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Btcusdanalysis

BTC/USD Eyeing Breakout Toward $121.5K – Supply Zone Retest ?Current Price: ~$119,872 showing consolidation just above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Structure: Price has bounced from the supply zone (~118.4K–118.6K) and is currently pushing upward. Ichimoku Cloud: Price is trading within a cloud breakout attempt, indicating potential bullish momentum. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Two unfilled FVGs above suggest liquidity targets at ~$120.6K and ~$121.5K. Support Levels: Strong Support: ~$115.8K–116.5K. Local Supply Zone Support: ~$118.4K. Target: Main upside target sits at $121,533, aligning with a prior high and liquidity pool. Trade Plan (Long Setup): Entry: $119,700 – $119,900 (current consolidation zone) Stop Loss: Below $118,400 (below supply zone) Take Profit 1: $120,600 (first FVG target) Take Profit 2: $121,533 (major resistance/liquidity target) Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.8 Notes: Wait for a bullish confirmation candle or 1H close above $119,900 before entering. Avoid chasing if price spikes without retest. This plan follows the chart’s bullish structure and aims to ride the move into the untested liquidity areas above. If you want, I can also give you a short scenario plan in case price rejects here. That would make this a full two-way trade setup.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by KingProTrader
3
Feeling the charts, forecast for August 14, 2025. I am engaged in the extrasensory of stock charts, that is, feeling the energy of the future chart, this is a meditative technique, and the sensations are mainly tactile. Forecast for August 14, 2025, after today's growth, I expect August 14 as a day of a small correction and consolidation at the same time... At the moment, I am not analyzing the prices, I am only paying attention to the price movement impulses. I consider my forecast to be good if the outline of the real chart matches the outline of the chart I drew as a forecast, meaning that the direction and time period of the price movement are correctly indicated.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by FeelingtheCharts
Bitcoin Rises as ExpectedAs anticipated, Bitcoin has risen to retest its previous high. Despite facing resistance near the key level and undergoing a pullback, the current retracement remains within a normal and healthy consolidation phase. Technically, the 4-hour chart shows the moving averages maintaining a bullish alignment, and while the MACD exhibits slight sluggishness, there are no clear divergence signals—indicating sustained upward momentum. Traders holding long positions should monitor the support near 119,600. If the price stabilizes upon retesting this level, it may form a continuation pattern. Personally, I maintain a bullish outlook, expecting a breakout above the previous high after sufficient consolidation, with potential follow-through momentum upon confirmation. However, an unexpected drop below 117,000 would raise concerns about a short-term double-top formation. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
BITCOIN PREDICTION: THIS FIBONACCI SPIRAL WILL BLOW YOUR MIND!! Yello Paradisers! I've revealed to you the secret Fibonacci spiral target. We have been going through multi-timeframe analysis as professional traders. We have been going through the high timeframe chart. We have understood that we are trading inside of that ABC zigzag. Right now, we are in the C wave and we are creating the five moves that are upside. That might take us towards $135,000. We are right now in the first wave of that fifth wave. We are having bullish divergences on the high timeframe chart. All important indicators like stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD are having bullish signs, and we have successfully reclaimed the volume profile point of control from resistance into support. Then, we are turning our focus on the medium timeframe. We are again going through the Elliot wave. We are taking a look at the contracting triangle; the deviation there happened, we are seeing the bullish divergence, and we are updating the Fibonacci spiral. Then we are moving our focus to the low timeframe where we are concluding the Elliot wave count of smaller waves and understanding that the fifth one might be extended. Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
7
BTC accumulation, cash flow through altcoin💎 MIDWEEK BTC PLAN UPDATE (August 13, 2025 ) 1. Market Structure & Wave Pattern The chart is applying the Elliott Wave theory with a completed 5-wave upward structure (1 → 5) and is currently correcting in an ABC pattern. The current zone is in corrective wave C, with a likely retest of a key support area before bouncing back upward. 2. Key Price Levels • Short-term resistance: 120,500 – 120,700 (previous breakout zone). • Nearest support: 118,800 – 119,000 (EMA34 zone + retest of the broken downtrend line). • Stronger support: 117,500 – 117,800 (EMA200 zone + long-term trendline). • Major resistance above: • 122,770 (Fib 2.618, short-term take-profit zone). • 127,260 – 127,480 (Fib 3.618, strong resistance zone). 3. EMA & Trend • EMA34 (gold) is above EMA89 and EMA200 → medium-term trend remains bullish. • EMA200 (red) acts as dynamic support during the correction. 4. Trend Outlook • Main scenario: Price may continue corrective wave C toward 118,800 – 119,000, possibly testing deeper at 117,500 – 117,800, then sharply rebound in line with the main trend toward targets at 122,770 and 127,260+. • Alternative scenario: If the 117,500 support breaks, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated, and BTC could retreat to 115,800 – 116,000 before recovery signals appear.
