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MARKET CONTEXT XAUUSD CHART M30 19/121. Market Context Current Trend: The price is currently in a consolidation/ranging phase following a prior upward move. It is reacting significantly to the Volume Profile levels. Current Price: Gold is trading around 4,325.440. After a sharp rejection from the highs, the price is drifting down toward a rising trendline (the diagonal black line). 2. Key Technical Levels (Volume Profile) Your chart highlights three critical zones based on volume distribution: VAH (Value Area High) - 4,345.196: This acts as the major overhead resistance. We see a long "wick" on a previous candle here, indicating a strong sell-off and rejection at this level. POC (Point of Control) - 4,334.913: This is the price level with the highest traded volume. Since the price is currently below the POC, it acts as an immediate resistance. Bears (sellers) have the upper hand in the very short term. VAL (Value Area Low) - 4,314.522: This is the crucial support floor. It aligns with recent swing lows and represents the bottom of the "fair value" zone. 3. Potential Price Scenarios Scenario A: Bullish Bounce (Support Hold) The price is approaching the ascending trendline. If gold can hold the area between the trendline (approx. 4,320) and the VAL (4,314), we may see a reversal. Target: A move back up to retest the POC (4,334) and potentially the VAH (4,345). Scenario B: Bearish Breakdown (Support Failure) If the price closes decisively below the trendline and breaks the VAL (4,314.5), the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated. Target: The next liquidity pool or support level is located around 4,302 (the yellow horizontal line). 4. Summary & Strategy Market Sentiment: Currently cautious/neutral-bearish within the range. The recent large red candles suggest selling pressure is dominant for the moment. Key Action Zone: Watch the 4,315 – 4,320 area closely. This is the "make or break" zone for buyers to maintain the uptrend. Risk Note: If you are in a long position, a break below 4,314 would be a signal to reconsider or exit, as it opens the door for a deeper correction. Note: The price shown (4,3xx) is significantly higher than historical gold spot prices. Ensure this is the correct instrument or contract for your specific trading strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
Gold Is Quiet — But Pressure Is BuildingGold is maintaining a bullish continuation structure, not showing signs of distribution. - Trend: Price is moving inside a rising channel with higher lows intact. - Structure: Pullbacks are corrective and shallow, showing buyers defending each dip. - Dynamic Support: Price is holding above EMA 34 & EMA 89 → bullish control remains. Key Levels: - Target 1: 4,348 - Target 2 (Old ATH): 4,379 Outlook Primary scenario: Consolidation → push to Target 1 → extension toward Old ATH. Alternative: Short-term pullback to channel support to reload before continuation. Focus: As long as price holds above the rising channel and EMAs, bias stays bullish. Patience here is part of the trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
2
Smart Money Is Testing Patience — Not Selling YetEthereum is currently consolidating inside a clear range, not breaking trend. - Structure: Price rejected from the resistance zone and dropped into the lower range, but support is holding. - Behavior: The sideways movement near support shows liquidity absorption, not panic selling. Key Levels: - Support zone remains intact - Resistance zone is still the ceiling to watch Outlook Primary scenario: Range hold → base formation → rebound toward range high / resistance Invalidation: Only a clean breakdown below the support zone changes the bias Key Focus: Do not chase candles. Let the market show direction after accumulation.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
1
Gold Is Not Hesitating — It Is Building Energy for a New ATH.Gold on the H1 timeframe continues to display a bullish consolidation directly below the previous high at 4,380 , a structure that typically precedes continuation rather than reversal. Price is holding firmly inside a well-defined range, with higher lows forming repeatedly while pullbacks remain shallow and controlled. This behavior signals absorption of supply, not distribution sellers are active near resistance, but they are failing to push price into acceptance below the support zone. As long as Gold holds above the 4,260–4,270 support area, the broader bullish structure remains intact. From a market-structure perspective, this sideways action below ATH reflects strength. In strong trends, markets often pause near highs to build liquidity before expanding again. The repeated tests of the upper range, combined with higher lows, suggest pressure is coiling rather than fading. A clean acceptance above 4,380 would likely unlock a break into new ATH territory , while failure to break simply extends the consolidation phase, not invalidates the trend. From a macro standpoint, conditions remain supportive for Gold. U.S. monetary policy expectations continue to lean toward easing in 2025, keeping real yields capped and limiting sustained USD strength. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty continue to underpin safe haven demand. These factors reduce the probability of a deep corrective sell-off and favor sideways-to-higher price action instead. Bottom line: Gold is not topping it is positioning. As long as support holds, the technical and macro alignment favors a breakout above the previous high. Patience is required, but the bias remains firmly bullish until proven otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
