JELLY – Impulsive Bounce From Key Fibonacci Demand ZoneAfter a prolonged downtrend, price has finally stabilized within the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone , where volatility noticeably compressed. This area acted as a clear demand cluster, suggesting sellers have exhausted momentum.
Now, JELLY is showing an impulsive rebound from this zone, signaling a potential shift in market structure and the beginning of a larger bullish leg.
If the current impulse continues, the next upside targets based on the Fibonacci extension levels are:
$0.25 – first major resistance and psychological level
$2.30 – the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, aligning with the primary breakout target
As long as price holds above the recent accumulation range, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Chart Patterns
XAUUSD (H1) – Awaiting confirmation to exit trendlineXAUUSD (H1) – Awaiting confirmation to exit trendline
Buy 4304, Sell 4346 | Gold compresses range before US data
Strategy Summary
Gold is compressing within a sideways range and gradually narrowing (typical "range compression before breakout"). The larger frame still leans towards long-term Buy, but in the short term, I prioritize trading according to trendline + support/resistance zones, with a profit target of about 10 points. The key point today is to wait for confirmation to exit the trendline to avoid entering orders amidst noise.
Important technical levels on the chart
Support / Buy test trendline: 4304 (trendline test area)
Short-term resistance: 4328
"Strong Liquidity" zone above: around 4346 (likely to react)
Distant target if breakout: 4374
Scenario 1 – BUY according to trendline (priority)
✅ Entry Buy: around 4304
SL: 4295
TP (reference): 4314 → 4324 → 4328 (can partially close after 10 points)
Logic: 4304 is the "Buy test trendline" area – if the price tests and holds, the probability of bouncing back to test the resistance area 4328 is high.
Scenario 2 – SELL at strong liquidity zone (scalp)
✅ Sell: around 4346 (Strong Liquidity zone)
For SELL orders, the most reasonable TP is ~4338 (exact target ~10 points).
SL should be placed above the area to avoid being swept when the price stretches (you can consider placing it one step above 4346).
Logic: 4346 is close to a large liquidity/resistance zone – price hitting this area often reacts, suitable for scalping by rhythm.
"Confirmation" conditions to avoid noise
Strong increase confirmation: price breaks and holds above the resistance area (preferably clear H1 candle close) → then the target expands to 4374.
If the trendline is lost & breaks 4295: stop BUY, avoid stubbornness during news phases.
Today's fundamental context (direct impact on XAUUSD)
DXY rises as the market is cautious ahead of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index → may exert short-term pressure on gold.
However, November CPI decline increases expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates soon → medium-term is a supportive factor for gold.
CME FedWatch: probability of holding rates steady in January ~73.3%, probability of a 25bps cut ~26.6% → the market remains very sensitive to data, easy to "sweep both ends".
Which scenario are you leaning towards: pullback to 4304 to buy, or up to 4346 to sell reaction?
IMS | Bullish Pennant in PlayIMS is shaping a bullish pennant , signaling a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend. A confirmed breakout could drive price toward the 24 zone , where initial resistance may trigger brief rejection or profit-taking. Sustained strength above this level is likely to unlock further upside toward 26 , while the pattern’s measured projection points toward 28 . On the risk side, 20 remains a critical invalidation level —a break below this mark would negate the pennant structure and may lead to accelerated downside. Momentum favors the bulls, but discipline on risk management is key.
DOGE – Downtrend Channel + Bearish Head & Shoulders BreakdownDogecoin continues to move inside a large multi-year descending channel, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. Recently, the chart has formed a clear bearish Head and Shoulders pattern , which has already broken down and is currently playing out.
At this stage, I expect a small relief retest toward the $0.15–$0.175 zone , which corresponds to the broken neckline area. If this retest confirms resistance, DOGE may enter a deeper correction phase.
The main downside target lies at the $0.04–$0.03 zone , aligned with the lower boundary of the long-term descending channel.
From this area, I expect the beginning of a new bullish cycle for DOGE, potentially initiating a macro trend reversal.
Future bullish targets:
$0.80–$1.00
$1.70–$2.20
How Emotions Destroy Profitable TradersHow Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders
🧠 How Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders | Trading Psychology Explained
Most traders don’t fail because of strategy.
