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GBPUSD: Market Pullback Before the Next Upside Expansion1. MARKET CONTEXT - GBPUSD has just completed a mild corrective pullback after a strong bullish leg, reflecting a healthy market reaction following the latest UK GDP release. - The GDP data came in stable and slightly better than expected, not spectacular but strong enough to ease recession fears. This creates a constructive environment for GBP not explosive, but certainly not bearish. 2. MACRO DRIVERS ✓ UK GDP Stability Supports GBP Yesterday’s GDP print showed steady growth, reinforcing the view that the UK economy is gradually improving. → This reduces downside pressure on GBP in the short term. ✓ BOE Expected to Hold Rates Higher for Longer With services inflation still sticky, the market is pricing in that the BOE will delay any rate cuts. → This acts as a tailwind for GBP during pullbacks. ✓ USD Softening as Markets Price Early Fed Cuts in 2025 Not aggressively bearish, but the USD is losing momentum as traders anticipate a shift toward Fed easing. → This opens the door for GBPUSD to resume its upside. 3. TECHNICAL STRUCTURE On the GBPUSD 1H chart, price is forming a clean corrective pullback into the 1.3375 – 1.3380 support zone. Key technical signals: - Price is building a Higher Low after the pullback → bullish continuation structure - Long lower wicks → declining sell pressure - The 1.3375 support has been retested multiple times → strong demand - The ascending trendline remains intact → uptrend not broken → The structure currently shows accumulation before upward breakout. 4. TRADE IDEA / PRICE EXPECTATION As long as price holds above 1.3375, the bullish continuation setup remains valid. Upside targets (matching your chart): TP1: 1.34156 TP2: 1.34379 TP3: 1.34716 Expected behavior: ✔ Minor pullback ✔ Sideways accumulation ✔ Bullish leg toward TP1 → TP2 → TP3 5. MARKET SENTIMENT & OUTLOOK With supportive GDP data, BOE’s higher-for-longer stance, mild USD weakness, and a clean bullish structure on the chart: → Short-term Trend: Sideways → Support → Bullish Continuation → Directional Bias: Upside toward all 3 targets
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
2
Bitcoin Rejected at Supply1. MARKET CONTEXT Bitcoin on the 1H timeframe has just tapped into a clear resistance / supply zone, where previous bearish impulses originated. The reaction is identical: - Immediate slowdown - Loss of bullish momentum - Selling pressure absorbing every attempt to push higher This confirms the market is still range-bound, with liquidity building between supply above and demand below. 2 . TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The chart structure highlights: • Supply Zone Rejection Price entered the resistance zone and instantly stalled — showing strong sell orders waiting in that area. • Lower-Timeframe Shift The current candlestick sequence shows a micro shift from bullish impulse → correction → bearish intent. • Liquidity & Imbalance Below There is an unfilled region between current price and the demand zone, creating a clean path for the market to drop. • Demand Zone Waiting at 89,300 – 87,770 This is where previous strong buy orders originated, making it the most logical target for the next bearish leg. Overall, the structure favors a continuation downwards after a small corrective pullback. 3. TRADE IDEA Bias: Short from the Supply Zone The entry is positioned inside the resistance zone, aligning with institutional sell reaction. Expected Price Behavior: Minor bullish correction Bearish continuation Price targets the Demand Zone at 89,300 – 87,770 Trade Structure Shown on Chart: Stop Loss: Above the supply zone Entry: At resistance rejection Take Profit: Demand zone below This setup follows clean smart-money flow from supply → demand, with no structural break supporting a bullish reversal yet.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
FED Turns Hawkish — Bitcoin Drops HardBitcoin has begun to move exactly in line with the projected downside structure. After rejecting the resistance zone around 91,543, price has broken below the short-term support and is now entering a clean retracement phase. At this stage, BTC is likely to continue following the descending path toward the key liquidity zones highlighted on your chart: Target 1: 89,068 Target 2: 87,794 Target 3: 86,386 The market structure shows clear lower highs and lower lows, signaling that sellers are currently in control. Until BTC can reclaim the mid-range zone above 90,800–91,000, the bearish outlook remains valid. This corrective move is healthy for the broader trend, helping sweep liquidity and rebalance price before any larger directional expansion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_TradeRFX
ETH Holding the Trendline - Bulls Aiming for the Resistance Zone1. MARKET CONTEXT Macro sentiment remains stable, with crypto recovering after minor pullbacks. No major bearish catalysts risk assets are still supported as liquidity conditions remain favorable. 2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Price is riding a clean ascending trendline. A support zone sits directly below current price, providing a strong demand base. Market structure remains higher highs – higher lows, confirming bullish control. Expectation: a small pullback into trendline + support → continuation move upward. 3. TRADE IDEA Bias: Long on retracement into support/trendline Target: Resistance zone at 3440–3450 Invalidation: Break below the support zone ETH is primed for a trend-continuation move as long as price respects the ascending structure.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
