Chart Patterns
Bitcoin Price Correction: Heading Toward $70,000As of December 17, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $87,000–$88,000, down from its all-time high of over $126,000 earlier this year. Recent market volatility, driven by macroeconomic factors like potential Bank of Japan rate hikes and profit-taking after the post-election rally, has analysts warning of further downside.
Many technical indicators point to a potential retest of the $70,000–$75,000 support zone. This level has historically acted as strong demand in previous corrections and aligns with key moving averages and Elliott Wave projections from experts. A drop to $70,000 would represent a roughly 20% decline from current prices, which is common in Bitcoin's cyclical patterns during consolidation phases.
While long-term bullish factors remain (institutional adoption, ETF inflows, and scarcity post-halving), short-term bearish pressure could push BTC lower before any rebound. Traders should watch $84,000 as immediate support—if it breaks, $70,000 becomes the next major target.
This is not financial advice; cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile.
WTI Crude “total and complete blockade” of sanctioned oilThe WTI Crude continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 5830
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
Bearish Scenario (rejection at 5830):
A failed test and rejection at 5830 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
5500 – Initial support
5400 – Intermediate support
5290 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 5830):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 5830 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
5900 – First resistance
5960 – Further upside target
Conclusion
WTI Crude remains under bearish pressure, with the 5830 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURGBP uptrend continuation support at 0.8750The EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.8750 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.8750 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8800 – initial resistance
0.8820 – psychological and structural level
0.8836 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8750 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.8736 – minor support
0.8720 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the EURGBP holds above 0.8750. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
$BTC update I shared earlier worked as expected Alhamdulillah.Based on that update, I shared a CRYPTOCAP:BTC trade call with exclusive members trade is now around +1.1R in profit, half profit is booked, stoploss is at breakeven, and the rest is still running.
The point of sharing this is simple: I don’t just post updates, I act on them. These updates are shared for free, so instead of ignoring them, try to benefit from them.
Even learning one thing can make a difference.
EURUSD Watching for a Potential Sell Zone Near 1.17830Quick Summary
EURUSD has rallied strongly and left a large liquidity void behind. Despite this, there is currently no sign of weakness, so selling at current levels is not justified. A potential sell opportunity may appear near 1.17830, where a strong daily orderblock is expected. From that area, a corrective decline could develop, targeting 1.15804 to fill the liquidity void.
Full Analysis
EURUSD has shown strong and consistent bullish momentum over the recent period. The move higher has been impulsive, leaving behind a significant liquidity void below. Normally, such imbalances tend to be revisited over time. However, at the moment, there is no clear sign of weakness in price action. The market continues to respect the bullish structure, which makes selling at current levels premature and risky.
Instead of anticipating a reversal too early, the focus should be on higher levels where sellers may become active. The zone around 1.17830 stands out as a potential sell area. This level represents a well defined daily orderblock and could act as a point where bullish momentum starts to slow and corrective pressure begins to appear.
If price reaches this zone and shows a valid reaction, a corrective move to the downside becomes more likely. In that scenario, the expected target for the correction would be the area around 1.15804. This move would allow the market to rebalance and fill the large liquidity void left behind during the strong bullish expansion.
AUDUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.662.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.666 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
$GIGGLE Bearish Structure, Potential Bounce Zone! $GIGGLE Analysis / Chart Idea!
Trend is bearish, but price is currently inside a key demand zone ($64 - $47.48) aligned with an 8H untested bullish order block bounce is possible from here.
This is not a buy/long signal. I’ll wait for clear strength like a daily bullish OB or STF internal/external trend shift before taking any entry. For now, this pair is watchlist only.
Global Soft Commodity Trading: Dynamics and StrategiesUnderstanding the Global Soft Commodity Market
Soft commodity markets operate on a global scale, with production concentrated in specific regions and consumption spread worldwide. For example, coffee production is dominated by Brazil, Vietnam, and Colombia, while cocoa largely comes from West African nations such as Ivory Coast and Ghana. Sugar production is led by Brazil and India, whereas wheat and corn are heavily produced in the United States, Russia, and parts of Europe.
