BTC Faces Major Resistance Before FOMC – Breakdown or Breakout?As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has followed the anticipated bullish and bearish trends and has reached all of its targets (full target).
Now, the question is whether Bitcoin can sustain above the $90,000 level. Stay tuned!
At the moment, Bitcoin is moving near the resistance zone($90,600-$89,300) and around the 50_SMA(Daily), and the resistance line.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) within the ascending channel.
I expect that Bitcoin might not break through this resistance zone($90,600-$89,300) on the first attempt and could start to decline, potentially dropping to around $88,133. If the bearish momentum continues, we might see even lower targets.
First Target: $88,133
Second Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $87,000-$85,630
Stop Loss(SL): $91,823(Worst)
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $92,000-$91,000
CME Gap: $93,060-$92,940
In the coming hours, markets face the Fed Funds Rate decision and Powell’s press conference, which typically bring elevated volatility. If the Fed holds rates at 3.75% as expected, the initial reaction may be muted, but real movement will depend on forward guidance. Historically, when outcomes align with expectations, gold tends to stay supported amid uncertainty, especially with U.S. government shutdown risks in the background, while Bitcoin remains sensitive to liquidity signals and risk sentiment. Any shift in Powell’s tone — whether more cautious or more hawkish — can quickly drive sharp moves.
⚠️ Traders should expect volatility both at the release and during the press conference, avoid impulsive entries, and prioritize risk management.
Note: Rising tensions in the Middle East could quickly intensify Bitcoin's downward trend
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTC
BTC - Building BlocksRight now, BTC is short-term bearish, trading below the green structure around $90,000. As long as price remains under this level, upside momentum stays capped and the market is vulnerable to more downside.
The key risk level is clear:
If BTC breaks below the lower blue trendline, this would signal a shift into a long-term bearish phase, opening the door for a deeper move toward the $80,000 area.
On the flip side, there’s still a bullish path:
If BTC manages to reclaim and hold above the $90,000 structure, momentum flips back in favor of the bulls, with price targeting the upper bound of the wedge near $100,000.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BITCOIN isn't diverging from 2022 at all!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to replicate the 2022 Bear Cycle almost in the exact same fashion. This is of course a concept we introduced back in October for the first time and so far it has fulfilled all conditions set in its way.
The most recent is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection, which in 2022 happened on March 02 and after another Support test, BTC rebounded for the final rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As mentioned before, that could be around $100k.
Assuming the 2026 Bear Cycle continues to repeat the 2022 price action, the next Support level should be around $70k, then $51-52k and finally around $45000.
So do you think it will unfold like 2022? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC still within range.BTC has confirmed a bearish short-term structure with a lower high followed by a lower low. The break of the rising diagonal signals momentum shifting against bulls.
Price is now trading below the high-volume node, suggesting acceptance at lower levels rather than a quick reclaim. This puts pressure on any upside attempts.
Key levels
Major resistance remains near the prior supply zone, where price was previously rejected.
BTC is currently reacting inside a high-demand area, where buyers are expected to defend.
Momentum
Momentum is showing early bullish divergence from oversold conditions, opening the door for a short-term relief bounce.
However, momentum is still in a weak regime, any upside is corrective unless structure flips.
Thesis
Below resistance, the bias remains bearish continuation.
A bounce from demand is possible, but without a reclaim, it’s likely a sell-the-bounce environment.
Watching how BTC reacts here will be key.
Bitcoin at Key Support as Trendline Reclaim Comes Into FocusBTC is currently reacting from a major support zone after a sharp corrective move from the previous highs. Price has moved back into a historically important demand area, where buyers have stepped in before. This zone aligns with higher time frame structure support and acts as a key level for market stability.
The most important factor to watch now is the long term ascending trendline. A successful reclaim and hold above this trendline would signal that bullish structure is being restored and could open the path for a continuation toward the upper resistance range shown on the chart.
If price fails to hold above the current support and loses momentum, a deeper retracement toward the lower demand zone remains possible. This area still sits within the maximum corrective range without breaking the broader market structure.
