XAUUSD: Critical Supply Zone - Reaction May Define Next MoveHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold is trading within a broader bullish environment, but recent price action shows signs of exhaustion near key resistance. After a period of consolidation inside a clear range, XAUUSD broke to the upside and formed a well-defined upward channel, confirming buyer control. This move brought price into the upper Resistance Zone around 4,590–4,600, where strong selling pressure emerged.
Currently, at this level, price printed a fake breakout, indicating a lack of acceptance above resistance and trapping late buyers. Following this rejection, gold pulled back sharply and then staged a recovery, breaking above the local structure again and retesting the Support Zone near 4,530. This area aligns with previous resistance turned support and a rising triangle support line, which is currently being tested. Despite the bullish recovery, price is once again approaching the major resistance area, where sellers have previously shown strong interest. The market structure suggests that the current move is corrective within a larger resistance context rather than the start of a fresh impulsive rally.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario favors a short setup while price remains below or reacts strongly from the 4,590–4,600 Resistance Zone. A rejection from this area could trigger a move back toward the 4,530 Support Zone and potentially lower if selling momentum increases.
However, a clean breakout and acceptance above 4,600 would invalidate the short bias and signal bullish continuation. Until that happens, the resistance area remains a key decision point, and caution is warranted near the highs.
That’s the setup I’m watching. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Chart Patterns
Bitcoin - Holding The Middle, Eyes On The EdgeBitcoin continues to trade within a clearly defined range, with price currently positioned in the upper half of that structure. After a strong move away from the lower boundary, the market has shown acceptance above the midpoint, suggesting buyers are still active but now approaching an area where reactions are more likely.
Range Structure And Key Zones
The broader structure remains range-bound, with a well-respected low acting as the base and a clear resistance zone marking the top. The upper boundary of this range stands out as the most obvious pool of liquidity, making it a logical magnet for price before any meaningful directional decision is made.
Internal Support Reaction
Within the range, price recently reacted cleanly from a strong internal support area. This zone has previously acted as a pivot, showing multiple reactions and confirming its relevance. The current bounce from this level adds confidence that the move higher is not random, but instead supported by real participation from buyers.
Liquidity Considerations
Given the clarity of the range high, resting liquidity above that area is highly likely. From a liquidity perspective, it would make sense for price to continue pushing higher, take out those highs, and invite breakout traders into long positions. This type of behavior often precedes a reversal rather than sustained continuation.
Projected Price Path
If price continues to build on the internal support reaction, a move toward the range high becomes the most logical next step. A sweep of that high followed by rejection would align with classic range manipulation, where liquidity is taken before price rotates back into the range.
Conclusion
As long as the internal support holds, further upside remains plausible. However, the real area of interest sits at the range high, where a liquidity sweep and reversal scenario becomes increasingly attractive. Patience is key here, allowing price to show its hand at the most obvious level before committing to directional bias.
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EURUSD Price Action - Support Holds at 1.1670, TP Near 1.1720Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. After trading inside a clearly defined range, EURUSD broke to the upside, showing initial buyer strength. However, this bullish move failed to sustain, and price turned around, transitioning into a descending channel. Within this channel, price respected both the falling resistance line and the internal support, forming a consistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming short-term bearish control. During the decline, EURUSD moved into the Seller Zone, where selling pressure remained active and pushed price lower toward the Buyer Zone. This Buyer Zone aligns with a key Support Level and represents an area where demand previously entered the market. From this level, price reacted strongly, producing an impulsive move up and a clear breakout from the descending channel, signaling a potential shift in short-term structure. Currently, price is holding above the reclaimed support, suggesting acceptance above the former bearish structure. My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and maintains support, a continuation move toward the Resistance Level around 1.1720 (TP1) is possible. This area also overlaps with the Seller Zone, where selling pressure may reappear. If price fails to hold above support and falls back below the Buyer Zone, the bullish scenario would weaken and the broader bearish structure could resume. For now, price is at a key decision area, with buyers attempting to confirm the breakout and build further upside momentum. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSDT Long: Demand Holding at 90,100 - Eyes on 92,200 SupplyHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. After a strong bearish move, BTC formed a clear pivot low, from which price transitioned into a bullish recovery phase. From this pivot point, the market developed a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a shift in market structure and increasing buyer control through a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This channel guided price higher until BTC reached a key Supply Zone around 92,000–92,200, where selling pressure emerged. At this supply area, price experienced a rejection and breakout failure, indicating that sellers are actively defending this level. Following the rejection, BTC briefly broke below short-term structure and moved into a consolidation range, reflecting temporary balance between buyers and sellers. More recently, price has started to recover again, respecting a rising Demand Line, which signals that buyers are still defending the broader bullish structure.
