BUY SETUP – BTC/USD (Smart Money Concept)Analysis:
Price is forming a rising wedge near short-term liquidity. A break below the wedge is expected to sweep liquidity into the demand zone around 107,457 – 108,000, which aligns with previous structural imbalance and unmitigated order block.
Trade Plan:
Wait for a liquidity grab below the wedge and bullish confirmation inside the demand zone. Target the 112,820 – 113,000 resistance area, which aligns with previous high and key supply zone.
Entry Zone: 107,800 – 108,200
Stop Loss: Below 107,400
Take Profit: 111,400 / 112,800
Risk–Reward: ≈ 1:3
Concept:
Liquidity sweep below wedge pattern
Demand zone + FVG confluence
Smart money reaccumulation before continuation
Chart Patterns
BTC market snapshotWarren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is holding $382 billion in cash.
That means the company is hardly investing right now — basically sitting in dollars (short-term U.S. Treasuries, deposits, etc.). I’d assume they’re waiting for a market correction, seeing no attractive entry points at the moment. The charts are saying the same thing: time to stay on the sidelines or look for shorts.
BTC ’s 200-day MA (around 109K) is still holding, but if we fail to break above 115K soon, it’s unlikely we’ll see a new high. We can see price dipping around 108K — selling pressure is still strong.
I’m leaning short for now, but we’ll see. Ideally, I’d love to see one more push to new highs before a proper correction, though at the moment it feels unlikely.
#DASH/USDT#DASH
The price is moving in a bearish channel on the 12-hour frame and is largely sticking to it
We have a green support area at 26.00 that is expected to be bounced from due to its strength
We have a trend to hold above the Moving Average 100, which is strong support for the rise
We have very strong oversold resistance on the RSI indicator to support the rise with a strong uptrend
Entry price is 29.00
The first goal is 31.83
Second goal 34.24
The third goal is 37.00
From 107K to 104K — Bitcoin’s Next Stop Before the Big Drop?An update to my previous Bitcoin outlook — we’ve almost reached my 107K target.
Now, I’m setting a new short-term goal at 104K, though I believe we might even dip toward 100K.
Let’s see how the chart reacts as we approach the 104K zone.
On a larger scale, as I mentioned in one of my earlier posts, my global target remains around 83K.
The invalidation zone for this scenario is marked directly on the chart.
Let’s summarize 👇
📉 Nearest target: 107K (almost reached)
📉 Next target: 104K
📉 Possible drop to: 100K
🌋 Global target: 83K
👁️Follow me so you don’t miss future updates to my forecasts!
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.153.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.143 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Potential outside week and bullish potential for A1MEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:A1M above the level of the inside week following the potential outside week noted on 17th October (i.e.: above the level of $0.47).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the inside week on 22nd October (i.e.: below $0.415), should the trade activate.
GER40 at a Crossroads: Parabolic Breakout or Exhaustion Top? 🇩🇪 GER40 DAX INDEX | Premium Technical Analysis & Trading Blueprint | 23,967.9 🇩🇪
📊 INSTITUTIONAL MULTI-TIMEFRAME MASTERCLASS | NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025 FORECAST 📊
Current Level: 23,967.9 | Analysis Date: November 1, 2025, 00:54 UTC+4
Hey, TradingView fam! 👋 The German powerhouse, GER40, has put on a spectacular show, closing the week at a mighty 23,967.9 . After such a vertical ascent, traders are rightfully asking: Is this the start of a new parabolic phase, or are we witnessing a massive exhaustion top in the making? The upcoming week, from November 3rd to 7th, is poised to give us the answer.
Let's dissect the charts across multiple timeframes, combining timeless theories with key indicators to map out the strategic path forward for both intraday and swing traders. 🧭
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🎯 STRATEGIC MARKET INTELLIGENCE OVERVIEW
The German DAX Index commands attention at 23,967.9 , positioning at a pivotal technical crossroads that will define European equity direction through Q4 2025. Our sophisticated multi-dimensional analysis reveals cautious optimism with breakout potential as the index tests critical resistance near the psychological 24,000 barrier. This week's confluence of ECB policy implications, US election spillover, and technical setups creates exceptional risk-reward opportunities for prepared traders.
