BTCUSD – Liquidity Sweep & Weekend Fractals
Key Levels
• Major liquidity pocket tagged at 117,898.79.
• After that sweep, price printed a string of bearish fractals.
• Market makers are now likely eyeing the cluster of minor fractals at 117.4k, 118.6k, and 119.3k.
Trade Recap
All our targets were reached over the weekend.
I’m flat now, but in hindsight a trailed stop would have captured more of the move as price kept running.
Plan Forward
Watching how price reacts around the 118k–119k zone for clues on the next leg.
A decisive rejection here could open a deeper retrace; sustained acceptance sets up a fresh structure.
Not financial advice—pure market structure analysis using the CORE 5 lens.
Beyond Technical Analysis
HIFI vs Binance: From Delisting Shock to Fractal Comeback
On September 3rd, Binance announced it would delist HIFI from spot trading. The market reacted instantly with a brutal bearish candle.
But what happened next is what really mattered... HIFI investors didn’t back down. Instead, they pushed the coin 700% above the high of that same bearish candle. A clear middle finger to the delisting news.
Eventually, price dropped back to retest that candle high, And now, the chart is aligning with a powerful fractal pattern.
If this fractal keeps unfolding, HIFI could be setting up for another big chapter, maybe even aiming toward the $17 zone. Nothing’s guaranteed, but the structure is worth keeping a close eye on.
AAPL: Building a Base at 238 – Swing & Scalp Setups for Sept 17 1-Hour Chart Technical View
Apple’s 1-hour chart shows a constructive rebound from the early September selloff. After reclaiming the $236.7–$238.2 zone, price is consolidating beneath $241.3. MACD has eased back toward neutral and Stoch RSI is mid-range, indicating digestion after the recent pop.
* Immediate Support: $237.9–$238.2 (short-term breakout retest)
* Major Support: $236.7 (trend-defining pivot)
* Upside Zone: $241.3–$243.8 is the next key resistance band; a breakout above could open $245–$250
9 EMA remains above the 21 EMA, keeping the micro-trend bullish as long as $236.7 holds.
GEX & Options Flow
Options positioning supports the idea of a slow upward bias:
* Call Walls: $241.3 (highest positive NET GEX / call resistance), $242.5, and $245.
* Put Support: $217.5 is the main deep downside hedge.
* GEX Bias: Modest call concentration at ~6.7% with IVR ~14 (IVx ~26.5), showing lower option demand and relatively quiet volatility pricing.
This suggests market makers are not pricing in a major move but will likely support dips near $236–$238.
Trade Thoughts & Suggestions
* Swing Idea: Enter on dips into $238 with a stop below $236.5, aiming for $241.3–$243.8 and possibly $245–$250 if momentum improves.
* Scalp Idea: Buy quick pullbacks to $238 or play a clean breakout above $241.3 with volume confirmation.
* Bearish Scenario: A decisive break under $236.5 could test $232 and lower.
Quick Take
AAPL is building a steady base just under $241. For Sept 17, holding $238 keeps the bull case intact with $241–$245 as the upside zone to watch.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
GOOGL: Watching 250 Support for Next Leg-Swing & Scalp Sep 171-Hour Chart Technical View
Alphabet’s 1-hour chart shows a strong early-September rally followed by a controlled pullback. Price reached the $256 area and is now consolidating around $251. MACD has cooled sharply from overbought and Stoch RSI is at low levels, suggesting a near-term reset inside an intact rising channel.
* Immediate Support: $250–$251 (current consolidation floor)
* Major Support: $245 and $241.9 (previous demand zone)
* Upside Zone: $255–$257.5, with $260 as an extended target if momentum returns
The 9 EMA is still above the 21 EMA, but the gap is narrowing—watch for either a bullish bounce off $250 or a bearish cross if weakness persists.
GEX & Options Flow
Options data continues to lean constructive:
* Call Walls: $255 (2nd call wall), $257.5 (3rd call wall), and $260 (outer target).
* Put Support: $245 (largest near-term put hedge) and $242.5.
* GEX Bias: Call gamma stands near 37.2% with IVR at 28.2 (IVx ~36.3), indicating healthy option activity and moderate premium levels.