4
Ethereum Is Compressing After Repeated Sell-OffOn the H1 timeframe, Ethereum continues to show a clear bearish structure, defined by a series of sharp impulsive sell-offs followed by weak, overlapping consolidations. Each prior bounce has failed to develop into a meaningful recovery, and price continues to form lower highs, confirming that sellers remain in control. The current sideways movement near 2,840 is corrective in nature, not a base for reversal. Structurally, ETH is displaying a classic bearish pause: volatility expansion to the downside, followed by tight compression with declining momentum. This type of price behavior typically precedes continuation, not reversal. As long as price remains capped below the recent breakdown area, the probability favors another leg lower, with downside liquidity sitting below the current consolidation range. From a macro and U.S. policy perspective, Ethereum remains under pressure from the same forces weighing on broader crypto markets. The Federal Reserve’s restrictive monetary stance, elevated real yields, and a relatively firm USD continue to drain liquidity from risk assets. In addition, ETH lacks a near-term narrative strong enough to offset macro headwinds, especially in an environment where capital remains selective and risk appetite is subdued. Bottom line: Ethereum is not building strength it is absorbing supply after repeated sell-offs. Until macro conditions ease or ETH reclaims key resistance with acceptance, rallies should be treated as temporary pauses within a broader bearish sequence, with downside continuation remaining the higher-probability scenario.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
2
Bitcoin Is Stabilizing After the Sell-OffOn the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clear range, bounded by a well-defined support zone near 85,200 and a resistance zone around 90,500. The sharp drop from resistance confirms strong sell-side pressure at the highs, while the subsequent bounce from support shows that buyers are still defending key demand. However, price action in the middle of the range remains overlapping and corrective, signaling balance rather than trend continuation. From a technical structure perspective, BTC has not yet reclaimed any major lower high. The current recovery leg is shallow and lacks impulsive follow through, suggesting it is a reactive bounce, not a trend reversal. As long as price remains below the 90,500 resistance band, upside moves should be treated as range rotations. A failure to hold above the mid-range would open the door for another test of the lower support zone, where liquidity is concentrated. From a macro and U.S. policy standpoint, conditions continue to weigh on crypto markets, including Bitcoin. The Federal Reserve remains in a restrictive policy regime, keeping interest rates elevated and liquidity tight. High real yields and a strong USD environment reduce the attractiveness of non-yielding and high-risk assets like BTC. In addition, ongoing uncertainty around U.S. fiscal dynamics and regulatory pressure keeps institutional flows cautious, limiting upside momentum. Bitcoin is not breaking down aggressively, but it is also not ready to trend higher. This is a range-bound market shaped by macro headwinds and liquidity restraint. Until BTC can reclaim resistance with acceptance — or macro conditions shift decisively toward risk-on the higher-probability path remains rotation within the range, not a sustained breakout. Patience and respect for structure remain critical here.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
2
GBP/USD Is Trapped in a RangeOn the H1 timeframe, GBP/USD is currently consolidating inside a clearly defined range, capped by a resistance zone near 1.3450–1.3460 and supported by a demand area around 1.3315–1.3320. The sharp rejection from resistance followed by a strong bounce off support confirms that both buyers and sellers are active, keeping price compressed rather than trending. Current price action is overlapping and corrective, typical of a market waiting for a catalyst. From a technical structure standpoint, the rebound from support lacks impulsive follow-through. Higher highs have not been reclaimed, and price is still trading below the key resistance ceiling. As long as GBP/USD remains below the 1.3450 zone, upside moves should be viewed as range rotations, not trend continuation. A clean acceptance above resistance would be required to unlock bullish continuation; otherwise, price risks drifting back toward the lower boundary of the range. From a macro and policy perspective, GBP/USD remains heavily influenced by diverging expectations between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The Fed’s restrictive stance and relatively strong U.S. data continue to support the USD, limiting upside for GBP. At the same time, the UK outlook remains fragile, with growth concerns and uncertainty around how long the BoE can maintain restrictive policy without further economic strain. This macro imbalance keeps GBP/USD in balance rather than allowing directional expansion. Bottom line: GBP/USD is not trending it is waiting. With macro forces keeping both sides cautious, price is likely to continue rotating between support and resistance until a clear policy or data driven catalyst emerges. The edge lies in respecting the range and waiting for confirmation, not anticipation.
