XAUUSD Demand Holding - Resistance Retest in PlayHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on Gold (XAUUSD, 4H) based on the current chart structure. After a strong bullish impulse from the 3,650–3,700 area, price formed a clear ascending channel, respecting both rising support and resistance. Higher highs and higher lows continue to confirm bullish market control. Previously, Gold reached the Seller Zone around 4,360–4,380, where price entered consolidation and later turned lower. Selling pressure weakened near the 4,270 level, allowing buyers to step back in. Price then broke above 4,270, flipping it from resistance into support and signaling a bullish market structure shift. A corrective pullback followed into the Buyer Zone at 4,260–4,280, aligning with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Buyers successfully defended this area, keeping the bullish structure intact. Currently, price is consolidating below the Seller Zone (4,360–4,380), showing accumulation rather than strong rejection. My scenario: as long as price holds above the Buyer Zone (4,260–4,280), Gold may continue higher toward the Seller Zone / TP1. A clean breakout above resistance would open the door for further upside, while a failure to hold support could lead to a deeper corrective move. For now, the bias remains bullish. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Chart Patterns
BTCUSDT: Holds Demand - Retest of 90,300 Resistance LikelyHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT recently transitioned from a strong downward channel into a broader bullish recovery phase. After a prolonged bearish move, price formed a base near the channel low, where selling pressure weakened. This led to a breakout from the downward channel; however, the first move above resistance resulted in a fake breakout, indicating that sellers were still active at that level. Following this, Bitcoin found strong demand around the 87,000 Support Zone, where buyers stepped in aggressively. From this area, price began to form higher lows and successfully established an ascending (upward) channel, signaling a shift in short-term market structure toward bullish control. Within this upward channel, BTC experienced several clean breakouts above intermediate resistance levels, confirming improving momentum. The key horizontal level around 90,300 acted as a major resistance, where price was rejected multiple times. Despite these rejections, the market did not break down sharply, suggesting absorption of selling pressure rather than distribution.
Currently, BTCUSDT is pulling back toward the 87,000 Support Zone, which aligns with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the upward channel. Price action here remains constructive, with consolidation rather than impulsive selling, indicating that the move lower is corrective.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as BTC holds above the 87,000 support. This zone is a key demand area, and a strong reaction from here could lead to another attempt toward the 90,300 Resistance and a continuation within the upward channel. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above the 90,300 level would open the door for further upside toward higher channel targets.
However, a failure to hold the 87,000 Support Zone would signal weakness and could trigger a deeper correction toward the lower channel boundary. For now, the market structure favors long positions, with support holding and resistance as the next upside objective.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4360 and a gap below at 4327, as support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4360
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4360 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4388
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4417
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4449
BEARISH TARGETS
4327
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4327 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4299
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4299 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4270
4236
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4236 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
4212
4183
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bitcoin - Channel no one talks about! (new Year's crash!)Bitcoin's price and development (code) are completely controlled by banks and government. They already have a roadmap on Bitcoin price, so they know what the price will be in 2030. Bitcoin technology is great for total control because all transactions are public. How to profit from that? First of all, you have to identify the big players on the chart and trade with them. They want to make as much money as possible on the way up, so that's why they cannot push the price to the upside in a straight line - they create a lot of traps and patterns on the chart.
When too many people are bullish, it's not worth it to them to send the price up, rather they push the price down in the short term and take all stop losses (your money is a stop loss). You are forced to sell, and guess who buys your order? Most likely the banks, because they love Bitcoin.
What we see on the chart is a blue descending parallel channel. This channel is the current pattern that we play on Bitcoin in this timeframe. Because the price is inside the channel and near the trendline resistance, we cannot be bullish at this point. What traders must understand is that we sell a resistance and buy a support, not the opposite. Currently the price is in a sell zone around 90k - 91k at the top of the channel. There is still an unfilled FVG at 91k - 92k that acts as a strong resistance. January is ticking on the door, and we know that statistically January is one of the most bearish months for Bitcoin. Currently I do not see any reason to be bullish, so I have to stay bearish at this point.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GBP/USD - H4 Weekly Outlook- Channel Breakout📝 Description 🔍 Setup (Market Structure) OANDA:GBPUSD
GBP/USD is trading inside a rising channel on H4 and has recently shown a channel breakout attempt followed by a retest near the upper zone. Price is now consolidating under a key resistance area, making this a decision week.