Currently, BTC is trading between a key Demand Zone near 90,100–90,300 and the overhead Supply Zone around 92,200. This area represents a critical decision zone for the market, where the next directional move is likely to be defined.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the Demand Zone and continues to respect the rising demand trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to attempt another push toward the 92,200 Supply Zone. A clean breakout and acceptance above this level would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, a strong rejection from supply followed by a breakdown below demand would weaken the structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. For now, price remains in a compression phase between demand and supply — patience and proper risk management are key. Manage your risk!
#XAUUSD:+4000 Pips Swing Targeting $5000! Comment Your Views! Dear Traders,
Gold has been bullish since last week as the uncertainty rises across the globe. The fear is growing and which is the main reason why Gold has been bullish. In this market scenarios, we may not see a strong correction as momentum remain extremely bullish. Right now, if you are thinking about taking an entry, you may consider entering around our marked zone.
We are targeting $5000 and it may take whole year to get completed. The move is swing and you can set target or take profit if you are thinking about intraday positions.
Good luck
Team Setupsfx_
Elise | BTCUSD – 30M | Post-BOS Reaction from HTF DemandBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After a sharp impulsive drop, BTC tapped into HTF demand and produced a short-term BOS, indicating a potential relief move. However, momentum remains corrective rather than impulsive. The current structure suggests a retracement-based bounce, not a confirmed trend reversal, unless price can reclaim and hold above the prior breakdown area.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → If BTC holds above the BOS low and shows acceptance with higher lows, price may push toward upper liquidity resting above recent highs.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Failure to hold the BOS level and acceptance back below the reaction zone opens continuation toward deeper HTF demand.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 91,200 – 91,800
Support 🟢: 90,150 – 89,400 (HTF Demand)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area 1.17420.Colleagues, the price has either completed or is completing a corrective movement in wave “2,” and I expect an upward movement to begin, which has either already started or will start soon.
I believe there is a possibility of the local minimum of 1.16180 being updated to the 1.16036 area, but the main target is the 1.17420 area, which is the maximum area of the average corrective wave “B” and confirmation of the start of the upward wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold Strengthens as Geopolitical Risk IncreasesGold Strengthens as Geopolitical Risk Increases
Gold continues to respect a bullish market structure, with price developing a clear impulsive sequence followed by shallow corrective waves. The recent pullback found support near the 4,400 zone (wave iv), and price is now pushing higher again, confirming buyers’ control.
The bullish scenario remains intact. A clean continuation higher could first target the resistance zone 4,548.
A breakthrough at the top of the structure 4548 should push GOLD easily to 4,600. If momentum remains strong, the next major upside target is located near 4,650.
On the fundamental side, gold is also benefiting from rising geopolitical uncertainty. Recent geopolitical tensions fueled by Trump’s rhetoric and positioning regarding Greenland have added another layer of risk sentiment to global markets.
