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Bill Williams Indicators

GOLD LONG 1hr setup ### 🧠 **Market Context & Liquidity** - Gold took out some sellside liquidty - We’re watching for whether buyers hold above the daily open or if we see a pullback into support. - Key levels to watch: - **Resistance:** 4,128 – 4,130 (recent high) - **Support:** 4,107 – 4,112 (consolidation low & potential buy zone) --- ### 🐊 **Bill Williams Alligator Signal** - The **Alligator** is awake and aligned — jaws above teeth above lips — indicating a **trending market**. - Price is trading **above the Alligator**, supporting a **bullish bias**. - Pullbacks into the Alligator (lips/teeth) are potential entries if structure holds. --- ### 🎯 **Gold (GC1!) Trade Plan – Long Setup** - **Entry Zone:** 4,110 – 4,128 (support + Alligator confluence) - **Stop Loss:** Below 4,057 - **TP1:** 4,128 - **TP2:** 4,200 4hr fvg (sibi) --- ### ✅ **Confirmation Needed:** - Bullish reaction off support with volume. - No loss of 4,107 level. - Alligator continues pointing upward. --- **Bottom Line:** Gold is in a bullish structure above the Alligator. Look for longs into support with a tight stop. Trade the pullback — not the breakout.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by origami_capital33
ETHUSD – 1H Long Setup (SMC | ICT | Bill Williams Confluence) Bias remains **bullish** after a clean sweep of **sell-side liquidity** and strong rejection from the demand zone. Price has confirmed a **break of structure** and is now reacting off a **breaker block** aligned with an **inverted fair value gap (IFVG)** — solid confluence for continuation. ### 🧭 Technical Breakdown 1. **Liquidity Sweep:** Price cleared out **sell-side liquidity** under the 3,800 zone — engineered liquidity before reversal. 2. **Breaker Block (BB):** FOR our entry 3. **IFVG:** Price filled the IFVG inside the BB and respected it perfectly, showing balanced re-pricing. 4. **Bill Williams Confluence:** * Alligator lines tightening, signaling end of corrective phase. * Price starting to trade above the green (lips) and red (teeth) lines — early signs of bullish acceleration. 5. **Structure Context:** Market structure shifted bullish on the 1H following the sell-side sweep and last week low being run. ### 📈 Plan * **Entry:** From breaker block / IFVG confluence (3,800–3,830 zone). * **Stop:** Below 3,713 (beneath liquidity low). * **Targets:** * 🥇 3,900 → intraday liquidity pool * 🥈 4,020 → FVG fill above * 🥉 4,090+ → 4H supply / OB ### ⚡ Bias As long as ETH holds above the breaker block and 3,820 zone, I maintain **long bias** expecting expansion toward 4K+. Classic **SMC + ICT synergy**: *Sell-side sweep → Structure shift → Breaker block + IFVG → Expansion*.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by origami_capital33
Government Bonds Are a Safe Haven in a RecessionThe Fed is signaling rate cuts ahead of a Recession, which seems to be right around the corner. How severe the recession will be is not yet clear, but either way bonds are likely bottoming for the next year or so. There is a nice diametric forming on TLT/TMF too since the Covid highs, so they could be getting ready for a big reversal now. Bullish momentum divergences are also strong and it's already started a small trend up. The way I see it this is a granny shot. If stocks keep drifting up, bonds can keep climbing as the Fed will keep signaling rate cuts since inflation has tapered. If stocks start to correct, the Fed may increase rate cut forecasts, which means bonds will go up even faster. If stocks collapse then liquidity rushes towards bonds, and bonds sky rocket. Add 4% APY on top of that and it's an even easier shot because it still beats inflation if it goes sideways. The only way this loses is if inflation starts picking up again, but given the trend of inflation, and top indicators on stocks, crypto, gold, etc. that seems like the least likely scenario.
