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BITCOIN Has this huge Bearish Divergence started the Bear Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to be under heavy pressure in the past 4 weeks since the October 06 All Time High (ATH) and finds itself battling to hold the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. That trend-line has been basically the Support of this Bull Cycle since March 2023, and acted as the most optimal long-term buy level. ** Has the Bull Cycle ended? ** However this Bull Cycle may have very well come to an end already as the 1W RSI has been long exhibiting the same kind of bearish pattern (Lower Highs trend-line), while also having completed the 4-year Cycle, that all previous Bull Cycles formed on their respective tops. This is a huge Bearish Divergence formation as it goes against the price's Higher Highs, indicating trend exhaustion. As you can see that 1 RSI Lower Highs trend-line formed the November 2021, December 2017 and December 2013 Cycle Tops. Even worse, the current Lower Highs trend-line has been going on since the March 11 2024 High. If BTC closes a 1W candle below its 1W MA50, it has greater probabilities to confirm the start of the new Bear Cycle as all previous ones did on such break-out. ** If yes, how much can it drop? ** Now, it might not be too relevant at this time yet, but as far as how low the Bear Cycle can go to before it bottoms, there are three potential levels of interest where long-term investors can Dollar Cost Average (DCA). The January 2015 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Then the December 2018 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bottom. The last Bear Cycle has its bottom below the 1W MA200 and on the next Fib in line, the 0.5 level. The decline on each Bear Cycle that followed decelerated and was less than the previous (-86.70% to -84.19% to -77.22%). If the new Bear Cycle has already started then the first level for a potential bottom is again the 0.382 Fib around $58000 where contact may potentially be made with the 1W MA200 as well. If it follows the previous Bear Cycle and bottoms on the 0.5 Fib, it will also be below the 1W MA200 around $45000. If on the other hand it goes a Fib level further, as the last two Cycles did, we are looking at the 0.618 Fib as a potential strong bottom candidate around $35000. That will also be a -70.76% decline from the Top, which will be -7% less than the previous Bear Cycle, which is also the difference that the 2022 Bear Cycle had from the 2018 one. So what do you think? Has the Bull Cycle ended already and if yes, how low can the new Bear Cycle go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
31
Bitcoin - This chart is crumbling!⛔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates a massive top: 🔎Analysis summary: All the previous cycles on Bitcoin have been lasting about 1,000 days. And exactly three years ago, Bitcoin retested the previous all time high, starting the next bullrun. If we soon see bearish confirmation on Bitcoin, this crypto will lead to another insane bloodbath. 📝Levels to watch: $100,000 and $50,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
17
#LINKUSDT:minor correction first | major bullish move towards 40The LINKUSDT price is expected to decline to a range between 11.72 and 14.72 before resuming its upward trend. This price range has historically seen significant trading volume, indicating that a drop within this range is likely in the near future. Once a trading position is initiated, there are three primary targets to consider. The first target is set at 25, which is highly achievable due to its proximity to the current price levels. The second target is at 35, which is also within reach with favourable market conditions. The final target is at 45, which may require more time to achieve and will depend on strong fundamental support and positive market developments. Good luck and trade safely. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
12
Latest Gold Price Update Today – The Downtrend Isn’t Over Yet👋Hello everyone , great to see you again — let’s take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD ! From a fundamental perspective, gold remains range-bound as the US dollar (USD) shows a strong recovery following remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell during Wednesday’s press conference. On the technical chart, gold has formed a clear Double Top pattern on the 4H timeframe, breaking its previous bullish structure and confirming a Change of Character (CHOCH) from an uptrend to a downtrend. Additionally, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 have crossed downward, reinforcing the short-term bearish signal. For now, the immediate support zone sits around the psychological level of $3,900. If this level is broken, I expect another Break of Structure (BOS) to follow. What about you — do you think gold will rebound from this support zone or continue falling in the coming sessions? 💬 I’d love to hear your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
43
XAU/USD | Gold Fills Liquidity Gap – Another Drop Below $3,900?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching the $3,915 demand zone, price reacted strongly and began to rise, filling the liquidity gap created by last night’s drop. Gold is currently trading around $3,973, and if it fails to hold above $4,015, we could see another strong bearish move toward lower levels below $3,900. The next short-term bearish targets are $3,955, $3,947, $3,915, and $3,899. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OPOFINANCE:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
29
