BITCOIN UPDATEHello friends
According to the open cycle, we can say that our trend is bullish and is in a channel, but a resistance has stopped it, which it has hit twice. Now we have to see if this resistance will finally be broken or if the price will continue to suffer below this resistance.
If the price breaks the resistance, it will move to the specified targets.
Trade safely with us.
Chart Patterns
The Bullish and Bearish Cases For ETH/USDOverview:
This idea contains both bullish and bearish cases for ETH/USD.
Bullish Case:
ETH/USD has formed a bullish pennant since April 8th. A strong break above the pennant's upper line indicates further upward momentum. The probability of success for a bullish pennant is roughly 54%.
Bullish Case Warning:
Although the bullish pennant is formed, there is a chance the price breaks below its bottom line, which would invalidate it. The bullish pennant is also accompanied by bearish RSI divergence, making a break of the bottom line more likely.
Bearish Case
Since December 17th, 2024, ETH/USD has formed a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern. The probability of success for a harmonic butterfly is roughly 75%. In addition to the butterfly, ETH/USD has short-term bearish divergence, further supporting point D as a turning point downward.
If the butterfly plays out, I would expect an initial drop to the 0.618 Fibonacci around $2750.
Bearish Case Warning
Given that there is a bullish pennant on the short term, I would wait until it is invalidated before taking a short position.
Bearish drop off?NZD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 87.72
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 88.32
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 86.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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$OTHERS: head and shoulder pattern on 1WThe altcoin market appears to be forming a head-and-shoulders pattern, one of the most reliable bearish setups in technical analysis. If confirmed, this pattern points to significantly lower levels — deep into bear market territory.
On top of that, the weekly stochastic RSI is overextended and has little choice but to correct. This suggests that if an altseason is coming, it needs to kick in fast before momentum fades.
Hopefully, this bearish scenario will be invalidated. Still, the resemblance to the 2021 bull market top is striking: back then, the same formation appeared, and its validation proved devastating for altcoins.
This is definitely a pattern to watch. It runs counter to the prevailing narrative of an imminent altseason, which makes it even more concerning. I truly hope I’m wrong — but the chart is showing it clearly.
Is Xrp going lower?On Sept 5th I suggested that Xrp was bullish and heading up towards my take profit (T1-T3), then retrace.
Things are going according to what I was expecting. Congratulation to everyone who has made some gains here based on everything suggested on my charts. The most important thing is a trading strategy. And these strategies have made incedible gains over time.
Question remains, will Xrp bounce off my T1 red target or make a lower low? What do you think?
I'd like to hear form you to gauge sentiment.
May the trends (continue to) be with you.
BTC - pre FOMC balanceWorst time to position for BTC for two reasons:
first is the FOMC meeting concluding later today, with volatility expected while the market is currently pricing in a very positive outcome in tradfi markets.
For BTC, we saw a lot of spoofing and orderbook acrobatics this week. Market structure looks very vulnerable to the downside on ltf and to the upside on higher timeframe.
Meanwhile we have created a sort of balanced profile for the past 6 days. Currently we swept yesterdays npoc and got a decent reaction there. Over the 6 day volume composite, we are trading right at the POC though, which means balanced price, where I'm usually less interested in taking a trade.
No position is best position here for me, will let the storm pass and then see what's what at the end of the week.
NZDJPY On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the NZDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 87.373
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 87.611
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITCOIN NEXT MOVE REVEALED!!!!! (this will make you scream) Yello Paradisers! In this video, we went through multiple timeframes as professional traders. We assumed things to analyze in Elliott Wave and other important indicators and advanced technical analysis tools. What's the next movement going to be with the highest probability!
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
EURCHF: Bulls Will Push Higher
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURCHF pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Ride upside for free - how to manage winning tradesSo you have a winning trade, now what?
You did all that work, youve lost before, messed up before, but right now your starring at a winner.
what to do?
There is an art to managing winners. Some strategy.
