Get started

Btc-e

Example of How to Check Support Hello, fellow traders. By "Following," you'll always get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- How can we confirm that the price is supported at support and resistance levels? While support can be determined over time, it's not always easy to tell when support is being tested. The indicators we focus on are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. Then, in combination with the DOM(-60) and DOM(60) indicators, we identify low and high ranges and respond based on whether they are supported. In other words, we can use the basic trading strategy of buying if support is found in the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, and selling if resistance is found in the HA-High to DOM(60) range. - The current price is located near the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range. The DOM(-60) indicator has been maintained since its creation. Therefore, we can see that support is currently being tested near the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range. So, how can we determine if support is found and an upward trend is possible? This can be predicted by observing the movements of the OBV, StochRSI, and TC indicators. Since the current price is located near the HA-Low indicator, for the HA-Low indicator to support the price and move upward, the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators must be trending upward. If possible, 1. The StochRSI indicator should not have entered the overbought zone. 2. The TC indicator should remain above zero. 3. The OBV indicator should remain above the High Line. Applying the above conditions, we can see that support is still present and the likelihood of an upward trend is low. Even under these conditions, if the price remains near the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, we can say that support is present. - To examine the situation in more detail, let's examine the movement on the 15m chart. To determine whether support exists near the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, I've marked the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart. The DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators are generated on the 15m chart, and the upward movement is testing support as it meets the DOM(60) indicator. Therefore, even if the price declines from the HA-Low indicator point (87944.84) ​​on the 1D chart, if it maintains around the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low range on the 15m chart, it will likely attempt to rise again. To achieve this, as mentioned earlier, we must monitor the movements of the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators. If the StochRSI indicator enters the overbought zone, the upward movement may be limited. Therefore, to sustain the uptrend, it is best to ensure the StochRSI indicator has not entered the overbought zone. The TC indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the OBV + PVT + StochRSI indicators. An increase above the zero point indicates that buying pressure is dominant, while a decrease indicates that selling pressure is dominant. Therefore, even if the TC indicator shows an upward trend, the uptrend is likely to continue only if it rises above the zero point. The OBV indicator should be divided into three sections: 1. Low Line ~ High Line 2. Above the High Line 3. Below the Low Line 1. Low Line ~ High Line If the OBV indicator is within the Low Line ~ High Line range, it is best to assume that the price has entered a sideways trading range. Whether this sideways trading range is bullish or bearish can be determined by examining the trend of the channel formed by the Low Line ~ High Line. Since the channel formed by the Low Line ~ High Line is currently forming an upward channel, it should be interpreted as being within a bullish sideways trading range. 2. Above the High Line For the price to break out of the sideways trading range and enter an uptrend, it must rise above the High Line. 3. Below the Low Line For the price to break out of the sideways trading range and enter a downtrend, it must fall below the Low Line. Therefore, based on the movements of the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators, we should consider the current price unlikely to continue its upward trend and develop a response strategy. - Support may require observing the price movement for 1 to 3 days. However, the price has been held near the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low range for over two months. Therefore, it's correct to interpret the current price as being in an upward sideways range. If the OBV indicator falls below the Low Line and then below the DOM (-60) indicator, it will break out of the sideways range and enter a downtrend. This is the answer to the question of whether the current price is supported. For the price to show an upward trend, it must rise above at least DOM(-60) to HA-Low. To create a stepwise uptrend, or a full-blown uptrend, it must rise above HA-High to DOM(60). Therefore, if the current price rises from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, the resistance zone will be the HA-High to DOM(60) range. Since the HA-High and HA-Low indicators are the most important indicators, the price must rise above the HA-High indicator and remain there for a full-blown uptrend to occur. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
