BTCUSD Long: Volatility Rising — Retest of 90,000 ExpectedHello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been in a corrective phase, forming a broad descending structure guided by the major Trend Line. This bearish pattern has been defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with price repeatedly getting rejected from the Supply Zone and consolidating inside the highlighted range. The market has respected both the descending supply line and the rising Demand Line, creating a well-defined compression of price action.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point, with BTC retesting the Demand Line near the 85,600 demand level. After a series of volatile moves inside the range, the price is attempting to stabilize at this structural support while gradually approaching the descending trendline once again. This tightening of volatility between supply and demand suggests that a significant directional move is likely to occur soon.
My scenario for the development of events is a bullish rebound from the Demand Line, followed by a test of the descending supply line. I expect the price to attempt an impulsive breakout toward the major Supply Zone. In my opinion, a successful breakout above this zone may carry BTC toward the 92,300 resistance target marked on the chart. Manage your risk!
Analysis
EURUSD: Rejection Signals Move Toward 1.15500 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD continues to trade inside a broader downward channel, where bearish structure remains dominant. After reaching the Resistance Zone around 1.16500, the pair formed another rejection near the descending trendline, confirming strong seller pressure and completing yet another fake breakout inside this key supply area. From there, price reversed sharply and moved back below the structure, respecting the market’s overall bearish sentiment.
Currently, EURUSD is pulling back from resistance and heading toward the Support Zone near 1.15500, which has previously acted as a significant reaction area. This zone also aligns with multiple breakout points seen earlier, making it an important liquidity region where buyers have stepped in before. Despite temporary bullish corrections, the pair remains capped under the channel resistance, keeping the downtrend intact.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario as long as the market stays below the descending channel’s resistance and under the 1.16500 zone, my bias remains bearish. The price is likely to continue moving toward the 1.15500 Support Zone, where the next significant reaction may occur. A clean retest of this level could initiate either a short-term corrective bounce or a continuation of the bearish trend, depending on the strength of incoming momentum.
Therefore, if the pair breaks below 1.15500, this would open the door for deeper downside movement within the channel, extending toward lower supports. However, if buyers defend this zone strongly, we may see a temporary upward correction — but any upside remains limited unless EURUSD breaks above the Resistance Zone with confirmation. For now, I expect a move toward support as sellers remain in control of market structure.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD: Buyers Eye Retest of the $4,300 Resistance ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold continues to trade within a well-structured bullish environment following a strong recovery from the lower Triangle Support Line earlier in the month. After a prolonged corrective phase inside a symmetrical triangle, price eventually broke above the Triangle Resistance Line, shifting the market structure from consolidation into bullish continuation. This breakout created a clear trend shift, supported by a steady sequence of higher highs and higher lows. After the breakout, XAUUSD entered a temporary Range phase, suggesting accumulation from buyers before the next impulsive move. Once price broke out of that range to the upside, the market formed a clean Upward Channel, showing sustained bullish pressure. A notable fake breakout above the Resistance Zone around 4,260 occurred recently, indicating strong seller activity at the top of the zone, but buyers quickly regained control and continued to push price upward within the channel.
Currently, gold is trading near the mid-upper area of the Upward Channel, approaching the 4,300 key Resistance Zone. The broader technical picture shows clear bullish market structure, with trendline support and channel dynamics favoring further upside as long as the channel remains intact.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bullish, supported by the strong rebound within the Upward Channel and the consistent higher-low structure. As long as price remains above the 4,215–4,230 Support Zone and respects the channel’s lower boundary, buyers hold a clear advantage. My expectation is that XAUUSD may make a minor pullback toward the mid-channel zone near 4,230 to gather liquidity before continuing the upward movement.
