BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are providing favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price ran to all-time highs and faced rejection there.
The close below the all-time high level indicates that price may now seek opposite-side liquidity (buyers).
Historically, Bitcoin often consolidates within a range after running all-time highs, collecting more liquidity before continuing upward.
📌 Game Plan
I expect two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Run the daily swing low and hit the equilibrium of the range at $118,645, then bounce and move up towards $121,750.
2️⃣ Run the 12H swing low and hit the 0.75 level of the max discount range at $116,325, then bounce and move up.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will be watching for a 4H break of structure when either scenario occurs.
📋 Trade Management
Stop-loss: Below the 4H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: TP1 at $121,750 and possible new highs. Targets will be updated depending on structure.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions.
BTC-D
BITCOIN BULLS ARE GONNA DO THIS NOW!!!! (Fakeout Wick) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I've been updating Bitcoin price action and the Elliot Wave theory. I've been doing lots of advanced technical stuff. We've been going through channeling and updating ourselves about the most important support and resistance levels. We've been taking a look at the MACD histogram, the RSI, and the stochastic RSI. We've been professionally analyzing the volume; we've understood who is in power right now and what's going to happen next with the highest probability.
We've also been taking a look at what kind of confirmations we are waiting for in order for us to be able to open long or short positions.
Paradisers, make sure that you are trading with a professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations, play tactically, and focus on long-term profitability, not on getting rich quick.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
119.15-119.70K to watch for Long tradeMorning folks,
So, Thu setup is done perfect. Jump precisely from K-support area of 118.30 that we discussed. But, BTC has reached just minor 1H target and now is moving down. Since overall upside impulse is not bad, we consider ~119.5K support area for bullish momentum trade for now...
#DOGE/USDT | Eyes Bounce from Key Support !#DOGE
The price is moving within an ascending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have support from the lower boundary of the ascending channel, at 0.1930.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 0.1895, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.2060.
First target: 0.2111.
Second target: 0.2183.
Third target: 0.2264.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BTC DOMINANCE UPDATE- So, all elements are annotated throughout the graphic, like always.
- Timeline.
- Older Top Dom (2021) (red doted line).
- New Top Dom (2025) (red line).
- Some supports ( Orange Line ).
- Some Bottoms ( Green Lines ).
- Most important in chart : Fibonnacci Retracements.
- After this chart, I’ll drop links to my older BTC dominance posts.
- Not much to say, just look at the chart :
- In 2021, BTC.D formed a double top because Bitcoin spiked twice and hit two all-time highs.
- That doesn’t mean BTC.D will behave the same way in 2025. I don't expect another double top, but who knows.
- We could see a retracement down to the 45–47% range. That would likely signal the start of a new bear market.
- For now, i don’t see the end of the bull run yet. I’m mostly waiting for a strong BTC push in price, a fast dip in BTC Dominance, and the kickoff of Altseason.
— it’s going to be wild and fast! Just my personal opinion.
Stay Safe !
Happy Tr4Ding !
Monthly chart bullflag has a breakout target around 115kIhave arbitrarily placed the measured move line for the bullflag breakout in the month of October but there’s always a chance it stays in the flag longer than that, in which case the measured move line would get moved over to the right and slightly lower each time it does. If it breaks up by october and validates that breakout the measured move target will be around 115k. *not financial advice*
ETH ROAD TO 20K+ plan BAs far as we are getting closer to the final accumulation stage on ETH we can see a potential shape of huge channel in log scale but even bigger I posted previous time due to price action and ETH going better I thought.
Still after forming median of the channel I would like to see a big and fast correction from here towards 2900 support which must hold imo.
Top of that channel depends on timing so the later the better I guess.
Bitcoin’s Game Has Changed: Fresh Support Zone, Targets Sky-HighHey Dear Friends,
Until recently, Bitcoin had been stuck in a range between 112,331 and 105,344 for quite some time. But that range has now been clearly broken. So, what does this mean? This zone, which used to act as resistance, is now expected to flip and act as support.
According to my weekly trading model, the long-term target levels I’m tracking for Bitcoin are: 127,818 – 137,000 – 146,000.
Since this is a weekly setup, it might take a while for these targets to play out. Even if we see pullbacks to the 112K, 105K, or even 100K levels, I expect to see strong buying pressure from that zone.
I’ll keep sharing regular updates as this setup develops.
To everyone who’s been supporting and appreciating my work—thank you, truly. Your encouragement means the world to me and keeps me motivated to keep showing up. Much love to all of you—I’m grateful we’re in this journey together.
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.)
I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made)
BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation".
Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are):
- A monthly bearish engulfing candle
- A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market
- Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too
However, there are strong counterarguments.
The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise.
Update on the above chart:
The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario.
Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs.
Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least.
ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS?
You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal.
Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
Bitcoin's New All-Time High, Corrections & Bear Market DurationFrom the low in December 2018 until the high in November 2021 there is a period of 1064 days. That's how long the last bull market lasted from bottom to top.
The current cycle started November 2022 with the previous bear market bottom. If we project 1064 days into the future this would put us at the week of 20-October 2025.
Bitcoin rose 65% in 98 days. Between 7-April and 14-July.
Mid-August 2025 through 20-October 2025 gives a total of 70 days.
