MARKET CONTEXT I SEP/25/2025SHOULD BE BUY OR SELL TODAY ?
- After forming a top around 3786–3790 (H1 VaH zone), gold has pulled back and is now consolidating in the 3735–3740 range.
- The main structure still maintains Higher Lows – Higher Highs on H1 and H4, confirming the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
- However, the current price is sitting right at the H4 Trendline + Liquidity zone 3737–3739, a sensitive area: either a bounce higher or a breakdown for a deeper test.
🟢 Scenario 1 – BUY at 3737–3739 (Liquidity zone + H4 Trendline)
Entry Conditions:
Reversal candles (Pin Bar/Engulfing) appear on M15–H1.
Price bounces immediately upon testing H4 trendline + liquidity zone.
Reason:
Key confluence zone: uptrendline + liquidity.
Market still in Higher Low – Higher High structure → bias remains bullish.
🎯 Entry: 3737–3739
🛑 SL: below 3724
✅ TP1: 3752
✅ TP2: 3778–3786
🟡 Scenario 2 – BUY on deeper correction at 3724–3717 (Key H1+H4 Support)
Entry Conditions:
Price hits 3724–3717 with absorption signals (declining volume on pullback).
Bullish confirmation candles (Engulfing/Fakey).
Reason:
Major support zone on both H1 and H4.
Pullback here could form another Higher Low for trend continuation.
🎯 Entry: 3724–3717
🛑 SL: below 3705
✅ TP1: 3752
✅ TP2: 3780+
🔴 Scenario 3 – Short-term SELL at 3780–3786 (VaH zone + Supply zone)
Entry Conditions:
Clear rejection (Pin Bar / Bearish Engulfing) on H1.
Weak breakout volume, no strength to push higher.
Rationale:
Strong resistance zone (VaH + old supply) with multiple reactions.
Suitable for quick SELL if buyer trap signs appear.
🎯 Entry: 3780–3786
🛑 SL: above 3795
✅ TP1: 3760
✅ TP2: 3740
⚡️ Scenario 4 – BUY breakout if price clears 3786
Entry Conditions:
Strong H1 close above 3786 with solid volume.
Successful retest of 3786, holding above.
Reason:
Breakout of VaH confirms a new bullish wave.
Opens the door toward 3800+.
🎯 Entry: 3786+ after retest
🛑 SL: below 3772
✅ TP1: 3804
✅ TP2: 3815–3820
📌 Strategy Summary
Priority: BUY at supports (3737–3739 or 3724–3717) if confirmation signals appear.
SELL: Only consider if strong rejection shows up at 3780–3786 resistance.
Breakout Plan: If price holds above 3786 → switch bias to BUY breakout.
Manage risk strictly, avoid FOMO as liquidity sweeps may occur before direction is chosen.
Chartanalysis
CHART SPEAKS- PSU BANKS#NiftyBank - PSU Banks have been rallying over a week. News came in Today. Was someone already aware of this?
The NEWS
UPDATE ON PSU BANKS: GOVT CONSIDERING TO RAISE FOREIGN INVESTMENT LIMITS IN PSU BANKS FROM THE CURRENT 20% -ET NOW
That's why I am Strong believer of Price Action. #Chartspeaks #chartsabkuchboltahai
Tesla: Upward Momentum PersistsTesla’s upward momentum has persisted, with the beige wave x still having some room to run. However, we expect the corrective top to form well below resistance at $532.92, which should then trigger the final selling phase within the broader correction. Ultimately, wave y is projected to approach our blue Target Zone between $157.88 and $46.70, completing the large blue wave (II) in that range. Afterward, we anticipate a new wave (III) uptrend. That said, there remains a 40% probability that price may not reach the blue zone, as wave alt.(II) could have already completed at $215.01. In this scenario, TSLA would already be developing a magenta upward impulse and could break above the $532.92 level directly and sustainably.
Disney: Wave [iv] Still UnfoldingAfter an extended period of sideways trading, Walt Disney has come under renewed pressure, indicating that the low for magenta wave has likely not yet been reached. To better contextualize the recent price action, we have incorporated a blue WXY three-part corrective pattern within this wave, which should continue down to the support level at $108.78. Afterward, the magenta impulse wave is expected to complete turquoise wave 1 above resistance at $124.90. We then anticipate a wave 2 correction, which should bottom out within our long Target Zone between $97.18 and $85.12. On the other hand, our alternative scenario suggests that turquoise wave alt.1 may already be finished. A break below the $108.78 level would confirm this outlook and immediately shift focus to the Target Zone (probability: 40%).
US100 Key Levels & Trend OutlookUS100 Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Nasdaq is consolidating just above the 24,516 – 24,488 support zone, which now acts as the key base for continuation.
Key levels:
24,516 – 24,488 → critical short-term support. Holding above confirms continuation of the uptrend.
24,603+ → current resistance. A clean breakout and hold above this level would extend bullish momentum and push toward new highs.