Short
by Nova-Scalper
1
The pullback is for a better riseAfter testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel, Bitcoin quickly rebounded upward, aligning perfectly with the technical outlook mentioned two days ago. From a 4-hour perspective, the recent pullback was a normal retracement following the breakout of a key resistance level, with diminishing trading volume indicating limited selling pressure. The bullish trend remains intact, and the current trading strategy should still focus on buying the dips, particularly near the lower trendline support zone, while staggered entries based on candlestick reversal signals. If the price consolidates above the mid-channel line, it may further unlock upside potential.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
1
BTC at a Crossroads: Bull Trap or Moon Mission?A possible bearish scenario is playing out on BTC, but hey—just one of many possibilities before the real bloodbath begins. 👀 This could just be a classic trap to lure people in before shaking them out. The key resistance zone is between GETTEX:97K and $101K, a big range to clear. If we flip it and close above $102K on the weekly, that would be amazing—but let’s be real, we’ll need a strong catalyst for that. If we do, then we’re likely talking about the $120K range. On the flip side, if we drop lower from here, the most obvious support sits at $72K. Below that… well, let’s just say we don’t wanna go there—next real support isn’t until $50K. For everyone’s sake, let’s hope we don’t see those levels. Big decision point ahead—let’s see who wins this battle! ⚔️🚀
by crypto_chebz
Feeling the charts, forecast for August 13, 2025I am engaged in the extrasensory of stock charts, that is, feeling the energy of the future chart, this is a meditative technique, and the sensations are mainly tactile. Forecast for August 13, 2025 time zone UTC, I feel two rather strong upward impulses at the very beginning and in the second half of the day. At the moment, I do not analyze the prices, I only pay attention to the price movement impulses. I consider my forecast to be good if the outline of the real chart matches the outline of the chart that I have drawn as a forecast, that is, the direction and time period of the price movement are correctly indicated.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by FeelingtheCharts
Feeling the charts, forecast for August 13, 2025I am engaged in the extrasensory of stock charts, that is, feeling the energy of the future chart, this is a meditative technique, and the sensations are mainly tactile. Forecast for August 13, 2025 time zone UTC, I feel two rather strong upward impulses at the very beginning and in the second half of the day. At the moment, I do not analyze the prices, I only pay attention to the price movement impulses. I consider my forecast to be good if the outline of the real chart matches the outline of the chart that I have drawn as a forecast, that is, the direction and time period of the price movement are correctly indicated.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by FeelingtheCharts
Btc hit my upside target perfectly. Now retrace to downside T1?On Aug 9th, I suggested that Btc would break the downward trend and head up to my upside target (green T1). It did so the next day. I then anticipated a retrace to either T1 or T2 based on historical data (see chart below) My upside target hit within 1%. So now...with the highest probability, Btc may now retrace into T1 (1st red box). There's always a chance it can go lower, but based on price action I expect a bounce at T1. We may not get T2 (even though there is a higher historical probability). There is still that 12% chance Btc is just up only from here (with NO retrace into T1). ***Let me know what target you think will be hit (T1 or T2), or if you think up only from here. May the trends be with you
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
$XTZ Long-Term Accumulation AnalysisSEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:XTZ Long-Term Accumulation Analysis 🔸XTZ has been consolidating in a major accumulation zone between $0.50 – $0.76 for a long period, showing strong demand at lower levels. Current price is above this range, suggesting patience is needed for the bulk of entries — but partial exposure can be taken now to avoid missing upside. 🔸 Smart Entry Zone: Primary accumulation entries remain between $0.50 – $0.76. Wait for a pullback into this range to add larger positions, but consider adding a small position at the current price to catch any early moves. 🔸 Upside Target: $6.00+ Once accumulation resolves, historical patterns point toward a potential rally to $3.00, $4.20, and eventually $6.00+. 🔸 Risk Level at $0.48: A sustained break below $0.48 would invalidate the accumulation structure. 🔸 Outlook: Add a light position now at 0.90 and , then wait for price to revisit the $0.50 – $0.76 zone before building the core position. Hold for long-term upside.
