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SMART MONEY CONCEPT ( SMC)📊 SMC Trade Update – GOLD 15M • First target 4,021 ✅ achieved. • Trade now secured at Break Even (BE) – no risk on the table. • Institutions are still pushing price in distribution mode toward the second target at 4,060. • This is textbook SMC: reset → fake out → rejection → distribution → targets. 💡 Motivational Caption “First TP hit 🎯 – now we let the institutions do the heavy lifting. Risk = 0 ✅ Potential = unlimited 🚀 This is the power of trading with structure.” GOOD JOB TRADERS……. ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
BTC USDHI GUYS. BTC USD CORRECTION ON TECHNICAL There were higher highs tilt on HS H4 which is illustrated on the pic above. i noticed that btc was not getting to area of interest as of previously posted trend. so i made adjustments on structure. currently am bearish . the pic above shows what needs to happen as we move. NOTE, ALWAYS KEEP CHECKING YOUR ANALYSIS TO MAKE SURE U ARE ON THE RIGHT PATH. JUST LIKE ANY BUSINESS U NEED TO ALWAYS DO RE-CHECKS TO REDUCE ERRORS AND MANAGE YOUR ASSET BETTER. Markets are very much similar to any business. which means there are losses and gains, so always check esp when u see a loss or a delay on delivery of any asset . with that sed am waiting for price action in this new York session then we execute buys . lets scalp or trade every move
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by joetamale128
Gold (XAUUSD) – 10 Oct | Watching Key Zones for Short Setups🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 10 October Hello Disciplined Traders, Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋 Market Context • After marking a new all-time high at 4059.350 , Gold is currently in a pullback phase. • CHOCH + BOS have been confirmed on the M15 structure , signaling that H4 may retrace deeper . • Both H4 and M15 structures are now aligned for a short-term downtrend until a structure shift occurs back to the upside. Key Observations • First POI for short setup: 4007–4025 ( M30 OB zone ). • Next potential POI: 4035–4044 ( fractal point zone ) — if retested and respected, it could offer another short opportunity. Execution Plan • Wait for price to pull back to either POI. • If respected with LTF confirmation , plan short setups accordingly. • If price continues forming new structure lows without a pullback, we’ll reassess the chart and plan based on fresh price action. Stay disciplined — structure defines direction, confirmation defines action. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is currently trading near a major resistance zone where price has shown multiple rejections in the past. After a strong upward move, momentum appears to be slowing down, indicating that buyers are losing strength. If the price continues to reject this resistance area or forms a bearish pattern (such as a double top or bearish engulfing candle), it could signal the start of a downward correction. Sellers may gain control if price fails to close above this resistance. A clear break below short-term support levels would further confirm bearish pressure and open the way for a deeper pullback. As long as price remains below resistance, the bias stays bearish.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by GOLDPAIRUPDATE1
When Charts Collide with Reality: Powell’s Speech and the Real-Once upon a time, a certain trader glued to chart patterns – head buried in Bollinger Bands, RSI blips, and Fibonacci retracements – decided to ignore “fundamentals” altogether. On October 9, 2025, that hero learned a hard lesson. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s “welcoming remarks” at a community banks conference proved anything but earth-shattering – he avoided all mention of interest rates or the economy. The markets’ reaction was accordingly muted but telling: U.S. indices drifted lower (S&P 500 –0.3%, Nasdaq –0.1%, Dow Jones –0.5%), while Bitcoin and commodities moved on cues from deeper currents. The moral? No chart of a winding stochastic oscillator can capture a government shutdown, a Fed minutes report, or – as traders soon learned on October 10 – a sudden tariff shock. Oct 9, 2025: Powell’s Murmurs, Markets’ Moves By 8:30 am EDT on Oct 9, Chair Powell had spoken – and delivered nothing dramatic. He stressed the importance of community banks and scotch-filtered praise for Fed policy, but did not explicitly mention interest rates. In market terms, this was Fed-speak for “status quo until further notice.” Risky assets mostly shrugged. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq, fresh off record highs the day before, inched down a hair (–0.3% and –0.1% respectively). In equities, the tech-and-AI rally simply paused, not reversed. Nvidia (NVDA) actually hit a new intraday high, closing up +1.8%. Tesla (TSLA) only slipped ~0.7% (to about $405 from ~$408). Momentum traders briefly panicked before shrugging. Meanwhile, currencies and commodities did most of the heavy lifting. Gold fell back ~2%, relinquishing its perch above $4,000 to around $3,990. Oil cooled too, with WTI crude dropping about 1.7% to $61.50/bbl as global demand jitters outweighed tariff threats. Bonds yawned (10-year yields only ticked up to ~4.14%). Cryptocurrencies provided the day’s juiciest contrast to technical charts. Bitcoin quietly fell ~2%, settling near $121,000. Ethereum, which had flirted with $4,555 intraday, ended up around $4,350. In short: a benign Fed talk and some global calm gave traders little excuse to keep piling on risk. The chart-gobbling skeptic would note: despite all the pattern-bashing and bullish RSI, it was real-world news (fiscal brinksmanship, global politics) that dictated gold’s drop and Bitcoin’s small selloff – not any “sell” signal on a moving-average ribbon. Oct 10, 2025: Tariff Turbulence Hits the Wires Then came the next day – October 10. The U.S. Trade Representative’s office announced a surprise tariff escalation on select Chinese electric vehicle components and semiconductor materials, effective immediately. The move rattled supply chain darlings and sent a tremor through risk markets. By midday, Nvidia dropped 3.6%, Tesla tumbled 4.1%, and AMD shed 2.9%. The S&P 500 sank 1.1%, and the Nasdaq fell nearly 1.8% as traders digested implications for the AI and EV sectors. Bitcoin dipped to $118,500 (–2%) and Ethereum slid below $4,200. Gold, the perennial crisis comforter, jumped 1.5% back above $4,040, while oil reversed earlier losses to climb 2.2% to $62.90/bbl. In one trading day, tariff headlines flipped market sentiment from calm to chaos – and all without a single moving average crossover to foretell it. The episode underlined what the October 9 non-event hinted at: markets are narratives in motion, not lines on a screen. Macro policies, geopolitical decisions, and institutional utterances move them in ways pure chart logic never predicts. Institutions at Work: IMF, World Bank, ECB, SEC, and Friends The Fed is just one club in the financial orchestra. A savvy trader must know the other conductors. In the halls of power – from Washington to Brussels – policy events routinely send ripples through markets. Recall: at the IMF/World Bank annual meetings this past week, IMF head Kristalina Georgieva warned of “exceptional uncertainty” and noted “demand for gold … is surging.” Indeed, gold briefly touched $4,030 on Oct 8, and Bitcoin ticked upward. That rally was not from any RSI oscillator; it was born from safe-haven buying amid a government shutdown and looming Fed cuts. Europe’s sage is the ECB. Remember Oct 17, 2024? The ECB cut rates 25 bp on “disinflationary progress.” The euro promptly slid and gold jumped – not due to any chart signal, but because traders priced in easier money. In general, ECB policy shifts move FX and commodities: a dovish ECB tends to weaken the euro and buoy gold, boosting global stocks. Crypto regulation is heavily influenced by G20/FSB/IOSCO. For instance, the G20 asked for international stablecoin standards in 2020; by July 2023, the FSB issued a “global regulatory framework for crypto,” essentially a roadmap for uniform oversight. IOSCO drills into crypto and market structure; its pronouncements can nudge crypto markets. In sum, when these bodies speak, smart traders listen – because “regulation approved” often means “uncertainty down, risk assets up.” Meanwhile, in the United States, the SEC is the heavyweight. A single SEC rule change can swing billions. On Sep 17, 2025, the SEC voted to open the floodgates for spot crypto ETFs, spurring a bid under crypto prices. Compare that to October 2023, when SEC staff signaled resistance – markets instantly sagged. The SEC’s filings and enforcement releases are trading triggers: when the SEC sued Binance or Coinbase in mid-2023, Bitcoin and altcoins wobbled. When SEC Chair Paul Atkins touted innovation on crypto ETFs, crypto ticked up. History’s Highlights: Past Shock Events Our chart-obsessed trader could use a refresher. Real events repeatedly overwhelm technicals. On August 12, 