They fail because they can’t control emotions.
Even a profitable system becomes useless when emotions take control of decision-making. Let’s break it down 👇
😨 Fear: The Profit Killer
Fear appears after losses or during volatility.
What fear causes:
Closing trades too early
Missing high-probability setups
Moving stop losses emotionally
📉 Result: Small wins, big regrets.
Fear stops traders from letting probabilities play out.
😤 Greed: The Account Destroyer
Greed appears after wins.
What greed causes:
Overleveraging
Ignoring risk management
Holding trades too long
📈 Traders want “more” and end up losing everything.
Greed turns discipline into gambling.
😡 Revenge Trading: The Fastest Way to Blow an Account
After a loss, many traders try to win it back quickly.
Revenge trading leads to:
Random entries
No confirmations
Breaking trading rules
🔥 One emotional trade often leads to many bad trades.
🤯 Overconfidence After Wins
Winning streaks create false confidence.
Overconfidence causes:
Larger position sizes
Ignoring market context
Believing losses “won’t happen”
Markets punish ego — always.
😴 Impatience: Silent Consistency Killer
Good trades require waiting.
Impatience leads to:
Forcing setups
Trading low-quality zones
Entering without confirmation
⏳ The market rewards patience, not speed.
🧘♂️ How Profitable Traders Control Emotions
Professional traders don’t eliminate emotions — they manage them.
Key habits:
Fixed risk per trade
Pre-planned entries & exits
Accepting losses as part of business
Waiting for confirmation
Trading less, not more
🧠 Discipline > Emotion
📊 Process > Outcome
📌 Final Thought
If emotions control your trades, the market will control your money.
Master your psychology, and your strategy will finally work.
Trade the plan.
Respect risk.
Stay patient.
The Hidden Signal of the Rectangle PatternWhat Is the Rectangle Pattern?
The Rectangle Pattern is one of the classic technical analysis patterns. It forms when the market enters a consolidation or ranging phase. Price moves between a horizontal support and a horizontal resistance, and the market hasn’t decided which direction to move yet.
🧠 Simple Concept
Buyers prevent price from dropping below support
Sellers prevent price from rising above resistance
Result: Price oscillates inside a horizontal box 📦
This phase usually happens before a strong move.
📐 Structure of the Rectangle Pattern
For the pattern to be valid, we usually need:
At least 2 touches on resistance
At least 2 touches on support
Lines should be mostly horizontal (not sloped)
🔄 Types of Rectangle Patterns
1️⃣ Continuation Rectangle (Most Common)
Forms after a strong trend
Market takes a breather 😮💨
After the breakout, the previous trend continues
📈 Uptrend → Breakout upward
📉 Downtrend → Breakout downward
2️⃣ Reversal Rectangle (Less Common)
Breakout happens against the prior trend
Requires strong confirmation
🚪 How to Identify a Valid Breakout?
A good breakout should have:
🕯 Candle close outside the range
📊 Increase in volume
🔁 Preferably a pullback to the broken level
⚠️ A wick-only breakout is not valid.
🎯 Price Target of the Rectangle Pattern
Very simple calculation:
Rectangle Height = Resistance − Support
Project the same distance from the breakout point.
📌 Example:
Support: 100
Resistance: 120
Height: 20
🔼 Bullish breakout → Target = 140
🔽 Bearish breakout → Target = 80
🛑 Stop Loss Placement
Bullish breakout 📈 → SL below former resistance
Bearish breakout 📉 → SL above former support
Or:
Behind the last swing high/low inside the rectangle
🧩 Role of Volume
Low volume inside the rectangle → Healthy consolidation ✅
High volume on breakout → Pattern confirmation 💪
Breakout without volume → Suspicious ❌
⏱ Best Timeframes
The pattern appears on all timeframes, but works best on:
1H
4H
Daily
⚠️ Very low timeframes = more fake breakouts
❌ Common Trader Mistakes
Entering before the breakout
Ignoring volume
No stop loss
Trading inside the box 😬
✅ Golden Tips for Success
Be patient and wait for the breakout 🧘
Always confirm with volume
Pullbacks offer the safest entries
Risk-to-reward should be at least 1:2
🧠 Professional Rectangle Trading Strategies
🎯 Entry Methods
1️⃣ Aggressive Entry
Enter immediately after breakout candle closes
Suitable for strong momentum markets
Higher risk, faster profit
📌 Best for experienced traders
2️⃣ Conservative Entry (Recommended)
Wait for pullback to the broken level
Enter after price confirmation
Higher win rate ✅
📌 Best choice for most traders
🧯 What Is a Fake Breakout & How to Avoid It?
