Bitcoin Breaks Key Support โ Bear Flag Signals Next DropYesterday, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) successfully broke through the support zone ($90,590-$89,320) and the 50_SMA(Daily) and support line.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, it seems that Bitcoin has formed a bearish flag pattern, suggesting a continuation of its downward trend.
From an Elliott Wave standpoint, it appears that Bitcoin has completed its wave 4 after a pullback to the support cluster, and we should now anticipate the next downward wave.
I expect that Bitcoin will begin to decline in the coming hours, potentially dropping at least to the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($87,240-$86,190), and if the support zone ($86,420-$83,830) is broken, we can expect even more downward movement.
Iโd love to hear your thoughts on Bitcoin. Do you think the downward trend will persist, and how far do you expect it to drop?
Stop Loss(SL): $90,743
CME gap: $93,060-$92,940
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $92,620-$91,040
๐ก Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
๐Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
๐ Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
โ
This is just my idea; Iโd love to see your thoughts too!
๐ฅ If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Btc-e
BITCOIN BULLS ARE GETTING READY TO SMACK BEARS!!!!Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, donโt trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new.
The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply).
With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future.
I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale.
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022
BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation | Dual Pullback Scenarios on the 1H Hello traders,
On the 1-hour timeframe, Gold is maintaining a clear bullish order flow, and Iโm currently favoring long opportunities. My plan is based on two possible bullish pullback scenarios, both requiring lower-timeframe confirmation before execution.
Scenario 1 โ Shallow Pullback:
If price continues to show strong bullish momentum, we may see a reaction from the hourly bullish order block, which is well aligned with a lower-timeframe order block. In this case, I will wait patiently for confirmation on the lower timeframe before entering long positions.
Scenario 2 โ Deeper Pullback (Preferred):
If price corrects deeper into the previous bullish leg, I expect a bullish reaction from key PD Arrays aligned with the higher-timeframe structure. This scenario offers a more favorable entry location, and personally, this is the setup I prefer to trade โ again, only after clear lower-timeframe confirmation.
Execution Plan:
No blind entries. Iโll be looking for confirmation such as market structure shifts or strong bullish reactions on lower timeframes before committing to a trade.
Patience is key. Let the market come to us.
Good luck and trade safe ๐ค
Bitcoin: Second Downtrend Wave Is Taking ShapeLadies and gentlemen, Bitcoin on the 4H timeframeโafter that relatively sharp 10% dropโis now primed to kick off the second downtrend wave. Stick with me in this analysis to break down the overall conditions and nail the best scenarios together. ๐งโโ๏ธ
๐ Start with daily timeframe: Post-major dump and correction (more time-based than price, at 0.38% of prior wave), it looks like we're resuming the MWC downtrend. Key bearish confirmation: break of major support around 85k. Bearish momentum is way stronger now.
Volumes spike on drops, dip on uptrend corrections.
Bearish candles sharper, bigger size, shorter time for more downside + last two candles are weak AF, more like profit-taking than fresh buys.
If today's candle closes like this with higher volume, expect drop to 85k, then 83.400 for Bitcoin.
๐ Drop to 4H: After plunge to P.P 4 and time-based correction start, we formed a boxโbreak of its support floor could resume the dump, so 88,636.85 break is our short trigger.
On the flip, with 90,356.19 break, no longs for me nowโdaily analysis makes it clear why.
85,845.83 is first bearish target, but do partial profits and take 'emโHWC is ranging, anything can pop off.
Volume surge at break is your best buddy, and final hint: Check BTC.D and altcoin BTC pairs as homeworkโmight uncover correlations for quicker profits and higher win rate.
By the way, Iโm Skeptic , founder of Skeptic Lab .
I focus on long-term performance through psychology, data-driven thinking, and tested processes.
Thanks for riding this ideaโif it delivered value, hit that boost to keep the momentum rolling and follow to build the squad. Toss any symbol you want dissected in the comments, I'll handle it. ๐ฉต
Now get outta here.
$BTC 1W Update: Don't get shaken out, anon Market update โ BTC higher-timeframe context
Yes, there was a sharp dump and, as usual, sentiment flipped to panic quickly. But stepping back to the weekly chart, this move was largely noise within structure, not a trend change.
