Gold Maintains Its UptrendHello everyone, what’s your view on today’s global gold price?
Gold is rebounding above 4,350 USD early in the session, supported by escalating geopolitical tensions. The Israel–Iran conflict, along with developments involving the U.S. and Venezuela, is driving investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset.
At this stage, the bullish trend remains intact. The 4,400 USD level has been reached for the first time and successfully closed in the short term. As no new peak has yet been firmly established, the upside bias continues to dominate.
Do you agree with this outlook?
Chartanalysis
EUR/USD Rejects Resistance: Bears Setting Up the Next Move📊 EUR/USD Chart Analysis
1. Strong Resistance Hit at ~1.1700
The price made a sharp impulsive rally into the 1.1700 zone, which is marked as a major horizontal resistance.
Wicks at the top suggest rejection pressure, meaning buyers struggled to break higher.
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2. Possible Pullback Structure Forming
The black “M-shape” sketch on your chart suggests the idea of a short-term distribution pattern forming after the rally:
First drop after hitting resistance
Small corrective bounce
Potential continuation downward
This usually signals exhaustion after a strong move.
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3. First Support Level: 1.1684 – 1.1670
You marked a key support shelf:
This is the first liquidity pool below current price
Price may retest this area after the rejection at resistance
A break below it could trigger momentum toward deeper support
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4. Deep Support Zone: ~1.1664
Highlighted in red on your chart:
This aligns with the top of the Ichimoku cloud
Also sits near previous consolidation and structure
If price reaches this level, it may act as a strong reaction zone
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5. Broken Downtrend Line Re-Test
Earlier in the chart, price broke above the diagonal downtrend line.
It's common after such a breakout for the pair to:
Pull back into the broken trendline
Retest it as support
Then resume upward movement
Your current price action looks like it is setting up for such a retest.
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6. Ichimoku Cloud Context
Price is well above the cloud, showing:
Current momentum is still bullish
Pullbacks are expected but do not invalidate overall strength
Cloud’s angle is turning upward, reinforcing bullish shift.
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7. “No Sell” Icon Meaning
The chart includes a crossed-out SELL symbol, implying:
Selling immediately after a breakout is risky
Market may still show bullish continuation despite pullbacks
Bears only gain control if support breaks decisively
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📌 Summary
Based on the chart:
Strong resistance at 1.1700 rejected price
Short-term pullback is likely toward 1.1684 → 1.1670
Major support at 1.1664 may be the deeper target
Trend remains bullish, but retracements are natural
Key decision zone is the support shelf beneath current price
Gold Holding Key Structure – Bulls Preparing Next LegXAUUSD (Gold) – 30M Technical Analysis
Market Structure
Gold is moving inside a well-defined range, showing accumulation after a strong impulse.
Previous manipulation spike (liquidity grab) above resistance failed, but price did not break structure, indicating strength, not weakness.
The market is compressing → volatility expansion is near.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4,350 – 4,360
Range High (Breakout level): 4,365+
Support: 4,315 – 4,300
Invalidation: Below 4,290
Price Behavior
Multiple rejections show buyers defending the range low.
Equal highs were taken → liquidity cleared, preparing price for continuation.
Current candles show higher lows, signaling bullish pressure building.
Bias & Scenarios 🔹 Bullish Scenario (High Probability)
Clean break and close above 4,365
Target zones:
🎯 4,380
🎯 4,400+
Momentum likely fast after breakout.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to hold 4,315
Drop toward 4,290 – 4,270 for deeper liquidity.
Ripple: Downtrend ContinuesRipple’s XRP has continued its downward trajectory, further developing the blue bearish structure we primarily anticipate. This move is expected to ultimately bring XRP into the green Target Zone between $1.03 and $0.38, where the larger turquoise wave B is projected to complete. We still assign a 30% probability to the alternative scenario in which turquoise wave alt.B has already finished. This alternative could be confirmed if XRP breaks above the resistance levels at $3.19 and $4.09.
