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USDCAD BEARISH Double Top Formation + Momentum Weakness | Short Bias Market: USDCAD Timeframe: 4 Hour Market Context: Potential Trend Exhaustion 🧭 Price Action Breakdown USDCAD has completed a strong bullish leg but is now showing clear signs of exhaustion near a key resistance zone. Price has formed a Double Top structure, indicating that buyers are struggling to push beyond the same high area. This often signals distribution and early reversal behavior. At the same time, price is still holding above an ascending structure, creating a critical decision zone for the market. 📊 Momentum Analysis The RSI is showing bearish divergence: Price → Equal / Higher Highs RSI → Lower Highs This divergence highlights weakening bullish momentum, suggesting that upside continuation is becoming less likely without a deeper pullback. 🧩 Confluence Factors ✔ Double Top at Resistance ✔ Bearish RSI Divergence ✔ Rising Channel / Trendline Test ✔ Compression Below Resistance ✔ Downside Projection Aligned with Structure 🎯 Trade Perspective (Bearish Scenario) Sell Trigger: Breakdown below range support / trendline Invalidation: Clean break and hold above resistance Targets: First support zone Projection level aligned with prior demand Execution Style: Patience-based, confirmation entry 🧠 Trading Insight When a market forms a double top inside an uptrend, it often leads to a corrective move rather than an immediate trend reversal. Momentum divergence strengthens the probability of a healthy pullback before any further continuation. Let price confirm — don’t anticipate. ⚠️ Risk Note This is a reactive setup, not predictive. Wait for structure to break before committing risk. 📢 Disclaimer This idea is for educational purposes only. Always apply proper risk management.
Short
by razashabbir218
A Case Study : NaturalGas Probable price projectionMarket Participants play the role of 1. price discovery 2. shift in the trends and change of cycles 3. Value rotation among different asset classes Market players like Yearly, Halfyearly, Quarterly, Monthly, weekly, Daily, Hourly, and Intraday participants who trade during certain time ranges. Apart form these certain market makers who has ability to shift the entire market cycle. who participate during very crucial times. Coming to Natural gas Price movement Case 1 : A strong green support channel is being held intact from feb-2024 which indicates presence of Mainly Yearly participants if this channel is held intact around 265-275 levels for couple of days may push the price to much higher levels. Case 2: If price breaks down the channel then it may move lower levels.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by HimaKiranKumar88
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart | Price Action Analysis**XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart | Price Action Analysis** **Current price:** ~4,610 ### 📊 Market Structure * Gold is moving **sideways within a defined range** after a strong prior bullish move. * Price recently bounced from the lower range and is now **testing the upper boundary (resistance)**. ### 📉 Moving Averages * **EMA 9 & EMA 21:** Closely aligned and flat → short-term consolidation. * **EMA 50 (≈4,607):** Holding as **key dynamic support**. * Price above EMA 50 keeps the **overall bias neutral to bullish**. ### 🟥 Support Zones * **Immediate support: 4,590 – 4,585** * Strong demand zone where buyers stepped in previously. * **Lower support:** 4,560 – 4,540 * Breakdown below this area may weaken bullish structure. ### 🟩 Resistance Zones * **Immediate resistance: 4,620 – 4,625** * Price is currently reacting here. * **Upper resistance / breakout zone:** 4,650 – 4,670 * A sustained break could open further upside. ### 🔁 Scenarios * **Bullish scenario:** A **clean hourly close above 4,625** may trigger upside continuation toward **4,650+**. * **Bearish scenario:** Rejection from resistance and a **break below 4,585** could lead to a deeper pullback. ### 🧠 Summary (Mind-Safe) * Gold is **range-bound between support and resistance** * **Breakout above resistance = bullish continuation** * **Rejection + support break = corrective move** * Wait for **clear confirmation on H1** *Educational purpose only – not financial advice.*
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Harry_Megat
AUDJPY BEARISHBearish Divergence at Rising Trendline Resistance Market: AUDJPY Timeframe: 1 Hour Bias: Bearish (Short Setup) 🔍 Technical Overview Price is currently trading within a well-defined ascending trendline, respecting higher lows structure. However, despite price printing higher highs, momentum is weakening. On the RSI, a clear bearish divergence has formed: Price → Higher High RSI → Lower High This signals loss of bullish momentum and increases the probability of a pullback or trendline rejection. Additionally, price has reacted from a key resistance zone, aligning with the divergence signal. 📌 Trade Idea (Short Scenario) Entry: After bearish confirmation near resistance / trendline Stop Loss: Above recent swing high Target: Trendline support / previous demand zone Risk–Reward: Favorable (1:2 or better)
Short
by razashabbir218
BTCUSD – 30-Minute Chart | Price Action Analysis**BTCUSD – 30-Minute Chart | Price Action Analysis** **Current price:** ~96,450 ### 📊 Structure & Momentum * BTC remains in a **broader bullish structure**, but short-term price action shows **consolidation after a pullback**. * Price briefly dipped below the short EMAs and is now **attempting to stabilize near S1**. ### 📉 Moving Averages * **EMA 9 & EMA 21:** Flat to slightly bearish → short-term hesitation. * **EMA 50 (≈96,380):** Acting as **dynamic support**. * As long as price holds above EMA 50, the **uptrend structure stays intact**. ### 🟥 Support Zones * **S1: 96,200 – 96,000** * Key intraday support and reaction zone. * **Major support: 95,200 – 94,800** * A breakdown below this area may open **deeper downside**. ### 🟩 Resistance Zones * **Immediate resistance: 96,800 – 97,000** * **Major resistance: 97,400 – 97,800** * A clean breakout and hold above this zone could push price toward **98,800 – 99,000**. ### 🔁 Scenarios * **Bullish:** Holding above **96,000** and reclaiming **97,000** may trigger a move toward higher resistance. * **Bearish:** Failure to hold **95,200** could increase selling pressure toward lower supports. ### 🧠 Summary (Mind-Safe) * Market is **range-bound after a strong move** * **Support holding = potential continuation** * **Support loss = deeper pullback** * Wait for **clear breakout or breakdown confirmation** *For educational purposes only.*
