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XAUUSD: Holds Key Support - Buyers Aim for $4,720 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup. Market Analysis XAUUSD is trading within a broader bullish market structure, supported by a rising trend line that has guided price action from the recent swing lows. Earlier in the move, gold advanced inside a well-defined upward channel, confirming strong buyer control with consistent higher highs and higher lows. This bullish leg eventually led to a breakout attempt near the upper boundary of the channel, after which price experienced a sharp corrective move and transitioned into a consolidation phase. Following the correction, XAUUSD formed a range, where price moved sideways as buyers and sellers reached temporary equilibrium. This range acted as an accumulation zone before the next directional move. Price eventually broke out of the range to the upside, signaling renewed bullish momentum. However, shortly after the breakout, a fake breakout occurred on the downside, where price briefly dipped below support but was quickly reclaimed by buyers, reinforcing demand strength. Currently, price is holding above a clearly defined Support Zone around 4,650, which aligns with the former range high and a key structural level. This area is now acting as demand after the successful breakout and retest. On the upside, XAUUSD is approaching a major Resistance Zone near 4,720, where selling pressure has previously emerged. The recent price action shows controlled consolidation above support, suggesting continuation rather than distribution. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario remains bullish as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,650 Support Zone and continues to respect the rising trend line. In this case, I expect buyers to remain in control and attempt another push toward the 4,720 Resistance Zone (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside expansion. However, a strong rejection from resistance followed by a decisive breakdown below the 4,650 support would weaken the bullish bias and signal a deeper corrective move. Until that happens, the overall structure favors buyers, and pullbacks into support are viewed as potential continuation opportunities. That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ratner
45
BTCUSDT: Buyers Defends, Preparing for Breakout Above $96.5KHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup. Market Analysis BTCUSDT is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish market structure. After a prolonged consolidation phase earlier on the chart, price successfully broke out to the upside and began forming higher highs and higher lows, signaling renewed buyer strength. Following the breakout, BTC rallied aggressively toward a key Resistance Zone around 96,500, where selling pressure became evident. Multiple tests of this resistance area failed to produce a clean continuation higher, leading price into a range formation just below resistance. This range reflects temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers after the impulsive move up. Currently, on the downside, price is being supported by a clearly defined Support Zone around 94,000, which previously acted as a breakout level and is now serving as demand. The market recently tested this support and reacted positively, indicating that buyers are still active and defending the level. Structurally, BTC remains above both the channel support and the horizontal support zone, keeping the broader bullish bias intact. The presence of a descending triangle resistance line within the range highlights short-term compression, suggesting that a volatility expansion may follow once price decisively breaks out of the current structure. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario remains bullish as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 94,000 Support Zone and respects the ascending channel structure. In this case, I expect price to continue consolidating briefly before attempting another move toward the 96,500 Resistance Zone, with a potential breakout opening the way for further upside continuation. However, a clean breakdown and acceptance below 94,000 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper corrective move within the channel, possibly toward lower support levels. Until that happens, the market structure favors buyers, and pullbacks into support are viewed as potential long opportunities, while resistance remains the key level to watch for confirmation. That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
11
EURUSD Descending Channel Points to Further Downside To 1.1560Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (3H) based on the chart structure shown in the screenshot. EURUSD initially traded inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a bullish recovery phase after forming a base from the prior decline. Price respected the rising support line and produced higher highs and higher lows, showing strong buyer control. During this bullish phase, the market experienced several breakouts and fake breakouts near the upper boundary of the channel, signaling increasing volatility and early signs of exhaustion. As price approached the upper resistance area, buying momentum weakened, and the market failed to sustain acceptance above the highs. Near the top of the structure, EURUSD formed a clear turnaround and distribution phase, followed by a loss of bullish momentum. Price then broke below the ascending channel, confirming a structural shift. After this breakdown, the market transitioned into a descending channel, where price is now forming lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that sellers have taken short-term control, and bullish moves are now corrective in nature. A key Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 1.1680 was tested multiple times after the breakdown. Each