back bullish.
⸻
🔹 H1
• Structure: Lower highs and lower lows persist.
• EMAs: 20/50/200 aligned bearishly; price capped under the 200EMA (~3,978).
• RSI: 39 → mild recovery but still below 50 threshold.
• MACD: Bearish histogram fading; potential short-term relief rally before another drop.
• Zones: Overhead supply 3,955–3,965 + confluence with fib 61.8%.
📉 Outlook: Expect retracement into resistance followed by potential continuation lower.
⸻
🔹 15M–5M
• Minor bullish correction toward 3,950, but structure shows bearish compression.
• Liquidity resting above 3,955, likely to be swept before new leg down.
• MACD flattening; RSI approaching overbought (>60).
📊 Outlook: Watch for CHoCH or bearish engulfing in 3,955–3,965 zone to confirm re-entry short.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis
Swing Reference: 3,993 → 3,916
• 38.2% = 3,946
• 50.0% = 3,955
• 61.8% = 3,964
🎯 Golden Sell Zone: 3,955 – 3,964
Confluence: H1 supply + descending EMA cluster.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Setup (Main Bias)
• Entry Zone: 3,955 – 3,964 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: 5M/15M bearish engulfing or CHoCH after liquidity sweep.
• TPs: 3,940 → 3,930 → 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• SL: Above 3,976
💡 Rationale: Rejection from fib zone aligns with H1 structure continuation; best risk-reward short setup.
⸻
📉 SELL Continuation (Break & Retest)
• Trigger: < 3,930 confirmed break & retest
• Targets: 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• SL: > 3,940
💡 Rationale: Trend continuation setup below local structure, confirming dominance of sellers.
⸻
📈 Countertrend BUY (Scalp)
• Zone: 3,916 – 3,924 (Asia demand)
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or double-bottom on 5M.
• Targets: 3,940 → 3,955 → 3,964
• SL: < 3,908
⚠️ Rationale: Pure liquidity scalp against trend; quick exits recommended.
⸻
💥 Breakout Opportunities
• Buy Breakout: > 3,985 → Targets: 4,013 / 4,030
• Sell Breakout: < 3,916 → Targets: 3,898 / 3,886 / 3,860
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session: Low-volume environment; volatility likely after Tokyo open.
• DXY stable around 106.00 → maintains downside pressure on gold.
• US GDP and unemployment claims upcoming — could impact NY sentiment.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 3,955 / 3,964 / 3,985 / 4,013
Support 3,930 / 3,916 / 3,898 / 3,886
Golden Zone 3,955 – 3,964
Break Buy Trigger > 3,985
Break Sell Trigger < 3,916
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold remains bearish in structure while inside a short-term corrective bounce. The 3,955–3,964 zone offers the highest probability for re-entry shorts with confirmation.
Below 3,930, sellers take control again targeting 3,898–3,886. Only above 3,985 would sentiment shift bullish toward 4,013–4,030.
📈 Institutional Bias: SELL rallies toward 3,955–3,964
📉 Invalidation: Sustained hourly close > 3,985
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Overall Bias: Bearish
🎯 Primary Setup: Sell retracement 3,955–3,964 → Targets 3,916 / 3,886
⚠️ Alternate Setup: Buy scalp 3,916–3,924 (low probability)
🕐 Session Focus: Asia retracement sell or breakout below 3,916
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 29/10/2025 🥇
📊 High volatility, clean recoveries, and strong finishes.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
❌ SELL -40 PIPS
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted
🔻 SELL LIMIT +40 PIPS
⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -50 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +80 PIPS
🔻 SELL +210 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +380 PIPS
📊 10 Signals → 6 Wins | 2 SL | 2 Deleted
🎯 Accuracy: 75%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Choppy day, but the team still closed strong — key levels respected with solid recoveries.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
CHFJPY - Potential LONGCHFJPY is pressing up against its old ceiling around 191.0–191.2 and just made a small pause/flag before pushing higher. I’m interested in buys only if it can stay above that ceiling—ideally a clear close or a quick dip-and-bounce that shows the level turning into support. If I’m in, I’ll hide my stop near 190.60 and aim for 191.90 → 192.60, with a stretch goal near 193.20 if momentum kicks in. If price pops above 191 and immediately falls back under 190.9, I’ll skip the long—that would smell like a fake breakout and could pull back toward 190.20 or 189.50. Keep position size modest up here; let confirmation do the work.
Gold update- Bullish Reaction from Key Level..Price reacted beautifully from the 4000 key level / demand zone we marked last week.
We’re now seeing early bullish signs and structure holding.
At this stage:
I’m managing my current positions with the trend
No need to force trades — just letting price action develop
As long as structure holds, I remain bullish on gold for now
Risk is managed, emotions aside — focus is on what the chart is showing
I’ll update again after data/news prints or if structure changes.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,125, attempting a minor recovery after a strong bearish breakdown during the US session. Price found near-term liquidity around 4,106–4,100, where a short-term bounce is unfolding. Despite this pullback attempt, the overall structure remains bearish unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Strong bearish candle formed after rejection from 4,381.
• Price still above 20EMA and well above 50EMA, confirming a corrective move within a broader bullish trend.
• RSI cooling from overbought; now around mid-level, room for either further correction or bounce.
• MACD still positive but histogram weakening, suggesting potential retracement or pause.
Bias: Corrective bearish inside macro bullish trend.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Clear bearish shift with BOS confirmed below 4,254 and 4,229.