ETH/USD Just Found Key Support - Is the Next Breakout Coming?🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD (1H) Market State: – Ethereum is holding strong above the key support level around 3,050, showing bullish momentum after bouncing from this level. A retest of the support zone seems to have set up the potential for another leg higher. Key Levels: – Support Zone: 3,050 – Target 1: 3,100 – Target 2: 3,150 – Resistance Zone: 3,200 Next Move: – With price respecting support at 3,050, ETH/USD is poised for another rally toward 3,100 and 3,150, aiming for a test of the 3,200 resistance.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Is BTC Ready for a Major Breakout? Watch These Levels!BTC/USD 1-Hour Market Analysis 1. Current Price Structure BTC has been trading within a range, bouncing between the resistance zone around 94,000 and the support zone near 89,300. The chart shows clear retracements with higher lows forming within the support range, signaling potential for upward movement. 2. Liquidity Zones The resistance zone (94,000) continues to act as a solid barrier. A breakout above this level could pave the way for price to surge higher towards the target levels. On the downside, support zones (89,300) have been effectively holding, providing a floor for the price action. 3. Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If BTC breaks the resistance level (94,000), we can expect an impulsive rally targeting 94,500 and then reaching 95,000+. Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to hold above 89,300, it might retest the support zone, opening the door for a decline towards 87,000. 4. Market Sentiment The market seems to be in a consolidation phase with liquidity accumulation at key support and resistance levels. Investors should be cautious of false breakouts in this range as the market is in a waiting mode before key data releases (i.e., NFP, ADP) that could dictate the next major move. 5. Trading Strategy Buy near Support at 89,300 with a target around 94,000. Sell near Resistance at 94,000 if price fails to break through, targeting 92,000-91,500. Be sure to monitor the liquidity closely as this could indicate a potential breakout or breakdown.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Is Rivian Setting Up For a Breakout?Hi Traders! On Nov. 5th, Rivian created a daily bullish CHOCH pushing price to resistance at $18. The following weeks showed price returning back to retest that daily CHOCH. Since then, it looks to me that Rivian is working to complete a cup and handle pattern (Lower TFs). IMO the daily and weekly look bullish, and Rivian could be setting up to break past resistance at $18. Therefore, my plan is to long swing Rivian to a potential target at $20. My ideal entry would be around/in between $16-$16.50, but when looking at a lower TF $17 area could be respected. Watching closely, and alerts are set! *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by thattradergirl
3
EURGBP Analysis - Bearish Supply Loading + Reversal Zone📊 EURGBP – Detailed Structural Analysis (2H Timeframe) The current EURGBP chart shows a well-defined sequence of structural shifts, liquidity sweeps, and supply–demand interactions that build a compelling bearish narrative—but only if the market respects the highlighted zone. Here's an expanded breakdown of what the chart communicates: 🟦 1. Major Supply Zone (Primary Reaction Area) Price has pushed into a clearly marked bearish supply zone, formed by a previous displacement move to the downside. This zone represents the origin of the earlier impulsive sell-off, meaning institutional orders may still reside here. Inside this zone: A Pattern Must label marks the exact sub-level where the reaction is expected. A red highlight indicates the precision entry or rejection area within the broader supply range. The market is attempting a retest of this supply after reclaiming short-term highs. The reaction from this zone will determine whether the pair continues lower or attempts a deeper pullback. 🟩 2. Reversal Zone (Demand Base) Lower on the chart, a large demand region is labeled Reversal Zone, showing where price consolidated and reversed previously. Key insights: This zone captured liquidity through several wick rejections. Buyers stepped in aggressively, initiating the bullish move that is now challenging the upper supply. This zone becomes an important downside target, should bearish structure confirm. 📉 3. Market Structure Overview The sequence leading into the supply zone shows: A series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating bullish momentum. However, much of this movement appears corrective as it climbs into a previously unmitigated supply. The sharp arrow drawn downward indicates a bearish expectation, anticipating that supply may overpower current bullish correction. This aligns with a classic “rally into supply” distribution pattern. 🔍 4. Liquidity Considerations The chart reflects: Sweeps of internal liquidity during the climb. A likely hunt for liquidity above the minor swing before reacting at the supply. Clean equal lows below—perfect targets for a downside continuation. The market may be engineering a liquidity trap before reversing. 