Institutional Support Architecture: 🛡️
Immediate Foundation: 23,900 - 23,920 (Algo bid zone)
Secondary Cushion: 23,850 - 23,870 (Volume-weighted support)
Critical Platform: 23,750 - 23,780 (Weekly pivot cluster)
Major Fortress: 23,650 - 23,680 (Psychological & structural)
Resistance Target Matrix: 🎯
First Hurdle: 24,000 - 24,020 (Psychological barrier)
Secondary Wall: 24,100 - 24,120 (Pattern objective)
Breakout Zone: 24,200 - 24,250 (Extension target)
Major Milestone: 24,350 - 24,400 (Monthly target)
╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
📈 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME (1W) - MACRO STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS
Elliott Wave Supercycle Mapping: 🌊
Currently navigating Wave 4 consolidation within larger Wave (5) of the supercycle advance. The shallow retracement (38.2% Fibonacci) suggests underlying strength with Wave 5 targeting 24,500-24,800 . Alternative count places us in Wave B of corrective ABC - monitor 23,650 for bearish confirmation.
Primary Scenario: Wave 4 complete, Wave 5 underway to 24,500+
Alternative: Wave B top forming, Wave C decline to 23,200
Invalidation Level: Weekly close below 23,500
Time Projection: Completion by mid-November
Wyckoff Distribution/Re-Accumulation: 📚
Critical Juncture - Phase B/C Transition
- Preliminary Supply (PSY): 24,100 tested
- Buying Climax (BC): 24,150 rejection
- Automatic Reaction (AR): 23,750 held
- Secondary Test (ST): Current 23,967
- Upthrust pending: Above 24,000
Ichimoku Cloud European Perspective: ☁️
Tenkan-sen: 23,885 (9-period support)
Kijun-sen: 23,820 (26-period base)
Senkou Span A: 23,950 (cloud resistance)
Senkou Span B: 23,780 (cloud support)
Chikou Span: Neutral (at price level)
Cloud Status: Thin, potential twist ahead
Advanced Harmonic Configuration: 🦋
Emerging Bullish Shark pattern with precision measurements:
- 0 Point: 23,450 (October low)
- X Point: 24,150 (October high)
- A Point: 23,650 (retracement low)
- B Point: 23,967 (current - 0.618 XA)
- C Target: 23,750 (1.13 AB extension)
- D Completion: 24,350 (0.886 XC)
Gann Master Analysis: 📐
Price respecting 3x1 Gann angle from September base. Critical Gann levels:
- Current angle support: 23,920
- 45-degree resistance: 24,050
- Square of 9 target: 24,144
- Time cycle: November 6 (+/- 1 day)
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📊 DAILY TIMEFRAME (1D) - SWING TRADING COMMAND
Japanese Candlestick Intelligence: 🕯️
Yesterday's Hanging Man at resistance warns of potential reversal. Critical observation for today:
- Close above 24,000 = Bullish Engulfing invalidates reversal
- Close below 23,900 = Bearish Confirmation
- Doji formation = Continued indecision
Master Pattern Recognition:
Ascending Triangle approaching apex:
- Horizontal resistance: 24,000-24,020
- Rising support: Currently at 23,880
- Breakout target: 24,320 (320-point measured move)
- Volume requirement: 30% above 20-day average
- False breakout risk: High due to round number
Bollinger Bands Configuration: 📈
Upper Band: 24,015 (kissing price)
Middle Band (20-SMA): 23,870 (dynamic support)
Lower Band: 23,725 (oversold boundary)
Band Width: Contracting (squeeze alert)
%B Reading: 0.89 (upper band test)
RSI Momentum Analysis:
Daily RSI: 64 (approaching overbought)
Bearish divergence forming vs price highs
Support trend line: 55 level
Resistance: 70 level (6 points away)
Volume Profile Insights: 📊
- High Volume Node: 23,850-23,900
- Point of Control: 23,875
- Value Area High: 23,950
- Value Area Low: 23,800
- Low Volume Gap: 24,020-24,080 (breakout zone)
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⚡ 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME (4H) - TACTICAL FRAMEWORK
