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Tuesday’s GBPUSD Setup – Liquidity First, Direction FollowsGBPUSD Analysis – Tuesday, December 16 Welcome traders! We analyze the market every single day to stay aligned with clean structure, liquidity, and high-probability setups. Let’s dive into today’s GBPUSD outlook 👇 🔍 Market Overview GBPUSD is currently Bullish on the higher timeframes — weekly, daily, and 4H — with buyers maintaining overall control of market structure. This keeps the macro bias bullish, and any bearish price action should be treated as corrective moves, not trend reversals. Today’s session is especially sensitive because we have high-impact news for both GBP and USD, which increases the probability of liquidity manipulation and sharp volatility. Extra caution is required. 📌 Today’s Trading Scenarios 📉 Scenario 1 – Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep → POI Reaction Price may: 1.First engineer liquidity, 2.Then sweep sell-side liquidity below, 3.Tap into the POI, 4.And from there continue to the bullish movement 🔄 Scenario 2 – Buy-Side Sweep → OBS → POI Alternatively, price may: 1.Sweep liquidity above, 2.Tap into the OBS, 3.Then retrace toward the POI, 4.And from there deliver a temporary bullish continuation. This scenario allows the market to rebalance before the next directional move. ⚠️ Risk & Execution Notes .High-impact GBP & USD news today — expect volatility .The market is never 100% certain .Always wait for confirmation before entry .Apply strict risk management, especially during news .Respect higher-timeframe bearish structure I’d love to hear your perspective 👇 Are you trading the corrective move, or waiting for bearish continuation? If you have any questions, feel free to comment below. 📘 Educational Note: This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only. Always follow your own plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage risk carefully. Success in trading comes from discipline, patience, and consistency. 🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts. Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more SMC setups and daily insights. #GBPUSD #GU #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #LiquiditySweep #POI #OrderBlock #MarketStructure #PriceAction #FXTrading #TradingView #DailyAnalysis #RiskManagement
by parisa_tl
How to Read Candlestick Charts: The Complete Beginner’s Guide 1What is a Japanese Candlestick? Before you can trade patterns, you must understand the "DNA" of a single candlestick. Unlike a simple line chart that only shows the closing price, a Japanese candlestick tells you the complete story of price action over a specific time period using four data points: 1. Open: The opening price. 2. High: The highest price reached during the period. 3. Low: The lowest price reached during the period. 4. Close: The closing price. How to Read the "Body" and "Wicks" ● Bullish Candle: The Open is BELOW the Close. This means buyers won the session. ● Bearish Candle: The Open is ABOVE the Close. This means sellers won the session. ● The Wicks (Shadows): The thin lines above and below the body represent the extreme high and low prices, showing price rejection. The Top 5 Bullish Reversal Patterns A bullish reversal pattern signifies that buyers are momentarily taking control, usually forming after a price decline. 1. The Hammer The Hammer is a 1-candle pattern that signifies rejection of lower prices. ● Recognition: Little to no upper shadow. The lower shadow is about 2–3 times the length of the body. ● Meaning: Sellers pushed price down at the open, but huge buying pressure stepped in to close the price near the highs. 2. Bullish Engulfing Pattern A 2-candle pattern where buyers completely overwhelm sellers. ● Recognition: The first candle is bearish. The second candle is bullish and its body completely "covers" (engulfs) the body of the first candle. ● Meaning: Buyers have won the battle emphatically. 3. Piercing Pattern Similar to the Engulfing pattern but slightly weaker. ● Recognition: The second bullish candle closes above the 50% mark (halfway point) of the previous bearish candle. 4. Tweezer Bottom A 2-candle pattern indicating the market is struggling to trade lower. ● Recognition: The first candle shows rejection of lower prices. The second candle re-tests that exact low and closes higher. 5. Morning Star A powerful 3-candle reversal pattern. ● Recognition: 1. A long bearish candle. 2. A small-bodied candle (indecision). 3. A strong bullish candle closing more than 50% into the first candle's body. ● Meaning: Sellers are exhausted, and buyers have taken control. Next lesson will be posted on next week stay connected -TuffyCalls (Team Mubite)
