Bitcoin - Compression Before Expansion?⚔️Bitcoin has been absorbing pressure above a rising base , with price holding firmly above the ascending blue trendline. Despite the prior selloff, bears are no longer able to push price lower, signaling structural strength building beneath the surface.
Price is now pressing against a key resistance band. This zone is acting as the final barrier between consolidation and continuation. A clean break and hold above this area would shift control decisively back to the bulls and open the door for a move toward the 100K psychological level and beyond.📈
🏹Until then, the bias remains cautiously bullish , with buyers clearly defending dips and preparing for a potential expansion phase.
Is this the calm before Bitcoin’s next leg higher?🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Btc-e
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #257👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. The strong bullish trend of Bitcoin is still continuing.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
Bitcoin is still continuing its bullish trend, and yesterday, after breaking 93,149, it continued its move up to 94,478.
🔔 At the moment, after a pullback to the 93,149 area, Bitcoin is once again moving toward 94,478.
📊 Buy volume has not increased significantly yet, and in my opinion, if the price is going to break 94,478, buy volume also needs to increase.
🧮 For now, we can consider the break of 94,478 as a trigger for opening a long position. In my opinion, as long as the price stays above 93,149, this trigger is a very good one for long positions.
⛏ However, if the price consolidates below 93,149, we will get confirmation of the end of the bullish wave, and in that case, Bitcoin can correct down to lower areas such as 91,585 and 91,118.
💥 For a trend change, after the price consolidates below 93,149, we can get confirmation of a bearish trend in Bitcoin by forming lower highs and lower lows based on Dow Theory.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsCRYPTOCAP:BTC
🎯The bottom appears to be in as Bitcoin climbs the wall of worry once more. However, a break above $94295 is needed to negate the bearish divergence appearing in the daily RSI. Wave (3) appears to be underway; we should expect a strong move in the coming days/weeks. The first resistance will be the daily 200EMA; overcoming this will be bullish. Price is above the daily pivot, showing a bullish trend emerging.
📈 Daily RSI is creeping to overbought with bearish divergence now negated at a High Volume Node resistance.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (2), bringing up the downside target $76600
Safe trading
Bitcoin Map: Make It Or Break ItThe main coin has been under pressure after a strong Bearish Divergence
appeared on the chart
www.tradingview.com(
Two bearish patterns formed consecutively after the all time high
The second one, a Bear Flag, was recently invalidated
Price has now reached the lower boundary of the yellow uptrend and bounced so far
This puts Bitcoin in a clear Make It Or Break It zone
Below is the updated big picture showing three possible paths for Bitcoin, from bearish to bullish
1) The orange circle marks the current consolidation, very similar to what we saw in 2022
This scenario suggests another leg down toward the next major support around $48k
2) The red zigzag outlines a potential reversal via a Head & Shoulders structure, where the Right Shoulder may still be forming
Price could first move toward the mid line before reversing lower
3) The final scenario represents an ultra bullish outcome, where price breaks above the mid line and pushes to the opposite side of the channel around $140–150k
BTCUSD H4 | Potential Bearish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off our sell entry level at 94,989.50, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 97,969.25, which is a pullback resistance, that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Our take profit is set at 89,857.71, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
BTCUSD Break & Retest Setup | Resistance Turned SupportBitcoin is currently consolidating after a strong bullish move. Price has retested the previous resistance zone, which is now acting as support. This area shows buying pressure and potential continuation toward the upside.
If price holds above the marked zone, we can expect a bullish push toward the target area. A clean break below support will invalidate the setup.
🎯 Target: 94,800 – 95,000
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 92,400
⏱ Timeframe: 30 Minutes
📊 Bias: Bullish continuation
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use proper position sizing. Wait for confirmation before entering. Trade at your own risk.
Bitcoin Is Not Overextended — This Is a Structured Trend Hello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin remains in a clean, well-respected bullish trend, and the current price action continues to validate trend continuation rather than exhaustion.
Market Structure Breakdown
The chart shows a clear ascending structure, defined by:
Higher highs and higher lows
Price consistently respecting the ascending trendline
Each pullback forming a rounded corrective base, followed by impulsive expansion
Every highlighted orange circle marks a successful reaction at trend resistance, which was later converted into support. This is a textbook example of break → accept → continue, not rejection.