Dow Theory Application: ✅
Primary Trend: Bullish (higher highs maintained)
Secondary Trend: Consolidation/Distribution question
Minor Trend: Testing resistance
Volume Pattern: Declining on rallies (caution)
Confirmation needed: Break above 24,020
DAX/STOXX correlation: Diverging (warning)
Moving Average Configuration:
EMA 8: 23,945 (micro support)
EMA 21: 23,915 (short-term support)
EMA 50: 23,880 (medium support)
SMA 100: 23,825 (strong support)
SMA 200: 23,750 (major trend support)
Golden Cross: EMA 50 above SMA 100 ✅
Chart Pattern Alert: 🚨
Rising Wedge formation - bearish implications:
- Upper trendline: 23,980-24,000
- Lower trendline: 23,850-23,870
- Breakdown target: 23,700
- Invalidation: Close above 24,020
╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
🎪 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME (1H) - PRECISION ENTRY MATRIX
Micro Pattern Development: 🔬
Triple Top formation at 23,980:
- First top: 23,975 (Monday)
- Second top: 23,982 (Wednesday)
- Third top: 23,978 (Friday)
- Neckline support: 23,920
- Breakdown target: 23,860
VWAP Trading Framework:
Daily VWAP: 23,952
Weekly VWAP: 23,895
Monthly VWAP: 23,810
Upper Band 1: 23,985 (resistance)
Upper Band 2: 24,018 (strong resistance)
Lower Band 1: 23,919 (support)
Lower Band 2: 23,886 (strong support)
Support & Resistance Precision:
R4: 24,050 (Major resistance)
R3: 24,020 (Round number)
R2: 23,990 (Pattern resistance)
R1: 23,975 (Immediate ceiling)
PIVOT: 23,967.9 (Current)
S1: 23,950 (Micro support)
S2: 23,920 (Neckline)
S3: 23,890 (Strong support)
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⚡ 30-MINUTE SCALPING LABORATORY (30M)
Microstructure Dynamics: 🎯
Range-bound channel :
- Upper boundary: 23,975-23,985
- Middle pivot: 23,950-23,955
- Lower boundary: 23,925-23,935
- Breakout pending: 70% probability upward
European Session Dynamics: 🕐
Frankfurt Open (08:00 CET):
- Average range: 40-50 points
- Directional bias: First 30 minutes
London Overlap (09:00 GMT):
- Volatility spike: 60-80 points
- Best scalping window
US Premarket Impact (13:30 CET):
- Range expansion: 80-100 points
Scalping Execution Zones:
Buy Zones:
• Zone A: 23,945-23,950 (VWAP test)
• Zone B: 23,925-23,930 (Channel bottom)
• Zone C: 23,900-23,905 (Strong bid)
Sell Zones:
• Zone A: 23,975-23,980 (Triple top)
• Zone B: 23,990-23,995 (Resistance cluster)
• Zone C: 24,010-24,015 (Major resistance)
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🏃 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE ULTRA-SCALPING
15-Minute Momentum Setup: ⚡
Bull Flag micro pattern:
- Pole: 23,920 to 23,970 (50 points)
- Flag: 23,955-23,965 consolidation
- Breakout trigger: 23,968
- Quick target: 24,000 (+32 points)
- Stop: 23,950 (-18 points)
5-Minute Algorithm Signals:
Long Conditions:
RSI(5) oversold (<25) + VWAP bounce = BUY
MACD bullish cross + Volume spike = BUY
EMA(8) > EMA(21) + Pullback = BUY
Short Conditions:
RSI(5) overbought (>75) + Resistance = SELL
MACD bearish cross + High volume = SELL
Failed breakout at 24,000 = SELL
Management:
TP: 15-20 points | SL: 10-12 points
Max hold: 10 minutes | Trail: 8 points
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📅 WEEKLY STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK (NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025)
Monday, November 3: 🚀
Gap-up potential to 24,000 test
Strategy: Sell resistance, buy 23,920 dips
Key levels: 23,920 support, 24,000 resistance
Expected range: 80 points
Tuesday, November 4: 🗳️
US Election volatility spillover to DAX
Strategy: Wide stops, reduced size
Potential range: 23,750-24,100 (350 points!)