🔄 5. Expected Scenario If the supply zone holds: A bearish rejection from the marked “Pattern Must” area could trigger a structure break to the downside. Sellers may then push price toward the Reversal Zone to rebalance inefficiencies left during the rally. If price invalidates the supply zone: Expect continuation into a deeper premium region before reassessment.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY Analysis - Bullish Target + Targeting Unmitigated SupplyUSDJPY 2H – Reversal Zone Reaction & Targeting Unmitigated Supply 1. Market Structure Overview USDJPY is currently trading inside a corrective phase after a strong bullish rally that topped out around the 156.7–157.0 region. After that peak, sellers stepped in aggressively, creating a deep displacement to the downside that shifted the market temporarily into a bearish structure. The decline formed a clean QL (Liquidity Run) and then stabilized as price entered a deeper retracement. 2. Key Liquidity Events The chart highlights two important liquidity operations: • Liquidity Grab (QL) Price swept liquidity below a major structural low, triggering a strong reaction from buyers. This confirms that smart money was accumulating positions around this region. • Volume Burst Above (Unmitigated Supply) There is a visible imbalance and unmitigated supply zone higher above, marked by a wide green zone. This zone is likely to attract price as institutions tend to push markets back into these inefficient areas to fill remaining orders. This creates a bullish short-term target even if the larger structure remains mixed. 3. Reversal Zone Reaction Price dipped into the Reversal Zone (Demand Zone), where: Previous selling pressure weakened Multiple rejection wicks formed A bullish engulfing structure signaled buyer aggression Price reclaimed minor structure levels This confirms the zone as a valid demand region and explains the strong bullish reaction seen on the 2H timeframe. 4. Intraday Structure Shift After tagging demand, price broke above a minor swing with a clean iBo (Internal Break of Structure). This is significant because: It validates the bullish continuation toward the next major target It signals that intraday momentum has shifted upward It gives buyers a roadmap toward the unmitigated supply zone This upward move is the rally currently in progress. 5. Target Zone (First Objective) The chart highlights a Target Zone just below the Volume Burst area. This is the first take-profit region for longs because: It contains unfilled imbalance Short-term liquidity sits above recent highs Supply exists at the base of the previous major sell-off Once price reaches this area, traders should watch for: Exhaustion candles Bearish confirmation patterns Failure swings Rejection wicks This zone is crucial for potential trend reaction. 6. Volume Burst Zone (Major Reversal Supply) The upper green zone (Volume Burst) represents a high-probability reaction area where the previous heavy selling originated. Expect possible behavior such as: Sudden rejection Liquidity sweep and reversal Consolidation before a deeper drop Bearish confirmation patterns (engulfing, MS shift, etc.) This zone is likely where the next major short opportunity may form, as indicated by the arrow pointing downward. 7. Expected Price Path Based on the chart's arrows and structure: Short-Term: Price continues pushing upward to fill inefficiencies and tap into the target zone. Mid-Term: Depending on flow, price may reach the deeper Volume Burst zone. Reversal Scenario: A bearish pattern in these upper zones would signal a potential move back toward the mid-range or even the Reversal Zone again. Patience is key—confirmation is required before entering any short position.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
2
BTCUSD Analysis - Major Supply Zone + Reversal1. Higher-Timeframe Context BTC is currently trading inside a broad consolidation range after a strong impulsive leg to the upside followed by an equally sharp corrective decline. The market has created clear liquidity pockets both at the top and bottom of the range, suggesting price is hunting for inefficiencies rather than trending cleanly. The current structure shows that BTC is in the middle of a retracement phase after rejecting the lower boundary of the range. 2. Impulse Move & Liquidity Grab A significant vertical bullish impulse can be seen near the left side of the chart, creating a sharp displacement candle. This move broke short-term structure and left behind a clean imbalance. After the rally, price failed to maintain directional continuation and rotated back lower, indicating the move acted more like a liquidity sweep rather than genuine trend continuation. This is important because markets typically return to revisit these inefficient zones before deciding the next major direction. 3. Reversal Zone (Key Supply Area) The highlighted green zone represents a high-probability supply area where: Volume Burst: Indicates aggressive buy-side activity that may have come from late buyers or trapped longs. Reversal Zone: This is the last major bearish origin block that caused the breakdown. Price re-entering this area signals a likely reaction. A reaction here is expected because this zone contains both: Unmitigated supply Liquidity engineered above recent swing highs This combination often creates a magnet for price and a turning point afterward. 