Therefore, the primary bullish target remains the 4,300 Resistance Zone, where a retest is highly probable. A clean breakout above 4,300 would open the door for a stronger rally and signal continuation of the broader bullish cycle. However, if gold fails to break the resistance and forms a deeper correction, the Upward Channel support and the prior breakout zone at 4,215 will be key levels to watch. The bullish bias remains valid as long as these supports hold. For now, the structure favors a long scenario with attention on the move toward 4,300 and potential bullish continuation beyond that level.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSD Short-Term Setup: Buyers Defend Support, TP1 at $89,200Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current market structure. After reaching the Seller Zone near $92,000, the price once again faced strong rejection, forming a clear reversal right under the descending Trend Line. This confirms that sellers continue to defend this area and keep Bitcoin within a broader corrective structure. From there, BTC pulled back toward the Buyer Zone around $86,000–$85,500, which has acted as a reliable support multiple times in the recent sessions. The market is now forming a potential short-term recovery after a fake breakout below this zone, highlighting attempts from buyers to regain control. However, as long as the price trades below the Seller Zone and the descending Trend Line, bearish pressure still dominates the chart. The structure suggests that Bitcoin may attempt a move toward TP1 at $89,200, where the market previously consolidated and faced resistance. A clean rejection from the Trend Line could send the price back toward support for another test, while a confirmed breakout above $92,000 would shift short-term sentiment and open the way for stronger bullish continuation. On the other hand, a breakdown below $85,500 could expose BTC to deeper declines toward lower support lines. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 3, 2025 EURUSDThe euro holds gains against the dollar as demand for USD as a safe asset eases and markets reassess the Federal Reserve’s rate path toward earlier easing. Signs of slower U.S. manufacturing activity and a partial pullback in Treasury yields reduce the dollar’s premium from the rate differential. Additional support for the euro comes from stronger risk appetite at the start of December and investors’ willingness to lock in dollar profits after a strong year for the European currency.
In the euro area, attention has shifted to inflation and signals from the ECB about keeping current settings while disinflation progresses without threatening growth. Services prices remain resilient, but cooler energy imports and stabilizing producer prices reduce the risk of secondary acceleration. In this environment, the dollar’s premium narrows on expectations of softer U.S. activity and a possible Fed policy turn while financial conditions remain easy.
Risks to long positions stem from an unexpected upside surprise in U.S. labor or inflation data that could briefly revive USD demand. Even so, the current balance of factors—slightly lower U.S. yields, stabilizing European inflation, and a constructive risk tone—supports buying on dips with disciplined risk control.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.16400, SL 1.16200, TP 1.17000
Gold price trend ahead of ADP news release on December 31️⃣ Trendline
▪ Rising Trendline (red / upward slope)
Price is moving within a bullish structure, continuously forming Higher Lows.
→ This acts as the main dynamic support guiding the uptrend.
Price is likely to retest this trendline around 4,145 before continuing upward.
▪ Falling Trendline (black / downward slope)
This is the major dynamic resistance, also overlapping with the extended Fibonacci zone.
→ The next potential touchpoint lies near the strong resistance area 4,300–4,340.
2️⃣ Key Support – Resistance Zones
▪ SUPPORT: 4,145 – 4,150
Confluence with EMA + trendline.
This is a high-probability zone where buyers are expected to defend the price.
▪ RESISTANCE: 4,335 – 4,340
Overlaps with the descending trendline.
Matches the 2.618 Fibonacci extension.
This is the main target of the current bullish structure.
→ A reaction or correction is expected when price reaches this area.
Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4145 – 4148
Stop Loss: 4135
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4260 – 4263
Stop Loss: 4270
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
$USDJPY Short Position - Target 152 YenUSDJPY seems to be breaking support for positive volume. If it breaks support, it might retrace back down to at least 152 yen. The bollinger bands and the last 24hr volume is telling. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
EURUSD 2H – Breakout + Retest Continuation PlanFX:EURUSD
Price has broken structure to the upside and is now approaching a key reaction zone. A controlled pullback toward the 1.1550–1.1560 entry zone would confirm demand and provide a cleaner continuation setup toward higher liquidity.
As long as price remains above 1.1505, bullish structure remains valid.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case (Primary Bias)
Hold above 1.1550–1.1560
→ 🎯 Target 1: 1.1620
→ 🎯 Target 2: 1.1670–1.1680 major liquidity target
❌ Bearish Invalidation:
Break and close below 1.1505 stop loss zone flips structure bearish.
Current Levels to Watch
Support: 1.1550 / 1.1505
Resistance: 1.1620 / 1.1670–1.1680
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Metals on the Rise: Is Gold and Copper Ready to Surprise?In November, clients most actively traded metals such as #XAUUSD, #XAGUSD, #CUCUSD, #XPTUSD, and #XAUEUR — these instruments showed the highest share of profitable trades. Today’s review focuses on the outlook for precious metals and copper: investor demand, industrial consumption, mining news, and rate expectations are shaping the sentiment for December and the final stretch of 2025.
Growth Prospects for Metals Through the End of 2025
#XAUUSD — Gold is supported by central bank purchases and heightened demand during periods of uncertainty. The softer the Fed and the lower the yields, the more logical it becomes to buy on pullbacks.
