btcusdtKey Guidelines to Remember:
Our starting capital is $1,000.
For the first signal, the maximum permitted loss is $1.
For the second signal, the maximum permitted loss is $2, and so on, following this incremental pattern.
The initial risk-to-reward ratio is 1:3.
If a stop-loss is triggered, the risk-to-reward ratio for the next signal increases by 1 unit (e.g., from 1:3 → 1:4).
Example Implementation:
Signal 1: Risk $1 → Reward $3 (1:3)
If stopped: Signal 2: Risk $2 → Reward $8 (1:4)
If stopped again: Signal 3: Risk $3 → Reward $15 (1:5)
Stay disciplined and adhere to the capital allocation rules.Key Guidelines to Remember:
Our starting capital is $1,000.
For the first signal, the maximum permitted loss is $1.
For the second signal, the maximum permitted loss is $2, and so on, following this incremental pattern.
The initial risk-to-reward ratio is 1:3.
If a stop-loss is triggered, the risk-to-reward ratio for the next signal increases by 1 unit (e.g., from 1:3 → 1:4).
Example Implementation:
Signal 1: Risk $1 → Reward $3 (1:3)
If stopped: Signal 2: Risk $2 → Reward $8 (1:4)
If stopped again: Signal 3: Risk $3 → Reward $15 (1:5)
Stay disciplined and adhere to the capital allocation rules.
Beyond Technical Analysis
A Tutorial on LIQUIDITY and EFFICIENCYLike I've mentioned in the past, these are the 2 core concepts of how the market moves. When you begin to understand them, you start to understand where price HAS to go. That may sound arrogant, but I am last the person to say anything about the market with certainty unless I am actually certain. It is akin to understanding why and how the sun comes up in the morning and goes down at night. Because you understand the science behind it, you are able to say with certainty where and when it will happen. (Unless you believe some flat earther stuff like the sun is a hot air balloon ride away...
So, I hope you find this video educational. Remember, successful trading is about consistency, discipline, and hard work. It is about making profit and minimizing risk. It isn't about winning or losing, or being right or wrong.
Take care,
- R2F Trading
Gold rejected at 3990 – caution as range expands📊 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) touched the $3990 resistance zone before retreating back to $3985–$3986, indicating renewed selling pressure near the supply area. The market remains range-bound, but the range is gradually widening, signaling potential volatility ahead.
🧭 Technical Analysis
• Near Resistance: $3990 – $3995
• Major Resistance: $4005 – $4012
• Near Support: $3978 – $3970
• Major Support: $3958 – $3950
• EMA50 (H1): price is hovering around this level, showing a neutral short-term bias.
• Recent candlesticks show upper wicks → sellers are dominating short-term momentum, though dip-buying interest may appear around $3960–$3955.
💡 Outlook
Gold remains in an expanding consolidation phase. The $3995 – $4005 area is a critical test zone — failure to break above could trigger a correction toward $3960.
Conversely, a confirmed H1 close above $4005 would suggest a bullish breakout and potential continuation higher.
🎯 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $4006 – $4009
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4013
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3955 – $3952
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3948
The Revenge of Emerging Markets on Wall StreetBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
After several years of absolute dominance by Wall Street, emerging markets are experiencing their major stock market comeback in 2025. The MSCI Emerging Markets ETF has risen around 30% so far this year, clearly outperforming the S&P 500, which is up about 15%. This marks the strongest relative performance in over a decade, driven by renewed investor appetite for Asia and the boom in artificial intelligence (AI) — though, paradoxically, that same sectoral concentration also represents its main vulnerability.
Solid but Uneven Fundamentals
The rebound in emerging markets is supported by a combination of factors: attractive valuations, stronger relative economic growth, and a weaker U.S. dollar, which boosts competitiveness and capital inflows into the region. According to IMF estimates, the average growth rate of emerging economies in 2025 will be 2.5 percentage points higher than that of developed economies.
The main growth drivers are located in Asia, where South Korea, Taiwan, and mainland China account for most of the gains. South Korea’s KOSPI is up 67% this year, supported by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, while Taiwan’s TSEC 50 has seen TSMC contribute more than half of its returns. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index has climbed 25%, although half of that increase comes from just six tech stocks, including Alibaba and Xiaomi.