EURJPY M30 – Strong Bullish Impulse Into Reversal Zone📊 EURJPY – M30 Strong Impulse Move into Premium Reversal Zone
🔍 Technical Analysis
EURJPY on the 30-minute timeframe is showing a powerful bullish impulse, driven by strong momentum and aggressive buying pressure. Price has expanded sharply from the lower consolidation area, leaving behind minimal retracement, which often signals institutional participation and urgency in order flow.
📈 Impulsive Move & Momentum Analysis
The chart shows a clean bullish expansion, characterized by large-bodied candles and shallow pullbacks.
This type of movement typically represents a liquidity-driven breakout, where sellers are forced to exit and buyers chase higher prices.
Momentum remains bullish, but price is now entering a premium zone, where risk-to-reward for new longs becomes unfavorable.
🟥 Premium Reversal Zone (Upper Area)
The marked Reversal Zone represents a key supply and reaction area.
This zone aligns with:
Prior high-liquidity levels
Potential institutional sell interest
Overextended price conditions after an impulsive leg
The highlighted circle emphasizes the decision point, where market intent will become clear.
⚠️ “Pattern Must” – Confirmation Is Key
This is not a blind sell zone.
A clear bearish pattern must form, such as:
Strong rejection wicks
Bearish engulfing candles
Lower high / micro structure shift
Without confirmation, price may continue consolidating or push slightly higher to sweep liquidity before reacting.
🔄 Possible Market Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Bearish Reaction (Pullback / Correction):
If sellers defend the reversal zone, a corrective move lower is likely.
This would be a healthy retracement within a larger bullish context.
Scenario 2 – Continuation Higher:
A strong close above the reversal zone with volume would indicate acceptance at higher prices.
In this case, the bearish idea is invalidated, and price may target higher liquidity levels.
🧠 Trading Insight
Strong trends often end or pause at premium zones, not in the middle of expansion.
Let the market show rejection before committing to a trade.
Structure + reaction + volume = probability.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: Premium Reversal Zone
Support: Internal pullback levels from the impulsive move
Bias : Bullish momentum, cautious bearish reaction only with confirmation
💬 Trade confirmation, not emotion. Patience protects capital.
EURGBP – Bearish Momentum Approaching Reversal Zone📊 EURGBP – H1 Market Structure, Supply Breakdown & Volume-Based Reversal Setup
🔍 Technical Analysis
EURGBP on the 1-hour timeframe is currently trading in a clear bearish environment. The pair has transitioned from consolidation into a strong impulsive sell-off, signaling increasing dominance from sellers. The chart highlights a key breakdown from supply, followed by aggressive momentum toward a high-interest demand area.
📉 Market Structure & Momentum
Price respected a descending structure, forming lower highs and lower lows.
A previous internal consolidation range failed to hold, confirming bearish continuation.
The sharp bearish candles reflect strong order flow imbalance, suggesting institutional participation rather than retail-driven movement.
🟥 Broken Supply (BR Supply)
The marked BR Supply level acted as a strong resistance in the past.
Once price broke below this level, it confirmed a market structure break (MSB).
After the breakdown, price used this area as a distribution zone, accelerating further downside.
This validates the level as a key decision point in the trend.
🟩 Demand Zone with Volume Burst (Lower Area)
The lower green zone represents a high-probability demand and volume burst area.
Historically, this zone shows strong buying reactions, indicating accumulation.
The presence of a Volume Burst suggests liquidity absorption and potential exhaustion of sellers.
This is a zone where reversal or corrective pullback becomes technically valid.
🔄 Reversal Zone & Pattern Expectation
The highlighted Reversal Zone is not a blind entry area.
A clear bullish pattern must form (e.g., strong rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, or shift in structure).
Without confirmation, price may continue lower due to prevailing bearish pressure.
The annotation “Pattern Must” emphasizes confirmation over anticipation.