Price is still chopping in the middle of the broader range. We flushed liquidity below local support, triggered stops, and immediately stabilized back into the prior value area. Thatโs classic range behavior, not breakdown behavior.
Key points from the chart:
โข No weekly range low has been lost
โข No high-timeframe support has been decisively broken
โข Volatility expanded, but structure remains intact
โข This looks more like redistribution and positioning than capitulation
In other words, the market did what ranges do: shake out weak hands in the middle before resolving later.
Until price accepts below the range lows or reclaims range highs, expect continued chop. Getting emotional in the middle is how traders get shaken out of good positioning.
Zoom out, respect the range, and let price confirm before assuming something bigger is happening.
BTC 1H Descending Range - Bottom Isometric Triangle ResolutionSince its failed breakout at 98k, BTC entered a descending range, quickly dropping under 89k to reach ~87k, to form an isometric triangle. A light ascending support is formed since the bottom, and the resolution direction depends on where it breaks.
Breaks descending line - momentum regained at least for a few hours and try reach target 1.
Breaks ascending line - momentum lost and target around 87k.
I'm in no way advising anything - just sharing my thoughts and observations.
The Gold/SPX Breakout Narrative Is a TrapSaw the GOLD / SP:SPX chart with people calling a breakout.
Not buying it.
Until this W candle actually confirms, there is no breakout.
For me, this is the top in gold or at least very close. Weโre talking days, not weeks.
The real trap?
People trying to time the perfect short on $XAU.
That wonโt work either.
Gold wonโt just roll over and die. Itโll chop, frustrate, and punish anyone trying to front-run the move. Longs get tired. Shorts get squeezed. Everyone loses patience.
And while thatโs happening, something bigger is unfolding.
The rotation from GOLD into CRYPTOCAP:BTC and risk assets is already in motion.
Itโs one of those transitions thatโll be studied in history books.
No indicators. No opinions. Nothing can stop it.
AVAX Testing Key Support โ Long Spot OpportunityAVAX is currently testing a significant support zone around the $12.00โฏโโฏ$12.75 range. This area has held historically, and price is showing signs of stabilization, potentially offering a good risk-to-reward setup for a spot long entry.
๐ฏ Entry Zone: $12.00โฏโโฏ$12.75
โ
Take Profit Targets:
โข TP1: $15.00โฏโโฏ$17.00
โข TP2: $18.50โฏโโฏ$21.00
๐ Stop Loss: Just below $11.40 (to protect against breakdown of support)
This setup favors patient accumulation at support with clear upside targets and controlled downside. As always, watch for confirmation signals like volume spikes or bullish structure before entering.
USDJPY FLYINGUSDJPY is maintaining a strong bullish continuation after a clean break and hold above the prior supply turned support zone, confirming bullish market structure with higher highs and higher lows on the daily timeframe. The recent consolidation acted as a healthy pause before continuation, absorbing supply and building liquidity for the next upside expansion, which aligns with the impulsive breakout now in play. Fundamentally, the pair remains supported by the persistent policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, where US yields stay elevated and risk sentiment continues to favor the dollar, while the yen remains structurally weak despite periodic intervention concerns. As long as price holds above the key demand zone and trend support, bullish momentum, breakout continuation, liquidity sweep, and trend-following strategies remain favored, targeting higher resistance levels with the trend firmly in control for profit-focused execution.
QuyetP | Bearish signal on Bitcoin - 1DBITSTAMP:BTCUSD Daily chart just broke Weekly minor structure to the downside.
This chart looks very bearish despite that USD is weak.
I was watching the market for last 2 months and it was just consolidation.
Im looking for sell at lower timeframe now.
Target is 75-78k$.
I plan to open some small positions first then add-in more when the market in trending.
Coinranger| BTCUSDT. Flat at 90500 - 87550?๐ฅNews
๐นThe WEF continues. Preliminary US manufacturing and services PMI data will issue at 17:45 (UTC+3) - no sharp movements expected.
๐ฅBTC
๐นStaying within yesterday's levels:
1๏ธโฃ The levels above are the same: 91800 and 92855.
2๏ธโฃ Below, 87550 remains actual.