by Mubite
SLV vs. IAU: Why Silver Is Crushing Gold ETFsMarket Performance: The Silver Surge The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is significantly outperforming its gold counterpart. Over the past year, SLV delivered a staggering 98.9% return. In contrast, the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) posted a respectable but lower 60.2% gain. Investors focused solely on safety often miss this growth engine. While gold acts as a stable store of value, silver behaves aggressively. This dynamic has resulted in SLV turning a $1,000 investment into $2,532 over five years. Gold generated $2,322 over the same period. The data confirms silver’s dominance in the current bull market. High-Tech and Science: The Industrial Driver Silver is not just a currency; it is a critical industrial component. Science dictates this market reality. Silver possesses the highest electrical and thermal conductivity of all metals. Consequently, the high-tech sector drives massive demand. Manufacturers require silver for 5G networks, advanced electronics, and medical devices. Unlike gold, which sits in vaults, industry consumes silver. This consumption creates a fundamental scarcity that drives price appreciation during economic expansions. Green Tech and Patent Analysis The global shift toward renewable energy directly benefits SLV. Patent filings for photovoltaic (solar) technologies have surged globally. Silver is the primary conductive element in solar panels. As the world transitions to net-zero emissions, solar demand creates a price floor for silver. Furthermore, electric vehicle (EV) patents increasingly rely on silver for contacts and circuitry. This structural trend ensures that SLV tracks the green energy boom, not just monetary policy. Geopolitics and Geostrategy: Critical Minerals Geopolitical tensions are reshaping the precious metals landscape. Nations now view silver as a strategic material rather than just a luxury good. Governments are securing supply chains for critical minerals to ensure technological sovereignty. This geostrategic hoarding reduces global supply elasticity. As major powers decouple their economies, control over silver mining and refining becomes a national security issue. Investors in SLV profit from this heightened competition for physical resources. Macroeconomics: The Inflation Hedge Both trusts capitalize on global debt concerns. Sovereign debt levels are rising uncontrollably across major economies. Investors traditionally use precious metals to hedge against currency debasement. However, silver offers a "high beta" play on inflation. When inflation expectations rise, silver typically rises faster than gold due to its smaller market size. Current macroeconomic conditions favor this volatility. The market anticipates continued currency devaluation, fueling inflows into hard assets like SLV. Business Models and Fund Structure The iShares business model focuses on accessibility. Both SLV and IAU allow investors to bypass the costs of storing physical bars. However, their cost structures differ. IAU charges a lean 0.25% expense ratio, appealing to cost-conscious holders. SLV charges 0.50%. Investors pay this premium for silver’s explosive growth potential. The fund structure is a grantor trust, meaning it holds physical bullion. This protects investors from counterparty risks associated with futures contracts or derivatives. Risk Management and Volatility High returns come with higher risk. SLV carries a beta of 0.18, indicating positive correlation with equity volatility. IAU holds a beta of -0.06, acting as a true diversifier. Consequently, SLV suffered a maximum drawdown of nearly 39% over five years. Gold dropped only 21.8% in the same period. Management of portfolio risk requires understanding this difference. Aggressive traders prefer SLV for its torque; conservative savers choose IAU for stability. Conclusion: The Strategic Choice The iShares Silver Trust offers superior leverage to the global industrial recovery. While IAU remains the safer, cheaper hedge, SLV is the growth leader. The combination of green technology demand and monetary debasement creates a perfect storm for silver. Investors willing to tolerate higher fees and deeper drawdowns have reaped larger rewards. As long as the precious metals bull market persists, silver’s dual nature ensures it will continue to outpace gold.
