$BTC is heading towards a parabolic expansion phase.Bitcoin once again formed a “higher low” (HL) in its long-term uptrend, showing a strong reaction from the demand zone.
It tested the last supply zone at $124,5k and was rejected. Sustained movement above this zone will trigger the start of a parabolic expansion phase.
The trend's direction is clear higher lows, higher highs.
Btc-bitcoin
Elliott Wave + Gartley Harmonic: Why Bitcoin May Correct Soon!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has shown strong bullish momentum over the past week, climbing nearly +10% and testing key resistance zones . Several fundamental and technical factors fueled this rally.
Key Drivers of the Rise:
ETF inflows – Significant net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs boosted demand.
Macro uncertainty – U.S. government shutdown risk and weaker job data supported risk assets.
Monetary policy – Expectations of softer Fed policy improved market sentiment.
Derivatives impact – Options expiry, high OI, and short squeezes added upward pressure.
Exchange outflows – Lower BTC supply on exchanges signaled accumulation.
Positive sentiment – “Uptober” narrative and bullish analyst targets lifted confidence.
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Now, if we look at the Bitcoin chart in the above timeframes from a technical analysis perspective , we can see the following:
First of all, let me say that the rally that Bitcoin has had over the past 7 days has NOT been accompanied by high volume, and this is not good news for Bitcoin to create a new All-Time High(ATH) .
Bitcoin is entering a Heavy Resistance zone($124,474(ATH)-$117,900) and is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($122,120-$120,823) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a microwave C of the main wave Y . One of the reasons I saw the waves as corrective , other than the microwaves, was the low volume of Bitcoin in the past 7-day rally .
If we look at the Bitcoin chart from a pattern perspective , the important Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern is also well and standardly defined on the chart, such that point D in the PRZ can be completed. The Gartley Harmonic Pattern is the most important pattern among the harmonic patterns .
I DO NOT expect a new ATH formation for Bitcoin in this rally due to the above reasons, and I expect it to at least decline to the Support zone($114,820-$113,180) .
Note: Important prices to watch for if Bitcoin reverses (in order of importance of volume): $118,400-$112,700
Note: You should note that these days, Bitcoin has a higher correlation with the SPX500( SP:SPX ) index than before, so if there is a sudden movement in Bitcoin, one of the reasons could be a sudden movement in the SPX500.
Educational Tip : The volume of each candle is considered to be the identity and credibility of that candle, and you can find these candles with the help of volume candle charts.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $118,583-$118,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,652-$116,000
CME Gap: $111,355-$109,915
Stop Loss(SL): $125,00(Worst)
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Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 8-hour time frame.
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Bitcoin has only just begun its new run.CRYPTOCAP:BTC is repeating its upward cycle once again on the weekly chart.
The structure that brings rises exceeding 90% at every major momentum shift is becoming active again.
The current +17% level is only the first step of similar phases in the past.
The rhythm is the same, the energy is reawakening.
BTC – Eyeing a Retest of the $118K Structure!CRYPTOCAP:BTC broke above the $117K–$119K structure (blue zone) with strong momentum.
I’m now watching for a pullback to this area to form a higher low and resume the uptrend.
As long as price holds above $117K–$119K, I’ll look for trend-following longs toward $125K–$128K, then the $130K handle.
If the blue zone fails, the next support sits at $106K–$110K (green zone), where bulls may regroup.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin getting rejected at all time highBTC is preparing for another BOS; however, it seems that big players want to suppress the price. Momentum remains bullish, and so does the trend, but more importantly, the sentiment is still bullish. A bearish response that fails to produce a lower low is an opportunity to accumulate.
Bitcoin Sets Another ATH as Traders Bet on $140,000 by Year EndBlink and you’ll miss it. Bitcoin’s recent leg up caught lots of traders unprepared. After sinking below $110,000 few weeks back, the OG coin slingshotted to a fresh record high above $126,000 this week. Not a bad way to start October Uptober .
Now, traders are adding to bets that the price will crack $140,000 by year end. How realistic is that?
🌕 “Uptober” Strikes Again
October has a reputation in crypto lore and it’s living up to it.
Over the last 13 Octobers, Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has ended in the green 10 times. The pattern is set to continue as the coin rides a broader wave of optimism fueled by the Fed’s rate cuts, a messy US government shutdown, and the return of that dangerous four-letter abbreviation: FOMO.
But the real kicker? Spot Bitcoin ETFs are on fire.
US-listed Bitcoin ETFs kicked off the month with their second-best week ever, attracting $3.24 billion in net inflows — nearly matching their record of $3.38 billion set in November 2024. Are we… so back ?
💥 Options Traders Go Big: $140K or Bust
In the options market, optimism is loud and clear. Data from Deribit shows open interest piling up around the $140,000 strike for contracts expiring in December — meaning plenty of traders are betting we’ll see new highs just in time for the holiday season. (Not that easy to gift a BTC now, is it?)
