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A Major Warning Crash Signal for Markets!🚨 CAPE at 40.30: Second-Highest in History — A Major Warning Signal for Markets The Shiller CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted P/E) ratio is one of the most respected long-term valuation metrics because it smooths earnings over 10 years, cutting through short-term noise. Today, CAPE sits around 40.30 — a level seen only a handful of times in over 150 years of market history. Outside of the dot-com bubble, this is among the highest readings ever recorded. Historically, CAPE levels above 30 have never been sustainable and have always been followed by major market drawdowns or crashes. 📚 Historical Precedents: What Happened Last Time CAPE Was This High? 🔥 1929 – Great Depression CAPE exceeded 30 Followed by a market crash of nearly 90% Economic depression lasting a decade 🔥 2000 – Dot-Com Bubble CAPE peaked above 44 (highest ever) Nasdaq collapsed ~78% S&P 500 lost ~50% Took years to recover 🔥 2008 – Global Financial Crisis CAPE remained elevated into the mid-to-high 20s after years of excess Valuations stayed stretched while debt, leverage, and housing bubbles expanded Result: S&P 500 fell ~57% Global credit markets froze Deep recession followed ⚠️ Important note: CAPE does not always need to hit extreme highs right before the crash — prolonged overvaluation combined with leverage and credit stress has historically been enough. 🧠 Key Insight Markets don’t crash because CAPE is high. They crash because high valuations leave no margin of safety when stress arrives. Right now, valuations are extreme while macro stress is building. 🌍 Macro Warning Signs Supporting the Risk 📉 China’s Structural Breakdown Ongoing real-estate collapse Developer defaults Weak consumer demand Spillover risk to global growth, commodities, and financial markets 🏢 Commercial Real Estate Crisis Office vacancies at multi-decade highs Refinancing risk as rates stay elevated Banks and regional lenders exposed Similar early warning signs seen before 2008 💣 Exploding Government Debt U.S. and global debt at record levels Interest costs rising faster than GDP Limits governments’ ability to stimulate during downturns Fiscal stress historically precedes recessions 📉 Yield Curve & Credit Stress Extended yield curve inversion (classic recession signal) Tightening credit conditions Rising defaults in leveraged sectors 🚨 Why This Time Is Especially Dangerous Unlike previous bull markets, today we have: ✔ Extreme valuations (CAPE > 40) ✔ High interest rates ✔ Heavy global debt ✔ Weak global growth ✔ Fragile real-estate sectors ✔ Tight liquidity conditions This combination reduces the odds of a soft landing. 🧭 What History Suggests When CAPE exceeds 30 during bull markets: Returns over the next 5–10 years are poor Corrections are sharp, not gradual Crashes tend to coincide with recessions Markets can stay irrational longer than expected — but valuation extremes are always resolved eventually. 📌 Summary CAPE at 40.30 is a historic red flag Similar conditions preceded 1929, 2000, and 2008 Current macro stress supports the risk of: 👉 Major market sell-off 👉 Potential recession starting this year This is not about timing tops — it’s about recognizing asymmetric risk ⚠️ Ignore price — watch valuations, credit, and liquidity.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by dginvestorscircle
4
Gu trend flipping short?Gu currently dropping below my important 2 line (red) 20 week zone here which is indicating a bearish sign at least for the next coming week. The blue lines on my chart indicate another cycle at play that moves faster than the red one that also indicates the nearest line as resistance at 1.36599 with a mirrored angle at 1.34199. Although I do not need the full move to finish my phase 1 challenge, there is a likelihood that 1.34199 will be touched this week but I will only be aiming for the break of the previous week low. Finally we have the white lines that we can find at least 1- 2 entries a day that show up everyday but when you have 2 white lines such as these that are moving this close together it usually indicates a larger reversal is underway. Often times the chart may find confluence between the white support and resistance lines and the larger ones that line up either perfectly or within pips of each other. I am a seller at 1.36550 with a stop at 1.368 targeting last weeks low. If it does move higher than that for some reason then my alt short will be at 1.368 stops at 1.370 still targeting last weeks low at least! Good luck and happy trading!
