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Btc-bitcoin

Bitcoin - Is Bitcoin on the way up?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s upward trend will depend on maintaining the drawn upward trend line. A valid break of this trend line will cause Bitcoin’s price to correct to the 80,000 range. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Following the announcement of new trade tariffs by the United States, Bitcoin experienced a 16.7% drop in price. However, it partially recovered from its 26.7% plunge. The total global cryptocurrency market capitalization has now reached $2.74 trillion, marking a 1.71% increase compared to the previous day. Over the past 24 hours, the total crypto market trading volume hit $60.7 billion, reflecting a 32.28% rise. Within this, DeFi transactions account for $5.25 billion, making up 8.65% of the total 24-hour market volume. Meanwhile, stablecoins have dominated trading activity with $55.84 billion in volume, representing 92% of the total market volume for the day. When comparing Bitcoin’s performance to other major assets, gold leads with a 12.9% gain. In contrast, both silver and the U.S. Dollar Index saw a 4.8% decline. The S&P 500 fell by 13.8%, while the Nasdaq dropped 17.5%. Despite its volatility, Bitcoin sits between oil and the Nasdaq in performance, showing signs of partial recovery. However, its behavior still diverges from that of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. On the political front, Hong Joon-pyo, a presidential candidate from South Korea’s conservative party, pledged that if elected, he would implement reforms in blockchain and cryptocurrency regulations. He also promised to integrate blockchain technology into public sector and administrative services. Additionally, Hong plans to invest at least 50 trillion Korean won (approximately $35.1 billion) over the next five years in research and development across artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and room-temperature superconductors. These initiatives are part of his broader strategy focused on growth driven by emerging technologies. In Q1 2025, publicly traded companies collectively acquired 95,431 bitcoins, bringing their total holdings to 688,000 BTC. This amount represents 3.28% of Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins. The Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the difference in Bitcoin demand between U.S. markets and global exchanges, has shown reduced volatility since March 2024. It appears to be forming a pattern often seen before bullish market trends. Robert Kiyosaki, renowned entrepreneur and author of the best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, has forecasted that Bitcoin’s price could rise to between $180,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. Kiyosaki has long been an outspoken supporter of Bitcoin, portraying it as a safe hedge against inflation and economic instability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
GBPCAD IS BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCAD is currently presenting a high-probability bullish setup after a textbook inverse head and shoulders formation on the 12H chart. Price is now hovering around 1.8457 and has just broken out above the descending trendline acting as neckline resistance. This structural shift, combined with clean bullish price action, signals the potential beginning of a fresh upward leg toward the 1.8976 region, a prior key supply zone and the projected target based on the measured move technique from the pattern. From a fundamental standpoint, the British Pound is supported by hawkish BoE rhetoric and stronger-than-expected UK inflation data. Sticky core CPI and a robust labor market are keeping interest rate expectations elevated, which strengthens GBP across the board. In contrast, the Canadian Dollar remains under pressure due to softer oil prices and the Bank of Canada's dovish stance as it flirts with rate cuts in upcoming meetings. This macro divergence is fueling the momentum in GBPCAD’s favor, making it a favored pair for swing longs. Technically, the pair is forming higher lows with increasing volume, which adds confidence to the breakout. The risk is well defined below 1.8198, making this an attractive trade with a solid 1:2+ reward-to-risk profile. As price continues to respect bullish market structure, any pullback toward the neckline could offer a prime re-entry zone for continuation traders. This setup aligns with highly searched price action strategies such as “inverse head and shoulders breakout,” “neckline retest,” and “GBP strength vs CAD weakness.” With both technical and fundamental confluence pointing in the same direction, GBPCAD is set up for a potentially profitable swing opportunity heading into May.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
Skeptic | Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Why 85850 is Critical!The breakout above 85,850 could push Bitcoin into a new uptrend phase, potentially driving price toward 90K, 95K, and even 105K in the coming weeks. That’s why this zone is so important. But let me explain why in more detail. ⭐Let’s start with the daily timeframe. After breaking out of its descending trendline, BTC entered a range between 82,800 and 85,850 . Looking at the bigger picture, you’ll see that 88,500 is a key resistance level — and breaking above it could act as a strong trigger. But if you’re not a breakout trader and prefer reactive entries, the 80K–82K zone is a major PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) based on RSI, Fibonacci, and Pivot Points — meaning it could offer a decent spot-buying opportunity. Just keep in mind: we’re not officially in a daily uptrend yet, so if you’re thinking about spot buying, it’s better to wait for a confirmed higher low and higher high on the daily chart. The long-term target for the next uptrend is around 140K , based on long-term Fibonacci extensions, pivot points, and trend channels. 🔮 Now let’s drop to the 4H timeframe to find some long and short triggers. As you can see, we’ve got a range box between 83,055 and 85,853.89. A long trigger activates after a clean breakout above 85,853.89. A short trigger activates after a breakdown below 83,055. It’s better to use stop buy/sell orders rather than entering at market price, since price may move sharply after staying in this box for quite a while. You can also use this box to set your stop losses. If you’re a reaction-based trader, you could: Short around 85,853 when price reacts there, Or go long around 83,055, depending on your personal strategy. Just remember: crypto markets often fake breakouts, especially during low-volume periods like now. Indicators like RSI, Volume, and SMA can help confirm moves. Understanding momentum — when it’s present and when it’s not — can save you from taking unnecessary trades. Also, the candlestick itself matters a lot: How long is the shadow? What’s the body size and color? Are we getting strong bullish or bearish confirmations? If you want a tutorial on identifying real vs. fake breakouts, let me know in the comments — I’ll make one soon. If you enjoyed the analysis, hit that Boost By the way, I’m Skeptic.