4. Expected Price Behavior Price is currently climbing back toward the Reversal Zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios: Scenario A – Pattern Confirmation Before Short Price taps the reversal zone, forms a bearish confirmation pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, 2-candle reversal, break of intraday low), and begins trending downward. This aligns with the diagram arrows showing rejection and continuation down. Scenario B – Liquidity Grab Then Rejection Price may wick slightly above the zone to collect liquidity, then sharply drop. This is common behavior in areas with heavy wick rejections on history. A clear message noted on the chart: “Need Pattern Here” – meaning that entries should only be attempted once the market shows clear reversal structure, not by blindly shorting the zone. 5. Short-Term Targets if Rejection Happens If rejection confirms, potential downside targets include: Return to mid-range Retest of intraday support around recent consolidation Lows near 90,800–91,200 Possible extension toward the range bottom if momentum increases These levels are visible on the chart where previous structural lows were formed. 6. Market Psychology at This Zone This area is important because: Buyers who bought late in the impulse are trapped Short sellers are waiting for optimal entries Liquidity accumulates above swing highs Institutions often push price into such zones to fill large orders This creates a high-probability reversal environment, but confirmation is essential.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
1
Is Bitcoin Quietly Building Power for a Breakout?📌 1. Market Structure Bitcoin on the 1H timeframe is forming a clear higher-low structure off the support zone. Price rejected the green support block aggressively, showing buyer absorption. The current structure is transitioning from a consolidation phase into a potential bullish continuation leg. 📌 2. Key Zones Support Zone (Strong Demand): - Located around the $88,800 – $89,400 region. - Price has tapped this zone multiple times and continues to bounce — clear demand. Resistance Zone (Major Supply): - The large red block at $94,000 – $97,600. - This is the target zone for the next impulse move. 📌 3. Price Action - Price formed a V-shaped recovery from support. - Followed by a sequence of HL → HH attempts, signaling trend resumption. - The latest pullback is shallow — a bullish sign showing sellers are weak. - The green projection aligns perfectly with standard bullish market flow: higher low → push up → correction → strong breakout leg. Momentum is slowly shifting from neutral to bullish. 📌 4. Technical Confirmation -Buyers defended support with strong reaction wicks. -No breakdown beneath the key swing low — bullish structure intact. -Mid-range is now acting as a local accumulation zone. -Liquidity above $91,200 and $92,500 is likely to be targeted next. This setup aligns with classic trend continuation inside a wide range. 📌 5. Trading Plan (Entry – SL – TP) 🎯 Long Setup Entry: 90,300 – 90,450 Stop Loss: 89,650 (below last swing low & support zone) Take Profit 1: 92,500 Take Profit 2: 94,800 Final Target: 97,500 (top of resistance zone) Why this works: You’re entering on a bullish higher low, with low risk and high reward as price moves toward the resistance block.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
BTC Is Coiling Up — One Big FED Candle Will Decide....BTC MARKET ANALYSIS – 1H 1. Current Price Structure - BTC continues to move inside a wide sideway range, with price repeatedly rejecting both the resistance zone and the support zone. - After the strong drop earlier, the market has entered a compression structure, signaling accumulation rather than continuation of the downtrend. - The sideway zone is clearly defined: + Resistance zone: 92,500 – 93,500 + Support zone: 88,700 – 89,500 The repeated sweep of highs and lows shows liquidity collection, a classic sign of market-makers positioning before major macro events. 2. Liquidity Zones - Resistance liquidity: A large cluster located at the top of the range. Price has tapped this zone multiple times → liquidity is building for a potential breakout. - Support liquidity: Several wick spikes into the support zone indicate stop-loss hunts and accumulation by larger players. - BTC is effectively building a liquidity box, preparing fuel for the next impulsive move. 3. Today’s Market Scenario 🔹 Main Scenario – Sideway Until FED → Then Breakout - BTC is entering a news compression phase, where the market moves sideways waiting for high-impact events. - With FED policy statements and U.S. inflation data approaching, traders and institutions are delaying large entries. The structure suggests: + Price continues ranging inside the sideway zone. + More false breaks (liquidity taps) both at support and resistance. + Once FED news is released → volatility expansion. + Highest probability: BTC breaks the resistance zone upward after news clears uncertainty. This aligns perfectly with your green-path projection on the chart. 4. Market Psychology Before major macro announcements, the market often freezes, showing: - Low volatility - Tight consolidation - Fake moves above and below the range Smart money avoids early positioning; instead, they accumulate inside the range. Retail traders become confused or trapped → ideal environment for MM to collect orders. Sideway → Liquidity → News → Expansion. This is exactly the structure BTC is showing now. 5. Intraday Strategy Do not chase breakouts before FED → high probability they are false moves. Best strategies: - Buy near support zone with tight SL. - Sell near resistance zone if price rejects and stays below. - Wait for FED announcement → then trade breakout with confirmation. Upside target after clean breakout: 94,500 – 96,000 Potential expansion if momentum is strong: 98,000+ Stay patient. Sideways is not weakness — it’s preparation. The market is saving energy for the traders who know how to wait.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Matthew_TradeRFX