The situation remains unclear. A pullback is still possible - we're currently seeing a triangle forming in the second wave. Potential flat ranges are 90500 - 87550.
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Share your thoughts in the comments!
Bearish reversal for the Bitcoin?The price has rejected off the pivot and could fall to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 90,345.62
1st Support: 86,783.95
1st Resistance: 92,360.63
Disclaimer:
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Bitcoinโs Head & Shoulders Has Played Out - Market Is ResettingOn the BTC H1 chart, the market has already completed a clean Head & Shoulders distribution, followed by a decisive breakdown and textbook retest, confirming bearish control in the prior structure. The impulsive sell-off after the retest flushed liquidity aggressively, signaling that weak longs were fully cleared. However, the key shift now is context: price is no longer trending impulsively lower. Instead, BTC has transitioned into a post-distribution accumulation range, marked by compressed, overlapping candles and diminishing downside momentum. This behavior suggests bearish momentum exhaustion, not trend continuation.
The current structure shows price stabilizing after the sell-off, with higher lows forming inside the range โ a classic rebalancing phase where smart money absorbs liquidity rather than pushing price immediately. As long as BTC holds above the recent swing low, the probability favors a range expansion to the upside, with the first objective being a move back toward the upper boundary of the accumulation zone. That move would represent a corrective recovery, not a full trend reversal yet.
The Head & Shoulders has already done its job. What follows is not immediate downside continuation, but structural digestion. Bitcoin is rebuilding a base. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above the range would open the door for a controlled bullish leg until then, this remains a range-first, patience-required environment, not a chase market.
BTC Panic: Why This Flush Out Is a MONSTER Trade OpportunityWe are revisiting our BTC Bitcoin "Monster Trade" strategy following the recent volatility spikes triggered by Donald Trumpโs tariff rhetoric at the World Economic Forum. While the market panicked, we saw a significant liquidity flush.
๐ฐ The "Monster Trade" Strategy In this video, I break down exactly how we are capitalizing on any deep retrace and more importantly, this current pullback. We are executing a systematic position-building strategy.
The main thing with this is we MUST lock in 50% profit on existing positions before opening new ones. This allows us to ride the entire trend while banking realized gains along the journey.
Because we have already banked profits, this deep retracement isn't a threat or a risk.
๐ The Macro View Looking at the Higher Time Frame (HTF), the technicals suggest the corrective trend is exhausting and potentially reversing. This structural shift indicates we are staring at a potentially once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to load the boat before the next parabolic Bitcoin rally.
Watch now to see the exact price levels I'm watching! ๐
BITCOIN / GOLD ratio's mind-blowing revelation.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains under heavy pressure since its October 2025 All Time High (ATH) but the BTC/GOLD ratio reveals that the real selling pressure in terms of the precious yellow metal has been boiling up for some time before that date.
In fact the ratio's last High was in August 2025, which technically was a Lower High as the true Top for BTC/GOLD's Cycle was in December 2024. Mind-blowing revelation indeed and that undoubtedly draws similarities with the previous Cycle, which also had a Double Top in 2021.
The key indicator here is the 1M RSI of the ratio. It has a Lower Lows trend-line, which has priced all Cycle bottoms since 2015. More recently (since January 2019) there is a diverging Lower Lows trend-line (dashed) also. The tight zone within those two trend-lines may be holding the key for this Cycle's bottom.
This shows that the bottom may be closer than we may expect but the last Bear Cycle showed a slowing down behavior once it approached the RSI Lower Lows and turned sideways before it finally made contact with it 6 months later. For the real BTC/GOLD price action though, the downtrend didn't slow down as much, first breaking violently below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) and finding bottom 6 months later as mentioned just above the 1M MA100 (green trend-line).
If we have a decreasing rate on the MA bottoms, we can expect the current Cycle to bottom below the 1M MA100 this time, closer to the 1M MA150 (red trend-line).
So closer than it looks or not in terms of bottom, the Bear Cycle is entering its 2nd and final Phase.
So what do you think about the BTC/GOLD approach? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Is Bitcoin about to crash? Read in full...Bitcoin is very slow lately and the same price range has been holding for months, no change truly. Normally, even while we recognize all of the signals and keep a bullish bias, it is still normal to wonder if Bitcoin will continue growing.