🔴Higher highs & higher lows intact
🔴Breakout + retest structure visible
🔴Momentum slowing near resistance → wait for confirmation
📍 Key Levels :
🟢 Resistance Zone: 1.3420 – 1.3455
🔴 1st Support: 1.3215 – 1.3200
🔴 2nd Support: 1.3135 – 1.3100
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #WeeklyOutlook #ChannelBreakout #PriceAction #SupportResistance #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Forex trading involves risk — always use proper risk management and stop-loss.
💬 Support the Analysis👍 Like if you’re watching GBP/USD this week
💬 Comment: Breakout or Rejection?
🔁 Share with traders following GBP pairs
ETH/USD Bearish Structure with Downside TargetsETH/USD is showing clear bearish pressure after repeated failures to sustain above the highlighted supply zone around the 3,050–3,100 area. Price action indicates a lower high structure, followed by a strong rejection from the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting sellers remain in control. The cloud ahead is turning bearish, acting as dynamic pressure and limiting upside momentum. Recent rebounds appear corrective rather than impulsive, reinforcing the downside bias. If price continues to respect this resistance zone, further weakness is likely. The first downside objective is seen near 2,780, which aligns with a prior demand area. A decisive break below this level could accelerate selling pressure toward the second target at 2,524, marking a deeper move into lower support. Proper risk management is advised in volatile conditions.
If you found this XAUUSD analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
Elise | XAUUSD – 30M -Liquidity Sweep → Trend Continuation SetupOANDA:XAUUSD
The sharp downside spike into 4308 was a liquidity grab, not a breakdown. Buyers stepped in aggressively, flipping momentum and pushing price back into a controlled bullish leg. Current pullback is corrective, not impulsive — suggesting continuation toward higher resistance if structure holds.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
As long as price holds above 4332–4335, upside remains active toward:
🎯 4350
🎯 4365
🎯 4375 (Major Resistance Zone)
❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Invalidation)
A clean break and close below 4325 opens downside toward:
🎯 4312
🎯 4308 (Liquidity Base)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4350 → 4365 → 4375
Support 🟢: 4335 → 4325 → 4308
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Toward 4374XAUUSD (30M) Short Description:
Gold is holding above key support around 4335–4320 after a pullback. Price is showing bullish continuation potential, with resistance near 4357. A break and hold above resistance could push price toward the 4374 target, while major support remains around 4307.
XAU/USD | Gold Breaks Above $4400 and Prints a New ATH!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that after the analysis we posted on Thursday, price first had a small correction and then resumed its move higher. With the market reopening today, gold showed strong momentum and finally broke above $4400, printing a new all-time high. Price reached as high as $4420, then pulled back slightly and is now trading around $4409.
This strong rally has created a liquidity gap, which I expect to be filled in the short term. Before that happens, we may first see another push higher toward the $4440 to $4444 area. After this potential final push, a corrective move is likely. The downside targets I am watching are $4389, $4374, $4358, and the $4335 to $4350 zone. Make sure to closely monitor price reaction around these levels. This analysis will be updated, and total performance so far is already over 1300 pips.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDCAD – Bullish Harmonic Completion at Key SupportUSDCAD – Bullish Harmonic Completion at Key Support
USDCAD has completed a clear bullish harmonic pattern, with price reacting precisely from the D completion zone.
This pattern is increasing the probability of a technical rebound from this area.
After the strong bearish leg into point D, price is showing early signs of stabilization, suggesting that selling pressure may be exhausted.
Upside targets are set at 1.3855 and 1.3895, which align with the previous structure and resistance zones. A clean break and hold above the first target could open the door for a deeper recovery.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
BITCOIN - Manipulation and liquidity hunting before the crash BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is stuck in the range of 85K - 90K. There is no liquidity in the market, but at the same time, the downward trend continues...
Earlier, we discussed such a nuance as the breakdown of support for the upward local trend. The global trend is bearish, and this nuance generally indicates a weak market. In addition to this, there is no liquidity in the market: there has been no inflow of funds into the cryptocurrency market in the last few weeks, hence the current manipulations that have been taking place over the last few days. (A low-liquidity instrument is easy to control...)