Correlation with US futures critical
Wednesday, November 5: 💥
Post-election directional resolution
Strategy: Trade breakout with conviction
Bullish above 24,050 → Target 24,200
Bearish below 23,850 → Target 23,700
Thursday, November 6: 📊
ECB officials speaking + German data
Strategy: Fade initial moves
Expected consolidation: 23,900-24,000
Focus on European session
Friday, November 7: 🎯
Weekly close crucial for next week's bias
Strategy: Position for weekly close
Above 24,000 = Bullish continuation
Below 23,900 = Bearish reversal
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⚖️ PROFESSIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
Intraday Risk Parameters: 🛡️
Position size: 0.5-1% account risk
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2, target 1:3
Daily stop: -2% maximum loss
Consecutive losses: 3 max, then pause
Profit protection: Trail at 60% gain
Breakeven: Move stop at +15 points
Correlation monitor: Watch US futures
Swing Position Framework: 💼
Core position: 40% at 23,900-23,920
Scale-in: 30% at 23,850, 30% at 23,800
Stop loss: Below 23,750 (all positions)
Target 1: 24,050 (25% exit)
Target 2: 24,150 (35% exit)
Target 3: 24,250 (25% exit)
Runner: 24,350+ (15% hold)
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🔴 RISK SCENARIOS & CONTINGENCIES
Bearish Triggers: 🐻
30-min close below 23,950 = Micro caution
Hourly close below 23,920 = Intraday bearish
4H close below 23,880 = Swing bearish
Daily close below 23,800 = Trend concern
Weekly close below 23,650 = Major reversal
European Risk Factors: 🦢
• ECB policy surprises (100+ point moves)
• German economic data shocks
• EU political developments
• Energy crisis escalation
• Banking sector concerns
╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
💎 ELITE CONFLUENCE TRADING ZONES
Optimal Buy Zone: ✅
23,880-23,920
(Multi-timeframe support + Fibonacci 61.8% + VWAP + Moving averages)
Premium Sell Zone: ❌
23,990-24,020
(Triple top + Round number + Bollinger Band + Wedge resistance)
Breakout Trigger: 🚀
24,020-24,050
(Pattern completion + Resistance break + Volume confirmation)
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🏆 MASTER TRADER'S VERDICT
The DAX at 23,967.9 stands at a critical inflection point with the psychological 24,000 level acting as the decisive battleground. Technical indicators suggest cautious bullish bias but with increasing distribution signals. The week ahead demands disciplined execution and nimble position management.
Top 3 High-Probability Setups: 🎯
Range Trade: Buy 23,900, Sell 23,980 (Multiple touches)
Breakout Long: Above 24,020 → Target 24,150 (Clear skies)
Reversal Short: Triple top failure at 23,980 → Target 23,850
Trading Wisdom: 🧠
The DAX rewards patience at extremes. Trade the range until proven otherwise. Respect the 24,000 psychological level.
"The European markets dance to their own rhythm - master the tempo, profit from the moves!" 💶
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📍 ACTIONABLE INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING
Range-bound action between 23,850-24,020 until catalyst emerges. US election spillover likely to provide directional resolution. Accumulate dips toward 23,900 for upside potential to 24,200+.