#CUCUSD — Copper: disruptions at mines and rising demand (energy transition, power grids, data centers, transportation) increase the risk of a supply deficit. Against this backdrop, copper pullbacks look like buying opportunities.
#XPTUSD — Platinum: limited supply and stable industrial demand support prices. With a calm news cycle, pullbacks may provide a chance to catch up with more popular metals.
#XAUEUR — Gold in EUR: market volatility and strong demand for safe-haven assets continue to support gold prices in euros. Even at elevated levels, traders still use pullbacks for buying.
#XAGUSD — Silver: industrial demand (solar energy, electronics) combined with gold’s dynamics supports silver. If market sentiment turns, pullbacks may rebound upward.
According to FreshForex analysts , a softer Fed stance, strong safe-haven and industrial demand, and potential supply-side risks create a supportive environment for buyers of gold, silver, platinum, and copper, pointing to gradual price growth. Under these conditions, it makes sense to closely watch pullbacks and key levels for phased position building — while maintaining strict risk control.
EURUSD Uptrend Intact: Price Approaches Major 1.1650 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EUR/USD based on the current market structure. After breaking out of the Buyer Zone near 1.1600–1.1610, the price pushed higher and re-entered the ascending channel, continuing to form higher highs and higher lows along the channel’s Support Line. Buyers managed to defend the zone after a fake breakout, confirming strong demand within this area. Currently, EUR/USD is approaching the 1.1650–1.1660 Resistance Level, where the previous rejection occurred. As the pair moves within the rising channel, bullish momentum remains intact, but the structure also suggests that the market may slow down as it nears this overhead resistance. As long as the price holds above the Buyer Zone and continues respecting the channel’s Support Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A short pullback toward the channel’s midline is possible before buyers attempt another push upward. A continuation of this upward movement may drive EUR/USD toward the TP1 target at 1.1650–1.1660, aligning with the major Resistance Level. A clean breakout above this level would open the door for further bullish expansion. However, a breakdown below the Support Line or a return into the Buyer Zone could weaken the current bullish structure and expose the pair to deeper corrective movement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold Slows at Channel Top — Market Targets 4,150 Before Move UpHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAU/USD based on the current market structure. After breaking out of the broader consolidation phase, gold continued to move within a rising channel, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows along the Support Line. Buyers maintained strong momentum as the price pushed toward the Resistance Line, which aligns with the major Resistance Level near 4,240. However, after reaching this upper boundary, the market showed clear signs of exhaustion, indicating that buyers are struggling to push further into the resistance zone. This reaction suggests that the price may soon initiate a corrective move. At the moment, XAU/USD is trading inside a narrowing rising structure, with the Support and Resistance Lines converging, creating compression. As long as the price holds above the local Support Level around 4,150, the bullish structure remains intact. A pullback from the Resistance Line toward this area is the most likely short-term scenario before buyers attempt another push. This zone aligns with the first target TP1, which also acts as a key reaction zone from previous price behavior. A successful rebound from support could allow bulls to regain strength and attempt another test of the 4,240 resistance. If a breakout occurs, it would open the door for further bullish continuation. However, if the price fails to hold the Support Line or breaks back below the 4,150 zone, the structure may shift to a deeper correction, exposing gold to lower support areas. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Pullback Before Bullish ExpansionQuick Summary
EURUSD is still showing strong bullish momentum, but a short term correction toward 1.15903 is likely before price continues higher to break the previous high. The presence of liquidity and an order block at the retracement zone increases the probability of a sweep before a new bullish push begins.
Full Analysis
The EURUSD continues to maintain its upward structure, and the current price action suggests that a temporary pullback may occur before the next bullish expansion. The level around 1.15903 stands out as a logical correction point
This retracement zone is significant because it contains both resting liquidity and a strong order block. These factors often attract price, as the market tends to sweep liquidity before continuing its primary direction. A sweep in this zone would remove weak hands, fill inefficiencies, and position the pair for a stronger continuation move.
Once liquidity below 1.15903 is taken, the expectation is for EURUSD to resume its bullish trajectory and aim for a break above the previous high. Waiting for a reaction or confirmation at the level can provide a higher quality entry, but the overall bias remains bullish as long as the structure stays intact.
Scenario after the speech of the FED chairman on December 21️⃣ Trendline
Ascending trendline (lower black line)
This is the main dynamic support of the current trend.
Price is retesting the trendline after a strong bounce → holding above it keeps the bullish structure intact.
Descending trendline (upper black line)
A strong dynamic resistance from the higher timeframe, aligning with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension.
Price reacted and weakened when touching it → indicating selling pressure emerging.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance
4,300 – 4,315: Confluence of
✔ 3.618 Fibonacci extension
✔ Descending trendline
✔ Previous supply zone
→ This is the strongest reversal area.
Upside target if broken:
→ 4,375 – 4,380 (Fibo 4.236 + higher-timeframe supply zone).
Support
4,192 – 4,200:
✔ Demand zone
✔ Confluence with EMA + retest of ascending trendline
→ This is the short-term support.
4,125 – 4,130:
✔ Confluence with major ascending trendline
✔ 1.618 Fibonacci extension
→ This is the strong support – target if breakdown occurs.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Structure
The previous bullish wave completed a classic Fib extension pattern:
✔ 1.618 → 4,127
✔ 2.618 → 4,219
✔ 3.618 → 4,310
→ This reflects a fully extended wave, increasing the probability of a correction.
4️⃣ Price Scenarios
Scenario 1 (primary – correction expected)
Price rejects strongly at 4,300 →
🔻 Drops to 4,192 → if broken → moves toward 4,125 (major bounce zone).
Scenario 2 (bullish breakout)
If an H4 candle closes above 4,310, the move may extend toward 4,375 – 4,380.
Trade Ideas
BUY GOLD : 4193 – 4191
Stoploss: 4183
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD : 4300 – 4303
Stoploss: 4313
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 2, 2025 USDJPYThe yen receives targeted support on expectations that the Bank of Japan may discuss the possibility of a rate increase at an upcoming meeting, while in the U.S. the case for a December Fed rate cut strengthens due to weak manufacturing dynamics. This shift in monetary-policy balances narrows the yield differential in favor of the yen and limits USDJPY’s upside potential despite ongoing volatility in global bonds.
An additional factor comes from Japan’s government-bond market: rising JGB yields to multi-year highs point to normalization in the price backdrop and the regulator’s readiness for a more flexible approach. On the U.S. side, weak survey data for manufacturing and a higher probability of a rate cut weigh on the dollar, while lower real yields diminish interest in dollar safe-haven assets.
Risk factors for the short include verbal interventions that may temporarily influence the exchange rate and a sudden shift in Fed rhetoric toward holding rates without clear forward guidance. Nevertheless, given current expectations for the Fed and cautious “Japanese normalization,” the probability of moderate yen strengthening in the near term is seen as higher than the risk of a strong dollar-positive impulse.
Trade recommendation: SELL 155.650, SL 155.800, TP 154.900
$5+ Target for Butterfly NetworksButterfly Networks is one of those stocks that short sellers like to get their hands on, as with many microcap stocks as well. That said, the product seems well developed, they have a large IP portfolio and could potentially be due for a new support line soon. I think $5 before Q2 2026 could be feasible. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
Gold Continued Support Feasible - Next Target for $4500? I believe if the oscillators play out, we can have another trendline support, even with aroon down, it could be quite minimal and a retracement for $4500 support per oz is possible. Gold as an asset and commodity seems to be getting scarcer and the demand for Gold including even in electronics is something I expect will increase. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
How to Build a Consistent Execution Checklist on TradingViewMost trading mistakes don’t come from bad strategy, they come from inconsistent execution.
An execution checklist removes guesswork and replaces it with structure.
When your actions follow a routine, your results stabilize.
TradingView gives you everything you need to build a checklist that stays visible, actionable, and tied directly to your chart.
1. Define Your Core Conditions
Before any trade, the bigger picture must be clear.
Start your checklist by answering three questions:
What is the higher-timeframe direction
Where is price relative to key levels
Is price approaching with strength or weakness
Use TradingView’s drawing tools to mark support, resistance, value zones, and session highs and lows.
Add a simple text note on the chart listing your core conditions so they are always visible.
If the market context fails this first screen, the trade is already invalid.
2. Build Confirmation Criteria
Once structure is confirmed, you move to evidence.
Mark confirmation areas directly on your chart:
Liquidity pools
Fair value zones or imbalances
Previous session highs and lows
Asian range or New York open
If your strategy uses indicators, document exact conditions:
Moving average position and slope
Volume behavior
VWAP location
Volatility expansion or contraction
Define rules that don’t change based on emotion.
Confirmation should prove your bias, not justify your urge to trade.
3. Validate Risk Before Execution
Every setup must survive a risk checkpoint before it’s allowed to go live.
Your checklist must answer:
Where is my invalidation level
How much capital am I risking
Does this violate any daily limits
Is the reward worth the risk
Use TradingView’s long or short position tool to visualize risk directly on the chart.
Save it as a template so your risk process stays uniform across all trades.
No trade is valid if risk isn’t clean.
4. Create a Pre-Execution Routine
A checklist only works if you actually follow it.
Add a short pre-trade process directly to your chart notes using checkboxes or bullet points:
Example execution checklist:
Market phase confirmed
Level identified
Confirmation present
Risk valid
Entry condition active
Walk through this list before clicking buy or sell.
If one item fails, the trade fails.
Over time, this routine removes emotional impulse completely.
5. Review and Refine Weekly
Your checklist isn’t static, it evolves.
Every week ask:
Where did I break my rules
What conditions led to losses
Which confirmations work best
What rules saved me from bad trades
Use TradingView’s trade replay and journaling features to review execution quality, not just profit.
Consistency improves when your system evolves with you.
Final Thought
A checklist doesn’t restrict your trading, it frees you from emotion.
When your process is clear, your confidence increases.
When your confidence increases, discipline follows.
Good traders make decisions.
Great traders execute procedures.
Stay Green!
Break of Structure: Identifying Real Trend Shifts Markets move in phases, and structure is the clearest way to read those transitions. A trend doesn’t reverse because price slows down or because a candle looks different. It reverses when the underlying pattern of highs and lows breaks.
Understanding this sequence is what separates disciplined analysis from reactive guessing.
In an uptrend, buyers defend higher lows and push price into higher highs. As long as this structure holds, the trend is intact. Noise may create deep pullbacks or temporary hesitation, but the narrative remains unchanged.
The first sign of vulnerability appears when price fails to create a meaningful higher high. Momentum stalls, and the next push upward shows less conviction.
The real shift comes when a higher low is taken out. This is the break of structure. It shows that buyers no longer control the market, and sellers have absorbed enough liquidity to push through a prior defensive point.
This is not a prediction; it’s an objective change in the market’s behaviour. A single candle doesn’t define it. The sequence does.
For downtrends, the logic is the same in reverse. Lower highs and lower lows define control. When price fails to print a clean lower low and then breaks a prior lower high, the trend loses integrity. Structure reveals the turning point before sentiment catches up.
However, not every break is a real shift. Crypto produces countless intraday spikes that violate levels without altering the broader narrative.
The difference lies in context. A valid break is supported by:
– Clear momentum into the break
– Liquidity taken before the shift
– Follow-through after the level is broken
– A retest that confirms the new direction
These factors filter out noise and highlight genuine transitions. Watching price break structure is not enough; you must also assess whether the move fits within the larger story of the trend.
A break of structure doesn’t mean instant reversal. It means the previous trend has ended. The next phase might be consolidation, re-accumulation, or immediate reversal, but the bias shifts the moment structure changes.
Traders who read structure objectively adjust earlier and avoid fighting a direction that no longer has control.
Once you internalize how highs and lows interact, spotting real shifts becomes a structured process instead of an emotional reaction. Structure turns confusion into clarity and gives you a reliable framework for navigating both trends and transitions.
EURUSD Long: Channel Support Intact, Path Open Toward 1.1625Hello, traders! EURUSD is trading within a developing ascending channel, where price action continues to respect both the higher lows and the upper boundary of the structure. This upward movement formed after buyers defended the Demand Zone around 1.1550, which acted as a strong pivot area and triggered a bullish reversal via a clear inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. This pattern gave buyers the momentum needed to break back above the mid-range structure.
Currently, after reclaiming this level, EURUSD made a steady climb inside the ascending channel. However, price is now approaching the 1.16250 Supply Zone, which has previously acted as a strong reaction area where multiple breakouts and fake breakouts occurred. This remains the key short-term barrier that buyers need to overcome for further upward continuation.
My scenario: if buyers maintain structure above the Demand Zone at 1.15900 and hold the ascending channel’s support, EURUSD may continue pushing toward the 1.16250 level. This zone, aligned with the channel’s upper boundary, is the main target for the current bullish leg. A clean breakout above this resistance could open the door for a stronger bullish extension. However, if price reaches the Supply Zone and shows weakness or rejection, a corrective pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary is possible while still preserving the bullish structure. As long as EURUSD holds above the Demand Zone and respects the channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. Manage your risk!






















