Be Caution About Opening Any Long Position🥱 Since 2017, I have never seen the crypto market this boring and stagnant. The best strategy in such conditions is simply to stay away from trading, because the risk-to-reward ratio of any trade at the moment is not attractive enough to justify entering.
👉 Anyway, let’s take a look at Bitcoin’s current situation.
📥 The $123,000 zone acted as a key resistance, and in my view, the second rejection should be considered as wave B, At the moment, we are in the cycle of wave C
📉 I believe wave C still has one more leg down toward the $104,000 area, as wave 5 of C.
👉 As long as the price is trading below the $113,000 range, entering any long positions is not recommended.
Chart Patterns
XAUUSD 1H – Rising Channel | Possible Rejection | CORRECTIONFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price is trading inside a rising channel, recently hitting an overextended zone near 3675 where sellers stepped in. Current movement shows bearish rejection with downside pressure.
Market Overview
Gold has been making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming bullish structure. However, the latest rejection from the channel top signals weakness, with sellers taking control in the short term. Demand zones below may provide temporary support, but risk of a breakdown remains if 3626/3613 levels are breached.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Bounce from 3626 zone could send price back toward 3649 and possibly retest 3675.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → A clear break below 3626/3613 opens the path toward 3575, with extended downside into 3511 liquidity zone.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 3649 – 3675
Support 🟢: 3626 – 3613 | 3575 | 3511
Trade Setup (Short-Term)
🎯 Target 1: 3626
🎯 Target 2: 3613
🎯 Target 3: 3575
⛔ Stoploss: 3675 (Invalidation above channel top)
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
REVERSAL OR NOT?✅ If Price Breaks Above:
Enter long (buy) on breakout above the upper orange line.
Use the height of the range to project a potential target (as shown by the blue upward arrow).
Stop-loss typically goes below the range (lower orange line).
❌ If Price Breaks Below:
Enter short (sell) on breakout below the lower orange line.
Target = range height projected downward (blue downward arrow).
Stop-loss typically goes above the upper range line.
Wait for strong confirmation (volume, candle close, or momentum) before entering a breakout.
False breakouts are common in tight consolidations, so risk management is key.
Ready For The Kiwi To Run? NZD/JPY Bullish Setup Unfolding >🚨 NZD/JPY | “Kiwi vs Yen” Thief Layer Strategy 🎭 (Swing/Day Trade)
📝 Trade Idea: Bullish Breakout Pending Plan
Asset: OANDA:NZDJPY (Kiwi vs Yen)
Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan)
Breakout Trigger: Price breakout above 87.900⚡ — bullish candle close beyond Ichimoku Cloud confirms the plan activation.
Entry Style (Thief Layer Strategy):
Using layered buy-limit entries → (87.200), (87.500), (87.700), (87.900).
Layers are adjustable based on trader preference.
Tip: Set a TradingView alarm at breakout zone (87.900) to easily catch activation.
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss (Thief SL): Suggested @86.700 (after breakout confirmation).
Adjust your SL according to your own strategy & risk.
Take Profit (Escape Target): First barricade @89.500.
Exit before resistance traps the move.
Reminder: SL/TP levels shared are for educational reference — please adapt to your own risk tolerance.
🔎 Why This Plan? (Thief Strategy + Market Data)
📊 Real-Time Market Data (Sep 9, 2025)
Spot Rate: 87.57 JPY per 1 NZD
Daily Change: +0.05% 📈
Trend: Slightly bullish intraday
😊😟 Trader Sentiment
Retail Traders → Long: 45% 🟢 | Short: 55% 🔴
Institutions → Long: 50% 🟢 | Short: 50% 🔴
Retail lean bearish, institutions balanced → setup may favor breakout traps.
😨😄 Fear & Greed Index
Current Level: 52 → Neutral 😐
Market mood balanced, no extreme fear/greed force at play.
📋 Fundamental Score → 60/100
NZD drivers: RBNZ steady policy + resilient commodity exports 🧀🌾
JPY drivers: BoJ normalization + strong wage growth 💴
Overall: Balanced, slight NZD edge from steady exports.
🌍 Macro Score → 55/100
Global risk appetite: Neutral 📊
Japan wage growth (+4.1% YoY) → supports JPY 💪
NZ exports stable despite weather risks ☁️
Macro balanced, no strong bias but breakout setups viable.
🐂🐻 Overall Outlook
Neutral-to-Bullish Bias: Fundamentals and macro are balanced, but Ichimoku breakout with thief layering adds bullish opportunity window.
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:AUDJPY | OANDA:NZDUSD | FX:USDJPY | OANDA:CADJPY
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NZDJPY #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Ichimoku #Breakout #LayerStrategy #KiwiVsYen #ThiefTrader
Is gold at its peak?Gold has staged a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" move. The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data was bullish for gold, yet gold plummeted after the data release. There’s no need for confusion—it’s not as you might think, that bullish data means the price rises and bearish data means it falls. If it were that simple, everyone would be making money.