Trade European hours. Respect correlations. Profit consistently. 💰
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#DAX #GER40 #DAX40 #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #EuropeanMarkets #Indices #DayTrading #SwingTrading #ElliottWave #Wyckoff #HarmonicPatterns #ECB #Frankfurt #GermanStocks #STOXX #EuropeTrading #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #Forex #MarketForecast
🔔 Follow for Premium European Market Analysis | Präzision • Disziplin • Profit 📊
Risk Notice: Trading carries significant risk of loss. This analysis is educational only. Past performance does not predict future results. Conduct your own research and apply proper risk management.
Scalp Long – SQD💎 Scalp Long – SQD
RSI is deeply oversold, with a bullish divergence forming, hinting at a potential recovery setup.
Wait for a confirmed breakout to validate the move — high risk, high reward opportunity.
🎯 Plan:
→ Enter after clear breakout confirmation.
→ TP: 0.09756 | SL: 0.07855 | RR: 1 : 5.26
Momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
Keep positions light, trail SL as price strengthens.
Patience and precision — only act when the setup confirms.
You can short gold after it fills the gap.Gold opened lower at the start of the week, having closed near 4002 on Friday, but opened at 3983, falling as low as 3962, a drop of nearly $40. Currently, the market is range-bound with no clear trend in either direction. Trading should focus on buying low and selling high based on support and resistance levels, rather than chasing the market. The overall market is still oscillating within the 3850-4150 range. The 3880 area, which has been tested twice without a breakthrough, has become a key support level for the decline.
Gold opened lower and filled the gap. Short-term selling pressure is warranted, as bullish momentum is weak and further weakness is possible in the short term. The overall market remains in a large range-bound pattern. The short-term bullish movement is merely a rebound and has failed to drive a significant upward trend. The market opened lower this morning following weekend news and continued to decline. After filling the gap this morning, the bears may continue to exert pressure. Short positions can be considered on rallies to 4005-4015.
GER30 H4 | Bullish Reversal from Overlap Support LevelBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 23,885.59, which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 23,661.20, whic is a pullback support that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit is at 24,383.02, which is an overlap resistance.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAUUSD – Rising Wedge Break & Bearish Continuation SetupGold has formed a rising wedge structure within a broader corrective downtrend, showing exhaustion in upward correction after the sharp selloff. Price has broken wedge support and is now retesting the breakdown zone, forming a lower-timeframe flag — a classic continuation pattern.
The structure suggests sellers are preparing for another impulse leg toward the previous demand zone, aligning with the broader corrective cycle after the strong bearish move from the highs.
Key Technical Confluences
Rising wedge structure inside downtrend
Clean breakdown followed by retest
Lower-high formation at supply zone
Bearish flag on retest confirming continuation pressure
Target aligned with key demand level around 3,886
Entry: Retest of wedge breakdown + bearish flag
Stop Loss: Above wedge retest / minor swing high
Take Profit: 3,886 support zone
Bias: Bearish while price remains below wedge retest zone.
Expecting continued downside as long as structure holds. Looking for momentum confirmation to the downside and managing risk as price approaches target.
📌 Trading continuation patterns requires patience — confirm rejection and protect capital.