This geographical imbalance between producers and consumers makes international trade essential. Prices are generally discovered on major commodity exchanges such as the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), and Euronext. These exchanges provide standardized futures and options contracts that allow producers, consumers, traders, and investors to hedge risk or speculate on price movements.
Key Drivers of Soft Commodity Prices
Soft commodity prices are influenced by a wide range of interconnected factors:
Weather and Climate Conditions
Weather is the single most important factor affecting soft commodities. Droughts, floods, cyclones, frost, and changing rainfall patterns can significantly impact crop yields. Climate phenomena such as El Niño and La Niña often cause global supply disruptions, leading to sharp price volatility.
Supply and Demand Dynamics
Changes in population, income levels, dietary habits, and industrial usage directly affect demand. For instance, rising coffee consumption in Asia or increased ethanol production boosting corn demand can alter global price trends.
Government Policies and Trade Regulations
Export bans, import duties, subsidies, and minimum support prices play a crucial role, especially in emerging economies. Policies in major producing countries like India, Brazil, or the United States can influence global supply availability and price stability.
Currency Movements
Since most soft commodities are priced in U.S. dollars, fluctuations in currency exchange rates impact international trade. A weaker dollar generally supports higher commodity prices, while a stronger dollar can suppress demand.
Logistics and Geopolitical Factors
Transportation costs, port congestion, trade routes, and geopolitical tensions can disrupt supply chains. Conflicts, sanctions, or shipping bottlenecks often translate into sudden price spikes.
Market Participants in Soft Commodity Trading
The global soft commodity market includes diverse participants, each with different objectives:
Producers and Farmers use futures contracts to hedge against adverse price movements and protect their income.
Processors and End Users such as food manufacturers and textile companies hedge to stabilize input costs.
Traders and Merchants act as intermediaries, managing storage, transportation, and arbitrage opportunities.
Speculators and Investors, including hedge funds and institutional investors, aim to profit from price movements and market trends.
Retail Traders increasingly participate through online platforms offering commodity derivatives and ETFs.
Trading Instruments and Strategies
Soft commodities can be traded through several financial instruments:
Futures Contracts are the most common, providing standardized exposure to commodity prices.
Options allow traders to manage risk with limited downside.
ETFs and ETNs offer indirect exposure for investors who do not wish to trade futures directly.
Spot and Physical Trading is mainly used by large commercial participants.
Successful soft commodity trading often relies on a blend of strategies:
Fundamental Analysis, focusing on crop reports, weather forecasts, acreage data, and inventory levels.
Technical Analysis, using price charts, trends, support-resistance levels, and momentum indicators.
Seasonal Trading, which takes advantage of recurring patterns related to planting and harvesting cycles.
Spread Trading, involving the price difference between related commodities or different contract months.
Risks and Volatility in Soft Commodity Markets
Soft commodities are known for high volatility due to their dependence on uncontrollable natural factors. Sudden weather changes or policy announcements can cause rapid price movements. Additionally, leverage in futures trading can amplify both profits and losses. Effective risk management through position sizing, stop-loss strategies, and diversification is essential for long-term success.
Another key risk is market uncertainty due to climate change, which has increased the frequency of extreme weather events. This has made price forecasting more challenging, increasing both risk and opportunity for traders.
Role of Emerging Markets and Sustainability
Emerging markets play a growing role in global soft commodity trading, both as producers and consumers. Rising incomes in Asia and Africa are driving demand for food commodities, while technological advancements are improving agricultural productivity.
Sustainability and ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) considerations are also reshaping the market. Ethical sourcing, carbon footprints, and sustainable farming practices increasingly influence investment decisions and trade flows. Certifications such as Fair Trade and organic labeling are becoming important price differentiators in global markets.
Future Outlook of Global Soft Commodity Trading
The future of global soft commodity trading is expected to be shaped by several long-term trends: climate variability, population growth, technological innovation in agriculture, and digitalization of trading platforms. Data analytics, satellite imagery, and AI-driven weather models are enhancing market transparency and decision-making.
