BITCOIN SIGNAL: PROBABILITIES SHOWING THIS NOW!! (careful) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! 
 And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. 
 Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin Weekly Elliott Wave & Fibonacci ZonesThis chart presents a comprehensive weekly analysis of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) at a critical juncture following a completed 1-2-3-4-5 Elliott Wave impulsive sequence. The structure now transitions into an ABC corrective phase, with particular focus on the positioning of Wave C in relation to Fibonacci retracement zones.
Elliott Wave Structure: The main bullish cycle is clearly mapped out, beginning from the Wave 2 support low and culminating at the Wave 5 peak. The ABC corrective move is forecast to target classical retracement levels, consistent with historical BTC cycle behavior.
Fibonacci Retracement: Key support zones are defined at the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels ($95,604; $86,747; $77,890), selected using the Wave 2 low as the anchor for maximal relevance. These levels represent statistically dominant retracement targets for the final stage of corrective pullbacks before blow-off tops historically observed in Bitcoin macro cycles.
Volume Profile and Indicators: The chart incorporates volume spikes and momentum measures (MACD, RSI), validating cycle peaks and inflection points. RSI currently hovers near neutral, supporting the thesis of a corrective move without signaling complete oversold conditions. Accumulation/Distribution remains positive, but fading momentum confirms the need for a reset.
Scenario Outlook:
This analysis anticipates a standardized corrective process in line with Bitcoin’s history, where the C wave of ABC retracement is highly likely to resolve within one of the highlighted Fibonacci zones, most commonly between 38.2% and 61.8% retracement. Technical confluence across price structure and indicators suggests these areas as optimal watchpoints for buyers and macro cycle accumulation. Upon completion of this corrective leg, BTC is statistically favored to embark on a renewed impulsive rally, reinforcing strategic accumulation for the next leg toward new ATH.
The chart is designed as an actionable reference for traders and investors aiming to navigate potential volatility and anticipate high-probability reversal zones consistent with previous bull market cycles.
BTC 15M Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 47❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 15-Minutes timeframe .
👀 After several days of decline from the zones we previously identified, we are back to analyze Bitcoin for you. On the 15-minute timeframe, Bitcoin is consolidating above the $108,800 support level, with the upper boundary of this consolidation at $109,760. A breakout above this level could signal the beginning of a new structure and trend. A breakdown below support, however, seems less convincing for a short position, as many traders who feel they missed out are now stepping in to buy. Current support zones are acting as both maker and taker buy levels. Bitcoin requires increased volume to confirm either a breakout or breakdown. With the upcoming weekend, however, risks must be carefully managed due to typically lower market activity.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it is currently holding above the 50 level but facing resistance around 59. A breakout above 59 could enable Bitcoin to break consolidation resistance and push higher. On the other hand, a key zone lies near the oversold boundary; if Bitcoin enters this area, selling pressure could intensify and trigger a deeper correction.
🕯 Candle size and volume on the 15-minute chart remain within a range. We must wait for significant volume inflow—either upward or downward—to confirm direction. Bitcoin is shaping a new structure for the upcoming week, so patience is required until a breakout with decisive green or red candles occurs.
🧠 Trading outlook: It is preferable to wait for market structure to mature, with multiple tests of both support and resistance. The candlestick type used for entry is crucial, along with momentum confirmation at key RSI levels. A breakout above $109,766 combined with RSI surpassing 59 could provide a long setup. A breakdown below $108,795 combined with RSI falling below 30 and stronger selling pressure could trigger a short setup. Keep in mind that weekend trading usually comes with lower volume, which may result in indecisive structures—unless an unexpected global event sparks volatility.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC/USDT Analysis. Buyers Lost Momentum
 Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update. 
Yesterday, Bitcoin followed the less favorable scenario: after testing the $111,300-$112,000 local zone, the price failed to consolidate above it and broke the local low.
Just ~$300 short of the ~$108,400 zone (cluster anomalies), the market entered a sideways range, where clear buyer defense was recorded near the lows.
At the moment, we expect a test of ~$108,400 and a possible recovery toward $110,000. If sellers return from that level, we anticipate a move toward the daily buyer zone, with the first target at $107,000.