Long
by Gold_Dominator
Ethereum Is Still Under Sell-Side ControlOn the H4 timeframe, Ethereum remains firmly embedded in a bearish market structure, defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Each rebound is shallow and corrective, failing at clearly marked resistance levels around 3,260 → 3,170 → 3,020 , which confirms that sellers continue to defend supply aggressively. These stepped reactions lower are characteristic of distribution within a downtrend, not accumulation for reversal. The current bounce from ~2,830 lacks impulsive strength and remains below reclaimed structure, keeping downside risk active. From a price-structure perspective, ETH is now trading in a weak recovery leg after a sharp sell-off, with price vulnerable to another rejection below 2,860–2,900 . As long as ETH fails to reclaim 3,020 with acceptance, any upside should be treated as a sell-side rotation rather than a bullish signal. A break back below the current base would expose the major support zone around 2,700–2,650 , which acts as the next liquidity magnet on the chart. From a macro and U.S. policy standpoint, conditions remain unfavorable for crypto, including Ethereum. U.S. monetary policy is still effectively restrictive, with real yields elevated and liquidity expansion limited. The Fed’s stance of keeping policy tight for longer continues to suppress risk appetite, especially for high-beta assets like ETH. In addition, ongoing regulatory uncertainty and risk-off positioning into year-end reduce speculative inflows, reinforcing downside pressure rather than supporting a sustainable recovery. Ethereum is not forming a confirmed bottom it is still operating under sell-side dominance. Until price reclaims key resistance levels and macro liquidity conditions improve, the higher-probability path remains range → rejection → continuation toward lower demand . Patience is critical here; the edge lies in respecting structure, not anticipating reversal.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
2
Gold Is Accumulating for a Break — Not HesitatingGold on H1 continues to consolidate inside a clear accumulation zone after the impulsive upside move, with price holding above key support and forming higher lows. This price behavior reflects absorption rather than distribution, as sellers repeatedly fail to force acceptance below the range while buyers defend dips. Compression beneath the old ATH is a classic pre-expansion structure, where the market builds liquidity before choosing direction. As long as the accumulation floor holds, the technical bias remains bullish, with a breakout above the previous ATH as the primary resolution. From a macro perspective, the backdrop remains supportive for Gold. Expectations around U.S. monetary policy continue to favor rate cuts in 2025, keeping real yields capped and limiting sustained USD strength. At the same time, year-end positioning, thinning liquidity, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty reinforce demand for safe-haven assets. These factors reduce the probability of a deep corrective sell-off and favor consolidation resolving higher rather than breaking down. In short, Gold is not stalling it is aligning technical structure with macro support. A clean acceptance above the accumulation high would likely unlock continuation toward new highs, while failure to break simply extends the buildup phase. Patience remains the edge until expansion confirms intent.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
2
BTC Is Not Bottoming Yet — This Is a Controlled Sell-Side On the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin continues to trade within a clear downtrend structure. Each rebound has produced a lower high, followed by renewed selling that prints lower lows. The sideways boxes on the chart are not accumulation phases; they function as distribution / position-unwinding zones within a broader bearish trend, where price pauses to build liquidity before continuing lower. At this stage, BTC is still inside a weak corrective bounce and has not reclaimed any key structure that would justify a trend reversal narrative. Key technical levels to respect: - Near-term resistance / supply: 87.7k–88.0k (marked resistance zone). Failure to accept above this area keeps rallies corrective. - Range support / demand: 85.1k–85.3k (range low). A clean break below this zone would confirm downside continuation. - Structural liquidity target: 74.8k, the next major downside magnet if the range resolves lower. Expected price behavior: BTC is likely to continue short-term ranging, producing several push-and-fail attempts below resistance before rotating back toward the range low. A decisive breakdown of the range floor would open the path toward the 74.8k liquidity zone. Only a sustained reclaim and acceptance above 87.7k–88.0k would invalidate the current bearish structure. Macro & U.S. Policy: Why Conditions Remain Unfavorable for Crypto 1) Monetary policy remains restrictive. Despite expectations for gradual easing in 2025, U.S. monetary policy is still firmly in restrictive territory. This environment limits risk appetite and historically weighs on high-beta assets like crypto when liquidity expansion is absent. 