🧠 Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Bullish Reaction (Corrective Move):
If buyers step in with volume confirmation, price may react upward toward broken structure.
This move would likely be a pullback within a broader bearish trend, not an immediate trend reversal.
Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation:
Failure to hold the demand zone could lead to continued downside, targeting deeper liquidity pools.
Strong bearish closes below the zone invalidate reversal expectations.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: Broken Supply / Prior Structure
Support: Volume Burst Demand & Reversal Zone
Bias: Bearish overall, cautious bullish reaction only with confirmation
💡 Trading Insight
Trend is bearish; counter-trend trades require patience and confirmation.
Volume behavior at key zones gives better insight than indicators alone.
Trade reaction, not prediction.
EURUSD H1 – Institutional Volume Zones & Reversal Setup📊 EURUSD – H1 Market Structure & Volume-Based Reversal Analysis
🔍 Technical Analysis
EURUSD on the 1-hour timeframe shows a corrective phase after a prior bearish move. Price previously experienced aggressive selling pressure, followed by consolidation and a gradual recovery. The chart highlights key volume reaction zones that are now playing a decisive role in short-term direction.
📉 Previous Price Action
The left side of the chart shows strong bearish momentum, characterized by long red candles and impulsive downside moves.
This selling phase ended with capitulation-style candles, indicating exhaustion of sellers.
After the sell-off, price transitioned into a range-bound structure, forming higher lows and absorbing liquidity.
🟩 Demand Zone & Volume Burst (Lower Area)
The lower green zone represents a high-volume demand area.
Multiple rejections from this zone confirm institutional buying interest.
Volume bursts at this level indicate absorption of sell orders, often seen before a directional move.
This zone acted as a base for the current bullish push, validating it as a strong short-term support.
📈 Bullish Reaction & Structural Shift
Price broke above internal consolidation highs, signaling a short-term bullish structure shift.
Higher highs and higher lows suggest buyers are currently in control.
The bullish candles show improving momentum, but price is now approaching a critical area.
🟥 Supply / Reversal Zone (Upper Area)
The upper marked zone is a potential reversal and supply area, aligned with:
Previous price imbalance
Prior rejection zone
Expected volume expansion (Volume Burst)
This area is likely to attract profit-taking and fresh sell orders.
The highlighted circle marks a reaction point, where price may show:
Rejection wicks
Slowing momentum
Bearish candle formations
🔄 Expected Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Bearish Rejection (High Probability):
If price shows rejection within the upper zone, a pullback toward the demand zone is likely.
This would be a healthy retracement within the current structure.
Scenario 2 – Bullish Continuation:
A strong break and close above the reversal zone with volume would invalidate the short-term sell bias.
This could open the door for trend continuation toward higher liquidity levels.
🧠 Trading Insight
Avoid chasing price inside premium areas.
Best opportunities come from reaction, not prediction.
Watch for volume behavior and candle confirmation at the highlighted zones.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Support: Lower Volume Burst / Demand Zone
Resistance: Upper Reversal & Volume Expansion Zone
Bias: Neutral to bearish at resistance, bullish only on clean breakout
💬 Always wait for confirmation. Volume + structure gives clarity, not indicators alone.
BTCUSDT Break of Structure & Clean Retest – Bullish Continuation📊 Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – 1H Timeframe | Detailed Price Action & Market Structure Analysis
This chart represents Bitcoin / TetherUS Perpetual (BTCUSDT) on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on market structure shift, breakout confirmation, and retest logic, which are key concepts in professional price action and smart money trading.
🔹 Overall Market Structure
Bitcoin was previously moving in a choppy and corrective structure, showing mixed momentum with sharp bullish and bearish swings. This type of behavior often indicates liquidity grabs and accumulation, especially near key support levels.
As price stabilized, BTC formed a higher low, signaling a potential trend shift from bearish to bullish.