 Buy Zones: 
• ~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
• $107,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
 Sell Zones: 
• ~$105,000 (initiative selling volumes)
• $111,500-$113,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $115,000-$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $118,000–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
 
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Roadmap: Can BTC Hold the $108K Before Next Big move!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the Support zone($110,920-$109,900) and Support lines yesterday with the help of a Bearish Marubozu Candle(the Marubozu candle volume was acceptable).
Bitcoin is still moving in the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) and near the important Support line, Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($108,165-$107,000).
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3. Microwave 4 of the main wave 3 is of the Contracting Triangle type, and the main wave 3 is of the extended type.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising and attack the Resistance lines after completing the main wave 3 from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Support zone($108,200-$107,240), and Important Support line.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $110,624-$109,836
Note: If Bitcoin touches $106,800, we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800).
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $111,000, we can expect a renewed rise in Bitcoin.
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One of the indices that helps the Roadmap of Bitcoin and other tokens is the USDT.D%.
USDT.D% currently seems to have managed to break the heavy resistance zone and this is NOT good news for Bitcoin and other tokens, and perhaps a further correction in the crypto market is on the way.
USDT.D%’s roadmap for me is that it is almost in line with today’s analysis of Bitcoin.
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 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. 
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
 Be sure to follow the updated ideas. 
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTC 110K IS A NEW UPTREND FOR LOW TIME FRAME UPDATE 26/09/2025BTC/USDT Update
On the low time frame, BTC is still in a breakdown structure, trading around 109.5K – 109.7K.
However, the market is now approaching a key reversal zone where a new uptrend could start.
Key levels:
110K → first confirmation level. A strong reclaim and close above this would be the first signal for a potential uptrend after more than a day under pressure.
113,296 – 113,892 → main trend resistance zone. Only a breakout and confirmation above this range would flip the structure fully bullish again.
Upside scenario: A move back above 110K confirms low time frame strength, opening the path to test 113K+.
Downside risk: Failure to reclaim 110K keeps BTC under bearish momentum, with risk of continuation toward 108K or lower.
📌 Summary
BTC remains in breakdown mode but is close to reversal territory.
Above 110K → first low time frame uptrend confirmation.
Above 113K+ → stronger trend reversal back into bullish cycle.
Below 110K → downside risk stays active.
BTC – Key Supports Breaking, Bears Gaining ControlAfter reaching a local high around 118K in mid-September, Bitcoin turned lower and yesterday broke decisively below the important 112K support.
The break accelerated the selloff, sending price tumbling into the next key zone around 108,500 – 109,000.
With a clear lower high now in place compared to the 124,500 ATH, the structure doesn’t look favorable for the bulls. On the contrary, there are strong chances of continued downside pressure, with the 100K level standing out as the next major magnet for price.
 Trading Plan: 
•	As long as 112,000 – 112,500 holds as resistance, I maintain a bearish bias.
•	The strategy remains to sell rallies into resistance, keeping targets toward 105K and potentially 100K.
•	Only a decisive reclaim above 112.5K would weaken the bearish case and force me to reassess.
Bitcoin Analysis: Critical Support LevelsBitcoin's current price action presents an interesting technical setup that can be analyzed through the lens of the fan principle. This approach reveals multiple key support levels that deserve attention, particularly the crucial 109-110K zone where Bitcoin currently finds itself.
 Understanding the Fan Principle 
The fan principle is a technical analysis concept that uses multiple trendlines emanating from a common point, creating successive support and resistance levels. In Bitcoin's case, these fan lines have developed over several years and now present a clear hierarchy of critical price levels that the market must respect or break.
The most immediate and important of these levels sits at 109-110K. This zone represents more than just another support level - it serves as the foundation for Bitcoin's current market structure. How Bitcoin reacts at this level will likely determine the near-term direction and set the tone for what could be a significant move in either direction.
 The 8-Year Resistance: Two Rejections and Counting 
A critical element in Bitcoin's current technical picture is the 8-year resistance trendline, clearly visible as the red line on the chart. This long-term resistance has proven its significance through price action, having already rejected Bitcoin twice upon contact. These two previous rejections demonstrate the strength and importance of this multi-year technical level.
