GBP/USD Outlook - Momentum Favors the UpsideHi everyone,
As anticipated, GBP/USD broke above the 1.35300 level last week and successfully consolidated it as support. Our outlook for the week ahead remains bullish, with expectations for a continued push higher toward the 1.36850 resistance area.
A decisive break above 1.36850 would bring the next key upside targets into focus, in particular the 1.37890 level. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on GBP/USD.
We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see how this structure develops in the sessions ahead.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to continue extending from the 1.20991 January low toward 1.40000 and 1.41700.
We’ll keep you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas.
Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead.
Trade safe,
BluetonaFX
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold Weekly Outlook ( FOMC Week )Hello traders,
Another week and most importantly its FOMC week
🔸 Weekly Outlook (HTF Bias)
Trend: Bullish, but stretched into ATH zone.
Supply Zones:
3670–3720 (ATH pocket – decision zone)
3770–3800 (extension confluence)
3850–3920 (untouched liquidity cluster)
Demand Zones / Imbalance:
3590–3450 → main corrective magnet (contains EMA50)
3340–3290 → first strong HTF demand
3180–3120 & 3050–2980 → deeper extreme discount demand
Confluence:
EMA stack bullishly locked, but extended
RSI weekly overbought → exhaustion risk
Liquidity pools: above 3674 ATH and below imbalance 3450
Fibonacci: 1.272/1.618 extensions (3750/3880) align with supply above
Scenarios:
Bullish Expansion: Clean breakout above 3670–3720 → targets 3770 → 3850+
Bearish Correction: Rejection from ATH → pullback into 3590–3450 imbalance. A deeper rebalance could test 3340 or lower demand if macro turns hawkish.
🔸 H4 Structure & Trend
Trend: Still bullish (HH–HL), but slowing momentum inside supply.
Active Supply Zones:
3640–3666 → current battlefield (price inside)
3692–3720 → inducement + 1.272 Fib trap zone
3745–3785 → 1.618–2.0 Fib, expansion exhaustion supply
Demand Zones:
3600–3580 → first pullback demand
3544–3520 → EMA50 confluence, BOS origin
3500–3470 → last valid H4 demand before sentiment shift
Confluence:
EMAs locked bullish, but flattening
RSI cooling off → momentum compression
Equal highs below 3666 → inducement
Imbalances on both sides = liquidity-driven moves ahead
Scenarios:
Bullish: Hold above 3600–3580 → breakout above 3666 confirms push toward 3720/3785.
Bearish: Rejection at 3640–3666 or EQH sweep → pullback into 3580/3544, possibly 3500.
🔸 H1 Refined Levels
Premium Sell Zones:
3640–3654 → short-term liquidity wall (first seller defense)
3670–3678 → ATH trap zone (inducement risk)
3704–3720 → exhaustion zone (final upside trap)
Discount Buy Zones:
3595–3580 → first reaction base
3550–3535 → mid-range accumulation shelf
3505–3490 → deep liquidity reload zone (best RR swing entry)
Decision Zone: 3630–3608 → momentum pivot
Above 3630 → bulls in control
Below 3608 → opens reentry demand zones
🎯 Battle Plan
Bullish Play:
Look for rejections from 3595 / 3550 / 3505 with confirmation (M15 BOS or engulfing).
Above 3630 → push toward 3654 → 3674 → 3720.
Break and hold above 3674 → continuation toward 3770+.
Bearish Play:
Tactical shorts at 3654, 3678, 3720 with M15/M30 confirmation.
Targets: 3608 → 3580 → 3550.
Loss of 3490 = HTF correction mode unlocked.
✅ Overall Bias: Still bullish on HTF, but extended. Market is at a make-or-break zone (3640–3674).
⚠️ Risk: RSI overbought + inducement structure = high probability of a liquidity sweep before the real move.
