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TCS Under Pressure – Will Visa Heat Trigger ₹3000 Levels..?Currently, TCS is trading near the crucial resistance zone of ₹3200, which also carries high open interest. From a technical perspective, if the stock breaks and closes below the short-term support of ₹3150, we can look for a short entry on retest, with targets: * 🎯 Target 1: ₹3080 * 🎯 Target 2: ₹3000 📰 Fundamental / News Catalyst The recent US H-1B visa policy update imposing a $100,000 fee on new petitions triggered a knee-jerk reaction in IT stocks: * U.S.-listed Indian IT firms saw an immediate 2-5% decline. * Analysts expect the impact on TCS to be limited, since a large part of its U.S. workforce is locally hired and renewals/existing visas are exempt. * Worst-case estimates suggest a 3-5% downside in the short term, but not a structural collapse for large, diversified players like TCS. 📊 Impact Outlook on TCS Short Term (days–weeks): * Investor sentiment may turn negative, causing selling pressure. * Margin compression possible due to new visa costs. * Analysts could revise earnings growth expectations lower. * Offsetting factors: Renewals exempt, TCS has a solid U.S. local workforce, and offshore flexibility. Medium Term (months): * New contracts may factor in higher costs. * Shift to offshore delivery could reduce higher-margin onsite revenues. * More local U.S. hiring may raise costs. * Offsetting factors: TCS’s scale allows cost absorption; some costs may be passed to clients. Long Term (year+): * Delivery model may shift further to offshore/local U.S. hiring. * Competitive pressure if peers adapt faster in the U.S. market. * Margins could be under pressure. *Offsetting factors: Strong global brand, diversified business, investments in AI & automation can offset long-term risks. 🔎 Scenarios for Share Price * Mild Reaction: 3-5% decline → cautious investors, limited disruption. * Moderate Reaction: 8-12% decline → project delays, client pushback, stricter visa rules. * Severe Reaction: 15-20%+ decline → contract losses, earnings downgrades, tighter U.S. policy. ✅ Conclusion * 📌 Technicals: Watch ₹3150 for breakdown confirmation; short entries possible below this with ₹3080 / ₹3000 as downside targets. * 📌 Fundamentals: News-driven weakness is likely, but structural risk to TCS remains limited vs smaller IT peers. * 📌 Strategy: Short-term bearish setup aligns with both technical chart structure and negative sentiment from visa policy changes. 📌 Sentiment: Bearish (Short Term)
NSE:TCSShort
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
SPOT BREAKOUT - HYPE ALERT --> THE/USDT🚨SPOT BREAKOUT HYPE ALERT🚨 Missed the $ASTER rocket? Don’t worry, the real opportunity might just be starting with TSX:THE (@ThenaFi_), now trading on #Binance! Why am I watching TSX:THE closely? 🔸DEX on BNB Chain, just like $ASTER 🔸Backed by kingmakers CZ & @YziLabs 🔸But while $ASTER is already at a ~$3B market cap, TSX:THE is sitting at just ~$64M… ⏳ Fundamentals? 🔹$ASTER revenue: +/-$37M 🔹 TSX:THE revenue: +/-$39M That’s right TSX:THE is already OUTPERFORMING in revenue at a fraction of the valuation! 💡TA Spotlight: TSX:THE is hovering at its historical support, the exact level where it last pumped 20x post-breakout. The chart is loaded for another big move. 📈I wouldn’t be shocked to see the $ASTER hype repeat here, with serious money rotating from $ASTER to $THE! 👀 →Small cap + real fundamentals + explosive TA = This could be a next billion-dollar narrative. 🚀 Not a financial advice, #NFA
Long
by Cryptojobs
A Framework for Survival and GrowthTrading isn’t just about spotting patterns or indicators — it’s about survival, consistency, and growth. Without rules, the market will chew you up and spit you out. Trading is also simple but not easy. The market doesn’t owe you consistency, it rewards process. These seven rules are not motivational slogans: they’re operating principles you must turn into habits. Below each rule you’ll find why it matters, how to apply it, and concrete actions you can take on charts today. 