2025, U.S. CPI inflation came in cooler than expected (2.7% YoY vs 2.8% forecast). Ethereum broke above $4,400 from $4,172 intraday, BTC and total crypto cap surged ~1–2%. Stocks rallied too, betting on Fed rate cuts. Flip the script: in July 26, 2023, the Fed raised rates 25 bp. Stocks and crypto swooned. Meta slid 5% and Bitcoin briefly lost 5% of its value. No candle-stick pattern predicted that. Other events: Nonfarm Payrolls, FOMC meetings, CPI releases, central bank press conferences. January 2022’s strong jobs report sent gold down and Nvidia down; February 2023’s soft CPI boosted tech and crypto. European examples: Sep 2022, ECB minutes hawkish + geopolitical tension → oil shot up. Banks and institutions also matter: Jamie Dimon’s Sept 2025 warning of a “30% chance of a market drop” briefly wobbled financial stocks. Commodities Follow Real-World News US strategic reserve announcements or OPEC meetings can tip oil charts. Gold’s all-time highs this year came from safe-haven flows around shutdowns and trade wars. Historic data show that calendar events and policy shifts matter. They have instant effects on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Nvidia, Tesla, gold, oil, and indices – far beyond any moving average. Looking Ahead: Upcoming Economic Events IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings (Oct 13–18, 2025): Growth warnings + debt talks. Gold $3,950–$4,000, BTC $120k–$122k. Historical precedent: dovish updates → stocks down, safe havens up. ECB Monetary Policy (Dec 2025): Rate path decisions. Potential rate cut → EUR weakness & gold rally. G20 Leaders Summit (Nov 22–23, 2025): Trade, debt, climate. Communiqué tone → possible volatility. IOSCO/FSB Meetings (late 2025): Crypto regulation, cross-border payments. Tighter guidance → crypto jittery; benign → stable. U.S. SEC and CFTC: Ongoing regulatory tweaks. Crypto ETFs, corporate disclosure rules → sector swings. Economic Data: Delayed data from shutdown → CPI, PPI, retail sales, jobs figures. Each historically jolts markets. Conclusion By Oct 10, our chart-chaser had been fully humbled. Markets reacted to a broader story: sticky inflation, global politics, tariffs, and institutional pronouncements. Bitcoin ~$118,500, Ethereum ~$4,200, Nvidia –3.6%, Tesla –4.1%, Gold +1.5%. Real-world headlines trumped chart signals once again. Savvy traders know: the Fed minutes, IMF forecasts, and central-bank calendars are the real compass – technicals are just background noise. Markets move to the melody of policy statements; ignoring them risks dancing off-beat. --- Key Market Events, Price Reactions & Timetables Date / Event Institution / Trigger Main Theme Assets Affected Approx. Price / Move Market Reaction Timing Notes / Implications Oct 8 2025 IMF / World Bank pre-meetings Gold surge on safe-haven demand Gold ↑ $4,030 (+2%), BTC ~$123,000 (+1%) 4–6 hrs around IMF headlines IMF’s Georgieva warned of fragility, sparking record gold demand Oct 9 2025 Fed Chair Powell – Community Banks Speech No rate comment → 'non-event' S&P 500 –0.3%, Nasdaq –0.1%, BTC ↓ ~2% to $121k, Gold ↓ ~2% to $3,990, Oil ↓ 1.7% to $61.5 Within 1–3 hrs post speech Market drifted; risk appetite cooled without new policy cues Oct 9 2025 (same day) Gaza ceasefire news Geopolitical de-risking Gold –2% to ~$3,990, Oil –1.7% to $61.5 Immediate (minutes – 1 hr) Safe-haven unwinding; traders rotated to risk assets Oct 10 2025 USTR Tariff Announcement Trade escalation shock Nvidia –3.6%, Tesla –4.1%, BTC –2% to $118.5k, ETH –3% to $4,200, Gold +1.5% to $4,040, Oil +2.2% to $62.9 Within 1–2 hrs Risk-off reaction, supply chain fears, safe-haven inflows Oct 12–18 2025 IMF & World Bank Annual Meetings Growth warnings + debt talks Gold $3,950–$4,000, BTC $120k–$122k Multi-day gradual move IMF’s 'fragile but resilient' tone supported gold; crypto stabilized Oct 17 2024 (reference) ECB rate cut (–25 bp) Monetary easing EUR/USD ↓ 0.5%, Gold ↑ ~1.3% 2–4 hrs post meeting Dovish ECB = Euro weakened, commodities lifted Sep 17 2025 U.S. SEC approves spot crypto ETFs Regulatory breakthrough BTC ↑ ~6% to $118k, ETH ↑ ~7% to $4,400 1–2 hrs after SEC vote 'Watershed moment' — institutional inflows expected Aug 12 2025 (reference) U.S. CPI data (2.7% vs 2.8%) Inflation cooler than expected BTC ↑ ~2%, ETH ↑ ~3% to $4,400, S&P 500 ↑ 1% Immediate (minutes) Macro data beat → risk assets jump → Fed cut bets increase Jul 2023 reference Fed rate hike + FSB crypto report Hawkish policy / crypto regulation BTC –5%, Tech –3–4% Same day Macro tightening + new rules = risk-off sentiment Nov 22–23 2025 (Upcoming) G20 Leaders Summit (Johannesburg) Trade & debt talks + climate agenda TBD: Gold & Oil likely react TBD Potential market volatility depending on communiqué tone Dec 2025 (Upcoming) ECB Meeting Rate path decisions TBD TBD Possible rate cut → EUR weakness & gold relief rally