Bitcoin - Liquidity grab signals further downside!Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in a crucial phase within a broader consolidation structure. After a strong upward move, the price has encountered significant resistance and is showing signs of weakening buying pressure. On the daily chart, it is clear that the price has re-entered the triangle structure after a brief breakout above resistance. Liquidity Grab Around $116,000, a clear liquidity sweep can be observed. Above this level, many stop orders and short-position liquidity were clustered. After this liquidity was taken, the price reversed sharply downward — indicating that large market players likely used this move to take profits or open short positions. Fake-Out from the Triangle Pattern The breakout above the triangle structure turned out to be a fake-out. Instead of holding above the trendline for confirmation, the price quickly fell back within the formation. This indicates buyer weakness and strengthens the bearish scenario. A fake-out above a consolidation pattern often leads to a move in the opposite direction — toward the lower boundary of the structure. Daily FVG The current candle is positioned within an important daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). If the daily close remains as it is, this bullish FVG will convert into a bearish FVG, meaning the area will now act as resistance. This suggests that bears are taking control and further downward price action is likely. Target After an upward fake-out that collects liquidity, price often moves to the opposite side of the pattern. In this case, that would be the lower side of the triangle. A drop toward $103,000–$104,000 is therefore the most likely scenario. This zone aligns with previous structural support and can serve as a logical target area. Conclusion Bitcoin is showing clear signs of exhaustion near the top of the range. The liquidity grab and fake-out from the triangle reinforce the bearish outlook. With the daily FVG flipping bearish and bullish momentum fading, a move down toward the $103,000–$104,000 zone appears to be the most probable next step — unless BTC unexpectedly manages to close above the FVG. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
48
BTC Analysis 30/10/2025BTC / USDT Bitcoin is forming a massive ascending wedge pattern, a bearish pattern currently undergoing a bearish retest. The 200-day EMA is a significant support level and has been tested multiple times in the past few weeks. The more it is retested, the weaker the support becomes. The sharp drop on October 10th impacted the market's direction. Bearish targets for this scenario: First support: 103,000 - 100,000 Major support: 94,000 - 89,000 Summary: The market is currently bearish, and we can revise our analysis if Bitcoin manages to stabilize above 117,000.
Short
by Babenski
29
GBPAUD Textbook Bear FlagGBPAUD price had been falling sharply, sellers were in full control, driving the market lower with strong bearish momentum. Then came a pause. Price started climbing slowly, forming a rising channel. That’s the bear flag. Buyers are trying to recover, but it is weak and hesitant, every push higher is met with selling pressure. Inside that flag, sellers are waiting for signs of exhaustion. And if price breaks below the structure strongly, that’s the confirmation we need. I am expecting another impulsive leg down in the direction of the main trend, at around 1.9856. With this kind of pattern, usually the stop-loss is placed just above the flag. Keep in mind that this is just an idea, not a trade and not financial advice.
Short
by TrendDiva
22
Euro Finds Support — Correction Phase Targets 1.16340Hello traders! I’d like to share my view on the current EUR/USD market structure. After a strong bullish impulse within the ascending channel, the price faced rejection near the Resistance Level around 1.16600, where sellers stepped in, forming a clear turnaround structure. Following that, the pair entered a descending channel, confirming short-term bearish momentum. A breakout below the Resistance Level pushed the price back toward the Buyer Zone, located near the 1.16000 Support Level, where demand previously triggered a bullish correction. Currently, EUR/USD is trading inside a corrective structure just above support. The market has formed a potential reversal setup, suggesting a possible short-term recovery toward the TP1 target near 1.16340. However, as long as the price remains below the Seller Zone, bearish pressure is likely to persist, keeping the market in a consolidation phase. In my opinion, this movement represents a retracement within the broader range rather than the start of a new bullish trend. If the price successfully bounces from the Support Level and confirms higher lows, we may see renewed buying momentum. Otherwise, a breakdown below 1.16000 could open the way for deeper declines. This setup offers a clear short-term trading plan — bullish correction toward TP1, while monitoring reaction around the support area for a potential continuation or reversal signal. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
20
$116K Neckline Holds the Key to Bitcoin’s Next Big MoveBitcoin is once again shaping a clean Inverse Head and Shoulders (ISHS) structure — a classical bullish reversal pattern. Price is currently trading within the Buy Back Zone, forming the right shoulder of the setup. As long as the structure holds above the setup invalidation zone, this pattern remains valid. All eyes are now on the $116K neckline, which represents the critical breakout level. A decisive close above this resistance should confirm the ISHS completion, unlocking a potential measured move target toward $130K. Until the neckline breaks, expect short-term fluctuations within the shoulder zone but structure wise, bulls still hold the advantage. What’s your take? Do you think BTC can clear $116K and reach $130K next? Share your thoughts and views in the comments below!
Long
by weslad
30
Gold Outlook: Bears Stay in ControlGold continues to operate within a bearish market environment characterized by persistent liquidation and declining momentum. The recent structural shift reflects an ongoing reallocation of capital away from defensive metals toward higher-yield instruments, signaling a broader change in market positioning. Trading activity indicates that each upward movement is being met with renewed selling interest, suggesting limited participation from institutional buyers. This behavior aligns with the prevailing sentiment of caution, as investors prioritize stability over speculative exposure. The broader outlook remains subdued, with market conditions favoring continued downside until clearer evidence of renewed demand emerges. Gold’s performance reflects a phase of market adjustment, where declining liquidity and moderate volatility reinforce the persistence of bearish sentiment across the short-term horizon.