At the same time, increased financial participation is likely to keep volatility elevated, offering both risks and opportunities. Traders who can combine strong fundamental understanding with disciplined technical execution will be better positioned to navigate these evolving markets.
Conclusion
Global soft commodity trading is a dynamic and multifaceted market that reflects the intersection of nature, economics, and finance. From coffee and cocoa to grains and sugar, these commodities are essential to everyday life and global trade. While the market carries significant risks due to volatility and uncertainty, it also offers substantial opportunities for informed and disciplined traders. A deep understanding of global supply chains, weather patterns, policy impacts, and market behavior is essential for success in the ever-evolving world of soft commodity trading.
A Complete Guide to Consistent Currency Market SuccessTrading Forex Major Pairs
The foreign exchange (forex) market is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world, with daily trading volumes exceeding trillions of dollars. At the heart of this vast marketplace lie the major currency pairs, which are the most actively traded and widely followed instruments by traders, institutions, and central banks. Trading forex major pairs offers stability, transparency, and abundant opportunities, making them ideal for both beginners and experienced traders. This guide explains what forex major pairs are, why they matter, and how to trade them effectively for long-term success.
What Are Forex Major Pairs?
Forex major pairs are currency pairs that always include the US Dollar (USD) and are paired with the world’s strongest and most influential currencies. The commonly recognized major pairs are:
EUR/USD (Euro / US Dollar)
GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar)
USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen)
USD/CHF (US Dollar / Swiss Franc)
AUD/USD (Australian Dollar / US Dollar)
USD/CAD (US Dollar / Canadian Dollar)
NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar)
These pairs dominate global forex trading because they represent economies with high trade volumes, stable political systems, and strong financial institutions.
Why Trade Forex Major Pairs?
Forex major pairs are popular for several compelling reasons. First, they offer high liquidity, meaning trades can be executed quickly with minimal price slippage. This is especially important during volatile market conditions. Second, major pairs have tight spreads, reducing transaction costs and making them cost-efficient for frequent trading strategies such as scalping and day trading.
Another advantage is the availability of information. Economic data, central bank policies, and geopolitical developments related to major currencies are widely reported and analyzed. This transparency allows traders to make informed decisions based on reliable data rather than speculation. Additionally, major pairs tend to respect technical levels more consistently due to large institutional participation, making technical analysis more effective.
Understanding the Behavior of Major Pairs
Each major forex pair has its own personality and reacts differently to economic events. For example, EUR/USD is heavily influenced by interest rate decisions from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the US Federal Reserve. GBP/USD is known for its volatility, especially during UK political or economic announcements. USD/JPY often acts as a safe-haven pair, reacting strongly to global risk sentiment and bond yields.
Understanding these behavioral traits helps traders select the right pair for their trading style. Some pairs trend smoothly, while others move aggressively in short bursts. Matching pair characteristics with your strategy is a key step toward consistency.
Fundamental Analysis in Major Pair Trading
Fundamental analysis plays a vital role when trading forex major pairs. Since these currencies represent powerful economies, macroeconomic indicators strongly influence price movements. Key factors include interest rates, inflation data, employment figures, GDP growth, and central bank guidance.
Interest rate differentials are particularly important. Currencies with higher interest rates tend to attract capital inflows, strengthening their value. For instance, if the Federal Reserve signals rate hikes while another central bank remains dovish, USD-based pairs may trend strongly. Traders who follow economic calendars and central bank statements gain a significant edge in anticipating medium- to long-term trends.
Technical Analysis and Chart Patterns
Technical analysis is widely used in major pair trading due to the clean and structured price movements these pairs often exhibit. Support and resistance levels, trendlines, moving averages, and momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD work effectively on major pairs.
Chart patterns like flags, triangles, head and shoulders, and double tops frequently appear and offer high-probability trade setups. Because institutional traders also rely heavily on technical analysis, price often reacts strongly at key technical zones. Combining multiple technical signals rather than relying on a single indicator improves trade accuracy.