Short
by armanitrades-mhc
2
Natural Gas MCX Future Intraday Analysis - 10 Feb., 2026MCX:NATURALGAS1! NATURAL GAS Futures — Chart Pathik Intraday Levels for 10-Feb-2026 - 01:51 AM (If these levels add value to your trades, a quick boost or comment goes a long way in supporting this free content and keeping our trading community thriving!) Natural Gas MCX shows consolidation around 290 after downside pressure, with key resistance at 298-300 and support near 285—bearish tilt unless breaks higher decisively. Each comment or share builds the momentum for disciplined, structured analysis across our trading community!​ Bullish Structure: Longs activate above 298 (Long Entry), with confirmation as price sustains above this level and defends 292 support zone.​ Targets: 307 (major booking zone), 315 (extended move on breakout)​ Control: Stop or trail near 292 or 288 to manage risk​ Bearish Structure: Shorts open below 292 or on rejection at 298 after failed upside attempts.​ Targets: 285 (partial/scalp), 280 (extended move if breakdown holds)​ Control: Fast short covers required above 298 or on sharp reversals​ Neutral Zone: 298 is today’s inflection—practice patience until a strong direction emerges above or below this level.​ Every setup is designed for structure, plan, and logic—let the chart work for you, not your emotions. Boost or comment if these levels help your preparation—help Chart Pathik keep delivering quality analysis to more intraday traders!
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by ChartPathik
Nifty50 Index - Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Feb., 2026NSE:NIFTY NIFTY 50 Index — Chart Pathik Intraday Levels for 10-Feb-2026 - 01:41 AM (If these levels add value to your trades, a quick boost or comment goes a long way in supporting this free content and keeping our trading community thriving!) Nifty 50 is trading around 25,800 after recent consolidation, facing key resistance at 25,950 with potential bullish breakout signals if holds above 25,700 support. Each comment or share builds the momentum for disciplined, structured analysis across our trading community!​ Bullish Structure: Longs activate above 25,950, with confirmation as price sustains above this prior high and defends 25,800 support zone.​ Targets: 26,000 (major booking zone), 26,100 (extended move on breakout)​ Control: Stop or trail near 25,800 or 25,700 to manage risk​ Bearish Structure: Shorts open below 25,800 or on rejection at 25,950 after failed upside attempts.​ Targets: 25,700 (partial/scalp), 25,500 (extended move if breakdown holds)​ Control: Fast short covers required above 25,950 or on sharp reversals​ Neutral Zone: 25,950 is today’s inflection—practice patience until a strong direction emerges above or below this level.​ Every setup is designed for structure, plan, and logic—let the chart work for you, not your emotions. Boost or comment if these levels help your preparation—help Chart Pathik keep delivering quality analysis to more intraday traders!