Downside risk: If price breaks back below 24,488, the next support sits around 24,158. A deeper breakdown from there could open a correction toward 23,404.
Cycle support: 19,407 is the major cycle uptrend level. Nasdaq must stay above this to keep the long-term bullish structure intact.
📌 Summary
Above 24,516 – 24,488 → bullish continuation in play.
Break & hold above 24,603 → signals further upside.
Below 24,488 → correction risk, first support at 24,158, then 23,404.
19,407 → cycle-level support for the long-term trend.
XAU/USD UpdateXAU/USD Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Gold is showing strength after reclaiming the 3,664 – 3,657 zone, turning it into a support.
Key levels:
3,664 – 3,657 → support zone. Holding above this confirms continuation of the uptrend.
3,684 → current resistance being tested. A breakout above this level would confirm bullish momentum and open the way for a move toward higher targets (3,720+).
As long as price stays above the support, Gold remains bullish in structure.
Risk scenario: If price falls back below 3,657, downside pressure may return, with 3,463 as the next major support.
Cycle support: 3,267 is a critical long-term level. Gold must hold this area to maintain the broader green cycle trend.
📌 Summary
Above 3,664 – 3,657 → bullish continuation confirmed.
Break above 3,684 → opens further upside targets.
Below 3,657 → downside risk increases, watch 3,463 as key support.
3,267 → major cycle support for long-term trend.
Texas Instruments: Rebound Underway, But Downside Still in PlayTexas Instruments initially continued its decline but has recently shown early signs of a rebound. Nonetheless, we still see greater downside potential in magenta wave (3), and expect the broader bearish magenta impulse to ultimately extend into the beige zone between $130.04 and $107.75. Should a new (corrective) high occur in green wave alt. above $221.79, it could temporarily postpone the anticipated sell-off. However, even in this 30% likely scenario, price would likely reverse no later than at the higher resistance level at $240.67.
Crude Oil Trading Levels – Plan Your Move!CRUDE OIL – Daily Timeframe Update
Crude Oil is trading within a well-defined parallel channel on the daily chart.
The price is currently taking support near the 5460–5490 zone and moving within an ascending channel.
Support Zone: 5460 – 5490
Resistance Zone: 5700 – 5720
If these levels sustain, we may see higher prices ahead in Crude Oil.
Thank you!!
Momentum Rebuilds: Can M&M Hit Recent Highs...?On 8th September, M&M broke the previous day’s high and rallied nearly 4%. However, it soon entered a gradual downtrend on the hourly timeframe, holding the ₹3575 level (the high of 5th September, now acting as support).
After a day of consolidation, the stock broke below ₹3575 and closed beneath it. In the following session, it faced resistance at the same level but later broke above it again, suggesting a false breakout.
Currently, the stock is retesting this zone. The Volume Profile indicator shows a significant high-volume cluster around ₹3600, adding importance to this level.
📊 Trade Setup
* Entry: ₹3585
* Target: ₹3700 (recent swing high)
* Stoploss: ₹3526
⚠️ Note
Due to uncertainty around the US-India trade deal and developments in the auto sector, volatility may increase. Trade cautiously and manage risk effectively.
Gold's Movement in the Current Market: A Technical PerspectiveGold has been experiencing some fluctuations recently. Currently, the price hovers around 3,653 USD/ounce, with slight movements observed. Based on recent patterns, gold appears to be trapped in a downward channel, which could signal further downward pressure unless key support levels hold.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: Prices have been testing the 3,660 USD level and could face challenges breaking through this area.
Support Zone: The price is now testing a critical support region near 3,640 USD. A breakdown below this could signal further declines.
Short-Term Outlook:
If the support at 3,640 USD breaks, the price of gold could fall towards 3,630 USD, possibly reaching the next lower level of 3,600 USD. However, as always, traders should keep an eye on market sentiment, as external factors like economic data and geopolitical events can shift the trend quickly.
What do you think about the current direction of gold prices? Let us know your thoughts!
CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT – GOLD 3645 I Sep/19/2025Should be BUY or SELL today ?
🧭CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT – GOLD 3645
- Gold is trading below the downtrend line, recently rejected at the Liquidity Zone 3655–3656.
- Current structure is lower high – lower low, showing the short-term trend remains bearish.
- The 3645–3646 area is retesting the previous “old high”, which may act as short-term support.
- The next strong support lies around 3630–3632 (H4 Support Zone) and deeper at the 3614 Demand Zone.
📊 4 GOLD TRADING SCENARIOS AT THE CURRENT PRICE LEVEL
🟢 SCENARIO 1 – BUY at 3630–3632 (H4 Support Zone)
📍 Reason for entry:
This is a strong H4 support zone that reacted clearly before.
High probability of volume absorption here to halt short-term downside.
Potential to form a temporary higher low if bullish candle signals appear (pin bar, bullish engulfing).
