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ADAUSDTNothing special, after October 10, we found a "bottom" in this cycle, where it will probably move in a chaotic direction, shedding shorts and longs on its way. The yellow dotted line indicates the area where a "turn" is possible (it is possible to make some decisions, political or drastic regulatory changes or in that spirit) Red showed resistance zones in case of a possible reversal. And a break of the negative trend on TF 1D.There is also weak support, which may act as a "hope" zone with a possible slight increase and a rapid decline in price to the lows that we have already tested on October 10, and clearly rested in the support zone. But I wouldn't be surprised if we're in the near future, it will bounce back significantly below October 10th.
by LndeSistne
DXY — The Dollar Game That Moves Everything...Hello Traders 🐺 Most traders keep watching Bitcoin, Gold, and the stock market... but everything starts with the Dollar — the DXY. DXY measures the strength of the US Dollar against major currencies (mostly the Euro, Yen, and Pound). When DXY goes up, the Dollar is stronger. When it goes down, the Dollar weakens. Now here’s the fun part 👇 | Asset | When DXY goes UP | When DXY goes DOWN | 🪙 Gold | Usually drops (USD stronger) | Usually rises | 💰 Bitcoin | Liquidity dries up → often drops | Liquidity returns → often rallies | 📈 Stocks | Exporters get hurt | Risk-on mood, often bullish | 🛢 Oil | Demand cools | Prices rise with weaker USD So yeah — DXY isn’t “just another chart.” It’s the heartbeat of global liquidity. ⚙️ What’s happening right now Gold is at record highs. Bitcoin’s flying near extreme levels. Stocks are still holding up. Meanwhile, DXY is sitting right on a major monthly trendline support — a level that’s held multiple times in the past. Most traders expect the Dollar to keep weakening after the Fed’s recent 0.25% rate cut... but history often plays a different game. 📉 The pattern nobody talks about Every time the US entered a recession, the Dollar actually got stronger, even while the Fed was cutting rates. Why? Because when fear hits, everyone runs to cash and US Treasuries. The Dollar becomes the world’s safe haven. So lower rates don’t always mean a weak dollar — sometimes they’re the first warning that the system’s under stress, and that’s exactly when DXY makes its comeback. 🇺🇸 Politics, China, and the bigger picture Trump’s talking about another trade war with China. China’s still trying to strengthen the Yuan and reduce its dependence on USD. But the US can’t really afford a weak dollar right now — because a weaker USD means more imported inflation, and with America’s massive debt and deficits, they need global demand for US Treasuries. That only happens if the Dollar stays relatively strong. 🧭 My personal take The market’s way too confident that “the Dollar is done.” But both the chart and the history say otherwise. DXY is testing a massive monthly trendline support while risk assets are near all-time highs. That’s a setup I don’t want to ignore. If DXY bounces from here, we could see a wave of correction across Gold, Bitcoin, and even stocks. 💡 Everyone’s positioned for a weak Dollar. History and the chart both say — it might surprise them again. Also don't forgot our golden rule : 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable. 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
TVC:DXYLong
by Kiu_Coin
DowJones (DJI) IntraSwing Levels for 30th OCT 2025✍🏼️ "FUTUREY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. 🌡️Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)
TVC:DJI
by DSKF16
CAD/CHF reached a key supply zoneHey traders! New day — new setups ✨ CAD/CHF has reached a key supply zone around 0.5740–0.5750, where bullish momentum seems to be slowing down. After this short upside move, price is showing early signs of weakness — suggesting a possible correction phase ahead. If the structure confirms a reversal, we could see a gradual move toward the next demand areas. 🎯 Targets: • 0.5700 • 0.5670 • 0.5640 ❌ Invalidation: if price breaks and holds above 0.5775. Trade with patience, stay disciplined — and let the profits follow 🔥💎
Short
by IvankaCrypto
The Value of Comparing Futures and CFD DataComparing futures and CFD (Contract for Difference) data is critical for serious traders, especially when executing and validating trades like shorts. Futures Data: Why Compare Futures and CFD Data? True Market Sentiment: Futures contracts (such as the 6E - Euro FX futures) are traded on centralized exchanges, reflecting authentic supply, demand, institutional volume, and order flow. CFDs, on the other hand, are broker-issued products that mirror price but may not fully represent actual market transactions or sentiment. Volume Profile Analysis: Futures charts (e.g., shown in 6E1 image) provide reliable volume by price (VBP) and order flow, helping traders pinpoint genuine support/resistance, point of control, and liquidity zones. CFD platforms often lack transparent volume data. Validating Signals: If both CFD (EURUSD) and futures (6EZ2025) show confluence such as downside imbalances, sell stops being triggered, and volume confirming breakouts the setup is reinforced and less likely to be a broker-induced anomaly. Avoiding Broker Manipulation: CFDs may show price spikes or "stop hunts" not reflected in the real futures market, leading to false signals. Comparing both datasets helps filter out noise and manipulation. Why the Short Trade is Valid Order Flow Confirmation: Both charts highlight heavy sell-side activity. The futures chart shows a breakdown below key value areas with volume shifting lower, confirming institutional selling and bearish momentum. Imbalance and Sell Stops: On the EURUSD CFD chart, a clear delta imbalance and a cascade of sell stops below a key level indicate aggressive shorting and stop-loss liquidity being absorbed, reinforcing bearish bias. Confluence Across Markets: The simultaneous confirmation futures breaking down with volume, CFD reflecting price action and order flow provides confidence in the short setup's validity. Such dual confirmation reduces risk and signals a higher likelihood of follow-through. In summary: Comparing CFD price action with real futures order flow and volume enables traders to validate setups, spot manipulation, and execute trades with increased conviction. For this short trade, the confluence across both datasets confirms genuine sell-side momentum and a valid trading opportunity.