At the sector level, AI and semiconductors remain the dominant theme: investors are seeking exposure to the global tech supply chain, but with more moderate valuations. In fact, the Hang Seng trades at around 20 times earnings, compared to 35 times for the Nasdaq 100 — suggesting further upside potential if liquidity conditions remain supportive.
Technical Analysis: Uptrend Remains, but Fragile
From a technical perspective, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) closed yesterday around $55.12, maintaining a clearly bullish structure. The 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages continue to show buy signals, while the RSI (56%) indicates moderate strength without entering overbought territory. The MACD remains above the histogram, which appears to be correcting slightly downward.
The point of control (POC) is around $48.61, corresponding to the support area of the last bullish consolidation. The first support level lies near $54.51, with key support at $51.82, while immediate resistance is located around the current highs of $56.31 reached on October 29. A sustained breakout above that level could open the path toward $58. Conversely, a bearish break below support could trigger corrections toward $50, testing the point of control. The ActivTrades US Market Pulse indicator remains in a neutral risk zone.
Conclusion
The “revenge” of emerging markets in 2025 reflects less a global portfolio rotation and not necessarily a structural change in leadership compared to Wall Street, but rather an extension of the same global technological narrative — this time driven through Asia. Exposure to artificial intelligence and semiconductors remains the main engine of growth but also the main source of vulnerability, given the high concentration in a few stocks.
Even so, more moderate valuations, stronger economic growth potential, and a weaker dollar create a favorable environment for emerging markets to sustain their momentum in the medium term. While their correlation with Wall Street remains high, the fundamentals suggest that emerging markets could offer a more efficient alternative to capture the global tech trend, achieving a better balance between risk and return.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (06/11/2025, LONDON SESSION)
1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold extends its bullish move into the London session after breaking above $3,995–$4,000, confirming short-term momentum shift from consolidation to continuation.
The metal currently trades near $4,005, where sellers are reacting at a key H1 supply zone aligned with a descending trendline from previous highs.
Overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, with potential pullbacks expected before continuation toward $4,026–$4,046.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
📆 D1 (Daily):
Price sustains above the 100EMA and remains in an ongoing bullish recovery phase.
RSI ≈ 52, showing neutral-to-bullish structure. A confirmed daily close above $4,012 would strengthen the path to $4,026–$4,046 next.
⏰ H1 (Hourly):
Strong breakout candle above $3,995 with MACD turning positive.
Current resistance seen around $4,010–$4,015. RSI near 68 signals slight overextension, hinting that a minor pullback could occur before another push upward.
🕒 15M–5M (Intraday):
Price broke through descending structure and is now forming rejections near $4,010.
Short-term support sits between $3,985–$3,975, coinciding with EMAs and structure demand.
Expect a possible retest of this area for continuation if buyers remain in control.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Last swing $3,960 → $4,010)
• 38.2% = $3,990
• 50.0% = $3,985
• 61.8% = $3,979
🎯 Golden Zone: $3,990 – $3,979 → Potential bullish continuation area.
⸻
4️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• The US Dollar Index (DXY) is holding below 106, favoring gold’s strength.
• US Jobless Claims and Fed speeches later today may inject volatility during the NY session.
• London is likely to trade inside the $3,985–$4,010 band until new catalysts emerge.
⸻
5️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold maintains an intraday bullish bias while trading above $3,975.
The ideal scenario is a pullback toward $3,990–$3,979 (Golden Zone) before the next impulsive move up.
A sustained break above $4,015 would confirm fresh momentum targeting $4,026 → $4,046, while failure to hold above $3,975 could shift bias back toward $3,960.
⸻
6️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📈 Primary Bias: Bullish continuation above $3,975
📉 Bearish Invalidity: Below $3,970
🎯 Upside Targets: $4,026 → $4,046 → $4,075
⚠️ Key Zone to Watch: $3,990 – $3,979 (Golden Zone retest area)
⸻
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
DXY Daily Outlook — Bullish Order Flow Toward Equal HighsHello traders 👋
On the DXY daily chart, we can clearly see that price showed a strong bullish reaction after grabbing liquidity below 96.37, initiating a bullish order flow that, in my view, is still in progress.
The equal highs above the current price act as a potential draw on liquidity and serve as my first bullish target.
However, keep an eye on the trendline liquidity forming below the current price — there’s a possibility that price may sweep this liquidity before continuing higher.
Overall, my bias remains bullish for now.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
BTCUSDT Review November 6 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
The price has made a monthly liquidity grab of the high, which with high probability should lead us toward the monthly long FVG. At the moment, we’ve seen a weekly liquidity sweep on the long side and left equal lows just before the monthly FVG.