NSE:NIFTY
by ChartPathik
Natural Gas Mid-Season Update 2/9/262/8/26 After much consternation and many requests, I have put some time aside to put out a mid-season update. If you were lucky enough to take part in the historic run up, and drop down in prices the past 30 days, consider yourself well prepared for what I believe is about to come next. After all, once in a lifetime events are only supposed to happen, well, once in a lifetime. But I believe that we just might be setting up for a part two in the NG trade of a lifetime. First a brief understanding that the historic runup in the price of NG was primarily due to two events. The normal, mid-seasonal drop in NG prices, due to the expected January thaw. Which saw a market overly shorted. Due to the ever-increasing supply coming on in the market and the lack of expected demand in LNG terminals completing completion. Plus, the AI hype. Industry experts assured market participants that LNG and AI would deplete underground storage, and NG would be soon at historic heights. But as the late fall cold failed to shrink storage levels below 5-year averages, and injections continued well into withdrawal season, a familiar component of high NG prices reared itself in mid-December, the POLAR VORTEX. Soon many were caught off guard, as the early November rolled over and price began it steady climb to 5000 level. But when models began to predict the January thaw in mid-December, prices began their seasonal decent from withdrawal season highs. Or so traders thought. Some traders knew that this winter would be different. That, this polar disruption might just be here to stay for the foreseeable future. Plus, the synoptic teleconnections, ocean temps and early Siberian ice cover could possibly bring a different winter than years past. Which brings us to mid-January and the historic short squeeze. There are many insiders who indicate that 100% of Algos were short into the weekend of January 17-18. Which brought us to a multiyear high on 7439 on the NYMEX the day of options expiration. Now I had previously stated that there were two reasons, the first being the shorts. But the second, being the historic run up in spot prices at delivery hubs all on the US. See, after 2021 and winter storm Uri, natural gas end users were required to have one week spot pricing purchased in advanced after storm Uri shot same day delivery pricing to some of their highest levels on record. Which caused a series of events that led to final delivery consumers of electricity paying prices so high, that in some areas during that extreme cold spell would have bankrupted individuals, if it were not for government involvement. So, due to the high spot pricing and the short in the market, there was a rush for seller and buyers alike to see the price of NG hit the 7000 plus on contract expiry. Now, that’s all in the past and that could never happen again, right? Well, like I stated earlier, this winter is going to go down as a winter of a lifetime. There continues to be indicators that this coming 10 days is another thaw that will be followed by another 20-day pattern of historic cold. Historic Arctic air to be specific. There is another Polar Vortex disruption in the works, and the teleconnection are beginning to confirm this. It is just that the models have not yet had the ability to see it due to the 15-day forecast they print. One would think that large institution trader learned their lesson being all short on the wrong side of the trade. Well, you would be wrong, and they might just be on the wrong side of the trade again. In my video I will explain how the Polar Vortex is again rearing its cold ugly head, it is showing up in Europe as I type. We like to look at Europe as the canary in the coal mine, for cold weather in the eastern US (where the population-based winter heating demand is). The two big winter teleconnections, the WPO and the AO are switching back to cold signals, there is still massive snow cover in the north and eastern US. The Great Lakes are almost completely frozen over, and we just switched to a 5-year deficit for NG storage. The best part is this cold should show up intime for contract roll over, which would lead to a situation like January, where users of NG would be forced to buy into an overly short market, that will have the beginnings of a squeeze, due to having to have one-week deliverable pricing due to spot prices rising. Not only does late February and early March look like historic cold, but we could again be looking at multi-year highs in pricing, before the shoulder season is upon us. So hit play on the video and decide for yourself. What will you tell you grandkids about the 2026 Nat Gas trading season. Were you one of the winners in the great squeeze of 26? I do not believe that price will close the gap from mid-January, but there is a good possibility we find support at the 3000 level. We just fell below the 32.8% at 3280, Sunday Asia open. I expect that we will see rallies sold into until we either find support somewhere around 3000, or the model runs start to show what some of us are seeing. That we will finish this season having withdrawn storage to 1.5 TCF. We were on track 10 days ago of projection seeing storage down at 1.4 TCF, and there is a good possibility we end lower. This would set up the summer strip at an average of 4500. We are currently undervalued in the current contract, and the T+1 is a whopping 39% undervalued. So, if this plays out and the cold stays on until mid-March, this will not be a short the peak moment. Yes, there will be some consolidation, but do not wait for this to pan out and play the pricing down. Storage will be depleted, in the US and most importantly Europe. LNG will be producing at or above 20 BCF/d, and there will be a price war between the two competing factions. Keeping HH pricing elevated into the summer season, where another 2 BCF/d of LNG is planned to come online. The technicals have been set. 3000 is the floor and the high is now 7438. But we must first contend with the immediate high at 4425, and the 2025 high for NGH26 at 4811. Keep it burning!