Any escalation or uncertainty in U.S.–European relations tends to support safe-haven assets such as gold, reinforcing the bullish technical outlook.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Previous Analysis:
Selena | XAUUSD – 30M – CPI-Driven Bullish StructureFOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Gold is consolidating after a strong impulsive bullish expansion, with price respecting the rising channel structure. The current pullback is corrective, occurring below HTF resistance and above channel support. With CPI Core news in play, volatility is expected, but structure suggests liquidity is being built rather than distributed, favoring continuation if support holds.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → If price holds above channel support and internal demand, a push toward buy-side liquidity above 4,630 and continuation toward 4,680–4,740 remains valid.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → A strong break and close below channel support would invalidate bullish structure and open deeper retracement toward lower demand zones.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4,630 – 4,660
Support 🟢: 4,560 – 4,520
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
EURUSD Reaction Zone After Downtrend RespectQuick Summary
EURUSD respected the bearish trend, Price is expected to target the low at 1.16530
A potential reaction zone sits at the demand area around 1.16332
This zone could support a bounce and a break of the bearish trend, However confirmation through strong rejection is required before any entry
Full Analysis
After EURUSD moved lower and clearly respected the bearish trend the expectation is for price to continue its downside move toward the low at 1.16530
This level acts as a logical liquidity objective within the current structure
Below that area price may react from the demand zone around 1.16332
This zone stands out as a potential area for a bullish response and could support a bounce that leads to a break of the bearish trend
However this demand area should not be trusted blindly
There is a possibility that price breaks through it and continues lower to react from the next orderblock below
For that reason any entry from this zone must be supported by a strong rejection signal
Confirmation is essential to validate the strength of the area and avoid premature entries
GOLD - Consolidation ahead of news. Long squeeze?FX:XAUUSD is trading in the $4575-4600 range (consolidation) ahead of US inflation data (CPI) for December...
Inflation remains above the Fed's target (2%), making the data key to assessing the timing of rate cuts. XAU is consolidating below record highs. Profit-taking is observed ahead of the data release. Geopolitical risks and concerns about the Fed's independence support long-term demand for gold.
The reaction to CPI data may be short-term, as these factors remain a priority:
• Above forecast: dollar growth, gold correction to $4550 - 4520.
• Below forecast: dxy weakening, gold growth to $4650 - 4700
Gold retains its upside potential, but in the near term, its movement will depend on inflation data. Any correction can be seen as a buying opportunity amid ongoing geopolitical and monetary risks.
Resistance levels: 4600, 4630, 4650
Support levels: 4577, 4560, 4550
The initial retest of 4600 may end in a pullback, and a close below 4577 may trigger a decline to 4561 - 4550 before an attempt to grow (interest in the liquidity zone). However, against the backdrop of news reaction, gold may test 4550 - 4520 before continuing to rise. Very weak news may trigger a breakout of 4600 and an aggressive rally. It is important to monitor the context...
Best regards, R. Linda!
NVIDIA Huge Head & Shoulders forming. $127 technical Target.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is in the process of completing the Right Shoulder of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, having turned sideways since the October 29 2025 High (ATH).
With the 1D RSI on Lower Highs, i.e. a Bearish Divergence since July 17 2025, it is possible that within a month's time max, the stock will break its Support and the H&S will target its technical extension, the 2.0 Fibonacci at $127.00.
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Each Bitcoin ATH Is Different 7pm | Possible Head & ShouldersWhat a volatile time to trade the markets, but there is a very important thing we would like to discuss.
Volatility is usually a sign of transition, not continuation. This is where most traders get trapped.
On higher timeframes, Bitcoin has always topped in different ways structurally, but with the same underlying behavior. Blow-off tops, double tops, and now potentially a head and shoulders near all-time highs. These patterns are not predictions, they are warnings that momentum is changing.
(especially if we take into consideration the market cycles)
Market tops are processes, not events. Price becomes unstable, reactions get sharper, and follow-through weakens. This is where emotion replaces patience and mistakes multiply.
This does not mean price must crash. It means risk is rising. When risk rises, discipline matters more than conviction.
Volatility is not noise. It is information. Don't chase the similar ATH like we had before.
Swallow Academy
BTCUSDT: Compression Before the Move (IH&S Inside Triangle)Hi!
Price is still moving inside a symmetrical triangle, showing clear compression and indecision. An inverse head & shoulders is visible, but the breakout so far is weak and needs confirmation.
Short-term expectation:
A push-up is likely toward the gray resistance zone around 91,330. From there, a reaction/pullback is expected, with the price potentially dropping back toward the bottom line of the triangle.
Key scenarios:
• Bullish: Clean break and hold above the upper trendline → targets 93,200 – 93,500
• Bearish: Rejection from resistance and breakdown of the lower trendline → downside toward 89,400 – 89,000
This is still a patience zone. Let price show its hand before committing.
