Gold Watch: Range-Bound Action Until FOMC, Macro Factors in PlayGold Market Analysis — Key Levels in Focus
Gold is currently trading around 4184, showing mixed momentum as the market reacts to multiple macro factors.
Key levels:
Support 1: 4176
Support 2: 4150
Resistance 1: 4218
Resistance 2: 4245
For now, gold is expected to range between 4150 and 4245 ahead of the FOMC announcement.
Bullish case: Increasing chances of a rate cut could push gold to higher levels.
Bearish case: External factors, including China and Japan economic developments, may trigger a downward move toward 4080, especially if the second support (4150) is broken.
Observation: The market remains sensitive to macro developments, and price may oscillate within the range until clear directional catalysts emerge.
Chart Patterns
Gold traded within a rangeIn the short term, gold remains range-bound. It's not advisable to chase higher prices before a valid breakout. The recommended strategy is to buy on dips. Consider entering long positions near 4195. If the price breaks through the 4230 resistance level, add to long positions, targeting the 4245-4255 area. This area represents a resistance zone formed by connecting the previous downtrend highs; a break above this level would signal the start of a daily-level rebound in gold.
In the short term, the market will likely continue to trade within a range; the strategy should be to buy on dips.
1INCH – Long Setup Idea (15m)The weekend range has been fully swept, and price has moved back inside the Monday range. After reclaiming the MDAY-Low, we can see early signs of a shift in momentum, supported by the Total Market Cap structure which also suggests a potential long opportunity.
Price is breaking above the descending trendline while forming a rounded retest structure. My first target is the Monday High (MDAY-H), where a bearish order block sits. I plan to secure 50% profits at that level and let the remainder run if market strength continues.
Invalidation sits below the recent swing low.
MrC
Key resistance ahead of tomorrow’s major news**“Tomorrow, the most important news of 2025 will be released — the U.S. interest rate decision. This announcement is expected to determine the direction of many market trends, including Bitcoin’s. It will show whether the bearish phase is coming to an end or if we’re going to get rejected and continue the downward trend.
In any case, high volatility is likely until tomorrow night, so be cautious with your positions.”**
BTC: Climbed High, Took a Breather, and Said ‘Let’s Keep Going’BTC 3D Technical Outlook
By SpicyPips
Upon analyzing the 3-day chart, we observe that BTC is trading within a well-respected ascending channel, which has held as dynamic support and resistance multiple times.
After reaching its all-time high of $109,637.53, price retraced into the Golden Zone (Fibonacci 61.8%–50%), a key area where buyers stepped in. BTC has since bounced back within the channel, indicating strength and continuation of the bullish cycle.
The current structure suggests a potential move toward our second target aligned with the 127.20% Fibonacci extension at $125,868.39, as long as the channel remains intact.
Capital protection should always come before profit — let risk management be your trading foundation.
Happy Trading,
SpicyPips
PYTH needs to get the party startedPYTH is sitting on a major demand zone, and momentum is finally showing bullish divergence. Sellers look exhausted, and the volume profile above is thin — meaning any reclaim of this level could trigger a sharp relief move.
Hold this zone and PYTH has room to bounce.
Lose it and the chart hunts lower liquidity.
Key moment for PYTH.
What’s your read?
CPB in BUY ZONEMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at either of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow volume spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under top bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $29.28
Target is upper channel around $31.50
Other exits would be moving averages at $30.50 or $31
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent [ 610 PIPS] PROFITsAs I discussed throughout my TODAY'S Commentary
What was my stance & Postions:
I took buy in my early trade from at London session also shared my Setup and target was 4215 which XAUUSD delivered
Second hiting my first Target i have waited for Gold to deliver decent pullback and respect the previous BOS at $4200 - $4195 Belt I found such on $4194-4195 bos test. I have engaged big Lot set of Buying orders again along (#4185 Stop loss ) and closed my orders on $4220 .
I want to take this moment to congratulate the traders who followed my calls and patiently held their orders. Great job — enjoy the profits and have a great weekend.
Massive win of Day
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. My bad for not posting this morning, got sidetracked. We had some JOLTS news today, and tomorrow we have potential rate cuts when the Fed speaks here in the US. Saying that, the one hour chart is marked with my area of interest. Volume is dying down, so for me, I am just watching. Watching to see if we reject or push up a bit more. Patience is key. Big G gets a shout out. Wishing everyone a great day. Tomorrow is the day i will be looking for a potential trade if I can time it. Let's see how things play out. Be well and trade the trend.
Adobe Is Down 20%+ YTD. What Its Chart Says Ahead of EarningsAdobe NASDAQ:ADBE plans to release fiscal Q4 results this week at a time when shares of the creative-software giant and former "Cloud King" are down more than 20% year to date. What do ADBE's chart and fundamental analysis say ahead of the report?
Let's take a look:
Adobe's Fundamental Analysis
ADBE expects to unveil its latest earnings after the bell on Wednesday, with the Street looking for $5.40 in adjusted earnings per share on $6.11 billion of revenue.