2) Policy uncertainty suppresses risk-on behavior. Ongoing ambiguity around the Fed’s policy path and broader U.S. macro direction keeps markets cautious. In such conditions, Bitcoin tends to move sideways or trend lower rather than sustain impulsive upside moves. 3) Regulatory and headline risk persists. While long-term regulatory clarity may ultimately benefit the crypto space, near-term developments around regulation and oversight continue to act as headline risk, reinforcing defensive positioning especially during periods of thinner liquidity. Conclusion: Technically, BTC remains under sell-side control on H4, and macro conditions in the U.S. do not yet support a clean risk-on reversal. Until Bitcoin reclaims key resistance and breaks the sequence of lower highs, the higher-probability scenario remains range → breakdown → continuation toward lower demand.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_TradeRFX
2
Ethereum Is Still Under PressureEthereum on H1 remains locked inside a well-defined descending channel, with price continuing to respect the trendline resistance and failing to regain the key resistance zone around the 2,920–2,950 area. The recent bounce from the lows lacks impulsive strength and is forming overlapping price action, indicating a corrective rebound rather than a trend change. As long as ETH remains capped below channel resistance, downside risk stays active, with price vulnerable to another rotation lower toward the support zone near 2,780–2,750 and potentially deeper if selling pressure accelerates. From a macro perspective, this technical weakness aligns with a cautious risk environment. Broader crypto markets are still sensitive to USD strength, real yields, and year-end positioning, where liquidity is thinner and downside moves can extend quickly if confidence fades. With no clear liquidity expansion catalyst yet, Ethereum lacks the macro support needed to break its bearish structure. In summary, ETH remains in a bearish corrective phase within a downtrend. Below resistance, rallies are sell-side rotations, not opportunities to chase longs. The edge remains with patience and waiting for either a clear breakdown into demand or a structural reclaim that shifts both technical and macro alignment.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Matthew_TradeRFX
This ETH Bounce Is a Trap — The Real Move Hasn’t StartedETHEREUM MARKET ANALYSIS (ETHUSD – H4) 1. Current Price Structure Ethereum is currently trading inside a well-defined descending channel, confirming a controlled bearish structure on the H4 timeframe. Price continues to respect both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel, forming lower highs and lower lows, which validates the short-term downtrend. The recent rebound from the channel’s lower boundary is corrective in nature and does not yet signal a trend reversal. Structure remains intact unless price decisively breaks above the channel resistance. 2. Key Technical Zones Resistance Zone: 2,900 – 2,960 This area aligns with: - Upper boundary of the descending channel - Previous breakdown structure - Strong supply reaction zone Support Zone: 2,620 – 2,650 This zone represents: - Channel demand area - Liquidity pool below recent lows - Potential reaction zone for short covering or accumulation As long as price trades below resistance, this zone caps upside attempts. 3. Market Behavior & Psychology Ethereum is displaying textbook corrective behavior: - Sharp impulsive drops followed by shallow consolidations - Buyers attempting short-term rebounds, but failing to regain structure - Sellers defending channel resistance aggressively This reflects a market where smart money is distributing on pullbacks, while retail buyers attempt early reversals. The structure favors patience and discipline rather than anticipation. 4. Scenario Outlook Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation (High Probability) Price retests the resistance zone (2,900 – 2,960) Rejection occurs at the channel top ETH continues downward toward the support zone (2,620 – 2,650) This scenario aligns with structure, momentum, and liquidity flow. Alternative Scenario – Structural Shift (Low Probability) Strong H4 close above channel resistance Successful retest holding above 2,960 Opens the door for a deeper corrective rally Until that happens, this scenario remains secondary. 5. Trading Guidance & Conclusion Favor sell setups at resistance, not buys inside the channel Avoid emotional bottom fishing without confirmation Wait for structure break + acceptance before shifting bias Conclusion: Ethereum is still trading within a controlled bearish framework. The current bounce is corrective, not impulsive. Until the descending channel is broken with conviction, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, with the support zone as the next key destination. Discipline and structure-based execution remain the edge in this environment.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
