Chart Patterns
NZD/CAD ANALYSIS NZD/CAD ANALYSITHIS IS A PLUS SETUP TAKE A LOOKthis is NZD/CAD analysis market overall at the moment is downside trend, but currently the price is going to the major zone which has decided to hold the price immediately then there is also a demand zone which has imbalance also a demand zone which has not been mitigated, therefore it makes it a good place to buy NZD/CAD. in 15 minutes there is a market structure of down trend wait for change of character to happen before starting looking for buying opportunities.
RTY Small Open GapRTY has a small open gap from the Thurs 1 hr break that does not exist on NQ and ES. Pennant breakdown also looks bearish.
ES did not go oversold on RSI last drop like RTY did, so maybe ES melts up and RTY doesn't? Small caps can diverge from NDX and SPX. Also, RTY didn't break out to a new ATH like the otehr 2 indices.
Technical Outlook KSE-100 IndexIssued by: Elite Invest Research Desk
(October 2025 Monthly Review)
🔹 Understanding a Reversal Day
A Reversal Day (or Reversal Candle on higher timeframes) occurs when the market makes a new extreme in the direction of the prevailing trend — a new high in an uptrend or a new low in a downtrend — but then closes in the opposite direction, showing a shift in momentum.
🔍 How to Spot It
In an uptrend, price creates a higher high than the previous period but closes below the prior close → bearish reversal.
In a downtrend, price makes a lower low but closes higher → bullish reversal.
Volume confirmation is key: a reversal is stronger when accompanied by a significant rise in traded volume, indicating institutional activity or profit-taking.
This pattern signals potential exhaustion of the prevailing trend and often marks the beginning of a corrective or opposite phase.
🔹 Current Market Analysis – KSE-100 Index
The KSE-100 Index has delivered a remarkable advance from around 39,000 in early 2023 to a recent peak near 170,000, representing a gain of more than 130,000 points (≈ 330%).
However, the October 2025 monthly candle exhibits classic reversal characteristics:
The index printed a new all-time high near 169,900.
It subsequently closed lower, around 163,300, forming a bearish reversal candle on the monthly timeframe.
Volume surged sharply, reaching one of the highest readings in years — a sign of distribution pressure and profit-booking by large participants.
🔹 Technical Implications
The combination of a reversal candle + high volume suggests that the market’s upward momentum is weakening and that a correction or consolidation phase may follow after this steep, extended run-up.
Outlook
“After an extraordinary 330 % bull run, the KSE-100 is exhibiting early signs of trend exhaustion.
The current monthly candle qualifies as a reversal bar with climactic volume, implying that short- to medium-term caution is warranted.
We expect the market to enter a corrective or consolidation phase before attempting another sustained advance.”
Investors are advised to:
Protect recent gains through partial profit-taking or stop adjustments.
Avoid chasing highs until confirmation of renewed strength.
Gold Weakness Ahead? Watch 4100 and 4160 LevelsThis analysis attempts to anticipate price behavior from the Asian open on Monday through the end of the week, concluding with the monthly candle close on Friday, October 31st. Daily updates will be published throughout the week, God-willing.
This is not a direct buy/sell recommendation.
The focus will be primarily on technical analysis, with short notes on geopolitical and economic catalysts when relevant, as fundamentals are constantly evolving and price only reacts in response to them.
We begin with the Daily Chart to understand the sequence of movement:
Daily Chart
On Friday (17-10-2025), gold printed a historical high at 4380 and closed at 4251.
On Monday (20-10-2025), a double-top formed at 4381, followed by a drop to 4219, and a close at 4356, reflecting a lack of bullish momentum above the 4400 zone.
On Tuesday, price attempted to break above 4381 again but rejected from 4375, initiating a sharp decline to 4081 before closing at 4124, just above the 4100 pivot highlighted in last week’s analysis.
From Wednesday through Friday, we observed lower daily highs (4161 → 4154 → 4144). These stacked resistances are forming accumulating selling pressure. Breaking them is essential to discuss any meaningful bullish continuation.
Despite recent attempts to rise, no daily candle closed above the 10-period moving average, signaling persistent weakness in upward momentum.
Monthly Chart
The October high sits at 4381 and the low at 3819, a $562 range.