attempt to reclaim this area resulted in rejection, reinforcing it as a strong supply zone. Recent price action shows continued respect of the descending channel resistance, with pullbacks failing and momentum favoring the downside. Currently, EURUSD is trading below resistance and is moving toward the Buyer Zone and Support Level around 1.1560, which aligns with previous structure and demand. This area represents the next key reaction zone and the primary downside objective (TP1). A reaction or temporary pause may occur there, but structurally it remains a bearish continuation zone unless buyers regain control. My scenario: as long as EURUSD stays below the 1.1680 Resistance / Seller Zone and continues to respect the descending channel, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect sellers to push price toward the 1.1560 Support / Buyer Zone (TP1). A clean breakdown and acceptance below this level would open the door for a deeper bearish continuation. However, a strong bullish breakout and acceptance back above 1.1680 would invalidate the short scenario and suggest a shift back toward consolidation or recovery. For now, market structure clearly favors sellers. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
35
XAUUSD (GOLD) – 4-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisGuys, I have prepared a XAUUSD-Gold analysis for you on the 4-hour timeframe. My friends, the levels of 4657.0 and 4599.0 are the best buy entry points. When price reaches these levels, I will definitely open a buy position and aim for the following targets: My targets: 1st Target: 4690.0 2nd Target: 4730.0 3rd Target: 4790.0 My friends, since the U.S. president has recently imposed tariffs on Europe, there is currently strong buying volume in XAUUSD-Gold. From a fundamental perspective, this is the biggest reason for gold’s upward movement. NOTE – Since the U.S. president has not lifted these tariffs regarding Greenland and has opened a trade war against European countries, XAUUSD-Gold may rise even from these levels and reach my 3 targets. My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏 Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderTilki
114
ETH Is Holding Demand – Buyers Are Preparing the Next PushBITSTAMP:ETHUSD on the H1 timeframe is continuing to respect a well-defined support zone, and the way price is behaving around this area strongly suggests absorption, not breakdown. After the aggressive sell-off earlier in the session, ETH stabilized inside demand and has since started to rotate higher, indicating that sellers are losing control at discounted prices. The most important technical detail is how price is holding above the support zone around 3,070–3,090. Multiple downside probes into this area have failed to produce follow-through, while volume spikes show active participation from buyers. This is a classic sign that strong hands are stepping in, quietly building positions while volatility shakes out weaker participants. From a structural standpoint, ETH is now forming higher lows above support, while price is pressing back toward the EMA. This transition from impulsive selling to sideways compression often precedes a bullish continuation move. The EMA is beginning to flatten and curl upward, reinforcing the idea that bearish momentum has already peaked. If ETH continues to hold this base, the first upside objective sits near 3,166, where prior resistance and liquidity converge. A clean break and acceptance above this level would likely trigger an expansion toward 3,179, followed by a continuation into the 3,195–3,220 zone, which aligns with higher-timeframe targets and unfilled imbalance. The projected path highlights a shallow pullback into demand before acceleration higher a typical accumulation to expansion transition. As long as price remains above the support zone, any short-term dips should be viewed as opportunities within a bullish context, not signs of weakness. In summary, Ethereum is not under pressure it is being supported. The market has already tested the downside and failed, and with demand holding firm, the path of least resistance is gradually shifting upward. If buyers maintain control, the next leg higher could unfold faster than most expect.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by HENRY_TraderGold
2
EURUSD Breaks the Downside Channel — Is the Retest the EntrYEURUSD has just delivered a clear structural shift on the H1 timeframe, breaking out of a well-defined descending price channel that had controlled price action for multiple sessions. This channel was respected cleanly on both sides, confirming it as a valid downside structure rather than random consolidation. The breakout itself is impulsive, with strong bullish candles pushing price decisively above the channel low, the internal swing structure, and the EMA cluster. This type of expansion signals short-covering and fresh demand entering the market, not merely a technical bounce. However, from a professional trading perspective, the breakout alone is not the optimal entry. Price is now approaching a critical retest zone, where the former channel resistance and dynamic EMA resistance converge. This area is technically significant: - If price pulls back and holds above the broken trendline, it confirms a bear to bull transition. - Acceptance above this level would validate the move and open the path toward 1.1660, followed by the higher liquidity target near 1.1695–1.1700. On the flip side, a failure at the retest, especially with bearish rejection wicks or strong bearish closes back inside the channel, would invalidate the bullish scenario and warn of a false breakout, potentially dragging price back toward 1.1580–1.1550. ➡️ Bias: Bullish continuation only if the retest holds ➡️ Key focus: Reaction quality at the broken channel ➡️ Market state: Transition phase patience is critical here This is no longer a chase trade it’s a reaction trade.
