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NZDUSD Will Go Higher! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 0.572. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 0.575 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
AUDJPYAUDJPY Current Cash Rate 3.60% AUDJPY RATE =97,869 AU10Y=4.319% Next Monetary Policy Meeting November 3–4, 2025 HEAD OF RBA Michele Bullock JPY JP10Y=1.6955 BOJ RATE =0.5% The next BoJ interest rate decision is scheduled for October 29–30, 2025. BoJ Governor The current Governor of the Bank of Japan is Kazuo Ueda. Governor Ueda emphasizes a flexible, data-driven approach, balancing inflation goals with global economic uncertainties. Inflation Outlook The BoJ raised its core consumer inflation forecast for fiscal year 2025 to 2.7%, up from 2.2% projected earlier. Inflation is expected to ease to about 1.8% in fiscal 2026 and approach the 2% target by fiscal 2027. Inflation pressures stem mainly from food prices, wages, and energy costs, with underlying inflation accelerating gradually. Risks to inflation and growth include global trade uncertainties, rising input costs, and yen depreciation. Market and Expert Views Many economists expect a gradual return to tighter policy, with a rate hike of 25 basis points possible by late 2025 or early 2026, though some advisers suggest December or later to allow economic adjustment. The BoJ is also starting to reduce asset holdings, including ETFs and real estate investment trusts, signaling steps toward policy normalization. Political shifts in Japan increase uncertainty on the exact pace of future tightening. interest rate differential=3.60%-0.5%=3.1% favor AUD LONG bond yield differential=4.319%-1.6955%=2.6235% carry trade advantage risky but favor AUD LONG traders are cautious due to shift in politics and the new PM RHETORICS ON BOJ HANDLING. AUDJPY Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) suggests that the expected change in exchange rates between two currencies should offset the interest rate differential between the two countries. In the case of AUDJPY: Interest Rate Differential: Australia’s cash rate currently stands near 3.60% to 4.10% (RBA rate). Japan maintains a much lower rate around -0.05% (BOJ rate). AUDJPY Exchange Rate: Stronger Australian rates relative to Japan tend to put upward pressure on AUDJPY, aligning with UIP. UIP Implication: Based on UIP, the higher yield on Australian bonds relative to Japanese bonds should be offset by a corresponding expected depreciation of AUD versus JPY. However, in practice, risk premiums, market sentiment, and capital flows cause deviations from perfect UIP. Current Market Observation: The AUDJPY exchange rate reflects the yield differential but also factors in risk appetite, commodity cycles, and global uncertainties, leading to short-term deviations from UIP predictions. Conclusion AUDJPY movements are influenced by UIP as the interest rate differential favors higher Australian yields, but deviations occur due to risk premiums, market positioning, and global macro factors. Monitoring yield spreads and economic data from both countries is crucial to understanding AUDJPY dynamics. AUDJPY Covered Interest Parity Covered Interest Parity (CIP) states that the forward exchange rate between two currencies should offset the interest rate differential, removing arbitrage opportunities when hedging exchange rate risk. Forward contracts are priced close to the interest rate differential, aligning with CIP expectations. CIP Condition: Given the higher Australian rates, the forward price for AUDJPY usually shows the AUD trading at a forward discount to offset potential interest gains. Market Observations: The AUDJPY forward curve largely adheres to CIP, with small deviations driven by liquidity, counterparty risks, and market frictions. Major banks and institutional traders use CIP-related arbitrage strategies in the FX swaps and forward markets. Conclusion The Covered Interest Parity for AUDJPY holds fairly well in 2025, meaning forward exchange rates adjust to interest rate differentials between Australia and Japan, preventing arbitrage after hedging currency risk. Small deviations exist but are generally insignificant in liquid markets like AUDJPY. #AUDJPY #AU10Y #JP10Y
Long
by Shavyfxhub