The midpoint falls exactly at 4100, a pivotal battleground between bulls and bears. the monthly close may guide broader direction heading into late 2025:
- Closing above 4100 favors a continued bullish structure.
- Closing below 4100 opens room for deeper correction.
The current rally began in August 2025 near 3281, gained momentum after breaking 3500 in September, and extended into present levels.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold 4100 could trigger a Fibonacci-based correction toward 3830 and 3700. Historically, price has pulled back to meet the rising 10-MA before resuming higher. This view may be unpopular, but technical analysis must consider both directions without emotion.
Bullish Scenario
Holding above 4100 while breaking 4144 → 4154 → 4161 may initiate a new upward leg, potentially targeting higher levels detailed in lower timeframes.
Weekly Chart
Nothing structurally new beyond what the monthly chart already reflects, but a breakdown below 4000 could accelerate a deeper move toward 3900 and 3850.
Geopolitical & Macro Catalysts:
These factors may require a separate post or inclusion within daily updates:
- Developments from the Trump–Putin meeting in Hungary.
- Developments from the Trump–Xi meeting.
- New U.S. Treasury sanctions on Russian oil firms.
- Updates on U.S. tariff decisions.
- Updates on potential U.S. government shutdown.
- Federal Reserve rate-cut decision scheduled for 29-10-2025.
The Million-Dollar Question
From someone buying an 8g coin to traders handling millions, everyone is asking the same thing:
Where will gold go next?
Based on current technical structure:
As long as price fails to close above the 10-MA on the daily chart, short-term bias remains bearish, despite the presence of long lower wicks over the last four sessions. These wicks may indicate attempts to rescue price rather than genuine bullish strength.
Key levels to monitor:
- Holding above 4100
- Losing 4000 and staying below it
- Sustained break above 4160
- Break below 4040
Next week is pivotal, and the monthly close is just days away.
Daily follow-ups will be posted, God-willing.
Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Long)
Entry: Above 4124 (aggressive entry from 4118)
Targets:
4130 — 4138 — 4148 — 4154 — 4162 — 4172 — 4187 —
4193 — 4205 — 4224 — 4237 — 4257 — 4267 — 4283 —
4292 — 4308
Bearish Scenario (Short)
Entry: Below 4094
Targets:
4083 — 4078 — 4072 — 4066 — 4060 — 4053 — 4044 —
4037 — 4023 — 4015 — 4011 — 4004 — 3998 — 3984 —
3970 — 3961 — 3952 — 3947 — 3900
* Always remember: Capital protection comes first.
Note
If you find value here, sharing the post supports broader benefit.
Disclaimer
This analysis reflects a personal technical view and does not constitute investment advice.
Trading financial markets involves high risk. Each trader is responsible for their decisions and capital management.
#GoldRider #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #goldprice #technicalanalysis #goldtrading #PriceAction #forextrading #marketoutlook
DYMUSDT 1D#DYM is moving inside a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart and is currently trading near the wedge support line. In case of a bounce, the short-term targets are:
🎯 $0.1320
🎯 $0.1620
In case of a breakout above the wedge resistance and the daily SMA50, the potential targets are:
🎯 $0.1974
🎯 $0.2564
🎯 $0.3041
🎯 $0.3517
🎯 $0.4196
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
XOM: Structural Buy Limit at Multi-Year Trend Confluence.Symbol: XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation
Timeframe: Weekly/4-Hour (Long-Term Structural Swing Trade)
Setup: Major Trend Continuation (Buy Limit)
Trade Thesis: Structural Retest & Fundamental Tailwinds
This XOM setup is a high-conviction long idea driven by a potent blend of macroeconomic factors and strong technical structure confirmed on the weekly chart. We are not chasing the recent high but patiently waiting for the optimal entry.
1. Fundamental Confirmation (The Catalyst):
The recent U.S. sanctions against major Russian oil entities have significantly tightened global supply, acting as a massive, direct fundamental catalyst for crude oil prices (WTI). This tailwind strongly supports XOM's earnings and drives capital rotation into the entire Energy sector.
2. The Structural Confluence (The Optimal Entry Zone):
The price has executed a significant, validated breakout from a multi-week consolidation. We are targeting a highly defensive entry point where multiple support zones align:
Horizontal Support: The zone around $112.50 was the major overhead resistance. Price retesting broken resistance is a high-probability setup for continuation.
Dynamic Support: This zone also coincides with the major multi-year uptrend line visible on the weekly chart. This confluence creates a low-risk, high-reward entry point.
The Mandate: Defining the Rules of Engagement
Our strategy is to use a Buy Limit Order to ensure we only enter the trade at the optimal price, strictly maximizing the Risk/Reward ratio.
Component: Price Rationale (Structural Discipline)
Action: BUY LIMIT Waiting for the necessary structural pullback to the defined support zone.
Entry Price:$112.50 The precise structural retest zone (The Optimal Entry).
Stop Loss: $109.50 Placed below the dynamic multi-year trendline and structural pivot low. The price point where the bullish thesis is structurally invalidated.
Take Profit 1 (De-Risk) $118.00 First major horizontal resistance. This move secures initial profit and allows us to move the SL to break-even (risk-free trade).
Take Profit 2 (Full Potential) $125.00 Targeting the ultimate structural swing high confirmed by the weekly chart.
Projected Risk/Reward ≈1:4.1 We only execute when the R:R is overwhelmingly in our favor.
Status: Order set and awaiting fill. Strict adherence to the SL is paramount.
Disclaimer: This is an educational analysis and not financial advice.
Can NQ1! Push Through $25K+ Resistance Zone?🎯 The Great NQ Heist: Layered Entry Strategy for E-Mini NASDAQ-100 Futures
📊 Market Overview
**Asset:** NQ1! (E-Mini NASDAQ-100 Futures)
**Strategy Type:** Swing/Day Trade - Wealth Accumulation Map
**Bias:** 🐂 **BULLISH**
🎭 The "Gentleman Thief" Layering Strategy
💰 Entry Philosophy: Layer Like a Pro
This setup uses a **sophisticated layering approach** - think of it as strategically placing multiple limit orders to capture the best average entry. You're not going all-in at one price; you're building your position like a chess master.
📍 Suggested Layer Entry Zones:
- 🎯 Layer 1: **24,800**
- 🎯 Layer 2: **24,900**
- 🎯 Layer 3: **25,000**
- 🎯 Layer 4: **25,100**
Note: You can scale in at ANY price level using this layering method. Add more layers based on your position size and risk tolerance. The beauty of this strategy is flexibility - enter where the market gives you opportunity! 🎪
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: **24,700**
⚠️ **Important:** This is MY stop loss level based on technical structure. However, trading is a personal journey - YOU decide your own risk parameters. Protect your capital first, profits second. Your SL should align with YOUR risk tolerance and account size.
🎯 Profit Target
Target Zone: **25,600** 🚀
This level represents a confluence of:
- 💪 Strong resistance zone
- 📈 Overbought conditions
- Potential bull trap area
**Smart Exit Strategy:** As we approach this zone, consider scaling out of positions. Don't get greedy - take profits when the market offers them!
⚠️ **Reminder:** This is MY target projection. You're the captain of your own ship - take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Trail stops, scale out, or hold for moon - your money, your rules! 🌙
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these correlated instruments
- SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ =F** - NASDAQ-100 Futures (spot reference)
- NASDAQ:QQQ - Invesco QQQ Trust (ETF equivalent)
- NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:GOOGL ** - Top NASDAQ-100 components
- NASDAQ:NDX - NASDAQ-100 Index (cash)
- CME_MINI:ES1! - E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (broader market correlation)
📌 Why these matter:** The NASDAQ-100 is tech-heavy, so major tech stocks drive NQ movement. Watch QQQ for retail sentiment and ES for overall risk appetite. When big tech moves, NQ follows! 💻
🎓 Strategy Breakdown
This "layering" or "scaling-in" approach offers several advantages:
- ✅ **Better average entry** - Dollar-cost averaging into position
- ✅ **Reduced timing risk** - Not dependent on perfect entry
- ✅ **Psychological comfort** - Builds confidence as position develops
- ✅ **Flexibility** - Adapt to market conditions in real-time
📢 Final Thoughts
The market rewards patience and discipline. This layered entry strategy is about working WITH the market, not against it. Whether you're a swing trader holding for days or a day trader scalping ticks, the principle remains: **Control your risk, let profits run.** 🏃♂️💨
✨ **If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!**
**⚠️ DISCLAIMER:** This analysis represents a "gentleman thief" style layered trading strategy intended for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade with risk capital you can afford to lose. Make your own trading decisions based on your personal risk tolerance, account size, and market analysis. 🎭📊
#NQ1 #NASDAQ100 #NASDAQFutures #EminiNQ #FuturesTrading #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeringStrategy #ScalingIn #TradingSetup #FuturesMarket #TechFutures #NDX #QQQ #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #BullishSetup
Analysis of crude oil trend next week.Short-term positive factors: "Effective Cycle" and "Support Strength"
The actual impact of Russian sanctions: Supply gap could reach 1.5 million barrels per day
The new sanctions imposed by the US and Europe on October 22 directly cover the overseas settlement accounts of Russian oil companies (Rosneft) and Lukoil. These two companies collectively control 50% of Russia's crude oil exports (approximately 3 million barrels per day). Currently, major buyers such as India and Turkey have suspended the purchase of crude oil from these two companies and turned to the Middle East market, resulting in the spot premium in the Middle East rising from $1.2 per barrel to $2.5 per barrel. However, it should be noted: Russia can transfer part of its exports to China and Iran through "non-dollar settlement", and the actual supply gap may shrink to 100-120 million barrels per day. The positive support is likely to last for 1-2 weeks, after which the market will gradually adapt to the new supply pattern.
"Realistic Support" of Inventory and Refinery Data
According to the US EIA data, as of October 18 of the current week, crude oil inventories decreased by 960,000 barrels (expected to decrease by 500,000 barrels), and the refinery utilization rate rose from 86.8% to 88.6%, reaching a 3-month high. This is due to the end of the seasonal maintenance of US refineries (the maintenance rate in September was 15%, and it dropped to 8% in October), combined with the start of heating oil demand in the Northern Hemisphere (heating oil inventories in October decreased by 8% year-on-year), short-term crude oil purchase demand will remain at a high level, and it can support prices at least until mid-November.
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Next Week
usoil @buy 60.5-61.0
tp:62-62.5
SL:59.5
CADJPY Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 109.219.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 111.127.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 61.42
Target Level: 58.17
Stop Loss: 63.58
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
technical analysis of your chart for USD/CAD (15-minute timeframThe pair is moving within an ascending channel, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
Higher highs and higher lows confirm the ongoing uptrend structure.
🟦 Key Zone
Support Level: 1.3985 – 1.3990
This shaded zone represents a demand area where price previously found strong buying interest.
As long as this level holds, the short-term bullish bias remains valid.
🔹 Price Action Outlook
Price is currently testing the lower trendline of the channel and near the support zone.
A bullish reaction from this level could trigger a bounce toward the mid-channel and potentially the upper resistance.
🎯 Target
Upside Target: 1.4039
This corresponds to the upper boundary of the channel and a previous swing high area.
⚠️ Invalidation / Risk Level
A break below 1.3980 would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a bearish correction toward 1.3965 or lower.
📈 Trading Signal (Summary)
Bias: Bullish (short-term)
Entry Zone: 1.3985 – 1.3995 (support area)
Target: 1.4039
Stop-Loss: Below 1.3980 ICMARKETS:EURUSD ICMARKETS:GBPUSD ICMARKETS:USDJPY ICMARKETS:GBPJPY ICMARKETS:AUDUSD ICMARKETS:USDCAD ICMARKETS:USDCHF ICMARKETS:NZDUSD ICMARKETS:EURJPY ICMARKETS:EURJPY ICMARKETS:AUDJPY ICMARKETS:EURGBP ICMARKETS:GBPAUD ICMARKETS:USDZAR ICMARKETS:USDDKK
Corn Agro Market Strategy Map – Bullish Path Ahead!🚜🌽 CORN Agro Commodities Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
📌 Plan: Bullish (Swing + Day Trade Setup)
✅ Market sentiment favors bullish bias in CORN.
🎯 Swing/Day traders can look for upside continuation until resistance zones.
🎯 Entry Plan (Layering Style Method)
🔑 You can enter at any price, but pullbacks are safer.
Layered Buy Limit Orders (multi-entry strategy):
🟢 417
🟢 420
🟢 422
🟢 425
🟢 427
📌 You can extend or add more layers depending on your personal risk appetite.
🛡️ Stop Loss (Protective Exit)
🚨 Thief SL is placed at 415.