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 155.39
1st Support: 151.24
1st Resistance: 158.94
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ALTUSDT 1D#ALT is currently trading within a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart. In case of a successful bounce from the support zone and a breakout above the wedge resistance and the daily EMA100, the potential upside targets are:
🎯 $0.02564
🎯 $0.03139
🎯 $0.03603
🎯 $0.04068
🎯 $0.04729
🎯 $0.05572
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
JP225 Pullback Complete? Next Stop 50K Resistance?🎌 JAPAN225 (JP225): Bullish Retest Play at 786 LSMA - Thief's Layered Entry Strategy 🎯
📊 Market Overview
The Nikkei 225 (JP225) is showing bullish confirmation with a pullback retest at the 786 Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA)—a classic swing/day trade setup for those who love precision entries with a side of controlled chaos. 🎰
This isn't your grandma's single-entry trade. We're going full Thief Mode with layered limit orders to maximize positioning while the market does its thing. Think of it as "dollar-cost averaging" but cooler and with more risk. 😎
🎯 Trade Setup
📈 Bias: BULLISH
🔍 Confirmation: Retest & bounce at 786 LSMA support zone
⚡ Strategy: Thief's Layered Entry Method (Multiple Limit Orders)
Entry Strategy: The Thief's Ladder
Instead of going all-in at one price (boring! 😴), we're layering buy limit orders like a pro:
Layer 1: 46,500
Layer 2: 46,800
Layer 3: 47,000
Layer 4: 47,500
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size. The deeper the pullback, the more contracts you accumulate. This is how the Thief OG's do it. 🦝💼
🛑 Stop Loss
Thief's SL: 46,000
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I'm NOT recommending you blindly follow my stop loss. This is your money, your rules. Set your SL based on your own risk tolerance. If you make money, take money—at your own risk. 💰🎲
🎯 Take Profit Target
Target Zone: 50,500
Why? This level coincides with:
Strong resistance 🧱
Overbought conditions 🔥
Potential bull trap zone 🪤
💡 Exit Strategy: When we hit overbought + resistance, it's time to escape with profits like a true thief in the night. 🌙💨
⚠️ Another Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I'm NOT saying you MUST take profit here. Scale out, trail your stop, or hold for glory—your choice, your consequences. 🚀
📈 Key Technical Points
✅ 786 LSMA Support: Acting as dynamic support—this is our retest zone
✅ Bullish Structure Intact: Higher lows forming on multiple timeframes
✅ Risk-to-Reward: Solid 1:3+ R:R depending on your layer average
✅ Momentum Confirmation: Watch for bullish divergence on RSI/MACD if you're into that stuff 📊
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep an eye on these correlated assets for confirmation:
$USD/JPY (DXY correlation): Inverse relationship—weak USD = stronger Yen = potential JP225 boost 💴
SP:SPX (S&P 500): Risk-on sentiment in US markets often lifts JP225 🇺🇸📈
HSI:HSI (Hang Seng Index): Asian market correlation—regional sentiment matters 🇭🇰
TSE:TOPIX (Tokyo Stock Price Index): Direct correlation with broader Japanese equities 🎌
💡 Correlation Play: If US indices are pumping and USD is weakening, JP225 tends to follow the party. 🎉
⚙️ Risk Management Reminder
This is a layered entry strategy—meaning your average entry price will depend on how many layers get filled. The beauty? You're not FOMOing at one level. The downside? You need proper position sizing across layers to avoid overexposure. 🧮
Golden Rule: Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade idea. Thief's honor. 🤝
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#JP225 #Nikkei225 #JapanIndex #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #SwingTrading #DayTrading #LSMA #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexCorrelation #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #TradingView #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradeSmart
EUR/USD – Price Action Triggers Bearish Opportunity🚀 EUR/USD “FIBRE” Metals Market Profit Playbook 🪓 (Day-Trade Setup)
🧠 Market Overview
Rob the Market here — diving into EUR/USD (“FIBRE”) with a bearish day-trade plan.
The 200 SMA is rejecting bull riders, and a SMA 786 breakout just slashed through dynamic support — giving us the green light for a downside play.
This setup runs on my signature “Thief Layered Strategy” — a professional-style, multi-entry approach that adds precision, reduces exposure, and keeps emotions cool.
💣 Trade Plan
Bias: Bearish ✅
Technical Confirmation:
• 200 SMA acting as key resistance — bulls got denied hard.
• SMA 786 breakout confirms bearish pressure.
• Dynamic support line flipped to resistance — trend favoring shorts.