Dealers remain positioned to dampen sharp drops, supporting a buy-the-dip bias if $250 holds.
Trade Thoughts & Suggestions
* Swing Idea: Accumulate near $250–$251 with a stop below $245, targeting $255–$260 as the next upside zone.
* Scalp Idea: Use $250 as a quick dip-buy level or scalp a breakout on a decisive close above $255 with expanding volume.
* Bearish Scenario: A break below $245 would shift bias to the $241.9 and $233.4 supports.
Quick Take
GOOGL is in a healthy consolidation after a strong rally. For Sept 17, holding the $250 floor keeps the path open for a push back toward $255–$260.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
TSLA: Pausing at Key Zone – Swing & Scalp Setups for Sept 171-Hour Chart Technical View
Tesla’s rally from sub-$350 to the $420 area is now consolidating. After an explosive breakout on Sept 12–13, the 1-hour candles are moving sideways in a tight $410–$430 box. MACD has cooled from overbought and is starting to curl back up, while Stoch RSI is hovering in a neutral zone—showing that momentum is recharging, not reversing.
* Immediate Support: $410 (critical breakout retest)
* Major Support: $344 (key demand and high-volume node)
* Near-Term Resistance: $430–$440 (current supply zone)
* Upside Magnet: $450 and $484 if $440 clears with volume
EMA alignment (9 above 21) still favors the bulls, and price continues to respect the uptrend line from the early September pivot.
GEX & Options Flow
Options data underline strong bullish hedging pressure:
* Call Walls: $430 (2nd call wall), $440 (highest positive NET GEX / gamma resistance), $450 next target.
* Put Walls: $407.5 (1st defense), then $385 and $322.5.
* GEX Bias: Calls dominate with 92.8% call-weighted exposure. IVR at 20.1 (IVx ~65.9)
suggests decent option premiums but not extreme volatility pricing.
This configuration typically supports dip buying and favors upward grind, provided $410 stays intact.
Trade Thoughts & Suggestions
* Swing Idea: Accumulation on 1-hour closes above $410 with a stop below $400, aiming for $440–$450, and possibly $484 on continuation.
* Scalp Idea: Intraday traders can fade extremes inside the $410–$430 range, or take a momentum scalp if $430 breaks on strong volume.
* Bearish Scenario: A decisive break under $400 could unwind gamma support and invite a test of $385 and $344.
Quick Take
TSLA is digesting sharp gains in a healthy range. Strong call gamma at $430–$440 is both a near-term lid and a potential springboard. For Sept 17, look for continuation plays if $430 is taken out with conviction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
META: Bulls Eye Key Level for Sept 17 – Swing & Scalp Setups1-Hour Chart Technical View
META is riding a clean ascending channel, holding a steady higher-high/higher-low pattern. Friday’s move left a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) near $772 and confirmed strength with closes above $779. Current intraday trend is supported by the 9 EMA > 21 EMA alignment, and momentum oscillators (MACD, Stoch) continue to lean bullish with no major divergence yet.
* Immediate Support: $774 and $768 (mid-channel / intraday demand)
* Major Support: $764.7 (strong breakout retest zone)
* Upside Zone: $788–$795 is first key resistance; a break targets the $800 call wall and potentially $820 if momentum accelerates.
GEX & Options Flow
Options data shows stacked call gamma above spot:
* Call Walls: $795 (3rd call wall), $800 (highest positive NET GEX & key resistance), then $820.
* Put Defense: $747.5 HVL (09/19) with larger put walls around $720 and $710.
* GEX Bias: Net call gamma dominates, suggesting dealers hedge by buying dips, which often dampens downside volatility and supports gradual grind-ups.
IV Rank is modest (IVR ~8.6) with IVx ~33.9, implying option premiums are relatively low for directional plays.
Trade Thoughts & Suggestions
* Swing Idea: As long as $774 holds, risk-defined swing longs can target $795–$800 with room toward $820 if $800 breaks on volume.
* Scalp Idea: Watch 1-hour re-tests of $779/$774 for quick intraday longs, or fade a failed breakout above $795 if volume thins.
* Risk Zone: A sustained break below $764.7 would flip structure short-term and open $749.5 then $743.7.