NYMEX:NGH2026
by NrG_Trader
4
XAU/USD Gold Analysis (5M)Today’s gold strategy is all about patience. We are looking for a liquidity sweep followed by a confirmed re-test to trigger our long entry. Risk management is our priority: 1. TP 1: Once we hit the first target, we move Stop Loss to Breakeven (BE). Risk-free trade from there. 2. Trailing Stop: We’ll trail the price by moving the SL to newly formed higher lows, locking in profits while shooting for TP2 and TP3. Note: Low impact news today, but stay sharp as volatility ramps up tomorrow! GOOD LUCK TRADERS……………..;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
2
Cardano Demise: Peer-Reviewed to Zero This isn’t a bear market anymore — it’s decimal management. Price is locked in a long-term downtrend with successive failures to reclaim major psychological zones. The $1.00 and $0.50 handles are fully invalidated and now function as historical reference points, not resistance. Current trading occurs below the $0.25–$0.30 psychological band, indicating unit re-anchoring from dollars to cents. Each failed bounce compresses range beneath prior round numbers, signaling acceptance rather than rejection. The next meaningful psychological floor is the sub-$0.10 zone, where price discovery shifts from valuation to denomination. Below that, historical lows become the only remaining reference, and decimals—not levels—define structure. What jumps out immediately isn’t resistance or trendlines, but scale. ADA is no longer defending levels; it’s renegotiating place value. Each bounce fails before reaching the previous psychological zone, a clear signal that the market has stopped thinking in prices and started thinking in formats. From dollars, to cents, to the quiet question of whether a leading zero is still required. The structure is brutally consistent. Lower highs. Lower lows. Reclaim attempts that fail faster every time. No impulse, no absorption, no sign of committed demand. This isn’t distribution — it’s erosion. A slow grind where relevance leaks out candle by candle. What’s changed recently is the pace. The decline is accelerating inside an already established downtrend while volatility compresses. That combination doesn’t signal fear — it signals apathy. Capitulation needs participants. This market barely has observers left. Former supports don’t get retested anymore. They’re skipped, ignored, treated as obsolete chapters. That’s why the “losing a decimal” framing isn’t just sarcasm — it’s technically accurate. The market isn’t debating value; it’s downgrading units. Volume confirms the diagnosis. No expansion on rallies. No panic on drops. Just thin, exhausted participation. Sellers aren’t aggressive. Buyers are absent. That’s the terminal condition. At this stage, Cardano doesn’t need a new failure. Time is doing the work. Every day without relevance tightens the compression. Competing chains don’t need to outperform it — they just need to exist. This compression doesn’t suggest a breakout. It suggests acceptance. The phase where assets stop trending and start dissolving into background noise. So the question is no longer “when moon?”, it's when "broom". Which decimal does the market finally agree on? And markets are usually very good at answering the questions they keep asking, even if it takes sometime.