Long
by CryptoSkullSignal
Bitcoin Soars Past $122K, But a "Digital Fort Knox" Threat LoomsThe cryptocurrency market is in the throes of a historic rally, a tidal wave of capital and confidence that has propelled Bitcoin beyond the formidable $122,000 mark. Now trading within 1% of its all-time high, the world’s premier digital asset is riding a powerful current shaped by two monumental events: a surprisingly favorable executive order from the White House and a relentless cascade of inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. This surge has ignited euphoria across the financial world, with even the second-largest cryptocurrency, Ether, touching highs not seen since its 2021 peak. Yet, beneath the glittering surface of this bull run, a profound and unsettling question is taking shape. As institutional giants and corporate treasuries embrace Bitcoin, some of its most astute observers are sounding an alarm. They warn that this corporate adoption boom is creating a path that looks eerily similar to the one gold traveled in the 20th century—a path that ended with its effective nationalization and centralization in the vaults of Fort Knox. This growing concern posits that Bitcoin’s greatest triumph, its integration into the mainstream financial system, could become its ultimate vulnerability, presenting a new and potent centralization threat that challenges the asset's very soul. The market is now caught between the thrill of unprecedented price discovery and the chilling possibility that it is witnessing the rise of a digital Fort Knox. The Anatomy of a Rally: A Perfect Bullish Storm The recent price explosion was not a random event but the result of a powerful confluence of factors that have systematically validated Bitcoin’s role in the global financial landscape. The market sentiment has been overwhelmingly positive, driven by a one-two punch of regulatory encouragement and undeniable institutional demand. First, a landmark executive order from the White House sent a clear signal that the United States is moving towards a framework of integration rather than opposition for digital assets. The order, widely seen as pro-crypto, has initiated a formal exploration of how to safely incorporate cryptocurrencies into the bedrock of American wealth: 401(k) retirement plans. For years, regulatory uncertainty has been the single greatest barrier holding back a true institutional deluge. This directive acts as a powerful de-risking event, providing a level of clarity and legitimacy that large-scale investors have been desperately seeking. The potential to unlock even a small fraction of the trillions of dollars held in retirement accounts has sent a jolt of optimism through the market, assuring corporations and funds that they are investing in an asset class with a government-acknowledged future. Second, while the executive order provided the strategic tailwind, the tactical buying pressure has come directly from spot Bitcoin ETFs. These regulated financial products, which allow investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through a traditional brokerage account, have been an unprecedented success. In a stunning display of demand over the last week, these funds have absorbed hundreds of millions of dollars in net inflows on consecutive days. To issue new shares, these ETFs must purchase the underlying Bitcoin from the open market, creating a massive and constant source of demand. This dynamic acts like a supply shock; as billions of dollars from mainstream investors flow through ETFs to chase a finite number of available coins, the price is algorithmically forced upward. The flow of funds into these products has become one of the most closely watched metrics, serving as a real-time indicator of institutional appetite and a direct driver of price action. The Ghost of Gold: A Historical Warning for a Digital Age Even as investors celebrate this new era of institutional acceptance, a chilling historical parallel offers a cautionary tale. The concern, articulated by prominent on-chain analysts, is that Bitcoin’s current trajectory is mirroring the centralization of gold that occurred in the United States, a process that ultimately subjected the precious metal to complete state control. To grasp the gravity of this comparison, one must look back to President Franklin D. Roosevelt's Executive Order 6102, signed in 1933. Amidst the Great Depression, the order made it illegal for U.S. citizens to privately hold significant amounts of gold coins or bullion, compelling them to turn over their holdings to the Federal Reserve. The stated goal was to stabilize the economy, but the result was the mass transfer of a decentralized monetary asset from the hands of the people into the centralized vaults of the U.S. government. The nation's gold was consolidated, most famously at Fort Knox, giving the state absolute control over the physical supply. Decades later, in 1971, President Richard Nixon delivered the final blow. With the "Nixon Shock," he unilaterally severed the U.S. dollar's convertibility to gold, effectively ending the Bretton Woods system that had anchored global finance. Having already secured control of the physical asset, the government was then free to change the rules of the system it underpinned. The argument today is that Bitcoin could face a similar, albeit