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AUDUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D16 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D16 | Y25| 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
ATA/USDT — Historical Support: Major Accumulation or Breakdown?Overview: ATA/USDT has been in a long-term downtrend since 2021, consistently printing lower highs as selling pressure dominates. However, the market is now showing signs of a critical consolidation phase around the historical support zone at 0.028 – 0.044 (yellow box). This area has acted as a major demand zone multiple times, making it a key battleground to determine whether ATA is preparing for a potential accumulation base before a trend reversal, or if a deeper bearish continuation is on the horizon. --- 🔍 Pattern & Price Structure Analysis 1. Key Support (0.028 – 0.044): Tested multiple times since 2022. Long wicks suggest strong buying liquidity emerges here. If it holds, this area may become the foundation for accumulation. 2. Major Resistance Levels: 0.0683 → the first key breakout level that must be reclaimed. 0.1844 – 0.3800 → mid-term targets if momentum builds. 0.7097 – 1.6322 → long-term recovery targets if a full reversal occurs. 3. Chart Pattern: Long-term descending structure since 2021. Now forming a horizontal range at the bottom, which can be read as a descending triangle or an early accumulation phase. Volatility compression indicates the market is waiting for a major breakout catalyst. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario Confirmation: Weekly close above 0.0683 + successful retest. Short-term target: 0.0683 (first breakout checkpoint). Mid-term target: 0.1844 → potential +300% from current levels. Long-term targets: 0.3800 and even 0.7097 if strong momentum follows. Bullish narrative: A breakout here would shift structure from downtrend to trend reversal, potentially leading to a parabolic phase. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario Confirmation: Weekly close below 0.035 – 0.028. Downside target: Fresh lows below 0.028, opening uncharted territory without strong historical support. Bearish narrative: A breakdown would signal buyer exhaustion, leading to potential capitulation and deeper downside. --- 🧠 Strategy Notes Conservative approach: Wait for breakout >0.0683 to confirm a trend reversal before entering. Aggressive approach: DCA entries around 0.035 – 0.044 with disciplined stop-loss (e.g., <0.028). Risk management: Crucial here, as the broader trend remains bearish until a breakout confirms otherwise. --- ✨ Conclusion ATA/USDT is at a make-or-break level. Will this historical support zone serve as the foundation for a major accumulation phase that sparks a multi-month bullish reversal, or will it break down into new lows? The answer will likely unfold in the coming weekly candles. Watch 0.0683 above and 0.028 below as the key decision levels. --- #ATAUSDT #Crypto #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Accumulation #Breakout #BearishOrBullish #CryptoStrategy #SupportAndResistance
Long
by CryptoNuclear
USD/JPY: Sideways within 146.80–148.00Hi everyone, let’s do a quick analysis of USD/JPY today. At the moment, the pair is moving sideways quite clearly within the 146.80 – 148.00 range. The 148.00 level is still acting as a solid resistance, repeatedly pushing price back down. Meanwhile, the support around 146.80 – 147.00 has been holding firm several times, showing that buyers are not giving up easily either. What I’m paying attention to are the Fair Value Gap (FVG) areas on the chart – price tends to retrace and fill these gaps, so short-term traders may want to keep an eye on that. In addition, trading volume spiked at the end of August but has since cooled off, suggesting momentum isn’t strong enough yet for a decisive breakout. On the news front, signals are mixed: US CPI and PPI have eased, leading the market to expect Fed rate cuts → bearish for USD, bullish for JPY. On the other hand, Japan’s economic data hasn’t been very positive, which weakens confidence in the Yen. As a result, the pair remains stuck in this sideways range for now. In the short term, I lean toward the sideways scenario, unless strong news from the Fed or BOJ triggers a clear breakout. If price keeps ranging, there’s a good chance it will revisit and fill the gap near the closest support. What do you think – will USD/JPY break above 148.00 first, or dip below 146.80? Drop your thoughts in the comments so we can discuss!
