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Ascending Triangle

GOLD → Correction / consolidation before growth FX:XAUUSD has been rallying since the opening of the session, which we anticipated in yesterday's analysis. It has gained 1.6%, with the price reaching a new high of 3820. Technically, there is no potential for further growth in the short term, and the market may enter a phase of correction or consolidation. Key supporting factors : Risk of a US government shutdown. Pressure on the USD is intensifying due to fiscal uncertainty. Unconfirmed reports of negotiations between Trump and Netanyahu on Gaza are not yet distracting attention from the risks. The further dynamics of the metal this week will depend on US labour market data. This week will see JOLTS vacancies, ADP, PMI indices and the key NFP report on Friday. If they confirm the strength of the economy, expectations of a Fed rate cut (currently ~40 bps by the end of the year) may diminish, strengthening the dollar. Resistance levels: 3819, 3825 Support levels: 3804, 3791, 3777 The market is experiencing an aggressive trend. The fall of the dollar supports the growth of gold. However, the price of the metal is slowing down temporarily, and a correction is expected. The hunt for liquidity is beginning in order to continue growth. Technically, the focus is on 3804 - 3791. A false breakdown of support could resume the bull run. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
24
GOLD → The hunt for liquidity ahead of growth FX:XAUUSD . Technical analysis for the new trading session. On Friday, the local correction ended and there was a strong bullish impulse, which was sold off by the end of the session. What to expect next? Gold is trading in the upper half of the current trading range of 3728-3791. The US session initiated the end of the technical correction, which ended with a breakout of the consolidation resistance at 3755. A momentum of 300 pips was formed, and the price hit the local limit resistance zone of 3783, from which the market began to sell off. However, the current correction of the bullish momentum is not so scary in the current perspective, as MM is forming a retest of the zone of interest to capture liquidity in order to continue the bullish trend. Thus, a false breakdown of the support zone 3759 - 3755 or the ascending line may shift the momentum towards the bulls, which in turn may lead to growth to 3783 - 3791. Resistance levels: 3783, 3791, 3800, 3810 Support levels: 3759, 3755, 3743 If, during the retest of the support zone, the bulls keep the price above the blue zone at 3759, this will be a positive sign confirming the bullish structure, which could lead to a price recovery and a retest of the ATH. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
BITCOIN → Stagnation. A brief overview of the current situation.BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through the trend line support. Despite the positive fundamental background and bullish trend, the market is forming a countertrend correction. The decline in interest rates in the US has had a negative impact on the cryptocurrency market. Can this be called manipulation? Most likely, yes. But the cryptocurrency market needs a constant driver to keep it alive; calm or neutral conditions lead to corrections and retests of intermediate lows... As for Bitcoin, I have identified several key areas: the boundaries of the current consolidation at 109,850 and 108,575. Accordingly, a breakout and close above or below one of these boundaries could trigger a move in the corresponding direction. But within the local trend, we can expect a decline to the intermediate bottom of 107,400, from which an attempt at growth could form. In addition, an important zone is the conglomerate of resistance at 110K and the ascending support line. If the price can form an upward momentum and close above the trend support, the market may react positively. Resistance levels: 109,850 - 110K, 111,500 Support levels: 108,500, 107,400 After breaking through the trend support, there is no momentum and the price is consolidating. This suggests that the market does not believe this premise and a battle for the area is forming. If the bulls can hold their ground and bring the price back within the boundaries of the uptrend, then it may be worth looking for a buying opportunity. Otherwise, it is worth waiting for a retest of the intermediate bottom at 107,400 before looking for an opportunity to open long positions. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of the news. Rise or fall?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3738-3759 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data, a key indicator for forecasting further Fed policy. Pressure on the metal is intensifying amid a strengthening dollar. The revision of GDP growth in Q2 to 3.8%, a decline in jobless claims, and an increase in durable goods orders have lowered expectations for aggressive Fed easing. The new tariffs imposed by Trump have supported demand for defensive assets, but have not been able to offset the pressure from the rise of the USD. The overall fundamental backdrop is stagnant amid Powell's uncertain stance and the start of a rate cut cycle. The market reaction is mixed... Gold is in wait-and-see mode. Strong PCE data could send the price to support at $3700, while weak data could bring back interest in record highs. Resistance levels: 3754, 3759, 3776 Support levels: 3738, 3728, 3703 Technically, the price is storming the resistance of the downward correction and the resistance of the “triangle” consolidation. A breakout and close above 3754-3759 will confirm the bullish sentiment, which could trigger growth towards the ATH. Otherwise, we can expect a retest of 3738-3728 before a possible rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
3