At the same time, a few cautious traders are hedging with puts, just in case this turns into another one of those “too-fast, too-furious” rallies.
📈 You Get a Record and You Get a Record
It’s not just Bitcoin exploring new horizons. The S&P 500 SP:SPX and the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC both logged their 30-something record closes of 2025, powered by relentless AI strength ( some huge OpenAI deal ) and investors betting that rate cuts will stretch the bull run.
But also, gold bugs are turning into the Scrooge McDucks of the market, backstroking through piles of gold in impenetrable fortresses.
The shiny stuff OANDA:XAUUSD is up 55% year to date and hovering just under $4,000 per ounce, a milestone that would make even die-hard crypto bulls nod in respect.
Apparently, the market’s hot across the board.
🧠 Why Bitcoin’s Rally Makes Sense (Kind Of)
Underneath the euphoria, there’s some logic to this madness:
• Lower rates = cheaper money. When the Fed cuts, non-yielding assets like Bitcoin suddenly look more attractive.
• Inflation’s still sticky. Investors want something that can’t be printed at will. The US government shutdown only strengthened that flow of cash.
• Institutional influx is real. ETFs, family offices, and even corporate treasuries are allocating to Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD , and Solana PURPLETRADING:SOLUSD.
At its current market cap of $2.5 trillion, Bitcoin is now bigger than Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN ($2.4 trillion), the world’s fifth-largest company .
🧭 The “Uptober” Mindset
Here’s where psychology comes in. After weeks of choppy sideways trading, boredom gave way to disbelief — then disbelief turned to excitement. Now? We’re entering the danger zone where conviction and euphoria start to blur.
Some veterans call this the “emotional compression” phase — when every dip feels like an entry and every green candle feels eternal. But cycles never die; they just rotate. Those who chase late often learn that momentum cuts both ways.
Still, momentum traders have history on their side. Every October since 2012 (barring 2018, 2014, and 2012), Bitcoin has delivered solid gains. It’s hard to argue with a pattern that reliable — until it breaks.
🤔 What Could Trip Up the Bulls
Even the most euphoric chart has risk baked in:
• Profit-taking. After a 100% gain over the past twelve months, short-term traders can decide to lock in profits fast.
• Macro shocks. One bad inflation print ECONOMICS:USCPI or a hawkish Fed comment could cool the mood.
• Overheated sentiment. When everyone in your barbershop agrees it’s going up, it usually doesn’t — at least not immediately.
The chart’s near-term support sits between $120,000–$122,000. Lose that, and a retest of $110,000 is possible. Hold it, and $140,000 becomes more than just a meme.
📢 $140K by Year-End: Dream or Data?
Statistically speaking, Bitcoin would need roughly a 4% monthly gain from here to hit $140,000 by December. Considering it’s already up over 100% year-to-date, that’s not outrageous.
To get there, the stars must stay aligned:
• ETF inflows keep building momentum.
• The Fed sticks to its dovish script.
• Stocks stay buoyant, giving traders room to take risk.
• No black swans, no rug pulls, no sudden panic tweets.
If all that holds, a single Bitcoin closing the year north of $140,000 isn’t fantasy. It’s just crypto doing what crypto does — defying logic, gravity, and your risk management plan.
👉 Off to you : Where do you see Bitcoin by end of year? Cast your predictions in the comment section!
BTC HOLDS LEVELS FOR MORE..BTC/USDT — Main Trend Holds Strong at $112K, Confirmation Near
Bitcoin is currently trading just below the low time frame zone around $124.5K, showing slight resistance before a potential confirmation breakout. Despite this minor pullback, the main trend remains firmly intact around $112K, which continues to act as the key structural support.
⚙️ Main trend updated to $112K: This level defines Bitcoin’s long-term bullish structure — as long as BTC stays above it, momentum remains positive.
📉 Below low time frame: BTC is temporarily consolidating under local resistance, but proximity to this level suggests a potential re-test and confirmation soon.
🚀 Upside target: Once the low time frame confirms, Bitcoin could aim for the next resistance zone near $132K.
Technical Outlook:
🟢 Main Trend (Support): $112K
🟡 Low Time Frame Resistance: $124.5K
🎯 Next Target: $132K (upon confirmation)
Summary:
BTC remains structurally bullish above the $112K main trend. While still slightly below the short-term confirmation zone, it’s positioned well for a potential continuation — provided support holds and price regains momentum above $124.5K.
📊 Bias: Cautiously Bullish
📈 Key Levels: Support $112K | Resistance $124.5K | Target $132K
BITCOIN SIGNAL: PRICE DISCOVERY TARGET + When Altseason ? Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
How long will the price stroking continue on the Bitcoin chart?A long-term analysis of Bitcoin’s trend suggests that we should expect a continued bullish trend in the coming months!
A price range of $197,000 per Bitcoin may seem far-fetched, but it would be very desirable and appealing to holders of this asset!!
Good luck!