🎯 Thief Layered Entry Strategy 💼
Instead of dumping one big order, this method spreads multiple sell-limit entries to scale in smartly as price develops.
💡 Why Layered Entries?
• Avoids premature entries in volatile moves.
• Smooths your average entry price for better R:R.
• Lets you add positions only when the market confirms your bias.
• Keeps the mind calm and the account safe — stealth moves only 😎
🔥 Example Layer Levels (Sell Limits):
First layer ➤ 1.16400 — initial resistance test zone.
Second layer ➤ 1.16200 — confirms rejection from 200 SMA.
Third layer ➤ 1.16000 — mid-zone entry, balanced risk.
Fourth layer ➤ 1.15800 — deep retrace trap entry, sniper fill zone.
🧠 Pro Tip: Adjust or add more layers depending on volatility and position size comfort. The Thief never rushes — he scales with patience.
🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief SL)
🔒 1.16800
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s): This is my thief-style stop, not a fixed rule.
Trade at your own risk — protect your loot before you rob the market! 🏦💨
💰 Target Zone (Thief TP)
🎯 1.14500 — major support zone + oversold levels + liquidity trap potential.
Perfect spot to escape with profits before the crowd catches on.
Again — this TP is flexible. The Thief exits quietly when the bag is full. 🤑
🔗 Related Pairs & Correlations to Watch
Keep your thief’s radar open for USD movement across majors:
• OANDA:USDCHF – Usually mirrors EUR/USD in reverse.
• FX:GBPUSD – Helps confirm overall USD strength or weakness.
• OANDA:EURGBP – Reveals EUR’s independent strength.
• TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) – Strong DXY usually drags EUR/USD lower.
🔍 Key Points to Monitor
• Will the 200 SMA hold as resistance?
• Does the SMA 786 breakout retest fail or bounce?
• Volume + momentum alignment near entry layers.
• Any macroeconomic event shaking USD or EUR sentiment.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#EURUSD #Forex #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #BearishSetup #LayeredEntries #SmartMoney #ForexCommunity #TradingViewIdeas #MetalsMarket #PriceAction
LPTUSDT UPDATE#LPT
UPDATE
SOPH Technical Setup
Pattern: Bullish Falling Wedge Pattern
Current Price: $5.77
Target Price: $12.26
Target % Gain: 112.46%
UPCOM:LPT is breaking out of a bullish falling wedge pattern on the 1D timeframe. The breakout confirms renewed bullish momentum, suggesting potential continuation toward the $12.26 target zone — representing over 100% potential upside from current levels.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management and adjust position sizing to volatility.
$BTC SUNDAY UPDATE We’re still holding our short position BTC SUNDAY UPDATE
We’re still holding our short position from the last 85 days, and it’s been playing out exactly as planned.
Bitcoin dumped multiple times from the 116K–124K short range which has been our sell zone every time, and we’ve stayed patient, holding through every bounce.
Right now, BTC is trading around 110K, sitting just below the 1D 50 EMA, currently near 112.7K. If BTC breaks and holds above 112.7K, there’s a chance we could see 116K–117K, and that’s exactly where I’ll be adding more shorts. 🚨 My main target remains below 100K.
BANKS UNDER MASSIVE PRESSURE 🏦
Liquidity stress is building fast. The Fed may pause QT, but that doesn’t mean money is coming back. There’s no QE yet. Banks are struggling to stay liquid as repo borrowing just hit $50B in a single day and reverse repo usage spiked again.
That’s a clear sign the system is tightening. If this continues, we could see forced selling across risk assets. I’m still short on BTC until the Fed is forced to print again. That’s when the real rally begins. 💥
In simple terms:
🏦 Banks are showing signs of liquidity strain.
💸 QT is removing cash from the system.