🔺 Entry condition:
Price retests 3630–3632 and forms a clear bullish reversal signal.
🔴 SCENARIO 2 – SHORT SCALP at 3655–3656 (Liquidity Zone)
📍 Reason for entry:
Strong bearish reaction occurred here earlier → likely a strong supply zone.
Confluence with the downtrend line + high volume → rejection is likely if price fails to break through.
🔺 Entry condition:
Price retests 3655–3656 but gets rejected (pin bar, fakey, engulfing).
⚠️ SCENARIO 3 – WAIT TO SELL if 3630 Breaks After News
📍 Reason for entry:
If news is negative for gold, price could break below the 3630–3632 support zone.
This would confirm a stronger bearish trend targeting the 3614–3620 Demand Zone or lower.
🔺 Entry condition:
Price breaks down below 3628 and fails a pullback to 3630.
🟡 SCENARIO 4 – QUICK BUY if 3656 Breaks + Closes Above Trendline
📍 Reason for entry:
If gold breaks above the 3656 Liquidity Zone and closes above the downtrend line → confirms short-term trend reversal.
Potential formation of a bullish reversal structure.
🔺 Entry condition:
H1 candle closes above 3658 and the pullback successfully holds the trendline.
SPY Fly or Die Looks like Q1 2024 is going to be a pivot point. Looking at the weekly tf, The price action curve has stayed consistent over the years. Im not a big fan of alot of indicators but we can see the bullish pressure building and bump and run pattern forming, Measured move from prior LL to Prior HH giving us a target of 700. Also 127 fib ext.
I would love to see the curve tested one more time but if there is a strong break to the top side Im going long on spy
please share your thoughts
Walk This Way...This S. Korean company focuses on treatment of cystic fibrosis and chronic kidney disease, et al. Future Medicine, Limited.
Godspeed to this company as they search for cures for primary biliary cirrhosis; colorectal, prostate, and lung cancers and rheumatoid arthritis, et al. They target metabolic cancers, inflammatory and autoimmune diseases, to produce anticancer drugs, anti-fibrotics and antiviral remedies. Not only persistent, but painful diseases, as well. Who on earth wouldn't want this company to succeed ?
Selling Volume has completely Dried-up and the stock is in the process of setting Higher-Lows. MACD, StochasticsRSI, Rate-of-Change, and %r are all additive tenets of confirmation for the astute and intrepid investor.
Go Long.... it's at the 20... the 10... the 5... and Touchdown
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Visa: Corrective Upward MoveIn our primary scenario, we place Visa in the corrective upward move of blue wave (x). After the top, we expect the broader downward trend of turquoise wave 4 to take hold, which should push the stock into our turquoise Target Zone between $308.09 and $292.19. At that level, we anticipate a sustained reversal. From this low, a new upward impulse is likely: wave 5 should then have enough strength to lift price above the resistance levels at $375.51 and $394.49. However, an alternative scenario remains relevant: there is a 33% probability that the correction of wave alt.4 has already concluded. If so, the stock could immediately break above the resistance levels mentioned.
CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT I SEP/18/2025🧭 CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT
- After FOMC, gold spiked to 3699 before dropping sharply to the support zone at 3645–3656.
- The H1 structure was slightly broken but has not yet formed a clear lower high → the market may still be in accumulation.
- Val zone ~3670, PoC ~3681, and Swing VaH ~3699 remain key resistance areas.
- The medium-term uptrend still has potential as long as 3645–3650 support holds.
🟢 SCENARIO 1 – BUY at Demand Zone 3645–3650 (H1 Wick + Trendline)
✅ Reason for entry:
Confluence of H1 & H4 wick
Previous uptrend line
Post-FOMC rejection
This is a technical pullback zone after the news-driven drop → short-term BUY on rebound.
🎯 Trade details:
Entry: 3645–3650
SL: below 3636
🟡 SCENARIO 2 – QUICK BUY at 3660–3665 (Val + Trendline)
✅ Reason for entry:
Important Val zone recently broken → could be retested.
If price reacts positively around 3660–3665 → potential for short-term rebound.
🎯 Trade details:
Entry: 3660–3665
SL: below 3645
🔴 SCENARIO 3 – SHORT SELL at 3680–3685 (PoC + Trendline Retest)
✅ Reason for entry:
Trendline was broken → retest at PoC + old trendline may provide a technical SELL point.
If price rises to 3680–3685 but fails to hold → likely rejection and continuation down.
🎯 Trade details:
Entry: 3680–3685
SL: above 3695
⚠️ SCENARIO 4 – WAIT FOR SELL BREAKDOWN below 3645
✅ Reason for entry:
If price breaks firmly below 3645 → major support lost → medium-term bearish signal.
Potential target at old Demand zone ~3630 or deeper toward 3617.
🎯 Trade details:
Entry: SELL after 3645 breaks and failed pullback
SL: above 3660






















