XAUUSD Short: Correction from Current HighsHello, traders! The prior price auction for XAUUSD was contained within a horizontal range, bounded by the Demand zone 2 near 3335. A key pivot point low initiated a strong bullish impulse, resulting in a breakout from this range and establishing the current bullish market structure, which transitioned the market into a new directional phase.
Currently, the price action is being guided by a well-defined ascending channel. The most recent impulse wave has carried XAU to the upper boundary of this channel, which represents dynamic resistance. The auction is now testing this ceiling after a strong rally, a key area where sellers may re-emerge to challenge the bullish initiative.
My scenario anticipates a corrective move from the current highs. The expectation is that the channel's resistance line will hold, leading to a rejection and a downward rotation back towards the channel's support. A failure to break higher would confirm that a short-term correction is likely. The take-profit is therefore set at 3410 points, targeting the confluence of the ascending channel's support line and the 3405 - 3415 demand area. Manage your risk!
Analysis
Bitcoin will break support level and continue to fall nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The macro bearish bias for Bitcoin was established after the price was strongly rejected from the 121000 Resistance Level, leading to a breakdown from its prior upward channel. This initiated a new bearish phase, first within a downward channel, but the selling pressure for BTC has since intensified, causing a breakdown below that channel's support as well. Currently, the asset is in an accelerated downward fall, guided by a steep local trend line, and is directly testing the critical buyer zone at the 109700 support level. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, now predicated on the failure of this major horizontal support. While a brief consolidation or a minor retest of the nearby trend line may occur, the overwhelming bearish momentum suggests a high probability of a breakdown. A decisive break and hold below the 109700 support level would confirm the continuation of the downtrend and open the path for further declines. Therefore, the TP for this breakdown scenario is logically placed at 104000 points, representing the next major area of potential support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSD Short Opportunity, Bears Take Control BTCUSD is currently trading around 116,980, facing strong rejection near the 117,200–117,500 resistance zone. The recent price action suggests that sellers are gaining control as bullish momentum fades. A sustained move below 116,800 could trigger further downside pressure, pushing Bitcoin toward 115,500 and 114,800 in the short term. If the bearish structure remains intact, the next major target lies near the psychological level of 110,000, which aligns with previous demand zones and a key Fibonacci retracement level. Stop-loss should ideally be placed above 117,600 to protect against any false breakouts. Watch for increased volatility during US trading hours and upcoming macroeconomic data releases, as these could accelerate the move. Overall bias remains strongly bearish as long as BTC trades below 117,500.
USD/JPY Ready to Pop! Double Target Breakout Setup🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
Pair: USD/JPY
Current Price Area: Around 147.040
Chart Pattern: Potential accumulation or base formation, leading to a bullish breakout.
Timeframe: 1-hour chart
📊 Technical Insights:
Support Zone (Highlighted in Red Box):
The price appears to be forming a base or support zone between roughly 146.67 to 146.77.
This could indicate buyers are stepping in to defend this area.
Bullish Arrows with "TARGET" Labels:
The arrows and labels indicate the trader expects a breakout above the consolidation zone.
First Target is just below the 148.00 level.
Second Target is above 148.00, possibly near a previous resistance or high (could be around 148.20–148.40 based on chart context).
Price Action:
Price has broken above minor resistance and is pushing higher, suggesting momentum is shifting bullish.
🧭 Trade Idea (Speculative Plan):
Entry Idea: Long entry around the current price area (146.90–147.05), assuming continued bullish momentum.
Targets:
First: ~147.99 (just under key psychological level 148.00).
Second: ~148.20–148.40.
Stop-Loss: Below support area, likely 146.65 or slightly lower to allow for volatility.
⚠️ Note:
Always confirm trade setups with:
Volume confirmation
Additional indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD)
Economic calendar (news events can impact USD/JPY heavily)
Would you like help drafting a trade plan or risk/reward setup for this?
BTCUSD 1D Chart1. Price Trend and Structure
The BTC price has fallen below the yellow uptrend line – this indicates a break in the bullish structure and signals weakening buyers.