Bitcoin Consolidates Above Support — Main Trend IntactBitcoin (BTC/USDT) — Holding Strong Above Key Support Zones 💪
Bitcoin continues to trade above the low-timeframe support at $122,100, showing resilience and consolidation after its recent upward move.
✅ Low Time Frame Support ($122.1K): BTC remains stable above this short-term structure, suggesting buyers are still in control.
✅ Main Trend Support ($110.2K): The larger bullish structure remains intact as long as price holds above the $110.2K region.
📈 Momentum Outlook: A sustained hold above $122K could set up another push toward $126K–$130K, confirming bullish continuation.
Summary:
BTC remains bullish above both its low-timeframe and main-trend levels. Short-term consolidation is healthy, and the next breakout could target new local highs if momentum strengthens.
🎯 Support: $122.1K / $110.2K
🎯 Resistance: $126K / $130K
📊 Bias: Bullish continuation
IREN Wont Quit! Fib extension Analogue targets..NASDAQ:IREN Has ran all the weekly pivot in an astonishing wave III. RSI is extremely overbought.
The next Fibonacci extension targets (analogue scale) are the 3.618 at $59 and the 4.236 at $68 for a wave 3 termination.
Fibonacci log targets are as high as $400 but this seems unrealistic so switched to analogue in this case! Stranger things have happened still...
Safe trading
BTDR Closed above the weekly pivot!NASDAQ:BTDR Wave (3) is underway and price has overcome the weekly pivot for now and bulls want to see this hold! The trend is up, the supports have been tested and the all time High Volume Node is the next target $25.
Fibonacci extension targets are minimum if $38 at the 1.618 with possibility to overextended bringing up the next target of the R5 weekly pivot at $76
RSI is not overbought and has plenty of room to grow, reaching the next leg often kicks in serious momentum!
Safe trading
RIOT Macro, Higher for Longer!RIOT’s weekly RSI is overbought but can stay like this for many months as price continues upwards, just look at IREN!
Elliot wave (II) completed at the golden pocket. Price is finding minor consolidation at the wave (I) High Volume Node but is expected to break through with current price action and accelerate to $40, the High Volume Node and R5 weekly Pivot. Momentum is in control. Wave (III) has a minimum target of $50, per Fibonacci extension rules.
Safe trading
MARA Ready To Finally Move towards $30?MARA’s Elliot Wave (II) retracement front run the Fibonacci golden ratio and has now overcome the weekly 200EMA. The weekly pivot looms as strong resistance $21 just above the first target of our recent trade signal. If wave (III) is underway we should see price begin to accelerate alongside Bitcoin with an initial target of $31 followed by $80 High Volume Node.
Expect price to consolidate at the wave (I) resistance $30 for a while. Weekly RSI is crossed bullishly at the range EQ giving it room to move bullishly!
Safe trading
COIN Wave III underway into all time high!Elliot Wave (III) is still underway after wave (II) completed at the weekly 200EMA. Coinbase had a huge bullish engulfing candle this week, closing price above the High Volume Node and R1 weekly pivot - a strong bullish signal!
Price first tested the High Volume Node support and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $270. Characteristic of wave 3 shallow pullbacks.
Weekly RSI has reset to the channel EQ and crossing bullishly giving price room to extend upwards!
Safe trading
BTC Continues its shallow pullbacks to all time high pattern!This weeks candle bullishly engulfed the entire range showing supply is exhausted and price is ready for the next leg up in Elliot wave wave (3), the powerful wave, especially with a shallow wave (2)!
A word of caution, currently there is a 3 waves up into all time high that resembles a running flat correction which penetrates all time high before retuning the lower range boundaries, 1$08k in this case to complete the correction.
The R2 weekly pivot is the first target at $150k. Weekly RSI continues to print bearish divergence but has come out of overbought and tested the EQ. It is now crossing bullishly. A push into overbought will negate the bearish divergence.
CLSK Testing Macro Triangle Upper Boundary!NASDAQ:CLSK Macro analysis shows a multi-year triangle has completed at the mid EQ, where price has the highest probability of completing wave E. CRYPTOCAP:XRP Did a x10 after this breakout and I am expecting similar move with CLSK.
Price should consolidate for a while in $16-$20 range as it works through wave D and trend-line resistance. Downside target is the weekly pivot at $13.45 which could offer a great buy!
All time high sits at $80, triangle pattern target is extremely high at $200 (triangle height measured from wave E bottom) but take this with a pinch of salt and keep your profit taking realistic! Crazier price moves have happened!
Weekly RSI is not yet oversold and price often gathers months of strong momentum when RSI gets to these levels reinforcing the analysis.
Safe trading
BTC just achieved a new all time high on its way to 153kFeels like it may be validating the breakout above the blue line as it also seems to be climbing up the dotted measured move line here on the last few candles. So probability is quite good that we validate the breakout on this impulse. If so the full measured move target is around 152.9k or more or less 153k. *not financial advice*