📊 The Fed saw a surge in overnight borrowing.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #MarketUpdate #Liquidity #Fed
Will Oracle Push Higher? Strategic Entry Levels Revealed🎯 ORCL: The "Thief Strategy" Profit Heist 💰 | Swing/Day Trade Setup
🚨 THE HEIST PLAN: BULLISH OPERATION 🚨
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is setting up for what I call the "Thief Strategy" – a layered entry approach that lets you sneak into positions like a professional vault cracker. No single entry YOLO here, folks. We're playing it smart, calculated, and ready to grab profits when the market isn't looking. 😎
💼 ENTRY ZONES: THE LAYERED HEIST APPROACH 💼
Instead of going all-in at one price (rookie mistake!), we're using multiple limit orders to build our position strategically:
🎯 Layer 1: $280.00
🎯 Layer 2: $290.00
🎯 Layer 3: $300.00
🎯 Layer 4: $310.00
Feel free to add more layers based on your capital and risk appetite. The beauty of the Thief Strategy is flexibility – you control the robbery!
Alternative: If you're feeling confident and want to enter at current market price, you can do that too. But layering gives you better average cost and less risk exposure.
🛑 STOP LOSS: THE ESCAPE HATCH 🛑
Thief's Stop Loss: $270.00
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen), this is MY stop loss level based on my risk tolerance. You're the captain of your own ship! Set YOUR stop loss based on YOUR risk management rules. Take profits and manage risk at YOUR OWN DISCRETION. I'm not here to hold your hand – I'm here to share the blueprint! 🗺️
🎯 TARGET: ESCAPE BEFORE THE COPS ARRIVE! 🎯
Target Zone: $360.00 🚔
This level acts as a POLICE BARRICADE – think of it as strong resistance where the market could turn into a trap. Overbought conditions + resistance = time to take your profits and RUN! Don't get greedy when you're already carrying the bag. 💼✨
⚠️ PROFIT-TAKING NOTE: Again, Thief OG's, this is MY target. You do YOU. If you want to take profits earlier or hold for more, that's your call. Make money, take money – at your own risk and on your own terms!
📊 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📊
Keep an eye on these correlated assets – they move with ORCL or give us clues about tech sector momentum:
NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft) – Cloud computing competitor, tech sector leader
NYSE:CRM (Salesforce) – Enterprise software correlation
XETR:SAP (SAP SE) – Direct ERP software competitor
NASDAQ:GOOGL (Google) – Cloud infrastructure correlation
NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF) – Overall tech sector health indicator
Key Correlation: ORCL is heavily tied to enterprise tech spending and cloud growth. Watch the broader Nasdaq trends and cloud computing momentum. If tech is strong, ORCL follows. If cloud earnings disappoint sector-wide, expect headwinds.
🔑 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS 🔑
✅ Bullish momentum building on multiple timeframes
✅ Layered entry strategy reduces risk and improves cost average
✅ Risk-to-reward ratio favorable with defined stop and target
✅ Resistance at $360 – historically strong level, watch for rejection
✅ Support layers from $280-$310 provide cushion for entries
⚡ WHY THE THIEF STRATEGY WORKS ⚡
This isn't gambling – it's calculated position building. By spreading entries across multiple price levels, you:
Reduce risk of buying at the absolute top
Lower average entry price if the stock dips
Stay flexible with market volatility
Avoid FOMO and emotional trading
Think of it like a professional heist – you don't just run in guns blazing. You plan, you execute in phases, and you know when to escape with the loot! 🏃💨
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
This is the Thief Style Trading Strategy – a fun, strategic approach to the markets. This is NOT financial advice. I'm sharing my analysis for educational and entertainment purposes only. Trade at your own risk. Markets can be unpredictable, and you could lose money. Do your own research, manage your risk, and never invest more than you can afford to lose. This strategy is just for fun and learning! 🎲
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#ORCL #OracleCorporation #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechStocks #TradingIdeas #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #EnterpriseSoftware #CloudComputing






