Gold Uptrend Strengthens, New Expansion Phase BeginsOver the past week, gold has continued to advance in a very “textbook” manner. What stands out is not how far price has moved, but how it has moved: steady, controlled, and consistently supported by both technical structure and the macro backdrop. On the H4 chart, this is the type of bullish behavior traders like to see—impulse higher, shallow pullback, then continuation.
Gold started the week around the 4,370 USD/oz area, quickly reclaimed the 4,400 level, and more importantly, managed to hold above it for most of the week. Structurally, 4,400 is no longer acting as resistance; it has transitioned into a new support base, signaling that the market is accepting a higher price regime.
As price approached the 4,440–4,450 zone, profit-taking pressure emerged, leading to a brief pullback toward the 4,426 area. What I find particularly constructive is that this entire retracement did not damage the structure. Price never lost 4,400, and each dip was quickly absorbed by fresh buying interest. This behavior clearly reflects the current market state: buyers remain in control, while sellers are only strong enough to create short-term fluctuations, not a reversal.
By the end of the week, gold decisively broke above the psychological 4,500 USD/oz level and closed around 4,510. On the H4 timeframe, this was a relatively clean break-and-hold, suggesting the market is ready to operate at a higher range rather than merely staging a temporary breakout.
From a purely technical perspective, the uptrend remains firmly intact. Price continues to trade above the H4 EMAs, both of which are sloping upward. Pullbacks are not breaking prior lows, and key support zones—most notably 4,450–4,470, and deeper at 4,400—remain valid. With this structure, I see no meaningful signs of weakness in the medium-term trend. If anything, the market looks like it is undergoing a brief re-accumulation phase ahead of the next leg higher.
This price action aligns well with the macro narrative. After the NFP report came in broadly in line with expectations, markets have maintained the view that the Fed is unlikely to re-tighten policy aggressively, easing rate-related pressure on gold. At the same time, central bank gold demand remains strong, geopolitical risks have not faded, and the US dollar continues to face longer-term pressure from monetary and fiscal dynamics. Together, these factors provide a sufficiently solid macro foundation to support the current bullish trend in gold.
GBPJPY: Structure Break Signals Further Upside PotentialGBPJPY Structural Break Signals Further Upside Potential
GBPJPY broke out of a strong structural area near 212.10 also creating a new all-time high.
The JPY has been very weak lately. This weakness can only be attributed to the chaos that the new Prime Minister is already creating. Since Takaichi was elected as the new Prime Minister, we have seen the JPY depreciate a lot.
Today, the Japanese Yen is under pressure from reports that Japan's Takaichi may call an early election and the BOJ uncertainty.
As long as the price has already broken above the structure zone, the chances of going further are increasing.
Targets:
🎯 213.00
🎯 214.00
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Bitcoin Consolidates Above Key Support 90KBitcoin Consolidates Above Key Support 90K
Bitcoin is currently consolidating after a strong impulsive move higher, with price holding above the key support zone around 90,000.
This area previously acted as resistance and is now being retested as support, which is a constructive sign for the bullish continuation scenario.
A successful hold above this level could trigger the next impulsive leg toward the first resistance zone near 94,900, followed by the higher target around 98,700, which marks a major liquidity area.
Overall, Bitcoin remains in a bullish continuation phase, with consolidation above former resistance suggesting higher prices ahead.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
BTCUSD Consolidation Before the Next Big MoveHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is trading within a broader bullish structure after reclaiming key levels and breaking above previous consolidation zones. Earlier on the chart, price respected a rising support line and formed a series of higher lows, signaling growing buyer strength. After a brief pullback, BTC entered a consolidation range, where the market paused before continuing higher. This range acted as an accumulation zone, and the subsequent breakout confirmed renewed bullish momentum. Currently, BTCUSD is trading above the Buyer Zone around the 90,000–91,000 area, which aligns with previous resistance turned support. Price recently broke out from this zone and is now consolidating just below the Seller Zone / Resistance Level near 93,700. This resistance also aligns with a descending resistance line, increasing its significance and making it a key reaction area. My scenario: as long as BTCUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising support line, the bullish structure remains intact. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 93,700 Resistance Level would confirm continuation toward the next upside target (TP1). However, a strong rejection from resistance could lead to a corrective pullback back into the Buyer Zone before any further attempt higher. For now, price remains compressed between support and resistance, and a decisive move is likely soon. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD Trending Higher - Can buyers push toward 4,700?Hello. I'm Camila.