AMEX:SLVLong
by TradeThePool
The Dark Side Of Christmas for Bitcoin!!!!!!Christmas buying pressure on Bitcoin is not always bullish. When everyone expects holiday gains, the market often prepares for something else. Is this seasonal optimism creating opportunity, or quietly building a selloff? Hello✌️ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: Apart from the fundamental explanations regarding Bitcoin’s decline, which this entire article focuses on, the price has recently approached the top of the descending channel, and if the weekly support I have marked on the chart breaks, I expect at least an additional 4% drop, with a target around $82,600. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🎄 Overall Market Environment During Christmas During the Christmas period, the market often enters a phase that looks calm on the surface but carries hidden selling pressure underneath, and this contradiction causes many traders to misread what is really happening. Reduced participation from large players makes the balance between supply and demand much more fragile than usual, allowing price to react faster to emotions. In this environment, Bitcoin tends to be more vulnerable to corrections rather than strong bullish continuation. 🧠 Crowd Psychology And Misleading Expectations When bullish expectations turn into a common belief, the market often chooses a different path because most potential buyers are already positioned. This collective mindset causes traders to ignore early signs of weakness and react later than they should. Christmas often creates this exact situation, where optimism replaces realistic analysis. 💸 Converting Bitcoin Into Real Liquidity During this period, many people prefer to convert part of their Bitcoin holdings into dollars or gold to cover expenses related to celebrations, gifts, and travel. This behavior is not driven by fear of the market but by real-life liquidity needs. When this decision happens on a large scale, it creates steady and continuous selling pressure. 📉 Why Selloffs Often Appear Sudden Seasonal selling usually starts quietly and without panic, but once price reaches sensitive levels, the impact becomes visible as sharp drops. Traders waiting for classic confirmations often realize the shift only after most of the move has already occurred. This delay makes the decline feel more sudden than it actually is. 😰 The Hidden Role Of Fear In Decisions During Christmas, many traders are uncomfortable holding open positions through holidays, which creates a hidden layer of fear that directly influences selling behavior. This fear usually activates before sharp drops, not after them. The market senses this hesitation and uses it as fuel. 🧯 Short Market Behavior Summary Christmas is more about releasing pressure than building new trends. Understanding this mental phase can help avoid emotional decisions. 🛠 TradingView Tools And Features For This Phase Volume Profile helps identify areas where price lacks real trading activity, making fast drops more likely. Session Breaks highlight periods of reduced participation where sudden moves become more dangerous. VWAP provides a clear view of how far price is trading from market equilibrium. Market Structure allows traders to detect weak and misleading breakouts. 🎯 Three Key Recommendations For Traders In this environment, trading less is often a smarter decision than staying constantly active. Capital protection should have higher priority than chasing moves. Always ask yourself whether a trade comes from analysis or from psychological pressure. ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
Education
by MadWhale
31
EURUSD Analysis Same Bias, Same Plan, Clean ExecutionEURUSD Analysis – Tuesday, December 16 Welcome traders! 👋 We analyze the market every single day to stay aligned with clean structure, liquidity, and high-probability setups. Let’s dive into today’s EURUSD outlook 👇 🔍 Market Overview EURUSD remains in a strong bullish trend across the weekly, daily, and intraday timeframes. Higher-timeframe structure is intact, and buyers are still in control of the market. However, an important factor for today is high-impact news for both EUR and USD, which can lead to sharp volatility, fake moves, and liquidity sweeps before the real direction unfolds. Because of this, patience and confirmation are essential. 📌 Today’s Trading Scenarios ✅ Scenario 1 – Sell-Side Liquidity → POI → Bullish Continuation (Preferred) Price may: 1.First sweep sell-side liquidity below, 2.Tap into the POI, which originates from the daily breakout block, 3.And from that zone, resume the main bullish expansion in line with the dominant trend. This scenario offers a classic buy-the-dip opportunity within a strong bullish market. 🔄 Scenario 2 – Buy-Side Liquidity → OBS → POI → Continuation Alternatively, price may: 1.First take liquidity above, 2.Tap into the OBS, 3.Then retrace toward the POI, 4.And from there continue the bullish movement. This scenario allows for a deeper retracement before the next impulse higher. ⚠️ Risk & Execution Notes .The market is never 100% predictable .High-impact news can create sudden volatility .Always wait for confirmation before entry .Apply strict risk management at all times I’d love to hear your thoughts 👇 Which scenario are you watching today? If you have any questions, feel free to comment below 💬 📘 Educational Note: This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only. Always follow your own plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage risk carefully. Success in trading comes from discipline, patience, and consistency. 💪 🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts. Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more SMC setups and daily insights 💙 #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #LiquiditySweep #POI #OrderBlock #MarketStructure #PriceAction #FXTrading #ForexEducation #TradingView #DailyAnalysis #RiskManagement