XAU/USD – Bearish Continuation Outlook (Smart Money Framework)XAU/USD – Bearish Continuation Outlook (Smart Money Framework) 🧭 Market Structure Overview The major structure is bearish — confirmed by a Market Structure Break (MSB) after the last swing high. Every bullish move since then is viewed as a retracement into premium price for better short entries. Smart Money likely accumulating shorts above internal liquidity levels before driving price lower. 🟩 Premium Supply Zones (Sell Areas) 1️⃣ Be-BB (Bearish Breaker Block) → 4,180 – 4,240 💣 Main shorting area Price expected to tap this level to mitigate sell-side imbalance. Watch for liquidity grab above 4,060 before reversal. Confirmation: bearish engulfing or BOS on lower timeframes (LTF). 2️⃣ Be-OB (Bearish Order Block) → 4,260 – 4,320 🚫 Last line of defense for bears If price reaches here, expect a strong rejection due to trapped buyers and institutional orders. Perfect “last tap” zone before deep markdown. 🟥 Discount Demand Zones (Targets) 🔻 Primary Demand Zone Area → 3,820 – 3,870 Previous accumulation zone (high-volume node). Take-profit target for swing shorts. Potential re-entry area for Smart Money to reload buys later. 🎯 Expected final destination if bearish pressure sustains. 📉 Bearish Scenarios ⚔️ Scenario 1 – Textbook Smart Money Setup Price retraces to 4,060–4,180 zone (Be-BB). Liquidity grab above 4,060 (previous high). Bearish rejection → BOS → Sell continuation. Targets: 3,939 → 3,870 → 3,820. 💥 Most probable scenario. ⚔️ Scenario 2 – Deep Retracement Then Dump Bulls push higher into 4,260 (Be-OB). Liquidity sweep and institutional fill. Massive rejection → sell-off continuation. 🔥 Deeper pullback = bigger sell move later.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ZACKFX7
1
BTCUSD – Potential CHOCH Before Bullish Continuation |SMCAThe Bitcoin market continues to maintain a strong uptrend structure. Previously, price formed a Double Top, followed by a Change of Character (CHOCH) that led to the creation of a new Higher High — confirming bullish strength. Currently, the market has printed another Double Top, suggesting the potential for another CHOCH or short-term retracement. A move toward the Bullish Order Block (BU-OB) could provide a point of interest before the next leg higher and continuation of the overall bullish trend. 💬 Share your thoughts below — what do you think the next move will be? 👍 Don’t forget to like and follow for more structured Smart Money Concept analyses.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ZACKFX7
4
BTC WAIT FOR THE CRACK!After months of repeated warnings throughout the year about crypto's vulnerability, we’ve now arrived at a critical inflection point. If Bitcoin breaks down here, it could trigger a waterfall decline — potentially into a bidless market. This is a major level. What happens next could define the next phase for the entire crypto space. Stay alert. It's better to be out of the market wishing you were in than out of the market wishing you were out! No one is forcing you to be in the market! Click boost, like, and subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers! ))
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RealMacro
40
What will happen to gold on November 3rd? I. Market Analysis Trend Structure Weekly Chart: Price is below the 5-week moving average, with the MACD showing a bearish crossover. Bearish forces dominate in the near term. However, the long-term ascending trendline support is near $3900. The long-term trend remains cautiously bullish as long as this level holds decisively. Daily Chart: Moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and the Bollinger Bands are expanding downward, with price pressured near the middle/lower band. Key resistance is at 4046. Support is focused in the 3972-3950 zone. A break below 3972 could lead to a further decline towards 3950-3900. Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zone: 4010 (Weakness Boundary) → 4023-4035 (Core Short Area) → 4047-4055 (Strong Resistance). Support Zone: 3980 (Initial Support) → 3950-3955 (Long Area) → 3915-3885 (Deep Correction Target). II. Trading Strategy Core Idea: Prioritize selling on rallies, with opportunistic buying near key support levels. Strict risk control is essential. Short Strategy (Primary) Entry Zone: Enter short positions in batches between 4030-4035. Consider adding to shorts if price reaches 4047-4055. Stop Loss: Above 4040-4060 (Adjust flexibly between 8-10 pips based on position size). Targets: First target 3980, Second target 3960-3950 (Hold if broken). Long Strategy (Secondary) Entry Condition: Consider light long positions upon stabilization in the 3950-3955 zone after a pullback. Stop Loss: Below 3940 (8-10 pips). Targets: First target 3980-4000, Second target 4010 (Follow up if broken). III. Risk Control Essentials Position Management: Single trade position ≤ 5% of capital. Avoid heavy positions. Stop-Loss Discipline: Strictly place stops for shorts above 4060 and for longs below 3940. Contingency Alert: Monitor the US Dollar Index, Fed policy动向, and geopolitical risks closely. Adjust strategies promptly if key levels are breached. IV. Summary Gold's short-term technical posture is bearish, but the long-term trend requires monitoring the effectiveness of the 3900 support. If price rallies and faces resistance in the 4030-4055 zone next Monday, prioritize short entries. If price pulls back and stabilizes near 3950, consider light long positions for a bounce. If price strongly breaks above 4060 or below 3940, a reassessment of the trend will be necessary.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Golden_Opportunities