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Breakout & Bullish Target Senario📈 XAU/USD (Gold) 30M Technical Analysis: Breakout & Two Key Scenarios 📌 Summary of Current Setup The XAU/USD pair has recently shown a clear break to the upside out of a well-defined short-term consolidation pattern, suggesting a bullish shift in immediate momentum. The price is currently resting right at the top of a crucial short-term resistance level, which is being tested by a high-momentum candlestick. 📝 Detailed Analysis 1. Consolidation Breakout Previous Pattern: The chart highlights a period of sideways movement within a downward-sloping channel (or bullish flag/pennant in a larger context, though locally defined as a channel). This channel, visible from the late hours of the previous day into the current day's trading, represented a period of accumulation/distribution. The Break: Price has successfully broken above the upper boundary of this consolidation channel/zone around the 4,275 - 4,280 area. This breakout is a significant bullish signal, indicating that buyers have overpowered sellers at this stage. 2. Key Price Levels & Zones Current Price Action: The price is trading right around 4,288.49 (Ask), positioned above the previous structure. Mixed IFC Candle: The chart points to a "Mixed IFC Candle" (likely referring to an Institutional Flow Candle or a candle indicating indecision after a move). This candle, placed near 4,290.00, suggests a momentary pause or a minor struggle at the immediate resistance before the potential move higher. Central Zone (Resistance/Target 1): The first major resistance area, marked as the "Central Zone," is identified roughly between 4,303.00 and 4,308.00. This zone is crucial as a near-term target for buyers and a potential turning point for a bearish reversal if the rally loses steam. Target (Target 2): The ultimate bullish target for this specific setup is clearly marked around 4,335.00. 🔭 Two Potential Scenarios (Conditions) The analysis correctly outlines two primary paths based on how the price interacts with the immediate resistance near 4,290.00 and the Central Zone. Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Condition 1 - Preferred Path) Trigger: Price manages to close decisively above the Central Zone (4,308.00) or successfully tests the immediate support/retest zone and pushes through the Central Zone without a deep pullback. Action: This confirms strong bullish momentum and targets the ultimate price objective. Target: 4,335.00 (Potential extension towards 4,340.00) Invalidation: A decisive break and close below the recent breakout level (around 4,275.00). Scenario 2: Short-Term Pullback/Retracement (Condition 2) Trigger: The price rejects the immediate resistance near 4,290.00 or, more likely, rejects the Central Zone (4,303.00 - 4,308.00). Action: A pullback towards the recently broken consolidation channel's upper boundary for a retest of support (the breakout level) is expected. Retest Zone: A likely retest area would be near 4,275.00 - 4,280.00. A successful defense of this retest zone would re-establish Scenario 1. Risk: If the retest fails and price drops back into the consolidation channel, the bullish bias is temporarily negated, and the pair may revisit the lower end of the previous range. 💡 Trader's Mindset & Strategy Entry Strategy: Look for entries on a successful breakout above the Central Zone (4,308.00) or, more conservatively, look for a confirmation of support holding during the anticipated retest (Scenario 2) near 4,275.00. Risk Management: A stop-loss should be placed logically below the established breakout level (e.g., below 4,270.00) to protect against a false breakout. Profit Taking: Partial profits can be taken at the Central Zone (4,303.00 - 4,308.00), with the remainder targeting 4,335.00.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
GOLD CYCLE ANALYSIS - WAVE 5 PATTERN EMERGING1️⃣ MACRO CONTEXT — GLOBAL CONDITIONS ARE RELOADING GOLD’S NEXT MEGA WAVE Gold is entering a multi-year super-cycle powered by a rare combination of global instability and monetary shifts: - Ongoing geopolitical conflicts (Ukraine, Middle East) continue to elevate safe-haven demand. - U.S. economic momentum is slowing → rising recession probability. - The market is pricing in aggressive Fed rate cuts in the coming year → real yields cooling, a direct catalyst for gold upside. - Central banks (China, India, Turkey) are buying gold at the fastest pace in 50 years, diversifying away from the USD. These macro foundations perfectly align with the repetitive growth cycle pattern displayed in chart. 