USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 60.87
Target Level: 55.71
Stop Loss: 64.31
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Chart Patterns
TMPV Breakout Loading | 17% Swing & 53% Intrinsic PotentialBias: 🔵 Bullish – breakout accumulation phase ( opportunity for anticipation )
Volatility Trigger: Nov 14th Results Day
Potential: 17% swing | 53% intrinsic upside
After months of sideways action, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd (TATAMPV) is finally showing signs of strength.
The stock has formed a rounding bottom + triangle consolidation — a classic Cup & Handle structure — with the worst likely behind as we head into results on Nov 14th.
Q2 results on Nov 14 are expected to bring volatility, but the setup indicates accumulation and base formation are complete.
Margins may stabilise, and the PV segment strength could trigger a breakout before or immediately after results.
This structure suggests volatility = opportunity.
A strong close above ₹440 can open the gates for the next leg toward ₹490 and later ₹640+ as the full pattern plays out.
Long SolanaTrading Fam,
Received a buy signal from my indicator on Solana the other day. Inside a nice liquidity block, above the 200/350 SMA, and inside a bullish triangle. I'll easily take this trade all day. But with the crypto market continually disappointing, I am not going to risk more than an 8% loss here. Shooting for a target of around 32% profits brings my rrr to a 1:4. Best of luck!
✌️Stew
GOLD Short-Term Pullback 🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders)
(Last update: September 23, 2025 – data not refreshed due to the CFTC shutdown)
Gold (COMEX)
Non-commercial longs: 332,808 (+6,030)
Non-commercial shorts: 66,059 (+5,691)
→ The latest available data (outdated) showed an increase in both positions, with a stronger rise on the long side — indicating institutional accumulation in late September ahead of the October rally.
Although outdated, the COT report still reflects a mildly bullish structure, but no longer captures the current market dynamics after recent volatility.
🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning)
58% long / 42% short
📌 Retail traders remain moderately long on gold. This supports a short-term contrarian bearish bias, aligning with the ongoing corrective move in price.
🔹 Seasonality
Historically, October and November tend to be statistically bullish months for gold, with average gains between +2% and +4% over 10–20-year periods.
📌 Seasonal conclusion: the context remains bullish on a seasonal basis, with potential for recovery once the current correction stabilizes.
🔹 Price Action
After the strong bullish impulse that pushed XAU/USD into the 4,350–4,400 area, price entered a phase of consolidation/distribution.
Current structure shows:
Key resistance: 4,250–4,300
Main demand zone: 3,950–3,900
RSI remains neutral but continues to lose momentum, consistent with a possible minor bearish leg before a new bullish wave.
🎯 Main Scenario:
Expecting a continuation of the corrective phase toward 3,950–3,900, aligning with the daily demand area and a likely institutional reaccumulation zone.
From there, a potential bullish resumption could emerge within November’s seasonal strength.
⚙️ Invalidation: daily close below 3,850, which would compromise the medium-term bullish structure.
Gold Technical Outlook: Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?Market Context
Gold recently hit fresh all-time highs near $4,400 in mid-October after dovish comments from the Federal Reserve, but has since paused as traders digest the news. The price is consolidating around the $4,000 area, with bulls and bears locked in a tug-of-war, creating a crucial juncture for gold’s short-term trend.
Technical Breakdown
• Trend:
Gold had been climbing steadily along a rising support trendline , but that line has now been broken . This signals that the recent uptrend may be on hold or reversing in the near term.
• Resistances:
The chart shows a classic double-top pattern , with peaks around 4,210–4,225 . After retesting this zone and failing, sellers took control. There’s also a minor resistance zone near 4,040 , which capped a recent bounce.
In short, bulls must reclaim 4,040 first, a breakout above this would open the path toward 4,210–4,225 .
• Support:
Key support lies near 3,914 . This level held strong during earlier pullbacks even after the trendline broke.
If gold retests 3,914 and holds, it could provide a solid base for buyers, but a decisive break below it would confirm downside continuation.