USD/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are now examining the USD/CAD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 1.396 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EUR/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 6H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.627 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
BTC/USD Looking strong down trend bearish from key resistance🚨 #BTCUSD Market Update (1H Timeframe) 💥 Bitcoin showing strong downtrend momentum after rejecting the key resistance zone at $110,000. 📉 Sellers stepping in aggressively, confirming short-term bearish pressure. 🔹 Key Support Levels: 🟢 $108,500 🟢 $107,200 🟢 $106,500 ⚠️ Watch for potential reactions around these levels for short-term bounces or continuation setups. 💡 Trading Tip: Always use proper risk management — protect your capital first! 👇 Like ❤️ | Follow 🔔 | Comment 💬 | Share 📲 #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCUSD #CryptoMarket #PriceAction
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ExpertTraderASK
3
JP225 Pullback Complete? Next Stop 50K Resistance?🎌 JAPAN225 (JP225): Bullish Retest Play at 786 LSMA - Thief's Layered Entry Strategy 🎯 📊 Market Overview The Nikkei 225 (JP225) is showing bullish confirmation with a pullback retest at the 786 Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA)—a classic swing/day trade setup for those who love precision entries with a side of controlled chaos. 🎰 This isn't your grandma's single-entry trade. We're going full Thief Mode with layered limit orders to maximize positioning while the market does its thing. Think of it as "dollar-cost averaging" but cooler and with more risk. 😎 🎯 Trade Setup 📈 Bias: BULLISH 🔍 Confirmation: Retest & bounce at 786 LSMA support zone ⚡ Strategy: Thief's Layered Entry Method (Multiple Limit Orders) Entry Strategy: The Thief's Ladder Instead of going all-in at one price (boring! 😴), we're layering buy limit orders like a pro: Layer 1: 46,500 Layer 2: 46,800 Layer 3: 47,000 Layer 4: 47,500 💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size. The deeper the pullback, the more contracts you accumulate. This is how the Thief OG's do it. 🦝💼 🛑 Stop Loss Thief's SL: 46,000 ⚠️ Important Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I'm NOT recommending you blindly follow my stop loss. This is your money, your rules. Set your SL based on your own risk tolerance. If you make money, take money—at your own risk. 💰🎲 🎯 Take Profit Target Target Zone: 50,500 Why? This level coincides with: Strong resistance 🧱 Overbought conditions 🔥 Potential bull trap zone 🪤 💡 Exit Strategy: When we hit overbought + resistance, it's time to escape with profits like a true thief in the night. 🌙💨 ⚠️ Another Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I'm NOT saying you MUST take profit here. Scale out, trail your stop, or hold for glory—your choice, your consequences. 🚀 📈 Key Technical Points ✅ 786 LSMA Support: Acting as dynamic support—this is our retest zone ✅ Bullish Structure Intact: Higher lows forming on multiple timeframes ✅ Risk-to-Reward: Solid 1:3+ R:R depending on your layer average ✅ Momentum Confirmation: Watch for bullish divergence on RSI/MACD if you're into that stuff 📊 🌍 Related Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated assets for confirmation: $USD/JPY (DXY correlation): Inverse relationship—weak USD = stronger Yen = potential JP225 boost 💴 SP:SPX (S&P 500): Risk-on sentiment in US markets often lifts JP225 🇺🇸📈 HSI:HSI (Hang Seng Index): Asian market correlation—regional sentiment matters 🇭🇰 TSE:TOPIX (Tokyo Stock Price Index): Direct correlation with broader Japanese equities 🎌 💡 Correlation Play: If US indices are pumping and USD is weakening, JP225 tends to follow the party. 🎉 ⚙️ Risk Management Reminder This is a layered entry strategy—meaning your average entry price will depend on how many layers get filled. The beauty? You're not FOMOing at one level. The downside? You need proper position sizing across layers to avoid overexposure. 🧮 Golden Rule: Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade idea. Thief's honor. 🤝 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #JP225 #Nikkei225 #JapanIndex #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #SwingTrading #DayTrading #LSMA #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexCorrelation #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #TradingView #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradeSmart
ICMARKETS:JP225Long
by The-Thief