by parisa_tl
USD/CLP Plunges: Kast Victory & AI Copper BoomMarket Reaction to Political Shift The Chilean peso has surged following José Antonio Kast’s decisive presidential victory. Markets reacted instantly to the news. The USD/CLP exchange rate dropped to 913.58, strengthening significantly against the dollar. Kast secured 58% of the vote in the December 14 runoff. This marks Chile’s sharpest shift to the political right in decades. Investors view his platform as highly business-friendly. Consequently, capital inflows have accelerated, driving the peso’s value upward. The local stock index, S&P CLX IPSA, also hit record highs. Financial markets clearly favour this new political direction. Geopolitics and Geostrategy: A New Stance Kast’s victory signals a major geostrategic pivot for Chile. He campaigned on strict border controls and mass deportations. This focus on security addresses voter frustration with rising violence. However, these policies carry geopolitical risks. Aggressive border measures could strain diplomatic relations with neighbouring countries. Geostrategically, a stable Chile attracts foreign direct investment. Yet, potential social tensions from strict policing could rattle investors later. The administration must balance domestic security with regional stability to maintain market confidence. Macroeconomics: Fiscal Discipline Returns The new administration promises aggressive fiscal tightening. Kast plans to cut public spending by roughly $6 billion. He aims to achieve this by eliminating "political waste." This contrasts sharply with the previous administration's approach. Critics argue these cuts endanger social programs like state pensions. Supporters view them as essential for economic health. This proposed fiscal discipline reduces the risk of sovereign debt expansion. Consequently, bond yields have compressed, and credit risks have lowered. Markets interpret these moves as positive for the Chilean peso’s long-term stability. Industry Trends: The AI and Copper Connection Global technology trends are inadvertently boosting the Chilean peso. The Artificial Intelligence (AI) boom requires massive data processing capacity. Building data centres demands significant amounts of copper. Chile is the world’s leading copper exporter. Copper prices have rallied to near $12,000 per tonne due to this surging demand. Supply bottlenecks further drive up prices. This "science of scarcity" directly benefits Chile’s trade balance. High-tech industries effectively subsidise the Chilean peso through their raw material needs. Technology and Innovation: Powering the Future The intersection of high-tech innovation and mining is critical here. Clean energy infrastructure also relies heavily on copper. As patents for green technologies expand, copper demand grows structurally. Projections indicate this investment cycle will persist for years. This provides a long-term floor for the peso. The mining sector may see increased demand for advanced extraction technologies. Innovation in mining efficiency will be key to meeting global supply needs. Chile sits at the centre of this technological resource war. Leadership and Business Models Kast proposes a CEO-style approach to governance. His "emergency" government aims to slash bureaucracy and jump-start growth. He plans to deregulate key sectors and lower taxes. This suggests a shift toward neoliberal business models in government operations. However, management challenges loom. Kast lacks a congressional majority. He must build cross-party coalitions to pass laws. Leadership success depends on negotiation, not just executive orders. Failure to unite Congress could dilute his ambitious economic reforms. Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Traders should monitor specific technical thresholds for USD/CLP. The 910 level acts as immediate support. Resistance sits between 945 and 965. Momentum indicators currently suggest the peso is overbought. This means the currency might weaken slightly in the short term. Global factors are expected to resume dominance soon. Once the "election euphoria" fades, U.S. interest rates will drive the pair. Traders must remain vigilant for a potential reversal. Conclusion: A Delicate Balance The USD/CLP outlook remains cautiously optimistic. Kast’s win provides a short-term confidence boost. Simultaneously, the global AI boom supports copper prices. These factors combine to strengthen the Chilean currency. However, governance risks persist due to a divided Congress. The administration faces a difficult balancing act between reform and social stability. For now, the trend favours the peso, but volatility remains a threat.