Short
by Sa7en
2
Its a Short Divergence Bull Trap Farm $BTC We have been in a Bull Trap since October 26th 2025 when the first 2 week sunday closer Bull trap was set and executed. - The Bulls buy pressure is being exhausted through 16 day weak short Divergence Swings followed by repeating 2 week Sunday Closer Bull Traps (estimated 60 days per swing). - This is the third and final weak Short Divergence Trap in progress now (3 hour candles). - We will reach a true divergence in 60 days (estimated time) and execute another 2 Week Sunday Closer Bull Trap before our final decent to 50k. - When we reach 50k True Divergence will begin to set on the 4 hour Candles and Weekly Candles, whether it is wide or short will depend on public sentiment and buy pressure... - The Divergence Buy Zones will be between 50k and 30k. Good Luck! CRYPTO:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MikeyLikesDips
3
GOLD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold is showing a bullish continuation structure after a strong recovery from recent lows. Price has respected a rising trendline and is currently consolidating above a key demand / support zone around 4,900–4,920. The market previously formed a higher low, followed by a steady push upward, indicating growing buying pressure. Price is now hovering near 4,960, acting as a short-term consolidation area and minor resistance. A bullish reaction and continuation move upward if buyers maintain control, the upside targets are projected toward 5,002 – 5,040 the downside risk remains protected as long as price holds above 4,900 – 4,870, which acts as the invalidation zone for the bullish setup the structure favours buy-the-dip opportunities within the support zone, aligned with the ascending trendline and higher-timeframe bullish momentum. “If you come across this post, please like, comment, and share. Thanks!”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pintu_sahu01
33
Markets Could See Up to $80B of Selling PressureGoldman Sachs Warns of Massive Systematic Selling — Markets Could See Up to $80B of Pressure Goldman Sachs’ trading desk recently issued a cautionary note that the current sell-off in global markets may not be over yet, and that downside pressure could extend significantly through February and beyond. 🔹 Systematic selling still in motion According to GS, trend-following algorithmic strategies (like CTAs — Commodity Trading Advisers) have already triggered sell signals as key equity indices dipped, making them net sellers in the near term regardless of direction. Even in a flat market, these systematic models are expected to unload shares simply to rebalance positions. 🔹 Billions in potential sell-offs Goldman’s analysis suggests: ~$33B of selling could occur this week if markets continue to weaken; As much as ~$80B of systematic selling could be triggered over the next month if the S&P 500 breaches key technical thresholds. Even without a further drop, models imply roughly $15B–$8B of selling in various scenarios as systematic funds reset exposure. This selling isn’t driven by fundamental business news but mechanical trends and volatility — meaning these flows can hit markets even during mild rebounds. ⚠️ Why This Matters for Markets 📉 Equities: If trend-following selling continues, it may prolong or deepen the equity correction. These models can act independently of fundamental earnings or macrodata, amplifying volatility. 📉 Crypto (including BTC): Bitcoin and other risk assets often move in sympathy with equities during stress periods. Liquidity drain in stock markets can spill over into crypto as investors de-risk, and systematic selling can trigger stop-loss cascades across correlated markets. Reports specifically note that such selling could pose downside risks for Bitcoin, gold, and silver as liquidity conditions deteriorate. 🧠 What This Means in Practice 💡 Not a guaranteed crash, but a higher probability of continued volatility and downside pressure across risk assets if: Key equity support levels break Volatility stays elevated Trend-following models remain active sellers This is not about fundamentals turning suddenly weak — it’s about technical and systematic flows creating selling pressure on autopilot.
by dginvestorscircle
2
UNI: buying the dip or a falling knife? key levels to watchUNI. Buying the dip or catching a falling knife here? DeFi tokens keep lagging while majors steal the spotlight, and according to market sources UNI still feels the pressure from weak on-chain volumes and ongoing regulatory noise around DEXs. Headlines about tighter rules hit sentiment again, and the bounce we saw was pretty shy. On the 4H chart price is stuck in a bearish range after a strong waterfall move down, trading around the 3.3-3.6 box right under a fat volume node near 3.8. RSI is below 50, so buyers are not in control, and this looks more like a bear flag than a bottom. With that backdrop I lean short, expecting another push into the low 3s and maybe toward the 3.0 liquidity pocket. My base plan: watch for rejection from 3.6-3.7 and look for shorts toward 3.1 first, then 2.9 if momentum accelerates ✅. If bulls suddenly reclaim 3.8 on strong volume and RSI holds above 50, I step aside and that opens room toward 4.2-4.4 instead ⚠️. I might be wrong, but right now I still see more pain than gain here, so I am flat and waiting for a clean signal from this range.
by Trade_Logic_AI
1
XAGUSDT - SILVER LONG - FROM OTE ZONE WITH LG (liquidity grap)This XAG/USDT analysis identifies a bullish setup predicated on a liquidity sweep strategy. The price is currently consolidating near the 0.618 Fibonacci level, but the primary thesis anticipates a temporary move lower into the "liquidity gap" to hunt stop-orders around the $70.00 area. Following this hunt, the expectation is a sharp reversal and expansion toward the $92.31 target, clearing the previous swing highs. The setup relies on the SMA 55 providing dynamic support during the dip and a subsequent MACD momentum shift to confirm the impulsive move upward.