Technically, Bitcoin is within the trading range of 85,000-89,400, which is formed after the breakout of the support of the upward channel, i.e., in the short zone. A retest of 89-90K could lead to a short squeeze and a fall.
Resistance levels: 89,400, 89,900, 90,600
Support levels: 85,000, 83,800
A short squeeze and liquidity capture relative to the specified resistance zone could trigger a further decline, provided that bears keep the market near the previously broken boundary of the upward line...
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Ascending Triangle After Fake Breakout Bullish Continuation This 1-hour Gold (XAUUSD) chart shows a well-defined ascending triangle structure within a rising channel. Price continues to respect the ascending support trendline, forming higher lows while pressing against a key resistance zone.
A recent fake breakout above resistance was quickly rejected, suggesting liquidity grab rather than trend reversal. After the rejection, price held structure and returned to the triangle support, keeping the bullish bias intact.
As long as price holds above the ascending trendline, the idea favors a continuation move toward the marked target area near 4413 aligned with prior highs and channel resistance. A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm momentum.
This is a technical structure-based idea, not a prediction—always manage risk and wait for confirmation.
New Highs, No Sell-Off — Smart Money In?Based on the current news backdrop combined with the price structure on the chart , I continue to hold the view that XAUUSD is in a clear and healthy uptrend — not a temporary or emotional spike.
Gold setting a new all-time high around 4,400 shows that the market is strongly pricing in the likelihood of further Fed easing and future rate cuts . More importantly, after making new highs, price did not experience aggressive selling , but instead managed to hold at elevated levels — a clear sign that large capital flows are staying in the market, rather than this being a short-lived FOMO-driven move.
Looking at the chart, gold is moving cleanly along its ascending trendline , with consistent support from the Ichimoku system and dynamic support zones below. The recent pullbacks have been purely technical, allowing the market to “catch its breath” and absorb supply, without breaking the overall structure. This is a market that is moving strong — not overheating.
For me, the 4,380 zone remains a key support level. As long as price holds above this area, the bullish trend remains fully intact. In the short term, my preferred scenario is light consolidation at high levels, followed by a continued push to retest the 4,450 area.
In summary, I continue to favor BUY setups on pullbacks — not chasing price at the highs and never trading against the trend. When both fundamentals and technicals align, the most important skill is patience and discipline to stay with the trend, rather than trying to pick a top in a market that is clearly strong.
GOLD - We've updated ATH. What's next? A correction?FX:XAUUSD hit a new all-time high, approaching $4,425, for a bunch of reasons, one of which is increased interest in hedging against geopolitical risks...
Fundamental situation:
The US has increased sanctions pressure on Venezuela. Israel is considering options for attacking Iran's nuclear program. Russia-Ukraine negotiations show no progress. Weak US data (inflation and employment) have reinforced expectations of two Fed rate cuts in 2026.
On Tuesday, US GDP data for the third quarter and durable goods orders are expected, as well as speeches by Fed members, which may adjust short-term dynamics. The combination of geopolitical uncertainty and soft monetary policy continues to support the upward trend.
Resistance levels: 4420
Support levels: 4406, 4400, 4380
Any correction is likely to be limited as long as the current fundamental background remains unchanged. However, when entering the market, it is necessary to take into account the level of risk. Buying in the high zone is high risk. We are waiting for a pullback or correction to the indicated zone before making any decisions.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD Short: Head & Shoulders at Resistance - Target 1.1670Hello, traders! EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined Descending Channel, confirming sustained bearish pressure and controlled sell-side momentum. Price consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Multiple breakout attempts occurred within the channel, but each upside move was capped by the descending resistance, reinforcing the bearish structure. The market eventually reached a clear Pivot Point near the lower channel boundary, where selling pressure weakened and buyers briefly stepped in, producing a corrective rebound rather than a full trend reversal. Following this rebound, EURUSD pushed higher and managed to break above local resistance levels, leading to a short-term bullish expansion. However, this move lacked strong follow-through and transitioned into a distribution phase near the Supply Zone around 1.1760. At this area, price formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum and a return of sellers. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder developed directly under resistance, confirming strong supply presence and rejection from higher prices.
