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Short trade Trade Journal Entry #2 — Sell-Side Trade Pair: PENGUUSDT.P Date: Fri 21st Nov 25 Time: 11:00 pm Session: Tokyo PM Direction: Sell-Side Timeframe: 15-min 🔹 Trade Details Entry: 0.010486 Profit Target: 0.007730 (+24.57%) Stop Loss: 0.012479 (–3.31%) Risk-Reward Ratio: RR 10.63 15min TF overview 🔹 Technical Context Model: Distribution → Sweep of Buyside Liquidity → Bearish BOS → FVG/OB Stack → Sell-Side Continuation Price swept liquidity above redistribution highs (0.01185 / 0.01195). Final mitigation at inflexion point 0.011631, followed by a strong bearish displacement, which caused major structure breaks at 0.009953. Multiple bearish. FVGs show continuous institutional selling. Internal low at 0.009744, External liquidity at 0.0088726 and Swing low 0.0082786. 🔹 Narrative / Sentiment The market shifted decisively to bearish sentiment following the distribution of premiums. Liquidity was taken from above highs → confirming intent to reprice lower. Tokyo session algorithm favoured sell-side continuation. Sentiment: "Distribution → Stop-Run → Breakdown → Sell-Side Target Delivery." Trade Journal Entry #1 — Buyside Trade (Completed) Pair: PENGUUSDT.P Date: Wed 19th Nov 25 Time: 3:19 pm Session: LND → NY PM Direction: Buyside Timeframe: 15-min 🔹 Trade Details Entry: 0.011728 Profit Target: 0.012234 (+3.96%) Stop Loss: 0.011634 (–1.13%) Risk-Reward Ratio: RR 3.84 Outcome: Target Hit Trade Duration: 3 hrs 45 mins 🔹 Technical Context Model: Accumulation → Sweep of Sell-Side Liquidity → Bullish BOS → Re-entry via Discount FVG. Price swept Tokyo lows beneath the yellow liquidity zone. Observed reaction produced a clean displacement candle breaking upward structure (BOS). A bullish FVG formed and provided the optimal entry on retracement. Observing the bullish OB underpinned the structure along with the daily Open bias, which supported upward continuation. 🔹 Narrative / Sentiment The market was positioned to run buyside liquidity resting above intraday highs. Accumulation beneath the daily open signalled clear bullish intent. The volume expansion confirmed institutional buying. Sentiment: "Accumulation → Intent → Execution → Target Delivery."
Short
by davidjulien369
NVDA ALERT: Critical Drop AheadNvidia remains in a broader uptrend, but the chart shows a clear trendline breakout followed by the beginning of a pullback. Using Fibonacci, a correction typically starts after a red candle forms following a sequence of green candles. In most cases, the pullback continues toward the 0.5 retracement level. In this setup, the 0.5 level aligns with a major key support, increasing its importance. On the weekly timeframe, the 50 EMA is also converging at the same zone, which often acts like a magnet for price. This creates multiple confirmations pointing toward a potential move downward. The weekly chart has printed a bearish engulfing , followed by three consecutive red candles, adding another strong confirmation for a continued correction. Both MACD and RSI are sloping downward, supporting the bearish momentum. If price reaches the expected zone, monitoring the reaction will be critical. A deeper decline into the global trendline is possible only if the key level is broken, though this scenario appears less likely. Overall, NVDA shows several aligned signals indicating a move toward the correction zone before any potential recovery.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Binhuseyn
FireHoseReel | USDT.D 4H Analysis🔥 Welcome FireHoseReel ! Let’s jump into the Tether Dominance Analysis , one of the most Popular Crypto Index . 👀 USDT Dominance – 4H Timeframe USDT dominance has reached a major resistance level after a very strong upward rally. At this point, I personally have a bearish bias, expecting a rejection and the completion of a multi-timeframe secondary trend. This view is also supported by my mentor, Arshia Azizpour. 📉 RSI Analysis Since volume isn’t very reliable on dominance charts, we use the RSI oscillator instead. RSI has just rejected from the 81 zone, which is a strong static resistance inside the overbought area. This rejection suggests potential cooldown, pullback, or loss of momentum. 📌 Key Levels to Watch USDT dominance currently has three major levels: 🔺 6.623% – major top resistance 🔸 6.427% – multi-timeframe trend-shift zone 🔸 6.148% – secondary multi-timeframe trend-shift zone A clean break and candle close below these levels can give us a bearish bias on dominance, which naturally creates a bullish bias for crypto assets. ⚠️ Important Note USDT dominance still has strong trend momentum. If it breaks above the current top, it could trigger another wave of downward pressure on Bitcoin and altcoins. Historically, these dominance spikes hit BTC and ETH the hardest, while altcoins don’t always fall as aggressively. 🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by FireHoseReel