Data and fundamentals are reflected in prices, but such reflections can be ahead of time, lagging, exceeding expectations, or falling short of expectations. Judging which scenario it is depends solely on the historical database one has accumulated and long-term real-trading experience.
Today, I added to my gold positions twice and am still holding them. Even if the price falls further, my profits won’t decrease. This is because I believe today’s decline is most likely a result of some profit-taking traders closing their positions on the opportunity—after all, there have been no major bearish factors in the fundamentals yet. Whether a daily-level correction will occur still requires further observation. After all, since the rally started on August 20, there has been no real daily-level correction except for the sharp intraday pullback on September 4, and a correction would actually make the trend healthier.
The period from now to next week is a critical short-term window for gold. I will closely track and analyze the market every day. If you lose your direction in such a market, you can follow me or leave me a message.
Neocloud, AI and & GPU ConstraintsNebius just secured a monsterous deal with Microsoft, the stock is on fire. Hyperscalers cannot get enough GPU power, the demand for AI is insatiable. I've been in a long position on Coreweave and Nebius, feel free to drop a comment if you'd like my TA on that - i'd be happy to share how I caught the low on that. I do not share every single trade idea on this platform, but I have given you my trade idea on Coreweave - so far, it's looking good.
I went into accumulation mode in the low 80s, if you follow my linked trade idea on it you will see I made this call whilst the token unlock fear had gripped the market. Why did I go long?
We bounced of the value area low, the golden pocket retracement provided a level of support. Now that the market is waking up to the strong business proposition of Neoclouds like Coreweave and Nebius again, it's good timing to show you my chart on this.
Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
EUR/USD Reverses as Treasury Yields Drift Higher on Tuesday EUR/USD rates reversed from their yearly high on Tuesday as U.S. Treasury yields moved to their highs of the day. French President Emmanuel Macron announced that he would appoint Defense Minister Sebastien Lecornu as the next Prime Minister following the collapse of the government yesterday. Traders are now turning their attention to the PPI release out of the United States on Wednesday morning.
EUR/USD rates fell back into their multi-week trading range that’s been carved out since the beginning of August. The range, broadly speaking, from 1.16 to 1.1750, has potentially been part of a months-long topping process that the pair has been undergoing. A reversal back into the range suggests a return to the other side; support comes in play at 1.16, both in the form of the range low and the uptrend from the February, March, and August swing lows.
CHF/JPY Near Strong Res Area , Short Valid To Get 150 Pips !Here is my opinion on 8H CHF/JPY Chart , the price touch a very strong res area that forced the price to respect it and go down for more than 500 pips for 5 times , and now the price touch it and moved 30 pips to downside so now i`m waiting the price to go back to retest the same area again and give me a good bearish price action to can enter a sell trade and we can targeting from 100 : 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above my res area this idea will not be valid anymore .
Entry Reasons :
1- Very Strong Daily Res Area .
2- Perfect Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger Time Frames Confirmed .
Can gold continue to rise? Where are the opportunities?Gold prices continued their upward trend yesterday, rising without a pullback. We missed out on this rally. While regretful, I have no regrets. At times like these, we must remain cautious.
The price of gold is now at a record high. Without the previous top position as a reference, it is difficult to judge from where it will pull back, so we would rather do nothing than make mistakes.
Of course, if a good trading opportunity arises, we must seize it.
Looking at the trend range on the 1-hour chart, we are currently trading above the range. Therefore, my advice is not to chase the rally; it's best to wait for a correction and stabilization before entering the market.
3630 is today's low, and 3640 is yesterday's high. Therefore, we can wait for gold prices to retest the 3630-3640 range. If it stabilizes, we can enter the market. Otherwise, if it breaks, we'll look to the 3600 mark.
Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish characteristics.Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish characteristics.
News Summary:
The market awaits the revised annual non-farm payroll data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, to be released on September 9th.
Several institutions predict that this revision will significantly reduce employment growth.
A significant downward revision to employment growth will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease policy.
Summary: This revised data may further reinforce market expectations of rate cuts, providing additional support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Gold prices are currently forming an ascending triangle pattern that is converging and accelerating upward.
Currently, key trend support levels are: 3580-3600.
Gold prices have risen for three consecutive weeks and are expected to continue their upward trend this week, with a high probability of breaking through the 3700 mark.
Buying at low prices remains the most stable way to profit in day trading.
Next, we will review several key points to note.
1: As long as the gold price is above $3600, it should be considered a strong bullish trend.
2: As long as the gold price is above $3,500, the trend will not reverse to a bearish one and can only be considered bullish within a wide range.
3: The current intraday trading strategy is to buy on dips.
4: Current resistance levels: 3,660-3,680, breakout target: 3,700+.
5: Current support levels: 3,640, 3,620, 3,615, 3,600, 3,580 (use these support levels to enter long positions and set stop-loss orders).