by RexTraderGOLD
Gold continues to be a safe haven 20/01/261️⃣ Trendline Main trend: BULLISH Price is moving above the long-term ascending trendline → Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact. The current pullback is only a technical correction within an uptrend, with no signs of structure breakdown yet. 2️⃣ Resistance 4,680 – 4,682: Short-term resistance, previous consolidation zone → requires a clear break and close to confirm bullish continuation. 4,715 – 4,717: Strong resistance, confluence of previous high + upper trendline → high probability of profit-taking reaction. 3️⃣ Support 4,640 – 4,642: Near-term support, technical pullback zone. 4,620 – 4,622: Strong support, demand zone + EMA confluence + GAP → ideal trend-following buy zone if price shows holding signals. 4️⃣ Preferred Scenarios Priority: Buy with the trend at support zones. Break and hold above 4,690 → confirms bullish continuation, target 4,715. Loss of 4,620 → short-term trend weakens, wait for a retest of the lower ascending trendline. Trading Plans BUY GOLD (Scalp): 4,640 – 4,642 Stop Loss: 4,635 Take Profit: 50 – 100 – 150 pips BUY GOLD: 4,620 – 4,622 Stop Loss: 4,610 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4,715 – 4,717 Stop Loss: 4,727 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AstronautPioneer
3
ETH Just Collapsed Into Support — Relief Bounce or Start Break1. Market Structure & Impulse Context ETH has just printed a strong bearish impulse from the upper range, breaking decisively below the EMA cluster (fast + slow EMAs). This move is not corrective — it is an impulsive sell-off, signaling aggressive distribution from the resistance zone near 3,360–3,380. When price leaves a range with this level of momentum, the first reaction into support often determines whether the move is: a trend continuation, or a liquidity sweep before reversal Right now, ETH is at that decision point. 2. Key Zones on the Chart Resistance Zone: 3,360 – 3,380 → Major supply + prior rejection area Mid-Level / Reaction Zone: ~3,240 → Previous structure support turned resistance Support Zone: 3,160 – 3,180 → First meaningful demand after the breakdown Price is currently compressing just above the support zone, not bouncing strongly yet this is important. 3. EMA & Trend Alignment Both EMAs have now rolled over and crossed bearish, with price trading well below them. This confirms: - Short-term trend has flipped bearish - Any upside move from here is counter trend unless price reclaims the EMA zone decisively As long as price remains below the EMAs, rallies should be treated as pullbacks, not trend reversals. 4. Price Action & Liquidity Read Current candles are small, overlapping, and indecisive classic pause after impulse behavior. This often leads to one of two outcomes: - A technical relief bounce to rebalance liquidity - Or support failure once weak buyers are absorbed Liquidity is clearly resting below the support zone, while unmitigated supply remains above. 5. Scenarios to Watch 🔼 Bullish Relief Bounce (Corrective Scenario) Support at 3,160–3,180 holds Price pushes back toward 3,240 reaction level Extension toward 3,350–3,360 resistance if momentum builds ⚠️ This would still be a counter-trend move unless structure flips. 🔽 Bearish Continuation (Higher Probability) Clean break and acceptance below 3,160 Acceleration toward 3,120 → 3,080 liquidity zone Confirms that the impulse was the start of a larger markdown This scenario aligns with EMA structure, impulse behavior, and broader distribution context. 6. Trading Perspective Bias: Bearish continuation unless proven otherwise Aggressive longs are risky inside support without confirmation Shorts favored on: Weak bounce into 3,240 Or confirmed breakdown below 3,160 Summary ETH has transitioned from range → distribution → impulse. The current pause at support is not yet a reversal signal. Until price reclaims key structure and EMAs, the market remains vulnerable to another downside expansion. This is a classic moment where patience pays let the market show whether this support is real demand… or just a stop before the next drop.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
ETH Lost the Accumulation – This Breakdown Shifts the BearishHello Traders....On the H1 timeframe, Ethereum has just delivered a critical structural signal by breaking decisively below the prior accumulation zone, confirming that the range was not continuation but distribution. The sharp impulsive sell off from the upper boundary of the range is not random volatility it reflects a clear rejection from value and a transition into a bearish phase. For an extended period, ETH was compressing inside the 3,260–3,400 region, where price respected the EMA and rotated cleanly. However, the most important detail is how the breakdown occurred. Price did not drift lower gradually; instead, it collapsed impulsively through the range low and the EMA 98, signaling that buyers were no longer defending value. This type of move typically marks the start of a markdown cycle, not a temporary stop run. After the breakdown, ETH is now attempting to stabilize around the 3,210 area, but this should be viewed as a weak corrective pause, not a base. Former range support has flipped into resistance, and price is struggling to reclaim it. This behavior is consistent with bearish market structure, where rebounds are sold and upside follow-through remains limited. The next key area of interest lies at the 3,150–3,160 support zone, which represents the first meaningful demand below the range. If price continues to fail below 3,220, a rotation toward this zone becomes the higher-probability scenario. Any shallow bounce into the 3,240–3,260 region would likely serve as liquidity for sellers, rather than a signal of renewed strength. From a cycle perspective, ETH has transitioned from accumulation → distribution → markdown. Until price can reclaim the broken range low and hold above it with acceptance, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Buyers had their opportunity inside the range the market has now made its decision. In summary, Ethereum is no longer consolidating it has resolved lower. As long as price remains below the former accumulation zone, bearish continuation toward deeper support levels remains the dominant technical scenario, and rallies should be treated with caution rather than optimism.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