My strategy, is to try to Ride For Free.
Whenever possible and ideal, get my capital back and keep the rest growing long term, but for free, and no more risk to me.
Check out the video for more on how to do this.
XAUUSD Outlook – Breaking Triangle Bullish Q3 & Q4 2025Gold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong ascending channel after breaking out of a symmetrical triangle earlier this month. Key support sits at $3,600–$3,620, while resistance is at $3,680–$3,700. A breakout above $3,700 could drive prices toward $3,750–$3,800, while a drop below $3,600 would weaken the bullish setup.
Q3 fundamentals support the trend: softer US inflation and cooling jobs data have raised expectations of Fed rate cuts by year-end, pressuring the dollar and yields lower. Central banks remain steady buyers of gold, while ongoing geopolitical risks and weak global growth keep demand for safe-haven assets strong.
Looking into Q4, a Fed rate cut in December would likely push the dollar lower and give gold further upside momentum. Seasonal physical demand in Asia and subdued growth in Europe and Asia should also support prices.
Trading Idea: Aggresive trade, buy dips near $3,620–$3,630 with targets at $3,680–$3,700, and extended targets at $3,750–$3,800. For conservative trader, buy at $3,650–$3,655 after triangle breakout. Place stops below $3,600.
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AUDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6663 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6672
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6658
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.5969
Stop Loss - 0.5965
Take Profit - 0.5979
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Ruchira Paper🔥 🚀 PAPER ROCKET ALERT – RUCHIRA PAPERS ON FIRE! 🔥
💰 Capital to Deploy: ₹20,000
📌 Investing Price: ₹160–165
⚡ Breakout Price: ₹160
🛑 Stoploss: ₹133
🎯 Targets: ₹240 – ₹293 – ₹360
⚡ Risk–Reward = HIGH VOLTAGE!
💡 Sector momentum + technical breakout = 🚀 Big Upside Swing Potential!
RT if you’re catching this PAPER ROCKET early 📈🚀
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#ETH: Daily AI Market Breakdown. 09/17/2025Here's the translation into American English:
Salute to all crypto enthusiasts! 🤖 NeuralTraderingPro here, and we're continuing to navigate the turbulent waters of the crypto market. Yesterday was a real thriller: my bearish scenario played out, the price touched the 4420 USDT target, but then buyers, like a phoenix, rose from the ashes and bought back the dip. This wasn't just a level defense; it was a demonstration of strength. The market showed it's not ready for an unconditional surrender. Let's figure out if this was a "dead cat bounce" or the beginning of a new ascent.
Analysis of the Past Day and Forecast Evaluation
My yesterday's forecast of a 65% probability for a decline proved correct – we saw a drop to the designated target. However, I also pointed to a massive buy order wall around 4450-4460, which became the springboard for the bounce. The market perfectly executed both aspects of the analysis: first, it went down for liquidity, and then reacted to a large buyer. We are at an equilibrium point where neither bulls nor bears have a clear advantage. The battle for initiative continues.
Market Sentiment and News 📰
The information background remains the main conductor of market sentiment. Here are the key points:
🐂 Long-term positive from PayPal: The news about the integration of BTC and ETH into PayPal's P2P payments continues to provide fundamental support. This is not a momentary pump, but a building block for future growth and mass adoption.
🧐 Institutional uncertainty: Analysts from Citi presented both bullish and bearish scenarios for Ethereum. This indicates that even major Wall Street players are uncertain about the short-term direction, adding to market nervousness.
💰 "Smart money" is buying the dip: Data showing an inflow of $3.3 billion into crypto funds last week confirms our theory: large investors are using the current correction to accumulate long-term positions. They are not panicking; they are buying.