FireHoseReel | BNB Daily Analysis #3🔥 Welcome FireHoseReel ! Let’s dive into the analysis of BNB (Binance Coin). 👀 BNB – 1H Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, BNB has formed a solid support around $808.17, right after the drop we mentioned in previous analyses. Price also has a local resistance at $842.26, and a breakout on either side can give us confirmation for the next move. However, going long from this zone is not ideal. A long setup would be more reasonable at higher levels during a pullback of this bearish leg — and for that, we need USDT dominance to reject downward. 📊 Volume Analysis Looking at volume, one key detail stands out: The multi-timeframe correction of this bearish move has come with decreasing buy volume. If price moves back down and breaks the support again, we can look for a fresh short position. ✔️ BNB/BTC Pair Analysis Since we analyze things differently, let’s also check the BNB/BTC pair. This pair is currently sitting on its own support and moving slightly upward. But what matters is this: BNB/BTC seems to be forming a potential bearish pattern on this timeframe. If the structure completes, I’ll include it in the next analysis update for you. ✍️ Now let’s check the trading scenarios for BNB on the 1H timeframe. 🔽 Short Scenario A short setup becomes valid if: • BNB/BTC breaks below 0.009691, • Confluence with BNB price breaking below $808.71, • Increased sell volume, • A clean candle close under the defined support zones. This combination gives us a strong short trigger. 🔼 Long Scenario A long setup requires: • Breakout above $896, • A few retests (rejections) into this zone, • Followed by a confirmed breakout with increased buy volume. This long scenario is still far from current price, and once BNB reaches that zone, I’ll post the best updated scenario for you. 🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
by FireHoseReel
Don't Trade These Trend Lines. Forex Gold Trading Basics A lot of traders apply trend lines for trading and making predictions on different financial markets. Trend line can also be an important element of price action patterns. However, only few knows that some trend lines are better to be avoided . In this article, I will share with you the types of trend lines that you should avoid and not rely on for making trading decisions. Invalidated Trend Line Even the strongest trend lines may lose their significance with time. Before you take a trade from a trend line, make sure that it still remains valid. If the trend line is not respected by the buyers and then by the sellers, or by the sellers and then by the buyers, we say that such a trend line lost its significance, and it is better to not trade it. Have a look at that rising trend line on USDCAD. We see strong bullish reactions to that, and we may expect a bullish movement from that, once it is tested. However, it was violated and after a breakout it should turn into a vertical resistance. Retesting that, the price easily went through the broken trend line. The trend line lost its significance, and it is better to not trade that in the future. 2 Touches Based Trend Line When you are looking for a strong trend line to trade, remember that the trend line should be confirmed by at least 3 touches and 3 consequent bullish / bearish reactions to that. Above is the example of a valid and reliable trend line. However, quite often, newbie trade 2 touches based trend lines. Most of the time, such trend lines are neglected by the market. Moreover, relying on 2-touches-based trend lines, your chart will look like a complete mess . Simply because there are too many trend line meeting that criteria. Receding trend line There are the trend lines that go against your trade with time while remaining valid. Have a look at a major falling trend line on NZDCHF on a daily time frame. You may open a swing long position from that on a daily or a day trade on intraday time frames like an hourly. You can see that the market may easily go against your predictions for a long time, while perfectly respecting a trend line. The price was sliding on that trend line for 6 consequent days before it finally started to grow. Such trend lines are better to be avoided . Make sure that a trend line and your trade have the same direction. Trend lines can provide very safe points for trading entries. However, the trend lines are not equal and while some of them can be very profitable, some of them can lead to substantial losses. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
12
Bitcoin Analysis – November 22 | Ready to Build Structure ?Bitcoin Analysis – November 22 | Ready to Build Structure? 🧩📉 Hello to all traders out there! Hope you’re having a great day wherever you are. As you can see, price refused to drop below the $82K level and is currently in a resting phase. Also worth noting: 📉 Fear & Greed Index is at 11 — extreme fear. Now let’s break down the possible scenarios for today: 🟦 Scenario A – Likely Range & Structure Building One of the most probable scenarios today is a range, something we usually see on Saturdays. Here’s why: Price already gave a solid reaction to the $82K level But volume keeps dropping — naturally, because it’s Saturday Many traders are waiting for the market to build structure so they can take proper triggers A ranging market today makes sense, and it can actually be a great time to: Review your trade journal Scan for strong potential coins for the upcoming week ⏰ Tip: I recommend checking the chart every 4 hours — especially before the 4H candle closes and during the US session. 