ETH 4H Cup & Handle Fails at the Pivot 1. Higher-Timeframe Structure Context On the 4H chart, ETH previously developed a well-defined Cup & Handle structure, with a clean rounded base, midpoint recovery, and a strong impulsive rally into the pivot resistance zone near 3,400. This move initially signaled accumulation transitioning into markup. However, price failed to sustain above the pivot, and the rejection was sharp and impulsive a critical warning sign that buyers were not yet in full control. 2. Cup & Handle Breakdown Dynamics Instead of holding above the handle low and grinding higher, ETH lost the handle support decisively, invalidating the bullish continuation in the short term. Key observations: - The handle breakdown occurred with large bearish candles, not compression - This indicates supply dominance, not a healthy pullback - The “current close” sits below the handle low — structurally bearish When a Cup & Handle fails like this, price often rotates back toward the base, rather than immediately resuming higher. 3. Key Levels & Zones Pivot Resistance: ~3,400 → Major rejection, unmitigated supply Handle Low / Flip Zone: ~3,260 → Now acting as resistance Midpoint of Base: ~3,160 → First reaction level Base Demand Zone: 3,000 – 3,050 → High-probability liquidity target if selling continues The projected path on the chart aligns with a distribution → markdown rotation, not immediate continuation. 4. Trend & Momentum Assessment The impulsive rally into the pivot was followed by: Failure to form higher highs Breakdown of short-term structure Loss of bullish momentum This sequence typically reflects bull exhaustion, especially after a pattern becomes obvious and crowded. Unless ETH can reclaim and hold above 3,260–3,300, upside attempts remain corrective. 5. Scenarios Going Forward 🔽 Bearish Continuation (Primary Scenario) Price fails to reclaim handle low Weak bounce followed by continuation lower Rotation toward 3,100 → base demand zone (~3,000) 🔼 Bullish Recovery (Lower Probability) Strong reclaim of 3,260, followed by acceptance Compression below pivot Only then does a renewed breakout attempt toward 3,400+ become valid Without that reclaim, bullish bias is premature. 6. Trading Perspective Bias: Cautiously bearish / corrective Failed Cup & Handle favors mean reversion, not breakout chasing Shorts favored on: Weak pullbacks into 3,260–3,300 Longs only justified after clear structure reclaim Summary ETH’s Cup & Handle has failed at the most important level the pivot. This is not a normal pullback; it’s a structural rejection. Until buyers prove strength by reclaiming key levels, the path of least resistance remains downward toward the base, where real demand must step in. In this phase, discipline matters more than prediction let structure confirm before committing bias.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
EURUSD Is Not Reversing — It’s Respecting the Downtrend 1. Market Structure: Clean & Disciplined Downtrend EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, clearly respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The structure is bearish by design, not chaotic lower highs and lower lows are consistently maintained. Each orange-circled area on the chart highlights failed bullish attempts. These are not random rejections; they are systematic sell-side responses at the channel’s upper boundary, confirming strong supply control. This is a trend market, not a range. 2. Trendline & Price Behavior The descending resistance trendline has been respected multiple times: - Price rallies into resistance - Momentum weakens - Sellers step in aggressively - Structure rolls over into continuation The most recent pullback failed once again near the upper channel, validating this zone as an active short area, labeled clearly as “Downtrend Trade”. As long as price remains below this trendline, bullish scenarios are counter-trend and low probability. 3. Current Positioning & Momentum Price is currently consolidating after a minor corrective bounce, but this bounce: Lacks impulsive bullish candles Shows overlapping price action Remains capped below trend resistance This is distribution before continuation, not accumulation. The white projected path reflects the higher-probability scenario: ➡️ a minor consolidation → another leg lower toward the lower channel boundary. 4. Key Levels & Trade Logic Dynamic Resistance: Upper channel trendline Short Bias Valid While Below: ~1.1640–1.1660 region (trend-dependent) Downside Continuation Target: Lower channel near 1.1550–1.1580 Any bullish breakout must: - Break the channel - Hold above it - Show impulsive continuation Until then, selling rallies remains the dominant strategy. 5. Professional Trader’s Read This is a high-clarity trend environment: No need to predict reversals No need to overcomplicate structure Simply trade trend + location + rejection The market is offering repeated, clean short setups the kind professional traders wait for. Summary EURUSD is not forming a bottom. It is printing disciplined bearish structure inside a descending channel. Every rally into resistance is an opportunity for sellers, not a signal of reversal. In trending markets, the edge belongs to those who trade with structure not against hope.