2️⃣ STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS — GOLD IS REPEATING ITS 5-WAVE GROWTH CYCLE On the 1D chart, gold is moving exactly within a classic 5-wave impulsive cycle: Wave 1: A long accumulation zone → first breakout. Wave 2: Shallow correction, maintaining higher lows. Wave 3:The strongest expansion phase — identical to the 2024–2025 rally. Wave 4: A consolidation wedge + sideway pullback inside the green zone you marked. Wave 5 (Forming Now): The next explosive leg upward, projected by the white path on your chart. Price is currently sitting inside Accumulation Zone 4, building energy before launching the final impulsive wave. 3️⃣TRADE SCENARIO — BASED ON STRUCTURE + MACRO ALIGNMENT 🔵 Primary Scenario: Bullish Super-Cycle Continues If price holds the ascending yellow trendline and the Zone 4 support: - Gold completes its corrective zigzag → then accelerates into Wave 5, aiming for new all-time highs. Macro factors reinforce this bullish scenario: - Fed rate cuts expected → lower real yields. - USD entering a weakening cycle. - Geopolitical tensions remain elevated. - Central banks increasing gold reserves aggressively. → This is the dominant, high-probability scenario. 🔴 Secondary Scenario: Macro Repricing Pullback Only triggered if: - The Fed unexpectedly turns hawkish again (low probability), - Geopolitical tensions ease significantly (low probability). In that case, gold may retest lower zones: 3125 → 2523, exactly as marked on your chart. 4️⃣ RISK MANAGEMENT — WHEN THE MODEL FAILS The super-cycle view becomes invalid if: - Daily close breaks below the green Wave 4 accumulation zone. - U.S. bond yields spike sharply higher again. - DXY rallies above 115. These conditions contradict the current global macro trajectory, so the probability remains low. 5️⃣ GOLD’S 5-WAVE PATTERN IS NOT RANDOM Each accumulation zone (1–2–3–4) shares identical behavior: - 6–12 weeks of tight consolidation - Breakout triggered by macro news - Each impulsive wave larger than the previous one This is the footprint of a long-term impulsive super-cycle, currently unfolding from 2023–2026. Given the macro backdrop and repeated structural pattern, Wave 5 is positioned to become the strongest and most extended wave of this entire cycle. I
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
OVERVIEW MARKET XAUUSD #3 I 12/12📌 Market Context Gold continues to maintain strong bullish momentum after a solid push from lower support levels. Price has now reached a short-term high and is trading near a high-liquidity zone, an area where the market typically shows consolidation or hesitation. The overall trend remains bullish, supported by the rising trendline. Key Volume Profile zones are still located much lower, indicating that price is currently trading in a premium zone — not ideal for initiating new buy positions at this level. Buyers remain in control, but the current highs may trigger a corrective reaction before the next move develops. 📌 Price Scenarios 🔵 Scenario 1: Break Above the High → Bullish Continuation If price completely breaks the current high with a strong H1 candle: Nearest upside targets: 4,295 4,305 This scenario follows the trend, but the R:R will not be attractive for buyers entering at these elevated levels. 🔴 Scenario 2: Pullback into Volume Zones → Ideal Buy Opportunities This is the main and safest scenario: If price fails to break the high and begins to retrace, potential buy zones include: VAH zone: 4,221 POC zone: 4,200 – 4,206 VAL zone: 4,182 – 4,189 These Volume Profile zones previously generated strong bullish momentum, making them highly likely to produce a reaction or bounce. 🟡 Scenario 3: Trendline Break → Bullish Weakness If price breaks below the rising trendline: The short-term trend turns weak. Downside targets: 4,205 4,188 Potentially deeper to 4,170 if strong selling pressure occurs. This scenario only activates when buyers lose control. 📌 Summary - Price is currently at the highs, making it unsuitable for new buy entries. - Wait for a pullback into Volume Profile zones to secure better entries and improved R:R. - The main trend remains bullish, so prioritize buying at support zones — avoid selling unless there is a very clear signal. - Watch price behavior around VAH – POC – VAL for the safest entry confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
The ETH Move No Trader Is ExpectingETHEREUM 1D MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Current Price Structure - ETH previously completed a strong bullish impulsive wave, breaking through multiple resistance levels before reaching the major 4,800–5,000 resistance zone, where the market formed a clear distribution top. -After distribution, price entered a large corrective decline, following the descending dotted trendline visible on your chart. -Recently, ETH has formed a broad accumulation block (highlighted in green), similar to the previous accumulation phases that triggered massive ETH rallies earlier in the year. Inside this zone, ETH is now building a series of higher lows, showing early signs of bullish reconstruction. -The current rising green structure indicates that price is forming a stair-step bullish pattern, preparing for a potential macro reversal. 2. Key Liquidity Zones -Major Resistance Zone: 4,800–5,000 -This is the next major destination if ETH successfully completes the accumulation and transitions into expansion. -Accumulation Block: 2,750–3,150 -This is where smart money is currently active — sweeping liquidity, trapping sellers, and accumulating long positions. -Multiple liquidity grabs have already occurred inside this range, confirming strong institutional absorption. -The current structure closely mirrors previous accumulation rectangles on the chart that led to massive bullish expansions. 