📌 Key Catalyst: FOMC will likely decide whether ATH breaks cleanly or if a corrective flush into imbalance (3450–3590) happens first
EUR/USD Outlook - Bulls Eye Fresh Breakout as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone,
EUR/USD consolidated above the 1.15880–1.16180 support zone last week and came close to testing resistance. Looking ahead, we anticipate a break higher, with the next target set at 1.17889 and a possible move toward the yearly high around 1.18200. Any pullbacks in the near term are expected to hold above the 1.16550 support, maintaining the bullish structure.
The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on EUR/USD. Our broader view remains unchanged: we expect the pair to continue building momentum for another leg to the upside. A decisive break above 1.17889 would open the path toward the 1.18350–1.19290 zone, and ultimately the 1.20000 handle.
We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels.
We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated!
All the best for the rest of the week.
Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Why I'm Betting on this 86-Year Dividend King:My $PCAR Deep DiveI added PACCAR Inc. ( NASDAQ:PCAR ) to my portfolio in July, and it’s not just because of their iconic Kenworth and Peterbilt trucks. Here’s a breakdown of the fundamental thesis behind this investment.
Business Model
Three segments: Trucks (74%), Parts (20% with recurring high-margin revenue), and Financial Services (6%).
Financial Strength
$17.5B equity, $9.8B cash, $4.16B net income (12.4% margin), 86 years of consecutive dividends.
Future Outlook
Heavy R&D in EV, hydrogen & hybrid trucks + $400–700M battery JV.
Risks
Cyclical demand and uncertain EV adoption pace.
My View
The market sees a truck maker, but I see a resilient, diversified cash generator with long-term compounding potential.
XRP Game PlanXRP Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price rejected the bearish trendline and started moving lower.
This indicates to me that price wants to grab more liquidity before expanding higher.
However, the HTF order flow remains strongly bullish, so I will only be looking for long setups here.
📌 Game Plan
I will be targeting the $2.72 liquidity zone, which holds significant liquidity.
Additionally, I will watch for price to test the HTF key level and look for rejection from that area.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will look for a 6H–4H break of structure before entering a trade (with LTF confirmation).
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 6H–4H swing low confirming the BOS
Targets:
• TP1: $3.14
• TP2: $3.38
• TP3: $3.67 (All-Time Highs)
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
PEPE Long Idea - Memecoin PEPE Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy adjustments are being shaped by both inflation and weakening labor market data. With recent August and September job reports coming in soft, the economy appears to be cooling rapidly. This backdrop continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the coming weeks.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price recently swept HTF liquidity and closed back above it.
After that, PEPE created a 4H demand zone, which I view as the most effective OB currently.
Price came back, tapped the 0.5 discount zone, and rejected strongly, starting a move higher.
I entered from that rejection, anticipating a Daily bearish trendline break.
📌 Game Plan
I will wait for a confirmed break of the bearish Daily trendline and look to enter after a successful retest of the broken trendline.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Retest of the broken Daily trendline.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: $0.009155 (below the 4H demand zone)
Targets:
• TP1: $0.012740
• TP2: $0.014490
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
LINK - Swing Long OpportunityLINK - Swing Long Opportunity
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy shifts are being driven by both inflation trends and weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports were soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This environment continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the weeks ahead.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is bullish on the HTF, so I will only be interested in long setups.
Price recently broke and closed above the bearish trendline, confirming bullish continuation.
We also saw a break and close above the HTF Key Level, which should now act as support.
Moreover, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level aligns perfectly with the HTF Key Level, creating strong confluence for a potential entry.
📌 Game Plan
I will be entering long positions at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement / HTF Key Level intersection.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Confirmed 15M break of structure before entry.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Daily close below the HTF Key Level or hard stop at $22.64
Targets:
• TP1: $26.03
• TP2: $26.63
• TP3: $27.85
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Audcad going for a sell tomorrow Starting from daily time frame it says we are on a down trend and we are running back for that liquidity sweep I marked out the high level of the liquidity and marked out the buyside liquidity and went to four hour timeframe marked out my FVG waiting for the confirmation a one full candle stick that closees right below our retracement..then we hit a sell🔥🔥📈💰🛬
SENSEX Intraday Levels for 15/09/202& WEEKLY Levels 15-19/09/25SENSEX Intraday Levels for 15th SEP 2025
WEEKLY Levels From 15th - 19th Sep 2025.