2
BTC Forecast Update – January 14, 2026 (EN - 26.01.2026)Good day, folks! As promised, here is my updated view of the market. Daily-chart snapshot The range-bound phase is over: buyers have accumulated positions and launched an attack. What I expect next • After a breakout and solid close above USD 98 400, I’m looking for a three-week accumulation cycle. During this pause, longs will partially take profit while re-loading for the next push toward USD 113 500. • A decisive assault on the USD 122 500 target is very likely. • Based on the likely news flow, speculative positions will probably be trimmed by autumn, opening the door to a deep year-end correction. • Longer-term, I still see an objective at USD 103 400. Tactics right now Today’s spike will almost certainly stall around the current level. This is an ideal zone to lock in gains and watch from the sidelines until fresh confirmation appears. My broader stance on BTC and rates was laid out in earlier posts on dominance—see the linked ideas. What I love about markets (and math) as a die-hard techie is their cyclicality. That’s exactly what we’re witnessing on this chart. Key check-in dates: late February, late May, July–August. P.S. English translation of my 14-Jan-2026 outlook. NFA. DYOR. #BTC #SinnSeed As of 26 Jan 2026, the targets remain unchange
Long
by SinnSeed
3
BTC/USDT — Bearish Continuation After Pennant Breakdown✔️ The week closed with a bearish candle below previous closes. Combined with last week’s structure, this confirms a bearish setup. 🟢 Hidden QE continues. 🟢 The longer conditions stay weak, the closer we get to relief — there are no stronger bullish arguments for now. 🟠 Fear has become the market’s baseline. 🟠 Gold at 5100 is historically overbought. A sharp correction looks likely — the only question is whether it becomes a trend reversal. 🔴 Significant ETF selling continues. 🔴 Negative cumulative delta: –$1.23B. 🔴 Geopolitical risk remains elevated. As the Greenland issue faded, escalation risks around Iran emerged. Markets are reacting lower. 🔴 Price broke down from a bearish pennant. The probability of sweeping lows below 80k has increased materially. 🧠 Markets can remain irrational longer than traders can remain solvent. Equities currently look relatively rational. Metals and commodities are reacting logically to geopolitics. Crypto, however, absorbs all the irrationality — amplified. A few more liquidation waves, and the reversal usually follows.
by MLDpwnz
[LOI] - BTR - BTR Key Points Purpose : Bitlayer is a Layer 2 network built on Bitcoin, designed to enable scalable DeFi applications while maintaining Bitcoin's security through BitVM technology. It aims to unlock Bitcoin's capital for broader use in smart contracts and decentralized finance. Problem Solved: Bitcoin's native limitations in scalability, programmability, and transaction throughput hinder complex DeFi; Bitlayer addresses this by providing Turing-complete contracts via an optimistic validation scheme, allowing high-throughput execution without compromising Bitcoin's consensus. Bullish Case for Demand : With Bitcoin's ecosystem gaining traction in 2026 amid BTCFi narratives, Bitlayer's EVM compatibility, yield-generating assets like YBTC, and upcoming enhancements could drive adoption; its low market cap (~$30M) suggests high growth potential but also volatility, making it risky to short as pumps (e.g., recent 46%+ daily gains) indicate strong speculative interest. Partnerships : Key collaborations include mining pools (Antpool, F2Pool, SpiderPool) controlling ~40% of Bitcoin hashrate, DeFi platforms like Kamino Finance and Orca for YBTC integration on Solana, infrastructure ties with AWS and Chainlink, and ecosystem links with Sui, Base, Arbitrum, and Cardano. Current Market Cap : Approximately $30.6 million, with a circulating supply of 261.6 million BTR out of 1 billion total; this low cap amplifies upside potential in a bullish BTC L2 market but heightens risk. Recent Announcements : January 2026 funding surge of $29 million to enhance BTC and multi-chain integrations; anticipated mainnet upgrade in February 2026; USDC token contract update; outlook for further growth including Bitcoin event participation. Notes on how I personally use my charts/NFA: Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 (Or S1-S3) has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic. Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE I am not a financial advisor. The Content in this TradingView Idea is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. Nothing contained within this idea constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. All Content on this idea post is information of a general nature and does not address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Nothing in the idea/post constitutes professional and/or financial advice, nor does any information on the idea/post constitute a comprehensive or complete statement of the matters discussed or the law relating thereto. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other Content on the idea/post before making any decisions based on such information. Sir. Galahad - QUANT Disclaimer The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by.
