Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin may be Rejected from Channel ResistanceHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The established market structure for Bitcoin remains bullish, with the price action being methodically guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. This pattern has been in effect since the resolution of a prior consolidation, creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The price of BTC has just completed another full upward rotation within this structure and is now positioned at a critical inflection point. Currently, the asset is directly testing the upper boundary of the upward channel 2, a level which forms a powerful confluence of resistance with the horizontal 117500 - 118200 seller zone. In my mind, the resistance of this channel is likely to hold, initiating a corrective phase. I expect a rejection from this area, leading to a downward move that will break the current support level at 115600. I think this decline will continue towards the channel's main support line. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 113250, which aligns with this dynamic support line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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ETH/USDT | ETH Weekly Setup – Strong Demand Pushes Toward $6K!By analyzing the Ethereum chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after entering the $3,800 demand zone, ETH gained strong buying pressure and reached the $4,200 and $4,600 targets.
Currently, Ethereum is trading around $4,500, up about 19%, and I expect further bullish movement soon. The next upside targets are $4,950, $5,500, and $6,000.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin Friday Update: Third Attempt at Breakout📈🚀 Bitcoin Friday Update: Third Attempt at Breakout 🎯
Friday often brings momentum, and this one might not disappoint.
Yesterday, I highlighted the level at $120,737 — the very top of the move. And here we are again, pressing for the third attempt higher inside the same ascending channel I’ve been sharing with you for weeks.
🔑 Current Setup
Entry from the lower band near $110,000 has aged well.
We are now testing the upper red boundary around $120,800.
A clear break above opens the path to:
→ $122,000
→ $138,800 (main technical target)
⚖️ Long vs Short
Long bias remains valid as long as price holds inside the ascending channel.
A short attempt? Technically possible here, but risky .
→ If price breaks above the red resistance line, shorts will need to exit quickly.
Remember, manipulation faked out traders twice before around this zone. But this time it’s October, and cycle compression is on our side.
🌍 Macro Context
Rate hikes continue.
Gold and stock indices have already moved higher.
Bitcoin, historically lagging, may now have catch-up ground to cover.
This aligns with the broader cycle thesis — October is rarely quiet.
🕒 Weekend Outlook
✅ If Bitcoin breaks out → Expect altcoins to light up this weekend.
❌ If Bitcoin fails → Likely a slow, sideways weekend.
But my read? This weekend looks set to be exciting.
💡 Thought of the Day
“Did the Market take a pause for Bears to Load on Shorts?? Or is it Longs that get smashed next?” I think the First!
Trade wisely.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BTC/USDT | BTC Rally +7% Gains – Bulls Still in Control (READ)By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its rally as expected, hitting the $115K target and now reaching up to $117,200, just one step away from the next target at $118K. So far, this analysis has delivered more than 7% gains. I hope you made the most out of it!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 51☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after this recent bullish leg, price has now reached its resistance at $120,827. If this resistance breaks — a zone packed with short orders — Bitcoin could start an extremely sharp and powerful upward leg, essentially triggering a short squeeze. At the moment, Bitcoin is entering a corrective phase; with the start of this correction, price could head down toward its Fibonacci retracement supports, bounce from one of those levels, and then form a new trading structure.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, price has been ranging around the 70 zone and briefly entered overbuy. It is now moving toward the 50 area, its oscillation mean. A break below 50 could deepen the correction, but if support holds, RSI could again head toward the resistance zone near 70 and re-test the overbought boundary.
🎮 The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the breakout at $114,562 to $120,827 highlights several strong support areas. The most important zones for Bitcoin are the 0.236 and 0.382 retracement levels. Support here, followed by a fresh structure, could set up strong trading opportunities.
🕯 The size and volume of buy candles have been exceptionally strong and increasing — something rarely seen in Bitcoin with such a one-sided move to the upside. Now, during this corrective phase, even as selling pressure appears, roughly 70% of that sell volume is being absorbed by buyers. What we must watch closely is how buyers decide to allocate capital from here. If the key Fibonacci levels are lost, we respect the market’s decision and only then consider new trades.
🧠 For a Bitcoin position If you don’t have an open position, I recommend waiting for a new structure to form at critical Fibonacci levels, and only enter after a breakout of that structure.
If you already hold a position, consider partial profit-taking, since USDT dominance has also reached an important support zone.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Road to ATH
Bitcoin violated a major resistance cluster and closed above that
on a daily time frame, yesterday.