# "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format.
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Why Western Capital Avoids RussiaRESEARCH NOTES ⚖️ Geopolitical Profile
I've heard Senator John Kennedy on radio talking about sanctioning Russia, which made me think of deeper reasons of why the West and Russia have been confronting since forever. In short, the West sees Russia as not a normal investment destination because it doesn't function as rule-based market economy.
Law as a Tool, Not a Framework – In Russia, laws apply only to commoners. Elites live “above the law,” operating through privileges and unwritten instructions. This makes legal protections for investors meaningless.
Clan-Based Power – Industries and regions are controlled by clans. Investors are not protected by institutions but are instead vulnerable to arbitrary clan rivalries and “re-appropriation” of assets.
Criminalized Economy – What counts as a “crime” is class-based. For elites, asset seizure is a privilege, not theft. Contracts and ownership rights can be revoked overnight.
Weaponized Ambiguity – Vague laws exist so they can be selectively enforced against rivals or outsiders. This creates permanent uncertainty for foreign capital.
Expansionist Instability – The system constantly produces “hungry hunters.” With limited internal resources, external conquest (Ukraine, other neighbors) becomes a survival strategy, raising geopolitical risk.
What the West sees as sins:
Lack of Rule of Law → No enforceable contracts, no independent courts.
High Expropriation Risk → Assets can be seized by clans or the state at any time.
Cultural Romanticization of Criminality → Western mindset can't digest a "business climate" where “power > rules”.
Foreign direct investment has collapsed, major Western firms exited, and capital flight continues. Russia is now increasingly dependent on China, the Middle East, and shadow finance channels to sustain liquidity. This will only make FX_IDC:USDRUB appreciate in the long-term.
Western capital avoids Russia because it is structurally unsafe. Until the system shifts from a feudal-mafia hierarchy to a rule-based economy, I believe sanctions won't be canceled anytime soon and foreign investors will treat Russia as uninvestable.
Waiting for the #USDT.D TriggerMy analysis of the USDT Dominance chart on the 4-hour timeframe indicates a potential for a significant market correction. Historically, as shown in the previous instances highlighted on the chart, a clear divergence has acted as a key trigger for sharp downward movements in the broader market.
I am currently observing the chart, anticipating the formation of a similar divergence pattern. My strategy involves waiting for this specific technical signal to confirm, as it would provide a high-probability entry point for anticipating a major market correction. This approach is rooted in risk management and a disciplined, data-driven trading methodology.
DOGE ANALYSIS🔮#DOGE Analysis 💰💰
#DOGE is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and breakouts with high volume and we could see a bullish momentum in #DOGE. Before that we will see little bit retest and then bullish movement
🔖 Current Price: $0.28110
⏳ Target Price: $0.43210
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #ARKM. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
#DOGE #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
Silver Bulls Eye $48: Long Setup Still in PlaySilver has strong chances to continue testing the 43.30 level, with a broader target at 48.
The trend remains bullish; we need to watch Monday’s open, but overall I think the long is still valid. It feels a bit risky now since we’ve already rallied a lot and silver is expensive — but expensive doesn’t mean it can’t go higher.
I’m long at the moment, with an entry at 42.20. Stop-loss is set below Friday’s candle low.
If you don’t have a long position, Monday’s open could be a good entry point, provided there’s no collapse. By collapse, I mean a gap down at the open. Otherwise, the news background is supportive, so that’s the only condition.
This idea is risky.
If I don’t have profits, I wouldn’t take the risk and would rather wait for better conditions.
But I can afford this trade. Analyze whether you can — does it fit into your risk management?
If not, then wait for more favorable conditions.
📝Trading Plan
🟢Entry: Long from the current level
🔴Stop: 41.40
🎯Target: 48
Olectra Greentech Ltd. (NSE) (W)Chart Structure
Price has staged a strong recovery after a prolonged downtrend and is now approaching a crucial resistance zone.