by Mathew_TraderGold
2
Bitcoin After the Flush: Structured Recovery or Just a TechnicalOn the BTC/USDT H1 timeframe, price has just completed a textbook distribution-to-expansion sequence, and the current rebound needs to be read very carefully. For most of the session, Bitcoin was capped inside a well-defined accumulation price range around $95,000–$95,600, with price compressing between the EMAs. This behavior signaled order absorption and liquidity engineering, not strength. The failure to hold above the EMA cluster was an early warning that buyers were losing control. That warning was confirmed by the strong bearish expansion candle, which sliced cleanly through the range low and the EMA support a clear range breakdown and distribution confirmation. This move flushed late longs and activated sell-side liquidity, driving price directly into the 92,300–92,600 demand zone, where we now see the first meaningful reaction. The current bounce from this support is technically valid, but structurally it remains corrective, not impulsive. Price has not yet reclaimed the broken range or the EMA, meaning the broader bias is still neutral-to-bearish unless proven otherwise. Your projected upside path aligns with a multi-step corrective recovery: - Target 1 (~$93,600): First logical reaction level where short term sellers may defend. - Target 2 (~$94,600): Former range low /resistance zone this is the key decision area. - Target 3 (~$95,500): Full range reclaim, which would be required to shift structure back to bullish acceptance. As long as price trades below $94,600–$95,000, any rally should be treated as a pullback into resistance, not trend continuation. A clean rejection from that zone would favor another leg down or a prolonged consolidation below the range. Only a strong H1 close and acceptance back inside the old accumulation range would invalidate the distribution thesis and open the door for sustained upside. 👉 The bounce is real but the trend is still on trial. Patience at resistance will reveal whether this is smart money reloading or simply a dead cat bounce after the flush.
by RexTraderGOLD
2
USD/JPY(20260120)Today's AnalysisMarket News: According to sources who spoke to CNBC on Monday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell plans to appear before the U.S. Supreme Court on Wednesday for oral arguments. The case centers on whether President Trump has the authority to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook from her post. Powell's planned appearance comes as he faces a criminal investigation by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Columbia for his involvement in a multi-billion dollar renovation project at the Federal Reserve headquarters and related congressional testimony. The Associated Press first reported Powell's plans. It is extremely rare for a Federal Reserve chairman to personally appear for oral arguments in such a case. However, the question of whether a president can remove a Federal Reserve governor in the manner Trump has attempted is considered within the Fed to be a potentially fundamental issue concerning the central bank's survival. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 157.89 Support and Resistance Levels: 158.62 158.34 158.17 157.60 157.43 157.15 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 158.17, consider buying with a first target price of 158.34. If the price breaks below 157.89, consider selling with a first target price of 157.60.
Short
by GoldDiggerPig
USOIL — High Risk — 01/19/2026The current state of the world makes this a high risk trade, but my set up is clear. Let's see what happens. Indication — Last week, price broke the previous high at 59.77 to find the new level of sellers at 62.36. Correction — After reaching this new level of sellers price corrected back to the previous swing high and swing low levels in the uptrend (the break-out level). Continuation — Currently, buyers and sellers are equal, but if price gets above 59.77, it is a signal that buyers have momentum and are taking control of the market. At 59.77 I will put my trust in the market structure and buy the continuation to 62.36, the price that the market showed us that it's capable of reaching as of last week. Condition: I will place this trade so long as price doesn't break the 4H swing low first.
TVC:USOILLong
by CashFalcon
2
UMAC: when unusual machines start printing moneyUnusual Machines operates in a high-risk, niche technology segment driven by speculative demand and rapid capital rotation. Recent attention to the stock has increased sharply due to volume expansion and growing market interest. This is not a value-driven story but a momentum-driven one, where price behavior and liquidity flows dominate decision-making. Such stocks are often used by funds and traders during risk-on phases to accelerate returns through volatility. Technically, UMAC has broken out from a long accumulation base and confirmed a structural trend shift. Price is holding above the key 0.618 Fibonacci level, signaling strong bullish control. The current structure resembles post-breakout consolidation with continuation potential. The primary scenario targets 26.1 and 39.3 based on Fibonacci extensions, provided price holds above the 17.5–18.0 zone. An alternative scenario allows for a pullback toward 12.8–13.0, which may act as a re-entry support zone. CCI remains in positive territory, confirming sustained momentum. When markets reward risk, stocks like this do not move quietly. They move fast, and they move without apology.
