Bearish reversal off 50% Fib resistance?Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6718
1st Support: 0.6661
1st Resistance: 0.6752
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Chart Patterns
Bullish bounce?Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3437
1st Support: 1.3407
1st Resistance: 1.3498
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
BCHUSD H4 | Bearish BreakoutThe price is reacting off our sell entry level at 620.10, which is an overlap resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 660.37, which acts as a multi-swing high resistance.
Our take profit is set at 580.20, an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
EASB – BUY Recommendation | Target 6.10Recommendation: BUY based on accumulation after a strong downtrend and improving price stability.
Stop-loss: below the accumulation range low / last swing low (daily close).
Take-profit: partial at nearest resistance, final target 6.10.
High risk / high volatility. Trade with proper position sizing.
This is my market opinion, not guaranteed results.
DXY H1 | Bullish Bounce OffThe price has bounced off our buy entry level at 98.35, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Our stop loss is set at 98.14, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 98.85, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
Xauusd UP(Educational | Non-Executable | Peace-Driven)
Market: Gold (XAUUSD)
Context: Multi-Timeframe Market Observation
Intent: Educational & Conceptual Analysis
⸻
Market Structure
Gold continues to trade within a constructive bullish structure on higher timeframes.
Price behavior shows:
• Trend-aligned movement
• Controlled pauses after strong impulses
This reflects market balance, not randomness.
⸻
Price Behavior & Liquidity (Conceptual View)
Markets naturally revisit prior activity zones where participation previously occurred.
This behavior represents:
• Re-engagement
• Order balancing
• Healthy price discovery
Such movements are a normal part of market mechanics.
⸻
Time & Market Rhythm
Price does not move linearly.
Instead, it progresses through cycles of expansion and pause.
Current behavior suggests:
• A short-term pause
• Within a broader trend framework
Patience and structure awareness remain key.
⸻
Risk & Responsibility
This insight intentionally avoids:
• Trade execution details
• Specific price levels
• Time-based instructions
Its purpose is to encourage:
• Independent thinking
• Risk awareness
• Calm decision-making
⸻
Educational Conclusion
As long as the broader structure remains intact, gold continues to reflect trend-consistent behavior.
Short-term fluctuations should be seen as part of market rhythm, not emotional triggers.
Markets reward understanding — not fear.
Navigating a Pivotal Merger Amidst Deep Investor SkepticismStrive Asset Management LLC (NASDAQ: ASST): Navigating a Pivotal Merger Amidst Deep Investor Skepticism and Technical Weakness
Strive Asset Management LLC (NASDAQ: ASST) found itself among Tuesday's most significant decliners, extending a prolonged period of pronounced weakness that has become emblematic of the stock's recent history. The shares dropped 5.35% to close at $0.7320, marking a third consecutive day of losses. This persistent selling pressure reflects a market grappling with a vacuum of fresh, positive catalysts to spur buying interest, overshadowing the company's recent strategic announcements. Notably, Tuesday's close also represented a critical compliance milestone—or rather, a continued failure to meet it. It was the 13th consecutive trading day ASST has closed below the Nasdaq's critical $1.00 minimum bid price requirement, a technical breach that places the company on a precarious path toward potential forced delisting if not remedied within the mandated grace period.
Amidst this bleak price action, management has signaled a commitment to shareholder returns, at least for a specific class of investors. The company announced an increase in its annual dividend rate for preferred stockholders, raising it from 12% to 12.25%. This enhanced dividend, to be paid in monthly installments starting in January 2026, will see its first payout of $1.0208 per share distributed on January 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of January 1, 2026. Strive framed this move as a reflection of its "continued commitment to enhancing shareholder value while maintaining disciplined management of its capital structure." However, this gesture toward preferred shareholders stands in stark contrast to the severe erosion of value experienced by common stockholders.
The dominant narrative surrounding ASST, and the primary source of both its speculative appeal and deep-seated investor anxiety, is its pending all-stock merger with Semler Scientific Inc. (SMLR). If approved by shareholders in a vote concluding on January 13, 2026, this transaction would be transformative. The merger aims to combine operations to create a new entity holding a combined treasury of approximately 13,000 Bitcoin (BTC), instantly catapulting it into the ranks of the top 11 publicly traded companies globally by Bitcoin holdings.
