S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The most recent trading session exhibited significant volatility in the S&P 500 Index, marked by pronounced price fluctuations between the Mean Resistance at 6671 and the Key Resistance at 6753. This range served as a crucial threshold for market participants, prompting a series of rapid buying and selling that influenced the index's overall wild movement. Ultimately, this price action culminated in a breakout above the completed Outer Index Rally at 6768.
At present, the index is situated at the newly established Key Resistance level of 6800, which lies just below the historical high of 6807. This positioning indicates the potential for further upward momentum, as the prevailing trend suggests a well-structured Active Inner Rebound extension toward the Next Outer Index Rally target of 7110.
Conversely, it is imperative to acknowledge the possibility of a sustained, steady-to-lower pullback from the Key Resistance level of 6800 to Mean Support 6740 for the Secondary Primary Up-Trend to continue on its path.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Why Prices Move Up or Down: Order Flow and Liquidity█ Why Prices Move Up or Down: Understanding Order Flow and Liquidity
Most traders are told that prices rise because “there are more buyers than sellers,” and that prices fall because “there are more sellers than buyers.” But that’s not how markets actually work. In every transaction, there’s always one buyer and one seller; what really matters is which side is more aggressive and how liquidity responds to that aggression.
Price movement is the result of order flow interacting with liquidity. When buyers use market orders and aggressively lift the available sell orders (the ask), the price moves up. When sellers hit the bid with market orders, the price moves down.
In short, price moves in the direction of the side that consumes liquidity.
█ The Engine Behind Price Movement
When buyers and sellers agree on price, the market ranges, there’s a balance. When one side becomes more aggressive, an imbalance occurs, and the price must adjust until new liquidity appears.
Imagine the market like a ladder made of buy and sell orders. Each rung shows where traders are waiting, buyers below the current price, and sellers above it. These waiting orders are what we call liquidity.
When a trader sends a market buy order, they’re not waiting; they want to buy immediately. That order takes the best available sell price (the ask). If more traders keep doing this — buying aggressively — those sell orders get used up faster than new ones appear. As a result, the next available sell price is higher, and the price moves up until new sellers fill the gap.
The same logic applies in reverse: when aggressive market sell orders hit the bids, they consume the buy-side liquidity. Once those bids are gone, the next available buyer is lower, and the price moves down.
This continuous back-and-forth, liquidity being consumed, replaced, or withdrawn, is the real engine of every price movement.
█ Why Prices Move Up
1. Aggressive Buying (New Longs)
When new participants enter with market buys, they lift the offers, consuming sell-side liquidity. If this continues, the price climbs until enough new sellers appear to absorb demand. This is the cleanest form of demand-driven uptrend, with new buyers initiating positions.
2. Short Covering
The price moves higher as short sellers buy back positions. This can happen when stops are triggered after a price rise or when shorts take profits after a decline. In both cases, their buying adds upward pressure. When many cover at once, the move can accelerate into a short squeeze — higher prices trigger stops, which trigger even more buy orders, creating a self-reinforcing rally.
Profit Taking Phase
Short Squeeze Phase
3. Stop-Loss Triggers
Clusters of stop-loss orders above previous highs act as “fuel.” When price breaks those levels, automatic buy orders fire off. These aren’t new investors; they’re forced buyers closing shorts. The result is a fast, often exaggerated upward burst.
4. Thin Liquidity and Pulled Offers
Sometimes, price surges not because of huge buying, but because there’s nobody selling. If the sell side of the order book is thin, or if large resting orders get canceled, even small buys can sweep multiple levels. This creates those “air pockets” where price jumps several ticks in seconds.
5. Algorithmic and Institutional Flows
Institutions use automated execution algorithms like VWAP or TWAP to buy steadily throughout the day. These constant flows absorb liquidity over time, creating a slow upward bias. Similarly, option dealers who are short gamma must buy as prices rise to stay hedged, adding even more mechanical buying pressure.
█ Why Prices Move Down
1. Aggressive Selling (New Shorts)
When traders use market sells, they consume buy-side liquidity. If this persists, the price naturally ticks lower as bids disappear, and the next buyer will be willing only at a cheaper level.