A fake breakout happens when price briefly exits the rectangle and quickly returns inside 😵
Warning Signs:
❌ No volume
❌ No candle close outside the range
❌ Breakout against higher-timeframe trend
Professional Solution:
Wait for candle close
Confirm with Volume or RSI
Enter on pullback, not the first impulse
📊 Trade Management
🎯 Multi-Target Strategy
Instead of one target:
TP1 = 50% of rectangle height
TP2 = 100% of rectangle height
Trail the remaining position
📈 This reduces psychological pressure
🛑 Smart Stop Loss Techniques
Advanced methods include:
Above/below breakout candle
Behind VWAP or EMA 20/50
ATR-based stop (volatility-based)
🧩 Combining Rectangle Pattern with Other Tools
📉 With RSI
Bullish breakout + RSI above 50 → Strong confirmation
Divergence inside rectangle → Trend change warning
📈 With EMAs
Price above EMA 50 → Long bias
Price below EMA 50 → Short bias
📊 With Volume Profile
Breakout from High-Volume Area → More reliable
⏳ Higher Timeframe Analysis (Top-Down)
Before entering a trade:
Identify the higher-timeframe trend
Align the rectangle breakout with it
📌 Rectangle against the major trend = higher risk ⚠️
🧪 Real Trade Scenario Example
Overall trend: Bullish
Rectangle forms on 4H
Low volume inside the box
Bullish breakout with volume
Pullback to broken resistance
🎯 Long entry | SL below box | TP = rectangle height
❌ Even Pros Make These Mistakes
Overtrading inside ranges
Drawing the rectangle too wide
Ignoring major news events
Risking more than 1–2% per trade
✅ Golden Pre-Trade Checklist
☑️ At least 2 touches on support & resistance
☑️ Low volume inside the rectangle
☑️ Breakout with candle close
☑️ Aligned with higher-timeframe trend
☑️ Risk-to-reward ≥ 1:2
📌 Final Summary
The Rectangle Pattern means:
“The market is building energy” ⚡️
If you:
Stay patient
Filter fake breakouts
Follow proper risk management
This pattern can become one of the most reliable tools in your trading system 🚀
DeGRAM | GOLD formed an ascending wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is capped below a descending resistance line near 4,340–4,350, where multiple intraday highs failed, forming a lower-high structure. The latest bounce lost momentum inside a rising corrective channel, signaling exhaustion.
● Price is rolling over from resistance and drifting back toward key support at 4,300–4,280. A breakdown below the rising support line would confirm short-term bearish continuation toward the lower support zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold faces pressure from firmer US yields and reduced safe-haven demand as markets reassess near-term rate expectations.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 4,340–4,350. Key supports: 4,300 and 4,280. Rejection from resistance keeps downside risk dominant.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
NZD/CAD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CAD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.797 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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ETH/USD SHORT TRADE CHART SETUP ANALYSISTrade Idea (Sell Setup)
As drawn on your chart:
Sell Entry: 2,950 – 2,960
Stop Loss: Above supply → 3,035 – 3,045
Target: 2,825 – 2,840
Reasons for Sell
1. Overall downtrend after a strong bearish impulse.
2. Price retraced into a supply zone.
3. Rejection wicks near entry area.
4. Structure shows lower high.
5. Target aligns with previous lows / demand.
Gold Near Triangle Top — Correction Phase IncomingBased on yesterday’s U.S. economic data, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) failed to post a significant bullish move.
At the moment, Gold appears to be trading within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern and is currently moving near the upper lines of this pattern.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Gold has completed a Double Three corrective structure near the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle.
