Beyond Technical Analysis
CELH - I Digress! Still very bullish on this chartAs you see from all my linked CELH videos below, I've been watching this and playing this name for the past few months considering the PA and strength of this company (in relation to where it's being valued atm).
Could have kept this video much shorter by simply showing the supply & demand battle that's been going on above us. Mainly the supply levels at $34 (HTF) and $31 (LTF). Love the flow and natural market movements that we've been seeing on this undervalued name and I will be continuing to add to my position in the $28/$29 range if given the opportunity.
Breakout of our LTF supply highlighted in this video is huge for our push to break the HTF $34 supply.
Happy Trading :)
Plan your trade ahead of time to avoid impulsive decisions All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence
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Hidden Forces: Decoding Buyer & Seller Activity on ChartsTotal Volume vs. Volume Delta: The total volume on the chart includes both buys and sells, making it less useful for analysis. Volume Delta, however, shows whether buyers or sellers dominated within a candle.
A green Delta candle means more aggressive retail buying; a red one means more retail selling. This helps analyze market sentiment beyond price movement.
Price & Delta Relationships:
1. Price and Delta move together → Organic movement, likely driven by retail.
2. Delta moves, but price doesn’t → Retail is heavily biased in one direction, absorbing limit orders. Possible smart money trap.
3. Price moves, but Delta doesn’t → Retail didn’t participate in the move. Lack of belief or failed market-making attempt.
4. Price moves against Delta → Strong indication of market manipulation. Large players using aggressive strategies against retail.
Market Manipulation & Smart Money:
* Whales leverage retail psychology and order flow to position themselves.
* Retail often gets caught in fake moves, unknowingly providing liquidity to big players.
Final Thought: By analyzing Delta and price movement together, we can spot hidden large buyers and sellers and understand market dynamics beyond surface-level price action.
MODG - How to identify and enter a LTF tradeHere's a quick idea and how I could simply analyze a potential trade like this short on MODG:
1. Higher Time Frame intentional target
2. LTF Supply zone (level where known sellers exist)
3. Certain technical confluences within the algorithms, volume, and price action
1-2-3 punch and we've set ourselves up with a potential 1:12 Risk-Reward trade!
Happy Trading :)
QXO - My first mention of a very interesting chartPlease do your own research on this company because it's extremely interesting and enticing!
I first got introduced to this company mid-last year before our strong move into the $17+ and since then we've seen a consistent downtrend. Starting to see signs of tapering and recovery now as we tapped into HTF demand so definitely a chart to keep an eye on - especially with their pending deal to purchase a large roofing company.
Happy Trading :)
Overview on S&P / 6C / 6E / Gold / SilverJust ran down a major overview on where I'm at in responding to a few messages. I left my last scenario mid December where I stated the S&P was overheated and was likely to come down, even if I didn't have a strong enough signal to go for a longer short on the market.
As I had said then, I was mostly interested in the 6E. I made a large chunk off buying the dip on the 6E and cashing out on trends, to include the launch off it recently had. I'm now done with the 6E for the moment.
My current focus is on 6C. The algorithm and math have taken a turn that the 6C is ready to rebound. I entered into it at just under .69, I did have to roll over into the newer contract, but even with the last couple down days, the math still supports a rebound. I almost cashed out today when it had a rough start and fell at .5%, but held through and we have mostly recovered for the day, leaving us with a fairly bearish candle pattern to support the ongoing uptrends pulling is higher.
When it comes to gold, we have multiple trend violations against the 1hr, 2hr, 3hr, 4hr, and 6hr of lower highs. I expect a downswing to correct these, as they are long overdue for some time now before we move higher. I do believe that Gold is destined for higher, just not yet. I haven't gotten any longer-term signals for gold, so I've mostly been shorting in swing trades to net just a couple thousand on this issue.
I am getting a signal on Silver that it is ready to launch. It is not a flawless signal to show it is ready to meet new highs, so I may watch it tomorrow, but ultimately, I may feel more comfortable jumping into silver over gold for a rebound instead of quick shorts. Also, silver has less margin, so it ties up less of my account.
That is where I sit, hope your trades go well, and remember your risk management.
LULU - Updated analysis in a rough marketMarket wide we are seeing massive dips on big names - and obviously the same here for LULU. I am posting this updated analysis while on vacation (apologies for the bad sound and mouse work as I am working on the fly) because I know many are following my analysis on this name and I'd love for everyone to keep an eye on the macro point of view which is always important when we're in a choppy and especially a bearish macro market.
Levels I identified here are all aiming toward us reaching for that $270 demand zone which would ideally bring us some much needed buying momentum heading into earnings. I would not be surprised if we dip there even with a good earnings report considering market-wide we're seeing bearish pressure and people are waiting for opportunities at lower levels to start building a stronger position in companies like LULU.
Happy Trading all :)