AMEX:TMFLong
by Intuit
$eth 15 min , new york setup 🧠 Session-Based Liquidity & Manipulation Asia low was swept — liquidity grab confirmed. Price is now stabilizing above the Alligator, signaling potential reversal. 🐊 Bill Williams Alligator Signal Alligator is coiling and turning up — bullish awakening in progress. Price holding above lips/teeth supports long bias. 🎯 Corrected ETHUSD Trade Plan – Long Setup Entry Zone: 3,846 – 3,850 (retest of Alligator support) Stop Loss: 3,777 (below recent swing low — as per chart) TP1: 3,875 (first liquidity above) TP2: 3,900 (next HTF level & Asia high) ✅ Confirmation Needed: Bullish candle close above 3,850. Hold above Alligator lips (~3,840–3,845). Volume spike on the move up. Bottom Line: Asia low taken, manipulation complete. Alligator supports bullish reversal. Long above 3,846, stop below 3,777. — origami_capita133 | TradingView 👉 Like & Follow if this helps your trading. Trade with discipline, not emotion.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by origami_capital33
1
BTC Double Zigzag Ending on Terminal Impulse (Elliott Wave)BTC has formed into a double zigzag from the low in 2023 until now. This is the same count that my friend Glenn Neely (the founder of Neowave) is following. At this point there aren't really any other counts that appear to make sense. Especially considering the terminal impulse that wave-c has formed (see Daily chart). We've already begun breaking down from the rising wedge pattern, which is a strong indication that wave-c has concluded. Beyond just Elliott Wave/Neowave considerations, this has also formed long-term momentum divergences on the AO, and a clear weekly wiseman right at the end of wave-5 of c, perfectly aligned with the 0.5(a+b) time target for wave-c. This perfect confluence of signals here is a very strong signal the market has topped out long-term, and could retrace all the way back to ~$23k in the worst case scenario. Other potential retracement levels are labeled on the chart. If this does end up breaking $125k, then it may be a good idea to flip bullish as the bull cycle could continue for an unknown amount of time after that. For now, probabilities are starting to stack up indicating that the top is in and a big retracement is coming.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Intuit
2
Advanzia Group: Tokenization of RWA — BlackRock and $29B On-ChaiIn 2025, the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) has evolved from a niche trend to a mainstream financial tool, bridging traditional finance with blockchain. The total on-chain RWA market has reached $29 billion (up 260% YTD), with Ethereum dominating at 57%. BlackRock, through its BUIDL fund, leads in tokenized treasuries with $5.5 billion in assets. From Advanzia Group, an analytics platform specializing in Web3 metrics and AI-driven signals, we explore the RWA market, Fibonacci and RSI levels for key tokens (ONDO, MKR, RWA tokens), and trading signals. Data as of September 16, 2025—prime time for positioning ahead of institutional inflows. Advanzia Group equips traders with dashboards for on-chain analysis; sign up for demo access to seize the edge. RWA Market Overview: $29B On-Chain, Ethereum 57% RWA tokenization digitizes assets like treasuries, real estate, and bonds on the blockchain, enabling liquidity and 24/7 trading. The total market stands at $29 billion, with treasuries accounting for 40% ($11.6 billion), led by BlackRock’s BUIDL at $5.5 billion (45% of tokenized treasuries). Ethereum holds 57% ($16.5 billion), followed by Solana (20%) and Polygon (15%). The 260% YTD growth is driven by regulations (MiCA, GENIUS Act) and institutional inflows: $4.7 billion in Q2. On-chain: DeFi RWA TVL is $150 billion, with transactions up 25% (Ethereum + Solana). Advanzia’s AI detects a 71% bullish sentiment: whale accumulation in ONDO (+15%), with potential for $50 billion by year-end. BlackRock’s Role: BUIDL and Tokenized Treasuries BlackRock, with $10 