🔹 Major Breakout Level
The chart clearly marks a “Major Break” level, which acted as a strong resistance zone in the past. Price finally broke above this level with strong bullish candles, indicating:
A break of structure (BOS)
Increased buyer dominance
Acceptance above a key resistance
This breakout is critical because it confirms bullish intent in the market.
🔹 Retest Zone (Support Flip)
After the breakout, price pulled back into the highlighted blue zone, labeled as “Retesting”. This area now acts as:
Previous resistance turned support
A high-probability buy-on-dip zone
A zone where institutions may re-enter long positions
Price respecting this zone strengthens the idea that the breakout is valid, not a fake move.
🔹 Price Action Behavior
Within the retest zone, price shows:
Strong bullish rejections
Small-bodied candles followed by expansion
Gradual upward pressure
This suggests buyers are absorbing sell orders, preparing for the next impulsive move.
🔹 Bullish Projection & Targets
The projected path on the chart shows:
Continuation after a successful retest
Higher highs forming above the recent structure
Momentum aiming toward 90,800 – 91,600 and potentially higher if volume supports
As long as price holds above the retest zone, the bullish bias remains intact.
🔹 Trading Psychology & Strategy Insight
This setup aligns with a classic Break → Retest → Continuation model:
Avoid chasing the breakout
Wait for price to return to value
Enter trades with better risk-to-reward
Discipline and patience are key here.
🧠 Fin al Thoughts
Market bias: Bullish
Key confirmation: Hold above retest zone
Invalidation: Strong close below the support zone
Best approach: Confirmation-based buys
This chart reflects clean technical structure, making it suitable for both intraday and short-term swing traders.
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Continuation After Demand Zone Retest📊 Gold (XAUUSD) – 30-Minute Chart | Detailed Technical Analysis
This chart shows Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe, and it highlights a very important phase of post-impulse consolidation and potential continuation.
🔹 Market Structure Overview
Gold has recently shown strong bullish momentum, visible through a sequence of large bullish candles with expanding bodies. This impulsive move suggests strong institutional participation, confirmed by the volume burst marked on the chart.
After this aggressive rally, price entered a corrective phase, forming a short-term pullback with smaller bearish candles. This behavior is healthy and typical after a strong push, indicating profit-taking rather than trend reversal.
🔹 Key Zone: Demand / Support Area
The highlighted green zone represents a demand area, created after the strong bullish expansion. This zone is important because:
It aligns with the origin of the impulsive move
It shows high trading volume, signaling strong buying interest
Price is expected to retest this area before continuation
The chart clearly labels this phase as “Retesting”, which means price may dip into this zone to absorb liquidity and attract buyers.
🔹 Price Action & Pattern Expectations
At the moment, price is hovering above the demand zone, but the idea emphasizes:
Patience is required
A clear bullish pattern (such as bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong rejection) should form inside or near the zone
Only after confirmation, buy-side opportunities become valid
The note “Need Pattern And Buy Side” reinforces the importance of waiting for price action confirmation, not blindly entering trades.
🔹 Bullish Projection
The upward arrow drawn on the chart represents a bullish continuation scenario:
After a successful retest
Followed by strong bullish confirmation
Price may resume its upward trajectory toward higher resistance levels
This projection aligns with the overall bullish market structure unless the demand zone is clearly broken with strong bearish volume.
🔹 Trading Psychology Insight
This setup favors smart money logic:
Impulse → Pullback → Retest → Continuation
Traders who wait for confirmation inside high-probability zones often achieve better risk-to-reward trades and avoid emotional entries.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Trend bias: Bullish
Key focus: Demand zone retest
Entry style: Confirmation-based buying
Risk management: Essential if demand zone fails
This chart represents a professional, rule-based trading idea, emphasizing patience, structure, and volume rather than aggressive chasing.
CONTEXT MARKET XAUUSD 22/121. Fundamental Context
New Record: Spot gold has hit an all-time high of $4,400 per ounce as of Monday.