• Rejection from 20EMA and 50EMA above (4,170–4,249) confirms intraday bearish bias.
• RSI recovering from oversold (26→38) indicating a potential pullback leg.
• If gold climbs into 4,160–4,198 zone and rejects, bearish continuation likely.
Intraday Bias: Bearish until H1 closes above 4,200–4,210.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• Minor CHoCH formed after bounce at 4,106, with price entering a corrective channel.
• RSI around 55 → short-term recovery phase.
• MACD histogram green but still shallow → possible retracement only.
• Price approaching first resistance around 4,140–4,150.
Short-term View: Pullback phase inside bearish structure.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Series of higher lows forming → bullish momentum attempt.
• MACD positive with expanding green bars.
• RSI above 55 suggests buyers in short control, but nearing resistance.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Recent impulse: High 4,254 → Low 4,106
🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,160
🔹 50% Fib = 4,180
🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,198
✅ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198
This zone aligns with intraday EMA resistance and H1 supply, making it a key sell area if rejection occurs.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
✅ Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred)
⚠️ Sell in the 4,160–4,198 Golden Zone upon bearish rejection.
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,120 → 4,106 → 4,080
🛑 SL above 4,210
✅ Breakout Sell (Momentum Play)
⚠️ Sell below 4,106 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,080 → 4,060 → 4,040
🛑 SL above 4,120
⸻
🟢 Bullish Countertrend Setup (Lower Probability)
✅ Buy from 4,106–4,100 only if strong bullish engulfing + MACD flip appear.
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,160 → 4,180
🛑 SL below 4,090
🟢 Bullish Breakout Setup (Structure Shift Only)
✅ Buy above 4,200 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,229 → 4,254
🛑 SL below 4,180
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session
• No major Asian economic catalysts early session → market may retrace or range.
• Traders likely positioning for NY session after heavy US selling.
• USD Index holding firm; any DXY weakness could extend pullback.
• Focus shifts to US jobless data and Fed sentiment later today.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Watch
Type Level Description
Resistance 4,140 / 4,160 First intraday rejection zones
Resistance 4,180 / 4,198 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Support 4,120 Minor intraday support
Support 4,106–4,100 Liquidity shelf
Support 4,080 Deep corrective target
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is undergoing a corrective bounce within a bearish intraday trend. The Golden Zone (4,160–4,198) is the critical area for potential continuation sells if rejection is confirmed. A failure to clear 4,200 keeps sellers in control. Buyers only gain momentum above 4,200, or at deep retests near 4,106 with bullish confirmation.
🟢 Reversal Buy only if 4,106 holds with strength.
🔻 Main Scenario: Sell rallies from 4,160–4,198 zone.
📉 Break Confirmation: Sell below 4,106.
✨ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +70 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +270 pips
---
💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips
📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 86%
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🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
A strong market. Timing is crucial.Gold prices continued their upward trend for the fifth consecutive day, reaching a new record high. Concerns about the economic risks posed by the US government shutdown, international trade wars, and escalating geopolitical tensions continue to drive capital flows into gold, a traditional safe-haven asset.
Furthermore, recent speeches by most Federal Reserve officials have paved the way for interest rate cuts, making the market virtually certain that an October rate cut is a foregone conclusion, with even a 100% probability of a December cut. The government shutdown, which has lasted 15 days and is costing approximately $15 billion in lost economic output daily, has also led to a decline in the US dollar index, which has fallen for two consecutive trading days, further bolstering gold's upward momentum.
On the 4-hour chart, prices continue to trade along the upper Bollinger Band. Despite a slight pullback early on, they have rebounded strongly, with current support levels moving up to around 4240-4230. Bullish momentum remains strong in the short term. Quaid believes the trading strategy remains focused on buying on pullbacks. However, caution is advised when following orders mid-trade to prevent sudden price pullbacks from causing losses. Please follow our channel for more real-time trading strategies.
Trading Strategy:
Buy in batches between 4240 and 4230, with a 10-point stop-loss. Profit range: 420-4280-4300.
Gold is strong. 4200 is not far away.Gold continued its upward trend after the Asian market opened on Tuesday. It reached a high near 4180 in the European session before plummeting, quickly falling back to around 4090 before continuing its upward trend. This marked a distinct bottoming-out and rebound pattern, causing significant market volatility.
Wednesday's Asian market opened with a continuation of Tuesday's trend, reaching a new all-time high near 4191, once again approaching the 4200 mark.
Gold's current pattern makes bears vulnerable to the powerful bulls, leaving short-term bears in despair. Gold continues its upward trend, with a remarkably strong daily chart, giving the market continued hope for a bullish outlook.
The previous gains were excessive, and any pullback would be far greater than we had anticipated. Tuesday's drop is a case in point. Although it was merely a market correction, it led many traders to believe the bull trend was over. However, this was not the case. The price pullback merely provided an opportunity to go long, and the bravest traders are already enjoying the rewards. Overall, the current trend remains strong. Barring any negative news regarding gold, the overall strategy remains to buy on pullbacks, with an eye on new highs.
Trading Strategy:
Go long on pullbacks near 4150, with a stop-loss at 4135. Profit range: 4080-4190-4200.
For aggressive trading, go long in batches between 4160-65.
When the price first hits 4195, you can try shorting with a small position, which can yield a profit of 15-20 pips.






















