Elise |XAUUSD | 30M -Bullish Continuation From Structure SupportOANDA:XAUUSD
After rejecting the 4352 resistance, price corrected in a controlled manner rather than impulsive selling. The correction held above key support and printed a higher low. The current impulse shows renewed bullish strength, suggesting continuation toward previous highs if momentum sustains above structure.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
As long as price holds above 4256:
🎯 Target 1: 4320
🎯 Target 2: 4352
🎯 Target 3: 4380
❌ Bearish Case 📉
If price breaks and closes below 4256:
🎯 Downside Target 1: 4218
🎯 Downside Target 2: 4182
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4320 – 4352
Support 🟢: 4256 – 4182
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
Chart Patterns
Ethereum Set for a Rally: Can It Break Key Resistance?Ethereum (ETH/USD) – 1-Day Chart
Current Market Structure:
Ethereum is in a clear ascending channel with higher lows and higher highs, indicating a potential bullish trend. The price is currently consolidating within this channel and preparing for a potential breakout to the upside.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: $2,633.61 - The price has consistently bounced off this zone, showing strength.
Resistance Zones: $4,716.90
Take Profit 1: $3,612.44
Take Profit 2: $4,188.23
Take Profit 3: $4,716.90
Most Probable Scenarios:
1. Bounce from Support: Ethereum is likely to continue its upward movement, testing the first take-profit target at $3,612.44.
2. Consolidation: Price may continue to consolidate within the channel before making a final move higher.
3. Breakout to the Upside: If Ethereum successfully breaks above the upper boundary of the channel, a move toward the next resistance levels (Take Profit 2 and Take Profit 3) is expected.
Actionable Advice:
Buy near the lower boundary of the channel, aiming for Take Profit 1 at $3,612.44.
Hold if price reaches the higher resistance levels ($4,188.23 and $4,716.90).
Risk Management:
Place stop-loss orders below the support zone around $2,633.61 to protect against unexpected price action.
Can GBPUSD sustain its rally?GBPUSD remains supported by broad dollar weakness and cautious positioning ahead of the BoE's policy decision later this week. Market consensus anticipates a 0.25% BoE rate cut to 3.75%, marking the lowest level since 2022, as rising unemployment and a sluggish UK economy ease inflation pressures. The recent Fed rate cut and signals of a potential pause in early 2026 have also reduced the US dollar's demand, thereby underpinning the strength of GBPUSD. Investors are closely watching new UK data, particularly wage growth and inflation readings, which could influence the BoE's policy guidance and GBP positioning.
GBPUSD is approaching the lower bound of the ascending channel and the support level at 1.3350, following a retreat from its recent highs. If GBPUSD rebounds above the support at 1.3350, the price may approach the resistance at 1.3450. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the channel may prompt a steeper decline toward the following support at 1.3300.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
USDCADPrice reacted into a higher-timeframe supply zone and showed strong bearish displacement. After the impulsive sell-off, price pulled back into a discount area, offering a short opportunity in line with the higher-timeframe bias.
Looking for continuation to the downside as long as price remains below the key resistance. Invalidation if price reclaims the supply zone.
Price Entered Range — Move Toward Upper Boundary ExpectedPrice has entered a clearly defined trading range (corridor). The lower boundary of this range is acting as strong support, where buyers are consistently stepping in.
As long as price holds above this support zone, the market structure favors a move toward the upper boundary of the range.
🔼 Bullish scenario:
– Holding above the lower range support
– Continuation toward the top of the corridor
– Long target: 🎯 $0.08
The lower boundary remains a key invalidation level. A breakdown below support would invalidate the bullish range scenario, but while price stays inside the corridor, upward continuation is the higher-probability outcome.
ETHUSDT Enters a Consolidation PhaseOn the 6H chart, ETHUSDT is stabilising after the drop from 3,350. Selling pressure has eased, but demand remains insufficient to establish a fresh uptrend. Price action suggests a pause rather than a reversal, with the market waiting for clearer direction.
From a broader perspective, Bitcoin’s inability to break key resistance levels continues to cap upside across altcoins. A steady DXY also limits risk appetite, while Ethereum lacks a new catalyst following EIP-4844. As a result, rebounds remain slow and are quickly met with supply.
As long as ETH holds above the 3,050–3,120 area, sideways accumulation between 3,080 and 3,200 is the base case. A break above 3,280–3,330 would be required to confirm a broader bullish continuation.
High-Probability Reversal Zones | GBPUSD – Edition 1This is part of my High-Probability Reversal Zones series, where I highlight areas on the chart
where price is statistically more likely to react — not predict.
Why is this a high-probability reaction zone?