The next strong resistance is based on a current all-time high.
123200 level will be the next goal for the buyers after a pullback.
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BTC - Weekly Breakout!📈 BTC has already broken out of its correction phase and is holding strong above $118k.
As long as $118k holds, the next targets sit between $126k–$140k.
Only a drop below $114k would delay the bullish outlook.
Trend remains strongly bullish after the breakout.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Manage risk properly.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.
Bitcoin: Third Time’s a Charm at 120k?Two days ago, in my last BTC analysis, I mentioned that bulls had to defend 112k at all costs. Losing it would have opened the gates toward 100k.
Fortunately for the bullish camp, the defense worked. Bitcoin didn’t just hold the line—it pushed higher and broke through the 115k resistance, which had been reinforced by a falling trendline.
Now, with price trading around 118,600, the market is once again staring at the critical 120k barrier.
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Why 120k Is So Important
• BTC has already tested this level twice this year, only to be rejected both times.
• Each failure sparked corrections, making 120k not just a number but a milestone for sentiment and structure.
• If bulls can finally conquer and hold above it, the door to new all-time highs swings open.
________________________________________
Technical Structure
• 108k: A solid support.
• 112k: The battleground of the past few months—resistance, support, resistance, etc is now reconquered.
• Trendline Break: The falling trendline gave way, giving bulls the momentum they needed.
The chart is building constructively, with strong supports.
________________________________________
Third Time’s a Charm?
Markets don’t often give three chances at the same key level. The third test usually decides the story.
My stance: buy dips. As long as 112k remains intact, I expect BTC to break 120k and head toward a new ATH.
So, will 120k finally fall on the third attempt? My conviction is stronger than before. 🚀
Next Volatility Period: Around October 14th
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(BTCUSDT 1D Chart)
This volatility period is expected to last until October 4th.
Accordingly, the key question is whether it can find support near 119,177.56 and rise.
If not, and the price declines, support near 115,854.56 will be crucial.
If it finds support near 119,177.56 and rises, it is expected to challenge the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133,889.92).
The key areas for maintaining an uptrend are:
- Short-term: 115,854.56-119,177.56,
- Medium-term: 104,463.99-108,353.0,
- Long-term: 87,814.27-93,570.28.
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Thank you for reading.
We wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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Gold Sell Cont.Gold reached a low of 3819 yesterday during NY opening. Gold rebounded to a critical resistance zone at 3864. Bulls seem to be struggling as an instance rejection occurred. I believe gold will continue lower to the support zone of 3800 where I will look for a break downward. Or a rebound back towards 3880 if the 3800 support fails. If 3750 fails we may see a dramatic increase in sell pressure.
- Goodluck, this is not financial advice.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis – 3H ChartWave Structure Outlook
Bitcoin is currently trading near $119,300, where the wave structure suggests a possible Ending Diagonal formation. This leaves us with two bearish scenarios to monitor:
Scenario 1 – Immediate Downside After 1–5 Completion
The 1–5 wave sequence may already be completed.
If so, the market could trigger an immediate downside move, breaking wedge support.
First critical level is $117,600. A clean break below this level would confirm the start of a deeper correction, opening the way toward $115,000 – $113,000.
Scenario 2 – Choppy Ending Diagonal (Light Red Arrows)
Alternatively, BTC may still extend within an Ending Diagonal.
This would mean choppy, back-and-forth price action (small up-and-down moves) before the final breakdown.
In this case, price may retest the $119,800 – $120,000 zone, but the structure remains corrective, and the eventual expectation is still bearish reversal.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $119,800 – $120,000 (upper wedge boundary)
Support: $117,600 (first breakdown level)
Bearish Targets: $115,000 → $113,000
Conclusion
BTC is losing momentum at the end of a 5-wave structure. Whether the market follows Scenario 1 (immediate breakdown) or Scenario 2 (choppy diagonal ending before reversal), the overall outlook is bearish in the short term.
Bitcoin Faces $120K Resistance – Bull Trap or Breakout?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its uptrend of the last 2-3 days as I expected in my previous idea . Today, the announcement of the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change index worked like a catalyst for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is currently surrounded by Resistance zones and a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , and is near the important price of $118,400(Volumetric importance) and the $120,000(Round Number) .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin could be in corrective waves and that the increase of the last few days could only serve as a Bull Trap .