In addition, a Regular Bearish Divergence (RD−) can be observed between the two most recent highs, which weakens the bullish momentum.
I expect that Gold will at least decline toward the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle. If these lower lines are broken, we could even anticipate a breakdown below the Support zone($4,265-$4,240).
First Target: Lower lines of symmetrical triangle
Second Target: Support zone($4,265-$4,240)
Stop Loss(SL): $4,357
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
SR3 (SOFR 3 Month) Finds Balance After a Multi-Year DowntrendBackground: What is SR3 and what drives it?
SR3 refers to the three month SOFR futures contract. SOFR, or the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, represents the cost of overnight borrowing collateralized by US Treasuries. The three month SOFR future prices in the market’s expectation of average SOFR over a future three month period, making it one of the cleanest instruments for expressing interest rate expectations tied to Federal Reserve policy.
This instrument is primarily used by institutions to hedge short term interest rate exposure and to speculate on the future path of monetary policy. Because of this, SR3 is highly sensitive to macro data, Federal Reserve communication, inflation prints, labor market data, and shifts in risk sentiment. When markets expect easing, SR3 prices tend to rise. When expectations move toward higher for longer policy, prices tend to fall.
Since 2022, the dominant narrative has been centered around aggressive tightening followed by a prolonged restrictive stance. That narrative has kept SR3 in a broader downtrend. More recently, sentiment has shifted toward patience and data dependence rather than urgency in either direction. This has resulted in compression, balance, and range trade as participants wait for clarity on the next policy inflection.
What the Market Has Done
• The market has been in a downtrend since 2022 but has found a base with strong responsive selling at 96.575 and responsive buying at 96.325. This has formed a defined daily range that has contained price since June.
• From August to October, the market traded in a two way rotation with higher highs and higher lows. Buyers stepped up bids and were able to push price marginally higher, but each test of the 96.58 area was met with responsive selling that capped continuation.
• Toward the end of October, buyers failed to defend the higher lows. Price rotated back down into bid block one in the 96.42 to 96.37 area, where buyers successfully held price through mid November, establishing what is now bid block two.
• Sellers gained slight control as they were able to offer prices back down toward the lower end of the range near 96.325.
• The market performed a liquidity check below this level, but responsive buyers quickly stepped in and bid price back up through the daily range.
• Price is currently repairing the October 29 single print and is now trading between the established offer block and bid block two.
What to Expect in the Coming Week
The key level to watch remains 96.52, which sits near the upper portion of the current balance area and acts as a decision point.
Bullish scenario
• If the market is able to accept above the 96.52 area, continuation toward 96.575 becomes likely.
• A further extension toward 96.6125, which marks the October 17 high, is possible.
• Responsive selling is expected in this region.
• Failure to sustain trade above these levels would likely result in rotation back down into the range.
Neutral scenario
• In the absence of a meaningful news catalyst, a two way auction remains the highest probability outcome.
• Price could continue rotating between the offer block and bid block one.
• This rotation would serve to further repair the October 29 single print and the associated low volume area.
Bearish scenario
• If 96.435, which marks the high of bid block two, fails to hold, expect a sweep through bid block two.
• This would open the door for a revisit of the lower range boundary near 96.32.
• Responsive buyers are expected to defend this area based on prior behavior.
Conclusion
SR3 appears to have found a base and shifted from a structural downtrend into a period of sideways accumulation. Price has settled into a well defined range as market participants balance expectations around monetary policy and incoming data. Recent Federal Reserve commentary supports this shift in sentiment. The Fed has delivered multiple rate cuts this year and appears cautious about future moves, signaling a more data dependent approach and a potential pause after the most recent easing cycle, which aligns with range trade rather than directional conviction. Markets are pricing in additional easing but Fed officials have shown clear disagreement on the timing and pace of future cuts, which has dampened strong trend conviction and encouraged balancing action in rate sensitive instruments like SR3. Some officials have publicly indicated that further rate cuts could be warranted if economic conditions soften, while others have urged caution, emphasizing the need for clearer labor market and inflation signals before making additional adjustments. This split messaging has contributed to a neutral market structure where price oscillates within value rather than trending strongly higher or lower.