This zone is built on multiple layers of participation from different groups of traders ,
all of which previously pushed price higher and created strong bullish pressure.
Because of this structure, I am only interested in bullish scenarios from this area.
This is about reading pressure and understanding how price moves .
Market Structure Breakdown
– First, trendline reversal traders entered long positions, but that alone was not enough to push price higher
– Price returned to the trendline, where trendline traders added more long positions
– Eventually, price broke the descending channel , attracting chart pattern traders on the long side
– Price then broke resistance , and support & resistance traders joined the move
– A pullback followed, where pullback traders opened long positions
– Price revisited support multiple times, each time attracting additional buyers
– Finally, price broke above the trendline again , bringing in another wave of trendline traders
All of this creates a zone where bullish reactions are statistically more likely ,
as long as the structure remains valid.
If you enjoy clean, rule-based, and objective trading ideas, consider following.
Your thoughts and alternative perspectives are welcome in the comments.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves risk — always conduct your own analysis.
I am not responsible for any decisions or losses based on this idea.
EURJPY bearish expectations from here
OANDA:EURJPY we can see BEARISH ENGULFING candle, after bearish engulfing looks like coming descending triangle. We are have constant bullish trend here long period and here after todays events expecting to see point of revers.
SUP zone: 182.500
RES zone: 180.300, 178.900
CARDANO (ADA) STRATEGY: TRADING THE ORDER BLOCK RANGECardano (ADA) is currently trapped in a clearly defined trading range, bouncing between institutional supply and demand zones. As shown on the chart, price action is respecting the "Order Block" (OB) levels perfectly, giving us a clear roadmap for the next few days.
We are currently analyzing three critical areas of interest:
THE BULLISH ORDER BLOCK (DEMAND ZONE) Zone.
We are currently testing this zone. This represents the "Demand Floor" where buyers have historically stepped in aggressively.
The Setup: Price has retraced fully into this block. We are looking for a reaction or a lower timeframe reversal pattern (like a break of structure on the 15m chart) to confirm that bulls are defending this level.
The Trade: Long positions taken here offer a high Risk-to-Reward ratio because your invalidation point is very close (just below the box).
THE FAIR VALUE GAP (FVG) - FIRST TARGET Zone
Fair Value Gaps often act as magnets for price. If the Bullish OB holds, the first logical target is this imbalance.
Expectation: Price is likely to be drawn up to fill this gap. This is a perfect area to take partial profits or move Stop Losses to breakeven.
THE BEARISH ORDER BLOCK (SUPPLY ZONE) Zone: (The Red Box)
This is the major resistance ceiling.
The Strategy: This is the ultimate Take Profit zone for longs. Conversely, if price reaches this red box and shows rejection wicks, it becomes a high-probability SHORT entry to play the range back down.
TRADING PLAN
Scenario A: The Bounce (Bullish)
Condition: Price holds above $0.3845 and creates a bullish candle close on the 4H.
Action: Enter Long.
Target 1: (FVG Fill).
Target 2: (Bearish OB Test).
Stop Loss: A daily close below $0.3638 invalidates the demand zone.
Scenario B: The Breakdown (Bearish)
Condition: If the Bullish OB fails and we get a confirmed close below $0.3630
Action: The setup is invalidated. We would then look for a retest of the broken level to go Short, targeting lower liquidity levels.
SUMMARY
The market is simple right now: We are at Support (Bullish OB). Until this level breaks, the bias at this specific price point is to look for Longs targeting the liquidity voids above (FVG).
Are you buying the dip at this OB, or waiting for a breakdown? Let me know in the comments!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency trading involves high risk. Always manage your risk properly.
Go TimeThis is the bounce we've been waiting for.
We have entered buy the dip mode on Tilray.
As long as we hold above $8.80, I'm bullish.
Biggest risk is that Trump 180's, but my longstanding theory has been and still is that the government is saving cannabis legalization for the next big downturn. Next depression? Legalize weed and then the working class won't revolt.
There are signs in the oil and debt markets that are saying this is beginning now. Just beginning.
GBP/USD likely to reverse from key resistance level.The Pound Sterling (GBP) extend its intraday gains against US Dollar on Tuesday, following the release of the United Kingdom (UK) preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for December, and the labour market data for the three months ending in October.
Technically, GBP/USD is trading within upward resistance and support wedges, forming a pattern of higher highs and lower lows. After rebounding from its support wedge at 1.3355, it is currently moving toward its resistance wedge and key resistance level at 1.3470. It is very likely to touch the key resistance level at 1.3470 before dropping back to its support wedge at 1.3405.