Short
by the5erstrading
XAUUSD | ATHs Aren’t Resistances. They’re Liquidity**This is a long one, if you’re looking for price direction/prediction, skip. If you want to understand market movement, read on** Hello traders, - Gold at ATH: Why This Level? When price revisits an ATH, most traders immediately ask: “Is this the top or the breakout?” I used to ask the same question. And that question itself got me no where. Actually a lot of losses. Let us break down how markets actually behave around obvious levels, using gold as a clean, real example. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - ATHs Are Not Resistance — They’re Liquidity ATH range is the most noticeable levels on any chart. That clarity creates these behaviors 1. Breakout traders place buy stops above the ATH 2. Shorts place stop losses above the ATH Different ideas. Same location That end up with is a large pool of liquidity around ATH. Markets don’t move because a level is “strong”. They move because orders stacked in this zone. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Why Price Is Attracted to ATHs? Market makers (brokers, banks, exchanges) don't enter positions like we do. They need: Liquidity & Speed The 2 behaviors we mentioned creates exactly that. That’s why we see price usually react violently around these levels. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - The Common Mistake Dumb money treats ATHs as automatic resistance or automatic breakout levels. What you should know that what happens after liquidity is taken matters far more. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - What You Should Look For at an ATH? 1. Has liquidity been taken? 2. What does price do after? Does it accept and hold above? Or does it reject and displace away? ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - How Institutions Use These Levels Institutions don’t chase breakouts, enter at obvious levels, place tight stops. Instead they usually follow this process: 1. Pushes price into liquidity 2. Absorb stop orders 3. Set positions after sweeping long and short orders 4. Price expands (up or down) That’s why reversals feel sudden & a move start from candles that look “unfair” ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - A Rule That Changed How I Read a Chart If price hasn’t taken liquidity, the move isn’t ready When we wait for liquidity to be taken, we stay out of premature entries & out of obvious traps. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Final thought There will be one way or the other that you will learn that markets don’t trade based on what looks logical to you. They trade where pain is maximized and orders are concentrated. ATHs aren’t lines to fight or chase. Observe, wait and read. We don't predict direction with a wand. Your edge is understanding the process behind the curtains. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Education only. Not financial advice. If you find this useful, please support me with a like and comment
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by VIPCryptoVault
2
Why Institutions Trap Retail TraderThis video explains why institutions trap retail traders for liquidity by analyzing common price behavior around key levels. The discussion focuses on how liquidity builds near obvious highs and lows, why false breakouts and sudden reversals occur, and how institutional participation can create traps through market structure and order flow behavior. The objective of this video is to build awareness around liquidity-driven moves and help understand market mechanics from an educational perspective, without offering any trading or investment recommendations.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by ProTradeMatrix
2
The Dumbest Trades I Took This Month (And What They Taught Me)Most traders only show their wins. This video is about the trades that cost me money. In this breakdown, I walk through the dumbest trades I took this month—not to self-criticize, but to explain the decisions, assumptions, and psychological mistakes that led to them. You’ll learn: Why good-looking setups can still be bad trades How impatience sneaks in even with experience The difference between analysis and execution What I ignored in real time—and shouldn’t have How to spot these mistakes before they show up in your own trading This isn’t about perfection. It’s about awareness. If you’re trying to become more consistent, studying losses matters more than celebrating wins. That’s how discipline actually gets built. Subscribe if you want honest breakdowns, market structure, and mindset without hype. Disclaimer: Not trading advice. Just sharing perspective. Manage your risk and make your own decisions.
Education
by TLTurnerTV
Ethereum: Head & Shoulders Breakdown Inside a Descending channelHi ETH is currently trading within a broader descending channel, keeping the medium-term structure under bearish pressure. On the 4H timeframe, price could have formed a clear Head & Shoulders pattern, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder well-defined and symmetric. Notably, the head briefly broke above the upper channel boundary, but the price failed to sustain above it and quickly moved back inside the channel, confirming a classic fake breakout and weakening bullish continuation probabilities. The neckline of the pattern aligns closely with the 2,900–2,920 zone, which is now acting as a critical decision level. Price is currently hovering around this area, showing hesitation and a lack of strong bullish follow-through. As long as ETH remains below the descending channel resistance and fails to reclaim the neckline decisively, downside risk remains dominant. A confirmed breakdown below the neckline would activate the H&S structure, opening the path toward the next major demand zone around 2,630. RSI is trending lower and remains below the midline, supporting bearish momentum rather than divergence.