The nearest area from which we can expect a continuation of the downward movement is the daily FVG and BtS zone. In case of a test of one of these zones and confirmation on a lower timeframe, short positions can be considered with the target of taking out the previous low.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
Why the US Dollar Dominates the Loonie?The USD/CAD pair trades near 1.4100, reflecting the US Dollar's (USD) persistent strength against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). This rally to seven-month highs stems from powerful structural and cyclical forces. We observe a widening monetary policy divergence and geopolitical uncertainty that favors the USD. Analyzing macroeconomics, fiscal policy, and trade reveals why the CAD struggles to sustain gains, despite positive Canadian data.
Geopolitics and Geostrategy: North American Trade Friction
Trade uncertainty directly pressures the CAD. Recent trade tensions with the US create significant CAD headwinds. Prime Minister Mark Carney apologized for an anti-tariff advertisement, but President Trump reportedly rejected resuming trade talks. This situation keeps bilateral trade risk elevated, undermining business confidence in Canada. US court proceedings over broad tariffs further inject political risk into the U.S.-Canada relationship, threatening key sectors like the auto industry.
The USD functions as the global reserve safe-haven anchor. Global investors gravitate toward USD assets during times of geopolitical friction. This geostrategic function offers the USD a structural advantage over the commodity-linked CAD, reinforcing the pair's upward momentum.
Macroeconomics: Diverging Rate Paths
The primary driver remains the widening interest rate differential. Strong US data bolsters the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance. US ADP Employment climbed by 42,000 in October, reversing the prior decline. ISM Services PMI also rose to 52.4, exceeding forecasts. This resilience strengthens the USD.
The Fed maintains a cautious approach toward future rate cuts. CME FedWatch Tool data shows traders reduced the probability of a December Fed cut to 62% from 68%. Conversely, the Bank of Canada (BoC) has already cut its policy rate to 2.25%. Although the BoC signaled an easing cycle pause, markets focus on expected future divergence. This policy gap favors dollar-denominated assets, pushing the USD/CAD higher.
Economics and Fiscal Policy Headwinds
Canada's fiscal policy adds downward pressure on the CAD. The new Canadian budget projects the fiscal deficit will more than double this year. Deficit projections reach -2.5% of GDP for 2025/26 and -2.0% for 2026/27, representing material fiscal loosening. Markets interpret this spending as potentially inflationary without sufficient growth, weakening the CAD.
Furthermore, the CAD remains highly sensitive to crude oil prices. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude trades near $\$60.00$ per barrel, declining slightly. As a major oil exporter, softer energy prices negatively impact Canada's terms of trade and export revenue, directly pressuring the Loonie.
Technology and Patent Analysis: The Competitiveness Gap
Structural economic factors underpin the CAD weakness. Canada faces an ongoing competitiveness gap with the US, particularly in high-tech and innovation sectors. Persistent lower productivity growth in Canada compared to the US makes the Canadian economy less appealing for long-term capital investment.
The US economy demonstrates superior labor productivity growth and strong performance in advanced industries. This technology and innovation lag limits the CAD's potential for sustained appreciation. The US also benefits from acting as a "black hole" attraction for Canadian talent and intellectual property. This fundamental economic divergence provides structural support for the Greenback's long-term dominance.
EUR/USD Trade Alert🚨 EUR/USD Trade Alert 🚨
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Type: 🔴 Sell
Entry: 1.15094
Take Profit (TP): 🎯 1.14246
Stop Loss (SL): ❌ 1.15450
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📈 Status: Active
💡 Market Insight:
Sellers remain in control while price trades below the stop level. As long as price stays under 1.15450, the bearish momentum supports a move toward 1.14246. A break above the stop cancels the idea.
Daily Gold Analysis — Potential Buy Zones Until Saturday
📈 The MyShare Finance team publishes daily gold analyses (XAUUSD) on our channel.
These insights are valuable both for active traders and for those tracking physical gold buying opportunities.
In today’s analysis, we’ve identified price zones with strong buying potential based on technical and sentiment factors.
🟢 If gold price reaches the 3920 and 3890 levels,
we plan to buy in two separate steps (scaling in).
These zones represent areas of interest for both short-term trading and physical accumulation strategies.
🔹 MyShare Analysis:
Gold is trading near major support zones.
