BTCUSD 8/25/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Full Top-Down Analysis of Bitcoins Price Action as we come into the last week of Qt. 3 What is Price doing?? I got the answer!
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
Beyond Technical Analysis
THIS IS WHY BITCOIN DUMPED...Last night Bitcoin took a sharp hit – but why? In this video, we break it down with a skeptical lens . From forced selling by companies holding crypto in their treasuries to the impact of Wall Street’s institutional players, we’ll uncover the possible reasons behind the drop and what it could mean going forward. Plus, we’ll talk about risk management, diversification, and why stop-losses matter more than ever.
💡 Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps
GBPUSD Series ContinuationThis is a Weekly bias and review of What the market has done and what we could expect and subsequently position ourselves to take advantage.
In this weeks series, I share the Possible Sell to Buy scenario to anticipate, I see a Possible 200pips for grabs on a 1:5 Risk to Reward.
This week, I’m watching a potential Sell-to-Buy setup developing.
Market structure suggests a corrective push down before continuation, giving room for a high-probability entry.
Opportunity: Up to 200 pips on the table
Risk-to-Reward: Targeting around 1:5
The key here is patience — letting the market complete its corrective leg before looking for confirmation to enter.
Disclaimer: This is my personal market bias, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and ensure proper risk management.
✍️ Patience is the way, Ieios!
PACS - Update pre-earningsThis is setting up hot with momentum and clear supply and demand zones to allow us to take trades confidently.
Watch the video to understand further - this will give you a great understanding of how to read supply & demand in a very simple way based on volume & price action
Happy Trading :)
How Beginners Should Start Trading Futures (Step by Step)### Why Trade Futures?
### 1. **One Market to Master**
- With stocks, you’ve got **thousands of tickers** to scan every day.
- With options, you add complexity: strike prices, expirations, Greeks.
- With futures, you can focus on **just one instrument**—like the S&P 500 (ES/MES)—and trade it daily.
👉 This eliminates overwhelm and accelerates mastery.
---
### 2. **Golden Age of Prop Firm Funding**
- Right now, prop firms are everywhere, offering retail traders a chance to trade with firm capital.
- For **$200–$500 evaluation cost**, you can get access to **$25K–$250K funded accounts**.
- That means a **$2,000–$2,500 effective credit line** to trade without risking your own savings.
- If you’re consistent, you can withdraw profits—keeping up to 90% depending on the firm.
👉 This makes the risk-to-reward of getting funded in futures unmatched compared to stocks or options.
---
### 3. **Simplified Leverage (Without Options Greeks)**
- Futures give you leverage, but without the **Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega headache**.
- Every point in MES = $5. Every point in ES = $50. That’s it. Clear, transparent, easy to calculate.
- You know your risk and reward instantly—no need to fight with implied volatility or time decay.
---
### 4. **No PDT Rule, No Time Decay**
- Stocks: if you have less than $25K, you’re handcuffed by PDT rules.
- Options: even if you’re right, you can still lose because of **theta decay**.
- Futures: no PDT rule, no theta burn. You can take as many trades as you want, and your position value won’t decay over time.
---
### 5. **Low Capital to Start**
- Stocks often require large amounts of cash to move the needle.
- Options can be cheaper per contract, but carry hidden risks.
- Futures let you start with as little as **$2K** and realistically scale to $10K+ in months with discipline.
👉 Combine that with prop funding, and you’re essentially trading institution-sized accounts with minimal upfront cost.
---
### 🔑 The Big Picture
Trading futures gives you:
- **Focus** (one ticker, one system).
- **Leverage** without complexity.
- **Funding opportunities** that minimize personal risk.
- **Flexibility** (24/5 market access, no PDT, no decay).
That’s why many traders see this moment as the **“golden age” of retail futures trading**—you can start small, get funded quickly, and scale without needing Wall Street connections or a huge account.
---
### Step 1: Pick the Right Instrument
Start small and scale up:
- **/MES (Micro E-Mini S&P 500):**
- Best for beginners.
- Each point = $5.
- 10 MES = 1 ES.
- **/ES (E-Mini S&P 500):**
- Larger contract, each point = $50.
- Best for experienced traders or bigger accounts.
- **Other contracts:** NQ, YM, RTY, Gold, etc. (but start with MES to master one market).
---
### Step 2: How Much Risk to Take
- **Rule of thumb:** Risk **<10% of your account per trade.**
- Example: $2,000 account → risk $200 or less
- Example: $50,000 prop firm account = $2,000 or $2500 accounts because that’s your drawdown limits.