2. Long Profit-Taking
At some point, long traders sell to realize profits. These sales add supply, which can cap or reverse an uptrend. It’s not bearish conviction; it’s simply existing longs exiting their positions.
3. Long Stop-Loss Cascades
If prices fall to where many long traders placed stops, those automatic sell orders trigger, creating a chain reaction of forced selling. This is the mirror image of a short squeeze — a long liquidation cascade.
4. Thin Bid Liquidity or Pulled Bids
When buy orders disappear, the market has no floor. Even modest selling pressure can make the price fall through several levels until new bids emerge. This is how “flash drops” occur during low-liquidity periods.
5. Algorithmic and Mechanical Selling
Negative news or risk events can activate automated sell programs, from funds rebalancing to dealers hedging short options exposure. These trades can intensify selling, even without new bearish sentiment.
█ New Positions vs. Exits — The Hidden Difference
Not every up-move means new buyers are coming in, and not every down-move means new shorts.
Some moves happen because existing positions are being closed, not opened. and that distinction matters.
New Positions (Initiative Flow): Create real trends, since they bring new demand or supply.
Position Exits (Reactive Flow): Often short-lived, they relieve pressure rather than add it.
One way to tell the difference is through open interest (in futures or options):
Price up + Open Interest up → new longs entering (sustainable).
Price up + Open Interest down → short covering (temporary).
Price down + Open Interest down → long liquidation (often near exhaustion).
Price down + Open Interest up → new shorts entering (trend formation).
█ The Real Takeaway
Price doesn’t rise because “buyers beat sellers.” It rises because buyers were more aggressive, consuming available sell orders faster than they were replaced. It falls when sellers become more aggressive, taking out the bids.
Both entries and exits can push the price the same way:
New longs and shorts covering both create buy pressure.
New shorts and longs taking profit both create sell pressure.
To truly understand a move, traders must ask:
Who initiated it, new positions or forced exits?
Was liquidity added or withdrawn?
Did open interest confirm new participation or show a squeeze?
Once you start thinking in these terms, price becomes more than a random chart line; it becomes a story of liquidity and intent unfolding in real time.
█ Multiple Forces in Motion
While each example above highlights a single mechanism in isolation, the market rarely moves for one reason alone. In real trading, several of these forces often act simultaneously, new longs entering, shorts covering, stops triggering, algorithms executing, and liquidity thinning.
When multiple flows align in the same direction, the result is acceleration, price moves rapidly as liquidity vanishes, and reactions compound. When opposing forces meet, price can stall, consolidate, or violently whip as both sides compete for control.
In essence, market movement is the sum of overlapping liquidity events, not isolated causes. Understanding how these factors interact in real time is key to reading true intent behind every move.
█ In summary:
Markets move not because of “more buyers” or “more sellers,” but because one side becomes impatient, consumes liquidity, and forces repricing until balance returns.
Understanding who’s moving the market and why — new positioning, forced exits, or vanished liquidity — is the foundation of reading true market intent.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the previous trading session, the Eurodollar market exhibited significant fluctuations between the critical Mean Resistance level of 1.165 and the Mean Support level of 1.159, with the current price oscillating between the two levels.
Market sentiment suggests the prevailing Active Inner Decline trend will continue. The ongoing market perspective continues to anticipate a price decrease toward the initial support level, indicated by Mean Support at 1.159, followed by secondary support at 1.155 and the Inner Currency Dip at 1.151. If this downward trajectory continues, it could extend further to the Outer Currency Dip at 1.145, alongside the Key Support level of 1.140.
Moreover, it is crucial to remain mindful of the potential emergence of an Active Inner Rebound at the Mean Support of 1.159, which may prompt a subsequent move toward the Mean Resistance of 1.165. Additionally, an Auxiliary Inner Rebound following the Outer Currency Dip at 1.145, in conjunction with the Key Support level of 1.140, will represent alternative rebound thresholds for the currency, along with the Mean Support at 1.155 situated above these levels.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In last week's trading session, the Bitcoin market experienced wild gyrations between Mean Support 106500 and the critical Mean Resistance level of 113500, as the price is currently actively fluctuating between the two.