3. Today's Market Scenario (1D Outlook) Matches perfectly with the upward projection on your chart. 🔹 Main Scenario – Bullish Continuation After Accumulation ETH is likely to follow this sequence: -Continue building higher lows inside the accumulation block. -Retest the inner structure trendline without breaking the macro zone. -Form a clean break above the descending dotted trendline — signaling a bullish structure shift. -Retest the broken trendline to form the final higher low. -Begin expansion to the next major liquidity magnets: -Short-term targets: 3,600 → 3,800 -Mid-term continuation: 4,200 → 4,500 -Macro target: 4,800–5,000 resistance zone This is fully aligned with the green arrow projection you drew. 4. Market Psychology -Big players are actively accumulating within this wide range clear repeated liquidity sweeps prove institutional activity. -Retail traders are losing positions during sudden spikes and false breakdowns, which is typical behavior during accumulation phases. -The market is more likely preparing for a major trend reversal, not a continuation downward. -The price behavior mirrors earlier patterns: Accumulation → Trendline Break → HL Retest → Massive Expansion -This repetition increases confidence in the bullish outlook. 5. Intraday Strategy Guidance (1D) Given the macro accumulation: -Avoid selling aggressively the probability is against sustained bearish continuation. -Best opportunities come from buying dips inside the accumulation zone. -Watch for liquidity sweeps below local lows to identify smart-money entries. High-probability setups: ✔️ Strategy 1: Buy the Bottom of the Range Entry zones: 2,750–3,150 Targets: 3,600 → 3,800 ✔️ Strategy 2: Buy the Retest After Trendline Breakout This is the cleanest and safest setup. Targets: 4,200 → 4,500 → 4,800+ ETH is currently in the prime zone where large investors position themselves before a new bullish cycle.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Ethereum Has Entered Its Pre-Expansion Accumulation📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE — CLEAN SIDEWAY → BREAKOUT → RE-ACCUMULATION The chart shows a repeating pattern: ✔ Phase 1: Sideway Zone ETH repeatedly compresses in sideways zones, forming liquidity pools and equal highs/lows. ✔ Phase 2: Breakout With Strong Momentum Each sideways block ends with a powerful impulsive candle clear evidence of aggressive buy-side imbalance. ✔ Phase 3: Post-Break Re-Accumulation (CURRENT PHASE) Price is now inside the highlighted pre-break accumulation zone, moving in a tight, controlled structure a textbook bullish continuation setup. This is the phase where institutional traders rebalance orders before the next run. 📍 (2) PRICE BEHAVIOR — BULLS IN FULL CONTROL -No sharp rejections after the breakout -Dips are shallow and quickly absorbed -Market is forming higher low micro-structures -Momentum clearly stays in the hands of buyers This confirms the market is not distributing, but absorbing liquidity and building a base. 🌐 (3) MACRO FACTORS SUPPORTING ETH UPSIDE ✔ ETH ETF Approval Momentum (US + Asia) Regulatory mood continues shifting positively, with multiple jurisdictions preparing Ethereum ETF products. Institutional demand keeps increasing quietly in the background. ✔ Falling US Inflation & Dovish Fed Expectations Recent CPI and PPI reports show cooling inflation. The market widely expects 2025–2026 rate cuts, which historically push liquidity into risk assets ETH benefits directly. ✔ Ethereum Supply Shock -Over 27% of ETH is staked -Net supply remains deflationary under high network activity -Reduced exchange reserves signal accumulation This creates a tightening supply environment that amplifies price expansion. ✔ Altcoin Rotation Phase BTC dominance stabilizing → capital increasingly flows into ETH and large-cap alts. Macro + on-chain + liquidity flows all align with a bullish continuation. ⏳ (4) HTF CONTEXT — BULL CYCLE CONFIRMED Higher timeframes show: -ETH broke out of a weekly compression range -Structure is fully bullish -Market currently resetting before next leg -No bearish reversal signals anywhere in sight This supports the thesis that the current 1H accumulation is not random, it is part of a much larger bullish leg forming. 🚀 (5) EXPECTATION — HIGH PROBABILITY SCENARIO ETH is expected to: -Continue oscillating inside the pre-break accumulation zone -Form a series of small higher lows as drawn -Absorb liquidity from both sides -Break out toward 3,400 → 3,450+ The path of least resistance remains upward. 🎯 (6) TRADING INSIGHT (Non-Signal) Markets only explode after liquidity is collected. ETH is doing exactly that holding strong after a breakout and compressing before expansion. This is the signature behaviour of a healthy bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
2