1) Protect Your Capital First ( capital is king ) Why it matters Capital is your optionality. Lose it quickly and you cannot trade to recover. Bigger wins mean nothing if you’re repeatedly wiping accounts. Trading is a longevity game: the longer you survive, the more compounding edge you’ll capture. nerdy tip : Treat capital like ammo. Allocate risk so you can survive a losing streak. Define maximum drawdown limits for your account and stop trading if you exceed them. Avoid strategies that require frequent large bets or Martingale-style scaling. how to apply, example : Risk per trade: 0.5%–1% of account equity (conservative) or up to 2% (aggressive, but rare). Example calculation (step-by-step): account = $10,000; risk = 1% → risk amount = $10,000 × 0.01 = $100. If your stop is 40 pips, value per pip = $100 ÷ 40 = $2.50 per pip. Size your position so one pip equals $2.50. Set a daily-stop: e.g., if you lose 3% in a day ($300 on a $10k account), stop trading for the day. Reset, review, and return tomorrow. 2) Trade with a Plan ( Risk : Reward (R:R) — don’t trade where math is against you ) Why it matters Win rate and R:R together determine expectancy. You can be profitable with a low win rate if your winners are large enough; conversely, a high win rate with tiny winners and large occasional losses will still lose money. nerdy tip : Target trades with at least 1:2 R:R as a minimum. Better setups often give 1:3 or more. Use partial profits and trailing stops to convert large theoretical targets into realizable gains. how to apply : Expectancy example (clear math): Win rate = 40% (0.40), average winning trade = 2R, average losing trade = 1R. Expectancy per trade = (0.40 × 2R) − (0.60 × 1R) = 0.8R − 0.6R = 0.2R. That’s positive expectancy. Always calculate required move to hit your TP: if your stop = 40 pips and target = 80 pips, you have 1:2 R:R. Enter only if that setup is realistic given structure and volatility. 3) Stoploss = Lifeline Why it matters Stops are not bureaucratic—they’re your survival mechanism. Without a stop you trade with hope, not probability. The stop defines risk; the rest of your trade plan depends on that known value. nerdy tip : Place stops at structural invalidation points, not arbitrarily. The best stops say: “If price gets here, the trade idea is invalid.” Prefer volatility-aware stops (e.g., ATR-based) when markets are noisy; prefer structure-based stops when levels are clear. how to apply it : Use the Average True Range (ATR) to account for volatility. Formula: Stop distance = ATR(14) × multiplier (1.0–1.5) Example: If ATR(14) = 20 pips on EURUSD and you use a 1.2 multiplier → stop = 20 × 1.2 = 24 pips. This adapts to current volatility instead of using a fixed, unrealistic number like 75 pips in tight pairs. Buffer Stop (Anti-Stop Hunt) Add a small buffer (2–5 pips for majors, slightly more for volatile pairs) beyond obvious highs/lows. Purpose: avoid being wicked out by stop-hunts, but keep the risk controlled. Trailing Stop (Locking in Profits) As the trade moves in your favor, trail your stop to lock in gains without exiting too early. Methods: Fixed pip trail: e.g., move stop up by 15 pips once price is 20 pips in profit. ATR trail: dynamic — stop follows price at a distance of ATR(14) × multiplier (e.g., 1.0). Structure trail: move stop to below each new higher low in an uptrend (or above each lower high in a downtrend). 4) Trend — identify, respect, and choose how to engage it Why it matters Trading with the trend gives you tailwinds. Many retail losses come from “fighting the market.” A clear trend increases the probability that pullbacks will resume in the same direction. nerdy tip: Determine higher-timeframe (HTF) bias first. Use daily/4H for swing trades; 4H/1H for intraday. Label the HTF as bullish, bearish, or range. Trade in the direction of HTF bias when possible. In a strong trend, prefer pullback entries (trend-following). In ranges, prefer range strategies (fade the extremes). how to apply it : Trend identification checklist: HTF HH/HL = uptrend; LL/LH = downtrend. Confirm with a simple moving average slope or higher-timeframe structure break. Pullback entry rule in a bullish trend: wait for price to retrace to a confluence zone (moving average + prior support + demand zone) and show LTF rejection (reversal bar, bullish engulf, or momentum candle) before entering. If the market shows structure break on HTF, treat the trend as weakened and either reduce size or switch to structural reversal rules. 5) Kill Emotions — build systems so emotions cannot destroy logic Why it matters Fear and greed are predictable: fear causes premature exits; greed causes size creep; revenge trading follows losses with impulsive bets. Good process neutralizes emotion. nerdy tip : Replace feelings with rules. Create a pre-trade checklist and an emergency stop-trading rule (if you break rules/size, stop for the day). Use automation: limit orders, OCO orders (one-cancels-other), and predefined trade templates to avoid impulsive market orders. how to apply it : Pre-trade checklist (must be read aloud or checked): HTF bias? Setup valid? Entry level? Stop placed? Size correct? News window clear? If any “no” — don't trade. Emotional cooldown: after 2 consecutive losers, reduce size by 50% or stop for the session. After a big win, reduce size (to avoid overconfidence). Record emotional state with each trade in your journal — rating 1–5 — and track patterns (e.g., most mistakes happen at 9–11 PM). 