Current market analysis indicates an initial recovery towards the Mean Resistance level of 113500, with the potential for further upward movement to the Mean Resistance level of 116000. However, it is crucial to acknowledge the possibility of a reversal at these resistance levels, which could extend to continue the Progressive In Force Retracement trend.
USDCAD H1 | Quick takePrice rejected the 1.4040 1.4050 supply and is pulling back toward the 1.3960 1.3975 demand zone (blue base of the prior breakout).
As long as buyers defend that zone, a bounce toward 1.4025 then 1.4050 is likely.
A clean close below 1.3960 shifts bias to downside and exposes 1.3925.
Possible scenarioos for the development of events on the weekly A good weekly sidebar. Which combines the Wyckoff method, J. Murphy method. Smart money concept. And a possible scenario or scenarios for the extension of Fibonacci. we have a return to the sidebar testing 0.38 Fibonacci of the last impulse up, if we go up from here it will be a trend execution, that is, aggressively. and so we have five possible scenarios . development of events on the chart. the market maker tried hard to make a good weekly chart. This is not investment advice!!! This is just the author's opinion!
IDX Composite (JKSE) Forecast: Q4 2025 Trend ProjectionFundamental:
-
Technical Analysis:
-This analysis was created using candle calculations multiplied by the Fibonacci golden ratio.
-There is a high potential for November 3, 2025, to be a retracement stopping point, which is close to the Full Moon phase on November 5, 2025. The Bullish trend is then expected to continue until December 29, 2025, a date close to the next Full Moon phase on January 3, 2026.
Note:
-The projected dates have a tolerance of ±1 to ±2 days.
-This analysis becomes invalid if future (market) data does not support it.
IDX:CDIA IDX:COMPOSITE
$EPT/USDT delivered a solid breakout with a massive 72% pump! $EPT/USDT delivered a solid breakout with a massive 72% pump! Both targets hit perfectly as predicted 0.005 and 0.006 levels achieved. Momentum was strong, and the breakout played out beautifully. Now waiting to see if bulls push for the next leg up.
KSE 100 FUTURE OUT LOOK IDEA KSE 100 Is currently hovering in a bearish zone but its making a bullish harmonic due to profit taking as lots of technical indicators was heated now its time to cool down for next big rally so hold cash better than hold assets . Bullish harmonic pattern like this will play probably its take time to complete its XABCD . Now i am watching and observing its D Point /PRZ .Where upon completion of consolidation and after confirmation deploy cash to buy good stocks .
Note . this is a learning idea don't follow blindly . DYOR ....
Silence Between Trades: The Missing Edge“The best traders don’t trade all the time.
They wait until silence turns into clarity.”
Most traders believe progress means constant activity —
always analyzing, clicking, reacting, entering.
But true consistency begins in the space between trades .
In that quiet gap where no button is pressed and no candle matters.
Why Silence Matters
The human mind craves noise.
When the chart slows down, the mind gets restless.
You start doubting your bias. You scroll timeframes. You force entries.
That’s not trading — that’s trying to escape stillness.
But silence is where observation deepens.
It’s where the impulsive trader becomes the patient one.
Stillness is not absence of action — it’s control of it.
What to Do Between Trades
Journal — note what you felt after your last trade, not just the result.
Observe price structure without bias. Let the market show its next intent.
Breathe — step away, let your nervous system reset.
Review your setups — refine your plan instead of forcing a new one.
The Hidden Edge
When others jump into random trades, your patience will look like inactivity —
but it’s actually precision.
The longer you can stay calm in uncertainty,
the closer you are to mastery.
Stillness isn’t waiting for the market to move —
It’s waiting for yourself to settle.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Does silence make you uneasy, or do you find strength in it?
Share your reflection below — the quietest traders often have the loudest growth.
QQQ : Stay heavy on positionsQQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
SPY : Stay heavy on positionsSPY : Stay heavy on positions (2x leverage)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold SPY(+QQQ) and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of SSO(+QLD) and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
MNHLDG (BULL) LATE STAGE CYCLE This is a continuation from my previous entry
-Kindly refer to the link attached
Entry based on assumption, that probably, trading range would unfolding from here on.