After carefully analyzing the chart pattern, we expect the pair to reach 1.3405 after first testing the key resistance level at 1.3470. Therefore, we can enter a sell trade between 1.3455 and 1.3470, targeting 1.3405 level.
Bitcoin Is Setting a Trap Before the Next ExplosionBitcoin 1H Market Analysis — Liquidity Trap & Expansion Setup
1. Current Market Structure
- Bitcoin is currently trading inside a corrective bearish structure following the previous impulsive move up.
- Price formed a sequence of lower highs, capped by a descending trendline, confirming short-term selling pressure.
However, the most recent drop failed to continue lower and instead produced a strong bullish reaction from the demand zone, signaling potential exhaustion of sellers.
This indicates the market is transitioning from distribution → accumulation on the 1H timeframe.
2. Key Liquidity & Zones
Major Resistance Zone: 90,500 – 90,700
→ Previous supply + trendline confluence
Demand Zone: 87,700 – 88,000
→ Strong buying reaction, liquidity sweep completed
Liquidity Sweep:
The sharp sell-off into demand flushed late longs and trapped breakout sellers, allowing smart money to accumulate at discounted prices.
This is a classic liquidity grab below structure before reversal.
3. Market Scenario (Primary Outlook)
🔼 Bullish Scenario – Preferred
Based on current price behavior:
- Price is likely to retest the descending trendline
- A successful reclaim above 89,300 – 89,600 would confirm a bullish structure shift
- After a shallow pullback, BTC can expand toward:
TP1: 90,500
TP2: 92,000+
Extended Target: 93,500 (range high)
This matches the projected path drawn on your chart.
4. Market Psychology
- Retail traders are reacting emotionally to the sharp drop, assuming continuation lower.
- Smart money used the sell-off to absorb liquidity inside demand.
- The strong bounce shows buyers are in control below 88K.
- This environment favors patience and confirmation, not chasing breakouts blindly.
The market is setting a trap for late sellers before expansion.
5. Trading Guidance
❌ Avoid selling inside the demand zone
✅ Focus on:
- Buy setups after trendline reclaim
- Pullbacks holding above 88,500
- Break-and-retest confirmations
- Risk management is critical — volatility expansion is likely once price leaves this compression.
Summary
Bitcoin has completed a liquidity sweep into demand and is showing early signs of a trend reversal on the 1H timeframe.
As long as price holds above the demand zone, the bias remains bullish toward higher liquidity and resistance targets.
This is not a random bounce it is structured price behavior driven by liquidity and positioning.
Weekly Update #48 Dec 15 2025: The 2D CrossWeekly Update #48 Dec 15 2025
BTC has broken below its triangular wedge following consolidation at the Weekly 100 EMA. This supports the earlier analysis for a move toward the secondary buying zone at $77k, unless the Weekly 21 EMA is hit first.
Catalyst & Rejection: The approaching 2D Death Cross could trigger volatile sell-offs, accelerating a drop toward $77k. Any subsequent recovery will likely meet significant resistance at the Weekly 21 EMA (estimated 100k-103k), which coincides with the Death Cross point—making this the prime area for a rejection.
Summary: Key levels are $77-74k (additional buy zone) and 100k-103k (resistance/rejection zone).
The bears are almost doneETH is holding a major high-timeframe support zone and sellers are losing momentum. Downside pressure is fading, with bullish divergence starting to show across momentum.
Volume is declining into support, suggesting absorption rather than aggressive selling. If ETH can reclaim the nearby range level, there’s room toward the next high-volume area above. Lose this level, and price likely revisits lower demand.
This is a key decision zone for ETH.
What’s your bias here?
Gold at $4,300: A Structural Bull Market Takes ShapeGold’s surge to a new all-time high at $4,300 is not a short-lived spike, but a confirmation of a broader structural trend. A 62% gain in 2025, 150% over three years, and consistent outperformance versus bonds signal a shift: gold is no longer just a cyclical hedge, but a long-term strategic asset. Falling yields, persistent inflation risks, and a weakening USD continue to attract sustained institutional inflows.
On the H1 chart, price action reflects a textbook re-accumulation phase. Fair Value Gaps are created and efficiently filled, indicating controlled pullbacks rather than distribution. Gold remains firmly above a rising Ichimoku cloud, keeping bullish momentum intact. The recent dip merely absorbed liquidity around the 4,305–4,315 zone before price stabilized again.
As long as gold holds above that support, the next upside extension toward 4,335–4,350 remains likely. A decisive breakout could open the door toward the 4,375–4,400 region, aligning technical structure with increasingly bullish long-term projections from major institutions.






















