BTC-D
LINKUSDT → A trap? Grabbing liquidity before the fall...BINANCE:LINKUSDT is forming a correction after a bearish run. A false breakdown of support is triggering a correction before a possible continuation of the decline.
The coin is testing the support of the trading range within the downtrend. The reaction to the false breakdown of support is a pullback to the zone of interest. After a strong downward distribution, a correction to the break-even zone is forming. A false breakout of resistance at 17.45 could trigger a continuation of the decline due to a weak market and a liquidity pool formed above 17.450, which is likely to stop the pullback on the bearish trend.
Resistance levels: 17.450
Support levels: 16.53, 15.77
The downtrend may continue. A retest of resistance may end in a fall and an update of the local minimum, as well as reaching the zone of interest at 15.77.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Cycle Analysis Entering Cycle C with Target Toward $144KBitcoin’s long-term market structure continues to evolve in well-defined phases, as visible through Cycle A, Cycle B, and the current Cycle C formation. Each previous cycle has followed a similar pattern: accumulation, expansion, correction, and new leg upward — and Cycle C appears to be following this same rhythm.
Here’s what the structure shows:
Cycle A: Represented the deep accumulation zone and base formation, bottoming near $39K–$75K.
Cycle B: Brought a strong recovery and expansion phase, establishing a stable mid-level support around $110K.
Cycle C (Current): Price is consolidating around the $110K area, likely preparing for the next expansion wave.
If Bitcoin maintains this cyclical rhythm, the next major target lies near $144K, aligning with the top boundary of Cycle C. This zone represents the next major resistance level and potential completion point of the current macro cycle.
Key observations:
Holding above $109K keeps Cycle C active and healthy.
Increasing volume during the next upward move could confirm a breakout continuation.
A successful push beyond $120K would strengthen momentum toward the $144K region.
Bitcoin: Watch 105K For Bullish Reversal Again.Bitcoin all over the map. Pay attention to the nearest support and resistance levels which are 113K resistance and 105K support. 109K a minor support has been broken again. There is no way to know which way this market will break on the short term. The general trend is still bullish, BUT resistance levels like 113K and 118K AREA have yet to break.
Smaller time frame momentum is arguably bearish which is good for day trade strategies, otherwise there is not much to do on the swing trade time frame at current prices. A test of the 105K support is likely to follow this week, which can present an attractive swing trade long opportunity (upon confirmation). IF 105K breaks, the next area to watch is the 103L to 100K area for a bullish reversal. This location is also a major psychological level which is also attractive for investing.
Also worth mentioning, there is a head and shoulders formation on this chart, and while it implies bearish possibilities, I would put more emphasis on the levels because these patterns can easily appear randomly. Support and resistance levels, which can also be random, are more relevant in my opinion because of previous trader/investor behavior (or being stuck in a position). Either way do not jump to conclusions or grasp at the obvious. Notate levels, then wait for price to react there and provide a way to measure risk.
Another important note is the CHANGE in Chairman Powell's rate cutting intent during the FOMC press conference over the previous week. When asked about the December rate decision, he explained that is was NOT a sure thing. Based on previous comments and hints, the market seemed to have priced in a December rate cut. Since this comment, the market has cooled off a bit from the constant new all time high every day party. Just goes to show, all it takes is a just few unexpected words to change sentiment. There is NO way to see something like this coming on a chart.
This along with the lack of government data can invite unexpected surprises bullish or bearish. This is why in a game of incomplete information, it is best to focus on RISK, not obsess over forecasts.
BTCUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal at Pullback ResistanceBTC/USD is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 111,22.96, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss is at 113,549.46, whic is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 106,29.13, which is a multi swing low support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
BTCUSD The 114k decision line for the week of Nov 3 to 7One chart. One plan. You can trade the first week of November with a simple map built around one decision area. The band at 112.9k to 114.5k is the gate. Above it, momentum can breathe. Below it, treat strength as suspect and keep risk tight. The Friday close was 110,050 which keeps price right in the middle of the range and sets up a clean reaction trade into the new week.
What to draw on your chart
Zones
• 112,900 to 114,500. Decision band and prior late October highs.