Best Trading Sessions for Major Pairs
Timing is crucial in forex trading. Major pairs are most active during specific market sessions. The London session and the New York session are particularly important, as they overlap for several hours and account for the highest trading volume.
EUR/USD and GBP/USD show strong movement during the London–New York overlap, making this period ideal for intraday traders. USD/JPY often moves more actively during the Asian session, especially when Japanese economic data is released. Trading during high-liquidity sessions improves execution quality and increases the likelihood of meaningful price movement.
Risk Management: The Key to Survival
Even when trading stable major pairs, risk management remains essential. No strategy works 100% of the time, and protecting capital is the top priority. Traders should always use stop-loss orders, limit risk to a small percentage of their trading account per trade, and avoid excessive leverage.
Major pairs may appear less volatile, but unexpected news events can cause sharp price swings. A disciplined approach to position sizing and risk control ensures that a few losing trades do not wipe out weeks or months of progress. Consistency in risk management separates professional traders from emotional gamblers.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
One common mistake in trading forex major pairs is overtrading. Because these pairs are always active, traders may feel compelled to trade constantly. Quality setups matter more than quantity. Another mistake is ignoring fundamentals and focusing only on technical signals during major news releases, which can lead to unpredictable outcomes.
Traders should also avoid emotional decision-making. Chasing trades after missing an entry or holding losing positions in hope of reversal often leads to unnecessary losses. A clear trading plan with predefined rules helps maintain discipline.
Building a Long-Term Trading Approach
Successful forex major pair trading is not about quick profits but about building a sustainable process. Traders should specialize in a few major pairs rather than trying to trade all of them. This allows deeper understanding of price behavior and improves decision-making.
Keeping a trading journal, reviewing past trades, and continuously refining strategies contribute to long-term improvement. Markets evolve, and traders must adapt while staying true to their core principles.
Conclusion
Trading forex major pairs offers a balanced combination of liquidity, reliability, and opportunity. These pairs provide an ideal environment for applying both technical and fundamental analysis, making them suitable for traders of all experience levels. By understanding pair behavior, respecting market sessions, managing risk effectively, and maintaining discipline, traders can unlock consistent performance in the global currency market. Mastery of forex major pairs is often the foundation upon which long-term trading success is built.
This is a follow up on yesterday's videoThis is December 17th and there have been changes in the market since that time that led to 2 bar reversals which are tools that tell us we can go long or short depending on the 2 bar reversal. We looked at it oil which I think has a good reversal here and we'll protect it with a small stop or we can wait if you don't like it don't take the trade but keep your eye on it because oil finished in ABCd pattern going lower so it may be time for it to reverse and go higher from here. And we looked at a few other markets as well.
Bearish Intraday Daily: Overall bullish
4H: Bearish; price trading above the moving averages, currently around 1.32850
1H: Bearish; price trading below the moving averages, currently around 1.33650
We have a break of structure below the prior 4H low, followed by a retracement into the 38.2% Fibonacci PRZ. This is a key zone at the moment, as price is reacting to the prior low, which is now acting as resistance.
If price enters consolidation and shows signs of exhaustion on the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes, we should anticipate a bearish continuation, with an initial target at TP1 (1.3290), as identified by the Fibonacci levels.
Potential bearish reversal?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 505 Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7996
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level, which is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8027
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.7953
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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MUGHAL – Bullish Continuation with Two Clear ScenariosMUGHAL – Bullish Continuation with Two Clear Scenarios
Price has broken out of a compression / triangle structure with volume confirmation. Trend remains bullish, however RSI is near 70, so chasing is not advised.
Scenario 1: Continuation above breakout zone → move towards 100–105–109
Scenario 2: Healthy pullback towards 92–94 → better risk-reward entry
As long as price holds above 88, bullish structure remains intact.
Trade with proper risk management.