AMEX:UMACLong
by InvestWorld_777
No One Is Talking About the Compounding EffectCompounding is the quiet force behind long-term trading performance, yet it receives far less attention than entries, indicators, or win rates. Most traders focus on how much they can make on the next trade. Very few focus on how consistently they can protect capital so growth can stack over time. Compounding works only when losses are controlled. A small drawdown requires a modest recovery. A large drawdown demands exponential effort just to return to break-even. This is where many traders unknowingly sabotage themselves. They chase higher returns while ignoring how volatility, overexposure, and mistake clustering interrupt the compounding process. The math is simple, but the behavior is difficult. Consistent gains, even small ones, build on each other. In contrast, irregular large losses reset progress. A trader who averages steady, controlled returns often outperforms one who alternates between big wins and deep drawdowns. The difference is not talent. It is durability. Compounding is also sensitive to frequency. More trades do not automatically mean faster growth. Each trade carries execution costs, slippage, and decision risk. When frequency increases without a proportional increase in edge, the compounding curve flattens. Fewer, higher-quality trades allow gains to accumulate without being eroded by friction. Risk scaling plays a critical role. Increasing size because the account grew is logical only when conditions remain supportive. Scaling during volatility expansion or structural uncertainty increases the chance of giving back compounded gains. Accounts grow fastest when size increases follow stability, not excitement. Time is another overlooked variable. Compounding rewards patience. It favors traders who stay in the game long enough for probabilities to express themselves. Missing a trade has little impact. Breaking discipline has a lasting one. The compounding effect does not reward aggression. It rewards consistency, restraint, and respect for risk. Traders who understand this stop measuring success by single trades and start measuring it by how smoothly their equity curve progresses. Over months and years, that mindset separates short bursts of performance from sustainable growth.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SamDrnda
23
EURUSD: Bullish Setup After Corrective Channel PullbackHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup. Market Analysis EURUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure, supported by a rising trend line that has guided price action from the recent swing lows. Earlier in the move, price formed a clear accumulation range, where the market consolidated before initiating an upside breakout. This breakout was followed by continuation to the upside, confirming strong buyer participation and a bullish shift in market control. After the impulsive move higher, EURUSD entered a corrective phase, forming a well-defined descending channel. This pullback appears corrective rather than impulsive, as price action remains orderly with overlapping candles and decreasing momentum — a typical bullish retracement behavior. Importantly, this correction is occurring above the higher-timeframe ascending trend line, preserving the overall bullish structure. Currently, price is reacting from the Support Zone around 1.1600–1.1620, which aligns with: The lower boundary of the descending channel. A key horizontal support level. The rising trend line from prior lows. This confluence increases the probability of buyers stepping in. On the upside, the Resistance Zone near 1.1680 represents the prior breakout level and the top of the corrective structure. A successful reclaim of this zone would confirm the end of the correction and signal bullish continuation. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario remains bullish as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1600 Support Zone and respects the rising trend line. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt a push higher toward the 1.1680 Resistance Level (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above 1.1680 would confirm bullish continuation and open the path toward higher targets. However, a decisive breakdown below the support zone and trend line would weaken the bullish structure and suggest a deeper corrective move or potential range formation. For now, structure favors buyers while price holds above support. As always, manage your risk and wait for confirmation at key levels. That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
18
XAUUSD: Bullish Channel Intact - Upside Toward 4,660 in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup. Market Analysis XAUUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure, supported by a well-defined upward channel that has guided price action from the recent swing lows. Inside this channel, gold has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, confirming sustained buyer control. During the advance, price experienced several corrective pullbacks, all of which were contained within the channel, highlighting strong demand on dips. As price moved higher, XAUUSD broke above a prior consolidation area and successfully retested the former resistance as support, confirming the strength of the breakout. This area is now marked as a clear Support Zone around 4,570–4,580, which aligns with the mid-channel structure and previous breakout reactions. Currently, price is consolidating just below a major Resistance Zone near 4,650–4,660, located at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Multiple tests of this area show hesitation, but there is no clear bearish rejection yet. The price action near resistance appears corrective and controlled, suggesting consolidation rather than distribution. As long as price holds above the key support zone, the bullish structure remains intact. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario remains bullish while XAUUSD trades above the 4,570–4,580 Support Zone and continues to respect the upward channel structure. A sustained hold above support increases the probability of another attempt to push toward the 4,650–4,660 Resistance Zone. A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside expansion. However, a strong rejection from resistance followed by a decisive breakdown below the support zone would weaken the bullish bias and signal a deeper corrective move within the broader structure. Until that happens, market structure favors buyers, with dips into support viewed as potential continuation opportunities. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ratner