by EmmaChartist
4
SOL There is No time to Give up! Change your life now!The initial target is to break 255 then 295-300 to break the all time high, then it will immediately fly to 420 - 450, here will start crazy volatility until 600 and above, then retail will enliven the Sol market, the price you need to be aware of is the price above 1000 - 1300 USD, because it is possible to get there, but volatility will be very fast, therefore the target price that we need to secure is around 600-800, for me I will aim for 630-730 from what I have analyzed. Notes: FED CUT RATES SOLANA FIREDANCER SEEKR SOLANA ETF EARLY OCTOBER PEACE WORLD UKRAINE_RUSSIA FOMC CUT RATES TIL 1% thank you and good luck
Long
by LaurentWilvyne
Global Recession & Its Impact on Stock Markets1. Introduction A recession is like a pause button in the economy. It’s a period when growth slows, businesses struggle, unemployment rises, and people cut back on spending. When this happens on a global scale, it’s called a global recession. Such downturns don’t just affect jobs and incomes; they ripple through financial markets, especially stock markets. Stock markets are sensitive because they reflect future expectations. When investors sense trouble ahead—lower profits, declining consumer demand, tightening credit—they react quickly, often leading to steep market declines. But history also shows that recessions, though painful, open doors to opportunities. This article explores how global recessions shape stock markets, looking at causes, impacts, sector-wise dynamics, investor psychology, and strategies for navigating downturns. 2. Understanding Global Recession A global recession occurs when the world economy, measured by international organizations like the IMF or World Bank, faces widespread decline. Typically, it is defined by: A fall in global GDP growth below 2.5%. Significant declines in industrial production, trade, and employment. Synchronized slowdowns across multiple major economies. Unlike local recessions, which affect only one country, global recessions hit supply chains, trade flows, commodity prices, and investments worldwide. 3. Causes of Global Recessions Several factors trigger global recessions: Financial Crises – Banking collapses, credit crunches, or housing bubbles (e.g., 2008 subprime crisis). Geopolitical Tensions – Wars, sanctions, or political instability disrupting global trade. Energy Shocks – Surging oil prices in the 1970s led to worldwide stagflation. Pandemics – COVID-19 in 2020 shut down global economies almost overnight. Monetary Tightening – Central banks raising interest rates aggressively to fight inflation. Trade Wars – Tariffs and protectionism disrupting supply chains. Most recessions are a mix of these factors, magnified by globalization. 4. Historical Lessons a) The Great Depression (1929–1939) Triggered by the U.S. stock market crash of 1929. Global trade collapsed by 65%. Unemployment soared, banks failed, and stock markets lost 80–90% of value. Lesson: Over-leveraged financial systems and lack of government intervention deepen downturns. b) The Global Financial Crisis (2008) Rooted in the U.S. housing bubble and subprime mortgage lending. Major banks collapsed (Lehman Brothers), requiring government bailouts. Stock markets worldwide fell 40–60%. Lesson: Global financial systems are interconnected; one country’s banking crisis spreads rapidly. c) COVID-19 Pandemic (2020) Global lockdowns disrupted supply chains, travel, and production. Stock markets crashed sharply in March 2020, but stimulus packages led to a record rebound. Lesson: Policy response (fiscal + monetary) can shape recovery speed. 5. How Recessions Affect Stock Markets Stock markets respond to future expectations more than current conditions. Recessions affect them through: Corporate Earnings Decline – Consumers spend less → companies earn less → stock valuations drop. Credit Crunch – Higher borrowing costs and limited liquidity hurt expansion plans. Investor Sentiment – Fear leads to panic selling, driving down prices. Capital Flight – Investors move from stocks to safer assets like gold, bonds, or the U.S. dollar. Increased Volatility – Markets swing sharply due to uncertainty. 6. Short-Term vs Long-Term Market Effects Short-Term: Sharp selloffs, extreme volatility, sector-wide declines. Medium-Term: Recovery in defensive sectors (healthcare, utilities), while cyclical sectors lag. Long-Term: Markets tend to recover and surpass previous highs, rewarding patient investors. Example: Despite the 2008 crash, U.S. stock markets (S&P 500) hit all-time highs within a decade. 7. Sector-Wise Impact Technology: Often resilient but still hit by lower consumer spending. Energy: Oil demand falls → energy stocks decline. Financials: Banks suffer from loan defaults and liquidity crises. Consumer Goods: Luxury items fall; essentials stay strong. Healthcare & Pharma: Usually defensive, often outperform. Utilities: Stable demand makes them safe havens. Real Estate: Highly vulnerable due to lower demand and credit tightening. 8. Emerging vs Developed Markets Developed Markets (U.S., EU, Japan): More resilient, backed by strong institutions and central banks. Emerging Markets (India, Brazil, South Africa): More vulnerable due to capital flight, weaker currencies, and dependence on exports. However, emerging markets often rebound faster because of younger populations and growth potential. Strategies for Investors During Recessions Diversification: Spread risk across asset classes. Focus on Defensive Sectors: Healthcare, FMCG, utilities. Value Investing: Buy fundamentally strong companies at discounted prices. Dividend Stocks: Provide stable income during downturns. Cash Reserves: Keep liquidity to grab opportunities. Avoid Over-Leverage: Debt magnifies risks during downturns. Long-Term View: History shows markets always recover. Future Outlook The world today faces challenges like: High global debt levels. Climate change and energy transition. Geopolitical tensions (U.S.–China, Russia–Ukraine). Rising automation and AI disruptions. Future recessions may arrive faster due to global integration, but recoveries may also be quicker thanks to technological advancements and proactive policies. Conclusion A global recession shakes the foundation of stock markets, causing panic, volatility, and steep declines. Yet, for disciplined investors, it also provides opportunities to buy strong companies at bargain prices. Stock markets are forward-looking: while economies may take years to heal, markets often rebound much earlier, anticipating recovery. The key lesson? Recessions are temporary, but the market’s upward journey is long-term. Investors who stay patient, diversified, and strategic emerge stronger after every global downturn.