modern, fate. A 21st-century "nationalization" would not involve government agents seizing hardware wallets. It would be a far more sophisticated and systemic takeover, executed through the very financial instruments and institutions that are currently being praised for driving the bull market. The end result could be a scenario where a significant portion of the Bitcoin supply, while technically on a decentralized network, is effectively controlled by a handful of state-sanctioned entities. This digital "Fort Knox" could be constructed through several vectors. The majority of Bitcoin purchased by ETFs and large corporations is not held in self-custody. Instead, it is entrusted to a small number of large, regulated custodians. These firms represent centralized points of control. A government could easily exert legal and regulatory pressure on these few custodians, compelling them to freeze, block, or even seize the assets they manage on behalf of millions of investors. The ETFs themselves are a primary vehicle for this potential centralization. By concentrating hundreds of thousands of Bitcoin under the management of a few powerful financial firms like BlackRock and Fidelity, they make the asset supply vastly easier to regulate and control. It is far more efficient for a state to influence a handful of ETF issuers than to police millions of individual Bitcoin holders around the world. Finally, the public companies that have famously added Bitcoin to their balance sheets are also part of this equation. As regulated entities, they must comply with government mandates. A state could enact policies that influence or dictate how these systemically important corporate treasuries are managed, effectively bringing them under state influence without ever formally seizing the assets. Bitcoin’s Inherent Defense: Can Decentralization Hold the Line? While the historical parallel to gold is compelling and sobering, it is not a perfect one. Bitcoin possesses unique technological attributes that provide a powerful defense against the kind of centralization that befell gold. The most fundamental defense is the power of self-custody. Unlike gold, which is a physical object that is cumbersome to store and move securely, Bitcoin is pure information. An individual or entity that controls their own private keys holds a sovereign asset that is incredibly difficult to confiscate without their cooperation. This ability to "be your own bank" remains a powerful counter-force to the trend of custodial reliance. Furthermore, the Bitcoin network is a globally distributed system. Miners, nodes, developers, and users are spread across dozens of countries, operating under a multitude of legal jurisdictions. No single government can unilaterally control the network or dictate its rules. An attempt by one major nation to implement draconian controls would likely trigger a mass exodus of capital and talent to more favorable jurisdictions, a powerful economic disincentive against overreach. The current global competition among nations to become "crypto hubs" demonstrates that governments are aware of this dynamic and are incentivized to create attractive, rather than punitive, regulatory environments. This tension may ultimately lead to the bifurcation of the Bitcoin market. One tier could consist of the regulated, "paper" Bitcoin—held in ETFs and by public corporations, fully compliant, but subject to the rules and potential control of the traditional financial system. The other tier would be the sovereign, "physical" Bitcoin—held in self-custody by those who prioritize censorship resistance and decentralization above all else. A Future Forged in Conflict As Bitcoin knocks on the door of a new all-time high, the market is caught in a powerful paradox. The institutional adoption that has legitimized Bitcoin and driven its price to stratospheric levels is the very same force that introduces a systemic risk to its core principles. The celebration of the current rally is, in essence, a celebration of the construction of the very infrastructure that could be used to co-opt it. The journey to $122,000 was paved with institutional capital and regulatory acceptance. The journey forward will be defined by a fundamental conflict: the battle between mainstream financial integration and the preservation of the decentralized ethos that made Bitcoin a revolutionary technology. The future of the world's most important digital asset will be forged in the crucible of this tension, determining whether it remains a truly sovereign asset for the people or becomes another tool in the arsenal of the centralized systems it was designed to disrupt.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2
$AAVE / 1H Trade plan CRYPTOCAP:AAVE / 1H Trade plan 📊 Price just broke market structure after forming clean Equal Lows (EQL), signaling bearish intent. Currently holding below the $296–$297 zone — my eyes are on a retracement into the $303 supply area for a potential short entry. 🛑 Bearish Plan: 🟢 Pullback Zone: $302–304 ✅ Main Target: $269–272 📉 ⛔ Invalidation: Above $313 If the 1H candle gives a strong close above $303, I won’t take the entry. But if it gets rejected, I’ll enter. The game plan stays simple — execute the setup, ignore the noise. The chart is telling the story; we just need to follow the script. CRYPTOCAP:AAVE
Short
by RayHanBros