- **Daily max loss rule:** If you lose 3 trades in a day, step away. Protect your capital. ($600)
- Futures move fast—so use **bracket orders** (stop loss + profit target set together).
---
### Step 3: When to Trade
Most volume & volatility happens during these times (EST):
- 🟢 **U.S. session:** 9:30 AM – 12 PM (best for beginners).
- 🌍 Asia: 9:30 PM & 4 AM.
- 🇪🇺 Europe: 3 AM & 11:30 AM.
Stick to U.S. morning hours first—cleanest moves, best liquidity.
---
### Step 4: Use a System, Not Guesswork
At DIYWallSt, we trade with **VX Algo**, a system built to keep things simple:
- ✅ Market Structure (Bullish/Bearish flips).
- ✅ RSI signals (oversold/overbought).
- ✅ Super MACD (color-coded trend confirmation).
- ✅ Moving Averages (dynamic support & resistance).
Beginners should only enter when at least **2 signals confirm** the setup.
---
### Step 5: Getting Started Without Big Risk
Don’t want to risk your own money yet? Use a **Prop Firm Account**:
- **Apex Trader Funding:** Flexible, easy to start, bracket orders built in.
- **Topstep:** Consistency rules, great training ground.
- Pass an evaluation, trade with their money, and keep up to 90% of profits.
---
### Step 6: Tools You’ll Need
- **Brokerage:** Tradovate (beginner-friendly) or IBKR (advanced/global).
- **Charting:** TradingView + VX Algo indicators.
- **Journal:** Track every trade—P/L, emotions, signals, lessons learned.
---
### Quick Risk Examples
- **/MES moves 10 points = $50 gain/loss.**
- **/ES moves 10 points = $500 gain/loss.**
- That’s why beginners start with MES—it gives room to learn without blowing up.
---
### Final Words
Trading futures can change your life—but only if you treat it like a business.
- Start small (MES).
- Risk less than 1% per trade.
- Trade only when your system gives you signals.
- Journal everything.
👉 Stick with it, and you’ll avoid the mistakes that wipe out 80% of new traders.
Why Hedging Is a Powerful Strategy in Trading (Antisthathmisis)⚖️📉 Why Hedging Is a Powerful Strategy in Crypto Trading 🏛️🌿
This post is educational . It’s not about predicting the market—it's about preparing for it.
And one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s toolkit is: Hedging —or as we say in Greek, Αντιστάθμηση .
Rather than gambling on direction, hedging is about staying balanced, staying strategic, and staying alive in volatile markets. Unless you are a προφήτης ('prophet') or you have inside information from Trump and Powell...
📘 Why Hedging Matters:
Most traders go all-in on one direction.
But what if you could go long on the strongest and short the weakest —at the same time?
That’s not being indecisive. That’s called being smartly hedged .
Not picking sides. Picking survival. 🔐 (αντισταθμισμένος-balanced)
📊 Examples from My Own Trading:
🔻 LUNA — One of my most successful shorts. From $100+ to nearly zero.
🔻 Pump.fan — Shorted from $0.63 to $0.24, even as Ethereum pumped.
These were not "luck." These were strategic, chart-based and fundamentally backed, hedged trades .
🏛️ Hellenic Wisdom Meets Trading 🔮🌿
In Greek we say:
“Πρόβλεψη” (pro-vlep-si) → I see what may happen
To do that, we need “Πρόγνωση” (pro-gnosi) → knowledge of what happened before
And if done well, it feels like “Προφητεία” → prophecy
But let’s be clear: I’m no prophet. I'm a trader, and my edge is in staying Αντισταθμισμένος — hedged/balanced/insured/covered.
🧠 The Edge of Antistathmisi:
✅ Long the strong
✅ Short the weak
✅ Charts and fundamentals aligned
✅ Reduce emotional exposure
✅ Create balance in chaos
Closing Thought:
Don’t chase prophecy. Chase prognosis through knowledge.
And let Antistathmisi be your guide. 🧿
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Dow Jones: Will It Finally Break All-Time Highs?While SPX 500 and Nasdaq have already smashed their all-time highs, Dow Jones is still grinding toward its breakout. In this analysis, I’ll break down the current consolidation phase, key Fibonacci levels, and precise long triggers to watch. We’ll zoom into daily and lower time frames to find actionable entries, manage risk, and avoid FOMO.
Clear, skeptical, and to the point. 🔮
Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps <3
Hong Kong vs New York: Who Wins the Final Round? | HK50 BreakdowHong Kong vs New York — two giants, two very different charts. In this breakdown, I’ll walk you through the key support/resistance levels on HK50, possible fakeouts, and where the next real trigger might appear. No hype, just a clear look at what’s really happening.