The pattern of rejection followed by renewed approach is a classic technical setup. Each time Bitcoin has touched this 8-year resistance, it has been turned away, creating a well-defined ceiling that has influenced price action over an extended period. However, repeated tests of resistance levels often lead to eventual breaks, as the selling pressure at these levels can become exhausted over time.
Should Bitcoin manage to hold the current 109-110K support zone and mount another attempt at this 8-year resistance, a successful break would represent a major shift in market structure. Given the two previous rejections, a third attempt that results in a clean break could open the door to new all-time highs, as it would finally eliminate this long-standing technical barrier that has capped Bitcoin's upward movement.
 Multiple Scenarios at Play 
The fan principle suggests several potential outcomes from the current position. If the 109-110K level holds as support, Bitcoin could use this as a springboard for higher prices, potentially testing and breaking the 8-year resistance. The orange and yellow fan lines extending upward provide potential targets in such a scenario, with projections reaching into 2026 and beyond.
Conversely, a failure to hold the 109-110K zone would shift focus to lower fan support levels. The fan structure provides a roadmap for where Bitcoin might find its next significant support should the current level fail to hold.
 Market Structure Considerations 
The convergence of multiple technical factors at current levels makes this period particularly noteworthy. The fan principle, combined with the 8-year resistance test, creates a situation where Bitcoin faces both significant support below and meaningful resistance above. This compression often leads to decisive moves in one direction or the other.
The long-term nature of these technical levels also suggests that any major move from here could have lasting implications for Bitcoin's price trajectory. Breaks of multi-year technical levels tend to trigger substantial follow-through in the direction of the break.
 Looking Ahead 
Bitcoin's position relative to these fan-based support levels and the 8-year resistance creates multiple potential paths forward. The key will be monitoring how price action unfolds around these critical levels, as they provide a technical roadmap for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
The fan principle analysis suggests that maintaining the 109-110K level is crucial for any bullish continuation, while a break of this support could lead to a test of lower fan levels. Meanwhile, any eventual break of the 8-year resistance would represent a significant technical development with potentially far-reaching implications for Bitcoin's long-term trajectory.
As with any technical analysis, these levels provide guidance rather than guarantees, and market participants should monitor price action closely as it unfolds around these critical zones.
Bitcoin Below $109K, Correction or Buying Opportunity?On September 25, 2025 , Bitcoin dropped below $109,000, the lowest point in the past three weeks. The  $22 billion options expiration  at the end of the month could create short-term selling pressure, but it may also present a  recovery opportunity  once this pressure eases.
BTCUSDT is trading within a clear downward channel, with  lower highs and lower lows . Notably, the price has just faced strong resistance at $109,900, which also aligns with the downtrend line connecting previous highs.
If BTCUSDT cannot break through $109,900, we may see a strong correction towards the nearest support level at $106,000.
With a combination of news and technical analysis, BTCUSDT could continue its downward trend in the near future. Stay prepared and take advantage of the trading opportunities!
Treasury General Account MAJOR Impact on $BTC PriceI’ll be the first to admit I failed to closely follow and analyze the impact of the Treasury General Account (TGA).
We all know it’s a liquidity suck on ₿itcoin and cryptocurrencies, which are the most highly sensitive assets to liquidity, but have you ever dove into the data to see just how impactful it is?
I went through all the refills and calculated how much it drew down the  CRYPTOCAP:BTC  price.
Note how TGA refills also marked cycle tops in 2017 and 2021.
This really is something to closely monitor going forward alongside Total Global Liquidity (TGL).
What I have found is when TGA refills are occurring, they have more impact on the price of BTC than TGL.
We can see this in the current state of market, where TGL is at an ATH and the TGA is currently being refilled.
GOOD NEWS: The TGA refill is just about complete 🏁
Moon on brave soldiers 🌛
BTC  - about to go full retardo - $135kI think the title says it all.  BTC is about to go into a massive rally.  We need to finish out the last little bits of this correction, and go all in.  $135k is going to be an easy next target before the next area of Consolidation. That level of consolidation is unlikely to give much back, which will then unleash full retardo mode taking us to near $164,200.   Time line is about 6-8 months or so as how it is looking to me today.  I will update as we climb. Good Luck.  Especially to the traders holding short positions.  Ouch.  