Trend Holds Strong — Smart Money Still in ControlThe XAUUSD market continues to move precisely in line with the projected trend-following plan. After a controlled technical correction, price remains firmly above the key support zone and the MA structure, confirming that the broader bullish trend is still intact. Current price behavior shows consolidation just below resistance, with stable buying pressure and no aggressive selling a classic pre-continuation environment. This phase reflects accumulation and supply absorption rather than weakness. Short-term pullbacks are functioning as liquidity shakeouts, allowing stronger hands to position in the direction of the main trend. As long as price respects the structural support, the preferred scenario remains a continuation to the upside. From an intraday perspective, the market maintains a bullish bias, offering tactical opportunities on both sides while favoring trend-aligned entries. Intraday Trading: Increase 📌 Timing Sell Zone (Short-Term Correction Trade) XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 4369 – 4372 🎯 TP: 4366 – 4361 ❎ SL: 4376 This setup targets a brief technical pullback within the broader uptrend. As a counter-trend trade, strict risk control is essential. 📌 Timing Buy Zone (Trend-Following Priority) XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4274 – 4277 🎯 TP: 4280 – 4285 ❎ SL: 4270 This is the preferred setup, aligned with the dominant bullish structure. Pullbacks into this zone are considered healthy retracements and offer higher-probability entries in the direction of the trend. Conclusion: Market movement continues to validate the original analysis and roadmap. Discipline, patience, and trading with the prevailing trend remain the key advantages in the current environment. Always apply proper capital management to protect account safety and maintain consistency.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
4
Bitcoin Isn’t Bouncing It’s Reloading for the Next DropBITCOIN (BTCUSD) – H1 MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Current Market Structure Bitcoin is maintaining a clear short-term bearish structure on the H1 timeframe. Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers remain in control. The recent bounce is corrective and lacks follow-through, signaling weakness rather than trend reversal. Key structural points: - Breakdown below previous consolidation blocks - Failure to reclaim prior value areas - Bearish momentum remains dominant 2. Moving Averages & Trend Confirmation - EMA 34 (blue) is acting as dynamic resistance - EMA 89 (red) defines the broader bearish trend Price remains below both EMAs, and every attempt to move higher is rejected a classic trend-following sell environment. This alignment confirms that: - Rallies are selling opportunities - Trend continuation is favored over mean reversion 3. Consolidation & Liquidity Behavior Bitcoin is currently compressing sideways just below resistance, forming a short consolidation range. This behavior indicates: - Liquidity is being built - Buyers are failing to regain control - Market is preparing for the next impulsive move In bearish conditions, this type of consolidation typically resolves to the downside. 4. Scenarios Ahead Primary Scenario – Bearish Continuation (High Probability): - Price continues to range briefly below EMA resistance - Liquidity builds within the gray consolidation zone - Breakdown triggers the next leg lower Downside objectives: - First support: ~85,800 - Expansion zone: 85,000 – 84,500 (liquidity draw) Invalidation Scenario: - Only valid if price breaks and holds above EMA 89 - Structure must shift to higher highs on H1 Until then, upside moves remain corrective. 5. Trading Bias & Conclusion Bias: Sell rallies Market State: Bearish trend + corrective consolidation Strategy: Follow structure, wait for breakdown confirmation Bitcoin is not reversing it is pausing before continuation. As long as price stays below key moving averages and resistance zones, the path of least resistance remains downward.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
3
Latest Gold Price Update TodayHello everyone, let’s take a look at the current trend of OANDA:XAUUSD . As previously anticipated, XAUUSD continues to hold a steady recovery and remains firmly above the 4,300 USD level. At the time of writing, the precious metal is trading around 4,330–4,335 USD, maintaining a bullish structure within the main ascending price channel. The U.S. dollar has softened slightly as the market continues to price in the possibility of monetary easing in the coming period. Cooling U.S. Treasury yields have further supported gold, allowing prices to stay elevated. The 4,350–4,360 zone stands as the nearest resistance (weak high), which price needs to break in order to extend the upside momentum. On the downside, 4,300–4,310 is a key short-term support area, aligning with the lower trendline of the channel. If buying pressure is strong enough to clear 4,360, the next upside targets lie around 4,390–4,400. The preferred approach remains trading in line with the prevailing trend. What’s your view on XAUUSD at this stage? Feel free to share your thoughts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
1
3M: Target Zone in Sight!3M shares remain stuck in a consolidation, looping multiple times. The high of the magenta impulse wave (1) is still pending and should form in our red Short Target Zone between $184.42 and $202.51. Once this range is reached, the corrective wave (2) should kick in, pulling price below the support at $115.56. However, if the high of wave alt.(1) has already been established, wave alt.(2) could mark its low within the green alternative Target Zone between $110.13 and $93.07 (probability: 35%).