EURJPY → The classical model of technical analysis FX:EURJPY is attempting to break through resistance. The trend is bullish, and the probability of continued growth after consolidation above 174.50 is quite high... The market is forming an uptrend amid a decline in the dollar index. EURJPY looks quite strong, breaking through resistance at 174.47 sends the price into a void zone where there are no barriers to growth. A breakout of the “ascending triangle” consolidation resistance is forming. If the bears keep the price above 174.47, the market may enter a distribution phase... Resistance levels: 174.47, 175.0 Support levels: 174.226, 173.86 The classic technical model for the continuation of the movement is a breakout of the resistance of the ascending triangle. Consolidation of the price above 174.47 - 174.5 may provoke a continuation of the movement within the bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Intermediate bottom. Consolidation before growth FX:XAUUSD is being sold off and declining amid profit-taking following speeches by Powell and Trump. However, the market is quite aggressive amid falling interest rates. After forming an interim bottom, the market quickly bought back the decline. Gold is correcting after record growth, awaiting new signals from Fed representatives and PCE inflation data on Friday. The price remains close to historic highs, but the upward momentum has temporarily slowed, with consolidation forming at 3752-3791. Key factors : Powell gave no clear hints about future rate cuts, noting the risks of rising inflation and a weakening labor market. The probability of a rate cut in October has risen to 92%, but the Fed's sentiment index is fluctuating somewhat... The risk of a US government shutdown on October 1 and mixed PMI data are holding back the USD's strengthening. Technically, gold remains in a bullish trend, but consolidation is possible in the short term. PCE data will be the deciding factor — weak figures will support the metal, while strong figures will trigger a correction. Resistance levels: 3776.9, 3791, 3800 Support levels: 3767, 3752, 3738 The price is consolidating. Before reaching 3791-3800, there may be a retest of local support. Similarly, a retest of the ATH may also trigger a small pullback of 1/2 of the impulse before a breakout and growth to the specified targets. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Aggressive growth is not over. Powell's speech...FX:XAUUSD is rallying, with demand high amid a falling dollar and the Fed's rate cuts. Technically, there are no obstacles to growth, and the market is aggressive. For trading, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks. Gold is rallying and hitting new highs as people realize what's going on (interest rates are falling). Powell's speech is coming up, and it may trigger a correction (profit-taking) amid growing risks. Key factors: Powell's speech today, at which time the market is waiting for hints of further easing of Fed policy. PMI data (US), weak figures will support the possibility of further rate cuts... Demand for metal is supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Resistance levels: 3800 Support levels: 3760 Many factors are supporting the rise in gold, and there are no compelling reasons to sell gold now. The ideal trading strategy is to wait for a pullback and retest of support levels with the formation of strong reversal points for buying. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → The rally continues. We are waiting for a pullback to buyFX:XAUUSD is rallying since the opening of the trading session. The movement has been continuing since Friday, after the end of the correction. The market is realizing the potential for interest rate cuts... The metal is showing gains for the fifth week in a row, despite the local recovery of the dollar. Key supporting factors: The forecast of two rate cuts before the end of the year continues to fuel interest. Tensions in US trade relations with India and other sources of instability. Upcoming PCE data on Friday may confirm the need for a soft policy. BUT! Caution is needed, as a short-term correction (profit-taking) is possible after record growth. Resistance levels: 3730, 3740, 3750 Support levels: 3703, 3685, 3674 The price is in the ATH zone, having come a long way since the opening of the session, and a correction may form. It is dangerous to sell in the current zone, and for trading within the bullish trend, it is worth waiting for a pullback to the nearest local support levels... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → Retest of resistance at 3660. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is testing resistance to correction after breaking the local market structure from bearish to bullish. A breakout of 3660 could give buyers a chance... A 25 bp rate cut to 4.25% was expected, but the forecast for further cuts came as a surprise: now two cuts before the end of 2025 (instead of one) and one in 2026. The reason for the shift: fears of a slowdown in the labor market outweighed the risks from inflation (2.9% in August). The dollar continues its countertrend correction (rebound) after Powell's speech and economic news. This temporary phenomenon may soon end. Gold, after a manipulative phase, may return to an upward movement if the price breaks 3660 and consolidates above this level. The Fed preferred to support employment, risking accelerating inflation. In the long term, this will support risk assets and commodities, but in the short term, the markets have taken a pause. Resistance levels: 3360, 3675, 3688 Support levels: 3643, 3631 Gold is not updating local lows, a cascade bottom is forming and the local bearish structure is breaking down. If the market manages to overcome the resistance of the correction, a bullish impulse may form! Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