Bitcoin is approaching a critical decision point where volatility is expected to increase. The next move will likely define the medium term trend direction.
BTC/USD: Strategic Re-Accumulation Near Institutional FloorBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently navigating a high-confluence consolidation phase on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of corrective pressure that saw prices pull back from monthly highs near $98,000, the market is attempting to establish a stable base. Current technical indicators suggest a transition from distribution to a potential re-accumulation phase as institutional interest remains concentrated around critical psychological levels.
Detailed Technical Breakdown:
Institutional Demand Zone: A primary demand floor is firmly established between $87,000 and $87,500. This zone has historically acted as a critical support area, successfully absorbing sell-side pressure during recent market volatility.
Mid-Range Consolidation: The pair is currently trading in a tight range near $88,200, just below the psychologically important $90,000 mark. Higher lows formed in recent sessions indicate that buyers are becoming more resilient.
Projected Trajectory: As illustrated by the black forecast path, we anticipate a strategic "stop-run" or liquidity sweep towards the $86,750 region to clear out late-long positions before a decisive move higher.
Bullish Objectives:
Primary Target: $89,716 – This level aligns with the next major liquidity pool and recent structural peaks.
Major Objective: $90,500 – A significant milestone located within the upper institutional supply zone.
Risk Parameters: The bullish outlook is protected by a structural stop-loss level below $84,000. A decisive close below this level would invalidate the current turnaround thesis and could extend losses toward $80,500.
Trading Summary: This setup follows "Buy the Dip" logic within a prevailing long-term uptrend. Traders should monitor for bullish price action confirmation, such as a strong rejection wick at the $87,000 base, before targeting the expansion toward the $90,000 region.
SOLUSDT - Bears increased pressure after retesting resistance BINANCE:SOLUSDT bounces off trend resistance and updates its local minimum to 122.4. A bearish phase is developing in the market, and a small correction is possible before the fall.
The daily timeframe indicates a crypto winter, a downtrend, and weak buying power due to capital outflows and a weak fundamental background.
Bitcoin is testing 90K and has once again been rejected by the resistance zone. Liquidation and a fall to the intermediate support zone have formed. Altcoins reacted aggressively to this impulse.
Resistance levels: 126.6, 130.5
Support levels: 123.0
SOLANA has two key levels: 123.0, closing below which could trigger a sell-off and a drop to 116.7. And resistance at 126.6, which acts as a zone of interest. It is possible that altcoins may test resistance in search of liquidity.
Best regards, R. Linda!
3-DRIVE SEEMS MORE PROBABLE NOWMorning folks,
So, everything goes with the plan. Congrats, this week we could get 3rd grabber in a row on weekly chart, that suppose downside acceleration. Everything mostly stands the same, but in the light of recent events, for me 3-Drive pattern down to 85K now looks more probable than reverse H&S, discussed last time.
EVen more, I'm not sure that market will reverse on 85K. Some reaction - maybe, but real reversal hardly likely...
USDMXN CRACKING!After 17 long yeasrs the USD is about to start breaking down against the MXN.
I been warning about FOREX $ pairs for a while now.
I include BTC GOLD bc BTC was supposed to be the "Anti Gov $" only to get crushed worse than the $.
I guess that proves my point. Something that is mostly denominated in $ cannot be "Anti $" by definition. In other words, since BTC is made up mostly of $, when the time comes to sell $s then BTC will be sold in order to get out of $s and buy something more valuable.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in raw truth, not hype.
Bitcoin Loves Bulls Right Now… Until This HappensYello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin — Bearish Bigger Picture, But a Short-Term Reversal?When it comes to the overall outlook for BTC, I remain far from optimistic and continue to hold a bearish bias on the medium to longer term.
That said, markets move in waves — and based on last week’s price action, I’m now expecting a short-term upside reversal.
🔎 What Changed on the Chart
After breaking below the flag formation that had defined price action since late November, BTC dropped into the 86k zone, where it formed a local low.