BILL - Updated analysis - plenty of room to the upsideWith a similar analysis to my previous BILL post, we are seeing that a HTF white algorithm has held and proven. Therefore we have a few points of movement towards stronger selling teal and a good opportunity to reach buy-side of white which sits in the $48 range.
Still bullish on this short term especially with the HTF algorithm proof and the combination of stronger volume pouring in at these levels.
Happy Trading :)
KULR Update as we near our entry targetMy new motto: Pay tience (Pays).
We are approaching the bottom of our HTF white tapered algorithm in which we are looking to prove white over all of our stronger selling algorithms. If we see volume pour in and make an intentional at these levels, we will have our confirmation for a potential reversal in the making.
Forsure an oversold company with a large short float and dilution rumors so this could be a difficult one to turn around - but if it does, we will be in on the ground floor and would have avoided all the unnecessary risk and headache of holding a $6 or even $7 position had we FOMO'd.
Happy Trading all :)
How to determine if the Fed will change target interest rates?In this video, I explain the mechanism of the Fed target interest rates and how to determine if the Fed will cut the target interest rates in September 2025 (or any other FOMC). I also talk about the Overnight Reverse Repo balance sheet and the draining of the balance from a high of 2.55T on 30th Dec 2022 to just 25B as of 21st Aug 2025. I hypothesize a scenario from now till the September FOMC:
1. The Overnight Reverse Repo is completely emptied, meaning the stealth liquidity is gone.
2. The Equity Markets suffers a sharp fall (even a crash).
3. Funds rotate into US treasuries, causing yield to fall.
4. Fed cuts target interest rates without having to monetize the debts.
The most important key takeaway in this video is to understand that in order to know if the Fed will do anything is to see the 3month government bond yield. All the other information are supplementary and provide us information to paint a narrative on how the market will move in the coming weeks.
As aways, keep your risks tight, and Good Luck!
Past Resistance = Future Support: SPX500 and Others UpdateIt is August 21, 2025. I have entitled this video, Past Resistance = Future Support. As I purchased many stocks from the yearly lows of 2025, I anticipate, from a probabilistic perspective, that this new retracement will not last, but alas! It shall be a 3% to 5% pullback.
I investigate, from a technical perspective, the chart built on the principles and experience I have gained over the years of watching the markets: from the smallest (general) timeframes to the biggest.
Stocks have been pent up for months, coiling, building up weekly pressure. It is time to grow. Time to invest. Time to be patient over the course of one or two quarters.
Expectation:
A Halloween or Thanksgiving rally. Targets will be hit by December 2025 to January 2026.
Trading Game of the Day 21 August 2025Trading Plan :-(principles)
1-when there is FVG coalesce with iFVG ,you should put in your mind that there is OB and BB in the same leg.
2-the SL should be behind the FVG and iFVG to protect the capital
3-something which is very important (the candle rejection )
in this chart is 4 candle rejected
4-this scenario is already associated with swing point or double top or triple bottom (which refer to the LIQUIDITY)
Thank you
migrating Databases means = new AI prediction. I'm working on itIn when starting coding you start with a recommendations then hope they work out,
Then you gain experience and learn that there are better fits for the project.
I am in the process of migrating cloud database providers which is taking way too much time, and yes it's super boring mind numbing work.
So to jump to the point, I cannot put out a new AI prediction until I fix all the pieces of the 4D puzzle first
Tariffs Effect on InflationIn April, inflation was at its lowest point. It was also the month when the 'Liberation Day' tariffs were introduced, applying a 10% baseline tariff to most countries.
But it wasn’t until August—when the July Core CPI rose to 3.1% from its April low of 2.8%— and now investors began to question whether inflation will be trending higher in the near future with now higher tariffs set in after 1st August.
10 Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 10Y
Minimum fluctuation:
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Natural Gas Equities Showing Relative StrengthNatural Gas was briefly red today but saw a bit of a bullish recovery.
Price action came very close to filling the weekly downside gap but just missed it.
Inventories are set to be released tomorrow at 10:30am
Interestingly, Nat Gas stocks like NYSE:AR & NYSE:EQT showed great relative strength in the market today.
Is this signaling a pop in Nat Gas price tomorrow?
We are long NYSE:AR calls from yesterday.
Trading Game of the Day 20 August 2025 (trading in the swing )Trading Plan :-
1-swing point is the more difficult point to trade beacause we donot know if the price will reverse or continue in the same direction
2-the disciplined trader remain in the bias of HTF and use the swing point is the target of our trade
3-at the swing point we should look for for any sign of reversal .
if there is no signs of reversal ,we can continue in the same direction targetting the swing points
Thank YOU