BINANCE:XAGUSDT.PLong
by HoneyBadgerAI
GOLD - Current Predictive Patterns Gold had a great weekly close, and with that, price has been pushing to the upside. Here are the current patterns I see and what could play out with Gold in the future. On the lower time frame (4H), there could be two bearish patterns in play if price is able to validate one more test of resistance near the top. Either price is forming a bear flag (white trendlines) or a rising wedge (orange trendlines). This all depends on where the next lower high forms for Gold—if a lower high forms at all. It is still possible that Gold could move to new all-time highs, but at the moment, the more likely outcome is that the top for Gold has already been put in and we are watching for the next lower high to start the bear trend. For a while, we have posted about the three main levels for the next lower high to be established: $5k, $5.1k, or around $5.3k. The $5k level has already been breached, and so far $5.1k has been acting as the resistance level. However, if my predictive patterns are to form, then price does have slightly higher to go, and we could expect that next lower high toward the $5,300 level. If either of these patterns do play out, then the breakdown target would be around $4k, specifically between $3,800–$4,000. I will be able to more precisely mark the breakdown target once more price action develops. I have also added a chart on the right that shows a clear parallel channel that Gold is currently trading in. The red arrows represent the touchpoints to the upside, and the green arrows represent the touchpoints to the downside. The white arrows in the middle show price action confluence with the “heartline.” To validate this channel, price needs one more touchpoint to either the upside or downside. This is absolutely a pattern you want to keep your eyes on in the short term.
TVC:GOLD
by VIAQUANT
BTC ETH SOL Quick Update Next 3 DaysFollow me here on TW for my regular critical updates on crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL, MSTR) and metals (GLD, SL, PL) based on Martin Armstrong's Socrates. Look in my TW Ideas for posts of each market individually. Tomorrow, Tuesday 10th is no longer showing up as a VERY STRONG target , it appears new patterns are being formed between today and Wednesday. The bias is to push higher because all 3 metals are poised to push higher this week. Let's see where the price goes. ¡Good luck! 🙏🏻
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by alejandroscotti
Resistance at 5085, certain selling pressure.Related Information:!!! ( XAU / USD ) Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade in a narrow consolidation range above the $5,000 psychological threshold during the first half of the European session on Monday, although upside momentum remains capped below last week’s swing high amid mixed market signals. Support for the precious metal has been reinforced by data released over the weekend showing that the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) extended its gold accumulation for a fifteenth consecutive month in January. In addition, a weaker US Dollar—pressured for a second day by dovish Federal Reserve expectations and lingering concerns over the central bank’s independence—has provided further tailwinds for the non-yielding yellow metal. personal opinion:!!! Gold prices consolidated at the beginning of the week, with no significant news. Gold prices struggled to break through key support and resistance levels: 5085, 4967. Important price zone to consider : !!! Resistance zone point: 5086 zone Support zone : 4967 , 4903 zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JJainy
1