Short
by FervTrades
2
The Earnings Playbook: How to Navigate Each Quarter Like a ProTraders are in the heat of the earnings season and euphoria is sweeping every corner of the market. The charts twitch, traders stop talking about the Fed for five minutes ( not this week, though ), and online forums turn into a parade of watch-me-trade sessions. It’s that glorious stretch when companies pop open the books and reveal what’s really been happening behind the scenes. For professional investors, it’s data heaven. For retail traders, it’s emotional cardio. Stocks can rise 20% on a single upbeat forecast — or plummet before your coffee cools. The trick isn’t just to survive it. It’s to navigate it like a pro. 💼 Know the Seasons (and the Mood Swings) Earnings season comes four times a year — January, April, July, and October — and each has its own flavor. Q1 (April): That’s the hangover quarter. Holiday sales meet new-year cost cuts. Traders recalibrate expectations and reality collides with ambition. Q2 (July): The mid-year checkup. CEOs brag about “momentum,” analysts start sharpening their red pencils. Markets get twitchy. Q3 (October): The credibility test. Guidance revisions and cautious tones dominate. If the year’s been good, this is where the victory laps start. Q4 (January): The scoreboard reveal. Everyone tallies their annual wins and losses, and traders begin to bet on who carries the next year’s momentum. Each cycle has a similar rhythm: hype, reaction, digestion, and speculation. Think of it like a four-act play. 📊 Mind the Gap One thing to keep in mind whenever you find yourself in the earnings bonanza: the actual numbers matter less than the narrative. ( Looking at you, Oracle NYSE:ORCL ) A company can beat on revenue, miss on profit, and still rally — if the CEO sells a compelling story about the next quarter. Conversely, it can post record earnings and tank because analysts wanted even more. The pros know to look beyond the headline EPS. They dig into guidance, margins, and segment performance. Is revenue growing because of genuine demand, or just creative accounting? Are margins improving, or did the company quietly cut R&D? Markets don’t price what’s happened — they price what’s next. That’s especially true for growth stocks like t echnology companies . 🎯 Don’t Chase the Knee-Jerk Every earnings season has its share of instant overreactions — the “up 10% at open, down 8% by lunch” kind of chaos. That’s when seasoned traders sit back and let volatility do the heavy lifting. Smart money avoids buying into the frenzy or shorting into despair. Instead, they wait for the second move — when dust settles, algorithms calm down, and humans return to their desks. 🧠 Build Your Own Playbook To trade earnings season like a pro, you need a plan. Here’s how the veterans prep: Start early. Check the earnings calendar and mark high-impact names in your portfolio or watchlist. Study the setup. Look at how the stock’s performed heading into earnings. A big pre-report rally can mean expectations are too high. Focus on guidance. Earnings beats are old news — future commentary moves markets. Use position sizing. Never bet the farm on one report. Even the best setups can go sideways. Don’t forget the macro. Rate cuts, inflation prints, or a stray tweet from the US President can overshadow the best earnings beat. 🕹️ The Big Picture: Earnings as Market GPS Earnings season is the market’s health check because it tells you which sectors are thriving, which are limping, and how CEOs feel about the future (watch the language: “headwinds” and “volatility” are polite ways of saying buckle up). Taken together, earnings trends shape the broader narrative — from interest rate expectations to sector rotations. In other words, earnings season is where short-term trading meets long-term investing. Now go and prepare for the next batch of earnings — Big Tech is on deck this week with Apple NASDAQ:AAPL and Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN reporting today. Off to you : What’s your strategy this earnings season? Buying the hype or waiting to buy the dip? Share your thoughts in the comments!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
25
Crypto will boom, BUT...In my view, the cryptocurrency market is poised for a significant multi-year rally. However, such a rally cannot begin without a major transfer of capital, from weaker holders to large institutional players. This is why I believe we are likely to experience a sharp correction in the coming days or weeks, possibly extending toward the end of the year. My outlook for this short-term downturn is driven by two key factors: Persistent uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s next policy move, particularly whether it will proceed with an interest rate cut in December, and a bearish pattern emerging in the global money supply. After a notable recent decline, this formation suggests further contraction ahead. The good news is that this potential market shakeout may serve as the final reset before Bitcoin establishes its bottom. Those who withstand the upcoming volatility will likely find themselves well-positioned for the next major bull run. #bitcoin #crypto #finance #economy #market #analysis