What’s important is what happened next:
- price reversed quickly
- and moved back up to retest the broken flag structure
Under normal circumstances, a clean break from a continuation pattern like this should lead to acceleration to the downside.
The fact that this acceleration did not happen is, in itself, information.
👉 This behavior strongly suggests the possibility of a false break.
⚖️ Two Time Horizons, Two Different Biases
To be very clear:
Medium-term:
My bearish view remains unchanged, with 75k still my primary downside objective.
Short-term:
The current structure opens the door for a counter-trend long, especially if price continues to hold above the recent low.
📌 Trading Idea (Short-Term Only)
On the short-term horizon, I will look to:
👉 buy dips
The logic is simple and tactical:
- downside risk is relatively well-defined
- upside potential could extend toward the 95k zone
That gives a potential risk-to-reward of up to 1:5, which is more than acceptable for a counter-trend setup.
✅ Conclusion
BTC remains a bearish market on the bigger picture — but short-term price behavior matters.
Right now, the lack of downside follow-through after the flag break increases the probability that we are seeing a temporary upside reversal.
Trade the timeframe you’re in — and manage risk accordingly. 🚀
Bitcoin Is Trapped Between Supply and Demand Bitcoin is currently trading near $88,900, positioned cleanly between a well-defined demand zone around $86,400–$86,800 and a higher-timeframe resistance zone near $90,800–$91,200. This is not a trending environment yet it is a compression phase, where price is rotating and building liquidity rather than committing to direction.
The recent rebound from the demand zone was technically constructive. Price reclaimed short-term structure and stabilized above the moving average, but upside momentum has remained controlled rather than impulsive. This tells us that buyers are present, but not yet aggressive. At the same time, sellers have failed to push price back into the demand zone, reinforcing the idea of balance and acceptance within the current range.
Structurally, Bitcoin continues to coil between these two key levels. Overlapping candles and reduced volatility signal that the market is absorbing orders, not rejecting price. This behavior often precedes expansion, but direction will only be confirmed once price commits outside the range.
The bullish scenario requires a clean breakout and sustained acceptance above the resistance zone around $90,800–$91,200. If that occurs, the next upside reference shifts toward the $91,900–$92,000 region, where price discovery could accelerate. Until that acceptance is seen, upside attempts remain reactive rather than structural.
On the downside, invalidation is straightforward. A decisive breakdown below the demand zone around $86,400 would invalidate the current compression and shift focus toward a broader corrective phase.
For now, Bitcoin is doing exactly what it should here waiting.
Range defined. Liquidity building. Let price confirm the resolution.
BTC/USDT 1H Chart Review🔍 Market Structure
• Price is in an ascending channel (higher lows, higher highs).
• Currently, we are in the middle of the channel, after a rejection from above.
⸻
📉 Price Action
• 90,500–90,800 → strong resistance (upper zone + previous rejections).
• The last upward impulse has been reversed, but without breaking the structure.
• Retracement candles are relatively short → no aggressive supply.
⸻
🧱 Key Levels
Resistance:
• 90,500 – local high / reactions
• 91,600 – upper band of the channel (target at breakout)
Support:
• 88,650 – key mid-support (very important decision level)
• 87,400 – lower band of the channel (must hold for bulls)
⸻
📊 RSI Stochastic
• RSI Stochastic in the oversold zone (<20)
• This is a signal for a potential bounce, but:
• candle confirmation needed (e.g., bullish engulfing / higher low)
⸻
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Baseline Scenario (more likely)
• Defense at 88,600
• Rebound up the channel
• Test at 90,500
• On breakout → 91 600
👉 Typical buy-the-dip setup
⸻
🔴 Negative scenario
• 1H close below 88,600
• Quick move to 87,400
• Loss of 87,400 = structure changes to corrective
What Looks Like Weakness Is Actually Trend RepairHello traders,
Bitcoin is currently trading near eighty-eight thousand nine hundred, following a sharp downside sweep that briefly broke below the prior support zone before being aggressively reclaimed. That breakdown did not transition into acceptance. Instead, price was quickly absorbed and pushed back above support, signaling a failed breakdown and liquidity grab, not the start of sustained bearish control.