🟥 Scenario B – Breakdown & Short Opportunity Another strong scenario: a drop below $82,200. This level is a valid short trigger only if broken, but ideally, I want to see one more retest first. Why? The market reacted too aggressively to this level earlier — meaning it might not be a “clean” level yet. A second reaction would confirm it more reliably. If $82.2K gets retested on the 1H timeframe, I’ll likely take a short with a tight stop. 🟩 Scenario C – Pump Above $86K? Still Not Longing If price pushes above $86K, I’m still not opening longs. I want to see buyer strength first. If buyers lose momentum after the move up, then the first lower high / lower low, or even equal structure on the 1H timeframe, gives me a clean short setup. In a bearish environment, every new high is a shorting opportunity. 🔚 Final Thoughts These are today’s scenarios. And remember: 💡 Risk management, position sizing, and reward-to-risk matter far more than any chart you see online. Your goal is simple: stay alive long enough to become profitable. Wishing you all a profitable day! If you have any thoughts, feel free to share them in the comments. 📩
by MohammadAmin41148
Estimated Bullish Probability: 80% Weekly: Hammer+ → Light Green (strong weekly bullish hammer) Daily: Hammer → Light Green (bullish daily hammer) 4H: Rising Three Soldiers+ → Light Red (bullish candlestick pattern, but 4H MACD is a short-term pullback) Step 1 — base MACD color probability Row Weekly Light Green / Daily Light Green / 4H Light Red → Low–Moderate (55–65%). Use the midpoint for calculation: Base MACD probability = 60%. (Arithmetic check: 55 + 65 = 120; midpoint = 120 ÷ 2 = 60.) Step 2 — adjust for candlestick patterns (how strong each pattern is on its timeframe) Weekly Hammer+ (strong weekly bullish hammer) → +10% (weekly patterns carry heavy weight). Daily Hammer (daily bullish hammer) → +8% (meaningful daily confirmation). 4H Rising Three Soldiers but MACD = Light Red → the candle is bullish, but the MACD color is a short-term pullback, so we give a small +2% (pattern helps, but momentum mismatch reduces its effect). Step 3 — digit-by-digit arithmetic (exact) Start with base: 60 Add Weekly hammer+: 60 + 10 = 70 Add Daily hammer: 70 + 8 = 78 Add 4H rising three soldiers (small bump): 78 + 2 = 80 Final result = 80% Final answer ➡️ Estimated Bullish Probability: 80% Quick interpretation / trade guidance Weekly + Daily both show bullish hammers → strong higher-timeframe bias is up. 4H shows a bullish candle pattern (Rising Three Soldiers) but MACD is Light Red — that indicates a short-term pullback or consolidation. The candlestick pattern reduces the risk of immediate reversal but the MACD color suggests waiting for a 4H flip to green for the cleanest entry. Practical entries: scale in on strength, or wait for 4H Light Red → Light Green flip (or a strong bullish 4H close). Use a stop below the 4H structure; consider a larger position if 4H confirms. Rocket boost this content to learn more. Warning!! Trading is risky please use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money
Long
by lubosi
Potential Sell Setup in EURGBP towards External LiquidityI identified a valid Sell Setup in the EURGBP which could be very interesting in the coming week We see strong indications within the Chart Level, Current Market phase and and confirmation from the Accumulation/Distribution indicator that a Lower Low is very likley. Eventhough the Orderflow within the EURGBP ist bullish. Big Players could reposition under lows which makes an internal short push likley. Thats why my TP is set crucualy into the low. As soon as we create a LL the Short Setup becomes invalid for as we enter a External W1 Demand Zone where I plan to position myself Long again Hope this insight of mine was helpfull All the best :) JMA 🐬
Short
by Juma17
FireHoseReel | Crypto Index Overview🔥 Welcome FireHoseReel ! Let’s dive into the analysis of Four major crypto Index. 🔶 TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) – 4H Timeframe On the 4-hour timeframe of TOTAL, we can see a strong correlation with Bitcoin’s chart. After approaching the $4T zone, the total market cap went through a deep correction, testing multiple support levels and eventually breaking them. It’s now sitting around $2.78T, marking a $1 trillion drop, which is something unprecedented in the crypto market. The current support lies at $2.78T, and this level aligns closely with the upper resistance of USDT dominance, creating an important confluence. If this confluence strengthens, TOTAL may continue moving downward while USDT dominance pushes higher. The major resistance for TOTAL is the $3T zone, and a breakout above it could create a pullback to the recent Bitcoin decline. 🔶 TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC) – 4H Timeframe On the 4-hour timeframe of TOTAL2, we see a strong correlation with Ethereum’s chart. TOTAL2 dropped from around $1.5T down to nearly $1T, following the recent sell-off in Bitcoin and Ethereum. It tested its supports and eventually lost them. Currently, TOTAL2 is positioned near $1.15T, and breaking below this level could lead to a deeper correction in Ethereum. On the other hand, reclaiming and breaking above $1.22T may push TOTAL2 upward and act as an early signal for a new bullish wave (mostly a pullback) in Ethereum and its ecosystem projects. 