Currently, the price is hovering around $107,950, which is local support (red zone ~108k).
Next important supports:
$104,500 – $103,900
$98,400 (recent stronger demand level + near the 200 SMA).
Resistance to break:
$113,500 (green line, previous support now acts as resistance).
$118,000 (key level for a return to the uptrend).
$124,500 (highs).
2. Moving Averages
SMA 50 (green) and SMA 200 (blue) → classic trend analysis:
The price is currently below the SMA 50, confirming short-term weakness.
The SMA 200 (~$100,300) is still maintaining the long-term trend – only a break below would signal a more serious bear market.
Possible scenario: If the SMA 50 begins to decline and approaches the SMA 200 → a Death Cross threatens.
3. MACD
Negative histogram, signal line below zero → downward momentum continues.
No signs of a reversal (no positive divergence yet).
4. RSI
RSI ~47 – neutral zone, slightly below 50 → not oversold, but showing an oversold market.
The RSI previously rebounded from the ~70 line (overheating) and is now heading down.
5. Key Levels
Support:
108,000 (current)
104,500
98,400 (strategic)
Resistance:
113,500
118,000
124,500
📊 Scenarios
Bearish (more likely now):
If 108,000 fails → a test of 104,500, and in the longer term, 98,400 USD.
A break below 98,000 would signal a long-term downtrend.
Bullish (less likely at this point):
A return above 113,500 and a daily candle closing above this level → a signal for a reversal and a possible re-entry into the 118–124k range.
#DJI30 hits record highs: The index just made history!On August 22, 2025, the #DJI30 surged past 45,700, setting a new all-time high. The rally was fueled by growing expectations of a Fed rate cut, with cheap money once again making stocks attractive. Strong earnings reports from industrial and banking sectors, along with new White House infrastructure investment plans, added to the bullish sentiment. A solid labor market and resilient consumer activity continue to ease recession fears, prompting capital to flow out of volatile assets and into blue-chip stocks. As a result, #DJI30 posted a powerful breakout and reinforced its role as a key barometer of U.S. economic strength.
Why the #DJI30 rally may still have room to run:
Easing Fed policy: Lower rates and controlled inflation create favorable conditions for borrowing and investing.
U.S. infrastructure expansion: Government spending on transport, energy, and digitalization supports real-sector companies — the core of #DJI30.
Strong corporate earnings & dividends: Many Dow components offer reliable dividends, making the index attractive amid broader market volatility.
Shift from risky assets: Funds and individual investors are rotating out of crypto and growth stocks into more stable “industrial giants.”
U.S. geopolitical resilience: Despite global tensions, the U.S. remains a “safe haven” for investors, boosting demand for American equities.
The continued rise of #DJI30 is underpinned by robust corporate profitability and the overall resilience of the U.S. economy. The latest earnings season confirmed the strength of major industrial and financial players, while easing inflation and expectations of a Fed rate cut provide a supportive backdrop. #DJI30 remains a reliable gauge of market stability and investor risk appetite worldwide. According to FreshForex, this opens a window of opportunity for long positions on #DJI30.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 29, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is losing ground after three days of decline, trading around 1.1660 during Asian hours on Friday.
The EUR/USD pair is depreciating amid a recovery in the US dollar (USD) due to US economic growth in the second quarter. Annual gross domestic product (GDP) in the US grew by 3.3% in the second quarter, exceeding initial estimates of 3.1% and the previous 3.0%.
However, the US dollar may face difficulties amid renewed dovish sentiment regarding the prospects for Federal Reserve (Fed). According to Reuters, Fed member Christopher Waller said on Thursday that he would support lowering interest rates at the September meeting and further cuts over the next three to six months to prevent a collapse in the labor market.
Concerns about the Fed's independence have intensified following recent statements by US Vice President Jay D. Vance. He noted: "I don't think we should allow bureaucrats to make decisions about monetary policy and interest rates without taking into account the opinions of people who were elected to serve the American people... The US president is much better equipped to make such decisions."