Do you think Bitcoin will stop rising and produce a long-term bear market after 70 days?
The rise between August 2024 and January 2025 lasted 168 days. 133 days with the December 2024 peak.
168 days starting 7-April 2025 would give us a date around 22-September 2025.
The main question is this: How strong is Bitcoin likely to drop after major growth?
The new all-time high and final peak for this cycle can be $180,000 to $200,000, but strong resistance will be faced around $155,000. Seeing for how long Bitcoin has been moving, do you think a strong correction can happen at 155k? Absolutely.
Think of August 2024. Something like this.
Bitcoin keeps on growing and once this level is reached a flash crash, 30% off or maybe even 35% in a flash. Then a long-term recovery and bullish resumption toward 200K and beyond. And it keeps on going, bear markets being nothing more than a correction. No more bear market but mild, strong or weak corrections.
The next target is $137,000 and this is an easy level. Watch out for $155,000. It is a mixed bag, the market will not behave in expected ways. It will be unpredictable on the short-term. You can predict the bigger picture though, it is going up. When in doubt, hold strong (and follow).
Namaste.
Bitcoin Hits a New All-Time High · $200,000 in SightExactly 30 days after the last peak, Bitcoin hits a new all-time high. The entire cryptocurrency market is about to explode and go wild. The altcoins market will blow up because when Bitcoin grows, the entire market follows.
Market conditions are perfect and trading volume is rising today. Bitcoin is doing what is used to do, what it always does and likes to do best, appreciating.
One Bitcoin today is worth $123,500 US Dollars, wow! Amazing.
So much, so fast, amazing growth.
Bitcoin is not only a means of exchange, a store of value but also the backbone of the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin is the infrastructure. It is the base on top of which everything revolves.
The market continues to evolve and many cryptocurrencies are in no way related to Bitcoin, but Bitcoin sets the stage, the sentiment, the pace, the value and the price. Bitcoin is the standard.
We are having a nice week with many classic signals showing up. The week is great but started red, classic. After a small drop the action recovers and see where we are at today. Only higher, moving higher, prices going up.
Prepare for a major rise, this is only the start.
Bitcoin is set to hit a target of $155,000 followed by $209,000.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC | Long Idea – All-Time Highs LoadingBTC | Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are providing favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price formed a 4H demand zone and immediately retested it, showing a strong bullish reaction.
That retest offered a perfect entry, but there’s still potential for another move back to the demand zone before pushing higher.
The 1H swing low liquidity sits in confluence with both the 4H demand zone and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level — a strong triple confluence.
This alignment occurs around the $120,000 level, making it a key watchpoint.
📌 Game Plan
Wait for price to revisit the 4H demand zone.
Look for a sweep of the 1H swing low liquidity.
See the 0.5 Fibonacci level tapped for maximum discount before continuation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Look for a 1H market structure break after price taps the $120,000 confluence zone.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below the 1H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: Direct push towards all-time highs at $123,300.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions.
TONCOIN could move 60% from here the key levels to watchCRYPTOCAP:TON is holding above a strong support zone at $2.40–$2.70, showing buyers are defending this level well.
Price is moving higher without facing major resistance immediately ahead.
If momentum continues, it could aim for the $5.00–$5.50 zone next, while a drop below $2.40 would weaken the bullish outlook.
DYOR, NFA
ETH | Long Idea - All time highs soonETH | Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
Ethereum is approaching all-time highs, fueled by a $1B single-day ETF inflow. Additionally, rumors of potential SEC approval for Ethereum staking policy could directly boost ETH’s utility — strengthening the long bias.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is climbing steadily after sweeping LTF liquidity.
Retracements have been shallow due to strong momentum and market hype.
All-time highs are now clearly an institutional / smart money target.
📌 Game Plan
Watch for a sweep of 1H swing lows / equal lows at $4,605 followed by a bullish rejection.
Alternatively, 12H FVG at $4,561 could be taken before rejection — both liquidity runs are valid watchpoints.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Look for a 1H break of structure after liquidity grabs at the mentioned levels.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 1H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: Direct move towards all-time highs at $4,868.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
ETHFI | Swing Long Idea - AltcoinETHFI | Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increased global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
ETHFI moves in close correlation with Ethereum’s price action. As ETH approaches all-time highs, fueled by a $1B single-day ETF inflow, ETHFI is also showing strong bullish potential.
Additionally, rumors about possible SEC approval of Ethereum staking policy could significantly increase ETHFI’s utility in the future — adding conviction to a long bias.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price broke a HTF key resistance and closed above.
The retest of this level confirmed it as strong support.
Price also broke the HTF bearish trendline, followed by a successful retest and bullish rejection.
📌 Game Plan
Long position entered at $1.2730 after rejection from the retest of the broken bearish trendline.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Daily close below $1.14
Targets:
TP1: $1.41
TP2: $1.65
Trail stops aggressively to lock in profits as price moves favorably.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
SEI Breakout Alert – Target in Sight! 🚨 SEI Breakout Alert – Target in Sight! 🟢🚀
SEI has successfully broken out of the red resistance zone.
📊 Price is now on track toward the first target at the green line level.
A breakout here confirms bullish momentum and could trigger further upside if volume supports the move.