The recovery that followed was decisive. Price rotated back into a well-defined ascending channel, reclaiming both structure and directional bias. This behavior is important: strong trends often shake out late sellers before resuming higher. The impulsive rebound from the lows suggests demand stepped in with intent, repairing the structure rather than merely bouncing.
Since reclaiming the channel, price has shifted into a controlled consolidation phase near the mid-channel region. This pause should not be mistaken for rejection. Overlapping candles and reduced volatility indicate acceptance and rebalancing, allowing momentum to reset after the sharp recovery. As long as price continues to hold above the reclaimed support and channel base, the broader bullish structure remains valid.
Looking ahead, the upper boundary of the ascending channel near $91,000 stands out as the next key technical reference. This zone represents a likely reaction area, not a guaranteed target, where price may pause again if reached.
Invalidation remains clear. A sustained loss of the reclaimed support zone and a breakdown back below the channel would challenge the current bullish bias and reopen the door for deeper corrective price action.
For now, the message is straightforward:
The breakdown failed. Structure was reclaimed. Trend repair is in progress let behavior confirm continuation.
BTC 1W Update: Leaning bullishBitcoin continues to lean bullish from a higher-timeframe perspective, even after all the recent volatility.
What the weekly is telling us:
• Price held trend support and respected the rising structure
• BTC is consolidating above the mid-range, not below it
• Repeated acceptance around this zone shows buyers defending value
• Momentum is compressing, which often precedes expansion
The key difference now versus earlier selloffs is where price is stabilizing. Instead of rolling over, BTC is building a base while holding higher lows. That’s constructive behavior, especially within a broader range.
As long as:
• Trend support holds
• Price remains accepted above the mid-range
The bias stays upward, with the range highs back in play. This doesn’t mean straight up – chop and fakeouts are part of the process – but structurally, BTC is acting like a market preparing for continuation, not failure.
Let price do the work. Bullish lean, patient execution.
Bitcoin 4H Correction May Be Ending | Potential Move Toward 100KOn the 4-hour Bitcoin chart, based on my personal strategy, I expect a bullish reaction from the ~82,000 USD zone.
If market structure confirms, price could move toward the 100,000 USD area as a minimum target.
At this stage, I am waiting for a proper entry trigger according to my strategy rules and have not entered a position yet.
This is a personal analysis and not financial advice.
#EURJPY , Gonna be sweet with us ?📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #EURJPY
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
Not a Quality Setup , if it Moves Perfectly will take it , if not .... just let it go
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Need Valid momentum Structure over the POI
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
THE BRUTAL TRUTH ABOUT GOLD Stop listening to the "price targets." They are all BULLSHIT. 🚫
The current move in Gold is a once-in-history event. Nobody knows where the ceiling is because there is no ceiling in a system that's breaking.
📍 THE NUMBERS: $4k? $8k? $10k? It's all on the table.
📍 THE STRATEGY: If you’re holding, DO NOT LET GO. If you’re out, find your entry NOW.
THE WARNING: ⚠️
This isn't a "bull market" celebration. It’s a warning. The aggressive buying tells us that the whales think SOMETHING BIG is coming. This isn't about local skirmishes ( war between Iran and US , or Greenland )—it’s about a global shift that changes everything. 📉🌍
We’ve lived through enough "historic events" from Corona to wars. We all hope for peace, but GOLD is screaming that the storm isn't over.
Protect yourself. The numbers don't lie. 💎🙌
#GOLD #XAUUSD #MARKETALERT #THEBIGONE #FINANCE2026 #HOLD
LINK Break & Retest SetupWe're closely watching Chainlink (LINK) as it approaches the critical $12.00 resistance zone. This level has capped price action multiple times, and a confirmed breakout with a successful retest could signal the start of a fresh bullish leg.
📈 Trade Plan
We'll be entering a long spot position on the break and retest of $12.00. Patience is key—confirmation is everything in this kind of setup.
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: $13.00 – $14.50
• TP2: $16.00 – $17.00
🔻 Stop Loss: Just below $11.35
This setup aligns with classic breakout-retest price action and will be monitored closely over the coming sessions.
Bitcoin at Key Support – Correction Complete or Another Drop!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has continued its correction in recent days due to the following key reasons:
1. U.S. Government Shutdown Risk: Political deadlock over the federal budget deadline (January 30) has triggered a "risk-off" sentiment in global markets, pushing investors away from volatile assets like Bitcoin.
2. Trade Tensions and Tariff Threats: Trump's threats of 100% tariffs on Canadian imports have strengthened the U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY DXY), acting as a headwind for Bitcoin and contributing to broader market declines.
3. ETF Outflows and Market Fundamentals: Net outflows of about $6.1B from Bitcoin spot ETFs over the past three months, combined with on-chain realized losses for holders and leveraged position liquidations, have intensified selling pressure.
4. Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East: Escalating conflicts, including risks around Iran and oil( FX_IDC:USDBRO ) supply disruptions, have amplified global uncertainty and risk aversion, leading to further sell-offs in cryptocurrencies as investors seek safer assets.
Let’s dive into the technical analysis of Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe to see how it’s performing. Stay tuned!
As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin followed the anticipated bullish and bearish movements, reaching its targets (Targets Done).
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near a support zone($86,420-$83,820) and has also created a new CME Gap($89,205-$88,385) with the start of this trading week.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin has completed its main wave 5 near the support zone($86,420-$83,820) and support line, so we can now expect a corrective wave.
Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between two consecutive valleys.
I expect that after a correction, Bitcoin will resume its upward movement and potentially reach the first target of $88,667. With strong bullish momentum, we could see Bitcoin move even higher in the short term.
Note: Bitcoin, like other dollar-denominated assets, is influenced by various factors, including political statements and news. Therefore, it’s crucial to manage risk carefully and stay prepared for any scenario. Make sure to keep an eye on updates.
I’d love to hear your thoughts on Bitcoin. Do you think the downward trend will persist, and how far do you expect it to drop?
First Target: $88,667
Second Target: $89,401
Third Target: $90,231
Stop Loss(SL): $85,527(Worst)
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,450-$85,600
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $88,890-$88,400
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTC: The Chart Designed to Wreck You (102k Incoming?)This current correction is extremely deceptive. I have re-labeled this chart more than 8 times, and this is arguably one of the trickiest price actions I’ve seen in my trading experience.
I am sharing this strictly for educational purposes only.
Honestly, trading a complex correction like this is reckless. I see people calling "longs" just because the correction is technically an uptrend or because of some EMA signal— Trading the direction of a correction drastically lowers your win rate compared to trading the main trend. This price action is designed to liquidate reckless and inexperienced people—you won't see it coming.
The structure might be shaping up as a Expanding Triangle to complete a W-X-Y correction.
* **W:** Zigzag
* **X:**
* **Y:** Expanding Triangle (Current)
Unlike standard triangles that contract, this structure shows increasing volatility. In these specific "Expanding" setups, the final Wave E often exhibits a blow-off top expanding significantly in price.
Potential Target:
If the "blow-off" play out, we could see a thrust toward **98,000 – 102,000**
Critical Levels & Invalidation:
- Watch **87,777**. If this level breaks, assume Wave D is extending.
* **Invalidation:** If **84,398** is broken, then this entire triangle idea is invalid.
* **C-5 Confirmation:** If the **80,604** is lost, it confirms C-5 is underway.
Bitcoin versus Gold 3DAY Chart almost at support!Bitcoin/Gold on 3DAY timeframe is approaching key support at the 1.272 fib extension level, which is also a bullish butterfly harmonic target. Very likely we see some kind of bounce at least in the short term, with potential for a massive reversal to new highs for BTC against Gold coming if the harmonic pattern plays out.






