6) Plan > Impulse (your plan is the only scalable edge) Why it matters Impulse destroys positive expectancy. A plan captures your edge; impulse leaks it away. Trading is not about how many ideas you have — it’s about disciplined execution of a few good rules. nerdy tip : Every trade must be part of a documented plan: bias → setup → entry → stop → targets → size → management → invalidation. Use simple, testable rules you can backtest or forward-test with a demo. how to apply it : Trade ticket template to fill BEFORE entry: Pair / Timeframe / HTF bias / Setup type / Entry price / Stop price / Position size / Target(s) / R:R / Reason to take trade. If you can’t complete it, don’t take the trade. Management plan examples: take 30% at 1R, move stop to breakeven on 50%, trail by ATR or swing lows afterward. Decide these before entry and stick to them. 7) Review & Evolve — data over ego Why it matters If you don’t measure, you can’t improve. The market changes; what worked last year may fail next. Regular review converts experience into repeatable improvements. nerdy tip : Keep a trade journal (yes, every trade). Analyze metrics monthly and iteratively adjust one variable at a time. Use quantitative metrics: win rate, average R per trade, expectancy, max drawdown, average hold time. how to apply it : Minimum journal fields: date, pair, timeframe, direction, entry, stop, size, R multiples (entered risk as R), outcome, notes, emotional state, lesson. Review ritual (weekly/monthly): calculate expectancy = (win rate × avg win) − (loss rate × avg loss). If expectancy is negative, stop and debug—don’t keep trading hoping it reverses. Evolve by A/B testing changes: e.g., change stop placement or time-of-day filter and run 50 live/demo trades to compare outcomes. Quick practical checklist ( BONUS SECTION ) : HTF bias labeled (✔) Setup aligns with bias (✔) Stop based on structure/volatility (✔) R:R ≥ 1:2 (or plan for partials) (✔) Position size aligns to risk% per trade (✔) Pre-trade checklist completed (✔) Post-trade journal entry made (✔) Final words : make these rules habits, not afterthoughts Rules alone don’t make you profitable; habits do. Turn each rule into a checklist, run the checklist before and after trades, and make the review process non-negotiable. Start by fixing one rule for 30 days — for example: “I will never risk more than 1% per trade.” Once that becomes habit, add another. Small persistent put together by : Pako Phutietsile as @currencynerd
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by currencynerd
GBPUSD DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Here’s a professional analysis of the GBP/USD daily chart you shared, with possible entries based on price action, institutional zones, and structure: --- 1. Key Levels Supply (Institutional Sell Zone) Marked in red around 1.3650 – 1.3780. Price has reacted strongly here multiple times (resistance). → Institutions are likely selling into this zone. Demand (Institutional Buy Zones) First demand zone: 1.3400 – 1.3450 (blue box just below current price). Second demand zone: 1.3150 – 1.3250 (deeper, stronger demand). These zones show strong historical reactions where institutions accumulated longs. Trendline Support An ascending trendline supports price. Price is currently testing this area, aligning with the demand zone. --- 2. Market Context Price is rejecting the supply zone and pulling back. Current price (1.3460 – 1.3480) is entering the first blue demand zone. The structure is still higher highs, higher lows (uptrend bias), unless 1.3150 is broken. --- 3. Possible Entries Buy Entry (Aggressive/Short-Term) Around 1.3450 – 1.3470 (current zone) with confirmation (bullish candle, rejection wick, engulfing). Stop Loss: Below 1.3400. Take Profit: Back to 1.3600 – 1.3650 (supply zone). Buy Entry (Conservative/Stronger Zone) Around 1.3200 – 1.3250 (deeper demand). Stop Loss: Below 1.3150. Take Profit: 1.3500 – 1.3600. Sell Entry (Counter-Trend / Rejection Trade) If price rallies back into 1.3650 – 1.3780 supply zone. Stop Loss: Above 1.3800. Take Profit: Back to 1.3450 or deeper to 1.3250. --- 4. Trade Plan Suggestion Primary bias: Look for buys at demand zones (trend-following). Secondary bias: Short from the supply zone if price rallies back up. Watch for confirmation (candlestick rejections, volume spikes) before entering. --- 📌 Summary: At current price (1.3460 zone), this is an early buy opportunity if confirmed. If broken, the next strong entry is 1.3200 – 1.3250. Selling only makes sense if price retests 1.3650 – 1.3780 supply. 