Key Technical Observations
The impulsive leg from ~91,000 to above 92,800 was followed by tight consolidation, not aggressive selling.
Current candles are holding above the prior breakout level (~92,300), confirming acceptance, not a fake move.
Pullbacks remain shallow and overlapping, indicating buyers are in control and sellers lack follow-through.
Scenario Logic
The projected path is structurally sound:
Hold above 92,300 → continuation remains valid
Minor consolidation / flagging → fuel for expansion
Upside continuation toward 93,900, then 94,400+
Importantly, there is no distribution signature:
No sharp rejection from highs
No aggressive bearish displacement
No loss of trendline structure
Invalidation Conditions
This bullish continuation thesis only weakens if:
Price loses 92,300 with acceptance
Followed by a breakdown below 91,800, which would indicate a deeper corrective phase
Until then, any pullback is structural, not directional.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is not “too high” — it is doing exactly what a strong trend should do:
Break levels
Pause briefly
Continue higher
As long as price remains above the reclaimed supports and respects the rising structure, the path of least resistance remains upward.
Trade safe and stay disciplined.
First 2026 Shot on #NZDUSD ?📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #NZDUSD
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
I'm Not a fan of it but , lets see . with a valid momentum Structure we can take it as a QuickScalp
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Wait for Momentum around key levels
• No chasing moves, let price come to you
• Manage risk aggressively, protect capital first
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
ETHEREUM - Consolidation near 3150 ahead of rallyBINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is rising after breaking through trend resistance and consolidating. The main trend remains bearish, but there are local indications of bullish support. The 3150 trigger is ahead.
Bitcoin is strengthening amid geopolitical nuances, acting as a hedging factor (locally). A rise in the leading cryptocurrency could support Ethereum, which, in turn, could trigger a breakout of 3150 and a subsequent rally.
Ethereum is consolidating near 3150, forming resistance (a trigger). Technically, consolidation continues, and the coin may test local lows at 3120-3100 before retesting 3150 and continuing the rally.
Resistance levels: 3150, 3200, 3270
Support levels: 3120, 3100, 3077
If the pullback is not deep and the price quickly returns to retest 3150, then we can continue to monitor the coin, waiting for a signal to long...
If the bulls hold the price above resistance after breaking through 3150, this move could trigger continued growth toward 3200-3270.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
$BTC Relief Rally Looks Promising₿itcoin showing some real promise here, but got rejected on the Daily Close for the key support zone that it needs to reclaim at the .618 fib ~$94,2k
It did close above the 50DEMA and we have a bullish cross with the 9DEMA on the horizon which should drop us into the new support zone.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC really needs some closes above $97k to make this rally a reality tho.
The next target would be the 50WMA ~$101,5 which could be the critical rejection point where most would be offloading.
The bearish Weekly Close on TVC:GOLD helps confirm this rally.
BTC TO 92XXX First after a pull back TO 97-98XXXBTC is resisting to drop . so if we look at the last 3 months we have been falling. Then we need to think simple. If BTC is not dropping fram that level, then must go up alittle. Also notice MACD in circled...To me, BTC will go to and see 92xxx First, after a pull back to 97-98xxx before Xmas or just after Xmas as a gift.
Bitcoin looks positive in short term: what’s the story behind?Bitcoin looks positive in the short term: what’s the story behind it?
From a technical perspective, the picture remains clearly strong.
• FRVP POC stands at 87.3K. As long as price holds above this level, the positive narrative remains intact. This zone also represents a key area of cost concentration in the short term.
• ADX at 51.5 confirms that the trend is strong. This suggests the move is not a weak bounce, but a well-defined directional trend.
• RSI has moved above 80 (4h). While this increases the probability of a short-term profit-taking pullback, it also signals that momentum remains strong.
Any pullbacks from here are more likely to be healthy corrections rather than structural breakdowns. In this scenario, with minor retracements, price could test the Fibonacci levels at 98K and then 103K.
In summary:
Short-term cooling is normal, but from a data perspective, the trend is still working in Bitcoin’s favor.
Bitcoin recovers, set to move back above $100,000Bitcoin just hit the highest price since the bearish breakdown, we have a local uptrend, a technical confirmation of the relief rally and recovery.