Quick Take
META is technically strong with bullish gamma support. For Sept 17, price action favors controlled dip-buys until $800 is tested. Scalp traders can play the $779–$788 range; swing traders can look for $795–$820 extensions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
Fed Day: Metals Facing a Short-Term PullbackFed Rate Day!
And it looks like today the rule will play out: Buy the rumor, sell the fact .
The picture in silver — and metals overall — is shaping up bearish. The upside was priced in, we got some growth, and now the chart is forming a short-term bearish move.
Globally, I’m bullish, but metals can’t grow forever — they need pauses and corrections, and I think that’s exactly where we are now.
I’m holding my palladium short further. Adding a short in silver as well.
📝Trading Plan
🟢Entry: Sell from 42.45
🔴Stop: 43.05
🎯Target: 40.75 / 39.6
Gold Ready To Fold?Gold (GC1!) — 1.414 Tag + Max Gartley PRZ: Is This the High?
I’m mapping a short off a full confluence cluster at the highs.
Why I’m short here (stacked signals)
3-Month 1.414 extension hit: price is sitting right at ~3,722 (1.414 on the 3M chart). That’s classic terminal PRZ behavior.
Daily “Max Gartley” complete: harmonic PRZ lands 3,710–3,735; price tagged/hovered there.
Volume/CVD divergence across TFs: daily, weekly, monthly show higher price on weaker buy volume / softer positive delta → exhaustion.
Weekly momentum divergence: MACD lower high vs price higher high; histogram rolling off = bearish momentum divergence.
Band/structure context: riding the upper Bollinger with long upper wicks into red channel resistance; rising-wedge/parallel rail touch.
Measured moves: last leg ≈ prior leg; AB=CD ≈ 1:1 completes ~3,720–3,735, inside the PRZ.
Round-number + prior shelf: 3,700 is a heavy pivot; failure to extend above 3,739–3,742 on strong delta = absorption at the top.
Extra confirmations I’m watching live
CVD/Delta: push above 3,735 without new CVD highs = add to short.
Spread/financing: widening bid–ask / negative basis into spikes = top-y behavior.
Heikin-Ashi: upper shadows / color flip on daily/weekly strengthen the reversal case.
Bottom line: This is a short right now into 3,716–3,736 with risk 3,751. The confluence—3M 1.414, daily Max Gartley, multi-TF volume divergence, weekly MACD div, and channel resistance—points to a swing lower toward 3,700 → 3,673 → 3,641, with room to 3,566/3,551 if momentum cracks.
9/17: Ahead of Rate Decision, Trade Within 3668–3706 RangeGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday, after breaking above 3682, the price reached the 3692–3702 area before pulling back. Those of you who carefully followed the strategy should have caught this move.
At the moment, the price is near support. Ahead of the interest rate decision, the main support lies around 3670–3658, while resistance is in the 3700–3706/3712 area. Trading can be focused within the 3706–3668 range.
The key today is the interest rate decision. If the price falls before the news, then buying opportunities may arise during the announcement. If the price rises beforehand, look for selling opportunities after the news.
I’ve marked today’s intraday trading range on the chart for reference. You can plan trades based on the price area. If anything is unclear, feel free to leave me a message.
Day 31 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$24 Near Breakeven“I actually started the day rough — down nearly -400 overnight after an oversized short on that early X7 sell signal. That put me close to my stop-loss limit, so I forced myself to wait for 2–3 confirmations before entering again.
By slowing down and focusing only on high-probability trades, I was able to grind my way back to nearly breakeven — closing the day at just -24.
The key lesson? Overleveraging at night cost me what could have been an easy green day. Discipline around size is just as important as reading the signals.”
News Context:
“On the macro side, Bessent said a 25 basis-point cut is already priced in. No surprises there, but it reinforces why the market isn’t reacting much to Fed talk at this point.”
Key Levels for Tomorrow:
“Here’s what I’ll be watching:
Above 6660 = Stay bullish
Below 6645 = Flip bearish
Hmmm, DXYThere is something quite telling about the DXY that has me rubbing my chin. If the DXY continues it's downtrend this year and even next year, what would it mean for assets against the dollar, especially crypto currencies, mainly Bitcoin? Typically, Bitcoin's 4 year cycle is bearish on the 4th year but that was for the last 15 or so years when the dollar was in an uptrend. What would happen on the fourth year for Bitcoin during a crashing DXY? Is it safe to hold crypto currencies this end of cycle? I have a feeling that if the DXY continues to fall, crypto will continue to rise even during the 4th year when the bears usually take over. The take over may happen, but with a minor correction (32.8 possibly) that whiplashes a bit more than it trends, before it trends again. Stay tuned!