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1690, SL 1.1610, TP 1.1790
XAUUSD (GOLD) 30M – Intraday PlanPrice is trading between $3,387.70 (resistance) and $3,367.84 (support). Currently sitting mid-range around $3,377, with both sides still open.
🔼 Bullish Plan
Trigger: 30m body close above $3,387.70.
Targets: First push into $3,389.59, then $3,391.19. Momentum extension possible into $3,392+.
Management: Partial profits at first target, move SL to breakeven once $3,387 is defended.
🔽 Bearish Plan
Trigger: Clean 30m close below $3,367.84.
Targets: First into $3,365.16, then $3,362.88, with extension risk toward $3,361.28.
Management: Scale at each level, trail stops if downside expands.
⚡ Range Scalp (riskier)
Shorts: Rejection at $3,387–$3,388, targeting $3,377–$3,378, SL above rejection.
Longs: Bounces from $3,368 zone, targeting $3,376–$3,377, SL below wick lows.
Use smaller size — chop can reverse fast.
✅ Confirmation for Break
Strong 30m body close through key level.
Momentum follow through after breakout.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the range (fakeout).
Multiple wicks through level with no follow through.
📌 Bottom Line: Waiting for a decisive 30m close outside $3,367.84–$3,387.70. Upside focus above $3,387.70 into $3,391.19. Downside focus below $3,367.84 toward $3,362.88–$3,361.28.
CAD/JPY - Channel Breakout (29.08.2025)The CAD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 106.47
2nd Support – 106.30
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GBP/CHF - Wedge Breakout (28.08.2025)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.0862
2nd Resistance – 1.0877
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USDJPY longs due to better than expected Eco dataFor the week ending August 23, 2025, U.S. initial jobless claims were 229,000, below the forecast of 231,000 and down from the previous week's revised figure of 234,000. This suggests a slight improvement in new unemployment filings.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent (0.8 percent at a quarterly rate) in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Due to the above data being better than expected, we can expect the dollar to increase in strength over the short term.
EURUSD: The Pump Before the DumpHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price has been consolidating within a large symmetrical triangle. This has created a well-defined range between the support zone at 1.1545 and the resistance zone at 1.1760, indicating market balance.
Currently, the price is rallying towards the upper boundary of this triangle after a bounce from its support line. This move is taking price directly into the key resistance area of 1.1740 - 1.1760.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on a critical recent signal: the 'fake breakout'. The price pushed above the triangle's resistance but was forcefully rejected from the 1.1740 resistance level, showing strong seller control at the highs.
I expect this current rally to be a second test of that same seller-controlled territory. My anticipation is that the price will again fail to find acceptance above the triangle's resistance line, confirming the bearish pressure.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this rejection, as it would validate the short scenario and likely trigger a rotation downwards. The primary target is the 1.1565 level, aligning with the support zone between 1.1565 and 1.1545 area.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Short: Reversal Expected from the Supply ZoneHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been consolidating for an extended period within a large symmetrical triangle. This pattern was defined by key pivot points, establishing the upper supply line and the lower demand line. This phase of balance saw volatility contract significantly as the market approached the apex of the formation, building energy for a decisive move.
Currently, this state of equilibrium has been resolved with a bullish breakout. XAUUSD has pushed above the descending supply line and has completed a retest, confirming the line as new support. This bullish price action is now driving the auction upwards, directly towards the major horizontal supply zone, which begins at the 3400 level.
The primary scenario anticipates that this breakout is a final exhaustive move into a major resistance area. The rally is expected to fail upon entering the 3400 - 3410 supply zone. A confirmed rejection here would suggest a 'bull trap' has occurred, likely initiating a sharp reversal. The take-profit for this scenario is therefore set at 3340 points, targeting the recent breakout area. Manage your risk!
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 28, 2025 USDJPYThe yen remains under pressure due to the persistent yield differential between the US and Japan and the Bank of Japan’s cautious approach to policy normalization. The lack of readiness to tighten quickly supports carry dynamics and keeps USD/JPY near the top of its recent range whenever the dollar is stable.
In the US, expectations for a rate cut this autumn coexist with still-meaningful Treasury yields, limiting near-term JPY strength. Flows into dollar assets under a steady risk backdrop add support, while Japanese data (including Tokyo CPI later this week) could only briefly temper dollar demand unless it surprises decisively.
Our base case is for an orderly push toward 148.000+ provided the news backdrop remains calm and there are no signs of imminent intervention by Japanese authorities. Risk factors include a sharp drop in US yields or renewed “verbal intervention” from Japan’s Ministry of Finance.
Trading recommendation: BUY 147.150, SL 146.650, TP 148.150
GBPNZD: Trend ContinuationAugust has been a slow month, which I'm hoping volatility with pick up in September. While most pairs have been ranging, GBPNZD has a relatively cleaner trend.
Daily Timeframe:
Over on the daily timeframe, price crossed above a key level that it held below for several months. After crossing up, it found another minor resistance level, which it made another clean break above.
Given the clean breakouts above the resistance levels, this is an indication that the market is pretty one sided. We're not seeing fakeouts or any other indications that sellers still want control.
Hourly Timeframe:
The intraday timeframe is used to optimized my proposed entry. There are two key details here.
The EMA20 is crossing above EMA 60, which is an indication confluence where the intraday trend is aligned with the daily trend.
The pink trendline helps indicate the end of the counter-trend movement. When price crosses above this trendline, it also indicates that I can expect further upside (or that it's very likely).
XAUUSD📈 XAUUSD – 1H Timeframe
🟢 Long Call/ Bullish Candle
🔹 Gold is forming HH & HL (Higher Highs & Higher Lows) on the 1H chart → Uptrend structure intact.
🔹 Fib Retracement Setup → Perfect dip-buy opportunity from CMP (Current Market Price).
💡 Plan:
👉 Buy from CMP 🎯
👉 Book partial profits on resistance levels 🪙
👉 SL below Fib retracement 🔒
🌍 Weekly Fundamental Drivers:
1️⃣ Fed remains cautious on rate cuts, supporting safe-haven demand 🏦
2️⃣ Geopolitical uncertainty & central bank gold buying continue to give long-term bullish momentum 🌐
⚠️ Risk Management: Stay disciplined — let structure + fundamentals guide your trade.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 27, 2025 GBPUSDSterling is trading steady around 1.34500 against a restrained dollar: markets continue to price a higher probability of Fed policy easing after increased political pressure on the U.S. regulator. Lower short-term U.S. yields reduce the premium in favor of the USD, which supports GBP in the pair.
Domestic U.K. factors are neutral: the Bank of England remains data-dependent, but markets still assume the easing cycle in the U.K. will be more cautious than in the U.S. This expectations differential works in favor of the pound in the near term, unless distinctly dovish signals emerge from London.
Key risks for GBP bulls are unexpectedly hawkish BoE remarks or a strong block of U.S. data, both of which could hand back the initiative to the dollar. For now, the balance of fundamental drivers—from Fed expectations to risk sentiment—supports a scenario of moderate GBPUSD appreciation.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.34500, SL 1.33750, TP 1.35500
BTC Professional Market Movement Analysis🏗️ How Market Moves
Liquidity Grab at Support 🟢
Price dips into the 112K zone to collect liquidity (stop-hunts + institutional buys).
Market shows wick rejections & volume absorption.
This is where smart money positions for the next leg higher.
Expansion Phase 🚀
After liquidity grab → market expands upward.
Price pushes aggressively toward the 124K resistance.
This movement is fueled by trapped sellers covering shorts + buyers entering late.
Resistance Reaction 🔴
At 124K zone, market faces supply.
Either:
Rejects and falls back toward support (range continues).
Breaks through → signals strong bullish continuation (trend shift).
📉 If Support Fails
If BTC closes below 111K, it means liquidity is not enough.
Market will seek the next major demand zone (100K) where bigger orders sit.
This creates a stop-hunt + deeper accumulation before a new push higher.
🧠 Pro Definition
Market does not move randomly — it moves from liquidity pool to liquidity pool.
BTC is currently collecting orders at 112K support.
Expect a bounce → expansion → test of 124K supply.