Short
by melikatrader94
13
GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 16th Dec '25[ Level Interpretation / description: L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . Do Comment for In depth Analysis. Follow notification about periodical View
NSEIX:NIFTY1!
by DSKF16
Gold prices adjust downwards - further consolidation.⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: US officials indicated on Monday that a framework agreement with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy aimed at ending the war with Russia is close to completion, though key obstacles remain, including unresolved territorial issues and the absence of firm security guarantees from the US and European allies. On the monetary front, New York Fed President John Williams said that policy is well calibrated heading into next year following last week’s rate cut, noting persistent downside risks to employment alongside easing inflation pressures, according to Bloomberg. Separately, Fed Governor Stephen Miran reiterated that current monetary settings remain overly restrictive, adding that he is likely to stay at the central bank beyond the end of his term until a successor is formally confirmed. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices are consolidating and correcting around 4300 - the market is awaiting today's NFP data; the more consolidation, the greater the volatility. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4381 - 4384 SL 4388 TP1: $4370 TP2: $4355 TP3: $4340 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4242 - 4240 SL 4235 TP1: $4255 TP2: $4270 TP3: $4285 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
NIFTY Analysis for 16th Dec '25: IntraSwing Spot levelsNIFTY Analysis for 16th Dec '25: IntraSwing Spot levels Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NF levels [ Level Interpretation / description: L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . Do Comment for In depth Analysis. Follow notification about periodical View
NSE:NIFTY
by DSKF16
Jader Lizardo, 1/16/2026 ExpirationCALL CREDIT SPREAD, above price: +1 Buy $35 Call 1/16 -1 Sell $34 Call 1/16 SHORT PUT, below price: -1 Sell $19 Put 1/16 Credit to open: Approx $150 (TBD) END RESULT SCENARIO #1: Share price between $19 and $34 @ expiration = Credit to open is max profit (best case scenario). END RESULT SCENARIO #2: Share price above $35 @ expiration = Credit to open minus $100 (no risk to upside). 3) END RESULT SCENARIO #3: Share price at or below $19 = Assigned to purchase 100 shares for $17.50 per share. (Deal with it already).
NASDAQ:APLD
by zach6667
The key is whether it can find support near 456.84 and rise Hello, traders. Nice to meet you. If you "Follow" me, you'll always get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (VRTX 1M Chart) The key is whether it can rise above 456.84-495.89. If the price succeeds in rising, 1st: Right Fibonacci level 1.618 (552.93) 2nd: Right Fibonacci level 1.902 (619.03) ~ 2 (641.84) 3rd: Right Fibonacci level 2.618 (785.67) We need to check for support near the above levels. If the price fails to rise, 1st: 316.40 2nd: 236.34 There is a possibility of a decline near the first and second levels above. At this time, it's important to check for the formation of the DOM (-60) or HA-Low indicator. If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and remains there, there's a possibility of a downtrend, so we need to consider a response plan. However, if the price declines to around 236.34-316.40, it could be a buying opportunity depending on the level of support, so you should also consider a response plan. - (1D chart) The boxed areas represent important support and resistance zones. Among them, the 456.84-495.89, 483.06-491.57, and 426.27-440.81 zones represent resistance zones. For an upward breakout of these resistance zones and a sustained uptrend, the following conditions must be met: 1. The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. Ideally, it should not have entered the overbought zone. 2. The TC indicator must be trending upward. Ideally, it should remain above zero. 3. The OBV indicator should show an upward trend. If possible, it should remain above the High Line. With the above conditions met, we need to see if it can rise above and sustain the final resistance level of 495.89. To achieve this, we expect to see up and down swings. If it falls below the lowest resistance level of 426.27-440.81, it is highly likely to fall to the support level of 373.65-385.83. At this point, a drop below 426.27 could lead to a step-down trend, so we need to consider how to respond. However, if support is found, it's time to buy, so we need to consider how to proceed with partial purchases. The reason for this concern is that if the price rises from the 373.65-385.83 range, it will touch the 426.27-440.81 range, then fall and touch the 373.65-385.83 range again. In other words, if the price rises after receiving support from a support area, then forms a resistance area, then falls and touches the support area again, the likelihood of further declines is higher. Therefore, you should consider how to execute a partial purchase when a stepwise downtrend is observed. - In any case, if the price rises after receiving support from around 456.84, the resistance area will be around 483.06-495.89. If it breaks above, the stepwise uptrend is likely to continue. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:VRTX
by readCrypto
Miran's dovish tone in his speech today. Dollar yields and the Dollar index are both under immense pressure and funding currencies(CHF, JPY) are bid. Surprisingly, Miran's tone came through as very dovish at the International Global Politics summit. Volatility and fear appear to be low with the Vix below twenty and nineteen levels. Dollar is still somewhat supported on carry and relative higher yields. High-beta like AUD is not bid yet. Any downward surprises in labor data will put pressure on the dollar with it becoming accepted that reasonable progress has been made on the price stability mandate. Expecting less CHF per Dollar seems clean and reasonable positioning if the read on the regime is correct. It's a 1:2 RR with a 1H ATR(14) 2X SL.