Long
by SirGalahad-QUANT
1
Why You Should Backtest (Before You Trust Any Strategy)Most traders ask the wrong question. They ask: “Does this strategy work?” The better question is: “When does this strategy stop working?” Backtesting exists to answer that. 1. A Single Backtest Is Not Proof One profitable run does not mean a strategy is good. It means it worked once, under one set of assumptions. Markets change. Volatility changes. Behavior changes. Backtesting across parameters, symbols, and timeframes shows whether performance is structural or accidental. 2. Drawdown Matters More Than Profit Profit attracts attention. Drawdown determines survival. Two strategies can both make money. Only one lets you stay disciplined long enough to compound. Backtesting reveals: Worst historical drawdown Length of drawdowns Recovery behavior If you don’t know those, you don’t know the strategy. 3. Most Strategies Fail From Fragility Many strategies look great until you: Change RSI length by 2 Shift timeframe slightly Switch from BTC to ETH If performance collapses from small changes, the edge isn’t robust. Backtesting exposes fragility before the market does. 4. Backtesting Protects You From Yourself Most trading mistakes aren’t technical. They’re emotional. Backtesting: Sets realistic expectations Reduces overconfidence Prevents panic exits during normal variance Confidence comes from data, not conviction. 5. Backtesting Is About Risk, Not Prediction Backtesting doesn’t predict the future. It defines boundaries. It tells you: What’s normal What’s abnormal When something is truly broken That’s the difference between trading and guessing. Final Thought Strategies don’t fail because they’re bad. They fail because traders never tested their limits. Backtesting isn’t optional. It’s the cost of taking trading seriously.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Quant_Trading_Pro
3
The Trendline Just Broke. Here's What Happens Next:We're at $88,050, sitting dead center between the recent $97,932 high and $84,408 low. The structure just flipped bearish with a confirmed CHoCH, and that ascending trendline that held for 21 touches? It broke. Now it's resistance at $89,028, and we need to map the probabilities from here. 1. THE STRUCTURAL SHIFT 📉 • CHoCH Bearish confirmed - swing structure officially flipped from bullish to bearish • Trendline break: Ascending support from $86,355 broken after 21 touches, now resistance at $89,028 • EMA rejection: Trading below all three majors (EMA20 $88,520, EMA50 $89,909, EMA200 $90,955) • Converging wedge active: Width $7,187, midline $92,621, descending resistance at $96,215 2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️ Bearish Signals: • Volume 26% below average ($12,204 vs $16,521) - weak conviction • Trading below middle Bollinger Band at $88,683 • MFI 37.7 shows weak money flow • ADX 30.8 confirms moderate directional bias present Bullish Signals: • RSI 36.0 approaching oversold (not there yet) • MACD showing tiny bullish crossover (MACD -743.6 vs Signal -756.0) • Lower wick dominance 47.6% - buyers attempting defense The Conflict: We're seeing early MACD divergence, but price structure hasn't confirmed anything bullish. The buying attempts lack follow-through, and volume suggests neither side has conviction yet. 3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯 🔴 Scenario A: Downside Continuation (Higher Probability) • Trigger: Rejection at $88,800-$89,028 (broken trendline zone) OR failure to reclaim bearish order block • Entry: $88,800 on rejection confirmation • TP1: $87,205 (1.8% move, support test) • TP2: $86,966 (bullish FVG fill - unfilled imbalance) • Support zone: $87,849-$87,189 (bullish order block demand) • Stop: $91,400 (above bearish OB invalidation) • R:R: Approximately 1:2.5 Key Resistance Zone: Bearish order block $91,195-$89,438 - expect heavy sellers if we bounce 🟢 Scenario B: Bullish Reclaim • Trigger: 4H close above $91,195 (breaks bearish order block) • Confirmation: Reclaim $94,551 (premium territory) • Invalidation: CHoCH bullish reversal negates entire bearish thesis • This is where you flip bias immediately MY VERDICT The setup favors downside continuation. CHoCH confirmed, trendline broken, weak volume in a downtrend typically precedes another leg lower. But if we reclaim $91,195 with conviction and volume, the thesis breaks and you don't marry your bias. Confidence: 68% bearish.