If selling pressure eases, a technical rebound toward higher resistance levels is likely.
However, note that volatility during the New York session can spike — so maintain proper risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is purely for educational and analytical purposes
and should not be considered as financial advice or a direct trading recommendation.
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingAnalysis
YOUR JOB IS TO FIND CONFLUENCE - Here is how I do it.....All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
Bitcoin Weekly Technical Analysis Report $BTCBitcoin Weekly Technical Analysis Report BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Background Overview
Bitcoin (BTC) has become the most influential digital asset globally due to its decentralization, fixed supply, and transparent transactions. At the intersection of traditional finance and the crypto market, Technical Analysis (TA) is a crucial tool for investors to assess price trends and develop trading strategies. Based on the three key assumptions—“history repeats itself,” “price moves in trends,” and “market action discounts all information”—technical analysis uses chart patterns, trend lines, support and resistance levels, volume, and various indicators to make probabilistic forecasts about future price movements.
The weekly chart, as a core time frame for medium- to long-term trend analysis, filters out noise from daily and lower time frames, providing a clearer view of the main trend direction, key turning points, and the balance between bulls and bears. The BTC/USDT weekly chart analyzed here (from TradingView) covers price movements from 2023 to the present. It includes annotations such as “Weekly Support of BTC since 2023,” “Past Bottom 2023,” and “2024–2025 Resistance Support,” along with green and pink shaded areas that visually represent different stages of market psychological levels.
Currently, Bitcoin is priced at 103,384.25 USDT, with a weekly decline of -6.47% and a weekly volume of 118,000 USDT. From the chart structure, the price is near the 2024–2025 resistance-turned-support zone while being supported by the ascending trend line that has formed since 2023. The battle between bulls and bears is intense in this range, and price movements over the coming weeks will have a decisive impact on the medium- to long-term trend.
This report will combine key support and resistance levels, trend lines, volume, and technical indicators from the chart, compare historical patterns with the current market environment, conduct an in-depth analysis from multiple perspectives, and propose corresponding strategic recommendations and risk warnings.
Research Support and Evidence Analysis
This analysis is strictly based on the technical elements and relevant market data presented in the chart, with the following key supporting points:
• Current price and change: 103,384.25 USDT, weekly decline of -6.47%, indicating short-term bearish dominance, but the price has not yet broken key support.
• Weekly volume: 118,000 USDT, which has expanded compared to the recent average, suggesting increased market participation and greater divergence between bulls and bears.
• Key support levels:
– “Weekly Support of BTC since 2023” trend line: An ascending trend line connecting the weekly lows since 2023, currently around 100,000 USDT, providing important support.
– “Past Bottom 2023” zone: The 2023 Bitcoin low accumulation area, around 95,000–98,000 USDT, serving as the last line of defense for bulls.
• Key resistance levels:
– “2024–2025 Resistance Support” level: Previous high points where price repeatedly failed to break through, around 110,000–115,000 USDT, now acting as resistance.
– Pink resistance zone: Corresponds to historical accumulation areas and Fibonacci extension levels, around 118,000–122,000 USDT, serving as both a target for bulls and a point for bears to counterattack.
• Trend line analysis:
– Main ascending trend line: Extending upward from the 2023 low with a moderate slope, reflecting the medium- to long-term bullish trend.
– Secondary descending trend line: Connecting the late 2024 and early 2025 highs, forming a short-term descending channel; the price is currently approaching the upper boundary of this channel.
• Volume confirmation:
– When the 2023 support zone formed, volume gradually decreased, indicating easing selling pressure.
– When breaking through resistance in 2024, volume expanded significantly, confirming the validity of the breakout.
– During the current pullback, volume has expanded again, requiring vigilance against panic selling.
Data Comparison and Detailed Summary
To more intuitively present the relationship between key price levels and historical movements, the main support and resistance levels, trend lines, and volume characteristics are summarized as follows:
drive.google.com
From the table, it is clear that the support system formed in 2023 remains effective, while the resistance zone from late 2024 to early 2025 is pressuring the current price. Volume shows distinct patterns at different stages: decreasing at support zones, expanding on breakouts, and expanding again during pullbacks, reflecting cyclical changes in market sentiment.
Source Origin and Citation Interpretation
• Data authority: TradingView integrates real-time quotes from major global exchanges, ensuring the accuracy of price and volume data.