Interested in how others are mapping Fed communication and data dependency onto this range, and what catalysts you see as capable of breaking this structure. Please drop a comment and give a boost so that more from the community can join in the conversation. Thank you.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk.
NZDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.791.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.797 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTCUSD-Bearish Structure Forming on Bitcoin – Patience RequiredMy analysis on Bitcoin today might get some negative comments from those who are holding BTC or are in long positions. However, from my perspective, I see a bearish pattern forming in line with the main trend. If this pattern gets activated, it could push the price down toward the $75,000 area — although it’s still too early for that level to be reached.
For now, my expectation is a period of consolidation (compression) first, followed by a potential downside move.
EURUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1711
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1738
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Bullish Continuation Toward 1.17802Quick Summary
After the recent strong rally, EURUSD is expected to continue higher following a brief corrective move. The pair has not yet reached 1.17802, which remains a valid upside target. A pullback toward the H1 orderblock at 1.17080, aligned with the 61 Fibonacci level, may provide a solid buy opportunity if a clear reversal signal appears.
Full Analysis
EURUSD has delivered a strong bullish move recently, confirming sustained buying pressure in the market. Despite this strength, EURUSD has not yet reached the key level at 1.17802, which remains an active target within the current bullish structure.
Before continuing toward this level, a short term correction is likely. This pullback is expected to bring price into the H1 orderblock around 1.17080. The importance of this zone is reinforced by its alignment with the 61 Fibonacci retracement, making it a technically strong area for potential demand.
The preferred approach is not to buy the level blindly. A clear reversal signal or rejection from the orderblock is required to confirm that buyers are stepping back in. If such a reaction appears, the correction would likely be complete, opening the path for EURUSD to resume its upward move and continue toward 1.17802.
Sui (SUI): Each Start of Pump Been Different | Looking For Pump!SUI might be forming for the 3rd time the pattern that previously has been giving us a decent upside movement.
Now the start of the pump is hard to determine, as it has always been different but the pattern remains the same. As price currently has formed some kind of supportive zone, we are expecting to see a decent breakout to form from here, which would then lead the price to upper zones.
The first target is going to be the EMAs, which, upon seeing a breakout from, will be our second confirmation where we could open another long position (until the next break of local top)
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GBPCAD: False breakout from support opens the door to upsideGBPCAD: False breakout from support opens the door to upside
GBPCAD once again reacted strongly from the key support zone, confirming it as a major demand area. As highlighted on the chart, price briefly broke support below but quickly recovered, creating a false breakout — a classic sign of trapped sellers and potential bullish continuation.
This support zone has been respected multiple times in the past, and the latest rejection strengthens the case for a short-term upside move. As long as price holds above the 1.8380–1.8400 area, buyers remain in control.
If bullish momentum continues, the first upside target sits around 1.8490, followed by a higher target near 1.8550. However, volatility remains elevated, so patience and proper risk management are essential.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
BITCOIN BTCUSDT HISTORY OF BITCOIN.
Bitcoin is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency, created in 2008 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto as a peer-to-peer electronic cash system.
Core Technology
It operates on a public blockchain—a distributed ledger recording all transactions across a network of nodes—secured by cryptography and consensus mechanisms like proof-of-work mining. Users store BTC in digital wallets, sending value directly without banks via private keys and hashed addresses.
Key Features
Bitcoin's fixed supply caps at 21 million coins, released through halvings every four years, fostering scarcity. It enables borderless, pseudonymous transfers, resisting censorship, with miners validating blocks roughly every 10 minutes for new BTC rewards.
KEY MILESTONE
The network launched in January 3, 2009, with the genesis block mined, embedding a headline criticizing bank bailouts. The first transaction occurred January 12, 2009, sending 10 BTC to Hal Finney, followed by Bitcoin Pizza Day on May 22, 2010, when 10,000 BTC bought two pizzas.
the structure of the market points to more sell discount and if you see 44k-55k zone dont be surprised.
market structure never lies.
#bitcoin #btc
GOODLUCK






