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
5
GOLD → Price stuck in range after Fed speech FX:XAUUSD continues to battle for the $4,000 zone. The fundamental backdrop has a hint of unpredictability following the Fed's statement. Technically, the range of 3,915-4,015 is developing Key factors: US shutdown (4th week): Weighs on the economy and the dollar, supporting gold as a safe haven. However, the Fed toughened its tone yesterday: It cut rates by 25 basis points, but Powell ruled out guarantees for a cut in December. Trump and Xi meeting: Agreements reached on soybeans and rare earths, reducing demand for defensive assets. Gold balances between shutdown risks and monetary policy tightening. Growth is only possible if macro statistics deteriorate or geopolitics escalate. Resistance levels: 4015 - 4050 Support levels: 3980 - 3960 - 3915 Gold may continue its correction from the 4015 - 4050 zone to 3950 - 3900 if the bulls are unable to keep the price within the upper range. However, if the market continues to buy the metal (there are no fundamental reasons for this yet) and the price closes above 4015, there may be a chance for growth to 4050 - 4085. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
9
XAUUSD: Correction Phase Aiming Toward 3,900 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup. Market Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) has shifted from a strong bullish phase into a clear bearish structure after failing to sustain momentum above the 4,130 Resistance Zone. The market initially traded within an Upward Channel, forming a steady series of higher highs and higher lows until buyers lost strength near the top of the range. A breakout from the channel confirmed the end of the bullish impulse, followed by a range formation and multiple fake breakouts, indicating indecision and growing selling pressure. Eventually, the market broke below the range, retested the resistance area, and established a Downward Channel, showing that sellers have regained control. Currently, Gold is moving within this descending structure, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. The Resistance Zone around 4,130 has once again acted as a strong supply area, rejecting price and pushing it lower toward the Support Zone near 3,900. My Scenario & Strategy From my perspective, XAUUSD is likely to continue its short-term bearish correction toward the 3,900 support level, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel. A successful test of this area could trigger a short-term reaction or even a potential reversal if buyers step in. As long as price remains below the Resistance Zone (4,130) and within the Downward Channel, the bearish sentiment remains dominant. A confirmed breakdown below 3,900 could open the door for a deeper move toward the 3,850–3,820 zone. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, looking for short opportunities from the upper channel resistance with a primary target at 3,900. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ratner
8
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Confirmed Bullish ContinuationThe DOLLAR INDEX appears to be showing bullish tendencies from both daily and intraday perspectives. From a daily timeframe, I observe a confirmed breakout of a resistance line within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a trend violation and continuation. On an hourly timeframe, we see a breakout of a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern, followed by a strong bullish movement. I anticipate that the market will continue to grow. The next resistance level is identified at 99.53.
ICEUS:DXYLong
by linofx1
29
BTC - Bouncing From the Sweet Spot?⚔️Bitcoin is currently sitting at a high-confluence zone , where the daily support perfectly aligns with the lower bound of the ascending wedge. This intersection makes it a prime area to look for potential bullish reactions. 🏹As long as this support holds, I’ll be looking for long opportunities, expecting BTC to push higher within the wedge structure. The first target for this bullish move lies around the upper bound of the wedge, which conveniently lines up with the supply zone near $122,000, a key resistance to watch. 📉If the support fails, the structure could shift, but for now, bulls still have the technical edge. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
15
#BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Swing Buy, Price Heading Towards Previous HH!Bitcoin is nearing a previous high of 126K. As of the latest data, it trades around 112K, with a 24-hour volume of $38 billion and a market capitalisation of $2.1 trillion. However, before reaching that level, it’s likely to correct towards our entry zone between 108K and 110K. This level is significant because we anticipate a substantial increase in market volume. Historical data shows that similar corrections have led to a 15–20% increase in trading activity. On-chain metrics indicate a 7% rise in active wallets over the past week, and institutional inflows totalled approximately $1.3 billion in the last seven days. The Bitcoin dominance index currently sits at 54%, suggesting continued interest despite broader market fluctuations. This short-term view allows us to observe the price accumulating and on the verge of distribution. Based on your trading style, you can select one of three targets: - Target 1: 118K (conservative) - Target 2: 122K (moderate) - Target 3: 126K (aggressive) We wish you the best of luck and trade safely. If you find our work helpful, please like and comment on our ideas. Team Setupsfx_
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
13