by SkepticLab
1
BTC - Halving Cycle | Historical Patterns & 2025-2026 Projection In this chart, we dive deep into the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action post-halving and draw parallels between past and current movements, with a specific focus on how the market has historically reacted at various intervals following each halving event. This analysis incorporates both structural and temporal elements, providing a potential roadmap based on previous behavior. --- Historical Context: Previous Cycles 3rd Halving – May 11, 2020 Following the 3rd Bitcoin halving, we observed a parabolic run-up over the next several months: - 11 months after halving (April 2021): BTC reached a major peak, hitting nearly $65,000. - This was followed by a significant correction. - 19 months after halving (December 2021): Bitcoin printed a second top close to the previous all-time high, forming a classic double top pattern. This structure often signals market exhaustion and precedes deeper corrections. Cycle Completion – Price Reversion By 30 months after the 3rd halving (around November 2022), BTC had retraced much of its gains and returned to prices nearly equivalent to the halving level (~$8,000–$10,000 zone in log-adjusted terms). This marked the end of the cycle, confirming a full reversion to the mean after the double-top distribution phase. --- Current Cycle: 4th Halving – April 19, 2024 We're now entering the 4th post-halving cycle , and so far, the structure appears to be rhyming closely with the previous cycle : - Pre-halving rally took BTC to ~ FWB:73K (March 2024), indicating strong bullish momentum leading into the event. - If this cycle follows a similar path, we may expect: - A first major top around 9 months after the halving , potentially at or above $100K. - A second top forming around 17 months after the halving (projected for September 2025), possibly signaling the beginning of a broader correction phase. --- Projection: October 2026 (30 Months After Halving) Using the same temporal framework: - By October 2026 (30 months post-halving), the chart suggests a return to a much lower level , possibly around $50K. - This projection mimics the post-double-top decline of the previous cycle, reinforcing the idea of cyclical mean reversion . - It’s important to note: this isn’t necessarily bearish, but it highlights the cyclical and psychological nature of markets —boom, euphoria, distribution, and reversion. --- The Macro View: Halving Cycles Are Rhythmic - Every halving has historically set off a new bull run, but the timing of tops and bottoms is shockingly consistent : - Peaks often occur 9–18 months post-halving . - Full cycle completion is around 30 months post-halving. - These cycles are heavily influenced by supply shocks , market psychology , and macro liquidity cycles . --- Final Thoughts This chart isn’t a guarantee—it’s a probability model based on cyclical symmetry. If history repeats or rhymes, we may be witnessing another textbook cycle play out, where a euphoric run in 2025 gives way to a deep correction by late 2026. Stay alert for the double top pattern and macro divergences. Just as in 2021, timing the exit after the first peak can be the difference between profit and pain . What do you think? Will Bitcoin follow the same 30-month post-halving trajectory?
by Louigi_24
68
BTCUSDT – System-Based Long Signal (3D Timeframe) 📅 April 19, 2025 Yesterday’s 3D candle closed with a clear PSAR flip, shifting from bearish to bullish — an early signal of potential trend reversal. In addition, price is now trading above the 200 MA, which confirms a return into long-term bullish territory. 🟢 Based on these two system signals, we have a valid long entry setup forming. However, the system is not fully aligned yet: ⚠️ MLR < BB Center < SMA This suggests the internal momentum structure is still weak. We are above 200MA and have a PSAR trigger, but the trend metrics aren't in full confluence. 📌 Strategy suggestion: - Consider a partial spot entry only - Avoid leverage until full confirmation - Wait for MLR to flip above BB Center for added strength This is a trigger-before-confirmation type of setup — and in such cases, discipline > excitement.