Short
by MostlyFXcharts
Why buying and selling are not two sides of the same coin?One of the most persistent and costly myths in the world of investing is the idea that supply and demand are perfectly symmetrical forces. Many investors assume that a winning strategy in bullish trends can simply be inverted to achieve equivalent results in bearish trends, applying the same filters but in the opposite direction. Even some educators challenge their followers to "invert" the logic of their strategies when questioning their effectiveness, as if a low hit rate would magically turn into success by reversing the logic. This fallacy, combined with the belief that technical patterns work equally well across all timeframes and markets, leads to prematurely discarding solid strategies. The error lies in evaluating them while assuming perfect symmetry between bullish and bearish movements, ignoring the inherent structural asymmetry in markets. Hope vs. Fear To understand the market, we must understand the human emotion that drives it. The emotions behind buying and selling are radically different: Buyers: Enter the market guided by euphoria or hope for growth. It is a sentiment that seeks stability and usually builds progressively. Sellers: Generally act motivated by fear—whether to protect gains at the slightest adverse fluctuation (risk aversion) or to cut losses. Fear is a much more unstable emotion than hope. The Structural Reality Stocks (Indices and Individual Stocks) In these markets, "neutrality" does not exist, and when studying historical data, we observe a clear upward bias. A large portion of the volume in indices (SPX, Nasdaq) is not speculative but structural (pension funds, 401ks, automatic monthly contributions). There is a constant flow of money entering these markets and ETFs regardless of price. It is also important to note that many successful companies repurchase their own shares, artificially reducing the floating supply. Many investors try to apply chart patterns (such as those popularized by Richard W. Schabacker) expecting the same reliability in bearish trends as in bullish ones (or across all markets and timeframes). The reality is that exhaustion patterns in bullish trends fail more often, simply because the natural inertia in traditional markets is to rise. In my own tests of quantitative systems (such as the Vital Wave , Classic Wave , and Reversal Wave strategies, published on my profile and applicable to traditional markets), the data is conclusive: • Strategies designed for long-only positions show solid and consistent historical returns. • When introducing short entries into those same systems under the logic of "inverting the rules," the hit rate plummets and the statistical performance is destroyed. This happens because in a market with an upward bias, sell-offs occur in contexts of much greater randomness and instability, and they happen less frequently. Key S&P 500 Data (since 1928): • Bull Markets: Have occurred 28 times. They last an average of 4.3 years and generate an average return of 149.5%. • Bear Markets: Have occurred 27 times. They last only 11.1 months with an average decline of -35%. • Frequency: Since 1984, the S&P 500 has closed negative in only 7 years (1990, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2008, 2018, 2022). Forex Market Unlike stocks, currencies cannot rise or fall indefinitely without serious economic consequences (for example, an excessively strong euro would destroy European exports). This creates a more balanced environment: • Self-Correcting Forces: Central banks intervene (via interest rates or directly) to maintain balances, acting as invisible "ceilings" and "floors." • Typical Chart Structure: There is no real symmetry here either, but it is undoubtedly a more balanced scenario compared to traditional stocks and indices. • Chart Structure: Sideways movements, wide ranges, false breakouts (bull and bear traps). Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies Bitcoin exhibits periods of consolidation followed by explosions of volatility, but it maintains a long-term upward bias, heavily influenced by its growing correlation with indices like the S&P 500 (especially since 2020-2021, with significant positive correlations). As for altcoins, their nature is highly speculative: they depend largely on Bitcoin (lagged movements), have low capitalization, limited regulation, and are vulnerable to manipulation. This makes them inconsistent and difficult to compare with BTC. Exceptions like Monero (XMR) stand out for their greater independence and technical potential. Conclusion and Recommendation Design and evaluate your trading systems separately: one optimized for long positions and another (if you use it) for short positions. Understanding that markets, timeframes, and directions are not symmetrical will give you a significant edge. Instead of seeking the "universal strategy," adapt your tools to the specific context. This perspective not only prevents discarding valid strategies but also allows you to exploit the real inefficiencies of the market.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by OldWave96