Currently trading at ₹1,646.60.
A breakout above ₹1,882.20 (red line) would confirm the start of a larger uptrend.
Key Levels
Supports:
₹1,652.00 (pivot zone/Entry)
₹1,411.40 (secondary support)
₹1,304.95 (major support)
Resistance / Targets:
₹1,882.20 (major breakout level)
₹2,133.25
₹2,373.85
₹2,614.45
Volume Analysis
Volume has increased in recent weeks with green candles, showing signs of accumulation and buyer interest.
This strengthens the bullish case if the stock manages to break above ₹1,882.
Bias
Bullish Bias — Price structure is improving, and accumulation is visible.
Sustaining above ₹1,650–1,660 keeps momentum positive.
A breakout above ₹1,882 can open the path towards ₹2,133 – ₹2,614.
Breakdown below ₹1,411 would weaken the structure.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This chart is for educational purposes only.
Regulatory Note: We are an independent development team. Our services are not registered or licensed by any regulatory body in India, the U.S., the U.K., or any global financial authority. Please consult a licensed advisor before making trading decisions.
Palladium Faces Bearish SignalA very unfavorable and non-positive candle has formed on the daily chart for the continuation of the upward movement.
In any case, we need to watch the Monday open and price action, but for now everything points to a decline of about 5–6%.
Tomorrow it will become clearer, but for now I’m just noting this idea and keeping palladium under watch — I may consider opening a short.
VF Corporation (NYSE: VFC) – Accumulation & Long-Term Upside Pot📈 VF Corporation (NYSE: VFC) – Accumulation & Long-Term Upside Potential
🔍 Technical Analysis
After a multi-year downtrend, VFC is attempting to form a base in the $12–$15 range.
Weekly RSI shows a bullish reversal structure, climbing out of oversold conditions.
Current setup highlights a potential 266% move if accumulation confirms, with projected upside toward $52.43.
Key Resistance Zones: $24 → $28 → $35 before equilibrium at ~$52.
Volume: Demand signals visible at lows, aligning with accumulation dynamics.
📊 Fundamentals & Catalysts
Earnings Recovery: VFC has been restructuring operations and focusing on brand portfolio optimization (The North Face, Vans, Timberland).
Dividend Adjustments: Prior dividend cuts have weighed on sentiment, but stabilization efforts could restore investor confidence.
Macro Tailwinds: If consumer discretionary spending recovers in 2025–2026, apparel & lifestyle brands may benefit.
Turnaround Strategy: Debt reduction and supply chain realignment continue to be management’s focus, potentially strengthening margins.
⚠️ Risk Factors
Consumer demand remains uneven in the retail sector.
Brand performance divergence (Vans weakness vs. The North Face strength).
High debt leverage could limit upside if turnaround stalls.
✅ Trade Framework (WaverVanir View)
Parameter Value
Entry Zone $12–$15 (current accumulation)
Stop Loss Below $11 (recent low support)
Target 1 $24–$28
Target 2 $35+
Final Target $52.43 (long-term equilibrium)
R/R High, with potential 2–3x upside if accumulation holds
📌 Conclusion
VFC is in a high-risk, high-reward accumulation phase. A successful turnaround could unlock significant upside, with long-term targets near $52. However, failure to sustain consumer and brand momentum could keep price range-bound near $12–$15.
#VFC #ConsumerDiscretionary #WaverVanir #InstitutionalTrading #Accumulation
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd. (NSE) (W)-Chart Structure Price has been consolidating within a wide range after a corrective phase.
Currently trading at ₹1,865.40 zone, just above the pivot level (yellow line at ₹1,859.40).
The structure suggests that the stock is building a base, but a decisive breakout above ₹2,140 (red line) will confirm the next big move.
Key Levels
Supports:
₹1,859.40 (immediate support / pivot)
₹1,720.15 (secondary support)
Resistance / Targets:
₹1,999.30
₹2,140-50 (major resistance)
₹2,279.05
₹2,418.95
Volume Analysis
Volumes are relatively stable but not yet showing a major breakout spike.