Long
by vagada
BTC 4H VS 1D 200 EMAIt's quite a rare occurrence when the 200 EMA finds itself in a very similar position but right now BTC has that exact setup. On the 4H BTC is fighting the moving average for the 12th time since losing the support level at the beginning in February. At this time the bearish trend channel upper limit also coincides with this level now, IMO a big move is being setup, but the direction is unsure. On the daily we're seeing the moving average also in line with the trend resistance however the curve itself differs to the 4H in the way that it's levelling out from an uptrend, not levelling out from downtrend. Bullish scenario - Breaking out above the moving average and trend channel with strength I believe would start to bring buyers back. Now I would not expect buyers to come flooding in at once as many have been burned too many times trying to long a breakout only for it to be a fakeout. I could see many looking for a form of confirmation, be that a retest as new support or a new HH & HL structure. Bearish scenario - Yet another rejection off this level would be continuation of the downtrend with many adding to their shorts. This to me would be tied to the SPX/ Tradfi movements although those markets are much stronger than this time last week. In conclusion there is no clear sense of direction just yet but I think it's coming very soon. The chop we are seeing at the moment is a symptom of a lack of confidence and uncertainty in market conditions. Naturally this lends itself to a continuation of the downtrend but all it takes is a catalyst and some big believers to push BTC out above the downtrend to continue the bullrun. I think we get our answer soon.
by ProR35
The Road to $100k BitcoinBitcoin is most likely forming a left-translated 60-day cycle . Expect Bitcoin to trend downward for the next month, making a lower low in this 60-day cycle and fully scaring the market. People will start screaming “bear market” and panic-sell their coins to market makers, institutions, and patient investors. Once that’s done, Bitcoin will resume its bull market, heading toward a market top in Q2/Q3 2025. This would mirror 2021’s bull market behavior, align with the 4-year Bitcoin cycle, and leave enough time for the market to fully reset by late 2026.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheStrategyMaster
Bitcoin dominance is aiming to hit FIb 1.141 - Alt Season when ?Currently bitcoin dominance is around 64% and about to hit Fib 1 which is the previous high 64.34%. We can expect bitcoin to breach this previous high easily and head towards the next resistance around the fib value 1.414. This is a strong resistance and if dominance breaks this value then next target is 70% is which around the high value achieve during the 2020 bear run. I'm expecting dominance to reverse around 1.414 and altseason will start once dominance starts dropping. Cheers! GreenCrypto
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by GreenCryptoTrades
Bitcoin Bullish Bat Harmonic Forming – Breakout Imminent!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) then reached $85,500 , as I expected in my previous post . Today, I want to share with you a short-term analysis of Bitcoin , and Bitcoin can break the Important Resistance line ! Bitcoin is trading near the Support zone($83,880-$82,380) and Support lines . Bitcoin is likely to start rising again with the help of the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern . I expect Bitcoin to start rising again either with the help of the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern or near the Support lines and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($82,426-$81,439) . The first target could be the important resistance line , and if it breaks, it looks like Bitcoin could break the resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840 ) as well. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,624-$85,486 Note: To break the Important Resistance line , we need a candle with high volume at least on the 4-hour time frame , like the Bullish Marubozu candle ; otherwise, it is probably we will see fake break . Since this line is of great importance, it is better to look for a confirming candle on the 4-hour time frame as well ( even a Doji candle with a small green body ). Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,000, we can expect further declines. Do you think Bitcoin can break the Important Resistance line!? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
BITCOIN's ultimate VIX bottom signal-Last time gave +100% profitBitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to make yet another green day, yesterday not only did it close above its 1D MA50 again but was also the 4th green day in the last 6. This attempt is showing that the trend is gradually shifting again towards long-term bullish but today we'll present to you another one, this time in relation to the Volatility Index (VIX). BTC's (orange trend-line) recent rise is naturally on a negative correlation with VIX (red trend-line) which is currently pulling back after it's most aggressive spike since the COVID flash-crash (March 2020). Their ratio BTCUSD/VIX (blue trend-line) made a very interesting contact with the Higher Lows trend-line that has been holding since the August 24 2015 Low, which was the bottom of the 2014 Bear Cycle. Since then it made Higher Lows on March 16 2020, August 05 2024 and the most recent, April 07 2025. Every time it was a bottom indication and a massive rally followed. The 'weakest' of all was the previous one, which 'only' gave a +105% rise approximately. Based on that, there is no reason not to expect BTC to hit at least $150k by the end of this Bull Cycle. Do you think that's a plausible target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5