Growth Drivers: This surge is propelled by expectations of further U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, sustained safe-haven demand due to geopolitical tensions, and a softer dollar.
Annual Performance: Gold is up 67% for the year, driven by robust central bank buying and trade tensions.
2. Technical Analysis (1h Chart)
Based on the technical indicators and Volume Profile:
Trend Structure: The price is in a strong uptrend, hugging a very steep ascending trendline.
Key Value Areas:
VAH (Value Area High) - $4,418.474: This is the upper boundary of the value area, currently acting as immediate resistance.
POC (Point of Control) - $4,400.517: The level with the highest traded volume, aligning with the $4,400 psychological record, forming a very strong support zone.
VAL (Value Area Low) - $4,381.577: The lower boundary of the value area and the final support level to maintain the short-term bullish structure.
Market Flow: Institutional flow continues to control the market structure, with no signs of distribution or trend reversal.
3. Market Outlook & Scenarios
Continuation Scenario: Buy orders are being executed at pullback zones after the market completes expansion phases and sweeps liquidity. If the price closes firmly above the VAH ($4,418), Gold will likely continue its "price discovery" phase toward new highs.
Correction Scenario: Should a retracement occur, the POC ($4,400) zone will be the pivotal anchor. A pullback to this area is viewed as an opportunity for institutional investors to push prices higher within the sustained uptrend.
Summary: Gold remains extremely Bullish. The primary strategy is to monitor price action at the $4,400 POC zone to seek opportunities in line with the prevailing trend.
Gold Ready to Fly Triangle Breakout BUY Setup📊 XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis – BUY Bias
Timeframe: Intraday (as shown)
Market Structure: Bullish / Consolidation before continuation
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🔍 Market Structure Breakdown
Price previously accumulated in a range, then made a strong impulsive bullish move → confirms bullish BOS (Break of Structure).
After the impulse, price entered a higher-range consolidation (smart money re-accumulation).
Current price is forming a bullish triangle / compression pattern, showing reduced volatility before expansion.
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📌 Key Zones
Demand / Support Zone:
Lower boundary of the triangle + previous range high (acting as support).
Resistance / Liquidity Area:
Equal highs above the range → buy-side liquidity resting above.
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📈 Price Action Insight
Multiple higher lows → buyers defending aggressively.
Wicks rejecting the downside → selling pressure is weak.
Structure suggests continuation, not reversal.
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🎯 Trade Idea (Based on Chart)
Bias: BUY
Entry: On triangle breakout OR pullback from demand zone
Targets:
TP1: Range high
TP2: Next liquidity zone (flagged area)
Stop Loss: Below triangle support / last higher low
> This setup aligns with Smart Money accumulation → expansion model
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🧠 Summary
Trend: Bullish
Pattern: Triangle / Re-accumulation
Liquidity: Above highs
Probability: High for upside continuation
BTC ANALYSIS M30 I 12/221. Market Structure & Trend
Short-term Trend: The price is in a bullish recovery phase after bottoming out around the $87,400 area.
Trendline: There is a steep ascending trendline (black line) supporting the price. Currently, the price is hugging this line, indicating active buying pressure.
Current Position: BTC is trading around $88,881, positioned at the upper boundary of the Value Area.
2. Volume Profile Analysis
The chart highlights three critical levels based on volume distribution:
VAH (Value Area High) - $88,936: This is the immediate resistance. Price is currently reacting to this zone. A candle close above this level could clear the path toward $90,000.
POC (Point of Control) - $88,451: This represents the price level with the highest traded volume. It acts as the "fair value." If a reversal occurs, this will be the first major support.
VAL (Value Area Low) - $88,159: The lower boundary of the value area. If the price drops below this, the short-term bullish momentum will be significantly weakened.
3. Key Observations
Current Candlestick: A green candle with decent body strength is visible, but it is facing selling pressure as it approaches the VAH zone ($88,936).
