Fundamental Market Analysis for October 29, 2025 GBPUSDSterling softens against the dollar ahead of the Fed decision as some investors take profit after recent attempts to rally. The U.S. market still anticipates a 25 bps rate cut, but the dollar’s intraday recovery into the meeting weighs on GBPUSD.
Domestic drivers for the pound are mixed. Recent UK inflation data came in softer than forecast, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of England will approach policy with greater caution and limiting GBP upside. Budget and borrowing headlines earlier in the year also added volatility, keeping the pair around 1.33000 and below at times.
Also yesterday, the prevailing assessment was that the GBP/USD upside momentum was unstable and largely dependent on external drivers—the US dollar exchange rate and expectations for further Fed easing. Under these conditions, selling on a rise toward 1.32750, with an eye on a return to 1.32000, should the Fed remain neutral or moderately cautious, makes strategic sense.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.32650, SL 1.32850, TP 1.32000
Analysis
USD/JPY(20251029)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
A survey by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) predicts gold prices will reach $4,980.3 per ounce and silver prices will reach $59.1 per ounce in one year.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
152.22
Support and Resistance Levels:
153.33
152.91
152.64
151.80
151.53
151.11
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 152.22, consider buying with a first target price of 152.64.
If the price breaks below 151.80, consider selling with a first target price of 151.53.
NTSK Netskope: the rocket is on the padNetskope’s shares (ticker NTSK) are trading after a successful IPO, but the chart suggests we’re still in early accumulation phase. The price is hovering in the ~$21-24 zone, and a breakout above near resistance is needed to confirm strength. The first target is $28, with potential extension toward $35–40 if the structure holds. Given IPO volatility, entry requires careful stop-management and confirmation of trend support.
Netskope operates in the rapidly expanding cloud security market (SASE/Zero Trust). With revenue growth exceeding 30% and narrowing losses, the company is well-positioned in the AI-security wave. While the TAM (total addressable market) is large and growth prospects strong, the business still faces profitability and competitive risks.
The rocket may not yet be launched, but the launchpad is set. Stay patient, wait for the “ignition” signal, and let the engine build thrust before liftoff.
Nikkei surges higher: What’s powering the market now#NIKKEI has soared above 50,000. The rally is fueled by a mix of political momentum following Sanae Takaichi’s arrival, the predictably dovish stance of the Bank of Japan, a weak yen benefiting exporters, accelerating corporate reforms, and a revival in tourism and domestic demand — all pushing profit expectations and valuations to record highs.
Key drivers of further #NIKKEI growth:
Weak yen + dovish BoJ : Exporters earn more when converting foreign revenue into yen; cheap credit keeps valuations and multiples strong.
AI and semiconductor investment cycle : Japan is expanding chip fabs, while local suppliers of materials and equipment enjoy long-term contracts and steady cash flow.
Corporate reforms & buybacks : Companies are selling off non-core assets, boosting efficiency, and buying back shares — lifting EPS and investor confidence.
Tourism & services boom : Japan is affordable for travelers, spending is up, and hotels, retailers, restaurants, and transport firms are reporting record revenues.
Rising wages & consumption : Households have more disposable income; businesses raise prices moderately, margins stay solid, and revenues grow steadily across sectors.
#NIKKEI’s growth isn’t only about the weak yen. FreshForex analysts believe political reform momentum, loose monetary policy, renewed chip demand, disciplined corporate management, and a robust services/tourism sector are key supports. The base scenario: the uptrend could extend through 2025–2026, though risks include a sharp yen rebound or political delays.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for Tue (Oct 28th)ES Context:
The trend is upward on the higher time frame, approaching a "weak-high" area just above the previous day's high (PDH). With FOMC Day-1 and consumer confidence news approaching, I expect the Asia and London sessions to trade within a range around or below the PDH, with a risk of a sweep and retest before any potential extension. The bias is slightly bullish as long as we remain above yesterday’s value area. The invalidation point is a 15-minute close below the previous day's low (PDL).
Setup 1 — Long above R1 (acceptance continuation)
Trigger: 15m full-body close ≥ 6912, then 5m pullback holds/re-closes above 6912.
Entry: 6913–6915
Stop: 6905
TP1: 6924–6930
TP2: 6965–6975
Cancel: if retest fails to hold above 6912.
Setup 2 — Short at R1 (rejection fade)
Trigger: Probe ≥ 6912 fails; 15m closes back below 6909; 5m LH re-close.