NSE:BANKNIFTY1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
THE ROLE OF EMOTION IN TRADINGThe Role of Emotion in Trading Trading in the forex market is not only a test of analytical skill but also a battle of emotional control. While charts, strategies, and indicators provide logical frameworks, emotions influence decision-making at every step. Understanding how emotions impact trading is crucial for long-term success. 1. Why Emotions Matter in Trading Trading involves risk and uncertainty, which naturally triggers emotional reactions. Unlike regular jobs with predictable outcomes, forex trades have probabilistic results, creating anxiety and excitement. Traders often lose money not because of poor strategy, but because emotions override discipline. 2. Key Emotions in Trading Fear Fear of losing leads to hesitation and missing good opportunities. Fear of giving back profits can cause premature exits. In extreme cases, fear results in paralysis – avoiding trades altogether. Greed Encourages traders to over-leverage or chase unrealistic profits. Leads to holding positions too long, ignoring exit signals. Often results in big drawdowns after a few winning trades. Hope Keeps traders stuck in losing positions, expecting a reversal. Prevents acceptance of small losses, which then grow larger. Creates a “gambling mindset” where traders trade on wishes, not logic. Regret Regret from missed opportunities creates frustration and overtrading. Regret from losses encourages revenge trading – trying to win back money quickly. Constant regret damages confidence and decision-making ability. 3. How Emotions Affect Trading Behavior 1. Overtrading – entering too many trades due to excitement or FOMO. 2. Breaking Trading Rules – abandoning plans under emotional pressure. 3. Poor Risk Management – risking too much out of greed or desperation. 4. Inconsistent Decisions – switching strategies mid-trade. 5. Mental Burnout – constant stress leading to fatigue and irrational actions. 4. Managing Emotions in Trading Have a Trading Plan : Clear entry, exit, and risk rules reduce emotional decisions. Use Risk Management : Risking only a small percentage per trade prevents fear-driven panic. Keep a Trading Journal : Track emotional triggers, wins, and losses to learn patterns. Practice Patience : Not every market condition requires action. Detach from Money : View trading as probability, not personal validation. Take Breaks : Step away after a big loss or win to reset emotions. 5. Professional Trader’s Emotional Discipline Professionals treat trading as a business, not a lottery. They know losses are part of the game and do not personalize failure. They focus on long-term consistency, not individual trades. By controlling emotions, they turn volatility into opportunity, while amateurs let volatility control them. 6. Conclusion Emotions are inseparable from trading. Fear, greed, hope, and regret will always surface, but the difference between successful and unsuccessful traders lies in how they manage them. Technical skills and strategies may open doors, but emotional discipline keeps a trader profitable in the long run.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Derry_Trades
XAUUSD – Bullish Bias Targeting Buy-Side LiquidityOn the 1H timeframe, my perspective on Gold (XAUUSD) remains bullish, with the main target being the buy-side liquidity above current price. Price has recently formed a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which may serve as support and a potential launch point for further upside. If price holds here, we could see continuation toward higher levels. For entry, I’ll be waiting for lower timeframe reaction and confirmation. However, it’s also important to note the sell-side liquidity resting just below the FVG. There is a possibility that price may first sweep this liquidity, tap into the underlying bullish order block, and then begin the upward move. For this reason, I am watching two key areas: 1️⃣ The current bullish FVG as initial support. 2️⃣ The deeper bullish order block, should liquidity below be cleared. In both cases, my bias remains bullish, but execution will depend on LTF confirmation at these zones. 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 💡Wait for the update!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by VahidTradingCR
9
SOLUSD H4 | Bullish bounce offBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the take profit. Buy entry is at 217.27, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 200.35, which is a pullback support. Take profit is at 244.30, which is a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SOLUSDLong
by Tradu
Today's BTCUSD Market AnalysisBTCUSD has shown little overall change compared to yesterday, with the broader market structure remaining intact. The support level remains firm, while esistance level continues to be concentrated in the 117,000–118,000 Buy 114500-115000 TP 115500-116500-117500 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CarterJordan
STRK/USDT — Bottom Accumulation: Beginning of a Major Reversal? 🔎 Overview The STRK/USDT (2D) chart is showing a consolidation phase after a heavy downtrend since early 2025. Price is currently trading around 0.1299, hovering just above a key support zone at 0.096–0.11 (yellow box) which has been tested multiple times and continues to hold. This structure resembles a rectangle accumulation pattern, often seen when buyers quietly build positions after a long selloff. If this base holds, it could mark the foundation for a mid-term reversal. If it fails, however, the broader downtrend is likely to continue. --- 📊 Key Technical Levels Major Support: 0.1100 → upper bound of accumulation zone 0.0962 → critical low (must hold) Key Resistances: R1 = 0.1536 (immediate breakout trigger) R2 = 0.1894 R3 = 0.2252 R4 = 0.3444 (potential swing target if reversal is confirmed) --- 🟢 Bullish Scenario 1. Breakout of 0.1536: A strong 2D close above 0.1536, ideally backed by volume, would signal a bullish reversal. First target sits at 0.1894, followed by 0.2252. 2. Accumulation at Support (0.096–0.11): Gradual accumulation near this zone offers favorable risk/reward for mid-term traders. Stop-loss should be placed just below 0.0962. If successful, upside targets range from +45% to over +150% depending on how far momentum extends. 3. Bullish Confirmation Signals: RSI/MACD bullish divergence Rising volume on breakout Bullish reversal candlestick patterns at support --- 🔴 Bearish Scenario 1. Breakdown Below 0.11: A decisive close below 0.11 — and especially below 0.0962 — would invalidate the bullish accumulation setup. This would expose STRK to further downside, potentially targeting the 0.076 zone (previous structural low). 2. False Breakout Risk: Traders should be cautious of bull traps — where price breaks above 0.1536 but quickly falls back into the range. Such moves often occur in weak markets. --- 📐 Pattern & Market Sentiment Pattern: Rectangle Accumulation at bottom trend Sentiment: Neutral → turning bullish if breakout above 0.1536 is confirmed Key Triggers: Bullish trigger → 0.1536 Bearish trigger → 0.0962 --- ⚠️ Notes Always wait for volume confirmation on breakouts/breakdowns. Use strict risk management and place stop-losses below/above structural levels. Watch Bitcoin’s trend as overall market sentiment often drives altcoins. --- 🎯 Conclusion STRK is currently sitting at a make-or-break zone. This could either be the start of a strong mid-term reversal or just a pause before further decline. Bullish path: Break & hold above 0.1536 → targets at 0.1894 – 0.2252. Bearish path: Break below 0.11 → retest of 0.0962 and possibly down to 0.076. Patience and confirmation will be key. --- #STRK #STRKUSDT #Starknet #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #Breakout #Accumulation #SupportResistance
Long
by CryptoNuclear
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.361. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.365 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
BTC: Is the Cycle Top in for 2025?We start left with the insane capitulation recover & consolodate breakout the white resistence reaching 1 - consolidate creating bull flag breakout to 2 with 3 peaks a b c fall off a cliff in with a b c wicks recover 3, a b c wicks continuation to 4 with 2 peaks a b done breaking below the white horizontal support altough we have still some import support below us now. Breaking the 21 Weekly MA (108k), losing ~105K support would be some really bad signs. breaking the 100 Weekly MA (now 96K) would be very bad fore sure. Am i on to something here? What do you guys think?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by leamese