Accumulation: There was a prior sideways consolidation period around the POC ($88,450), which served as a foundation for the current upward push.
4. Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Priority): If the price breaks and holds above $88,936 (VAH), the next target will be the previous highs near $89,800 – $90,000.
Correction Scenario: If it fails to break VAH, the price is likely to retraced to test the POC ($88,451). This would be an ideal retest point for buyers to re-enter.
Risk Warning: A breakdown below VAL ($88,159) would confirm that sellers have taken control, potentially leading the price back toward $87,500 or lower.
Summary: Watch the reaction at the $88,936 level. A decisive 30-minute close above this mark with high volume would be a strong signal for trend continuation.
Ethereum Is Resetting — Not Breaking DownEthereum on the daily timeframe is still trading within a broader corrective structure, with price rotating between a clearly defined support zone around the mid-2,700s and a heavy resistance area overhead. The recent pullback into support shows slowing downside momentum, suggesting that selling pressure is being absorbed rather than aggressively expanded. This zone has historically attracted demand, making the current move more consistent with a technical reset than a continuation of the broader downtrend.
From a structural perspective, ETH is attempting to stabilize after a prolonged decline, and the reaction from support will be critical. As long as this demand zone holds, the downside remains corrective in nature, opening the door for a recovery move back toward the upper resistance zone. A sustained push higher would signal that buyers are regaining control and could initiate a larger mean-reversion rally within the higher-timeframe range.
From a macro standpoint, Ethereum’s behavior aligns with the broader crypto market environment, where risk assets remain sensitive to liquidity conditions and expectations around U.S. monetary policy. With no decisive tightening shock and ETF-related narratives still providing long-term support to the crypto space, deep downside continuation lacks strong macro confirmation. However, the absence of aggressive liquidity expansion also explains why upside remains corrective rather than impulsive at this stage.
In this context, ETH is in a decision zone. Holding support keeps the recovery scenario valid and favors a move back toward resistance, while a clean breakdown would reopen downside risk. Until price leaves this range with conviction, patience remains the edge the trade appears only when structure and macro align with clear intent.
BTC Is Being Traded, Not TrendingBTC/USD – 1H Brief Analysis
Bitcoin is locked inside a high-liquidity range, where price repeatedly sweeps both highs and lows without follow-through. Sharp moves are quickly faded, confirming rotation and order flow balance, not trend continuation.
Price is currently oscillating around the mid-range and key EMAs, showing indecision rather than strength or weakness. As long as BTC remains inside this box, the market’s objective is simple: collect liquidity on both sides.
Key Read
No clean acceptance → no trend
Breakout attempts are being sold
Dips are being absorbed, not extended
Expectation
More range rotation and false breaks until price decisively exits the zone.
Bottom Line
This is a liquidity environment.
Direction becomes tradable only after the range is resolved.
Gold Is Not at a Top — It’s Compressing Below HistoryGold continues to trade in a strong bullish structure on H4, with a clear sequence of higher lows confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. After the impulsive leg up, price is now consolidating directly below the previous highest high around 4,380 a textbook bullish consolidation rather than a distribution phase. This range-bound movement shows that selling pressure is being absorbed, not expanded, as pullbacks remain shallow and demand consistently steps in. As long as price holds above the higher-low base of the consolidation, the broader bias stays bullish, and this sideways action should be viewed as a buildup of pressure. A clean acceptance above the 4,380 resistance zone would likely trigger continuation toward a new ATH, while failure to break simply extends the consolidation, not invalidates the trend. This is a wait for expansion environment patience is the trade.
EUR/USD Is Sitting on the Edge — Bounce or Breakdown?EUR/USD – 1H
Price is holding at a well-defined support zone (~1.1700) after sustained selling pressure.
Momentum is weak, but selling is no longer aggressive → early stabilization.