Gold is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the lower and upper boundaries. This behavior confirms that the overall trend structure remains intact. The strength of the most recent impulsive move reflects firm buying pressure and indicates that buyers continue to dominate, keeping the upside momentum firmly in place.
Price has decisively broken above a key resistance area and is now performing a constructive pullback to retest this former resistance as support. If this zone continues to hold, it will further validate the bullish structure and significantly increase the probability of an advance toward the 4,700 region, which aligns closely with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
As long as price remains above this support area, the bullish outlook stays valid. A sustained failure to hold this level would weaken the current structure and could open the door for a deeper corrective phase before the next directional move develops.
From a fundamental perspective, the recent surge in gold has been driven by renewed expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts after U.S. employment data came in broadly in line with forecasts. This shift in monetary policy expectations helped propel gold firmly above the 4,500 level. The latest Kitco survey reinforces this bullish sentiment, showing that a strong majority of both Wall Street analysts and retail investors continue to expect higher prices in the near term.
Despite the strong rally, gold may be temporarily overextended in the short term, suggesting the possibility of a brief pullback or consolidation. However, the broader bullish trend remains both technically and fundamentally sound, supported by ongoing central bank buying, persistent geopolitical tensions, a weaker U.S. dollar, and a prolonged low interest rate environment. These factors continue to reinforce gold’s role as a reliable safe haven asset.
Wishing you calm execution and disciplined trading.
A letter to myself. (Buy the dip)This is phase one of a global technological financial system. If our parents even parked a fraction of their cash here 10–20 years ago the long-term payoff would have been nice, but they didn't and it's okay because they didn't know. We now have the privilege of choosing to contribute to our financial future in ways that were previously out of reach for everyday people because we couldn't even fathom the future the internet is today.
This data from the adoption curve theory further supports that we're adopting this cryptocurrency.
With clearer signals from regulators and pro-crypto movements gaining traction in U.S. political leadership, confidence and liquidity have been rising. Under the current administration, regulatory clarity and initiatives like a strategic Bitcoin/Digital Asset stockpile have helped sentiment in crypto. We're currently at a 3.12T marketcap (2026JAN11)
Regardless of sentiment. Here's the play:
🔄 Elliott Wave Structure — Strength in #'s
We’re observing a 1–5 multi-year impulse wave, often followed by an A-B-C corrective phase:
Impulse (1–5) = trend direction (up)
ABC Correction = pullback phase after a trend leg before continuation
A = first leg down
B = bounce / retrace up
C = final leg down completing correction
Right now, we’re in an ABC retracement within a larger uptrend — meaning the market is consolidating against the bull trend. This correction doesn’t invalidate the uptrend until key Elliott rules are broken. We're also approaching the 200MA which is (rolling) key support resistance to keep an eye on. That’s why we plan to DCA (dollar-cost average) — buying strength and weakness — to build positions regardless of short-term noise. This sets us up for a disciplined exit strategy when the next upward leg resumes.
It's an election year, so this is a key fundamental day that will affect market prices.
Don't forget, this is early innings in a new global financial network. When
BTC
goes up we see the altcoin market react.
(The Money Flow Cycle)
Large Caps
Mid Caps
Small Caps
Micro Caps
Long-term participation with risk management beats short-term guessing.
The next big move up rewards the prepared, not the reactive. Park into mid caps / small caps at your own risk.
I personally are heavy VeChain (#VET) (#VECHAIN) simply because of the fact that it's an L1 that has been around YOY through bull/bear markets, has great partnerships, geared towards a sustainable future, and it's pennies on the dollar. With a higher risk will come a higher reward and im willing to wait for the delay of PA that seems to occur YOY since observing BTC since 2019.
Remember to DYOR don't investing anything you're not willing to lose and always remember.
"Time in the market, beats timing the market."
- Isaiah






