• 109,800 to 108,800. First support shelf from the last pullback cluster.
• 107,200 to 106,400. Deeper support if the week turns risk off.
• 118,000 and 121,700. Extension targets if buyers control the week.
References
• Add a 50 day and a 200 day moving average on the daily chart for context. Treat the 200 day near the 109k area as a health check. Lose it and fail to reclaim and the swing bias flips cautious.
• Add a 20 day ATR read on your platform. Current context is about four percent. I size stops and targets from that number.
Why now
The tape gets several event tests in one week. Manufacturing PMI on Monday. Services PMI plus the Treasury quarterly refunding details on Wednesday. The United States jobs report on Friday at the usual morning slot. These three items move the dollar and the long end of the curve which in turn moves crypto risk appetite. When the dollar eases and the ten year cools, Bitcoin usually gets running room. When the dollar spikes and yields lift, bounces fail faster. You do not need a complex model. You only need a clear reaction plan and the will to stay patient until your trigger shows.
How to trade it
Use an ATR based framework. With ATR near four percent, half ATR is about two percent and one and a half ATR is about six percent. These are round figures and they keep your plan honest.
Three rules for the week
• Breakout rule. Take longs only on a 30 minute close above 114,000 with the next candle holding above 113,800. Stop equals half ATR. First take profit equals one and a half ATR. Trail the rest by one ATR. If the daily session closes back under 112,900 you stand aside and reassess.
• Range fade rule. If price tags 114,000 and fails with weak breadth or tired momentum, fade back toward 112,900 with a tight stop above the rejection wick. Scale out near 111,800 to 112,200. Stand down if the dollar softens and yields fall during the move since that flow can squeeze fades.
• Failure rule. A daily close under 109,800 is a risk off signal for swing longs. Respect the shelf at 108,800. If it breaks and cannot reclaim, look for price discovery toward 107,200 to 106,400. Only step in again on a stop run and clean reclaim pattern.
What I need to see for momentum
A decisive reclaim and hold above the 114k band.
Dollar index pushing through the prior session low or at least failing to bounce with energy.
Ten year yield not making new session highs during the break.
Intraday pullbacks that respect one ATR trails without heavy wicking.
If those four items happen on the same day, 118k is the first reasonable extension. The second extension sits near 121.7k where the last impulse ran out of steam.
What tells me the idea is wrong
A strong dollar and a hot yield print with BTC unable to lift through 112.9k.
A fast push above 114k on thin liquidity that gives back the level within two or three candles.
A daily close under 109.8k that comes on rising volume. In that case the path of least resistance shifts to a deeper test and the best trade may be no trade until the next reclaim signal.
Risk template you can copy
• Stop: half ATR from entry.
• First target: one and a half ATR.
• Remainder: trail by one ATR.
• Size: risk a fixed R per trade so that a full stop equals your planned loss for the session.
• Events: flatten or cut size to half R at least ten minutes before each major release. Re engage only after the first full post release candle closes.
Mindset for the week
Keep the number of trades small. Let the 114k band answer the only question that matters. Are buyers willing to pay higher prices or not. If yes the job is to stop fighting and ride the extension. If not the job is to protect capital and allow the market to come to your levels. Most of the damage in this market does not come from bad reads. It comes from over trading a chop. One plan and the discipline to sit tight can beat a dozen hot takes.
Chart checklist before you click
Is price above or below 114k on a 30 minute closing basis.
Is the dollar softening or firming during the push.
Is the ten year easing or lifting during the push.
Is your stop equal to half ATR.
Is your first target equal to one and a half ATR.
Have you sized for one R and set a hard daily loss limit.
Educational research only.
Bullish bounce off?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which is a multi-swing low support, and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 197,582.22
1st Support: 191,969.5
1st Resistance: 17,384.29
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC / USDI think this will be the most important point in the history of Bitcoin. If I turn out to be right, then the worst will begin in the spring of 2026, and before March there is a chance to see a flow of liquidity from BTC to altcoins.
Growth will most likely begin on news of the end of the shutdown in the United States.
BITCOIN GIGA PLAN for 2025-2026Last time, I have fulfilled the dream of every trader: I entered at 15k and sold everything at 121500.