Entry: 6907–6910
Stop: 6917
TP1: 6900–6896
TP2: 6883–6880
Runner: 6878 → 6867.50 if momentum continues.
Setup 3 — Long from GMid (partial gap-fill reclaim )
Trigger: Wick into 6852–6855, then 5m reclaim ≥ 6856.
Entry: 6856–6858
Stop: 6848
TP1: 6867.50 (GTop)
TP2: 6900–6906
Setup 4 — Long from GBot (full gap-fill reversal)
Trigger: Fast tag of 6841–6842, then 5m reclaim ≥ 6846.
Entry: 6846–6848 on retest hold
Stop: 6836
TP1: 6854.25 (GMid)
TP2: 6867.50 (GTop)
Cancel: 15m body closes back below 6841.
Execution rules
Trade inside kill-zones only (London 02:00–05:00 ET; NY AM 09:30–11:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00).
Take a setup only if TP1 ≥ 2.0R versus the stated stop.
At TP1 close 70% and set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2.
Catalysts for Tue, Oct 28 (all times ET; all listed items expected to proceed despite the shutdown)
09:00 — S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (private release).
10:00 — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (private release).
All day — FOMC Meeting (Day-1) begins; Day-2 statement/PC tomorrow.
13:00 — U.S. Treasury auctions (notes/bills as scheduled).
FYI tomorrow (Wed): 10:30 — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status (on schedule).
Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT for 27-31 October 2025XAUUSD: BUY 4075.00, SL 4025.00, TP 4225.00
Gold starts the week near record territory, with spot prices fluctuating around $4,080 per ounce. Support comes from expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the October 28–29 meeting and the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields ahead of the decision. Headlines about a potential temporary government funding pause in the U.S. and delayed data releases enhance gold’s role as a defensive asset, while September inflation came in slightly below expectations, reinforcing the case for policy easing. In addition, fund inflows into gold have stayed strong after October’s price spike.
The fundamental backdrop remains constructive: World Gold Council data point to renewed net purchases by central banks late in the summer, and October saw more active investment flows into “paper” gold as market volatility rose and real yields eased. Risks to this view include a more cautious Fed tone and a brief dollar rebound after the decision, but these are offset by steady institutional demand and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
Trade idea: BUY 4075.00, SL 4025.00, TP 4225.00
#SP500: BUY 6785, SL 6705, TP 7025
U.S. equities enter the week on strong footing: the S&P 500 holds near 6,790 after softer September inflation data and lower government bond yields. Markets are focused on the Fed’s October 28–29 decision; the prevailing view anticipates another rate cut, which would reduce borrowing costs and support the valuation of future earnings. The reporting season is in full swing, with expectations for double-digit earnings growth for 2025 and a busy week of results from index constituents.
Fundamentally, the index benefits from a combination of easing rate pressure, resilient profit expectations in sectors tied to digital infrastructure and AI-related investment, and a broadly steady consumer backdrop. Key risks include any prolonged disruption to federal services that could distort the macro data flow, and the chance of tighter corporate guidance given currency strength and fluctuations in global electronics demand.
Trade idea: BUY 6785, SL 6705, TP 7025
#BRENT: SELL 66.30, SL 68.00, TP 61.20
Brent trades around $66 per barrel. The weekly news flow is mixed: on one hand, infrastructure risks linger in the Black and Baltic Sea regions; on the other, international agencies flag accelerating supply growth alongside moderate demand. The earlier OPEC+ decision to allow a marginal output increase and revised surplus projections effectively cap prices despite sporadic supply disruptions and sanctions-related headlines.
By late October, industry assessments imply a gradual rebuild in inventories and a softer price path into Q4, albeit with elevated headline-driven volatility. Additional pressure comes from a cooler global backdrop and rising non-OPEC+ production, while any Fed rate cut would only partly lift the commodity complex. Short-position risks include an escalation of geopolitical tensions that threatens exports and an unexpectedly sharp draw in weekly U.S. stock data.
Trade idea: SELL 66.30, SL 68.00, TP 61.20
Qualcomm new AI chips*Qualcomm made new AI chips called AI200 and AI250:
- After this news, Qualcomm’s stock price went up by 12%.
- These chips help Qualcomm join the AI data center market and compete with big companies like Nvidia.
- Qualcomm’s profits are strong, and it is managing costs well.
- The company got its first customer, called HUMAIN, for these AI products.
- Experts think Qualcomm has good future potential, even if some numbers are mixed.