🔶 TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC & ETH) – 4H Timeframe On the 4-hour timeframe of TOTAL3, the chart aligns with the performance of the top 10 altcoins. TOTAL3 previously hovered around $1.05T and has experienced a milder decline compared to TOTAL and TOTAL2. It is currently sitting at its major support near $832B, testing a multi-timeframe support zone. A breakdown of this level could extend the correction across the top altcoins. However, breaking above the $900B area could generate a pullback and corrective wave against the recent downside leg, signaling potential upward movement. 🔶 OTHERS Dominance (others.d) – 4H Timeframe On the 4-hour timeframe of OTHERS.D, we’re looking at one of the most important crypto indicators, especially in times like this. This index helps us understand when the altcoin bull market (altseason) may begin and when it's time to start building spot portfolios. Despite the market volatility, OTHERS.D has held itself inside a stable 4H trading range and is currently reacting to the midline of its 1H range. If Bitcoin dominance had increased during this period, altcoins could have faced an even deeper correction. However, on-chain data shows that altcoins are receiving far more attention compared to previous years. A breakout above 7.52% on this indicator could be an early signal of a potential upcoming altcoin bull run. 🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D
by FireHoseReel
FireHoseReel | USDT Dominance & BTC Dominance Overview😄 Hey! How’s everything? Hope you’re doing great! 🍾 Welcome to FireHoseReel — make sure to follow and enjoy the analysis along the way. If you ever want a custom chart breakdown, just leave a comment and I’ve got you. 😎 Let’s dive into the analysis of two major crypto dominances: USDT and Bitcoin. ✔️ USDT Dominance Technical Analysis • On the 4-hour timeframe of USDT dominance, we can see that after repeatedly breaking through multiple resistance levels on the chart, USDT.D has reached a point of heavy overbought conditions. It’s now sitting at a strong resistance zone. If this resistance breaks, USDT dominance could push even higher, which would bring additional downward pressure on the market, especially on Bitcoin and altcoins, leading to another wave of selling. • If USDT dominance rejects from this zone and starts moving downward, the nearest support to be tested is around 6.148%. Losing this support would signal the beginning of the first bullish wave in the market, giving us a potential opportunity to start opening long positions once this level breaks down. • Another key level is the resistance at 6.623%. If USDT dominance breaks above this level, it could trigger an even stronger bearish wave compared to the previous one, causing a deeper correction across the market. ✔️ BTC Dominance Technical Analysis • On the 4-hour timeframe of Bitcoin dominance, we can see that after the recent market drop, BTC.D also moved downward and went through a relatively deep correction. What’s important here is that despite the decline in Bitcoin dominance, altcoins did not experience a heavy correction, and most of them held their levels without major downside movement. • If Bitcoin dominance loses the 58.80% level, it could extend its correction even further. However, the key reversal zone for the 4-hour trend lies at 59.31%. A breakout above this level can trigger a solid bullish wave in BTC.D. • Our confirmation for this bullish wave would be the formation of a higher low above this resistance zone, signaling a potential upward trend continuation. 🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by FireHoseReel
1
Breakout from a triangle pattern indicates a potential direction#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD From a trend perspective, gold is currently in a triangle consolidation range. As time goes on, the short-term resistance is also moving downwards. Therefore, gold did not provide us with a suitable opportunity to participate in trading last night. Gold is currently continuing its decline and may further test the 4025-4015 support level. If it pulls back to this level, we can consider a small long position in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Gold 🔵Entry 🔴SL 🟢TP *`ANALYSIS`* 1. Strong support level respected several times 2. 30 min candle closed below support, meaning support is broken 3. Didn't sell cause the SL would have been big & the candle was breaking the previous candles low in first 2minutes without making a liquidity wick first. *`Entry`* When price broke the low of previous exhaustion candles wick with stops above the previous 15min candle high. *`Set-up`* Impulse Entries *`Session`* Pre-London *`Trade Result`* +0.8%💰 +24pips🎯
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AliHassanSaeed
1