MARKET CONTEXT #2 I 12/12📌 Market Context Price is currently trading around the highest-volume area of the session — specifically the POC zone around 4,275–4,276 and the VAH zone around 4,286. This is a high-liquidity region where strong indecision often appears before the market chooses its next direction. The short-term trend remains bullish, supported by the rising trendline. Price is testing the VAH, a zone where buyers previously showed strength but where sellers often step in. The dense Volume Profile above current price shows the market is preparing for either a breakout or a strong rejection. 📌 Price Scenarios 🔵 Scenario 1: Break Above VAH → Bullish Continuation If price breaks above 4,286 with strong volume: Next upside targets: 4,295 4,305 This scenario follows the current trend. A clean H1 close above VAH confirms buyer dominance. 🔴 Scenario 2: Rejection From VAH → Return to POC If price reacts negatively and gets pushed down from 4,286: Expect a retest of: POC zone 4,275–4,276 If POC breaks, the next downside targets are: VAL zone 4,218–4,220 This scenario happens when buyers weaken or if short-term bearish pressure enters the market. 🟡 Scenario 3: Trendline Break → Deeper Correction If the trendline is broken: It signals real weakness from buyers. Price may drop toward: 4,230 4,218 (VAL) Further: 4,200 – 4,198 This scenario aligns with a deeper correction after the previous strong upward move. 📌 Summary Price is sitting right at the key resistance zone (VAH), which will decide the next direction. Overall trend: bullish, but currently testing a heavy distribution zone. Two important areas to watch: 4,286 (VAH) → breakout or rejection 4,275 (POC) → if held, buyers remain strong Reactions around these two zones will give the clearest trading signals.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
ETH Awaits Direction as Market Prices In Upcoming Fed Signals🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD Market State: – Price has broken down from the previous range and is now testing the lower support area, showing weakening momentum after the sharp decline. Key Levels: – Support Zone / Target 1: 3152 – Support Zone / Target 2: 3073 – Resistance / Recovery Target 1: 3288 – Resistance / Recovery Target 2: 3393 Next Move: – Price may form a short-term base around 3152; holding this level could trigger a recovery toward 3288 → 3393. – If 3152 fails to hold, downside continuation toward 3073 remains the more likely scenario.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Gold Pullback or Reversal? Key Zone Decides the Next Move🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: – Price is pulling back after the recent bullish impulse and is hovering just above the minor support zone, suggesting a potential retracement setup before continuation. Key Levels: – Support / Entry Zone: 4204 – 4205 – Stop-Loss Zone: 4193 – 4194 – Take Profit 1: 4229 – Take Profit 2: 4247 Next Move: – A clean retest of the 4204–4205 support zone may trigger another bullish leg toward 4229 → 4247, as long as price holds above the 4193–4194 rejection area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
How To Rally After Pause In XAUUSD GoldThis video explains how the rally in XAUUSD Gold developed after a pause on the daily timeframe. The analysis focuses on how Gold formed a consolidation phase, how price held above key structure, and how momentum began to rebuild after the pause. By observing the shift in candle behavior, breakout strength, and follow-through, we explore how a rally can continue once the market completes a natural pause. The purpose of this breakdown is to highlight how daily timeframe structure, pause formation, and momentum alignment can help understand price behavior in XAUUSD Gold—purely for educational and analytical learning.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by ProTradeMatrix
The Market Is Preparing a Bigger Move — Most Traders Won’t See 📌 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN 1. Support Zone Buyers consistently defend this area. Each dip into this zone creates higher momentum on the rebound. Strong liquidity pool — ideal for building long positions. 2. Resistance Zone (Neckline Zone) Acts as the confirmation level for the double-bottom pattern. Break and retest will be the key signal for a continuation run. This zone contains trapped sellers → breakout may cause a squeeze. 3. Double-Bottom Formation A textbook reversal pattern indicating exhaustion of the previous downtrend. Both bottoms show clear absorption and equal reaction. 4. FED Event Catalyst The “WAIT FOR FED” note on the chart marks a possible volatility spike. Price may show fakeouts around resistance before choosing a direction. A manipulation wick above the resistance is possible → be patient and let the market confirm. 📌 TRADE SETUP (LONG BIAS) 🔔 ENTRY ZONE: Break & Retest of Resistance Zone → Enter after price closes above resistance and retests it successfully. 🛑 STOP LOSS: Below the retest low → This protects you from FED-driven fakeouts. 🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS: TP1: First liquidity sweep after breakout TP2: New short-term high TP3: Extended target toward the projected upward curve 📌 BULLISH SCENARIO - Break resistance - Retest - Build higher-lows - Push into expansion phase - FED catalyst accelerates breakout This is the cleanest path and aligns with the chart’s projection. 📌 BEARISH SCENARIO (ALTERNATIVE) If price fails to break resistance and rejects strongly: - It may revisit the support zone again - But as long as support holds, bias remains long - Only a breakdown below support invalidates the setup You don’t need to catch every move — you only need to catch the right one with discipline.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal