APPLE Massively oversold RSI. Short-term buy??Almost 2 months ago (December 05 2025, see chart below), we gave a massive long-term Sell Signal on APPLE (AAPL) as it hit the top of its 4-year Channel Up and the 1.236 Fibonacci extension:
The price immediately dropped and we are now on a strong weekly selling streak that is approaching the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which is generally the first technical Support during corrections.
However, the 1D RSI turned massively oversold as it hit 20.00 and this is technically the first Buy Signal but only on a short-term basis. In fact, every correction within this Channel Up pattern, always rebounded around the same point we are at today, to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then resumed the long-term downtrend to test the 1W MA50. This 1D MA50 test may take place at $265.
Whether that's a traditional Bear Cycle (like in 2022) or a shorter correction, the deciding factor will be the 1W MA50 test. We expect that to be at $236, which is also where the 0.382 Fib is (tested previously on the October 26 2023 low). A break below it, will technically open the way for further downside towards the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
In that case, we will maintain a long-term target/ Buy Zone within $210 - $200, whose bottom will still be marginally less than the -32.00% of 2022 or the -35.00% of early 2025.
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