I expect Bitcoin to decline at least to the Support lines .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $113,590-$111,900
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $115,823-$115,087
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,000-$118,000
Note: If Bitcoin falls below the Support zone($114,820-$113,180), we should expect further declines.
CME Gap: $111,355-$109,915
Stop Loss(SL): $120,103
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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PUMPTOBER: History Repeats Faster🎃 PUMPTOBER: History Repeats Faster 🔁📈
October Bitcoin behavior isn't random — it's a 4-year rhythm becoming more efficient.
⏱️ The Historical Compression:
📍 2017: 5x gain in about 60 days
📍 2021: 2.5x gain in about 45 days
📍 2025: 1.25x potential in 30 days? (€97,300 → €121,625)
🔍 Current Setup:
BTC/EUR is holding strong around €97,300 , positioned at the midline of a multi-year ascending channel. The pattern suggests the same October catalyst, but now with adoption-driven compression — smaller multipliers, faster execution.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support holding: €97,300
First resistance: €103,754
Channel target: €121,625–€123,753
My USDT Chart target: $138,888 (in dollars)
📈 The Maturity Thesis:
As Bitcoin transitions from speculation to adoption, volatility diminishes but velocity increases.
🕰️ The 2017 parabola took 60 days.
⚡ The 2021 move compressed to 45 days.
🔥 If the pattern holds, 2025 could deliver its full wave in just 30 days — by month’s end.
This isn’t about chasing 5x returns. It’s about recognizing that a 25% move in a $116K asset = a $29K gain.
The percentage shrinks. The absolute value doesn’t.
📊 Chart Structure:
Three vertical markers show October 1st across cycles. The curve demonstrates logarithmic decay — expected behavior as market cap expands.
Price is currently testing the middle band, with clear room toward the upper channel boundary.
Professor remains structurally bullish while support holds. The cycle hasn't disappeared — it's evolved.
💡 Thought of the Day
“Bitcoin will not do 5x in a month anymore.
Adoption brings speed over size.
The cycle still beats — it just hits different.”
📌 Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal market observations and is not financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All trading carries risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
PUMPTOBER: History Repeats Faster (x1.25 in 30 Days?)🚀 PUMPTOBER: History Repeats Faster (x1.25 in 30 Days?)
Bitcoin doesn't break the pattern — it compresses it.
We've now transitioned from mania to maturity, and the chart says it loud and clear:
⏱️ The Compression Pattern:
📍 October 1st, 2017 — x5 gain in 60 days
📍 October 1st, 2021 — x2.5 gain in 45 days
📍 October 1st, 2025 — x1.25 potential in 30 days?
(Current price: $114,000 → +25% pattern target: $142,750 )
This isn't speculation — it's rhythm.
The cycle continues, but it's compressing: faster timelines, tighter gains, greater capital efficiency.
🔍 Current Structure:
BTC/USD opened October 2025 at $114,000 .
It's currently sitting just under key short-term resistance, with support around $107,851 and Fib confluence at $112,927 .
Professor's roadmap shows:
→ Primary Target : $138,888 (my technical target)
→ Extended Target : $174,840 (if euphoria returns)
→ Macro Support Zones : $107,851 → $100K → $89,313
📊 Chart Elements:
→ Three vertical cyan lines mark each October 1st cycle start
→ Yellow circles highlight the exact price level each October 1st
→ "WE → ARE → HERE" progression visually aligns the cycles
→ Clear visual anchors: 2017 (x5), 2021 (x2.5), 2025 (x1.25?)
📈 The Maturity Thesis:
As Bitcoin matures, its market cap expands — and explosive gains give way to efficient moves .
A 25% rally at this level isn't small — it's a $29,000 gain in 30 days.
In 2017, that required chaos.
In 2025, it might only require structure.
The chart doesn't scream anymore. It whispers. But the message is still bullish.
💡 Thought of the Day
"Cycles don't die — they evolve.
x5 was hype.
x2.5 was influence.
x1.25? That's adoption speed.
Same heartbeat. Just faster...
oh! and Trump needs Jesus to take BTC higher so the debt seems smaller."
📌 Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal market observations and is not financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All trading carries risk. I am just the best you will find in Provlepsis through Prognosis. Just remember to follow the levels: I buy over and I sell/short under all major levels on my chart.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
→ I know you want to know about Alts... we will get there too in the days to come.
Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals StrengthBitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength 🔍📊
This chart shows the BTCUSD/SPX ratio — in simple terms, how Bitcoin is performing relative to the S&P 500. And what do we see? Clear, technical strength .
🔑 Key Observations:
• BTC/SPX is breaking out from a bullish flag structure just above the 17.30–17.48 region
• If this breakout holds, the technical target is ~26.37 — the top of the multi-year channel
• Historically, breakouts from similar zones triggered explosive upside — even during equity pullbacks
🧠 What does it mean?
Even if the S&P 500 corrects (OR LIKELY NOT) Bitcoin can still outperform, not necessarily by skyrocketing, but by falling less, consolidating, or simply staying resilient . That’s the edge of analyzing ratios, not just price.
Macro-wise, Buffett Indicator shows equities are overvalued . If capital rotates out of stocks, BTC could be a top-tier beneficiary — especially if it keeps showing this relative strength.
💬 Final Thoughts:
• Don’t analyze BTC in isolation — compare it to what it competes with
• Ratios give clarity — this one says Bitcoin’s trend vs stocks is up and strong
• Strong support sits at 14.23 , and there's open space toward 26.37 — a zone worth watching
Are you tracking this breakout? What’s your plan for Q4?
Food for Thought 🍃
“Stocks are at all-time highs. Is this the PERFECT time for big money to hedge into Bitcoin? Likely yes.”
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
GBPJPY - 10,000pip Setup ALMOST Ready!In our last setup for GBPJPY, we identified a massive diagonal pattern, with price completing wave 4 and preparing for a multi-year drop into wave 5.
Since then, price has played out exactly as forecasted - we've seen a clean impulse lower for wave 1, followed by an ABC correction for wave 2, which is almost complete.
The Correction:
The correction is made out of 3 major waves = ABC. Wave C appears to be an ending diagonal, which is typically a reversal pattern consisting of 5 waves in the form of an ascending wedge.
We expect to see one final move higher, reaching the 78.6 fibonacci, thus completing the 5 waves of the ending diagonal.
Trade idea:
- Watch for wave 5 of the diagonal to develop
- Once we reach the fib, look for a trendline that we can use for entry
- once entered, stops above the breakout highs
- Targets: TP1: 192, TP2: 180, TP3: 175
- Final Target: Trail for extended move toward wave (3) lows (could be 10,000+ pips over long term)
This sets the stage for the next major leg - wave 3 of 5 - which historically carries the most power and momentum.
What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
BITCOIN Are we going to see 'UPTOBER' this time??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has historically seen incredible rallies during the month of October and even more so those Octobers of the last years of Bull Cycles, like the one we are at now. Those rally phases have been very accurately called 'Uptober' rallies.
More specifically, the last three such Octobers (2021, 2017 and 2013) have been massively bullish, all starting after September corrections (Channel Down patterns). In 2013, October reached the 2.382 Fibonacci extension from September's correction, in 2017 and 2021 it reached the 1.786 Fibonacci ext.
As a result, if 'Uptober' is repeated again, this historic price actions gives us an optimistic Target at $132k (Fib 2.382) and a less optimistic one at $125.5k (Fib 1.786).
Do you think we will get such Uptober one more time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Above All Key Levels, Trend Points Higher Update 02-10-2025🚀 Bitcoin / USDT Update
Bitcoin has broken above all key levels, showing strong momentum.
Main trend has been secured.
Low time frame is confirmed and holding.
Price is currently pushing into new zones with upside pressure.
If this strength continues, BTC could extend toward the 120K region, and a new trend could unlock further upside potential beyond that.
✅ As long as Bitcoin stays above the confirmation zone (~113K support), momentum remains bullish.
Bitcoin Daily Analysis – The Trend Is Our FriendGood morning, Guys,
I’ve prepared a fresh Bitcoin analysis for you.
🔹 First off, I stand firmly behind my long-term targets of **127,000 – 137,000 – 146,000**. I previously shared these levels with you in a weekly analysis.
🔍 Now let’s shift to the 1-day chart:
What is Bitcoin telling us right now?
📉 If the **112,000 level breaks downward**, we could enter a correction phase toward **102,000** or even **99,500**. I expect strong buying interest to return from those zones.
📈 After that, we’re facing a key resistance structure between **123,000 – 120,000**.
But I believe this zone will also be broken—because we’re in an **uptrend**, and…
💬 **The trend is our friend. Never forget that.**






