Currently, price has broken below short-term structure and is pulling back from the supply zone, signaling the start of a corrective-to-bearish continuation move. The market is now rotating lower toward the Demand Zone around 1.1670, which aligns with a previous breakout level and acts as the nearest downside objective. This zone represents a key area where buyers may attempt a reaction, but overall structure still favors sellers.
My primary scenario is bearish as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1760 Supply Zone and continues to show rejection from this area. The current pullback appears impulsive rather than corrective, favoring continuation toward the 1.1670 Demand Zone. A clean breakdown and acceptance below demand would confirm further downside continuation. Until then, this level remains the key decision point. Manage your risk!
ETHUSD – Technical Rebound Within a DowntrendHello, this is Domic.
Looking at the ETH daily chart, the current picture is quite clear: the primary trend remains bearish, and the recent upside move should only be viewed as a technical rebound.
Price is still trading below both EMA34 and EMA89, with EMA34 having crossed below EMA89 and both moving averages sloping downward. This is a textbook setup of a medium-term downtrend, not a sideways phase or a basing process. As long as this structure holds, there is no solid basis to talk about a trend reversal.
On the upside, EMA34 around the 3,090 level is acting as a dynamic resistance . Price has repeatedly rebounded into this zone only to be pushed back down, indicating that sellers are clearly defending this area. The higher EMA89 further reinforces the idea that ETH still lacks the strength needed to shift the broader trend.
The quality of the current rebound also does not favor the bulls. Rebound candles are small and choppy, with lower highs forming, while volume shows no sign of strong capital inflows. In addition, this week falls into a holiday period, leading to reduced market liquidity, which makes price movements more sluggish and lacking breakout momentum.
Wishing everyone successful trading!
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please see our weekly chart timeframe Route Map and Trading plans for the week ahead.
After seeing the test at 4294, we now have a candle body close above 4294 opening long range target at 4519 and will need ema5 cross and lock above this level to further confirm and strengthen this target.
We will now look for 4294 to provide support and play between this new range to confirm if it was a fake out or confirmed breakout into this new range.
We’ll keep these long range timeframe structures in mind as we continue with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep you all updated as this chart idea unfolds.
Mr Gold
GBP/USD | BSLs ahead! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the hourly chart of GBPUSD, it has broken through both the FVG and IFVG and is now in the supply zone. There are BuySide Liquidities above at 1.34466 and 1.34559 which I expect to be swept away.
Mind the fact that we don't have any impactful news today and is practically the last week of the year, so please don't get yourselves hurt.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 4h chart route map and trading plan for the week ahead.
We are now seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4381 and a gap below at 4303. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4381
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4459
BEARISH TARGET
4303
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4303 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4222
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4222 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4130
4042
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4042 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3964
3873
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bitcoin’s Next Move Starts Here Key Levels MappedBTC is currently in a technically critical phase. Price is trading below a major dynamic trendline resistance after a confirmed bearish break, keeping the broader structure corrective rather than impulsive. Momentum remains capped unless bulls reclaim key dynamic levels.
The plan from here is straightforward and scenario-based:
A. If price retraces into the Immediate Dynamic Trendline (IDT) and gets rejected again, that rejection becomes a high-probability short trigger. In that case, downside continuation toward the Demand Pool Zone (DPZ) is expected to complete leg 5 of the corrective wave. This zone is where I would anticipate strong accumulation and a relief rally, targeting a move back into the Supply Pool Zone (SPZ).
B. Alternatively, if BTC breaks and holds above the IDT, momentum should accelerate to the upside, with the Supply Pool Zone remaining the primary upside target, exactly as mapped on the chart.
What happens at the Supply Pool is decisive. If bulls fail to hold price and we see a strong rejection, that would confirm distribution and could trigger a complete bearish expansion, opening the door to much deeper targets, potentially toward the $50k region.
Market is at a decision point.
Are you bullish or bearish from here?
Let’s discuss your view
XAUUSD (H4) – Weekly Outlook (Dec 22–26)Buy the dip inside the channel, watch for a short-term correction after Wave 5
Strategy summary for next week
On the H4 chart, gold is still trading inside a mid-term rising channel. However, the wave structure suggests Wave 5 is likely завершed, so next week I’m focusing on two main ideas:
Mid-term BUY bias, but only if price pulls back to a better liquidity area.