TVC:GOLD
by ntrm
1
Using DXY to Predict Manipulation on BitcoinIn this post it’s important to view and relate to the linked, related idea called “DXY - Major Breakdown of Ascending Channel” I’ll keep this short and to the point since we are actively in the war zone now. 1. Identify major patterns or structure shifts on DXY. For 8 years I’ve used these same ascending channel supports on DXY and it’s made very clear this is the way it trades, as we can duplicate the line angle and move it near infinitely to any area and see how price respects it. 2. Identify major DXY events in relation to the DXY pivot. In this case, we are witnessing a bearish retest of a major bearish signal. 3. Understand what it all means. DXY falling / correcting for 4-7 years translates to BULL MARKET of the same duration on stocks, equities, and securities. Now you may be thinking - “Okay but that means, Bitcoin will go up then?” WRONG The reason is, Bitcoin and Crypto is a manipulated game and it’s all rigged and intentional. What does this really mean then? 4. If we will see a natural bullish trend on Bitcoin for the next 4-7 years, that means the market makers want their money back. Since Bitcoin has been only moving up since late 2022, this has set up a massive chain reaction of long stop losses / sell orders, paving a path to these lower zones on my BTC chart. What this should tell you is - FLASH CRASH COMING. Manipulated crash before the true bull run. Now you may be wondering - “No way, the world would have to see an apocalypse for 8,000 to be hit” WRONG Stop loss orders are in place already as a natural consequence of traders decisions over the last 3+ years. These are sell orders. Once these sell orders start filling, bitcoin will see an automatic wick down to these low levels. No active selling is required, and therefor no black swan required. Now - If DXY was retesting a bullish pattern, I’d be longing as that signals extended bear market. And rest assured - THIS MARKET IS ALL MANIPULATION. We can use DXY to predict the trigger of it all. Happy trading. - DD
Short
by DickDandy
5
BTC 1W — S/R playbook: tops, bottoms, and the 119k decision lev.BTC 1W — Structural S/R map: 119k is the line in the sand Thesis Price is pressing the top of a rising structure on the 1W chart. My S/R map marks 119,000 as the key support. A weekly close below 119k flips the structure from trend-continuation to corrective risk. Key zones (1W) Resistance: 150–160k area (rising wedge/diagonal supply) Active support: 119k (cluster of weekly closes + diagonal base) If 119k fails (weekly close): 105–100k (prior weekly consolidation) → 92–96k (lower diagonal/box top) Plan Bullish bias while weekly candles hold above 119k. Pullbacks into 119–124k = find reaction and reclaim. Risk flips on a weekly close below 119k. Expect momentum sellers and a slide toward 105–100k. Invalidation for shorts: reclaim of the broken level on a weekly close (classic “lost → reclaimed” trap). Invalidation for longs: weekly close below 119k (structure break). Why these levels Levels are derived from 1W swing clusters and clean close-based S/R. Diagonals only frame context; decisions are made at horizontal S/R. I trade weekly; no lower-TF noise.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by IlSeparatio369
1
BTC SHORT 📊 BTC Short Setup Plan Sell Limit: $121,429.4 Stop Loss (SL): $125,316.9 Take Profit 1 (TP1): $117,461.7 ✅ Take partials 🔁 Move SL to Entry once TP1 is hit Take Profit 2 (TP2): $113,266.7 🧠 Technical Confluence 1. Commitment of Traders (COT) Data Commercial positions are at extreme sell levels for Bitcoin, indicating large institutional players are heavily positioned short. 2. Structural Liquidity Sweep Price has already swept structural liquidity, clearing out stops above prior highs. This often marks the end of a liquidity grab and the start of a larger reversal move. 3. High-Level Order Block With Imbalances The order block near $121,429 also contains multiple imbalance zones (FVGs). These imbalances suggest that price is likely to retrace into this block to rebalance order flow before continuing lower. Once price taps this zone, heavy sell orders are expected to react, pushing BTC downward.