• RSI (Momentum):
The 14-period RSI is hovering near 50 , showing a neutral stance. We can observe both bearish divergence (as price formed a double top while RSI made a lower high) and bullish divergence (as RSI formed higher lows while price dipped).
This mix of signals means momentum is indecisive , traders should wait for confirmation.
What to Watch Next
1. Price Reaction at Key Levels
Watch how price reacts around 4,040 and 3,914 .
A break and hold above 4,040 could shift short-term momentum bullish, targeting 4,210–4,225 .
A rejection or breakdown below 3,914 could trigger further selling pressure.
2. RSI Confirmation
A sustained move of RSI above 50 supports bullish momentum, especially if price also rises.
Conversely, a drop below 45–40 would reinforce bearish sentiment.
If price breaks above the double top and RSI makes a higher high , bearish divergence is invalidated, confirming strength.
But if price breaks below support and RSI follows with new lows , the bullish divergence fails, favoring sellers.
Summary
Gold’s short-term trend depends on how it reacts at these key levels (4,040 and 3,914) .
The market is at a decision point, either breakout or breakdown.
Combining price structure with RSI confirmation can help traders stay aligned with the next impulsive move.
Analysis by @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trade responsibly with proper risk management.
Technical analysis for ETH nov 2025There is a historic fair value gap between 3700 and 4300 which the recent drop from 4300 is moving inside. We see four well defined bases and rallies starting from the historically established 3700 level, Looking to the williams vix fix we see moderately strong buying at the 3700 level.
The expectation would be that we see an immediate rally back to the rally neckline at 3900 but it's also reasonable to see a lot of ranging between the current price (3800) and the 100hr moving average. This is because the market must establish more confidence in the rally neckline before moving higher. Once a base at 4000 is established we'll see a medium term-fair value gap fill back to 4300.
ETC its now or neverA lot of speculation that these dino coins are dead and its just hype on peoples minds i will give you my bullish look so you can choose .we clearly have bullish divergence on the rsi and macd but are seeing lower lows so which is it? i believe after 5 year of consolidation in a triangle pattern its more probable we will see a test to to highs breakout of the 5 year triangle
VTHOUSDT - Final Accumulation or Start of Capitulation?After nearly four years of continuous decline, VTHO has once again returned to a make-or-break zone — a strong demand area between 0.00109 – 0.00085.
This zone isn’t just a price range; it’s the final line of defense for buyers, which previously saved the market from a major breakdown in mid-2023 and early 2024.
But this time looks different — the latest weekly candle shows a deep wick below support, signaling a massive liquidity sweep and a possible re-accumulation phase if price manages to hold.
If not, the next scenario could be a final capitulation toward the all-time low around 0.00052.
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Structure & Pattern
Primary Trend: Persistent bearish since 2021, though price now sits within a macro support zone.
Major Pattern: Potential double bottom / accumulation base if price closes above 0.00085 with a strong weekly candle.
Previous Price Behavior: Several strong rallies (+100–200%) have started from this same zone, but each failed to break through the 0.0022–0.0028 resistance range.
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Bullish Scenario (Potential Reversal)
Weekly candle holds and closes above 0.00109, showing that buyers are defending the zone.
Rising volume confirms accumulation and may trigger a relief rally toward:
Target 1: 0.00170 — minor resistance & initial reaction zone.
Target 2: 0.00220 — light distribution area.
Target 3: 0.00280 — confirmation of a local trend reversal.
Final target: 0.00525 — key profit-taking zone if the macro reversal unfolds.
If the double bottom pattern confirms, VTHO could enter a mid-term recovery phase, pushing above the psychological 0.003 level.
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Bearish Scenario (Further Breakdown)
A weekly close below 0.00085 would confirm that the long-term support has failed.
The yellow zone then flips into a supply zone (retest resistance).
Downside continuation would likely target 0.00052, the historical low and final support line.
A breakdown below 0.00052 would mark total capitulation, opening the door to new price discovery to the downside.
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Market Outlook & Perspective
VTHO stands in a high-stakes phase, where a single weekly candle could decide the direction of the next several months.
The long wick below support suggests that the market is testing the conviction of long-term holders.
If the zone holds — the strongest hands will be rewarded.
But if it breaks, the market will write a new chapter in VTHO’s long downtrend.
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#VTHO #VTHOUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #CryptoUpdate #CryptoReversal #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #CryptoChart
RUSSELL 25-year Channel Up giving a Sell Signal soon.Russell 2000 (RUT) has been trading within a 25-year Channel Up since the March 2000 High, which was the Top of the A.I. Bubble. Since then it only broke once during the 2008 Housing Crisis. Once recovered, it has used all standard macro levels of Support as short, medium and long-term buy entries respectively, with those being the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line).
The April 2025 rebound, which is the market's most recent rally, took place right on the 1M MA100. The index is however approaching the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up, which since the 2000 High, has provided almost all rejection points, being the strongest Sell Signal (exception 2021, which was the mega-pump recovery following the March 2020 COVID flash crash).
As you can see, the market has historically started a correction on the 2nd test/ rejection on the 0.236 Fib. Out of those 3 corrections, two of them took place after the index broke above the 0.236 Fib and one just below it. All however have pulled-back to at least the 0.382 (blue) Fib. The key here however is to determine the exact High so that you can draw the 0.382 Fib retracement.
The only condition that most likely won't be fulfilled (as it happened on all previous cases), is that the 1M RSI most likely won't break above the 70.00 overbought level before the correction happens. So there's question mark there.
As for our Target, we expect at least 2230 (Fib 0.382) to get hit around mid 2026.
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40% November Candle coming!!!Welcome to the second part of my thesis. This section takes a short-term view of price action. Several key factors support a +40% ETH rally in November, let's break them down:
LIQUIDITY: The past two months have delivered choppy price action. ETH repeatedly swept prior lows while failing to print higher highs. This reinforces short-term bearish sentiment, yet the long-term uptrend remains intact. Such consolidation is classic liquidity engineering in a bull market, its sole purpose is to harvest stops and shake out weak hands.
Key KPI: Record Liquidations – Over $2.1B in total crypto liquidations since September (per Coinglass), with $1.4B longs wiped in October alone—the highest two-month cascade on record. This flushed leveraged bulls and primed sideline capital. Short-term sentiment is now deeply pessimistic (Fear & Greed Index at 25), positioning the market for a mean-reversion squeeze.
I don’t expect a vertical moonshot. A steady grind of fifteen +3% days (average daily gain needed: 1.8%) compounds to +40% by month-end—entirely achievable in a low volatility breakout.
INCREASING SHORT INTEREST: Crypto is a short-horizon arena dominated by retail and algo traders. Prolonged sideways action erodes conviction, pushing participants to flip bearish out of boredom. Rising short interest creates upside liquidity pools—the market always hunts the crowd.
Key KPI: Perpetual futures funding rates flipped negative (-0.05% 8h avg on Binance/Bybit) for the first time since July, while open interest rose 12% amid flat price. Uptober bulls are capitulating; short interest hit a 3-month high (45% of OI on major exchanges). Exhaustion of sell pressure is imminent.
HIGHER LOW: ETH defended the mid October low on multiple retests, forming a clear higher low on the daily timeframe. This signals bearish momentum exhaustion, dips are now absorption zones, not breakdowns.
In summary: Extreme liquidations have cleared the runway, negative funding rates stack shorts for a squeeze, and structural higher lows prove demand dominance. November’s catalyst stack (Pectra + post-election clarity) meets a technically washed-out market. The +40% move isn’t hope, it’s probability.
BUYTRUMP had a huge fall which it recovered from almost immediately by starting a bullish move upwards. When you switch from candle stick mode to line chart, you are able to eliminate the noise of the wick and there after see the bullish wedge pattern that has been formed.
There was a clear retest at 8.188 and one can take there but position now and set their take profit to 15.758.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4134 and a gap below at 4090. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4134
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4134 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4174 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4236
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4288
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4288 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4360
BEARISH TARGETS
4090
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4090 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4042
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4042 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4122
4075
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4075 WILL OPEN THE SECONDAARY SWING RANGE
3987
3939
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Scalp Long – WIF💎 Scalp Long – WIF
RSI is in the buying zone, and price has broken out of the short-term downtrend, confirming bullish momentum.
Buying volume is rising sharply, with capital flowing back into meme coins, strengthening the long bias.
🎯 Plan:
→ Enter after confirmation of breakout continuation.
→ TP: 0.568 | SL: 0.494 | RR: 1 : 2.52
Momentum supports the long side.
Keep entries tight, trail SL as price climbs.
Stay disciplined — only engage when the setup confirms.
retracement ?$3,500!With the reduction of international tensions and geopolitical risks in the last days of 2025 and of course the end of the fiscal year of international banks and financial institutions, as well as large companies in international stock markets, I think we can expect a two- or three-month break and price correction in the global gold price. The specified range can be re-tested by the average price.
FLNC 1D – The power comeback!On the daily chart, Fluence Energy (FLNC) shows a clean cup and handle formation followed by a golden cross (MA50 crossing above MA200) - a textbook bullish reversal setup.
Price broke out of the structure and is now pulling back into the buy zone ($14.57–$16.80) - a confluence of Fibonacci support and previous resistance.
✅ Golden cross confirms trend reversal
✅ Rising volume supports the move
✅ MAs below price - bulls are in control
The first target sits near $27.43, while the second projection extends to $40.28 if momentum continues.
Fundamentally, Fluence remains a leader in energy storage and grid technology - a hot spot for global investment as the renewable sector accelerates.
Let’s just say - this chart looks fully charged ⚡️
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish After Break Detected Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
Confidence Level: ★★★★★ ( Hanzo Volume Detected )
☄️ Bearish After Break Out 4005
Reasons
1. Alpha Sequence Engaged
— Smart flow detected within Hanzo precision range.
2. Volume Window Synced
— Session energy aligns with internal volume pulse.
3. Liquidity Cycle Active
— Engineered sweep confirms smart money transition.
4. Time Lock Confirmed
— Market phase locked with directional intent.
5. Volume Map Aligned
— Cluster balance reveals real directional flow.
6. Hanzo Wick Detected
— Manipulation wick verified under Alpha filter.
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EURUSD NEYORK BUY FLOOR ECB Rate vs Federal Funds Rate
ECB Main Refinancing Rate: 2.15%
US Federal Funds Rate: Approximately 3.75% to 4.00% (per recent Fed policy decisions)
The US Federal Reserve continues to maintain a notably higher interest rate level than the ECB, roughly a 1.5-2.0 percentage point differential.
The Eurozone economy grows modestly and Inflation has stabilized near the ECB's 2% target. Despite global trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, the Eurozone exhibits economic resilience supported by a robust labor market and solid private sector balance sheets.
United States:
The US economy is experiencing slower growth compared to earlier years, impacted by prior tariff implementations and other headwinds. Inflation remains elevated but gradually moderating, supporting a cautious Federal Reserve stance to balance growth and price stability.
the dollar index bridged a 4hr resistance and turn it to support despite rate cut by feds and this buy indication sent euro selling off.
on technical we are at DEMANDfloor now, hopes it buy .
#eurusd
$ASTER 4HSEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:ASTER 4H Analysis
After forming a clean Cup & Handle pattern, price has been consolidating within a descending triangle near the $1 zone.
Momentum indicators show a bullish divergence, suggesting potential reversal.
A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline could trigger the next bullish leg toward $1.30–$1.50.
Failure to hold the $0.95–$1.00 support range would invalidate the short-term bullish setup.
Pattern remains constructive as long as the base holds.






