Short-term SELL correction, triggered only with confirmation (break below 4309) on the lower timeframe.
1) Technical view: Uptrend channel holds, but a correction is likely
Price is currently in the upper half of the channel → not an ideal spot to chase longs.
The chart highlights two key liquidity areas:
Liquidity Sell Zone near 4433 (upside target, only valid if price builds a clean path higher).
Strong Liquidity around 4254 (the area where I want to reload mid-term longs).
Meaning: The channel is still the main framework, but if Wave 5 has finished, a pullback/correction is normal before the next directional leg.
2) Mid-term plan (priority): BUY at channel liquidity
✅ Buy zone: 4250 – 4255
SL: 4240
Expectation: A rebound back toward the channel’s midline, and if momentum returns, continuation toward 4433.
Logic: This is the “better price” area aligned with the channel structure + key liquidity. Risk-reward is far cleaner than buying at the highs.
3) Short-term plan: SELL the correction only after confirmation
Because Wave 5 looks completed, a corrective sell is valid — but I only want to sell after the market confirms on the lower timeframe:
✅ Bearish confirmation: break below 4309
After the break, prefer a sell on retest (no chasing).
A realistic correction target is a move back toward the 425x liquidity zone.
Note: This is a short-term correction trade and doesn’t conflict with the mid-term buy bias.
4) Fundamentals next week: Holiday liquidity = more sweeps
Dec 22–26 includes multiple European holidays, which often means thin liquidity: price may not trend hard, but it can still wick and sweep stops.
Geopolitical risk remains elevated: Israeli officials plan to brief Trump on potential new strikes on Iran — this can trigger sudden safe-haven flows into gold.
Action: Trade smaller, trade cleaner, and avoid getting trapped in abnormal volatility.
5) Execution checklist
Mid-term BUY: wait for 4250–4255, SL 4240.
Short-term SELL: only activate if 4309 breaks, then sell the retest on lower TF.
No FOMO in a low-volume holiday week.
Which scenario are you leaning into next week: buying 425x, or waiting for a 4309 breakdown to sell the correction?
Ethereum (ETHUSDT): Short-Term Recovery Attempt Hi guys!
ETH is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, keeping the broader short-term structure bearish. The previous upside breakout attempt near the upper boundary resulted in a clear fakeout, confirming strong supply pressure at higher levels. Following that rejection, price experienced a sharp sell-off and formed a notable double bottom structure around the 2,800–2,850 zone, indicating demand absorption and short-term stabilization.
Currently, price is consolidating below a key supply zone around 3,000–3,020, which acts as a pivotal decision area. This zone aligns with prior intraday resistance and must be reclaimed to confirm further upside. A sustained breakout and acceptance above this area would open the path toward the upper channel resistance near 3,125–3,130, which is the next major technical target.
On the downside, failure to hold above the current support zone would invalidate the recovery structure and could lead to another retest of the recent lows.
BITCOIN 'From Denial of the Bear Cycle to Bitcoin going to 0'We've been showing you since September why Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was structured to start a new Bear Cycle in October, mostly based on the very accurate 4-year Cycle Theory. Recently we've published analyses of the last indicators that practically confirmed that the market has already entered this Bear Cycle.
Today, with a combination of the Pi Cycle bands and the Aroon Oscillator, we basically display the investor mentality as the market transitions from Bull to Bear and again back to Bull.
First of all, even the 3W time-frame has confirmed that by breaking a closing a 3W candle below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), BTC confirmed in late October the start of the Bear Cycle. As you can see that happened before on December 27 2021, May 07 2018 and August 04 2014. Every time that happened, the Bear Cycle was a fact.
We are now within the 1W MA50 - Pi Cycle (green) Support trend-line Zone, which is part of the 'Denial of Bear Cycle' Phase, where the majority of the market doesn't/ can't accept the trend change. Below the Pi Cycle Support starts the 'Bitcoin going to 0' hysteria where the majority of the market starts turning from bullish to bearish, having accepted the Bear Cycle, making extravagant calls on Bitcoin's potential bottom.
This is when the very reliable Aroon Oscillator turns bearish below 0.00. Once this hits its Buy Zone, it has historically been a fair time to start buying again for the long-term. That is when bearishness across the market is at its peak and of course when smart money start buying massively again.
So do you think that's a good framework to follow? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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