• Annotation professionalism: The trend lines, support and resistance zones on the chart are drawn by experienced analysts based on classic technical analysis methods such as historical highs and lows, accumulation areas, and Fibonacci retracements.
• Time frame representativeness: The weekly chart filters short-term fluctuations and is more suitable for medium- to long-term trend analysis, matching the decision cycles of institutional investors and long-term holders.
For labels such as “Weekly Support of BTC since 2023,” “Past Bottom 2023,” and “2024–2025 Resistance Support,” their origin is the chart drawer’s summary of historical key price levels. Although somewhat subjective, they align with the general definitions in technical analysis for “significant highs and lows” and “accumulation areas.” Therefore, interpretation should combine multiple verifications (such as volume and indicator confirmation) to reduce the risk of bias from single labels.
In-depth Insights and Independent Thinking
Combining the above data and chart features, deeper market insights can be gained from the following perspectives:
The medium- to long-term trend remains healthy
– The main ascending trend line has been extending upward from the 2023 low, and each pullback has not broken below it, indicating that the bullish structure is intact.
– The current price is approaching this trend line. If it can stabilize and rebound here, it will validate the effectiveness of the trend support and lay the foundation for the next upward wave.
The importance of the resistance-turned-support zone
– The 110,000–115,000 USDT zone repeatedly acted as resistance from late 2024 to early 2025. After being recently broken, it has turned into support.
– If the price can stabilize above this zone, it will further consolidate the bulls’ advantage and challenge the pink resistance zone (118,000–122,000 USDT).
Volume signals reveal market sentiment
– Volume decreased at the 2023 bottom, indicating exhausted selling pressure and paving the way for the subsequent rebound.
– Volume expanded during the resistance breakout, confirming increased market participation, while the current pullback’s expanded volume requires vigilance against panic selling.
– Future signs of stabilization with decreasing volume will present a better opportunity for bulls to enter.
Risks and opportunities coexist
– Short-term bears dominate, and the price is approaching the main ascending trend line. A breakdown below could trigger larger-scale stop-losses, targeting the 95,000–98,000 USDT zone.
– If the trend line support holds, combined with oversold signals from technical indicators, a wave of buying opportunities will emerge, with an initial target of 110,000–115,000 USDT.
Macro environment and market structure
– Global liquidity, regulatory policies, and institutional capital flows are exogenous variables affecting Bitcoin’s medium- to long-term trends.
– Although technical analysis can provide probabilistic judgments on price paths, it still needs to be combined with fundamental analysis and market sentiment to improve decision-making success rates.
Extended Discussion / Related Topics
In the current technical context, the following topics can be further explored:
• Multi-dimensional verification of technical indicators
– Relative Strength Index (RSI): Whether the weekly RSI is in overbought or oversold territory, and any divergence with price.
– Moving Averages (MA): The arrangement and divergence of the 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week MAs, and their confirmation of trend direction.
– MACD histogram and signal line: Weekly golden crosses and death crosses, as well as momentum changes in the histogram, indicating trend continuation or reversal.
• Fibonacci retracement and extension
– The role of Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) from the 2023–2024 main upward wave in the current pullback.
– If the price breaks above the pink resistance zone, the next targets can be referenced by Fibonacci extension levels (161.8%, 261.8%).
• Market sentiment and capital flows
– Can data such as futures open interest, funding rates, and exchange net inflows/outflows resonate with chart patterns?
– The impact of continuous buying by institutions like Grayscale and MicroStrategy, compared with the long-short ratio of retail leveraged funds, on medium- to long-term support and resistance.
• Risk management strategies
– Near key support and resistance levels, how to set stop-loss and take-profit to optimize risk-reward ratios.
– When volatility surges, should position size be adjusted, or derivatives like options be used for hedging?
• Future trend outlook
– If the price stabilizes above 110,000–115,000 USDT, the bullish target could extend to 130,000–150,000 USDT.
– If it breaks below the main ascending trend line and loses the 95,000 USDT support, a larger-scale correction may begin, with a downside target around 80,000 USDT.
Through in-depth exploration of the above topics, a more comprehensive investment decision framework can be constructed. On the basis of technical analysis, combining market structure and macro factors will improve the ability to predict price movements.