SOLUSDT → Correction amid a strong bullish trend BINANCE:SOLUSDT , after updating its next high, formed a false breakout of local resistance and returned to the trading range as part of a correction. What to expect from altcoin? The main driver of the crypto market, Bitcoin, is consolidating above 115K and facing fairly strong resistance at 117400. Earlier, the price completed a downward correction. The market is dominated by a positive technical and fundamental background. SOL looks stronger than Bitcoin and is testing new highs... The price of SOLANA is forming a false breakout of resistance and is entering a correction phase amid a bullish trend. As part of the correction, the price may test the local imbalance zone and the key liquidity level of 242.5. Resistance levels: 244, 249.2, 253.5 Support levels: 242.5, 239, 231.5 Technically, the price may form a false breakdown of the nearest zone of interest at 242.5, and if the bulls manage to keep the price above the resistance zone of 242.5-244.0 after this maneuver, the coin may return to an upward movement. However, if this does not happen, I would wait for a retest of the 239.0 zone, where the trend support line is located. The medium- and long-term outlook for SOL is positive, and the price is highly likely to test the ATH 295.0. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
GBPJPY → Ascending triangle on an upward trend...FX:GBPJPY is attempting to break through the resistance of the ascending triangle consolidation pattern amid the strengthening of the pound sterling, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts... The currency pair is breaking through consolidation resistance amid the growth of the pound sterling. The driver is the expectation of positive news... An attempt to break through resistance is forming, with bulls forming a cascade of support and a local uptrend. If the price closes above 200.27, it will be able to move into a distribution phase. Resistance levels: 200.27, 200.75 Support levels: 200.06, 199.65 Technically, the chart looks quite strong and aimed at continuing the uptrend. If the bulls can consolidate above the specified level of 200.0 - 200.27, then overall we will see a growth phase. Above the current levels, there is a free zone, and up to 208.0, there are practically no obstacles except for local levels that are not capable of reversing the trend... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
ETHUSDT → Correction and hunt for liquidity ahead of growth BINANCE:ETHUSD is showing positive dynamics and breaking through the resistance conglomerate (consolidation boundary and downward correction line). The fundamental background is positive, and bulls are generally quite confident... The cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin, and altcoins are awaiting a batch of positive news. Traders are waiting for interest rates to fall, which could attract additional capital to the cryptocurrency market, especially ETH. The breakout of the correction resistance and consolidation resistance gives the market hope for growth. The global trend is bullish, and the fundamental background is positive. If the bulls hold their defense above 4488-4450, ETH may strengthen. Resistance levels: 4661, 4783 Support levels: 4488, 4450 Technically, I expect a false breakdown of support (retest of the liquidity zone). If this maneuver ends with the price closing above 4488 and the formation of a confirming bullish pattern, then in this case, we can consider the continuation of growth. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
28
GOLD → Consolidation before continuing growth to 3700 FX:XAUUSD resumed its growth on Friday, approaching the $3,650 level, amid growing expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts and geopolitical risks. The metal remains near record highs and is poised for a fourth consecutive week of gains. Key drivers: Probability of a 25 bp rate cut on September 17 — 92%, chance of a 50 bp cut — 8%. Markets are expecting three cuts in 2024. US plans to impose new tariffs on India and China are supporting demand for safe havens. Gold remains in a bullish trend. The weak US economy and geopolitics are pushing it to new highs, but profit-taking at current levels is possible. There is no news today, so trading may be relatively calm. Technically, if the price does not retest 3738 but begins to consolidate near 3657 and attempts a breakout, the chances of continued growth will increase. Support levels: 3638, 3630 Resistance levels: 3649, 3657 I expect the market to reach the liquidity zone of 3638 before returning to retest the trigger. However, if MM deems this maneuver unnecessary and forms a trading range between 3657 and 3649, then closing above 3657 could lead to another bullish distribution. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
AVAXUSDT → Distribution of 8-month accumulationBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is testing the resistance of an 8-month consolidation. The market is showing positive signs that may indicate a possible rally... Bitcoin looks positive. If the flagship can overcome the upcoming 113K mark, BTC's growth could support altcoins, including Avalanche. AVAX has been consolidating for 8 months, and in the last few weeks, we have seen a directed movement towards strong resistance. Another retest led to a breakout, and if the bulls hold their defense above 25.9 - 26.5, a fairly active phase of realization towards 30.6 may begin. Resistance levels: 26.550 Support levels: 25.97, 24.88 I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the local support and liquidity zone, but a return to the zone of interest (above 25.97 - 26.55) and consolidation above the specified border could provoke a distribution towards 30.0 - 45.0. Best regards, R. Linda!
by RLinda
12
BTC has formed an Ascending Triangle in a DowntrendWhat is Happening Here? If we take a look at Bitcoin, it's pretty interesting right now: we can observe an ascending triangle just formed. But this pattern took shape after a sharp drop in price. An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern: - The resistance line stays horizontal (flat top). - The support line is rising, creating higher lows. So what does this mean? This indicates that buyers are gradually pushing prices higher while sellers are consistently defending the resistance level. And often with this pattern, the buying pressure overwhelms the sellers, causing a breakout to the upside. 🔹 Breakout expectation: - Wait for breakout confirmation always! (strong candle close above resistance with volume), and/or on a retest of the broken resistance (now acting as support). - With this pattern, if it breaks above strongly, the target can typically be measured by taking the height of the triangle and adding it to the breakout level. 🔹 Risk Factors: - False breakouts can occur (price temporarily breaks resistance but falls back inside). - If the pattern fails and price breaks below the rising trendline, it may signal bearish weakness. ✅ The reliability of the pattern increases on higher timeframes and with strong breakout volume. In summary An ascending triangle shows the following: Buyers are showing strength with rising lows, while resistance is being pressured repeatedly. A confirmed breakout above resistance could drive price toward a psychological target. Waiting for a strong breakout and possibly a retest helps reduce false signal risk. Not financial advice, just sharing my thoughts on the charts. Trade safely 😊
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrendDiva
74
GOLD → Consolidation before continued growth FX:XAUUSD is undergoing a correction amid revised unemployment data, but this has not disrupted the overall technical situation. The market is still anticipating an aggressive reduction in interest rates... The price resumed its growth on Wednesday amid escalating geopolitical tensions and a weakening dollar ahead of the release of US inflation data (PPI). The price is correcting after a record high of $3675, but retains the potential for further growth. The escalation of the situation in Eastern Europe and the Middle East is increasing demand for safe assets. Expectations of Fed policy easing and a revision of employment data are weighing on the USD. PPI inflation data: Today's release may temporarily support the USD if the figures exceed forecasts, but the overall trend remains bearish for the dollar. PPI data is ahead, which may cause short-term volatility, but the long-term bullish trend remains intact. Support levels: 3640, 3628 Resistance levels: 3657, 3675 Technically, I expect to see a correction from local resistance to the 3645-3640 area, from which growth may continue. A breakout of 3657 could trigger a continuation of the momentum. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
Unlocking the Power of Ascending Triangles in Bitcoin Trading!Hello everyone! 👋 In this analysis, we will explore a popular technical pattern in Bitcoin trading called the Ascending Triangle 🔺 . This is a useful tool that helps us identify potential trading opportunities, especially when the market is in a consolidation phase. Let's dive deeper! 🚀 1. Ascending Triangle Pattern 📊 An Ascending Triangle forms when the price consistently creates higher lows but faces resistance at a fixed price level. This indicates that buyers are in control, but the market needs a strong push to break through the resistance. 2. How to Identify and Read the Pattern 🔍 Higher Lows : In an ascending triangle, the price's successive lows create rising support levels. This shows increasing buying pressure and indicates that the price can’t drop below the established support. 📈 Horizontal Resistance: The resistance level is the area where the price fails to break through for an extended period, creating a horizontal line. For Bitcoin, the current resistance level is 113,000 USD. 🚧 3. Trading Strategy 💡 Wait for a breakout: This pattern typically leads to a breakout when the price exceeds the resistance level. However, it’s crucial not to enter the trade immediately when the price approaches resistance. You should wait for confirmation when the price breaks through the resistance and is followed by a strong candlestick. 🕯️ Enter after confirmation: When the price surpasses the resistance with high volume and a strong candlestick, that’s the ideal time to enter a buy position. This reduces risk when trading. ✔️ 4. Support and Resistance Levels 🔄 Resistance: The current resistance at 113,000 USD is critical. If the price breaks this level, we can expect a strong bullish movement. 💥 Support: If the price fails to break through the resistance, keep an eye on support levels like 110,000 USD or lower. When the price returns to these levels, look for signs of a recovery to find a potential buying opportunity. 💪 5. Risk Management ⚖️ Use Stop-Loss: To protect your capital, place a Stop-Loss below the nearest support level. This helps minimize risk if the price doesn’t move as expected. 🔒 Reasonable Profit Target: Set your profit target at the next resistance levels, such as 113,000 USD, 115,000 USD, and even 120,000 USD, which is currently in focus. Always control the risk-to-reward ratio in every trade. 🎯 6. Conclusion 🎓 The Ascending Triangle pattern is a powerful tool for identifying trading opportunities. However, it’s important not to rush into a trade but to wait for confirmation from the market before making a decision. Always remember to manage risk appropriately and follow your trading strategies. Now, it’s your turn to apply this knowledge in practice. Please like this post if you’ve understood everything and are looking forward to the upcoming lessons—it will be a huge motivation for me. 👍 Wishing you all the best on your journey to becoming an expert! 🌟 Trade safely! 🛡️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Kenn_Nguyen
8
HYPEUSDT → Upward consolidation. One step away from a rally BINANCE:HYPEUSDT.P continues to consolidate while maintaining an ascending triangle structure. Any bullish driver, even a weak one, could trigger a breakout of resistance and distribution with an ATH update... Against the backdrop of weak Bitcoin and falling altcoins, HYPE looks positive. The market is holding an upward support line and a bullish trend, and the update of the local maximum as a manifestation of bullish strength is a positive sign. The price is changing the local market structure to bullish and is ready to continue growing after a correction. Focus on the 46.15 and 45.5 - 45.08 areas. A false breakdown and closing above the level will confirm the readiness to continue growing. Resistance levels: 47.78, 49.54 Support levels: 46.15, 45.08, 44.45 As part of the correction, the price may test the specified areas of liquidity and interest, which may provoke a change in the market imbalance in favor of buyers. If, after a false breakdown of key areas, the bulls keep the price above, then in the short and medium term, we can expect continued growth. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
BITCOIN → Sale on positive news? What to expect? 100K or 130K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P unsuccessfully ended another attempt to break through the 112K-113K zone. The positive background (NFP) did not affect the price, and a bearish setup formed on D1... D1 is forming a pin-bar relative to the strong resistance zone of 112K - 113K, positive news is quickly sold off, and the price, rebounding from the resistance of the trading range, closes near the bearish trigger of 110500. Bitcoin looks quite uncertain as it faces selling pressure in the 112K-113K zone. The price cannot consolidate above this area despite the previously broken correction resistance. There is logic in this maneuver... The market is betting on a more than 90% chance of interest rate cuts, and by that point, the price of Bitcoin may fall to the maximum permissible limits before further growth. Areas of interest may be 107K - 105K - 100K Resistance levels: 111.9K, 113.3K, 117K Support levels: 110.5K, 107.4K, 105.0K A breakdown of the 110.5K support could trigger further sell-offs towards the support of the key trading range. Within the current downward cycle, the price may well test 105,000, which is a fairly strong liquidity zone. The fundamental background is positive, and the current sell-off may be manipulative movement before the emergence of a bullish driver... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
20