Bar @ 22nd & 23rd October would be considered as SpringBoard
-Hence, with Trigger Bar yesterday (24th October), position initiated with tight risk
It is either im getting stop from here onward, bcoz of Distribution or Possiblity of formation Trading Range #1 (Spring ) ***Purple Color Line
**Red Color line indicate Schematic #2 Trading Range
This is one of the leaders that i bought recently, since KLCI has been worsening past few weeks.
Usually , whenever a Leader Stock , has been undergoing 4th/5th Stepping Stone (aka Trading Range, or 'Base' for the Non-Wyckoffian) , it is a sign that probably the stock has reaching its late stage.
Some Stock Investors, would like to hold n enjoy the ride along the BuLL Run for The Leaders.
But i learnt that, with some 15-20% profit, compounding, will give me a much better return.
I simply cannot stomach for loss >6%. And i want to have good sleep.
Investing is a marathon, and it is demanding a lot from you, mentally.
Stress management is very important to stay long in this business.
$109K Holding Strong Before Next Expansion?Bitcoin Building a Reversal Base — $109K Holding Strong Before Next Expansion 🚀
1️⃣ Weekly Structure (1W)
BTC continues to respect its macro ascending channel, maintaining a clear uptrend that’s been in play since early 2023. Despite recent retracements, the structure remains bullish as long as weekly candles hold above $106K.
Key Observations:
* Structure: Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) levels confirm continuation. The latest pullback looks corrective, not impulsive.
* The CHoCH in mid-2025 marked a liquidity sweep before price reclaimed structure again.
* MACD: Momentum cooling but flattening — suggesting a potential base forming before next expansion.
* Stochastic RSI: Near oversold, starting to curl upward — early bullish signal.
Weekly Outlook:
Price is consolidating near the midline of the ascending channel (~$109K–$111K). As long as this zone holds, Bitcoin is primed for a macro continuation toward $125K–$130K.
If $106K breaks on a weekly close, next strong demand sits at $80K.
2️⃣ Daily Structure (1D)
On the daily chart, BTC shows signs of a structural rebound after forming a clean BOS from the $108K zone. Buyers defended the same demand that triggered the last impulse move.
Key Observations:
* Clear CHoCH → BOS pattern near $108K confirming early accumulation.
* MACD histogram is narrowing — bearish momentum fading quickly.
* Stochastic RSI rising from the oversold zone — suggests upward rotation beginning.
* Major resistance zones sit at $113K → $126K.
Daily Outlook:
BTC has successfully reclaimed the short-term trendline and is eyeing the $113K pivot. A breakout and daily close above $114K would likely trigger a run toward $124K–$126K.
As long as daily closes stay above $108K, bias remains bullish.
3️⃣ 4-Hour Structure (4H)
The 4H chart highlights a contracting triangle breakout pattern with a fresh BOS confirming local trend reversal.
Price is climbing back from the $109K base after multiple CHoCH sweeps that trapped late sellers.
Key Observations:
* Price is now riding higher lows, showing buyers defending every dip near $109K.
* MACD crossover bullish, histogram expanding positive.
* Stochastic RSI flipped up from midline — showing momentum continuation.
* Short-term resistance: $114K, followed by $116K.
* Support: $109K → $106K remains the key re-accumulation zone.
4H Outlook:
BTC is building energy for a short-term breakout leg. If momentum sustains and price closes 4H candles above $111K–$112K, we could see a fast run toward $115K–$118K in the next 48–72 hours.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
✅ Swing Setup:
* Buy Zone: $108K–$110K
* Stop-Loss: Below $106K
* Targets: $118K → $124K → $130K
✅ Intraday/Short-Term Setup:
* Entry Trigger: Break and retest above $111.5K
* Stop-Loss: Below $110K
* Targets: $114K → $116K
❌ Invalidation:
Weekly close below $106K would signal breakdown from structure and open potential retrace toward $95K or $80K.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin’s multi-timeframe confluence shows strength building beneath the surface — higher-low structure, MACD flattening, and Stoch RSI turning up all point to accumulation before next markup.
While short-term chop may continue, every dip into the $108K–$109K area looks like an opportunity to scale in for the next macro leg up.
If the market confirms with a strong daily BOS above $114K, expect sentiment to flip bullish rapidly as BTC pushes toward $125K–$130K zone into early 2026.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.






