The strategic intent behind this consolidation is profound. It represents more than an asset merger; it is a fundamental pivot toward establishing a Bitcoin-centric corporate and financial model. The combined company would emulate and expand upon the strategy pioneered by firms like MicroStrategy, offering institutional investors—who may face regulatory or operational barriers to direct cryptocurrency ownership—a novel pathway to gain Bitcoin exposure through traditional equity markets. Furthermore, the merger is structured to unlock value beyond passive Bitcoin holding. By leveraging Strive's existing digital credit platform, the new entity plans to actively deploy its substantial Bitcoin treasury within the burgeoning digital credit market, aiming to generate accretive financing opportunities and new revenue streams that enhance long-term shareholder value.
The terms of the deal specify an exchange ratio of 21.05x, meaning shareholders of Semler Scientific (SMLR) would receive 21.05 shares of ASST for every single SMLR share they own. The leadership of both companies has been vocal in their advocacy. Strive CEO Matt Cole has publicly urged shareholders to vote in favor, citing a supportive recommendation from Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS), a leading independent proxy advisory firm. Eric Semler, Chairman of Semler Scientific, has emphasized the strategic scale achieved by a ~13,000 BTC treasury, stating it "enhances Strive’s ability to pursue accretive financing opportunities... and maximize long-term shareholder value." He has confirmed his intention to join Strive's board post-merger to help steer this vision.
However, this ambitious strategic vision is clouded by stark market reality and mixed investor sentiment. A critical point of contention is the exchange ratio itself. Given the precipitous decline in ASST's share price—which has plummeted approximately 96% from its 2023 highs near $18 to current sub-dollar levels—some SMLR shareholders question whether the 21.05x ratio adequately compensates them for the value of their company, especially in light of SMLR's own recent 50% price decline. The dramatic fall in ASST raises fundamental questions about the implied valuation of the merger and the market's confidence in the combined entity's near-term prospects.
Technical Outlook and Strategic Levels
From a chart perspective, ASST is entrenched in a severe downtrend with critical levels defining its risk and potential reward profile.
Immediate Support: The nearest significant technical support is identified at $0.8000. A sustained hold above this level would be the first minor sign of stabilization, though the overwhelming downtrend makes any rally from here a significant challenge.
Resistance & Profit-Taking Targets: Should a profound bullish reversal materialize, potentially catalyzed by a successful merger vote and a subsequent shift in market perception, two primary upside targets emerge. The first and more conservative take-profit zone is set at $3.00, which would represent a monumental recovery. A more ambitious target, signaling a full-scale market reassessment of the company's Bitcoin-centric business model, is established at $5.00.
Bottom Line
Strive Asset Management (ASST) stands at a critical crossroads. The pending merger with Semler Scientific offers a visionary, high-stakes pathway to becoming a major player in the corporate Bitcoin treasury arena, with a plan to actively monetize its holdings. Yet, this promise is severely tempered by immediate existential threats—including potential Nasdaq delisting due to the sub-$1 share price—and profound investor skepticism reflected in the stock's catastrophic decline. The upcoming shareholder vote on January 13, 2026, is not merely a corporate formality but a decisive referendum on this bold strategy. For speculative investors, the extreme technical weakness presents high risk, while the ambitious merger thesis and defined technical targets offer asymmetric reward potential. The outcome will likely hinge on whether the market begins to value the strategic Bitcoin treasury potential over the current narrative of compliance risk and capital erosion.
Hanging Man Pattern on USDJPY may go shortHanging Man Pattern on USDJPY may go short
- Interest Rate decision date 01/19
- At a near all time high level since Jan 10th 2025
- May continue down
- BOJ has stated they will be performing interest rate increases which could make the Japanese YEN stronger
USD
- Powell is under investigation
- War is constantly going
- Interest Rate cut demands for credit lending
Bullish reversal setup?Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.1643
1st Support: 1.1617
1st Resistance: 1.1698
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fib resistance?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 99.01
1st Support: 98.63
1st Resistance: 99.23
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
A clean hold confirms bullish continuation.Price is reacting from a well-defined demand zone at 4592–4596, which previously acted as a consolidation and breakout base. The pullback appears corrective after an impulsive bullish leg, indicating trend continuation rather than reversal. Buyers are defending this level, suggesting absorption of selling pressure. As long as price holds above this support, the market is likely to rotate higher, targeting the near-term resistance / supply zone around 4614, where prior highs and liquidity rest. A clean hold confirms bullish continuation.