BTC to $100,000 or lower BTC is pretty much out of options.  The thicker lines on my chart represent the most likely path.   Here in Red.  The thinner line represent the  counter move.  I post these types of charts when the market is at an inflection point, such is the case now.  The simplicity is that we must rally now, and not give up any ground at all or the market tanks to $100,000, and then deteriorates further to $85,300.  So in a 24 - 48 hour period we will know the direction of the market for the next 6 months.  I am seeing this thing breaking down in all kinds of ways, and I am calling a top here to BTC, with the most likely bottoming / consolidation zone coming near $85,300.   Well see.  
ETHUSDT - Faces Downtrend👋Hello everyone, glad to see you again. Let’s take a look at  BINANCE:ETHUSDT  !
Currently, Ethereum is moving in a clear downtrend. After breaking through the support zone, the decline has intensified. The current resistance levels are around 4,300 USD and 4,450 USD. If the support at 4,100 USD is not held, ETH may continue to experience further correction.
 With the Fed's rate cuts and geopolitical issues like the Russia-Ukraine conflict increasing market instability, capital is flowing out of riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. This will continue to put downward pressure on ETH.
 
Unless there's a reversal from this zone, the strategy and scenario mentioned above seem likely. My target is a short-term price decline. What about you?
Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments below.
 Good luck!
Bitcoin Tests Support at $110,500: Will the Downtrend Continue?The chart shows that Bitcoin is in a descending channel, with higher price levels being blocked, creating lower highs. Recent price action has formed a "lower high" pattern and is continuing to move downward.
BTC is currently testing support at the $110,500 level, and if broken, Bitcoin could easily drop to the $109,800 region. This is a level that traders need to watch closely, as if it fails to hold, the price may fall even further.
Recent news about significant liquidations from whales and cautious sentiment from Bitcoin ETFs is pushing the market toward a bearish trend. The actions of large investors, along with the fluctuations of other currencies like the USD, and price adjustments from previous resistance levels further reinforce the downtrend.
Wishing you successful trading!
$BTC Bulls Must Step Up Or Next Target 200MA₿itcoin testing the perimeter of the DANGER ZONE ⚠️
Thankfully closed inside of it.
Notice how well PA respects this zone. 
Bulls really need to step up here, otherwise the long awaited retest of the 200MA awaits  CRYPTOCAP:BTC  at $104k.
It has to retest there eventually nonetheless. 
Note the RSI is nearly at the level we bottomed on Liberation Day.
BTC 110K Low time frame can be the return for Bitcoin📊 Market update low time frame 
If there is good news, then BTC should confirm in 4H max.
If btc is able to gain 110K on the low time frame, there is a good chance we can go with BTC to a new uptrend, which could also mean good news for most of the altcoins.
All eyes are on the 10K in the coming time frame for a confirmation.
BTC can make a downtrend move to get volume with a spike to a low time frame, as we know from BTC.
 IF BTC moves lower, the low time frame can change to 109800 
110K can be the reason for 113K, and a confirmed main trend means a positive BTC
We will follow it step by step.
Volatility Period: Around September 19th (September 18th-20th)
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(BTCUSDT 1D Chart)
This volatility period is around September 19th (September 18th-20th).
As this period of volatility progresses, we need to examine the direction in which the price deviates from the 115,854.56-119,177.56 range.
As previously mentioned, the key ranges are 87,814.27-93,570.28 and 104,463.99-108,353.0.
Therefore, if the price falls below 115,854.56, we need to check for support near these key levels.
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It's perhaps natural for trading volume to decrease after a new ATH (Any New High).
If a new ATH (Any New High) is met with high trading volume, it could indicate a significant amount of profit-taking, increasing the likelihood of a downward trend.
Therefore, I don't think it's wise to interpret the current decline in trading volume as a sign of a decline.
We're using the On-By-Volume (OBV) indicator, which helps us understand the movement of trading volume, so we can roughly gauge the current trading volume trend.
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The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 115854.56-119177.56, and the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is 116259.91-119086.64.
Since these two resistance levels overlap, a breakout above this level suggests a potential surge.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
We wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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