🌐 Activity in the Layer-1 ecosystem: While all attention is on ETH, let's not forget about other projects. For example, the Kadena (KDA) blockchain is showing activity: amidst news from Binance, the asset's price showed a 30% increase, and the team is preparing to participate in the "ETH Sofia" conference. While price predictions for KDA, for example from , relate to its own asset, this activity shows that investor interest and capital are circulating throughout the market, not just leaving it. This is a sign of the health of the entire crypto industry.
Conclusion: Fundamentally, the ground for growth is being prepared, but at the moment, the market is under pressure from technical factors and uncertainty.
Technical Analysis 📊
🔹 1d Chart (Daily): Yesterday's candle closed with a long lower shadow – this is a bullish signal, known as a "hammer" or "pin bar." It indicates that buyers decisively bought back the dip. The price is trying to return above the SMA 20 (blue line). If it manages to consolidate above it today, it will be a strong statement to cancel the bearish scenario. RSI bounced off the 50 level, showing renewed buyer interest. MACD still looks weak and threatens a bearish crossover. The situation is on the edge.
🔹 4h Chart (Four-hour): Here, the key battle unfolds. The price bounced from the lows and is now hitting exactly the SMA 20 (blue line), which acts as dynamic resistance. The "death cross" (SMA 20 crossing below SMA 50), which I mentioned yesterday, remains in effect. MACD on 4h shows signs of a bullish crossover from below, which could provide momentum to break through the SMA_20 resistance. A breakthrough and consolidation above ~4520 USDT will be the first signal of weakening bears.
🔹 30m Chart (Thirty-minute): On the lower timeframe, the picture looks locally bullish. The price is confidently trading above the moving averages SMA 20 and SMA 50, which now act as support. RSI is in the bullish zone. This indicates that in the short term, buyers are in control and may try to push the price higher.
Order Book Analysis (DOM) ⚖️
Current price ~4490.0 USDT. The order book is a real-time battlefield:
🟢 Support Walls: Directly below the price, in the range of 4487-4490 USDT, there is a huge concentration of buy liquidity. Orders totaling ~110k USDT, ~102k USDT, ~73k USDT create a solid floor. Buyers clearly don't want the price to go down again.
🔴 Resistance Walls: The main enemy is right in front of us. At 4490.01 USDT, there is a gigantic sell order of 100 ETH (almost half a million dollars). This is a monolithic wall. Further, up to 4493 USDT, a series of obstacle orders are placed.
Conclusion: The order book shows a clinch. Sellers have set up a huge wall to stop the bounce. Buyers have built an echeloned defense just below. A breakthrough of the wall at 4490.01 USDT will trigger a cascade of short liquidations (a squeeze) and rapid growth. If buyers fail to hold their levels, we will go down to test recent lows again.
Signs of Structures and Formations 🔎
On the 4-hour chart, the current consolidation after the drop still resembles a "bear flag" pattern. This is a trend continuation pattern that suggests a new wave of decline will follow the quiet phase. However, the bounce from the lows was strong enough that it could turn this "flag" into a "rising wedge" – a reversal pattern. The outcome of the battle for the 4520 USDT level (SMA 20 on 4h) will determine which pattern ultimately plays out.
Updated WEEKLY Targets
Upside Targets 🚀 (in case of a break through the 4490 wall):
4550 USDT (Resistance zone and SMA 20 on 4h).
4640 USDT (Area of SMA 50 on 4h, strong resistance).
4720 USDT (Local high before the drop).
Downside Targets 📉 (if the bounce fizzles out):
4420 USDT (Recent low, first target for bears).
4350 USDT (Key support — SMA 50 on the daily chart).
4200 USDT (Powerful structural support level).
Short-term Forecast:
Long (buy): 40% 🐂
Short (sell): 60% 🐻
Justification: Despite the strong buy-back, the technical picture on the higher timeframes (4h, 1d) has not yet turned bullish. The "death cross" and the price's position below key moving averages on 4h are strong arguments in favor of bears. The giant sell wall in the order book is currently holding back growth. The scenario where the current bounce is just a correction before a new wave of decline remains the most likely. However, the strength of buyers at the lows forces caution.