6: As gold prices accelerate, vigilance is crucial. The risk of a potential waterfall-like market correction is increasing.
The possibility of a significant range-bound correction is inevitable, so risk management must be carefully considered when trading intraday.
Summary: The gold market has shown strong bullish characteristics during this period, with both technical and news factors supporting further price increases.
Short-term traders: We recommend a buy-on-retracement strategy, focusing on the $3,625-3,600 support area. As long as gold prices retreat to support levels of 3600 or 3585 and stabilize, it's time to follow the upward trend.
On the upside, focus on the resistance levels of 3650-3660 in the short term.
Medium-term investors can build positions in batches, gradually increasing their positions as gold prices retreat to key support levels.
Looking ahead, we expect gold prices to rise towards $3700/oz, $3750/oz, and even $3800/oz.
Medium-term investors can keep an eye on these target levels.
XAU/USD Analysis: 3 Reasons Why Gold’s Rally Might PauseXAU/USD Analysis: 3 Reasons Why Gold’s Rally Might Pause
Today’s XAU/USD chart shows that gold continues to set records in September. The price has risen above $3,650 per ounce for the first time in history – one of the main drivers being expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut on Wednesday, 17 September.
Easier monetary policy is generally seen as boosting gold’s appeal – this has pushed XAU/USD nearly 6% higher since the start of September. However, the chart highlights three reasons why further upside may be limited.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
1. Long-term channel:
Over the course of 2025, gold price movements have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), and today XAU/USD is trading close to its median line. This is where supply and demand typically balance out. Buyers may consider the post-September rally overstretched, while sellers could view the all-time high as an opportunity to take profits.
2. Rectangle pattern target reached:
The range between $3,250 and $3,440 that developed mid-year can be interpreted as a rectangle pattern. Following the bullish breakout, the implied target of $3,630 has already been achieved.
3. RSI signals risk:
The RSI indicator is close to forming a bearish divergence.
Given the steep angle of the orange support line, a correction – for example, towards the psychological level of $3,550 – might occur.
In summary, gold’s upward momentum may start to slow. At the same time, given the market’s inertia, traders may have little reason to expect a decisive shift away from bullish dominance. Still, next Wednesday could bring surprises.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Is the gold price still rising, targeting 3700?Is the gold price still rising, targeting 3700?
As shown in Figure 2h,
1: The orange rising channel becomes the primary rising channel.
2: The white triangle becomes the breakout triangle of the previous uptrend.
Based on these two technical patterns, we draw the following conclusions:
Current trend support level: 3600
Current key support level: 3628
Current uptrend targets: 3660-3680-3700
3: Trading strategy:
As long as the gold price is above $3628, enter a low-cost long position with a stop-loss at $3625.
As long as the gold price is above $3600, the bullish trend remains the primary trend, and there is no possibility of a reversal.
PLAN XAUUSD 09 Sep, 2025✅Related Information:!!!
🎗️ USD continues its downtrend after a brief rebound in Asian trading on Monday, currently at its lowest level in seven weeks against six major currencies.
🎗️There is speculation that the Fed may deliver more than two rate cuts this year. However, attention now shifts to the revision of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, scheduled to be released later in the day, which will cover the period from April 2024 to March 2025.
✅Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3642 zone
BTC/USDT Analysis. Expecting a Breakout of the Local High
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the previously marked sell zone at $112,200–$113,200 (volume area), where we saw only a minor reaction.
The overall context, along with the large cluster of stop orders above $113,500, suggests a high probability of continued upward movement toward the next resistance zones: $114,400–$115,500 (volume area) and ~$116,500 (volume anomaly). At those levels, it will be important to watch for selling pressure, as another significant correction may occur.
Currently, the price is holding above local support at $112,600–$112,000. If buyers manage to protect this zone, we can expect another upward impulse. A breakdown and consolidation below it, however, may extend the decline at least toward the next support.
Buy Zones:
$111,000–$110,600 (volume area)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume area)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 40.925 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 40.796 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USUALUSDT 1D#USUAL is moving within a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart. If it breaks out above the pattern resistance and the daily EMA50, the potential targets are:
🎯 $0.0829
🎯 $0.0997
🎯 $0.1133
🎯 $0.1268
🎯 $0.1461
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and follow proper risk management.
Range formationAs we analyzed yesterday and mentioned, the price was likely to form a range, and now this range has been activated. We need to wait and see whether the price breaks the range from the top or from the bottom. My personal opinion is that the probability of an upside breakout is higher due to the current conditions.
EUR/USD Market WatchEUR/USD is pulling back into a strong support zone. This is exactly where we prepare — not where we predict.
Right now, structure looks good, but we need confirmation before anything else:
✅ Engulfing Candle
✅ Strong Volume
✅ Aligned Momentum
Until those three line up, this is just a setup in progress.
⚔️ War Room Lesson: The market rewards patience. We don’t chase moves — we wait for Structure, Signal, Volume, and Momentum to align before we act.