AI16Z shortHello everyone 😍
💁♂️This time we are back with a great position with a setup
I think the AI16Z cryptocurrency can fall to the lower areas
⚠️This is my opinion and please check yours before entering the trade
First target area $0.067
Second target area $0.0602
Last target area $0.052
⚠️The analysis may not reach the final target, so at each target, if you make a good profit and see signs of a trend change, you can exit the trade or manage your capital.
⚠️ None of the analysis is a recommendation to buy or sell, but simply my personal opinions on the charts. You can use the charts and choose any that interest you and take a position if you wish.
To support me, I would appreciate it if you boost the analysis and share it with your friends so that I can analyze it with more energy for you, my dears. Thank you all. 💖
Beyond Technical Analysis
BONKUSDTEntry Point: Short at a pullback to the broken support (now resistance) around 0.00001394, or immediately at current levels (~0.00001327) if momentum continues downward.
Stop Loss (SL): Place above the recent high or the cyan trendline, around 0.00001500, to limit risk in case of a fakeout or rebound (risk ~10-15% from entry).
Take Profit (TP): Target the next support levels visible on the chart, such as 0.00001232 (red line) for a conservative TP, or lower at 0.00001100 based on predictions. This could yield a 10-20% gain on the short, depending on entry.
BTC #Bitcoin 4-hour timeframe descending channel patternchart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe within a descending channel pattern.
Key observations:
Channel Trend: BTC is trading inside a downward-sloping channel, indicating a medium-term bearish structure.
Current Price: Around $110,292.
Center Area / Support Zone: Highlighted in pink (~$107,000–$109,000) — acting as a short-term support or potential bounce region.
Final Support Area: Marked in green (~$98,000–$100,000) — a critical demand zone where strong buying interest may appear if price breaks below the current support.
Summary:
Bitcoin remains in a downward channel, consolidating near mid-support. A rebound from the pink zone could target the channel’s midline or upper boundary, while a break below $107,000 might lead to a test of the final support area near $100,000.
Emotional Debt: The Hidden Cost of Revenge Trading“You don’t lose the most money when you lose a trade.
You lose it when you try to get it back.”
Every trader has felt it — that sudden urge to “win it back.”
You take one loss, then another, and before logic can speak,
you’re already in a new position — not to trade, but to heal.
That’s emotional debt —
The invisible weight carried from one mistake into the next.
What Is Emotional Debt?
Just like financial debt, it compounds.
A small emotional reaction today becomes a bigger one tomorrow.
You start trading your frustration, not your system.
You stop managing risk — because ego takes over management.
You don’t see charts anymore. You only see revenge.
How It Builds Up
Ignoring losses instead of reflecting on them
Measuring self-worth by daily profit or loss
Forcing trades to “prove” something to yourself
Confusing emotional recovery with market opportunity
The Interest You Pay
Emotional debt doesn’t just cost money — it costs focus.
It clouds your judgment, narrows your vision,
and pushes you further from the patience that once made you consistent.
Breaking the Cycle
Pause after every loss. Step away.
Write what triggered your next impulse.
Accept that no single trade can fix an emotional imbalance.
Remember: You are not your last trade.
When you clear emotional debt, you stop trading to recover —
and start trading to understand.
Let go of the need to get it back.
The market gives clarity only to those who stop chasing closure.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Have you ever caught yourself trading from emotion instead of structure?
Share your thoughts — awareness begins with honesty.
If You're Not Just Hearing About Options —But Actually Diving InYou’ve moved beyond indicators and noise.
You’re stepping into the world where smart money operates.
Because options are not just tools for betting.
They’re a mirror of institutional intent — of hedges, positioning, and hidden signals.
And if you learn to listen to this market, you gain a real edge — even if you never trade an option yourself.
You’ll see what’s coming on spot Forex, gold, or indices — before the crowd notices anything.
This isn’t theory from a textbook.
It’s a practical guide forged from over 5 years of daily analysis of CME reports, exchange data, and real-world observation.
Let’s break it down — step by step.
🔍 Step 1: Can You Identify the Player by Option Delta?
Yes — and it starts with understanding delta.
Delta = Sensitivity of an option’s price to changes in the underlying asset.
0.05–0.10 (5–10%) → Deep out-of-the-money (far OTM)
0.15–0.30 (15–30%) → Moderately OTM
~0.50 (50%) → At-the-money (ATM)
>0.50 → In-the-money (ITM)
Now — who trades what, and why?
0.05–0.10 ->Tail-risk hedgers, "lottery" traders
Protection against black swans or cheap speculative bets
0.10–0.20 ->Aggressive speculators, potential insiders
Betting on explosive moves — possibly with inside conviction
0.20–0.35 -> Regular speculators, funds
Expecting moderate rallies — balanced risk/reward
0.40–0.60 - >
Institutions, hedge funds
Portfolio hedging, delta-neutral strategies
>0.60
Arbitrageurs, hedgers
Deep ITM options as synthetic positions
⚠️ Important Nuance:
Delta is not absolute.
Large players may use deep OTM options — but not for speculation.
These could be tail-risk hedges (e.g., protection against crash scenarios).
🔮 Predictive Power Isn’t Just About the Trade — It’s About the Timing
The forecast value of an individual option increases dramatically when you ask:
When did this position appear — relative to price action?
✅ Before a move? → High predictive power
❌ After a big rally? → Likely FOMO or profit-taking
✅ On a pullback? → Could signal support/resistance
IMPORTANT! Timing turns noise into signal.