And technically
We are around the middle of a long-term channel
and regarding the mid-term chart,
We have 3 great zones to enter the market,
both for investing and trading
GBPJPY's Reversal BaseHi Traders!
When looking at GJ, the chart seemed messy as it was in a range for a long time. After finally breaking out of the 200s, priced reach a Weekly OB area in the 203s.
Over the past weeks or so, GJ created a counter trend dipping back into the high 200s area with what it appears to be a reversal base. If this reversal is true, I would be planning swinging this trade into the next resistance areas around 206-207. That will bring price to a previous Monthly Bearish OB.
Despite of how the chart has looked, the trend remained bullish. Therefore, IMO, GJ seems to want to keep its bullish momentum.
Good luck to everyone!
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
EURCHF Reversal zone and swing-trading potentialEURCHF is holding near strong support around 0.9215–0.9240, forming a repeating cyclical bottom pattern. The CCI indicator shows another oversold signal, confirming potential for an upward reversal.
First upside target: 0.9445, then 0.9620 and 0.9850 if momentum continues. A breakout of the descending trendline on the daily chart would confirm mid-term bullish sentiment.
The Swiss franc remains a safe-haven currency, but with easing inflation and neutral expectations from SNB, euro pressure is softening. Improving Eurozone data adds moderate support to EUR, suggesting possible correction higher.
Long setups can be considered from 0.9240–0.9260 with targets 0.9445 / 0.9620 / 0.9850.
Support 0.9210.
Best suited for swing-trading strategies over several weeks.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 27, 2025 USDJPYUSD/JPY holds near multi-week highs thanks to the yield differential and a cautious tone among investors before the FOMC meeting. Elevated nominal and real US yields, alongside restrained monetary conditions in Japan, keep a positive differential in favor of the dollar and support buying interest in the pair.
On the domestic side for Japan, the market still expects very low funding costs in the near term and a gradual approach to any future changes by the Bank of Japan. Given modest domestic demand and uneven price dynamics, JGB yields remain contained, leaving the yen with few sustained drivers for appreciation.
External factors also favor the dollar: persistent inflows into US instruments amid global uncertainty underpin the trend. Proximity to areas that may trigger comments from Japanese authorities calls for careful risk management, but fundamentally there are still limited preconditions for a meaningful softening of the USD against the JPY.
Trading recommendation: BUY 152.900, SL 152.250, TP 153.900
AUDNZD: Price Breaks H1 DTLDaily Timeframe
In early October, price failed to push a higher high so we do need to be cautious of a double-top risk
Price is crossing back above EMA20 so that is a good indication of upside momentum
EMA20 is quite far from EMA60, which means price is quite over-extended
H1 Timeframe
Price crosses above the descending trend line on Sunday's market open, which is a good sign that there's upside momentum
When pice crossed above the DTL and the EMA band, it did revert back and make a quick bounce, indicating that this is holding
Other Notes
Be cautious and reduce size because of the potential double-top formation on the daily timeframe
Sunday's market open might also mean unpredictable momentum during the Asian session and the rest of the week
Gold XAUUSD Macro map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025Macro map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025
Concentration of policy and inflation prints means policy expectations and real yields will drive the United States dollar, global equities, bitcoin, and gold. The hinge events are Wednesday FOMC, Thursday US GDP advance and German data, Friday US Core PCE and Chicago PMI. Secondary drivers are BoJ policy guidance and ECB tone, plus BoC.
Watch list
Real ten year yield and the DXY dollar index after FOMC and PCE
EUR front end versus USD front end after ECB and FOMC
VIX around the FOMC window and into PCE
US liquidity windows around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday
Gold outlook for next week
Set up
Gold trades the sign and size of moves in real yields and the dollar. Policy guidance and inflation prints are therefore the core drivers. A patient or cautious Fed, softer Core PCE, and any rise in macro uncertainty support gold through lower real yields and safe haven demand. A hawkish tilt and firmer PCE pressure it by lifting the opportunity cost of holding a non yielding asset.
Baseline view
The tape prefers a slow glide toward price stability without a growth accident. That backdrop keeps real yields contained or drifting lower and supports gold on dips. The opposite mix lifts real yields and weighs on the metal. Flows often scale in after the first spike around FOMC and PCE once spreads and liquidity stabilize.
Scenarios and probabilities
Upside continuation or breakout. Probability forty. Triggers are a patient FOMC and cooler PCE that push real yields down. A softer dollar would reinforce the move.