SP500 cycle 3 Phase 3 of 4 is completedPhase: 1 Date & Time: 2026-02-05 20:00 -5 GMT Primary Entry M: 6,831.25 $ Secondary Entry P(c): 6,761.14$ Mean Entry: (6,831.25+6,761.14)/2=6,796.19$ Trapezoid Time Duration: 18 Days 3th Triangle domain (%): 2 * 1.43% = 2.86% Risk coefficient: 1 Risk domain (%): (3th Triangle domain) *(Risk coefficient) = 2.86%*1 = 2.86 % Hypothetical Capital: 100,000$ Contract Size: 10 Unit Expected Max Drawdown (%): 5% Expected Max Drawdown $: 100,000 * 5% = 5,000 Expected Low Price: (1 – 2.86%) * 6,796.19$ = 6,601.82$ Size: 5,000 / (6,796.19 – 6,601.82) ~= 25.72 Unit Position Size: Size/Contract Size = 25.72 /10 = 2.57 Each Trade Size = 2.57 /2 = 1.28 Targets: T1 (Mirror / Lower Trapezoid): 6,847$ T2 (Apex N): 6,928 $ T3 (Trapezoid Top): 7,015$ Expected Profit by first entry and Exit at T3 for Scenario No 1: (T3 - Entry M) * Contract Size * Each Trade Size = (7,015 -6,831.25) *10*1.28= 2,352$ Expected Total Profit for Scenario No 1: 2,352$ Expected Return % for Scenario No 1: 100*(2,352/100,000) = 2.35% Expected Annual Return% for Scenario No 1: (2.35%*365/18) =47.65% Expected Profit by 2th entry and Exit at T2 for Scenario No 2: (T3 - Entry M) * Contract Size * Each Trade Size = (7,015 -6,831.25) *10*1.28= 2,352$ (T2 - Entry P(c)) * Contract Size * Each Trade Size = (6,928 -6,761.14) *10*1.28= 2,136$ Expected Total Profit for Scenario No 2: 2,352+2,136=4,488$ Expected Return% for Scenario No 2: 100*(4,488/100,000) =4.48% Expected Annual Return% for Scenario No 2: 4.48%*365/18=90.84% Notes: P(c) may or may not be reached; both M and P(c) are Phase 1 only. "Both trade sizes are calculated using the hypothetical capital, the investor’s maximum allowed drawdown, the 3rd Triangle Domain percentage, the Risk Coefficient, and the Contract Size." TotalSize=(EMDD=5000)/(2*D*R*MeanPrice*ContractSize) Phase:3 Date & Time: 2026-02-06 17:10 -5 GMT After the first trade was opened in Phase 1 at the price of $6,831.25 (level M), the price declined and dropped to $6,729.63 and the Scenario No 2 is activated. As a result, the second trade was activated at level P(c) at the price of $6,761.14. Subsequently, the price moved upward and reached level N, allowing Phase 3 to be completed before the price reached the delayed mirror in Phase 2. Therefore, in this cycle, Phase 3 occurred before Phase 2. The expected profit for Scenario No. 2 in Phase 3 till this phase 2,352$ is realized and the path is continuing. (T3 - Entry M) * Contract Size * Each Trade Size = (7,015 -6,831.25) *10*1.28= 2,352$ Phase: 2 Current Date & Time: 2026-02-09 11:15 -5 GMT The Price touched the Delayed Mirror at 6,952$, and The Delayed Mirror touched after phase3. Before touching the delayed mirror, at first the Price declined and the Scenario No 2 was activated by opening the P(c) entry, then the price climbed to reached the N Level Price at 6,928$. Up to this point, the initial position was opened at 6,831.25$ and 6,761.14$ on M and P(c) level and the Phase3 and Phase 2 is completed by reaching the Price at 6,952$. So the second position, which entered at P(c) is closed on Phase 3, but the First one is open yet. Will the next phase be Phase 4? We are navigating the market to see what happens next. to Visit Previous Phases from 1 to 3 go to @MarketDNA #MarketDNA @SP500 #SP500
SPREADEX:SPX
by alimalek1978
META: Third Higher Low + good Risk/Reward Setup#META Third test of $625 support after -25% pullback from ATHs. The Setup: - Entry: $665 - Stop: $644 - Target 1: $720 - Target 2: ATHs ($750+) Why I like it: - Triple bottom = institutional accumulation - Higher lows = buyers stepping up earlier each time - Risk/reward 3:1 to first target Target: - $700-725 zone rejected twice — heavy supply - Broader market still shaky Small position. Defined risk. Let it work. Not financial advice. Just sharing my analysis. Do your own research and manage your own risk.
NASDAQ:METALong
by onlytrade2win