by signalgo
Can Instability Be an Asset Class?Aerospace and Defense (A&D) ETFs have shown remarkable performance in 2025, with funds like XAR achieving a 49.11% year-to-date return. This surge follows President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing after a 33-year moratorium, a decisive policy shift responding to recent Russian weapons demonstrations. The move signals the formalization of Great Power Competition into a sustained, technology-intensive arms race, transforming A&D spending from discretionary to structurally mandatory. Investors now view defense appropriations as a guaranteed source of funding, creating what analysts call a permanent "instability premium" on sector valuations. The financial fundamentals supporting this outlook are substantial. The FY2026 defense budget allocates $87 billion for nuclear modernization alone, a 26% increase in funding for critical programs like the B-21 bomber, Sentinel ICBM, and Columbia-class submarines. Major contractors are reporting exceptional results: Lockheed Martin established a record $179 billion backlog while raising its 2025 outlook, effectively creating multi-year revenue certainty that functions like a long-duration bond. In 2023, global military spending reached $2.443 trillion, with NATO allies driving over $170 billion in U.S. foreign military sales, which extended revenue visibility beyond domestic congressional cycles. Technological competition is accelerating investments in hypersonics, digital engineering, and modernized command-and-control systems. The shift toward AI-driven warfare, resilient space-based architectures, and advanced manufacturing processes (exemplified by Lockheed's digital twin technology for the Precision Strike Missile program) is transforming defense contracting into a hybrid hardware-software model with sustained high-margin revenue streams. The modernization of Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications (NC3) systems and implementation of Joint All-Domain Command and Control (JADC2) strategy require continuous, multi-decade investments in cybersecurity and advanced integration capabilities. The investment thesis reflects structural certainty: legally mandated nuclear modernization programs are immune to typical budget cuts, contractors hold unprecedented backlogs, and technological superiority demands perpetual high-margin research and development. The resumption of nuclear testing, driven by strategic signaling rather than technical necessity, has created a self-fulfilling cycle that guarantees future expenditures. With geopolitical escalation, macroeconomic certainty through front-loaded appropriations, and rapid technological innovation converging simultaneously, the A&D sector has emerged as an essential component of institutional portfolios, supported by what analysts characterize as "geopolitics guaranteeing profits."
CBOE:ITALong
by UDIS_View
Gold 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis(Nuclear testing Resumed)Gold appears to be setting up for another potential short opportunity. Despite yesterday’s rate-cut announcement, price action showed limited bullish momentum, even after Chair Powell signaled the likelihood of an additional cut in December. This lack of upside response suggests continued bearish sentiment. Additionally, geopolitical risk remains elevated. Reports indicate former President Trump may push to resume nuclear testing, in response to President Putin’s recent strategic posturing and threats involving advanced weapons systems. While such developments typically support safe-haven assets, gold has yet to reflect meaningful bullish follow-through following these headlines. Overall, current structural behavior on the 4-hour chart continues to favor bearish movement unless a significant shift in fundamentals or market sentiment emerges
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Akhilrajfx
2
GBP/JPYThe price correction originated from the FVG area, where it grabbed liquidity and started moving upward. Then it tapped into the demand zone again, collected more liquidity, and continued its bullish move. At the current stage, there are three possible scenarios: The price hasn’t shown a clear reaction yet and might continue its upward movement. Alternatively, it could reach the buy stop level and break it strongly with a solid bullish candle — that’s when we’ll look to enter the trade. If the price starts moving upward again from the lower demand zone — which is considered a Buy Limit area and has not been mitigated yet — it could trigger a strong bullish continuation since this is one of the major demand zones on the 4-hour timeframe.