Short
by MonoCoinSignal
21
Why Default Strategy Settings Break Down Across MarketsThe Assumption: Defaults Are Good Enough Most traders start with default indicator settings . RSI at 14. MACD at 12, 26, 9. Moving averages set to familiar values. Defaults feel safe because they are familiar. They feel reasonable because they are widely used. The problem: defaults are not designed to work across all symbols, timeframes, or market conditions. The solution: instead of assuming defaults are acceptable, test how those settings behave when parameters are varied. Small changes often reveal whether a strategy is stable or dependent on coincidence. The Assumption: If It Works on One Chart, It Should Work Elsewhere A strategy looks clean on a single chart. Entries make sense. Losses feel explainable. Confidence builds. The problem: one chart is not a market. Performance on a single symbol or timeframe says very little about robustness. The solution: test the same logic across multiple symbols and timeframes. When behavior changes dramatically, it’s not failure, it’s information. Consistency across variation is what signals durability. The Assumption: Indicator Logic Is the Edge Traders often focus heavily on the logic behind indicators. Momentum, trend, mean reversion. The reasoning feels solid. The problem: good logic does not guarantee good behavior. Two parameter sets can follow the same logic and produce completely different risk profiles. The solution: explore how performance shifts as parameters move. Testing ranges, not single values, shows whether logic holds up under pressure or collapses when assumptions change. The Assumption: Profit Tells the Full Story Many traders judge strategies by net profit alone. The problem: profit without context hides risk. Large drawdowns, unstable equity curves, or long stagnation periods often go unnoticed until they’re experienced live. The solution: test for drawdown, consistency, and trade distribution alongside profit. Seeing how risk expands or contracts across parameter combinations changes how strategies are evaluated. The Assumption: Defaults Fail Because Markets Changed When defaults stop performing, traders often blame the market. The problem: markets always change. A strategy that only works under narrow conditions was fragile from the start. The solution: testing across broader conditions reveals whether a strategy is regime-dependent or structurally resilient. This allows expectations to adjust before capital is exposed. What Testing Actually Replaces Testing doesn’t replace strategy logic. It replaces assumptions. It replaces: “This should work” “This looks reasonable” “Everyone uses this” With: “This is how it behaves” “This is where it struggles” “This is how sensitive it is” Final Thought Default settings are not wrong. They are incomplete. They are a starting point, not a conclusion. The moment defaults are tested across parameters, symbols, and timeframes, they stop being assumptions and start becoming data. That shift is where real understanding begins.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Quant_Trading_Pro
1W ETH Update: Back in the dreaded range ETH update – back inside the range Ethereum has now reclaimed the range on the weekly, and that’s the key takeaway here. After the downside reaction, price has rotated back above prior range support, and this week’s candle confirms acceptance rather than a quick rejection. That’s exactly what you want to see after a shakeout. What stands out: • ETH is back trading within the established HTF range • The reclaim around the mid-range held • Weekly structure remains intact • This move invalidates immediate breakdown risk This reinforces the idea that the recent selloff was a liquidity sweep and positioning reset, not a structural failure. As long as ETH holds inside this range, the path of least resistance is continued chop with an upside bias, not trend reversal. Range rules apply again: Below support → reassess Inside range → patience Acceptance toward range highs → expansion potential ETH did the hard part by getting back inside. Now it’s about continuation and confirmation.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by OnchainNewsBlog
NEARUSDT - weak coin, retesting the bottomThe coin continues to test support at 1.420, but the reaction is weakening each time, indicating that buyers may not be able to hold the level. The dominance of bears in the market is reflected in the volumes. Sellers are closing their positions in a panic. After a pullback and retest of local resistance, the decline may continue. If there is no deep pullback and the price returns to support in the short term, a breakout and a drop to 1.265 may occur.
Short
by AndeWave
4
BTC analysis 01.26.2026After touching the $95000 level, and even higher a block of liquidity of short traders, we trigerrred their stop-losses, it's noticeable according to how fastly the candle was moving at that moment... Right now, we see a reversal trend from key level and bearish candles on 4-hour timeframe which can lead to break of strong support level on $90000. There's still a lot of liquidity in low levels because if we take a look at higher level, we can see that most short traders were already liquidated... and there's nothing left to clear the market from overleveraged short traders. Funding rate is mostly negative which tells us about the market sentiment, people don't believe in growth and they bet on fall. Also, we can see a huge bearish flag on the 4-hour timeframe that usually is filled in most 90% situations, so it's just a matter of the time when we will reach $82000-$80000 support levels. I'd try to trade from only short zones to catch small moves around $1500-$2000. If you're still not sure about this current setup, you can just wait for a more clearer scenario. Most traders feel dissapointed because of the altseason, and now they started betting against the growth. There are a lot of factors which indicate about upcoming bullish cycle. Trump family is still buying BTC, let alone ETFs inflow started growing also, it's essential to keep an eye on IBIT ETF (BLACKROCK ETF), thanks to this you can find at what moment the growth of entire crypto market might start.