More sideways/down for $BTC as dictated by Global LiquidityRecent price action in relation to the BGL (Bitcoin Global Liquidity indicator) has got me thinking that the delay has shifted to around 90 days instead of the 72 day default lag. While this may or may not be the case, the BGL (72 and 90 day delay) has correctly called the current downside/sideways price action for CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Note: the BGL has been correctly predicting price action for the entire cycle). If this continues to be correlated, then we will continue to get sideways/down until at least February 2026 (the farthest in the future the BGL can currently "see"). While I root for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to "go up," the BGL says there is currently no end in site to sideways/down.
--Da_Prof
DXY recovers - gold price under selling pressure below 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) slips toward $3,970 during Thursday’s Asian session as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook following stronger-than-expected US economic data. Several Fed officials — including Michael Barr, John Williams, Anna Paulson, Beth Hammack, Christopher Waller, and Alberto Musalem — are set to speak later in the day.
Data from ADP on Wednesday showed US private-sector employment rose by 42,000 in October, rebounding from September’s revised 29,000 decline, suggesting signs of stabilization in the labor market after two months of weakness.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to accumulate below 4000, DXY recovers when efforts are made for the US government to operate. Gold continues to lack current upward momentum.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4087 - 4089 SL 4094
TP1: $4070
TP2: $4050
TP3: $4030
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3948 - 3946 SL 3941
TP1: $3960
TP2: $3970
TP3: $3990
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold 8H Forecast- Price will continue to sell off🔥 GOLD (XAU/USD) – 8H Forecast 🔥
Alright fam, let’s break this one down nice and clean 👇
🧠 Bias : Short-term bearish → Long-term bullish
Gold’s cooking a classic pullback setup right now — we’re in a mid-range squeeze after that massive rally and rejection from the external BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity) at the top.
📉 Technical Breakdown
Price broke structure at the top and started forming lower highs under that descending trendline.
We’ve already taken external SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) below recent lows, showing signs of a cleanup phase.
The current compression looks like a bearish continuation pattern that could push into the 8H demand zone around $3,750 – $3,800.
That zone also aligns perfectly with the 200 EMA, making it a juicy liquidity magnet before any major reversal.
🎯 Potential Play
Short-term:
Watch for a breakdown below current structure → ride it down to that $3,750 demand area.
Ideal short confirmation = rejection at the $3,950 – $4,000 supply zone.
Medium to Long-term:
Once price taps that HTF demand, expect bulls to step back in hard.
A clean rebound from there could launch us toward $4,300 – $4,500, following the red arrow projection. 🚀
⚙️ Risk Management
Avoid early longs until the sweep and reaction from demand confirm a shift.
Keep stops tight above the 8H swing high if shorting.
Wait for structure + volume confirmation before flipping bias long.
🧩 Summary
Gold’s chilling mid-range after a big rally — expect one more dip into demand before the next bullish leg ignites. HTF structure remains intact, but we’re not done with the correction yet. Patience pays here.
Gold rebounds from 3974, short-term trend turns bullish1. Market Overview:
During the European session, gold dropped sharply from 3985 to 3956 but quickly rebounded after touching the key support area around 3974. The price is now fluctuating near 3980, indicating that dip buyers have re-entered the market after the short-term correction.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Short-term trend: Neutral to slightly bullish
• Resistance levels: 3988 – 3995 / 4010 – 4025
• Support levels: 3974 – 3960 / 3945 – 3930
• The price is currently trading above the EMA20 and EMA50 on the H1 timeframe, and the bullish candle bounce confirms 3974 as a short-term support.
• If the price sustains above 3975, the upward move could extend toward 3995 – 4010.
3. Outlook:
Gold is currently sideways in accumulation mode between 3950–3990. Buyers are regaining control, but a clear breakout above 3988 is needed to confirm further upside momentum.
4. Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 3975–3978
🎯 TP: 3990 / 4005 / 4020
🛑 SL: 3960
🟢 Strategy: Buy continuation as long as price holds above 3975
________________________________________
🔻 SELL XAU/USD (only if price fails to break 3988–3995)
Entry: 3988–3995
🎯 TP: 3970 / 3956 / 3935
🛑 SL: 4005
$LINK – SOFI Fractal PlayBIST:LINK
Jumped in a little too early last time — got bullish right at resistance even though the chart was screaming “pullback incoming.” Lesson learned.
Updated outlook: I’m tracking a SOFI fractal that looks almost identical to LINK’s current structure. If it keeps following the same path, 2026 could get real interesting 👀






