NYSE:MMM
by HKCM_Global
GBP/USD Outlook I 12/181. Trend Structure & Price Patterns Current Trend: The pair is in a short-term bearish structure after forming a peak around the 1.3440 area. Triangle Pattern: Price is compressing toward the apex of a triangle pattern, formed by a descending trendline (connecting lower highs) and an ascending trendline (connecting higher lows). Status: The market is in a stage of extreme accumulation, preparing for a breakout to determine the next directional move. Intersection: The intersection of these two trendlines is sitting almost exactly at the current price level around 1.3366. 2. Volume Profile Analysis The chart clearly displays three key Value Areas: POC (Point of Control - 1.3367): This is the level with the highest traded volume and where the price is currently "anchored." Continuous fluctuation around the POC indicates a balance between buyers and sellers at this moment. VAH (Value Area High - 1.3401): The upper red line acts as a hard resistance. Previously, price attempted to test this zone but was strongly rejected, leaving behind a long upper wick. VAL (Value Area Low - 1.3322): The lower yellow line is the crucial support floor. This is where buyers stepped in aggressively during the most recent dip on December 17. 3. Specific Price Levels Immediate Resistance: Just above the current price lies the descending trendline and the VAH zone (1.3401). Only a clean break above this area would return the trend to bullish with a target of 1.3440. Immediate Support: The recent low of the candle cluster is around 1.3360. If an hourly candle closes below this level, price will likely seek the VAL zone (1.3322). Other Technical Signs: The blue/red dots (likely Parabolic SAR or a trend filter) are currently sitting just above the price, adding slight downward pressure on GBP/USD. 4. General Outlook GBP/USD is currently in a "coiled spring" state. The upcoming price movement depends entirely on which side gains enough momentum to push the price out of the triangle pattern and the POC zone. Since the price is at the convergence point of major trendlines, high volatility usually follows such a sideways period.
by Geka_Trader
EURUSD Analysis : Bullish Bias Setup + Demand Zone + ReversalEURUSD – 30 Minute Chart Analysis Market Structure Overview EURUSD initially moved in a strong bullish trend, creating higher highs and higher lows. This impulsive rally shows aggressive buying pressure and momentum expansion. However, after reaching the recent high, price failed to sustain upside continuation and started showing loss of bullish strength. This shift marked the beginning of a distribution phase, where smart money began offloading positions rather than pushing price higher. Breakdown from Consolidation After the top formation, price entered a tight consolidation / triangle structure, signaling indecision and compression. This pattern acted as a continuation structure to the downside. Once price broke below the triangle, it triggered a strong bearish continuation, confirming that sellers had taken control. The breakdown was clean, impulsive, and backed by strong candle bodies — a clear sign of bearish displacement. Liquidity Sweep & OPL Reaction Following the breakdown, price aggressively moved lower, sweeping liquidity below recent lows. The OPL level acted as a minor pause point but failed to hold, confirming that buyers were weak and stops were being consumed. This move was necessary to clean out weak longs before price reached a more meaningful demand area. Reversal Zone (Demand Area) The highlighted Reversal Zone at the bottom is a key demand / accumulation area, where price previously showed strong bullish reactions. As price entered this zone, selling pressure slowed, and small bullish candles began to appear, signaling potential absorption of sell orders. This behavior suggests that smart money may be accumulating long positions at discounted prices. Potential Recovery Scenario If price continues to hold above the reversal zone and forms: Higher lows Bullish engulfing candles Strong rejection wicks Then a corrective bullish move becomes likely. The projected path shows a step-by-step recovery rather than an aggressive reversal, which is typical after a sharp sell-off. Bearish Invalidation If price closes decisively below the reversal zone with strong momentum, this bullish recovery idea becomes invalid. In that case, the market may continue lower toward deeper liquidity zones. Trader’s Mindset This is a reaction-based setup, not a prediction. The best trades will come only after confirmation inside the reversal zone. Patience here separates disciplined traders from emotional ones. Key reminders: Zones are areas, not exact prices Confirmation > early entry Protect capital first Final Thoughts EURUSD is currently trading at a high-decision demand zone after a strong bearish move. The next candles will be crucial in defining whether this is just a pause or the beginning of a meaningful recovery. Let price confirm before committing to a trade.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
1