NAS100 Preparing for Wave 3 Rally After Healthy PullbackThe NAS100 chart shows that a larger corrective move has likely finished at the (Y) / C low, after which price started a new upward impulsive structure. The recent decline looks like a normal Wave 2 pullback, which has already reacted from the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, a common area for corrections to end. This suggests buyers are stepping back in and the market is preparing for Wave 3, which is usually the strongest upward move. As long as price stays above the invalidation level near 23,836, the bullish Elliott Wave setup remains valid. Overall, the structure favors further upside toward new highs once Wave 3 gains momentum.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAPCRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP – Small Update 📊
The market is compressing inside a falling wedge.
A breakout above the trendline could trigger a strong move toward $4.0T–$4.4T.
Holding the lower support keeps the bullish scenario intact; rejection may cause short-term consolidation.
DYOR | NFA.
PAEL | Preparing For Next Bullish LegPAEL has shown a strong long-term structural recovery from its historical bottom zone and is currently trading near PKR55.60 on monthly timeframe. The price has broken out of its falling structure and is now following a higher-high / higher-low formation indicating long-term bullish continuation.
The green highlighted zone around 62-65 remains a key supply / resistance area. Once price sustains above this zone, further strong upside continuation can unfold.
Entry Level: 55.60
Upside Target: 78.90
Stop Loss: below 47.70 (monthly structural invalidation)
The overall long-term structure suggests accumulation on dips could be considered, keeping risk strictly managed. Potential risk-reward remains favorable for positional swing traders with monthly outlook.
XAUUSD M30 MAPPING | DIRECTION FINDMarket Context
• Price is trading inside a premium zone (upper range).
• Overall structure shows a bullish push, followed by distribution near highs.
• Liquidity has been engineered both above and below key levels.
⸻
Key Technical Points
• MSS (Market Structure Shift):
A bullish MSS occurred after a strong displacement from the lows, confirming short-term bullish intent.
• CISD (Change in State of Delivery):
Price respected CISD, indicating continuation of bullish delivery before reaching higher supply.
• OB / SBR Zone:
Price tapped into a Bearish Order Block / Support-Becomes-Resistance, which aligns with the premium area.
• TS (Trendline / Trailing Structure):
Structure tap at highs showing weak continuation and signs of exhaustion.
• Liquidity Grab:
Buy-side liquidity was taken above recent highs, setting up a potential reversal.
⸻
Trade Idea
Bias: Short (Sell)
Entry Zone:
• From the OB / SBR area near the highs after liquidity sweep
Confirmation:
• Rejection candle / displacement down from the OB
• Lower timeframe bearish structure shift
Stop Loss:
• Above the liquidity high / OB high
Targets:
1. First TP: CISD level
2. Second TP: Mid-range support
3. Final TP: FVG below (imbalanced area marked)
EURUSD EURUSD ,the 1hr chart is looking for demand at 1.16800 level,but the current support might buy but i wont play into early buy,i want to see price into 1.16800 level.the strategy is to watch the US10Y and dxy ,if they paly along the strategy we go long on EURUSD .
KEY FACTORS TO NOTE.
EU10Y=??
US10=??
ECB RATE=?
FEDERAL FUND RATE=??
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL=?/
CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE=
ECONOMIC DOCKET DURING NEWYORK TIME.
MARKET STRUCTURE,THE STRUCTURE OF THE MARKET NEVER LIES.
GOODLUCK.
Elise |BTCUSD | 15M – Bearish Structure With Corrective PullbackBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After strong rejection from the 92,500–93,200 resistance, BTC continued lower, breaking structure and forming new lows. The current price action shows a technical pullback from demand, supported by a minor rising channel. However, this move lacks impulsive strength and remains corrective unless price reclaims key resistance.
Key Scenarios
❌ Bearish Continuation 📉 (High Probability)
As long as price stays below 90,041:
🎯 Target 1: 88,800
🎯 Target 2: 87,690
🎯 Target 3: 86,200
✅ Bullish Recovery 🚀 (Low Probability)
Only if price breaks and holds above 90,041:
🎯 Target 1: 91,200
🎯 Target 2: 92,500
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 90,041 – 92,549
Support 🟢: 87,690 – 85,169
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.






