Long
by seyfiamir120
2
DXY Daily Outlook — Bullish Order Flow Toward Equal HighsHello traders 👋 On the DXY daily chart, we can clearly see that price showed a strong bullish reaction after grabbing liquidity below 96.37, initiating a bullish order flow that, in my view, is still in progress. The equal highs above the current price act as a potential draw on liquidity and serve as my first bullish target. However, keep an eye on the trendline liquidity forming below the current price — there’s a possibility that price may sweep this liquidity before continuing higher. Overall, my bias remains bullish for now. 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 💡Wait for the update!
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by VahidTradingCR
1
BRP Inc. (TSX: DOO) - Swing Trade 🏢 Company Snapshot BRP Inc. (TSX: DOO) is a global powersports manufacturer behind Ski-Doo, Sea-Doo, and Can-Am. The stock recently surged from its 52-week low around C$43.88 to the mid-C$90s range, breaking a long consolidation base. Traders are eyeing it as a cyclical rebound play into winter demand, with strong seasonality and improving earnings momentum. 📊 Fundamentals Overview DOO trades around 34× trailing earnings (≈19× forward) — elevated versus peers. Its P/B is extremely high (~14×), reflecting a premium multiple rather than intrinsic asset strength. The Debt-to-Equity ratio (~6.2×) signals heavy leverage, though this is partly offset by strong free cash flow (~C$534 M) and C$271 M cash on hand. ROE is negative (~-8.7%), indicating weak recent profitability, but analysts see a potential turnaround as operating cash flow remains healthy. Dividend yield sits near 0.9%, modest and secondary to its growth profile. Summary: High-risk, high-leverage consumer cyclical with strong free cash flow and potential for earnings recovery. 📈 Trends & Catalysts Revenue Growth: +4.3% YoY last quarter, showing resilience amid macro headwinds. EPS: Beat expectations last quarter (C$0.92 vs C$0.47 est.) — positive earnings momentum. Cash Flow: Consistent operating strength supports reinvestment and debt servicing. Balance Sheet: Debt-heavy but manageable with current FCF. Catalysts: Seasonal boost from winter/snowmobile sales. Product refresh in Can-Am line. Analyst upgrades and momentum rotation into discretionary stocks. Risks: High leverage amplifies downside risk if consumer spending weakens. Valuation leaves limited margin for error. Inventory buildup or supply chain disruptions could pressure margins. 🪙 Industry Context Consumer leisure/discretionary names have rallied over the last month. DOO gained roughly +20–25% monthly and ~+25–30% over 12 months, outperforming peers as capital rotated back into cyclical sectors. Market sentiment is currently bullish for the space, particularly heading into the winter season. 📐 Technical Breakdown Current price sits around C$94, well above both the 50-SMA (~C$88) and 200-SMA (~C$66) — confirming a strong uptrend. RSI (~58) shows neutral momentum; not overbought yet, which leaves room for a continuation swing. The chart recently broke above major resistance near C$90, now acting as support. The next resistance lies around C$96–100, aligning with the 52-week high. Pattern-wise, this looks like a clean breakout from a multi-month base. Volume has been steady but not explosive — ideal for a pullback entry rather than a chase setup. 🎯 Trade Plan (Swing Setup) Entry Zone: C$90–92 on a retest of breakout support. Stop: C$84 (below recent higher-low structure). Target: C$100–105 (measured breakout projection). R/R Ratio: ~2.5× if entered near C$91. Alternate Plan: Re-enter on a pullback to the 50-SMA (~C$88) if momentum cools and stabilizes. 🧠 My Take Technically strong, fundamentally leveraged, and seasonally positioned — DOO offers a bullish swing setup for disciplined traders. The key is patience: wait for a retest into the C$90 area or confirmation above C$96 with volume expansion. Momentum and free cash flow justify upside continuation, but the balance sheet leverage demands tight stops. Bias: Bullish above C$90, target C$100–105, invalidation below C$84.
TSX:DOOLong
by SwingTraderKev
USDJPY – ABCD Endzone | Smart Money Shift Begins📈 USDJPY – Big Picture The broader structure shows the ongoing completion of an Elliott Wave 5, aligning with the D-target of a higher-timeframe ABCD pattern. The market remains technically bullish as long as the C-pivot holds, yet early signs of exhaustion and Smart Money repositioning are emerging. Around Point D (≈ 153.180- 153.620), several strong factors converge: harmonic AB = CD target Fib-extension cluster (1.272 – 1.618) Orderblock / supply zone potential momentum divergence Smart Money distribution from institutional players From 153.180, we start to build short swing positions, aiming for a major correction toward 140.860, the lower green structure zone and demand block support. Short-term: push toward D Mid-term: rising volatility & reversal risk Long-term: accumulation opportunity near 140.860
Short
by WERKTrader
5