The active price range is the same since late November. Bitcoin has been moving between $84,000 to $92,000.
Now, think of this. Do you remember after the higher low 18-December how sellers couldn't produce a price below $86,000?
Regardless of all the fluctuations and the sideways range, the lowest possible was $86,400, never below, and this development is still true today.
The lowest Bitcoin has gone was $87,277, yesterday, and you can see how easily this is the final low. Last month it was $86,400, 24-Dec, this month it is ~$87,000.
We have a trading range but still, there is a clear and undeniable bullish bias. The most recent move is a higher high that peaked at a perfect level based on Fibonacci retracement; all the action is composed of higher highs and higher lows.
So, we have a bullish consolidation period, we can even say an uptrend if we consider only the short-term. This will lead to a higher high next.
The last target at $98,000 matches the 0.382 Fib. retracement level (inverted correction) on this chart. The next target is 0.618 which sits around $108,800... And that's all I have to say.
While the doubt is in the air, it is not in the chart. Trust the chart and all will be good.
The truth is that the next move has already being revealed. Bitcoin is going higher, at this point you can open LONG with any amount of leverage below 20X.
Any trading below $90,000 is a very strong buy opportunity right now. Do whatever you have to do to make the most out of this situation. It will soon be gone.
As soon as the relief rally is over Bitcoin will start to crash for months.
I've been mentioning Ethereum decoupling from Bitcoin but I don't really think so. I do believe Ether will produce massive growth before a major correction shows up, but when Bitcoin crashes everything crashes. Don't wait for the hype, greed and euphoria to take action. Now it is the time to go LONG.
Bitcoin is perfect right now, all the altcoins as well. The market is going up, but we have some reckoning to do after this bullish wave.
It is always the same; up and down, up and down, up and down... We can profit from both the bearish and bullish cycles.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin to 61,382$ we go! Hi, All
just here to warn you again of the next set of drops that will take place over the next two months.
Remember, we told you that price would be going down to the 80k support level once price was trading at 120,000$ and now were telling you the same thing again - albeit, there was a lot of nay sayers in the comments before saying that it was impossible for bitcoin to drop and it happened.
key level of support is at 80,934$ but I think this should be broken easily.
price discovery to the downside should take us to 69,675$, which is another key support.
none the less, over the coming two months neither of these supports will hold and price will break them eventually.
let me know in the comments what you think.
I've linked some previous ideas in the comments for you to see how accurate our analysis always is and with time it always comes to fruition.
Long Dimon, Short Corn: $XLF vs. $BTC๐๏ธ๐๏ธ๐๏ธ๐๏ธ๐๏ธ
๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฝ
Banks make profits
Banks can innovate and adopt new technologies
Bitcoin core devs can't.
Goal: Capture the capital flight from the meme of decentralised money and the central bank disruptor, back to the money centers of the US empire.
I believe a retest of December 2017 is on deck.
#XLF #BTC #Bitcoin #Corn #MacroTrade
BTC - The Last Standing Checkpoint!This blue zone is the line in the sand.
Right now, BTC is sitting at a critical checkpoint, where multiple reactions already took place. As long as this blue demand zone holds, the plan remains simple:
๐ Look for longs, in line with a potential continuation toward the upper bound of the structure.
However, this level matters a lot.
If price loses this blue zone and breaks down, that would signal a clear shift in control, and the bears would take over entirely, opening the door for much deeper downside.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
๐ Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! ๐
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
SUI โ Long Spot Setup at Key SupportSUI has retraced into a major support zone that has historically provided strong bullish reactions. We're watching the $1.45โ$1.50 range as a key accumulation area for a laddered long spot position.
๐ Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: $1.45 โ $1.50
Take Profit Targets:
โข TP1: $1.65 โ $1.95
โข TP2: $2.20 โ $2.50
Stop Loss: Below $1.30 (invalidates support structure)
This setup offers a favorable risk-reward profile as long as the $1.30 level holds. Watching closely for volume confirmation and potential bullish divergence before fully sizing in.






