(if you don't believe, check my latest idea posted by Jan 10, 2023)
I notice that a lot of people completely misunderstand, and draw utter nonsense on the charts, and call it cycles.
Well, here's the Bitcoin cycle graph, the only one you need.
Sell your BTC bags NOW.
Buy at 38k BTC. or by 26 october 2026 by any price.
it depends on which of these happens first.
I will continue to use BTC cycles as long as it works, it gives phenomenal accuracy, as long as you use your brain.
I often hear people say about extended cycle (again lol?).
They waiting for banana zone.
We haven't seen euphoria phaze.
what can I say to such people?
Dream in one hand, and shit in the other, and then check which one is fills first xD
Don't be one of them, and don't listen to this bullshit.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #208👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's take a look at Bitcoin's analysis — the market is still ranging.
⏱ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is still below the 111365 level. Today, it moved close to this level once, but it is currently still trading below it.
⛏ Good buying volume has entered the market, while the volume of red candles has been decreasing. In case 111365 is broken, we can open a long position.
🧮 If the price gets rejected from this level, the first short trigger we have is 108844. The next support levels are 107486 and 106319.
📊 Overall, I still believe that as long as the price is between 106319 and 115808, the market movements are temporary and not very exciting. As long as the price stays in this zone, I will open short-term positions and take profit quickly.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Trend Analysis Time Frame 4 Hours
Hello Traders
Update of Bitcoin 4-hour analysis, which I will post below
According to the description of the relevant post, in 4 hours the price was able to stabilize below 111,000 and its first pullback reached this level and made a significant profit, and in the second time it is pulling back to the same level of 111,000, and the resistance of 112,000 is also important. I expect the correction to continue to low liquidity areas.
Link to previous post:
Major Breakout Setup Forming on Bitcoin’s 1-Hour Chart👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe, we can see that Bitcoin has built a multi-timeframe accumulation zone as the weekend began. It has now successfully broken above the top of this range, but we have a notable resistance area to keep an eye on.
The $111,482 price zone is a strong resistance level, and when price reached this zone, it faced heavy rejection and selling pressure. This area could provide the best trigger for a breakout. If Bitcoin manages to break above it, we could see a strong bullish leg and further upside momentum.
🧲 Bitcoin’s trading volume has slightly decreased over the past few days, so we’re waiting for volume expansion during the New York session to see what kind of reaction we get — this will guide our trade setup. Since there’s also a meeting between the U.S. and Chinese presidents tomorrow, we might prepare a speculative position ahead of that event to capture potential volatility and profits.
My current bias on Bitcoin remains bullish, as the trend hasn’t broken any significant support levels yet.
💵 Meanwhile, Tether Dominance (USDT.D) has reacted three times to its upper resistance zone on higher timeframes but failed to break above it. This suggests a bullish outlook for the crypto market, as a rejection in Tether Dominance could lead to downside movement there — fueling a strong bullish leg across the market.
✍️ The main long setup will trigger on a break above the $111,482 resistance zone. Confirmation can be taken from RSI oscillator signals and increasing buying volume.
We can open this low-risk long position (around 0.5% risk), and if tomorrow’s session brings clear bullish triggers, we can add to the position for larger exposure.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC Scalp Sell/Short Setup (15M)The trend and structure are bearish, and Bitcoin is approaching a bearish origin point. If it fails to break through this origin, the low that created this bullish wave will be at risk.
With this in mind, we can prepare a position for Bitcoin with a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.
The last bullish wave on the lower timeframes also has a bearish CH.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC/USDT 1H Chart Short-Term📉 Descending Channel (black lines)
The price previously moved within a clear descending channel, which was broken upward.
A breakout from the channel signals a change in the short-term trend – from supply pressure to an attempted rebound.
From a technical perspective, a breakout from a descending channel often leads to an upward correction, the extent of which is at least the midpoint of the previous downward impulse.
🔷 Triangle Formation (blue lines)
After breaking out of the channel, the price formed a symmetrical triangle (consolidation) – a sign of market indecision.
Triangles of this type are often trend continuation patterns, but in this context – after a breakout from a descending channel – an upward breakout (i.e., a further upward rebound) is more likely.