BANKNIFTY Intraday Levels for 17th SEP 2025BANKNIFTY Intraday Levels for 17th SEP 2025
Short View: Momentum may pause due to Low IV.
Compare to NIFTY,(+0.68%), BANKNIFTY(+0.47%) Closed much Less
Close Crossed 50 DMA, Confirmation Needed.
# "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format.
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
EUR/GBP | Rising Wedge Structure Near Supply Zone – Potential ReThe EUR/GBP pair is currently trading around 0.8687, approaching a key resistance zone at 0.8735. The price action has been forming a rising wedge pattern, typically a bearish continuation/reversal structure when seen after an impulsive leg.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 0.8735 (short-term supply zone)
Major Resistance: 0.8942
Support: 0.8470 (prior demand / mid-structure)
Major Support: 0.8200 – 0.8170
Price Action Context
Since early 2025, EUR/GBP has been trending higher, respecting an ascending support line.
Price is now pressing into wedge resistance, where momentum is showing early signs of exhaustion.
The reaction at 0.8735 will be critical: rejection here could trigger a strong downside move.
Bearish Scenario (Preferred)
A rejection from 0.8735 – 0.8750 may confirm wedge resistance.
Break below 0.8600 – 0.8550 would confirm a bearish breakdown.
Downside targets sit at:
0.8470 (first objective / structure support)
0.8200 – 0.8170 (major demand zone, wedge target completion).
Bullish Invalidations:
A sustained breakout and daily close above 0.8750 would invalidate the wedge breakdown setup.
In that case, buyers may aim for 0.8940 next.
Outlook:
EUR/GBP is trading within a technical compression pattern that often precedes volatility expansion. The wedge structure into resistance suggests downside risk is building, aligning with broader GBP resilience themes. Swing traders and institutions may watch for confirmation of rejection at wedge highs before positioning short.
Conclusion:
EUR/GBP remains at a decision point. The wedge pattern into resistance favors a potential reversal, with downside risk toward 0.8470 and eventually 0.8200. Patience is key – confirmation of breakdown is required before execution.
IPL Sposnors Apollo Tyres - SELL VIEWLets see how it rolls out,
Expecting 50 % drop in this stock as it enters the IPL Sponsors ship.
CMP - 486,
Expected price - 250
Investment horizon - 2-3 years.
A lot of thesis to write but lets play this normal chart.
** This post is for education and entertainment purpose only, Please concern your advisor before investing in market related instruments.**
AFG Stock Confirmed Bullish/Going UPHello,
Ayrfolio trade ideas are based on weekly charts and momentum, so remember to be patient! No day trades here unless the stock soars up intraday. Today we’re covering:
COMPANY: American Financial Group, Inc.
STOCK SYMBOL: AFG
POSITION: Long
TP1 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.45
TP2 Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.89
Stop Loss: must wait AFTER daily candle closes to exit trade (regular candle, NOT Heiken Ashi)
Ultimate Stop Loss: can exit IMMEDIATELY if price reaches this level during any trading hours
EXPLANATION: Weekly momentum increased and confirmed on Tuesday 9/2/25 at $138.65/share. Although the stop losses are listed on the chart, if momentum has been lost then we can exit before the price reaches the stop loss.
DISCLAIMER: Please do your own due diligence before making any decisions. I am not an investment advisor, and I do not personally trade these stocks. These posts are stock trade ideas that follow my same weekly momentum strategy. Past results are not indicative of future performance.
P.S. - Stocks can soar. YOU can soar. Soaring is possible!
-Ayrfolio
C98 ANALYSIS🔮#C98 Analysis 💰💰
#C98 is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and if it breakouts with high volume then we can see a bullish momentum in #C98. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and that a bullish movement.
🔖 Current Price: $0.0498
⏳ Target Price: $0.0634
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #C98. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
#C98 #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR