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BITCOIN Has this huge Bearish Divergence started the Bear Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to be under heavy pressure in the past 4 weeks since the October 06 All Time High (ATH) and finds itself battling to hold the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. That trend-line has been basically the Support of this Bull Cycle since March 2023, and acted as the most optimal long-term buy level. ** Has the Bull Cycle ended? ** However this Bull Cycle may have very well come to an end already as the 1W RSI has been long exhibiting the same kind of bearish pattern (Lower Highs trend-line), while also having completed the 4-year Cycle, that all previous Bull Cycles formed on their respective tops. This is a huge Bearish Divergence formation as it goes against the price's Higher Highs, indicating trend exhaustion. As you can see that 1 RSI Lower Highs trend-line formed the November 2021, December 2017 and December 2013 Cycle Tops. Even worse, the current Lower Highs trend-line has been going on since the March 11 2024 High. If BTC closes a 1W candle below its 1W MA50, it has greater probabilities to confirm the start of the new Bear Cycle as all previous ones did on such break-out. ** If yes, how much can it drop? ** Now, it might not be too relevant at this time yet, but as far as how low the Bear Cycle can go to before it bottoms, there are three potential levels of interest where long-term investors can Dollar Cost Average (DCA). The January 2015 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Then the December 2018 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bottom. The last Bear Cycle has its bottom below the 1W MA200 and on the next Fib in line, the 0.5 level. The decline on each Bear Cycle that followed decelerated and was less than the previous (-86.70% to -84.19% to -77.22%). If the new Bear Cycle has already started then the first level for a potential bottom is again the 0.382 Fib around $58000 where contact may potentially be made with the 1W MA200 as well. If it follows the previous Bear Cycle and bottoms on the 0.5 Fib, it will also be below the 1W MA200 around $45000. If on the other hand it goes a Fib level further, as the last two Cycles did, we are looking at the 0.618 Fib as a potential strong bottom candidate around $35000. That will also be a -70.76% decline from the Top, which will be -7% less than the previous Bear Cycle, which is also the difference that the 2022 Bear Cycle had from the 2018 one. So what do you think? Has the Bull Cycle ended already and if yes, how low can the new Bear Cycle go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
20
BTC - Bouncing From the Sweet Spot?⚔️Bitcoin is currently sitting at a high-confluence zone , where the daily support perfectly aligns with the lower bound of the ascending wedge. This intersection makes it a prime area to look for potential bullish reactions. 🏹As long as this support holds, I’ll be looking for long opportunities, expecting BTC to push higher within the wedge structure. The first target for this bullish move lies around the upper bound of the wedge, which conveniently lines up with the supply zone near $122,000, a key resistance to watch. 📉If the support fails, the structure could shift, but for now, bulls still have the technical edge. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
15
BTCUSDT Breakdown Ahead: Sellers Eye $108K SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup. Market Analysis BTCUSDT has been consolidating within a well-defined range, facing multiple rejections from the $121,700 Resistance Zone. After several failed breakout attempts above this area, the market shifted into a bearish phase, confirming sellers’ dominance. The structure now forms a descending triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal. We can see multiple breakouts and retests throughout the move, with price respecting both the Triangle Resistance Line and Support Line. The most recent rejection from the upper boundary of the triangle shows that buyers are losing momentum, while sellers are gradually regaining control. Currently, BTCUSDT is approaching the Triangle Support Zone around $110,000–$108,800, a crucial level where previous reactions occurred. A clean break below this support area could accelerate the downside move, confirming a continuation toward the lower Support Zone near $105,000–$103,000. My Scenario & Strategy In my view, BTC remains in a vulnerable technical position. If the price closes below the $108,800 level, this would likely trigger a fresh bearish impulse, leading to deeper declines. Until a confirmed breakout happens, short-term traders may look for retest entries after breakdowns for better risk-to-reward setups. However, if BTC finds strong support and rebounds from this level, we could see a short-term correction toward $114,000–$116,000, which would act as a retest of the Triangle Resistance Line before further decline. For now, my bias remains bearish, expecting continuation to the downside as long as price stays below the $114,000–$116,000 resistance zone. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Short
by Ratner
9
Bitcoin Approaches Key Resistance — Bulls Eye 117K BreakoutHello traders, I want to share my view on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). The current market structure shows a gradual recovery phase following the previous breakdown from a large range near the 118,000 level. After a sharp decline and retest of the 106,400 support zone, the market found strong buying interest, forming a new ascending channel structure. This setup has been characterized by steady higher highs and higher lows, confirming the presence of short-term bullish momentum. At this stage, BTCUSD is approaching a key resistance level around 116,000, which aligns with both the upper boundary of the current channel and the prior horizontal resistance zone — a region that previously acted as a strong supply area. This confluence suggests that the market could face a short-term pause or pullback before attempting another bullish impulse. My primary scenario anticipates that if the price holds above the support line near 113,000–113,500, buyers may maintain control and push toward the 117,000 target (TP1) — the next logical resistance level and the top of the channel. However, a clear rejection from 116,000 without follow-through could open the door to a corrective pullback toward 110,500–111,000 for another demand test. In my opinion, the structure remains bullish in the short term, as long as the lower boundary of the ascending channel holds. Therefore, I continue to favor a long scenario with a TP at 117,000, expecting a potential breakout or test of the upper resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
18
BCHUSDT → Consolidation ahead of news. Target 600?BINANCE:BCHUSDT.P is consolidating above key resistance. Consolidation is forming ahead of news. Are the bulls in play? Bitcoin is consolidating, trading above key support at 111650. News ahead, a positive outcome could support the market, including altcoins... As for BCHUSDT, the coin is breaking through the strong resistance zone of 549.15 as part of a bullish trend and is forming consolidation in the range of 549-570. A liquidity pool has formed below 549. There is a high probability of a long squeeze before growth. Resistance levels: 570, 600, 612 Support levels: 549.15, 533, 511.25 The market is bullish, which is clearly visible on the D1 timeframe. After a strong rally, the coin is entering a consolidation phase, which is forming above the previously broken resistance. A retest of support could trigger growth in the direction of the trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
Bitcoin Hits PRZ – Time for a Correction?As I expected yesterday , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) did drop down to the Support zone($114,300-$113,000) at the lower line of the ascending channel and then started rising again today. Both Long and Short positions basically hit their Targets . At the moment, Bitcoin is moving near a Resistance zone($118,740-$115,740) , the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($118,224-$116,281) . From an Elliott Wave perspective , it seems like Bitcoin is completing the microwave 4 of the microwave C of the main wave Y . There's a noticeable Negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between the last two peaks, which suggests some weakening momentum . I expect that Bitcoin won't break through the Resistance zone($118,740-$115,740) easily and may fall back at least to the Support zone($114,300-$113,000) . If it drops below the 100_SMA(Daily) and 50_SMA(Daily) , we could see a deeper decline and possibly the CME Gap($113,495-$110,990) being filled. Note: Another point to mention is that although the SPX500( TVC:SPX ) has been hitting new all-time highs as the new week began, BTC has shown a bit less correlation with it in the last day. So if the S&P 500 undergoes a correction, Bitcoin might actually see a sharper pullback, which is something to watch out for as a potential negative factor for Bitcoin. Note: Also, keep in mind that tomorrow, some important U.S. economic indices will be released, which could also influence the market. So definitely factor that into your considerations. Note: In general, the crypto market in the past couple of weeks has been heavily influenced by news around U.S.-China tariffs. Any headline can cause Bitcoin and other tokens to swing up or down, so keep an eye on those geopolitical headlines. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,033-$104,090 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
20
BITCOIN SIGNAL: SECRET PATTERN ABOUT TO BREAKOUT (massive)!!!!!!Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics .
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
5
#BTC/USDT 4HOUR CHART UPDATE !!BTCUSDT 4H Chart Analysis Pattern: The chart shows a double bottom at the $106,000–$107,000 zone (circled as points 1 and 2). Price bounced strongly after retesting this support region twice. Support & Resistance: The green box highlights the major support zone, which has held firm and led to a reversal. Resistance remains at the gray band around $112,000–$113,000. Setup: After confirming the double bottom, BTC has reclaimed $110,000 and is pushing toward resistance. The green bars suggest a bullish projection, targeting higher levels toward $117,000–$123,000 if BTC sustains momentum above resistance. Summary: BTC is bullish above $110,000, with a double bottom support in place. A successful breakout above local resistance could accelerate the uptrend in the coming sessions.​ DYOR | NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Could we see a reversal on the Bitcoin?The price is reacting off the pivot which acts as a multi swing low support nd could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 107,360.16 1st Support: 103,408.67 1st Resistance: 112,683.68 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by IC Markets
BTCUSDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis !!BTCUSDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis Support and Trend: BTC has bounced off the ascending trendline and is currently holding above the $110,000-$111,000 support area (represented by the gray band). The price is respecting both diagonal trendline support and horizontal support, which is a positive sign for bullish momentum. Key Levels: Immediate resistance is at $112,000-$113,000. A clear break above this area could create room for further growth towards the next major resistance at $123,250-$124,000 (marked at the top). Outlook: As indicated by the green arrow, the chart suggests a bullish scenario if this area holds, with the potential for upward acceleration towards the $123,000 area. DYOR | NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Ethereum Game Plan - TDLRKZ MODELEthereum Game Plan - TDLRKZ MODEL 📊 Market Sentiment On 29/10, the FED lowered rates by 25BPS, as expected. However, Powell’s comments introduced uncertainty regarding another cut in December, stating that further policy moves depend on incoming data. Interestingly, one FED member dissented, preferring no cut this cycle — a shift from September when all members supported easing. Following the statement, rate-cut expectations dropped from 95% to 68%, prompting traders to take profits and hedge, creating a short-term bearish sentiment across markets. Despite this, the mid-to-long term outlook remains bullish, given the broader liquidity cycle and easing policy bias. 📈 Technical Analysis Ethereum is currently accumulating inside a well-defined range. Price failed to sustain above the $4950 range high and has started retracing toward the HTF bullish trendline, a potential reaction zone aligning with prior liquidity pools and confluences. If price holds around this zone, ETH could seek the range high again once momentum returns. 📘 Model in Use – Trendline Deviation with HTF LR into Key Zone (TDLRKZ Model) This model identifies setups where price deviates from HTF trendlines while interacting with liquidity zones and key structural levels. The goal is to align HTF context with LTF confirmation for high-probability trend continuation setups. Model Steps: 1️⃣ Identify the HTF trend direction and only trade in that direction. 2️⃣ Mark the HTF bullish trendline supporting price. 3️⃣ Spot HTF Key Zones likely to act as reaction areas. 4️⃣ Locate nearby liquidity pools or order concentrations. 5️⃣ Wait for confluence: when all align, confirm with a 4H market structure break for entry. 📌 Game Plan Looking for ETH to retrace into $3350 and reject from that level. If a 4H break of structure occurs and daily candle closes above $3350, this will trigger a long-biased setup. 🎯 Setup Trigger → 4H structure break after tagging $3350 → Daily close above $3350 📋 Trade Management → Entry: After confirmation above $3350 → Stop Loss: Below swing low that caused 4H break of structure → Targets: TP1: $4150 (EQ) TP2: $4550 TP3: $4950 (Range high) → Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is reached. 💬 Check my Substack for deeper macro and sentimental breakdowns — free subscriptions are open. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always DYOR before trading.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Versus Monetary Policy Chart shows: —Bitcoin/Gold —20-Week SMA —SMA Slope Z-Scores* —Fed Funds —QE & QT Bitcoin/Gold broke support of its 20W SMA for the 6th time in Bitcoin's history while the SMA slope normalizer* value reached zero (the long SMA rolled over), the Fed enters a rate-cutting cycle, and QT is ending. These could represent increased bearish probabilities for the Btc/Gold ratio on medium and long timeframes. *Slope Normalizer: The differentiated (positive and negative values are separated before subsequent calculations are made with the data) normalized z-scores (z-scores below 1 are muted while z-scores above 1 are not muted, in order to emphasize unusual values.) When used with the SMA as an input, this essentially shows the normalized values of the rates of change of the SMA (on this chart, it is showing the normalized slope of the long-term simple moving average.)
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by MarkLefevre
BTC Building Momentum — 112K+ Zone ON WAY.Bitcoin has held strong within the recent volume area, showing solid support and renewed buying pressure. After rebounding from the lower levels near $106K–$108K, BTC is now pushing upward and appears on track toward the first target zone around $112K–$114K. 📈 Market Outlook: Strong recovery from the volume area confirms short-term buyer control. Resistance lies between $111.6K and $113.3K, marking the first target zone for this upward move. Sustained momentum above $109.8K could trigger acceleration toward $114K+ in the next sessions. 📊 Observation: Volume has started to align with bullish movement — if this continues, BTC could retest upper resistance and possibly extend toward $116K. However, a pullback below $108.6K would suggest consolidation before another attempt higher. 💬 Summary: BTC is on its way toward the first target zone above $112K, showing growing strength after reclaiming key volume support. Momentum remains positive as long as price holds above the mid-range.
Long
by SatochiTrader
BTC-Moment of TruthBTC-Moment of Truth ⚖️ Zoom out to the #Bitcoin Weekly — Three distinct ranges, three tops. Each time BTC broke above one… it eventually came back to retest that range top as support — right under the Bull Market Support Band (BMSB). This latest dip? No different. BTC has returned to retest the prior range top once again. If the Satoshi Halving Prophecy is to be fulfilled — and new ATHs are to emerge this year — then this weekly + monthly close must reclaim the BMSB with strength. 👉 A close above $114K (ideally above $115.7k-last week’s high) = Higher High + Bottoming Tail = Momentum Reversal. Fail here, and the range expands lower. Reclaim it… and the prophecy breathes. Stay Sharp... We are at the Moment of Truth!
Long
by TheAlphaView
USDT.DOMINANCE CHART ANALIYSIS !!USDT Dominance Chart Update. USDT dominance is again rejecting at the long-term trendline resistance (point 4), currently around 5.17%. Structure suggests another potential move lower, with possible targets in the green zone (2.0%–3.0%) if the downtrend continues. This scenario typically favors fresh capital rotation into Bitcoin and altcoins as traders de-risk from stablecoins. Summary: USDT dominance remains weak below the trendline. A sustained drop could spark further altcoin momentum and a broader crypto rally.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by CryptoSanders9563
$BTC UPDATE: As mentioned in our Sunday update,CRYPTOCAP:BTC UPDATE: As mentioned in our Sunday update, we said if Bitcoin holds above $110K, a move toward $115K–$117K is possible, and that target has been hit perfectly. Now the market is turning bearish again. We are still in a bearish structure, and a move below $100K remains our main target. There’s support around $107K–$108K; if Bitcoin holds this area, some sideways movement is possible, but overall, our structure remains bearish. FLM , GETTEX:KDA , $PERP #BTC , #더블유 , #kite , #enso , #Trump , #FOMC , #COAI
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
BTCUSDT.P - October 30, 2025BTCUSDT.P - In-depth analysis | 1D Timeframe Trend Structure: The market is currently consolidating after a notable uptrend that peaked near the $127,000 zone. Recent weekly candles display lower highs and moderate-bodied structures, suggesting a weakening bullish impulse. The current range is bounded by resistance at $126,200–$132,900 and support at $101,500, with a deeper structural support near $74,450. Trend Strength: Trend momentum is weak, indicated by a low strength reading. The loss of directional follow-through implies the market is entering a mid-cycle cooling phase or secondary correction within a broader bullish structure. Volatility Conditions: Volatility remains moderate, reflecting an equilibrium between buyers and sellers. This volatility profile typically precedes a breakout move after extended consolidation. Squeeze: Current market condition suggests energy buildup and potential for a decisive breakout in the coming weeks. Bias: Given the weakening trend and active squeeze near mid-range support, the near-term bias is SHORT, targeting potential tests of the $101,500 level before any renewed bullish continuation can be confirmed above $126,000.
by miljedtothemoon
Fed Rate Cut Looms: BTC Dip to 95K-100K = Prime Entry Before MooCRYPTOCAP:BTC / #Bitcoin 🪙 Fed Rate Cut Looms: BTC Dip to 95K-100K = Prime Entry Before Moonshot? (October 29, 2025 ) I've been away from the market for a good long while. In essence, nothing much happened during that time. We're just hanging out in a sideways range, waiting for the big events: 1. Fed Interest Rate Decision 2. FOMC Press Conference 3. Trump and Xi In just a couple of hours, we'll see that 0.25% interest rate cut. And there'll be a key speech from Jerome Powell. For today, trader sentiment looks mostly positive, from what I can tell. But I've got this gut feeling the market's gonna dip again. The sweet spot for entry on Bitcoin should be 95k to 100k. They'll sweep the long liquidity once more, and then we'll head higher. That's how I see this event shaking out. Charts: ➖ On the 5-day timeframe, that key level around 95k is still holding. Once it's tested, it'll clear the way for a push up to 145k to 200k (the final leg up). ➖ Chart from Coinglass Legend, which shows long trader liquidations stacking up below from $93k to $98k on the Bybit exchange. I figure they'll clear out that liquidity first before we rally. ➖ Big cluster of orders right nearby on the Coinbase crypto exchange at 93k and 100k, which backs up this zone as a hot spot. Whale money's piling in, partly by scooping up those trader liquidations. As you know, messing with leveraged trades is a risky game. The smart play is limit orders, and stick to spot only 😀🔥. #Crypto #Trading #Coinbase #FED #FOMC #STOCK
by SergioRichi
BTC/USDT | BTC Update – Testing the $112K Barrier!By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that after finding strong support near $103,500 , BTC has continued its recovery and recently reached $111,700 . The key question now is whether the price can break decisively above the $112K resistance zone. The $103K–$105K range still acts as a major demand area , while the $109K–$112K zone remains short-term resistance . A confirmed breakout above $112K could open the door toward $113,800, $116,000, and $119,600 , while rejection from this zone might trigger another pullback before continuation. Overall, the structure remains neutral-to-bullish , and volatility is still high — you guys should stay alert for a confirmed breakout before the next big move develops. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
41