📈GBP-USD Rising Support! ⭕Buy! — #GBPUSD is trading in an Uptrend and the pair is Making strong moves after the he recent FED's rate decision But the pair will soon make a retest of the rising support Line and after that we will be expecting a bullish Rebound on Monday Buy!🔼
Long
by enwemadufranklyn1989
USDJPY Ultimate Price Action Analysis:📊 USDJPY Forecast 🔮💹 (147.961) Closing 20th Sept 2025 | 12:50 AM UTC+4 🕵️‍♂️ Market Snapshot USDJPY closed at 147.961, showing mixed signals as bulls attempt to hold ground near critical levels while sellers eye a potential reversal. ⚖️ 🏦 Technical Framework 🔹 Chart Patterns 📈 Possible Elliott Wave 5th leg exhaustion near 148.5–149.2. 🌀 Harmonic PRZ forming around 149.0. 🏯 Ichimoku Cloud shows resistance overhead, baseline support at 147.3. ⚠️ Watch for bull trap if price fails 148.2. 🔹 Indicators RSI 📊: 62 → mild overbought. BB 🔔: Price hugging upper band = volatility spike. MA Cross 🔀: Golden cross intact, but momentum flattening. VWAP ⚡: Anchored VWAP = 147.6 → strong pivot. 🕐 Intraday Outlook Buy Zone 💵: 147.40 – 147.60 (support + VWAP confluence). Sell Zone 💸: 148.50 – 148.80 (resistance + harmonic). Take Profit 🎯: Longs → 148.20 / 148.50 Shorts → 147.10 / 146.80 Stop Loss 🛑: Longs < 147.20 Shorts > 149.00 ⏳ Swing Trading Outlook Bullish Scenario 🐂: Break & close above 149.20 → next target 150.50 – 151.20. Bearish Scenario 🐻: Close below 146.80 → correction toward 145.40 – 144.70. 📌 Key Levels Resistance: 148.20 / 148.80 / 149.20 Support: 147.40 / 146.80 / 145.40 🎯 Strategy Summary ✅ Intraday: Buy dips near support, sell rallies near resistance. ✅ Swing: Watch 149.20 breakout or 146.80 breakdown for larger moves. ⚡ Volatility expected → trade with strict risk control. 🌍 Market Context Fed & BoJ policy divergence remains key. Geopolitical jitters in Asia could trigger safe-haven flows → boosting JPY demand. 🔥 Trade Smart | Manage Risk | Respect Levels 🔥 For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
by sunya
ASTER - CAUTIOUS WITH HYPESorry for the bad call, but #CZ power is just unstoppable! 😅🔥 #HYPE & volatility on ASTER$ASTER are absolutely massive right now! My last level barely saw a -5% dip, but today we almost hit $2.00 insane momentum! 🚀 ⚠️ Caution: $2.00 is a major psychological level. Team wallets are holding huge portions of the supply, distribution risk is real. Remember: Most of the current hype comes from Yzi Labs’ investment and CZ’s shilling. But: Other perp DEXs have quietly been around longer, generating even better real revenues… When the hype fades, we could see a sharp correction!Stay smart, don’t get caught holding the bag as momentum shifts.
MEXC:ASTERUSDT
by Cryptojobs
Gold: Major New Option Portfolios Signal Strong Moves AheadFriday’s CME report showed a surge in large option blocks in gold — two of them stand out. 🔹 1. "Long Condor" on December Futures (GCZ24) This is the most significant structure added: Targets a move below $3,620 or above $3,780 In other words: a breakout is expected, not consolidation 📌 Key point: A "Long Condor" profits from volatility, not direction. It wins if price moves sharply — up OR down — but loses if it stays flat. 💡 My note: When I first encountered delta-neutral strategies like this as a Forex trader — my brain exploded. No directional bias… yet clearly positioned for action? That was the moment I realized: options are a different game. 🔹 2. Bull Call Spread (Oct Series): $3800–$3850 Another key play: A classic bullish call spread at 3800/3850 Target: upside beyond current levels But here’s the difference: Unlike the "Long Condor", this one needs a clear upward move — and soon. Within a few days. This isn’t about volatility. It’s a directional bet that gold will rise. 🧠 Bottom Line: One portfolio says: "Breakout coming — no matter which way." Another says: "Gold goes up — and soon." Are they aligned? Contradictory? Or could both win? Trade smarter, not harder! Looking to boost your profits with valuable market insights and data-driven entry points? Join us or keep moving!
COMEX:GC1!Long
by ClashChartsTeam