This indicates cautious accumulation — market participants may be waiting for confirmation above ₹2,140.
Bias
Neutral-to-Bullish — Price is holding support zones and showing resilience.
Sustaining above ₹1,860 keeps momentum positive.
Breakout above ₹2,140 could open a rally towards ₹2,279 – ₹2,418.
Breakdown below ₹1,720 would shift bias back to bearish.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This chart is for educational purposes only.
Regulatory Note: We are an independent development team. Our services are not registered or licensed by any regulatory body in India, the U.S., the U.K., or any global financial authority. Please consult a licensed advisor before making trading decisions.
Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) – Potential Re-Accumulation & Upside Opport🚀 Idea: Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) – Accumulation Zone & AI Catalyst
🔍 Technical Analysis
Adobe is currently forming a base around $330–$360 on the weekly chart, which has been tested multiple times.
Supply zones: $550–$650, with a higher resistance near $700.
Momentum: Weekly RSI is showing a bullish divergence (lower lows in price vs. higher lows in momentum), signaling a possible reversal.
Projection: If support holds, price could re-test $550–$650 and potentially extend to $700+.
📊 Fundamentals & Catalysts
Q2 FY2025 Earnings: Revenue $5.87B (+11% YoY), EPS $5.06 vs. $4.48 YoY, with Digital Media ARR growing 12% YoY to $18.09B (Adobe, 2025a).
Digital Experience Segment: Expanded ~10% YoY, strengthening diversified revenue streams (Adobe, 2025a).
Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue outlook upgraded to $23.50-$23.60B and EPS to $20.50-$20.70 (Financial Modeling Prep, 2025).
AI Growth: Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant adoption continues to drive ARR and premium feature upgrades (MarketWatch, 2025).
⚠️ Risks
Competitive threats from Canva, OpenAI, and other AI-driven platforms (Barron’s, 2025).
Slower enterprise adoption of premium AI features could weigh on margins.
Valuation remains elevated, requiring continued revenue and margin expansion.
📈 WaverVanir Trade Framework
Parameter Value
Entry Zone $330–$360
Stop Loss Below ~$300 (10–12% downside risk)
Target 1 $550–$650
Target 2 $700+
Time Horizon 3–6 months
R/R Potential ~2–3x if support holds
📌 Conclusion
Adobe sits at a critical accumulation level. If support holds, earnings strength + AI adoption momentum could propel price toward $550–$700. A failure to hold $330–$360 support would shift bias bearish toward $300.
#Adobe #ADBE #AI #DigitalMedia #WaverVanir #InstitutionalTrading
References
Adobe. (2025a). Q2 FY2025 financial results. Adobe Investor Relations.
Barron’s. (2025). Adobe earnings and competitive risks. Barron’s.
Financial Modeling Prep. (2025). Adobe raises full-year guidance as AI demand fuels growth.
MarketWatch. (2025). Adobe stock performance and AI catalyst outlook.
Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd. (NSE) (W)After a prolonged downtrend, price has been consolidating near the lows and has now shown a strong bullish move.
Currently trading at ₹104.69 zone.
The structure suggests a potential bottoming out and start of a recovery rally.
Key Levels
Supports:
₹94.62 (First support)
₹77.92 (major long-term base)
Resistance / Targets:
₹117.90
₹129.54
₹141.17
₹152.81
Volume Analysis
This week’s bullish candle is supported by a sharp spike in volume, well above the 20-week average.
This indicates strong accumulation and possible entry of institutional buyers at current levels.
Bias
Bullish — If price sustains above ₹106–108, it may advance towards ₹118 – ₹152 in the medium term.
Failure to hold above ₹94.62 would weaken the structure and shift bias back to neutral.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This chart is for educational purposes only.
Regulatory Note: We are an independent development team. Our services are not registered or licensed by any regulatory body in India, the U.S., the U.K., or any global financial authority. Please consult a licensed advisor before making trading decisions.