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDShort
by vicofalltrade
1
Global Equities in EUR - The 2025 Suprise WinnersLast year, everyone crowded into the S&P 500 trade — “why bother being anywhere else?” One year later, when we look at YTD returns in euros, the picture changes completely 👇 YTD Performance (in EUR) 🇨🇳 FXI (China): +21.7 % 🇪🇺 FEZ (Europe): +16.8 % 🇯🇵 EWJ (Japan): +6.5 % 🇺🇸 QQQ (Nasdaq 100): +7.4 % 🇺🇸 SPY (S&P 500): +3.0 % 🇺🇸 IWM (Russell 2000): –0.3 % The “uninvestable” China market has quietly outperformed every major index. Europe also posted strong gains, while U.S. benchmarks lagged once adjusted for FX. 💡 A reminder that currency and narrative can distort what “performance” really means.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by OrbisInvestment
TAO Surging Towards $415WRITE ANALYSIS ChatGPT said: TAO is approaching a critical resistance level near $415 after breaking above the descending trendline. This could lead to a test of the key zone, which has been a significant resistance in the past. A successful break above this level might fuel further upside potential, while rejection could push the price back toward the support zone around $350–$375. Keep an eye on price action around the key levels for potential breakout or pullback. DYOR, NFA
Long
by unichartz
TSLA: ShortNASDAQ:TSLA ⚡ Coiling up in a symmetrical wedge right under equilibrium — a textbook indecision zone before expansion. Still trading below premium structure → bias remains bearish unless we see a clean breakout and hold above 434.5. Volume contracting, RSI midline hovering → pressure building for next leg. 🎯 Breakdown targets: 427 → 422 → 416 🚀 Bull case invalidation: Close above 434.5, targeting 444–450 🧠 VolanX DSS Bias: Bearish continuation, awaiting volatility trigger #TSLA #VolanX #SmartMoney #LiquidityZones #PriceAction #AITrading #WaverVanir Not Investment Advice
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Gold in Tight Range — Waiting for the Next Break📊 Market Overview Gold is consolidating within a narrow range around $3990 – $4000, reflecting a wait-and-see sentiment in the market. After hitting resistance near $4006 and pulling back to $3991, the price is now testing the $4000 level again — a key technical pivot zone. 📈 Technical Analysis Short-term trend: Sideways, searching for direction Resistance: 4006 – 4015 Support: 3980 – 3965 EMA20/50 (H1): Price hovering near both averages → no clear bias RSI (H1): Neutral, no strong buy/sell signals Candlestick pattern: Multiple upper wicks near resistance → selling pressure visible 💡 Market Outlook Gold is tightening around resistance. If it holds above 3995–4000, a further rise could occur. However, if it fails and closes H1 below 3990, a correction toward 3965–3950 becomes likely. 🎯 Trading Signals 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: 3985 – 3987 TP: 4015 / 4030 SL: 3982 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: 4012 – 4015 TP: 3980 / 3965 SL: 4018
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
2