If 112K fails, price will seek deeper liquidity near 100K before rebounding.
⚡ In simple terms:
👉 Market first hunts liquidity at support 🟢,
👉 then expands upward toward resistance 🔴,
👉 and finally decides — either reject back into the range or break higher for continuation.
#FTSE100 hits all-time high — what’s next, higher still?On August 22, 2025 , #FTSE100 closed at an all-time high of 9355.60 points . The main driver of growth was a surge of foreign capital, especially from U.S. investors seeking undervalued assets and boosting demand for UK equities. Defense and commodity companies led the rally, adding optimism amid strong corporate earnings and high dividends. Some bank stocks corrected lower, but the weight of industrial and export-oriented leaders was enough to push the index to record territory.
Why the FTSE 100 is setting new records: 5 growth factors:
Strong UK macroeconomic indicators: Steady GDP growth and a narrowing trade deficit reinforce the foundation for further #FTSE100 gains.
Inflow of foreign investments: Massive capital inflows from the U.S. and other countries have shifted focus and funds into UK equities, strongly supporting the index.
Outperformers among exporters and defensive sectors: Growth in defense, mining, and financial companies provided fundamental support to the index’s upward momentum.
Dividend appeal and low valuations: #FTSE100 offers high dividends and relatively low P/E ratios, making it attractive for investors seeking both yield and value safety.
Global diversification and resilience to local risks: The multinational structure of companies and dollar-based revenues shield the index from domestic economic and currency weaknesses, ensuring long-term stability.
The current #FTSE100 rally is the result of a powerful mix: foreign capital inflows, strength in defense and commodity sectors, and appealing dividends against a backdrop of moderate global rate policy. FreshForex analysts note that if investment flows persist and corporate leaders continue to deliver strong earnings and buybacks, the index may remain near record highs.
VIX- Cơ Hội Lợi Nhuận Vẫn Còn 37%++Investment Outlook
Reference Price: 34,850
Target Price: 48,000
Upside Potential: +37.7%
As one of the hottest gainers in 2025 with a breakout rally since July, the stock has already tripled from its base price. Yet, upside potential remains over 37%, supported by robust trading momentum and a market capitalization that has been re-rated to over VND 70 trillion.
VIX’s Q3 earnings are expected to be highly promising, as both its proprietary trading portfolio and margin lending activities continue to set new highs in line with the VN-Index’s more than 50% year-to-date surge.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 26, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding onto its gains after rising more than three-quarters of a percent in the previous session, trading around 1.1630 during Asian hours on Tuesday.
President Trump posted a letter on social media Tuesday morning announcing that he was removing Fed Governor Cook from the Fed's board of directors. However, Cook said she would not resign because there was no reason for her dismissal. “I will continue to fulfill my duties,” she added.
President Trump also warned that he could impose a 200% tariff on Chinese goods if China refuses to supply magnets to the US. In addition, Trump threatened “additional tariffs” and restrictions on the export of advanced technologies and semiconductors in response to digital services taxes that have hit US technology companies.
The EUR/USD pair is strengthening as the euro (EUR) receives support after the European Central Bank (ECB) signaled a pause in monetary policy easing amid a strengthening labor market in the eurozone. Meanwhile, details of the agreement between the EU and the US indicate that a 15% tariff will be imposed on most European goods, while cars, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors may be exempt from tougher US duties.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1655, SL 1.1585, TP 1.1765
NZDCHF: Downtrend MomentumSimilar to NZDCAD, there's a very similar signal on NZDCHF.
Daily Timeframe:
Unlike with NZDCAD, price broke through support very cleanly. It is currently holding below with no indication of a fakeout.
Likewise, EMA20 remains firmly below EMA60, which is the other indication that this is a downtrend.
Hourly Timeframe:
I use an ascending intraday trendline to indicate when the counter-trend movement is coming to an end. As price breaks below the intraday trendline, that's a good indication of confluence in the overall trend direction.
The EMA crossover is not great, which is a little bit of a concern to me. Will need to reduce risk and potential scale into a position depending on how this trade goes.