Balanced consolidation inside the recent weekly band. Probability thirty. Triggers are mixed signals across events and no major shift in real yields.
Pullback to prior support. Probability thirty. Triggers are firmer PCE or hawkish communication that lifts real yields. Dollar strength would confirm.
Key confirms and risks
Track the ten year real yield and the DXY. If real yields fall while the dollar is flat the setup still favors gold. If both rise, risk control becomes priority. Liquidity can thin quickly in the first minutes after data and during press events. Use predefined risk units and avoid adding into fast markets.
Bitcoin Macro Map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025Macro map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025
Concentration of policy and inflation prints means policy expectations and real yields will drive the United States dollar, global equities, bitcoin, and gold. The hinge events are Wednesday FOMC, Thursday US GDP advance and German data, Friday US Core PCE and Chicago PMI. Secondary drivers are BoJ policy guidance and ECB tone, plus BoC.
Watch list
Real ten year yield and the DXY dollar index after FOMC and PCE
EUR front end versus USD front end after ECB and FOMC
VIX around the FOMC window and into PCE
US liquidity windows around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday
Bitcoin outlook for next week
Set up
At the weekly horizon bitcoin is still a beta expression on global liquidity and real yields rather than a pure inflation hedge. It reacts first to dollar and rates shifts that change marginal risk appetite. The FOMC and PCE prints therefore matter for direction even without a direct link to on chain activity. Weekday flow is led by United States hours while Asia sets the early tone on Monday.
Baseline view
If the policy path looks patient and Core PCE continues to glide lower, real yields edge down and the dollar eases. That mix opens the door for crypto beta to catch a bid. A hawkish tilt or a hot PCE does the opposite. Structural ownership by spot products reduces downside jump risk compared with prior cycles, yet high leverage pockets still create sharp intraday tails.
Scenarios and probabilities
Range continuation inside the recent multi month band. Probability fifty. Triggers are offsetting signals across FOMC, GDP, and PCE. Expect false breaks around event minutes with reversion toward the weekly mean.
Upside extension with rotation into high beta crypto. Probability thirty. Triggers are a patient Fed message and benign PCE. Watch for confirmation from a softer dollar and firmer US equities.
Downside flush that tests prior weekly supports. Probability twenty. Triggers are a hawkish statement or hot PCE that pushes real yields higher. Dollar strength and equity weakness would confirm.
Key levels and risk
Use round numbers at five thousand increments as decision points and the prior week high and low as risk guardrails. Funding flips and basis widenings are useful warnings into event hours. Manage exposure size during the two hour FOMC window and the Friday 08:30 Eastern data drop.
SPY and QQQ Macro outlook for 27 to 31 Oct 2025Macro map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025
Concentration of policy and inflation prints means policy expectations and real yields will drive the United States dollar, global equities, bitcoin, and gold. The hinge events are Wednesday FOMC, Thursday US GDP advance and German data, Friday US Core PCE and Chicago PMI. Secondary drivers are BoJ policy guidance and ECB tone, plus BoC.
Watch list
Real ten year yield and the DXY dollar index after FOMC and PCE
EUR front end versus USD front end after ECB and FOMC
VIX around the FOMC window and into PCE
US liquidity windows around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday
SPY and QQQ outlook for next week
Set up
US equities enter a policy and growth triad. Wednesday brings the FOMC decision and press conference. Thursday brings the first look at Q3 growth. Friday brings the price index that the Fed emphasizes. The path for real yields and the earnings tone are the first order drivers. Valuation sensitivity is higher in QQQ due to the weight of long duration cash flows. SPY has more cyclicals and defensives and therefore reacts more to growth beats or misses.
Baseline view
A patient Fed message combined with growth that is solid but not hot and inflation that continues to ease supports a grind higher. The market prefers falling real yields with inflation in check. A hawkish shift in the balance of risks, or a hot inflation print that lifts terminal pricing, pressures multiples and skews returns lower. If messages conflict, expect a whipsaw week with heavy rotation.
Scenarios and probabilities
Relief grind higher with QQQ leadership. Probability thirty eight. Triggers are a patient tone on Wednesday, a growth print that shows resilience without overheating, and Core PCE that validates disinflation. Breadth improves and volatility stays contained.
Air pocket lower. Probability thirty two. Triggers are a firmer Core PCE or a hawkish shift in the statement language that pushes real yields up. Valuation compression hits QQQ first and deepest. SPY holds better if staples and energy carry.