📌 To be continued in the next update…
XAUUSD pinch of salt timeAs said before i am no expert feel free to criticize me, would love others input. I am a technical driven position holder with base fundamental consideration.
With that said, been a little strange week for me compared to last week head wasn't in the right place and clearly missed good trades because of it.
As far as myyyyy opinion on gold is concerned I think that's the last of liquidity grabbing for the current price range that were at, haven't checked the news or anything but dollar index is facing a reversal for a short run so likely looking bullish for the start of the week on gold. Its also met and covered most of my block positions so cant see it residing lower from my technical analysis.
If correct, breaking my next line should start heading to the green line on chart.
Don't take my word on it, don't rely on delayed indicators and also don't take any advice from me, I wouldn't.
Likely scenarios are shit its pants or bull run to 4,300 that's all I'm curious about.
XAUUSD Week of opportunitiesThough I may have strayed away from the set ups there were quite a few decent moves on gold this week took its time to develop them so surprised I missed them in all honesty. Well I'm not surprised I was not paying attention but surprised how well they matched the method, so to speak, anyone got any other thoughts on the bullion at the moment?
METU had a tricky week, but this one is a treat @32.20Happy Halloween everyone! This is a little bit different setup for me than my usual trades, but it works just as well and if you're in a hurry to exit, maybe even better. I am, so here we are.
META had a very poorly received earnings report this week and the stock got pounded. I didn't bite yesterday, even though there was a signal, because I just don't like buying earnings gaps down on the same day they happen. I don't even like buying on day 2. I usually like 3 red days, but I'm not sure I'll get them here.
By Monday, it might occur to all these sellers that this is META, and betting against it has not been a good play over the long haul. I'm using METU here because it is ideal for this kind of trade. I am using a first profitable close exit strategy here, and when the VAST majority of these trades close in under a week and historically, about half close in one day, why not double up the profits? The ridiculous annual fee the ETF charges is negligible over a 1 week timeframe when the gains average almost 5%.
I don't want to, but I'm prepared to hold as long as necessary and add and subtract along the way. This is META, and long term, they own this space. I'd happily settle for just an average trade here, but with a big gap down like the one this week, I think people could come to their senses over the weekend and this could run hard next week. That's why I didn't wait 3 days like I usually do.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Cardano - This coin is holding strong!🔋Cardano ( CRYPTO:ADAUSD ) still remains bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
Despite this month's massive crypto crackdown, Cardano already recovered about +100%. We simply saw a perfect rejection of a major confluence of support, pushing price higher. Soon, Cardano will break out of the triangle and a bullish breakout remains rather likely.
📝Levels to watch:
$0.8
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Structure Neutral Until Breakout Confirmation”Currently, price is moving between two key zones
the upper OB (4040–4045) acting as resistance and the lower OB (3960–3980) serving as strong support.
Two Possible Scenarios...
Bullish Case: A break and hold above 4000 could push price toward the upper OB (4045 zone).
Bearish Case: A rejection from the mid-level 3980
may drag price back toward the lower OB / support zone (3960).
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4045
Support-1: 3998
Support-2: 3960
Wait for clear confirmation from either side before entering. This zone is no-trade territory until breakout.
BTC, They Will Call Us LuckyLong Term thoughts for BTC into 2024 and 2025. I was hoping for one more push into 20k before a larger breakout for some prime accumulation levels, but but this actually makes for a more bullish chart. This chart is a LOG chart and BTC never broke below that channel which is key. Picture perfect bounce of the lower trend line. This next wave should be aggressively bullish and not give the great dip buy opportunities that traders are wanting.
Space/Defense NASDAQ:VELO has quite the interesting history ended up being saved from bankruptcy by SpaceX. The company serves major clients like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, and Relativity Space, with a focus on scaling production for space exploration and defense with 3d metal printing. I saw today only on X that they strategically moved from CA to Texas directly adjacent to $TSLA. I havent confirmed from any other sources so not sure if this is accurate. SpaceX i believe is there biggest client so it would make sense that they start working with tesla. There's plenty of 3d printing competition that makes good money they burn a fair amount of cash and are not profitable for now will likely need to continue raising cash to expand there newly aimed rapid pace production. Those will be the opportunities I take in the future to buy if it tanks on offerings. Im currently holding shares from around $5 as long as that conties to hold i see good upside to 8 resistance area and much higher once they start gaining some traction. New management recently has changed the trajectory of the company in a major way and will hopefully be able to scale quickly. Earnings are coming up soon so that should give us some good info. Pretty low volume big swings but I think theres pretty big potential here also, especially long term.
BUY SETUP – Smart Money Style (GOLD / USD – 30m)Analysis:
Price has formed a clean bullish structure after rejecting the demand zone (gray area). Multiple rejections confirm strong buyer presence around $3975–$3988, indicating liquidity absorption below the previous low.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Within the reaccumulation zone near $4026
Stop Loss: Below the demand base at $3975
Take Profit: Toward the upper liquidity and supply zone at $4097
Risk/Reward: ~1:3
Concept:
This setup aligns with Smart Money and FU (Failed Breakout) principles — price swept liquidity below the prior structure, tapped into unmitigated demand, and is now targeting the next high. A clean break and hold above $4053 would confirm momentum continuation to the upside.






