That would represent a 12.3% gain from the $4.81 in adjusted EPS that Adobe reported in the same quarter last year, as well as 9% growth from its $5.6 billion of sales in fiscal Q4 2024.
Sales growth has actually been a problem for Adobe in recent years, leaving the stock with a valuation of less than 21x forward earnings. That's below the forward price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 as a whole.
A top-line print like what Wall Street is expecting this week won't help matters, as Adobe has posted 10%-11% year-over-year revenue growth for seven consecutive quarters. A 9% gain this time around would represent the first sub-10% growth over the past two years.
Still, Wall Street's community of sell-side analysts appears unfazed.
Of the 31 analysts that I know of that cover ADBE, 26 have boosted their earnings estimates for the upcoming release since the quarter began, while just one lowered their guidance. (Four have made no changes.)
Adobe's Technical Analysis
Now let's see what ADBE's chart looks like going back some eight months and running through Tuesday morning:
Readers will see that Adobe shares fell out of bed after completing a double-top pattern of bearish reversal back in June (as marked with "Top 1" and "Top 2" boxes at the chart's left).
The stock then went on to develop a descending-triangle pattern of bearish continuance that lasted into October (as marked with thick blue diagonal lines at the chart's center).
That formation appeared to work like a charm at first, but then ADBE found support in the $311 area.
In fact, this all might just be a big inverted head-and-shoulders pattern of bullish reversal, but it's too early to be sure.
Meanwhile, Adobe rose 5%+ Friday to a $346.26 close, retaking its 21-day Exponential Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line above) despite no official company news. Holding that line would likely re-engage the swing crowd.
An even bigger test would be if ADBE can hold its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a squiggly blue line), which I see as Adobe's upside pivot. The stock took that level on Friday.
As for Adobe's other technical indicators, they're looking rather mixed.
The stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) has exited a period of weakness and is now neutral.
Similarly, Adobe's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is showing some life as well.
The histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is now above zero, which is a short-term bullish signal.
The 12-day EMA (the black line) has likewise crossed above the 26-day EMA (the gold line). That's bullish as well -- but both of those lines remain below the zero-bound, which weakens the bullish signal.
An Options Options
Adobe's implied volatility as I write this is calling for a roughly 8% move in the stock's price in response to Wednesday's earnings.
With the stock trading at about $341 Monday afternoon, that would represent about a $27.20 move.
Experienced options traders who aren't averse to risk might choose to employ what's called a "short strangle" in this scenario. That's non-directional strategy used when the trader believes the stock won't move as much as expected.
It's established by selling both a call and put that are out of the money (or "OTM") and have the same expiration dates, while still accounting for implied volatility (or "IV").
Here's an example:
-- Short one ADBE call with a $350 strike price and a Dec. 12 expiration (i.e., post- earnings). This cost about $9 at recent prices.
-- Short one ADBE Dec. 12 $330 put for $7.80 at recent price levels.
Net credit: $16.80.
With a $16.80 net credit, ADBE would either have to trade below $313.20 or above $366.80 at expiration for the options trader to lose money on this set-up.
Should the shares close anywhere between $313.20 and $366.80 at expiration, the options trader would keep the entire $16.80 net credit in the example above.
However, the sale of uncovered options carries significant risk. Shares could trade all the way down to zero or infinitely upward following an earnings release, making the theoretical maximum loss unlimited.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in ADBE at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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BTC Trading Inside a Well-Defined RangeBitcoin continues to move inside a horizontal range with clearly visible zones used by smart money.
🔴 Distribution Zone (sells): 94,000 96,000
This area has repeatedly shown aggressive selling pressure. Smart money hunts liquidity here, taking out short stops and creating short-term reversals. As long as BTC stays below this zone, there is no confirmed bullish breakout.
🔵 Accumulation Zones (buys):
90,000 – 88,500
87,000 – 84,500
These zones show clean, consistent buyer reactions. Every deeper dip gets bought instantly — classic smart-money behavior when building positions step-by-step and defending key levels.
BTC is essentially trading between two zones of major interest.
Top = distribution.
Bottom = accumulation.
This is a typical balance phase before the market chooses a direction.
What matters now:
Price is pushing toward the top of the range without making new lows — buyers still hold the initiative.
But without a breakout above 96K, this remains a range controlled by smart money.
My focus:
Watch who takes initiative at the boundaries
Wait for either a strong breakout above 96K with volume, or a deeper test of the accumulation zones
No predictions inside the range only reacting to clear signals
For now BTC continues to trade in a structure where accumulation and distribution are clearly visible. True decisions happen at the edges.
US30 Short Bias | Resistance Rejection SetupUS30 is showing bearish pressure near the 48,000 zone, which is acting as a short-term resistance area. Price rejection from higher levels suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential continuation to the downside. Lower highs on the intraday timeframe indicate sellers are in control.
Trade Plan:
As long as price remains below 48,050, the bearish setup stays valid. A move toward 47,200 is expected if selling pressure continues. Trail stop once price moves in profit to secure gains.
KEY LEVELS
Entry 48,000
Target 47,200
Stop Lose 48,050






