Two way chop with wide intraday bars. Probability thirty. Triggers are mixed messages across events and sectors. Expect quick moves around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday with mean reversion later in the day.
Key confirms
Watch the ten year real yield and the curve. A drop in real yields with stable breakevens favors a risk appetite day. A jump in real yields with a firm dollar and tight financial conditions favors de‑risking. Also watch VIX and the put call ratio into Wednesday afternoon to gauge dealer positioning.
Risk notes
Large cap earnings that land between FOMC and PCE can add idiosyncratic gaps. Respect prior week high and low as regime markers. If the market opens outside that range and fails to re enter on a retest, trend day odds increase.
Indicators and Trading Signals — How It WorksWhen you first start trading, indicators feel like the secret sauce.
RSI, MACD, EMA, Volume every line promises to reveal what the market will do next.
You start stacking them like LEGO blocks, thinking more confirmation = more accuracy.
But here’s the hard truth: indicators don’t predict they react.
The real skill isn’t using more of them, it’s knowing when to listen and when to ignore.
The Role of Indicators
Indicators are tools, not magic formulas.
They exist to translate price action into structure. That’s it.
RSI tells you about momentum.
Volume shows commitment.
Moving averages reveal trend direction.
Volatility indicators show risk zones.
The power isn’t in the tool itself, it’s in how consistently you interpret it.
That’s why two traders can look at the same RSI line and do completely opposite things.
The Trap: Signal Hunting
Every trader falls into this phase: jumping from one setup to another, waiting for that “perfect signal.”
The problem?
There isn’t one.
Even the best indicators will fail if your execution and mindset aren’t aligned.
Signals don’t make money! Systems do.
Systems combine momentum, volume, volatility, and trend logic, so signals confirm each other, not contradict.
Signal vs Execution
Let’s be real, getting a signal is the easy part.
Following it correctly is where most traders fall apart.
You get a buy signal… but wait for “one more candle.”
You see a sell alert… but hold, just in case it bounces.
You close early because “it already moved enough.”
That’s why automation matters.
It doesn’t second-guess, it executes.
From Noise to System
If your screen looks like a Christmas tree of indicators, you’re not trading, you’re guessing.
Clean it up.
Pick a few tools that complement each other, build rules around them, and stick to those rules.
That’s how professionals think: less emotion, more structure.
Bitcoin Forms Head and Shoulders — Correction 107,500 in PlayHello traders! I’d like to share my view on the current market structure for Bitcoin. After a prolonged period of bullish momentum and multiple impulsive rallies, the market has entered a corrective phase. The price action has formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern beneath the major resistance zone near 121,700, signaling growing selling pressure. Currently, BTC is trading within a short-term descending structure, staying below both the resistance line and the Seller Zone. The recent rejection from the right shoulder area confirms that sellers remain in control, and the market is now moving toward the Buyer Zone, located around 107,500.In my opinion, this movement represents a continuation of the ongoing correction rather than a full trend reversal. I expect the price to decline into the Buyer Zone, completing the right shoulder and reaching the TP1 target near 107,500. If the market finds strong support in this demand area and forms a confirmed reversal structure, it could mark the end of the corrective phase and initiate the next major bullish leg. A successful bounce from this level would open the way for a potential rally back toward the 114,000–115,000 resistance range.This setup provides a clear trading plan — I remain bearish in the short term, looking for a potential bullish reversal from the lower boundary of the structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 24, 2025 GBPUSDSterling is under pressure after softer-than-expected UK inflation. The easing in price pressures has increased the likelihood of Bank of England policy loosening over the coming meetings, narrowing the yield differential in favor of the dollar. While rate expectations are partly in the price, UK releases still point to cooling household demand.
The U.S. inflation print is a potential short-term market driver. Given the high sensitivity to real rates, even a neutral U.S. report can keep the dollar supported. If actual price dynamics exceed consensus, demand for funding and risk assets may be capped, reinforcing pressure on the pound.
The UK policy and economic backdrop remains mixed: budget priorities and household spending face a slowing economy, while the external environment for exports is soft. Altogether this argues for a cautious view on sterling and supports a sell-on-rallies approach in the near term.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.33250, SL 1.33750, TP 1.32250
USD/CHF - Channel Breakout (24.10.2025) Setup Overview:
USD/CHF has completed a rising channel formation and is now showing signs of a bearish breakout below the lower trendline. The pair rejected the resistance zone near 0.7985 – 0.7970, confirming exhaustion in bullish momentum.
