$ETHUSDT Analysis - Oct 10 | 4H Time FrameBINANCE:ETHUSDT Analysis - 4H
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe.
After rejecting from the supply zone, Ethereum has reached an IFC, which could cause a price pullback.
On the 15-minute timeframe, look for confirmation signals to enter a long position — the first target is around $4,520, followed by $4,750.
Keep in mind that this setup is very risky, and no entry should be taken without proper confirmation.
The second scenario is a break below $4,200, which could provide a short opportunity targeting $3,950, and then the 4H low. (The break must be confirmed by a full candle close, not just a shadow.)
These scenarios allow you to align with price movement in both directions — the key is to wait for precise confirmations before entering any trade.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...
Analysis
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses, Key Zones, Setups Fri (Oct 10)Session Roadmap (London → NY)
London (02:00–05:00 ET): Expect balance 6792–6807. A sustained London hold above 6802–6805 increases odds of a pre-NY probe into 6809–6812. A London slip below 6784.5 shifts risk to a VWAP check 6777–6780 and potentially 6766–6761 into NY AM.
NY AM (09:30–11:00): Two-way opening likely unless 6812 converts rapidly; watch 9:45–10:05 for the sentiment print impulse.
NY PM (13:30–16:00): If morning sets a trend, expect continuation toward RE1/RE2; otherwise back-to-value rotations inside 6780–6795.
TIER-1 (A++) — Breakout LONG above PDH/ONH
Trigger: 15m full-body close above 6810–6812, then a 5m hold/re-close with HLs.
Entry: 6810.75–6812.25 on the first clean retest/hold.
Invalidation (hard SL): 6804.75 (below retest & today’s open region).
TPs: TP1 6821.75 (RE1), TP2 6834.00, TP3 6841.25.
TIER-1 (A++) — Breakdown SHORT through Y-VAL/PDL
Trigger: 15m full-body close below 6766.5 and then 6760.75, with a 5m retest 6764–6766 that fails.
Entry: 6764.00–6766.00 on the rejection.
Invalidation (hard SL): 6772.50 (back above value shelf).
TPs: TP1 6748.50, TP2 6736.50, TP3 6729.00.
TIER-2 (A+ Bounce) — Quick-reclaim LONG at Value Shelf
Trigger: Fast flush into 6777–6780 with a 1m reclaim of 6780.5 and 5m re-close above.
Entry: 6778.00–6780.50 after the reclaim.
SL: 6771.25.
TPs: TP1 6792.75 (Asia H pivot), TP2 6805.50 (today’s open/nearby shelf), runner eye 6810–6812 if momentum.
TIER-3 (A Bounce) — Exhaustion-flush LONG at PDL
Trigger: Liquidity sweep 6758–6752 that reclaims 6761 on 1m and 5m holds.
Entry: 6754–6756 on the reclaim.
SL: 6750.75.
TPs: TP1 6777.75 (VWAP), TP2 6789–6792 (pivot band).
===
Price-Path Scenarios (most to least likely)
Balance → Break Probe: Early churn inside 6792–6807; successful lift through 6810–6812 post-10:00 unlocks 6821.75 (RE1).
Fade to Value: Early rejection at 6809–6812 leads to a drift back into 6784/80 → 6777.75; buyers defend value and keep the range intact.
Bear Extension (data-shock needed): Clean 15m close below 6766.5/6760.75 opens 6748.50 with potential follow-through to 6736.50.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 09, 2025 GBPUSDSterling hovers near 1.34, but the fundamental balance of forces favors the dollar. Market participants compare potential slowing in US activity with risks in the UK: budget concerns, pressure on household spending, and the Bank of England’s cautious stance. In the absence of new, strong pro-GBP drivers, short-term demand for USD persists.
The US side adds support to the dollar via steady demand for safe assets and expectations of an imminent Fed decision later in October. Even if a moderate rate cut materializes, the desynchronization in the pace of easing between the Fed and the BoE offers the pound few advantages, especially as UK inflation remains above target and tempers confidence in rapid borrowing-cost reductions in Britain.
Net-net, the fundamental backdrop argues for a moderate pullback in GBPUSD. Any short-lived risk-on bursts look fragile: as US newsflow strengthens and dollar inflows continue, upside breakouts in the pound appear limited.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.34150, SL 1.34950, TP 1.33000
You’re Not Competing With the Market, You’re Competing With Self🧠 Trading isn’t a fight against charts — it’s a fight against yourself.
If you’ve ever told yourself “I’ll just take one more trade”, you already know this battle.
But in truth — the real battle happens inside your mind.
You start your day with discipline: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , NASDAQ:AMZN , OANDA:XAUUSD , NASDAQ:META
📋 “ Two setups max. 1% risk. No emotions. ”
But then the market shows you something that looks perfect.
Price moves fast. Your pulse jumps. You click “BUY BUY BUY.”
Seconds later , the candle reverses — and suddenly, you chase a candle, break a rule, or move your stop just to “ give it a little more space ,” you’re not losing to the market my friend, You’re losing to your own impulses. ⚔️
You’re not trading the chart anymore — you’re trading your hope. And that’s what makes trading beautiful — it’s not a test of intelligence, it’s a mirror of your self-awareness.
That’s when the market does what it always does: it punishes emotional decisions and rewards patient ones.
💭 Emotionally! You start bargaining with yourself:
“It’ll come back.” ( When you’re greedy → it exposes it. )
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The market doesn’t care if you win or lose. It simply amplifies your inner state.
You Digest it or not!, the truth most don’t want to accept:
You can’t control the market.
You can’t control news, indicators, or price spikes.
But you can control your reactions.
The moment you stop reacting and start observing — your trading transforms.
Clarity comes only when emotion leaves. 💎
⚡ Trading isn’t about predicting moves — it’s about managing yourself during those moves.
🎯 Real-Life Example:
Think back to the last time you made money on a random FOMO entry. It felt good, right?
That “instant win” wired your brain to believe impulsiveness works.
But the next time, that same instinct cost you twice as much.
That’s recency bias — one of trading’s silent killers.
Your brain craves the last emotion it felt, not the right decision.
💎 True mastery begins when you stop asking:
“Why did the market do that?”
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🧩 Here’s the mindset shift, that changes everything:
You don’t need to win every trade. You need to trade as if you already know yourself.
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If this Idea gave you a value information then please, Boost it, share your thoughts in comments, and follow for more practical trading!
Happy Trading & Investing!
Team @TradeWithKeshhav
$USDT.D Analysis - Oct 8 | 4H Time FrameCRYPTOCAP:USDT.D Analysis - 4H
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe.
USDT dominance has shown a trend reversal on the 4-hour timeframe and has turned bearish.
The OTE zone and the marked supply area could act as potential rejection zones if dominance makes a short-term pullback upward.
On the other hand, we could also see another drop from the current level, moving toward the lower support area near the recent low.
The main target (4%) is already marked on the chart.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...
$BTCUSDT Analysis - Oct 8 | 4H Time FrameBINANCE:BTCUSDT Analysis - 4H
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe.
Bitcoin has been rejected from the $120,000 level, and we currently expect it to move toward the all-time high.
You can look for entry confirmations on the 15-minute timeframe.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...
BTCUSD: Is This the Breakout to a New All-Time High?Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been complex, culminating in a powerful breakout. After a fake breakdown below the 108800 Support level, the price reversed strongly, broke out of its consolidation range, and also pushed above a major trend line.
This series of events shows significant bullish strength. Currently, after this strong breakout, the price is in a natural corrective phase, pulling back to retest the broken structures from above.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that this breakout is valid and the uptrend will continue. I see the current pullback as a classic retest, offering a potential opportunity to join the new bullish momentum.
I'm looking for the price to complete its correction to the broken trend line. A confirmed and strong bounce from this line would be the key signal for me that the pullback is over and the primary trend is ready to resume.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful defense of the trend line would validate the long scenario. My new target for the next impulsive wave higher is 128000, which would be a new ATH.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Gold can Start a Correction Towards 3855 SupportHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The broader market context for Gold has been decidedly bullish since the price reversed and broke out from a prior descending channel. This structural shift established a new uptrend, which has since been neatly contained within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action for XAU has been creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the asset is trading very close to the resistance line of this ascending channel, an area where sellers may re-emerge. My strategy is based on the expectation that the price will reach this line, be rejected, and then begin a corrective decline. I think after such a strong run, a pullback is a probable scenario. A confirmed reversal from this upper boundary would validate the short idea. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 3855 current support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURAUD: DowntrendKey Observations
Daily Timeframe
EMA20 is slightly lower than EMA60 and price is below both to indicate weak downtrend
However, price is also holding below a daily HTL so buying pressure also remains weak or non-existent
H1 Timeframe
Price is exiting away from the EMA band and below both EMA20 and EMA60 to indicate high probability of downside momentum
If price crosses below the ATL, that's a further indication of downside momentum
GOLD (XAUUSD) – 15M | Rejection Confirmed from Top ZoneTVC:GOLD
Market Overview
Gold printed multiple rejection wicks near the upper trendline, confirming exhaustion from buyers.
After the strong bullish rally, the market is now reacting to the rejection area and may seek liquidity lower before fresh momentum resumes.
Current setup favors a short-term pullback toward mid-range levels before potential stabilization.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bearish Case 📉 →
🎯 Target 1: 3,970 (break-even zone)
🎯 Target 2: 3,957
🎯 Target 3: 3,946 (strong support zone)
❌ Bullish Invalidation 🚫 →
Close above 3,992 (rejection invalidated).
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 3,991 / 3,986
Support 🟢: 3,970 / 3,946
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
USDJPY Hitting Heavy Resistance Zone!FX:USDJPY
Price just tapped 150.800–151.500 — a key rejection level from previous highs 🚫
If sellers hold this area, we can expect a short-term drop toward 149.900 → 148.980 📉
📍 Entry Zone → 150.700–150.900
🎯 Targets → 149.900 / 148.980
⛔ SL → 151.550
Smart traders eyeing reaction confirmation before short! 👀
Gold will face heavy rejection from 3,970 zone OANDA:XAUUSD
Short-term correction possible before bulls regain control!
Expecting a drop toward 3,900–3,890 zone before next leg up 📉➡️📈
📍 Entry (Sell Zone) → 3,950–3,960
🎯 Targets → 3,910 / 3,895
⛔ SL → 3,975
Stay patient — retracement could offer the next big long setup!
Bitcoin can Fail its Retest and Fall to 117900 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market for Bitcoin has shown a significant sign of exhaustion and reversal after establishing a new all-time high at the 126000 level. Although this peak was preceded by a strong breakout from a prior downward wedge, the rally failed to sustain, leading to a sharp sell-off. This has shifted the market structure to a bearish bias, confirmed by a decisive breakdown below the key 123300 level. Currently, the price of BTC is in a minor corrective phase, rallying back towards this broken structure. This price action is setting up a classic retest of former support as new resistance. In my mind, this retest presents a high-probability opportunity for sellers. I expect that the price will make a small upward movement into the seller zone near 123300. I think a confirmed rejection from this area will validate the bearish reversal and trigger the next impulsive move downwards. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 117900, targeting a significant area of prior price action and liquidity. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BNBUSDT — Bullish consolidation ahead of resumed uptrendThe bullish consolidation in BNBUSDT that I’ve been watching has begun to resolve in the market’s favor. Price action is coiling after two consecutive white spinning-top candles, a pattern that signals indecision but also a readiness to resume the prior trend when confirmed. The move has occurred on heavier volume concentrated in the current price area, and the pair sits roughly halfway between two key Fibonacci retracement levels — a location that commonly precedes a corrective bounce rather than a full trend reversal. Trend Strength sits just above zero, suggesting a fragile bullish bias rather than conviction.
Viewed on a slightly wider timeframe, BNBUSDT is grinding inside a shallow range that resembles a consolidation brick; the path of least resistance still leans toward the upside provided the short-term structure holds. Conventionally, the presence of consecutive indecisive candles on increased volume near mid-Fibonacci territory combined with a mildly positive momentum indicator favors a corrective rebound rather than an extended sell-off.
Key short-term levels to monitor on the way up are the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement as the likeliest target for the initial bounce, with a secondary cap at the 50% retracement if buyers show enough follow-through. Beyond those, a return toward prior highs remains plausible, though that area will present a zone of elevated resistance and will need clear volume-backed breakout confirmation to be trusted.
RSI and other momentum readings are consistent with a measured recovery rather than an impulsive surge, so expect the move to unfold over the coming 2–3 weeks. If the market fails to sustain above the 38.2% level and momentum turns down, the alternate scenario would be a continuation of the consolidation or a deeper retracement toward the lower Fibonacci boundary.
Short summary:
Setup : consolidation with two white spinning-top candles, heavier volume locally, price midway between two Fibonacci levels, Trend Strength slightly > 0.
Base case : corrective bounce to 38.2% (primary) — up to 50% (maximum) — then continuation higher toward prior highs (resistance zone).
Timeframe : ~2–3 weeks.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 7, 2025 EURUSDThe euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) after France's new Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu and his government resigned on Monday, just hours after the cabinet was announced.
Sébastien Lecornu resigned just a few weeks after his appointment, making his government the shortest-lived in modern French history. This raises concerns about a new political crisis in France and puts some pressure on the euro.
The ongoing US government shutdown may raise concerns about its impact on the country's economy, which could lead to a decline in the dollar and become a favorable factor for the main currency pair.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its October meeting amid signs of a weakening labor market.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1665, SL 1.1745, TP 1.1480
EURSEK: Trend ContinuationKey Observations
Daily Timeframe:
Price breaks HTL and shows downtrend confluence with EMAs
EMA20 is also expanding away from EMA60 to indicate the downtrend continuation
H1 Timeframe:
Swinging this downtrend as intraday upside is exhausted
Price is also showing confluence with EMA20 and EMA60
Bitcoin hits all-time high, altcoins follow suit!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has smashed a new all-time high, reaching $125,700! The rally is fueled by steady inflows into spot ETFs, rising institutional interest, expectations of a softer Fed policy, and growing demand for safe-haven assets. Additional tailwinds include tech upgrades across networks and a revival in trading activity. This historic milestone for Bitcoin has lifted the entire crypto market. Investors are turning their attention back to top-10 altcoins — names with strong recognition, loyal communities, and clear development roadmaps.
Ethereum (ETHUSD) — trading around $4,558.76. The network has undergone major upgrades, making wallets more user-friendly and transactions faster and more stable. Layer-2 solutions are gaining traction, fees are becoming more predictable, and the network load is better distributed. As a result, investor interest in ETH-based tools and its ecosystem continues to grow. If Ethereum’s roadmap stays on schedule, it could further strengthen its position as the go-to platform for decentralized applications.
Solana (SOLUSD) — around $233.30. The ecosystem is preparing a high-performance validator module aimed at significantly boosting speed and resilience. This is critical for high-traffic use cases like exchanges, gaming, and micro-payment services. Solana is also set to gain the spotlight during a major industry conference later this year — a typical launchpad for new partnerships, grants, and product announcements. If improvements are implemented successfully, Solana could gain more ground in the fast and low-cost transactions segment.
BNB (BNBUSD) — approximately $1,208.83. The network continues to cut costs for users and developers, expand its toolkit for launching apps, and maintain price stability through regular supply control. The easier it becomes to build and scale on BNB Chain, the greater the volume — and the stronger the token demand. With security and performance updates expected on schedule, BNB remains a top-tier infrastructure asset.
FreshForex analysts believe Bitcoin’s record high reaffirms the global appetite for digital assets, while strong developments across major altcoins add depth and resilience to the market. Q4 2025 could deliver solid returns for active buyers — with the most powerful surge expected in Q1 2026.
EURUSD: Price Bounce Down from Triangle ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the key event that has defined the current market structure was a 'fake breakout' above the 1.1785 Resistance. After briefly trading above this level, the price was aggressively sold off, signaling strong seller presence and shifting the market into a corrective phase.
Currently, this corrective phase has taken the form of a large symmetrical triangle.
My Scenario & Strategy
The current rally to the triangle's resistance is, in my view, a corrective move that is likely to fail as it runs into an area of seller interest.
I'm looking for the price to complete its move and test the Triangle Resistance Line. The key signal would be a clear rejection from this line, confirming that sellers are still in control and that the consolidation is likely to resolve to the downside.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this rejection. A confirmed failure would validate the short scenario, potentially leading to a breakdown from the triangle. The primary target for this move is the 1.1695 Support.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
$BTCUSDT Analysis - Oct 6 | 4H Time FrameBINANCE:BTCUSDT Analysis - 4H
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe.
After reaching a new all-time high and making a slight correction, Bitcoin has started moving upward again and could rise up to $127,000
If we see any trend reversal in Bitcoin, we’ll discuss it in future analyses.
On the lower timeframe (15 minutes), you can look for buy positions targeting $127,000** and $130,000.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...






