FireHoseReel | BNB Daily Analysis #2😄 Hey! How’s everything? Hope you’re doing great! 🍾 Welcome to FireHoseReel — make sure to follow and enjoy the analysis along the way. If you ever want a custom chart breakdown, just leave a comment and I’ve got you. 😎 Now let’s jump into the analysis of my favorite coin: BNB . 👀 BNB – 4H Timeframe BNB recently gave us a short trigger on the 4-hour chart after breaking its key support at $896. Price dropped right toward our first target at $818, hit it cleanly, and is now stuck in a “mid-zone” with no clear direction. Even on a multi-timeframe view, we currently don’t have any valid entry trigger, so we need to wait for new structure formation before planning the next move. 📊 Volume Analysis Our volume indicator played a major role here: Once the support broke and the short trigger activated — exactly as mentioned in yesterday’s analysis — sell pressure increased sharply. Whales also started selling their BNB as soon as the support failed, and many traders used this opportunity to enter short positions. Volume is still showing bearish pressure, and the last two 4H candles had a strong increase in selling activity, turning into clear downward momentum. ✔️ Now let’s analyze something different — BNB/BTC pair On the 4H timeframe, this pair is still moving inside its trading range and has managed to maintain its relative strength against BTC. However: • A breakout above the range high at 0.010162 could trigger a strong bullish move • A breakdown below the range low at 0.009800 could lead to a deeper correction in the BNB/USDT pair and accelerate the bearish momentum there For now, the pair holds a bullish bias, but we need confirmation through an actual breakout. ✍️ Current Scenarios We don’t have a new setup today, as yesterday’s short position already played out and is still valid. For a new entry — long or short — we need BNB to build a fresh market structure and give us a clean trigger. Until then, patience is the best strategy. 🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
by FireHoseReel
Why is Microsoft Stock $MSFT dropping hard?Microsoft just did what every impatient trader hates… after a massive rally, the candles are shrinking, emotions are rising, and here comes the correction everyone said ‘couldn’t happen.’ Today I’ll show you—using pure supply and demand—why MSFT is being magnetically pulled back into the monthly demand imbalance like a toddler to a candy shop. No fundamentals, no drama… just price action, imbalances, and patience. Let’s dive in. Microsoft Monthly Supply & Demand Analysis After Apple’s strong monthly correction setup, Microsoft (MSFT) is showing the exact same pattern — but even cleaner. This is what I love when I teach traders to learn to trade stocks using pure price action and supply and demand imbalances. You don’t need news, earnings, or any guru opinion — everything is already priced in at the higher timeframes. Just like I explained in the Supply and Demand Free Course , the bigger timeframes tell you what the professionals already did months ago. Let’s break it down. Candles Shrinking = Momentum Weakening Fast-forward to mid/late 2025: - The wide-bodied candles disappeared - Small-bodied candles appeared - Then came the big bearish candle This is classic momentum decay. This is exactly when most traders start acting emotionally: - They zoom into 5-minute charts - Their IQ drops by 50 points - They forget the trend - They forget the imbalance - They become chart zombies But price action never lies — we’re simply seeing exhaustion after a massive markup.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AlfonsoMoreno
Is Apple Stock $APPL About To Crash Hard?Apple. Yes, one of the most liquid, most loved, and most worshipped stocks on the planet is about to teach retail traders a very expensive lesson. And no, you don’t need fundamentals, Bloomberg breaks, or Tim Cook whispers. You just need supply and demand imbalances, price action… and a little patience — the hardest skill ever created by nature. Let’s dive into why AAPL could drop like a stone straight into the next monthly demand level. And yes… smaller timeframes can turn us into absolute dummies, so today I’ll save you from yourself. Apple. The king of liquidity. The heavyweight champion of market capitalization. The stock that every beginner wants to buy… usually at the worst possible moment, of course. And today, we’re going to talk about what really matters for the next years — the monthly supply and demand structure, not the tiny little M15 candles that make us behave like confused chickens. Why Apple Is Setting Up a Major Drop (Again) AAPL has been in a long-term bullish trend for years, but what many traders forget is this: 👉 Rallies eventually need to correct. 👉 Big imbalances act like magnets. 👉 Smaller timeframe “signals” make people behave like total dummies.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by AlfonsoMoreno
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 24166.25 - PR Low: 24018.00 - NZ Spread: 331.0 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - S&P Global Services PMI Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM) - Session Open ATR: 525.13 - Volume: 66K - Open Int: 301K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -8.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 26636 - Mid: 25410 - Short: 24039 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025
by mv3trader5