💡 Technical Setup:
Pattern: Rising Channel Breakout
Cloud Cross: Adds bearish confluence
Resistance Zone: 0.7985 – 0.7970
Trendline: Clear breakdown structure visible on 30-min timeframe
📉 Trading Plan:
Bias: Bearish below 0.7960
🟥 1st Support: 0.7925
🟥 2nd Support: 0.7906
Invalidation: A daily close above 0.7985 may negate this setup
📰 Market Context:
1.The U.S. dollar faces minor pullbacks as traders await upcoming inflation data and FOMC signals.
2.Swiss franc gains slight safe-haven demand amid geopolitical and risk market concerns.
3. Technically and fundamentally, short-term sentiment favors a downside correction on USD/CHF.
#USDCHF #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ChannelBreakout #BearishSetup #Ichimoku #TradingView #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #FXMarket #USD #CHF #TrendlineBreak #CloudCross
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Please do your own research and use strict risk management when trading live markets.
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EURUSD: H1 Momentum PlayDaily Timeframe:
Price is now below the EMAs, which is a technical downtrend according to my definition. Although this is weak, the past two days have been inside bars. This tells me there's barely any movement or strength to the upside.
The bar for this latest session will likely engulf the previous bars. If the current session's bar closes below and engulfs the prior session's bar, there's a stronger indication of momentum to the downside.
H1 Timeframe:
The confluence with the daily timeframe is that the current session's bar is likely to engulf the inside bar that occurred over the past two days.
Right now, price is crossing below the EMA band, which we I anticipate momentum to the downside will pick up.
Price has not crossed the daily level, but I'm not too concerned there. On the H1 timeframe, price failed to make a higher high, which further makes me lean towards having a bearish sentiment.
US500 Actionable Long Bullish 5 stack fundamental 6 stacks TechCMCMARKETS:SPX500Z2025
Fundamental: Bullish (5 stacks).
Technical: Bullish (6 stacks, Actionable 6+).
20-word summary: Earnings resilience and easing expectations support bids. EMAs aligned, RSI constructive. Dips bought while above 6675; trend continuation favored highs.
Trade plan (LONG): SL 107.768, TP 280.1968 (ATR method).
All stars align however stay sharp, stay nimble as tariffs loom.
Chorus (CNU) major resistance test. Price discovery?
CNU being in the Telcom space has seen a steady and consistent upwards trend since near its inception and being listing on the ASX, with over 600% gain since 2013. In the last 5 years or so we've seen a sideways trend, as the price begins to advance towards test its previous major resistance @ around the $8.80 mark.
On the (W) we can see a gap down after a test of this key area and a mean reversion to the 200MA with a close on the 50MA. Some big seller volume moved in to push the price down, but encouragingly price as respected the current trend line, with signs of a bounce this week.
A potential GAP fill is in play, and a potential for a break above major resistance and then into price discovery for this company. A clear BUY signal would be a break or break and hold after a retest of the resistance of the $8.80 mark. Good luck.
2008 Crisis and How the Banking System Has Changed Since:
⚠️These headlines serve as a reminder that despite the Basel I, II, and III global banking regulations, we have not been spared from systemic risks originating within the financial system itself
🏦After the 2008 crisis, banks became heavily overregulated. As a result, many of their most lucrative investment and financing activities shifted into affiliated offshore hedge funds — entities that remain very much part of the same global financial machinery. They are simply no longer called “banks,” and therefore escape almost all regulation.
💵These hedge funds lend, repackage loans, buy and sell exotic financial instruments, re-hypothecate, and re-collateralize. They use questionable collateral to issue risky loans , which are then resold, repackaged, and used again as collateral again.
💰 Exotic derivatives, curreny swaps, REPO operations, outright fraud,risky options market-making, — you name it — all thrive offshore , far from regulatory oversight yet just a click away for clients. And make no mistake: these so-called “non-banks” are deeply interconnected with the global financial system. If they fail, the shockwaves will be felt everywhere.
📈 The next financial tsunami will begin offshore — but it’s the onshore world that will be hit the hardest . So don’t keep large sums of money in the bank, guys. Once your funds are in the bank, they’re no longer truly yours — they belong to the bank. Your account can be frozen, blocked, seized, taxed, or even converted into shares (as happened in Spain in 2011).
⚠️And remember: banks can fail. They will fail. And when they do — the government won’t save you.
Yours truly,
Greg🌹






