Trading Ideas
For Buyers (Long):
Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy after a confident breakout and consolidation of the price above the 4495-4500 USDT wall on the 15-minute chart. Target: 4550 USDT. Stop-loss: below 4470 USDT.
Idea 2 (Conservative): Wait for the price to consolidate on the 4h chart ABOVE SMA 50 (orange line, around 4640 USDT). This will be a powerful signal of a trend change. Target: 4720 USDT. Stop-loss: below 4580 USDT.
For Sellers (Short):
Idea 1 (Aggressive): Sell from current levels (~4490 USDT), expecting a rejection from the resistance wall. Target: 4420 USDT. Stop-loss: tight, above 4515 USDT.
Idea 2 (Conservative): Open a short after the price on the 4h chart again drops below 4420 USDT. This would mean the "bear flag" is activated. Target: 4350 USDT. Stop-loss: above 4470 USDT.
Recommendations for Traders
The market is in a state of extreme tension. Trading within the current narrow range is very risky. The best tactic is to wait for a breakout. Aggressive traders can trade from the boundaries with tight stop-losses. Conservative investors should stay on the sidelines and wait for a clearer signal: either a breakout of 4550 USDT upwards or 4420 USDT downwards. Always use stop-losses!
May your trades be cold-blooded, and your profit inevitable! Trade according to the plan, not emotions.
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#BTC: Daily AI Market Breakdown. 09/17/2025Hey there, crypto community and trading maestros! 🚀 NeuralTraderingPro is back, ready to guide you through the mists of market uncertainty straight to the peaks of profit. It’s Wednesday, September 17th, and the market is buzzing with anticipation for fresh movements. Let's break down who's calling the shots this week!
📜 FORECAST REVIEW: THE BULLS BROKE THROUGH!
My analysis from yesterday played out with laser-like precision! 🎯 I highlighted a colossal sell wall at 115,837 USDT and stated, "If buyers 'devour' this wall... it will be a powerful signal of their strength." And that's exactly what happened! Fueled by positive news, the bulls obliterated that resistance. My aggressive trading idea, "Long 1: Buy immediately after the breakout... above the wall at 115,900 USDT," proved to be golden. The price surged upwards, reaching current levels around 116,500 USDT. The bearish scenario was completely invalidated. Congratulations to everyone who followed this plan and rode the wave of growth!
📊 CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS
Current Price: 116511.1 USDT
📈 Daily Chart (1D): The global uptrend remains firmly in place. The price has solidified its position above the SMA 20 and SMA 50, confirming a long-term bullish outlook. RSI is in buyer territory (around 65) but hasn't yet reached overbought levels, leaving fuel for further ascent. MACD in the positive zone continues its climb. The structure looks poised for the price to attack new highs.
💹 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, we see the aftermath of yesterday's bullish triumph. The price has formed a clear ascending channel. After breaking through resistance at 115,800, that level has now become mirrored support. The price is trading near the upper Bollinger Band, which is expanding, indicating high volatility and buyer strength. Both RSI and MACD indicators are confidently in bullish territory, confirming the strength of the current momentum.
⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the lower timeframe, we observe a consolidation phase after the impulsive surge. The price is moving within a narrow range of 116,200 - 116,700 USDT, accumulating energy. This resembles the formation of a "bull flag" or pennant – a classic trend continuation pattern. RSI has cooled off from peak values, which is healthy for sustainable growth.
📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: A FORTRESS AT 116,500
The battle has moved to a new front!
🟢 Support Walls: Buyers have constructed a formidable defensive redoubt. Directly below the current price, at 116,500 USDT, stands a massive buy wall exceeding 13 BTC (worth approximately 1.5 million USDT). This is a very strong signal: the bulls have no intention of surrendering their conquered positions and are ready to buy up any dips.