Key Levels
Support: 1.1685–1.1705
Resistance: 1.1755–1.1765
Upside target (if bounce holds): 1.1800–1.1810
Scenario
Base case: support holds → corrective bounce toward resistance.
Failure scenario: clean break below support opens continuation lower.
Bottom Line
This is a decision zone, not a chase.
The move only becomes clear after price reacts at support.
ETH Is Done Falling — Now It’s Testing ConvictionETH/USD – 1H Quick Analysis
ETH has broken the descending trendline and reacted cleanly from the support zone, signaling downside exhaustion.
Price is now compressing below resistance, forming higher lows — a classic transition from sell pressure to balance.
Key Levels
Support: ~2,780–2,820 (buyers defended decisively)
Resistance: ~3,150–3,180 (key decision zone)
Outlook
Short-term: Consolidation / pullback is possible to build structure
Continuation: Acceptance above resistance = upside expansion
Failure: Rejection keeps ETH ranging, not bearish
Bottom Line
Trendline broken. Support held.
ETH is coiling direction comes at resistance.
Bitcoin Is Ranging — And Macro Is Keeping It That WayBitcoin on H1 remains locked inside a clearly defined range, with price oscillating between a defended support zone near the lower boundary and a heavy resistance band overhead. The sharp rejection from resistance confirms active sellers at the top, while repeated bounces from support show that buyers are still willing to defend the range. This back and forth price action reflects balance and liquidity building rather than trend continuation, with momentum paused after the prior impulsive move.
Structurally, BTC is showing overlapping candles and failed follow-through in both directions classic range behavior. As long as price remains capped below resistance, upside attempts are corrective, not impulsive. A rotation back toward the mid-to-lower range remains the higher-probability path unless acceptance above resistance is achieved with strength.
From a macro perspective, this consolidation aligns with a broader wait-and-see environment across risk assets. Markets are currently sensitive to U.S. macro data and expectations around Fed policy, with no clear catalyst pushing liquidity decisively risk-on or risk-off. This macro indecision is mirrored directly in Bitcoin’s price action, where volatility compresses and directional conviction fades.
In summary, Bitcoin is not breaking it is balancing. Until macro conditions and liquidity provide a clear push, BTC is likely to continue rotating within the range. The edge lies in patience: wait for a clean range resolution with intent, not anticipation.
Bitcoin Is Not Trending — It’s Testing Conviction.BTC/USD – 1H Technical Analysis
Market Structure
- Bitcoin is clearly trading inside a well-defined horizontal range, bounded by a firm support zone below and a heavy resistance zone above. There is no trend dominance at the moment price is rotating, not expanding.
This is a range-controlled market, not a breakout or breakdown phase.
Key Zones
- Resistance Zone: ~89,800 – 90,300
- Mid-Range Value: ~87,700 – 88,200
- Support Zone: ~85,100 – 85,500
Price has repeatedly:
- Rejected from resistance with strong wicks
- Found aggressive buying interest at support
- Returned back to value without follow-through
That behavior confirms liquidity cycling, not directional intent.
Price Action Read
The latest move is a support bounce, not a trend reversal.
- The impulsive drop into support was immediately absorbed
- Buyers stepped in, pushing price back into the range
- However, upside momentum weakens as price approaches mid-range
This suggests the market is resetting positioning, not committing yet.
Scenarios Ahead
Primary Scenario (Range Continuation):
- Short-term pullback into mid-range
- Another rotation toward resistance
- Final liquidity sweep before a real breakout attempt
Breakout Scenario (Confirmation Required):
- Clean acceptance above resistance
- Holding above the range high
- Only then does upside expansion become valid
Until that acceptance happens, all upside moves are still range trades.
Bottom Line
Bitcoin is not bullish or bearish right now.
It is forcing traders to choose patience or punishment.
The real move begins after the range breaks not inside it.
Correction Is Not a Reversal — Gold Is Reloading 1. Market Structure Overview
- Gold is still trading within a medium-term bullish structure, but price has entered a short-term corrective phase after failing to hold above the upper resistance zone.