The key resistance level to watch is $111,145 – a breakout with volume confirmation would open the way to $112,320 and then $113,921.
🧭 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
$111,145 – local resistance (upper boundary of the consolidation/triangle).
$112,320 – another strong resistance level from the previous local high.
$113,921 – major medium-term resistance.
Support:
$110,442 – lower boundary of the triangle (short-term support).
$108,793 – support after the recent bounce.
$107,285 – next demand level.
$104,969 – bulls' defensive boundary in the broader context.
📊 Stoch RSI (bottom of the chart)
The Stoch RSI oscillator is currently in a rebound phase from the neutral level (~40–60).
If the lines (blue and orange) cross upwards and enter the zone above 80, this could confirm bullish momentum and a breakout from the triangle to the upside.
However, a rejection from 60 and a further drop below 20 would signal a false breakout and a possible retest of USD 108,800.
🔎 Scenario Summary
➡️ Upside Scenario (more likely):
Breakout from the triangle to the upside (confirmed by a 1-hour candle above USD 111,150).
Potential move to USD 112,300 → USD 113,900.
Momentum indicators support a rebound if the Stoch RSI maintains its upward trend.
⬇️ Downside scenario (alternative):
Unsuccessful breakout and return below $110,400.
A correction to $108,800 can then be expected, and if this level is broken, a further decline to $107,300.
If $GOLD is at its peak, is $BTC next?Gold has been rejected at the 0.618 level of the Fibonacci channel on the 3M chart.
The Stoch RSI demonstrates a striking similarity to past cycles:
The bullish structure, which continued in the overbought region in October 2010, peaked 273 days later in July 2011.
Momentum, which continued in the overbought region again in October 2019, reached its peak 365 days later in October 2020.
Today, history paints a similar picture once again.
The bullish structure, which began in the overbought region in October 2024, may have reached its peak approximately one year later, in October 2025, just as in previous cycles.
Gold appears to be completing its historical rhythm once again.
Note: The Bitcoin / Gold pair is developing in the opposite direction.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #207👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
After a short break, let's get back to the daily Bitcoin analysis. The market is still in a very large range box.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Currently, Bitcoin is recovering after the drop to the 106319 level and has moved up to 110803.
✅ Today is Saturday, and as you can see, the market volume has dropped significantly. It seems that the market may range until tomorrow afternoon and won't move much upwards, with the main movement starting next week.
⚡️ The triggers we have for opening positions right now are:
For long: 110803
For short: 108844 and 106319
💥 Overall, Bitcoin is in a very large range box between 106319 and 115808, and as long as the price stays between these two levels, I will open my positions with very low risk.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
RIOT, nothing changed, Higher...Riot is another low cap volatile asset that keeps people afraid with its wild swings as I am seeing panic in my comments across platforms.
Price remains in momentum breaking out of the channel in a wave 3 with a minimum target of the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $91, a 4x from here. Wave 2 completed at triple support- Fibonacci golden pocket, High Volume Node and channel boundary before quickly overcoming the weekly pivot and 200EMA. Breaking out above wave 1 is a show of strength.
Price should stall at the High Volume Nodes as supply comes in; $21, $40 and $57 but ultimately they should be overcome.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $112 based on Fibonacci extensions
📈 Weekly RSI is oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months as price keeps increasing.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $9
MSTR weekly bull divergence on low sentimentSentiment is low, the asset is hated and misunderstood by TradFi and retail. It’s a recipe for a bottom!
Price is still in a wave (IV) which are expected to be long and drawn out, driving investors into shallow capitulation through boredom into patient hands. I don’t expect wave (V) to kick in until Bitcoin moves. Wave (V) has an expected target of the R3 daily pivot at $1039 but will overextend if Bitcoin does.
Price has fallen out of the lower channel boundary and sitting below the weekly pivot, still above the weekly 200EMA so the outlook is bullish. Wave (4) may complete at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $230. For now I am waiting to see what happens before entering. Good opportunities are setting up.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $1000 based on Fibonacci extensions
📈 Weekly RSI has bullish divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $82






