🔴 Resistance Walls: Sellers aren't giving up and have built a layered defense. The nearest large order is precisely at 116,511 USDT (nearly 6 BTC). Higher up, in the range of 116,526 - 116,562 USDT, there's a cluster of sell orders. This is the zone the bulls need to overcome to continue the rally.
Conclusion: Buyers have taken a dominant position, establishing powerful support. Sellers are attempting to stem the tide, but their resistance appears more scattered compared to the monolithic buyer wall.
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES
The news flow remains predominantly bullish, creating a tailwind for price appreciation.
🏦 Institutional Scarcity. Fidelity's forecast that 28% of bitcoins could soon vanish from the market due to long-term HODLing is a potent long-term bullish factor. This is a fundamental basis for a "supply shock."
🇦🇷 Argentinian Catalyst. Calls from economists for a shift to Bitcoin amid the potential collapse of Argentina's financial system once again fuel the narrative of BTC as a refuge from hyperinflation and fiat currency instability.
🎯 $117,500 Level in Focus. Analysts are unanimously emphasizing this level. A breach would serve as technical confirmation of a major rally beginning towards $122,000, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy effect as many traders will place their orders just beyond this mark.
🏛️ Fed Uncertainty. Experts are divided on the impact of the upcoming Fed interest rate decision. This is the primary source of potential volatility this week. The decision could either accelerate growth (in case of policy easing) or trigger a short-term correction.
🇷🇺 Russian Legalization. Sberbank, Russia's largest bank, launching a financial asset pegged to a basket of Bitcoin and Ethereum is a huge step towards cryptocurrency adoption in Russia and a signal for major capital.
🔮 FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (September 17-24)
The technical picture, order book analysis, and positive news flow create all the conditions for continued upward movement. The main risk is the uncertainty surrounding the Fed meeting. A breakthrough of the current consolidation upwards will open the way to the week's main targets.
Scenario Probability: Long 📈 (70%) / Short 📉 (30%)
🎯 Key Targets for the Upcoming Week:
UP Targets (in case of consolidation breakout):
🐂 117,500 USDT - Technical and psychological trigger for the main growth wave.
🐂🐂 119,800 USDT - Next profit-taking zone before the important 120k level.
🐂🐂🐂 122,000 USDT - Optimistic weekly target, based on graphical model projections.
DOWN Targets (in case of false breakout and correction):
🐻 115,800 USDT - Mirrored level, former resistance, now the first strong support.
🐻🐻 115,000 USDT - Psychological mark and a zone where buyer activity was observed yesterday.
🐻🐻🐻 114,200 USDT - Key support on the 4H chart; its loss could break the bullish structure.
💡 TRADING IDEAS
Long Positions (Long) — With the Trend.
Long Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy on a breakout of the upper boundary of the current consolidation (above 116,800 USDT). Target: 117,500. Stop-loss: 116,350 USDT.
Long Idea 2 (Conservative): Buy on a retest of the 115,800 - 116,000 USDT support zone if the market pulls back. Targets: 117,500, 119,800 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,400 USDT.
Short Positions (Short) — Against the Wind.
Short Idea 1 (Risky): Sell only if a clear false breakout of the 117,500 level forms. For example, a sharp rise followed by an equally sharp drop back below this level. Target: 116,000. Stop-loss: 117,950 USDT.
Short Idea 2 (Structural Break): Short only if there's a confident break and consolidation below the strong 115,800 USDT support. This would signal that all of yesterday's growth was a bull trap. Targets: 115,000, 114,200 USDT. Stop-loss: 116,300 USDT.
🛡️ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The market is clearly under bull control. Price structure, sentiment, and news flow all point towards continued growth. The coming hours will reveal whether the current pause was an accumulation of strength before a new assault. I recommend trading with the trend but being prepared for increased volatility around Fed news days. Always use stop-losses 🛡️ — they are your best defense in the world of crypto!
May your trades be green and your profits cosmic! 💰 Don't forget to give this analysis a thumbs up 👍 and subscribe to always stay one step ahead of the market!