- Strong rejection occurred at the POC / resistance area 4.35x – 4.38x, confirming active profit-taking.
The current price action is developing a classic ABC correction:
- Wave A: Completed with a sharp pullback.
- Wave B: Ongoing technical rebound.
Importantly, price remains above the major moving averages, meaning the primary uptrend is still intact.
This correction is technical in nature, not a trend reversal.
2. Market Context & Liquidity Behavior
Sellers are active near the highs, but downside momentum remains controlled.
The market is likely seeking liquidity clearance before deciding the next impulsive move.
The 4.26x – 4.20x zone stands out as a key re-accumulation area where buyers may step back in.
3. Today’s Price Scenarios
🔹 Primary Scenario (High Probability)
Price continues its corrective leg toward 4.26x – 4.20x.
This zone acts as a decision point:
Holding above it → supports re-accumulation and trend continuation.
Strong breakdown → opens room for a deeper short-term correction.
🔹 Alternative Scenario (Lower Probability)
Failure to reclaim strength after the correction may extend downside pressure.
Confirmation only occurs if support is decisively broken with volume.
4. Intraday Trading Setups — Re-Accumulation Focus
📌 SETUP 1 – Intraday Sell (Correction Timing)
XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 4369 – 4372
Take Profit: 4366 – 4361
Stop Loss: 4376
📌 SETUP 2 – Intraday Buy (Re-Accumulation Zone)
XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4262 – 4265
Take Profit: 4268 – 4273
Stop Loss: 4258
⚠️ Always apply strict risk management to protect capital.
5. Summary & Trading Guidance
Main Trend: Bullish
Short-Term State: Correction → Re-accumulation
Bias: Wait for price to reach key zones, avoid chasing highs
👉 Today’s session is a balancing phase. The market’s reaction at the support zone will define whether gold resumes its uptrend or extends the correction. Patience and discipline remain the optimal strategy.
EURUSD Is Trapped Below Resistance — Distribution Before....EURUSD – H1 MARKET ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
EURUSD is currently trading within a short-term corrective structure after a strong impulsive decline. The recent rebound failed to break above the key resistance zone, confirming that sellers are still in control of the broader intraday trend.
Price action shows:
- A clear lower-high formation near the resistance zone.
- Weak bullish follow-through after each bounce.
- Compression around the mid-range, indicating distribution rather than accumulation.
2. Key Zones
- Resistance Zone: 1.1750 – 1.1760
This zone has rejected price multiple times, acting as a supply area where sellers aggressively defend.
- Support Zone: 1.1700 – 1.1710
This is the nearest liquidity pool and the first downside objective.
3. Price Behavior & Liquidity
The sharp rejection from resistance followed by sideways consolidation suggests that the market is absorbing buy orders before continuation lower. The lack of strong bullish candles confirms that the rebound is corrective, not impulsive.
This behavior typically precedes:
- A stop-hunt below short-term consolidation
- Continuation toward deeper liquidity zones
4. Scenario Outlook
🔽 Primary Scenario (Preferred): Bearish Continuation
Price fails to reclaim the resistance zone
Breakdown below intraday structure
Targets:
Target 1: 1.1720
Target 2: 1.1700
Target 3: 1.1685 (major liquidity draw)
🔼 Alternative Scenario
Only if price breaks and holds above 1.1760 with strong momentum, the bearish setup is invalidated, and a deeper recovery may unfold.
5. Trading Bias
Main Bias: Bearish
Market State: Distribution → Liquidity Grab
Strategy: Sell rallies near resistance, avoid chasing price in the middle of the range.
Conclusion
EURUSD is not building strength it is preparing for continuation. As long as price remains below the resistance zone, downside liquidity remains the dominant magnet. Patience and discipline are key; the market will reveal direction once liquidity is released.






