14
Gold Price Respects Ascending Trend Line - Next Target 4,680Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure shown in the screenshot. XAUUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure, supported by a well-defined ascending trend line that has guided price action since the market formed a solid base and started to grow. After the initial recovery, gold transitioned into a consolidation range, where price moved sideways, showing temporary balance between buyers and sellers. This range was eventually resolved to the upside with a clean breakout, confirming renewed bullish momentum. Following the breakout, price continued higher along the rising trend line, forming higher highs and higher lows. During this advance, the market experienced several false breakouts and shallow corrections, all of which were absorbed above the trend line, highlighting strong demand on pullbacks. The area around 4,540–4,560 is clearly defined as a Buyer Zone / Support Level, where previous resistance flipped into support and buyers repeatedly stepped in. Currently, XAUUSD is trading above the Buyer Zone and holding above the ascending trend line, which keeps the bullish structure intact. Price is now approaching the Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 4,660–4,680, which aligns with a descending resistance line from prior highs. This area represents a key supply zone where selling pressure may emerge and cause a reaction or short-term consolidation. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains above the Buyer Zone and continues to respect the rising trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to defend pullbacks into support and attempt a continuation move toward the 4,680 Resistance Level (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm further bullish continuation and open the door for higher targets. However, a strong rejection from the Seller Zone followed by a decisive breakdown below the Buyer Zone and trend line would weaken the bullish structure and signal a deeper corrective move. For now, price is at a key decision area near resistance, and patience with proper risk management is essential. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
29
BTCUSD Facing Rejection at Seller Zone - Short Scenario in PlayHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. BTCUSD is currently trading within a broader corrective-to-bearish structure after failing to sustain bullish momentum near the recent highs. Earlier in the session, price moved inside an ascending channel, where higher highs and higher lows suggested temporary buyer control. However, as price approached the major Resistance Level / Seller Zone around 97,100, bullish momentum began to weaken significantly. At this resistance, BTCUSD printed a fake breakout, signaling exhaustion of buyers and strong seller presence. The inability to hold above the Seller Zone marked a local top and triggered a structural reaction. Following this rejection, price started to compress between a descending resistance line and a rising support line, forming a tightening structure that reflects increasing selling pressure and distribution near the highs. Prior to this move, BTCUSD had traded within a well-defined range, where price consolidated before breaking out impulsively to the upside. That breakout led directly into the Seller Zone, but the lack of acceptance above resistance confirms that the breakout was likely a liquidity grab rather than a true continuation. Since then, price has moved back below the resistance level and is now trading under the key intraday structure. Currently, BTCUSD is holding below the Seller Zone (97,100) and failing to reclaim the resistance line, which keeps the short-term bias tilted to the downside. Below current price, the Support Level / Buyer Zone around 93,100 stands out as the next key area of interest. This zone aligns with previous range support and represents a logical TP1 target, where buyers may attempt to step back in. My scenario: as long as BTCUSD remains below the 97,100 Resistance Level and continues to respect the descending resistance structure, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect price to continue lower toward the 93,100 Support Level (TP1). A clean breakdown and acceptance below this support could open the door for a deeper corrective move. However, a strong bullish reclaim and acceptance above the Seller Zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and signal a potential continuation to the upside. For now, market structure favors sellers while price trades below resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
22
EUR NZD SHORTS - RANGE DOWNSIDE BREAK As my previous point on EURNZD showed the pair was trading within a range, last week we had attempts to break to the upside which was halted at resistance, and the previous high at 2.00300 . Since this level also in confluence with the decending trend line that EURNZD has pushed lower and has broken the bottom bound of the range at 2.01787 . Now price has broken and retested this level I am expecting downwards price movement towards 2.00741 the next trading week
Short
by BillionsFx
Can the Venezuela Crisis Spark the Next Rally?Gold (XAUUSD) Price Outlook: Can the Venezuela Crisis Spark the Next Rally? 1. Market Context: Margin Hike Drives Forced Selling, Not Structural Weakness Gold closed last week with a sharp downside move, but the decline was driven primarily by a technical and mechanical factor rather than a deterioration in fundamentals. The increase in futures margin requirements forced leveraged traders to liquidate positions, triggering a cascade of sell orders. This type of margin-driven selloff typically exaggerates price moves and does not, by itself, signal a change in the broader trend. Despite the magnitude of the drop, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. 2. Trader Behavior Shift: From Momentum Chasing to Selective Positioning For several months, traders aggressively chased upside momentum, consistently lifting offers as price moved higher. The margin hike has altered that behavior. With higher capital requirements, participants are now more selective, focusing on value zones and confirmation rather than momentum alone. Until upside momentum re-emerges, gold is likely to trade with more caution and tactical positioning rather than impulsive trend extension. 3. Weekly Close Snapshot: Sharp Loss, Trend Still Preserved XAUUSD settled last week at $4,332.06, down $201.14 (-4.44%). While the weekly decline was significant, it did not violate the core structure of the uptrend. From a professional trading perspective, this type of correction is consistent with position rebalancing rather than trend failure, especially after an extended rally. 4. Primary Technical Structure: Defining Bullish and Bearish Boundaries From a technical standpoint, the main trend remains bullish. A sustained break above $4,550 would confirm trend continuation and signal renewed upside expansion. Conversely, the trend would only shift decisively bearish if price breaks below $3,886 on a weekly closing basis. Until one of these levels is resolved, gold remains structurally bullish within a corrective phase. 5. Key Decision Zone: $4,218–$4,139 Sets the Near-Term Tone The most critical area in the current structure lies between $4,218 and $4,139, a key retracement zone. Price reaction here will determine the next directional move. Strong buying interest on the first test would suggest the formation of a secondary higher low, reinforcing bullish continuation toward the record high near $4,550. Failure to hold $4,139, however, would signal weakness and increase the probability of a deeper corrective leg toward $3,886. 6. Long-Term Value Area: Where Institutional Buyers May Step In For longer-term positioning, the weekly chart highlights a high-confluence support cluster between $3,545 and $3,472. This zone aligns with the 50% retracement of the rally from the November 2024 low at $2,537, as well as the 52-week moving average near $3,472. As long as this moving average holds, the broader market regime remains firmly in “buy-the-dip” mode rather than a trend reversal environment. 7. Geopolitical Catalyst: Venezuela Crisis Adds Risk Premium Fundamentally, gold has received a fresh tailwind from rising geopolitical uncertainty. Developments in Venezuela escalated after the U.S. launched a military strike and detained President Nicolás Maduro on criminal charges. President Donald Trump’s statement that the U.S. would oversee Venezuela during a transition period has added further uncertainty. Any escalation or instability tied to this situation has the potential to reintroduce a geopolitical risk premium into gold prices. 8. Macro Focus: U.S. Jobs Data and Fed Policy Expectations Attention now turns to the upcoming December U.S. jobs report, which will be closely monitored by both traders and policymakers. Federal Reserve officials have emphasized that labor market conditions will play a key role in shaping the rate-cut path into 2026. Recent policy minutes revealed internal divisions, with labor data and inflation as the primary points of disagreement. A weaker employment print could strengthen expectations for additional rate cuts, indirectly supporting gold. 9. Week Ahead Outlook: Volatility Before Clarity In the near term, gold is likely to experience heightened volatility as markets react to developments in Venezuela. Bias may remain cautiously to the upside as long as geopolitical uncertainty persists. However, the more decisive macro-driven move may not materialize until after the jobs data is fully absorbed. For now, gold sits at a critical junction—supported by long-term structure, constrained by near-term resistance, and highly sensitive to geopolitical and macroeconomic headlines.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
EURUSD: Trendline Rejection Confirms Bearish ControlFX:EURUSD Is currently trading in a clear short-term downtrend, defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The dotted descending trendline is acting as a dynamic resistance, and price has respected it with high accuracy. Two key moments stand out: - The first rejection from the trendline marked the start of bearish momentum. - The second retest and rejection (highlighted by the orange circle) confirms that sellers remain firmly in control and that bullish pullbacks are corrective, not impulsive. This behavior reinforces the idea that the market is not accumulating for reversal, but rather distributing before continuation to the downside. 🟢 Demand Zone – Reaction, Not Revers al Price has now reached a short-term demand/support zone, where we see a temporary slowdown and small consolidation candles. However, it’s important to note: The move into the demand zone was impulsive and aggressive, indicating strong sell-side pressure. The current bounce lacks volume expansion and structure → no clear bullish confirmation. This type of price action typically represents pause + absorption, not a trend change. In strong trends, demand zones are often broken on the second or third test, especially when they are approached with momentum. 🧠 Probable Scenarios Primary scenario (higher probability): Price makes a weak corrective bounce from the demand zone. Fails below the descending trendline. Breaks and closes below the demand zone → continuation lower toward 1.158x – 1.156x liquidity. Alternative scenario (lower probability): Price forms a clear higher low, breaks the trendline with acceptance, and reclaims prior structure. Only then would a short-term bullish correction be considered valid. il that happens, any upside is corrective. 🎯 Key Takeaway for Traders As long as EURUSD remains below the descending trendline, the market structure favors sell-the-rally logic, not bottom fishing. The demand zone is being tested under bearish pressure, and without strong confirmation, it is more likely to fail than hold. Trend first, zones second. And the trend is still bearish. Trade patiently, wait for confirmation, and manage risk accordingly.
Short
by Mathew_TraderGold