First, we used the chart signals to predict a reversal and relief rally. Now, it is confirmed based on Bitcoin's price action. We have higher highs and higher lows since 21-November. This fully reveals that we are headed higher in the coming weeks. All the altcoins are also recovering and/or moving forward for a while now.
In the last 24 hours, $216.2M worth of SHORT positions have been liquidated, vs only $11.7M worth of LONGs. This clearly reveals an overwhelming bearish bias and sentiment on Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
What happens when the sentiment changes from bearish to bullish? What happens when the market realizes that we are headed up?
I'll tell you, a massive bullish run.
Namaste.
05/01/26 Weekly OutlookHappy new year everyone!
As 2026 begins BTC bulls will be looking to continue last weeks momentum continuing this LTF rally from mid $80,000's towards 2025's yearly open of $93,300.
Liquidity in theory should support this continuation move as year end window dressing is over, the Fed have begun to inject cash into the markets again having ended QT. It is also important to note that BTC ETF's had a net inflow of $460m last week which does look positive for the bulls.
This week I would be looking very closely at weekly high and any price acceptance above that level. That would mean $100,000 major resistance level is the next step for this rally but it is a huge hurdle to jump, with $108,000 being an even bigger one after that.
Should the weekly high fail to hold once again a rangebound SFP play is the logical move, with midpoint ($89,300) and weekly low (86,800) the targets for the bears.
CELO at a Key Inflection Point | Price OutlookELO has been consolidating since mid-December after a steep 62% decline from November’s highs.
📅 Thursday’s upcoming event could be the catalyst to break this range.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
Breakout above $0.1318 could target resistance near $0.1401, within December 15’s bearish weekly void.
Further upside may stall at $0.1438–$0.1463, overlapping multiple voids and October’s swing low.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
First support sits at $0.1227 (Jan 3 daily void), with confluence from:
$0.1215 (Dec 30 rejection),
$0.1197 (Dec 22 weekly rejection), and
$0.1089 (Jan 1 swing low).
These are key zones where accumulation and stop defense may be active.
BTC Update — 92K Zone as Bull Run Trigger (100K+ Scenario)Bitcoin is approaching a critical decision zone around 92K, which is acting as a major pivot for the next macro move. Price action shows consolidation and higher acceptance just below resistance, suggesting strength is building rather than distribution.
Why 92K Matters
📍 Key reclaim zone: 92K has historically acted as a strong resistance/support flip.
📈 Structure shift: Sustained trading above this level would confirm a higher high on the intraday structure.
🔊 Volume context: Current compression indicates that once volume expands, the move could be fast and directional.
Bullish Scenario
A confirmed breakout and hold above 92K can be the start of a broader bull phase.
From this zone, BTC has a high probability to accelerate toward 100K+, with momentum-driven extensions possible once psychological resistance is cleared.
Pullbacks above 92K would likely be seen as retests, not reversals.
Invalidation / Risk
Failure to hold 92K after a breakout would delay the move and keep BTC range-bound.
As long as price holds above the current base, downside risk remains controlled.
Summary
This 92K zone is the ignition level.
If BTC accepts above it with volume, the market structure opens the door for a strong bullish continuation toward 100K and beyond.
📌 Patience here is key — confirmation turns this zone into the launchpad.
So, Maduro's capture is good for BITCOIN ??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and especially the altcoin market, has been rising strongly every since Maduro's capture by the U.S., which is the most dominant macro geopolitical event since perhaps Trump's global tariffs a little less than a year ago.
So what does that mean, that such an act is good for the crypto market? Well not quite. Macro economic and geopolitical unrest events like this have acted as catalysts for major market movements that rarely are to the upside.
Some may argue that BTC is purely acting on its original inception role, a safe haven against times of uncertainty/ volatility. But what we see on these first trading days of 2026, is that the market is so far following the historical Bear Cycle print that all previous cycles followed.
What's that? It broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in over 2 months, marking the first Low of the new Bear Cycle. What all previous Bear Cycles did when that break-out took place, was a short-term rebound (counter trend rally) that always hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and got rejected. In 2 times out of 3, it also tested the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the recent Low.