BTC/USD 4-hour Analysis I 12/181. Price Structure & Trend Analysis Main Trend: The chart shows a strong downward movement from the $93,200 area down to a low near $85,200. Currently, the price is in a consolidation phase following this sharp drop. Current Price: BTC is trading around $86,812 (according to the real-time data on the chart). Candlestick Patterns: We see short-bodied candles with long wicks on both sides, indicating market indecision at this short-term bottom. 2. Volume Profile Analysis Your chart displays key zones using the Fixed Range Volume Profile: VAH zone (Value Area High): Around $87,800 - $88,000. This acts as immediate resistance. A breakout above this zone would signal a clearer recovery. POC zone (Point of Control): Around $86,214. This is the level with the highest traded volume in the current range. The fact that price is holding above the POC is a slightly bullish sign, suggesting buyers are attempting to defend this level. VAL zone (Value Area Low): Around $85,600. This is the crucial support floor. If a 4-hour candle closes below this zone, BTC could seek lower support levels (towards the $84,000 area). 3. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $88,766: The yellow horizontal line; a strong former supply zone. $90,209: The black horizontal line (a major psychological level). $93,206: The previous peak where the sell-off originated. Support: $86,200: The current POC area. $85,200: The most recent swing low. A break below this would turn market sentiment extremely bearish. 4. Outlook & Strategy The market is currently in a "wait-and-see" mode. After a heavy drop, prices usually need time to move sideways to absorb selling pressure. Bullish Scenario: If the price closes a 4h candle above $88,000 (breaking VAH), BTC could rally toward the $90,200 region. Bearish Scenario: If price loses the $86,000 mark, selling pressure may return to test deeper support at $84,000 - $84,300. Note: This analysis is based on technical data; the crypto market is highly volatile. You should combine this with macro news for more accurate decision-making.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Geka_Trader
2
Gold Is Holding Firm Into Year-End — A Santa Rally Is Setting UpGold on H4 continues to trade in a strong bullish structure, consolidating just below the key resistance zone around the previous high. Price is holding comfortably above the rising EMA base, with higher lows intact, confirming that buyers remain in control despite short-term pullbacks. This sideways-to-higher behavior beneath resistance signals absorption rather than distribution, as selling pressure fails to force acceptance below the support zone. Structurally, this is a classic bullish consolidation, where the market pauses to build liquidity before the next directional move. From a macro perspective, the setup is supported by typical year-end dynamics. As liquidity thins into the Christmas period, markets often shift into range compression followed by sharp directional expansions. At the same time, expectations around U.S. monetary policy remain tilted toward easing in 2025, keeping real yields capped and limiting sustained USD strength. Combined with ongoing geopolitical and macro uncertainty, this environment continues to favor Gold as a defensive asset. As long as price holds above the support zone and maintains acceptance below resistance, the bullish bias remains intact. A clean breakout and hold above resistance would likely open the path toward a new ATH, while failure to break simply extends consolidation rather than signaling a top. For now, this is a patience phase OANDA:XAUUSD is not stalling, it is positioning.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
1
EURUSD Is Correcting Inside an Uptrend — Not Rolling OverHELLO GUYS TICKMILL:EURUSD on H4 remains structurally bullish, with price continuing to respect a well-defined ascending channel. The recent pullback from the upper boundary is a normal corrective move rather than a breakdown, as price has rotated back toward the mid-to-lower channel area where dynamic support from the rising EMAs is converging. Higher highs and higher lows are still intact on the broader structure, indicating that buyers remain in control despite short-term volatility. From a price-action perspective, the current decline looks corrective and overlapping, not impulsive. As long as price holds above the channel base and the 1.1700–1.1720 support region, the bullish structure remains valid. This zone acts as a decision area: holding it favors another rotation higher toward the channel top, while a clean break below would signal a deeper correction rather than immediate trend reversal. From a macro standpoint, this technical behavior aligns with ongoing EUR–USD dynamics. While the U.S. dollar has seen intermittent strength from short-term data releases, the broader rate differential outlook between the Fed and ECB is no longer widening aggressively. Markets are increasingly pricing a stabilization phase in monetary policy expectations, which limits sustained USD upside and allows EURUSD to remain bid within its trend. This macro backdrop supports corrective pullbacks being bought rather than extended sell-offs. In summary, FOREXCOM:EURUSD is in a healthy pullback within a bullish channel. As long as structural support holds, the path of least resistance remains higher toward the upper channel and prior highs. This is a wait for Support reaction environment patience is required until price confirms continuation or invalidation with clear intent.
Long
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
2