Why is Monero (XMR) rising right now?Why is Monero (XMR) rising right now?
The situation surrounding Venezuela has created a “perfect storm” for private cryptocurrencies for three reasons:
The arrest of Nicolas Maduro and the hunt for assets: After Maduro and his entourage were captured by US forces (early January 2026), US regulators and exchanges began a total audit of all transactions related to Venezuela. In response, those who want to hide the origin of their funds (including state-affiliated structures and the Cartel de los Soles) are switching en masse from transparent Bitcoin to Monero.
“Flight to privacy” amid sanctions: New tough sanctions against Latin American financial networks are forcing even legal businesses to look for ways to circumvent the blockades. Monero, which uses ring signatures and hidden addresses, remains the only reliable tool for anonymous transfers.
Competitor crisis (Zcash): The crisis in the Zcash ecosystem gave XMR an additional boost. After the departure of the key ZEC development team on January 9, Monero has finally established itself as the “king of privacy coins,” and capital is flowing into it as a more stable asset.
GOLD XAUUSD 4566-4555 DEMAND FLOOR
4533-4538 DEMAND FLOOR
4727-4700 SUPPLY ROOF
GOLD IS STILL GOING UP AND THE BREAK OF THE 1HR ROOF WILL BE MY SELL ZONE AND WE WILL COMMUNICATE THE SELL ZONE BY MARKET OPEN TOMORROW.
what is GOLD XAUUSD ??
Gold (Au) is a chemical element and dense, malleable transition metal prized for its lustrous yellow hue, exceptional conductivity, and resistance to corrosion.
History as Store of Value
Gold has served as a store of value for over 6,000 years, from ancient Egyptian tombs (c. 4000 BCE) symbolizing immortality to Lydian coins (600 BCE) enabling standardized trade across empires like Rome (aureus) and Byzantium (solidus, stable 700+ years). The 19th-century gold standard anchored global currencies until 20th-century abandonments, yet gold retains purchasing power
Tier 1 Status Clarification
Gold classifies as a Tier 1 asset under Basel III banking rules , with 0% risk weighting for physical bullion, equivalent to cash for capital reserves, enhancing bank balance sheets amid fiat volatility. This elevates it from prior Tier 3 status, affirming its role as "money again."
#GOLD #XAUUSD
GBPUSD, 15m Shortscurrently waiting for price to break the 15m structure low, if this does happen than there is 3 targets i am aiming for which are listed in the snapshot. But keeping in mind on a higher time frame this is a very bullish pair at the moment, we will see how it plays out and wait for further confirmation before continuing.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 1/13/2026As mentioned yesterday, 4550 resistance is the key for bulls and bears. Currently, with this level being broken, I am switching my view to be bullish. I will look for bullish continuations for today. I will buy from 4570. My first target is 4662. Ultimate target for today is 4700.
S&P500 - Be vigilant with longs and know when to stop!S&P500 - Despite price making a new high, I'm not yet convinced we're out of the wood and I'm prepared for any type of price action.
But as the saying goes, Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful . (by Warren Buffett).
That said, don't be ignorant to the risk and be ready to abandon ship if the signs say so!
What bothers me is that we haven't yet seen any good correction despite the pending civil war in the US and the general gloomy view around the world. We only got a 5% correction and it last 20 to 40days depending on your own view.
So, we're at risk of seeing a deeper retracement (~10% to 20%) that can take quite a few weeks if not months to resolve, thus I do not wish to have my capital lock in that case.
As I stated on my previous post, my watchlists are showing signs of improvement thus I'm ready to try some longs but I have those 3 scenarios in my mind in case we see a shift in power in favor of bears.
TLDR; To make it simple, it's okay to play the long side as long as price, those coming days, does not close below the 10EMA and 20EMA (respectively pink and blue on my charts).






