After that 1D MA200 test was concluded, the bearish trend was resumed and the price bottomed towards the end of that year. In 2 out of 3 Cycles again, the bottom was at or below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Cycle Low. Only the 2014 Cycle differed but that's to be expected as it was the first one and at the same time most aggressive. The current 0.382 Fib with a Target price of $56700, would be much less aggressive, which is natural due to the Theory of Diminishing Returns and Bitcoin's price stabilization as mass adoption kicks in more and more with each passing Cycle.
As a result, what we still think (presented this possibility over a month ago) the market will do now is rally towards 100k and then start Phase 2 of the Bear Cycle to bottom at least on $56700.
Do you agree that's a viable scenario? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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1W WIF Chart: Potential bottom on WIF? I’m watching WIF cautiously on the weekly, but it’s now firmly on my radar for a potential bottoming process, along with other SOL ecosystem meme coins.
After a prolonged and aggressive downtrend from the highs, downside momentum has slowed materially. Price is no longer cascading lower and is instead compressing near the lows, which is often how these assets begin transitioning from distribution into early accumulation. This isn’t a reversal yet, but it is a change in behavior.
Structurally, WIF is spending time building value near the bottom of its range rather than bouncing and failing immediately. Volatility has contracted significantly compared to prior selloffs, and each push lower is attracting quicker responses from buyers, even if they’re still cautious.
I’m not assuming this is a bottom, but this is the zone where bottoms typically form if they’re going to form at all. The key for me will be time and confirmation: higher lows, reduced sell pressure, and eventually a reclaim of prior weekly resistance. Until then, patience is critical.
This same dynamic is starting to show up across several SOL meme names, which makes it worth monitoring as a group rather than in isolation. For now, this remains a watch-and-wait situation, with risk management front and center and no need to force exposure before the structure proves itself.
Let the chart explainFirstly, HAPPY NEW YEAR!!
In terms of the chart, people seem not to understand - candlesticks provide a whole lot of info. The majority of indicators are reflections of old price action.
Last year I covered several posts on mechanical structures and the associated techniques. Here's one;
Let's give an example here using GBPUSD.
This is how you can simplify your trading.
First, identify the larger range.
There are two obvious things that stand out in this example; firstly the trend itself and secondly, the break of the structure that caused the new low.
The reason they are important is to show the momentum (orderflow), in other words, who's in control.
We could do this in several ways - the mechanical is just a simple way to allow you to repeat the same process almost on autopilot.
Once you can spot the obvious without much effort, the ranges become a lot easier and the analysis is done in under one minute.
Now I have my range, next step I can look for some rationale as to where and why a Pull Back is likely to come to.
For clarification
Just to show you, a simple way to do this is use the volume profile tool and just cover range high or low to the opposing high or low.
So why here?
Well, to understand this, there are some other interesting areas to look into, such as supply and demand (not for this post) but in simple terms, it was this supply that made the new low.
OK, so if you get this so far. Another post that might be useful for you is one of my posts from 2021 here on @TradingView. This, is a lesson on Dow Theory.
Once you understand the primary range is what was drawn, you can then shift your attention to the secondary trend.
If you remember, how we broke down the external range. You can now see an internal range formed.
If this low had been taken out - the story would be completely different. This would have given more reason for the Pullback to be over and done with.
But in the example, the low held and that means it is still in the Pullback phase. So, unless the larger range high in broken. Indicating a larger trend shift.
The logic is simple, look for changes of character on the smaller ranges and watch them fall like dominoes. Once the secondary trend switches to your favour (back down, in the example) then you have some good, high probability setups on the cards.
Happy New Year to you all, again!
2026 is going to be another AWESOME YEAR!!!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Is Bitcoin on the verge of a bullish move? (4H)This analysis is an update to the previous one, which you can find in the related analyses section.
The previous analysis is still valid, and Wave D of this diametric pattern needs to complete. Since trading volume was low and it was the end of the year, this move has taken longer.
I had marked a red line in the previous analysis, noting that as long as this line isn’t convincingly broken, the price cannot recover. In the past, every time the price approached this line, it was quickly rejected but now, after moving above this red line, it hasn’t been rejected yet.
We’ve marked Bitcoin’s targets on the chart.
Let’s see how it plays out.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.






