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Harry_Megat
Buy on pullbacks, the strategy remains unchanged! Despite market concerns on Monday, gold opened with a significant surge, continuously reaching new highs near 4630. It currently appears to be entering a sustained upward trend for December. The key medium-term turning point remains the previous 4550 support/resistance level. Short-term trading strategies primarily involve buying on pullbacks without trying to predict the top. This doesn't mean that buying at high levels is impossible; as long as the price stays above 4550, maintain a bullish outlook. The current main trend is an upward consolidation, with the 1-hour Bollinger Bands gradually narrowing, indicating a healthy indicator and a potential direction change. The key focus for the day is the 4550 level (maintain a bullish view above this level). Entering long positions at high levels requires considerable skill. The current market is forcing you to go long, and if you hesitate, you'll end up guessing the top and making a mess of things. Avoid trading when the price is consolidating around the 1-hour neutral level. Yesterday, a friend followed my advice and went long at the 4560 breakout, perfectly profiting up to 4600. I still adhere to the principle of following the trend and being cautious against the trend! Overall, buy with a small position in the 4570-4575 area on pullbacks, and add to the position at 4560-4555. If there's a strong upward surge and a pullback to 4530-4520, then follow the trend at 4610-4600. The current price level is not suitable for entry.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by zleo0400
$AAPL — I just doubled my short position in Apple NASDAQ:AAPL — I just doubled my short position in Apple (while still risking 1% of my account). I estimate a ~70% probability that this tight trading range (the pink box) ultimately breaks to the downside. Why? ⬇️ 👉 The bull trend is clearly broken 👉 Buyers have tried and failed to push price higher for five consecutive sessions 👉 For a long time we could not get below the EMA20, usually when it finally end clearly breaks it cannot get above it for a while. — you can confirm this by reviewing past instances For now, the structure favors lower prices, in my view. Stop: $270 should hold.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Swing_Trader_Saan
Professional Chart AnalysisMarket Structure Overview Overall Bias: Bearish retracement / potential reversal Price recently formed a Weak High after an extended bullish impulse. Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside occurred earlier, but momentum is now stalling. The most recent price action shows distribution rather than continuation. 1️⃣ Structure Shift Price made higher highs but failed to continue → Weak High This indicates buy-side liquidity has likely been taken Expectation: Mean reversion / sell-side delivery 2️⃣ Liquidity Buy-side liquidity above recent highs has been swept Clear sell-side liquidity resting below: Prior demand zones Previous BOS levels Smart money typically delivers price downward after a weak high 3️⃣ Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Multiple imbalances below current price Price is reacting from premium zones and is likely to rebalance inefficiencies First reaction expected at the nearest FVG 🎯 Trade Scenario (As Marked on Chart) 🔹 First Target (TP1) Around 4,460 – 4,470 This aligns with: Internal liquidity Partial FVG fill Short-term reaction zone 🔹 Final Target (TP2) Around 4,397 Confluence: Major demand zone Larger imbalance Sell-side liquidity pool This is a high-probability draw on liquidity
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_Action
Property a good time to sell out? 18.6 yr cycle There is an 18.6 yr cycle in property and maybe its topping out If so its bearish on property in USA This one has broken its long term trend line and is making kind of a reversal pattern at the top or its continuation pattern if the bull has further to run, either case I think we can get a 15% pull back lower here atm. Which still supports forming a chart pattern of a triangle wedge If you are bearish and prices have topped or are wobbling - Using KLOS/R on the way down could provide target zones to get out or buy back in depending on the bear and rate of decent. Assuming bear approach it will fall quick. Over a long time prices tend to go back up so unless this is a super bear you will be ok and it will be a nice place to buy loads of properties again at the bottom. Can the price chart tell us any clues for the bottom of the real estate market? Can the price chart tell us any clues about the top of the real estate market? Time will tell,
NYSE:ESSShort
by William_Playfair
BTC: Start ShortingAfter breaking through 95K, BTC reached 97K, showing a very strong short-term uptrend. From the 4-hour chart, the short-term support is at the previous resistance level of 95K, and the resistance zone above is around 98K. There are still shorting opportunities before another rise; wait for a decline before following the trend to go long. BTC trading strategy for today: BTCUSDT sell@97000-98000 TP:95000-94000 I will provide accurate signals every day for a month. All signals will be accurate, so don't miss them. If the market changes, I will provide further updates.
Short
by JohnRockefeller_1
“BTCUSD price is falling. Liquidity tells the story.”BTCUSD — When Price Drops, Context Matters More Than Direction Bitcoin is falling — but the question isn’t how far. The question is what kind of move this is. This chart uses the Liquidity Regime Framework to show whether: Price is being accepted lower (trend continuation), or Liquidity is absorbing the drop (potential trap / pause) In bearish regimes, the same support level behaves very differently than it does in bullish ones. That’s why blindly buying “support” or shorting “momentum” fails during regime shifts. No buy/sell signals here. Just context to help you decide when not to trade during volatility. Direction is obvious. Regime is not. If you trade Bitcoin, understanding this difference matters more during drops than rallies.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by vipnitw
2