trillion AUM, drives RWA through BUIDL (launched 2024), tokenizing US Treasuries on Ethereum with $5.5 billion in assets. The fund offers a 5.2% yield (above inflation), redeemable in USDC. Impact: BUIDL boosts RWA liquidity by 30%, integrating with Aave and Uniswap. Forecast: BlackRock aims for $2 trillion in RWA by 2030, with BUIDL reaching $10 billion by 2026. For traders: BUIDL strengthens RWA-treasury correlation (0.8), reducing volatility; BUIDL token RSI at 55 signals neutral-bullish momentum. Fibonacci and RSI Levels for Key RWA Tokens Advanzia analyzes top RWA tokens: ONDO (Ondo Finance), MKR (MakerDAO), and aggregated RWA protocols. Levels based on April’s trend. ONDO ($1.45): Support at $1.20–$1.30 (50% Fibonacci retracement). Resistance at $1.50–$1.60. RSI at 58 (bullish momentum, above 50). MACD: Crossover above zero—signal for 10–15% growth to $1.65. On-chain: TVL $2.5 billion, inflows +20%. MKR ($2,800): Support at $2,500–$2,600 (38.2% Fibonacci). Resistance at $2,900–$3,000. RSI at 62 (healthy trend, not overbought). Bollinger Bands: Squeeze signals upward breakout. On-chain: DAI collateral $8 billion, RWA integration +15% TVL. RWA Tokens (aggregate, ~$0.95 equivalent): Support at $0.85–$0.90 (61.8% Fibonacci). Resistance at $1.00–$1.05. RSI at 55 (neutral, bullish divergence). MACD: Histogram +0.12—8% growth momentum. On-chain: Ethereum 57%, treasury inflows $1.2 billion. Overall trend: RWA RSI 56–60, Fibonacci support at $0.90—bullish for Q4. Trading Signals from Advanzia Group Leverage our AI signals for RWA trading: Long ONDO: Enter above $1.30 (RSI >55), stop at $1.20, target $1.65 (Fib 61.8%). Yield 10–15% on DeFi collateral. MKR Arbitrage: On MACD crossover and Bollinger breakout, long with DAI hedge; target $3,000, 5% risk. RWA Aggregate: Buy at Fibonacci support ($0.90), RSI divergence—8–12% upside. Hedge with treasury ETFs. Forecast: $50 billion on-chain by December, with BlackRock at $10 billion. RWA/BTC correlation at 0.7—diversify 10–20% of portfolio. Conclusion: Invest in RWA with Advanzia RWA tokenization at $29 billion (Ethereum 57%) is a breakthrough, led by BlackRock’s BUIDL. Fibonacci and RSI signal a bullish trend for ONDO/MKR. Advanzia’s AI is your tool for signals and on-chain insights. Ready for growth? Join Advanzia Group for alerts. Which RWA is on your radar? Comment below! #RWA #Tokenization #BlackRock #Ethereum #AdvanziaGroup
ULong
by CryptoLifeone
RSI + MACD Cross + Morningstar = A+ RSI down from 65% on M15 + MACD crossover bearish + Morningstar. FVG below. Took this trade just now. RSI was coming down from a high of 65%. Morningstar candle had printed recently (see circle), then MACD crossed over bearish. We are in range conditions so MACD not necessary but it's great to have that confluence as extra confirmation. Plus we have a lovely area of FVG below. London loves to flip up and down in the morning. You can make some great profit catching these moves. I normally trade these on M5, but the setup was cleaner on M15 this morning. Improvements - could have entered earlier (or later) for much better R:R.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miss_GoldFinger
15
Price broke below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD CrossPrice below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD bearish cross - Tokyo. Entered this trade a few hours ago during Tokyo session. Price finally broke through the EMA200 on M15 putting us into sell territory. A shooting star had been printed and the MACD produced a bearish cross. As several of you noted, there’s a clean FVG stack below — I placed my TP at the end of that block. SL was set just above the most recent structure high, giving this trade a strong R:R of nearly 1:9. RSI is already oversold, but in strong trending conditions, it can remain that way for a while. Looks like we’re (hopefully lol) printing the closing leg of a clean M-pattern.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miss_GoldFinger
11