BTCUSD Short: Targeting 108,000 Demand ZoneHello, traders! Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has recently transitioned from a prolonged bullish structure into a corrective phase after facing strong rejection from the 116,000 Supply Zone. The market previously traded inside a well-defined Ascending Channel, forming a steady sequence of higher highs and higher lows — a classic bullish formation.However, after testing the upper boundary of the channel and the Pivot Point, BTC failed to sustain bullish momentum. The breakout attempts above the supply zone turned out to be fake breakouts, showing exhaustion among buyers. Since then, the market has shifted its tone and started to form a descending structure, moving below the Supply Line that now acts as dynamic resistance. Currently, the price is pushing lower from the mid-range of the channel toward the Demand Zone, located between 108,000 and 107,700. This area has previously served as a strong support base that triggered impulsive bullish reversals in the past. In my opinion, BTC is likely to extend its bearish correction toward the 108,000–107,700 demand area. A successful test and strong reaction from this zone could mark a potential bullish reversal, confirming demand absorption and the end of the correction phase. However, if sellers maintain control and manage to break decisively below 107,700, the market may open the way for a deeper decline toward the 106,000 level. As long as the price remains below the Supply Line, short-term bearish pressure prevails. I’m currently bearish to neutral, looking for price action signals around the demand area to confirm whether a new upward impulse is about to begin. Manage your risk!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by heniitrading
6
EURUSD Plunges: Hawkish Fed Crushes the Euro?Hey traders, let’s take a look at EURUSD — the market is revealing an exciting opportunity for the sellers! After the September meeting, the Fed emphasized its “data-dependent” stance, signaling it’s not ready to ease policy while the U.S. economy remains solid. This reinforces expectations that the USD will stay strong , as the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer. As the dollar gains momentum, EURUSD faces clear downward pressure. On the H4 chart, the price is clinging to a descending trendline that has rejected three previous attempts to break higher — each touch has been sharply sold off. Currently, EURUSD trades around 1.1560, below the 1.1600 resistance, which acts as a potential bull trap . The likely scenario: a mild pullback toward 1.1600 before continuing lower to the 1.1520 support zone. A break below that level could open the door toward 1.1450. In summary, the overall trend for EURUSD remains bearish . With the Fed maintaining its hawkish stance, every rebound is simply a chance for sellers to enter at better prices. Stay disciplined, follow the trend — the market rewards those who have patience!
Short
by Kairo_Vexen
6
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish After Break Detected Status: Active Reversal Protocol Symbol: Gold Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window) Confidence Level: ★★★★★ ( Hanzo Volume Detected ) ☄️ Bearish After Break Out 4005 Reasons 1. Alpha Sequence Engaged — Smart flow detected within Hanzo precision range. 2. Volume Window Synced — Session energy aligns with internal volume pulse. 3. Liquidity Cycle Active — Engineered sweep confirms smart money transition. 4. Time Lock Confirmed — Market phase locked with directional intent. 5. Volume Map Aligned — Cluster balance reveals real directional flow. 6. Hanzo Wick Detected — Manipulation wick verified under Alpha filter. ⤵️Every like & comment on our TradingView posts helps us grow. More engagement means more exposure, which benefits everyone in the community!
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
7
A 30-Minute Look at USDJPY AnalysisHello friends, I have prepared my USDJPY analysis for you. In this analysis, I plan to open a buy position between the 154.003 and 153.831 levels, aiming for the 154.453 level. This analysis has been carried out on the 30-minute timeframe. Once my target is reached, I will share the updates with you here. Friends, every single like from you is the greatest source of motivation for me to continue sharing these analyses. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their appreciation. With respect and love.
Long
by TraderTilki
6
EURUSD: Bounce from Support Could Trigger Move Toward 1.1640Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup. Market Analysis EURUSD has been trading in a corrective phase after breaking down from the Upward Channel that previously guided its bullish movement. The pair formed a Range near the 1.1760 Resistance Area, showing consolidation before sellers regained control. Multiple Breakouts confirmed shifts in market structure — first to the upside within the channel, and later to the downside, signaling the transition from bullish to neutral-bearish momentum. Recently, price found strong demand within the 1.1550–1.1560 Support Zone, which aligns with the Triangle Support Line. This level has been tested multiple times, acting as a significant pivot point for potential bullish reactions. The Triangle Resistance Line above continues to limit upward movement, forming a contracting structure that reflects growing pressure from both sides. My Scenario & Strategy From my view, EURUSD is currently setting up for a possible bullish rebound from the support zone near 1.1560. If buyers defend this level, the price could rise toward the Triangle Resistance Line around 1.1630–1.1640. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could open the way toward the key 1.1760 Resistance Zone, signaling a shift in sentiment back to bullish. However, if the pair fails to hold above the Triangle Support Line, a breakdown could trigger a deeper decline toward 1.1500. For now, I maintain a short-term bullish bias, looking for long opportunities near support with clear confirmation signals. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
4