📝 Note: This is my personal style. You can set your own SL depending on your strategy & risk comfort.
🎯 Target Levels (Profit Booking)
🏁 447 → Suggested take-profit zone.
🚔 450 = “Police Barricade” → Acts as a strong resistance + potential trap + overbought zone.
💡 Best practice: Exit at 447 before the heavy resistance wall to lock in profits.
🗣️ Important Note for Readers (Thief OG’s 🕶️)
🙏 This is not financial advice.
⚡ You are free to set your own TP/SL.
📌 I share my strategy map — you manage your own risk.
🏦 Market is open to everyone → take profits in your own style, at your own risk.
🔍 Key Insights & Market Correlations
🌾 Agro Commodity Correlations:
CORN often moves in relation to CAPITALCOM:WHEAT and $SOYBEAN.
Soft commodities like PEPPERSTONE:COFFEE can also reflect agro market sentiment.
💵 Currency Link (Dollar Impact):
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) plays a key role.
Stronger dollar = bearish pressure on commodities.
📈 Indices & Risk Sentiment:
Global equities ( CAPITALCOM:US30 , SP:SPX , NASDAQ:NDX ) indirectly influence commodities via sentiment.
⚡ Energy Connection:
NSE:OIL & FX:NGAS affect input costs → higher energy = higher agro costs.
Farmers & supply chains react, impacting commodity pricing.
📊 Related Pairs to Watch
🌽 CAPITALCOM:CORN
🌾 CAPITALCOM:WHEAT
CAPITALCOM:SOYBEAN
☕ PEPPERSTONE:COFFEE
🛢️ NSE:OIL
💵 TVC:DXY
📊 CAPITALCOM:US30 / SP:SPX / NASDAQ:NDX
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a thief-style trading strategy, designed for fun and community sharing. Not financial advice. Please trade responsibly and at your own risk.
#CORN #AgroCommodities #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #LayeringStrategy #MarketAnalysis #WHEAT #SOYBEAN #COFFEE #DXY #US30 #SPX #Commodities
SUI PUMP? Time to talk about CRYPTOCAP:SUI 💧 As we can see on the chart, everything was looking great and heading toward a new ATH, but then came the total market crash and that infamous “Black Friday” when SUI dropped to 0.50 something I’ll ignore for this analysis since it was just a mix of random events.
Now back to the present. SUI isn’t in its best moment, both because of mistakes from its founders and its current market structure. That leaves us with two possible paths.
First, a double bottom followed by a quick rise toward 3$. Second, a break below that double bottom, a nice liquidity grab, and a rebound from the bullish structure that led to the last high back when everyone thought SUI would return to 5$.
Overall, US news looks pretty positive for crypto, and I don’t see SUI dropping to 1.80$ unless Bitcoin crashes hard. So, my dear bunnies, it’s time to start eyeing a long position targeting around 3.5$ 🐇🚀
US30 WEEK STARTING 27/10US30 ANALYSIS (BULLISH SENTIMENT)
FIB 618-786 OTE = 46850 to 46956
Support @ 47145 to 47165 with PWH overlap
Low volume nodes
Node 1 = 47010 to 47040 (50% fib overlap & H4 FVG)
Node 2 = 46845 to 46925 (FIB Golden Zone OTE & H4 FVG)
Scenarios 1, 2 and 3 are probable plays.
This play expects that we open the new week in the range of PDH or lower.
Should you panic now?TKA took a heavy dip today — and let’s be honest, it probably won’t be the last. The reason lies in the company split: TKMS, its naval division, is now tradable on its own. Naturally, when a split like that happens, market capitalization shrinks, and the price reacts accordingly. Add a few investors who missed the news and panic sold, and you get today’s selloff.
But does that mean our 16 € target is dead and we’re all doomed? Not quite. We got rejected cleanly off the resistance line (-0.236 Fib) right as the blue structure completed — a selloff was inevitable. When the market reacts that fast, it often seeks a deeper retracement, and that’s exactly what I’m watching.
The 0.618 level is where I plan to reload. I like that zone because it would align with the target line, creating a healthy lower low that still holds as a higher low on the larger structure — a textbook sign of a market that’s simply completing its formation, not collapsing.






