Short
by Elimzo
2
RIOT Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:RIOT 🎯 Price completed wave II of 3, reclaiming the daily 200EMA and pivot. The next challenge is to overcome the High Volume Node resistance. The uptrend is strong. 📈 Daily RSI hit oversold with bullish divergence and has room to grow. 👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node, $10 Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities 🎯RIOT is behaving as expected in the usual range, sitting above fv, moving along its steady growth path. 👉Fair value is ~$15 safe trading
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Maddox_Metrics
3
MSTR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:MSTR 🎯 Price dropped hard wave Y of 4, invalidating the previous analysis. Wave Y can complete any time in this flat correction pattern, but is approaching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, a high probability bottom. 📈 Daily RSI printed hidden bearish divergence, suggesting lower to come 👉 Continued downside has a target of the S1 pivot, $136 Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities 🎯MSTR has finally completed its overheated cooldown, dipping below fv. Downside momentum is in control and could continue to push the price down further. SD-2 threshold is $120 👉Fair value is ~$200 Safe trading
NASDAQ:MSTR
by Maddox_Metrics
MARA Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:MARA 🎯 Previous downside target was hit, $8. Price dropped hard, changing the Elliott wave count completely, stopping at the golden pocket. Wave (Z) of B appears complete, but we need to see ahigher high to confirm 📈 Daily RSI went deep into oversold with bullish divergence and is now printing hidden bearish divergence 👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node bottom, $7 Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities 🎯MARA dropped to the SD-2 threshold, presenting a good opportunity to buy, below fv. 👉Fair value is ~$22 Safe trading
NASDAQ:MARA
by Maddox_Metrics
1
IREN Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:IREN 🎯 Iren wave 4 hit the daily 200EMA, just above 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. Price is at High Volume Node resistance, but above the daily pivot and 200EMA, showing the uptrend is intact. Continued downside has a target of the daily 200EMA, $26.75 📈 Daily RSI has not reached oversold 👉 Analysis is invalidated only at all time high, for now Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities 🎯IREN came back down to it’s expected range and jumped back into the SD+2 overbought zone. The incline is steep, reflecting its strong growth, giving strong down days also. Price is above fv 👉Fair value is ~$35 Safe trading
NASDAQ:IREN
by Maddox_Metrics
HUT Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:HUT 🎯 Price jumped back up following my path. Wave 4 of V was indeed complete at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node just above the daily 200EMA. The daily R1 pivot has been claimed. The uptrend is well intact. 📈 Daily RSI is showing bearish divergence as price falters 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close below wave 4, $30 Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities 🎯 Hut is in the SD+2 overheated zone, where it is expected to spend <5% of the time. Price has a tendency to rally above the SD+3 threshold before being rejected, characteristic of low-cap assets. Price is well above fv, traders should be cautious 👉Fair value is ~$20 Safe trading
NASDAQ:HUT
by Maddox_Metrics
COIN Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:COIN 🎯 Price continued lower, ignoring all bullish divergences, though another is forming. Price has filled the gap and sits in the golden pocket. The bears are in control. 📈 Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence from oversold, a strong bottoming signal. 👉 Analysis is invalidated above $263, suggesting a major bottom is in Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities 🎯COIN behaving as expected. Price tested the SD+2 threshold 3 times and was rejected to fv each time. No momentum took hold despite COIN’s big run. Price is at fv. 👉Fair value is ~$225 Safe trading
NASDAQ:COIN
by Maddox_Metrics
CIFR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:CIFR 🎯 The triangle has flipped to a bearish-looking triangle. This is a penultimate pattern, we can expect price to thrust lower, test the daily 200EMA, end the correction and then makes its way to new highs. l pattern Wave d of the triangle may still be underway, wave e is expected to end at the daily pivot where price currently sits, above the daily 200EMA, showing the uptrend is still intact but flattening. 📈 Daily RSI is neutral, reflecting triangle dynamics 👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave b or above wave a. Safe trading
NASDAQ:CIFR
by Maddox_Metrics