Short Idea on SPY for Swing TradeAMEX:SPY breaking below the key support @687.5.
AMEX:SPY will come down to $685-$684 area. Can enter the position at the end of the trade day if the price is closing below the entry line at $687.5
Chart Patterns
Gold Pullback ContinuesGold extended its sharp pullback from recent highs today. Year-end profit-taking and thin liquidity amplified price swings further. The price retreated rapidly from the all-time high of 4548.92 and broke below the key psychological level of 4500, confirming a clear short-term bearish trend.
Support Levels：
Core Support: 4435–4450. This zone serves as both the intraday low range and a key technical support level. A breakdown below this level will open the way for a further decline to the 4420 mark.
Secondary Support: 4470–4480. This is a former consolidation platform. A firm hold here is expected to slow the short-term downward momentum.
Resistance Levels：
Core Resistance: 4500. This level, previously a support zone turned resistance, is also a key psychological round number and faces significant selling pressure.
Secondary Resistance: 4520–4530. This is a recent high-volume trading zone and requires strong buying momentum to stage an effective breakout.
Trading Strategy：
Sell 4480 - 4500
SL 4510
TP 4450 - 4440 - 4430
Buy 4420 - 4430
SL 4400
TP 4480 - 4490 - 4500
ALPH/USDT — Daily Price Action AnalysisBased on the ICAI technical analysis framework, the chart of Alephium/USDT on the daily timeframe clearly reflects a primary downtrend supported by price action, trend structure, and market psychology. The chart shows a sustained sequence of lower highs and lower lows, which is a textbook indication of a bearish trend as per Dow Theory. The initial sharp fall from the higher price region indicates distribution, where selling pressure dominated and demand failed to absorb supply. Subsequent pullbacks were weak and short-lived, confirming that rallies were being used as selling opportunities rather than accumulation phases.
As price continued to decline, it formed brief consolidations, but each consolidation resolved downward, indicating bearish continuation rather than reversal. This aligns with ICAI’s principle that trends persist until a clear reversal signal appears. The current price action near the 0.10–0.11 zone shows price moving sideways after a prolonged fall, suggesting temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers, often described as a basing or pause within a broader downtrend. However, the inability of price to break above prior swing highs confirms that trend reversal conditions are not yet met.
From a support and resistance perspective, earlier support levels have repeatedly turned into resistance as price declined, reinforcing the concept of role reversal, a key ICAI concept. The present support zone around the recent lows is being tested multiple times, which weakens it structurally. Volume behavior (as typically observed in such structures) tends to contract during sideways movement after a decline, indicating lack of strong buying conviction rather than accumulation.
Overall, the chart reflects a bearish market structure with consolidation at lower levels, suggesting continuation risk remains unless price decisively breaks above a previous lower high with strong confirmation. As per ICAI principles, until such confirmation appears, the dominant trend remains downward and the market should be viewed with caution from a bullish perspective.
29/12/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $90,597.02
Last weeks low: $86,423.04
Midpoint: $88,510.03
As 2025 draws to a close, BTC is currently -6% from yearly open ($93,300). Can the yearly candle be flipped green?
Last weeks price action was very much more of the same as the previous few weeks. Clearly defined range with overlapping candles from start to end. That has been the story for the entirety of December and I expect the same for this week also.
The struggle is still liquidity based and until that changes this chart pattern will persist. At this stage in the year a lot of Banks and Institutions are window dressing for the end of the year so this is just a waiting game until the new year now in my opinion.
Broadly speaking altcoins are the same, BTC.D is relatively flat so the across the entire crypto market the trend is flat with a few outliers.
For me the bullish target should be to flip the yearly open $93,300 with acceptance. For the bears a breakdown below $84,000 opens the door to a further drawdown into the $74,500 level.
ETHUSD 29-Dec-25During chart analysis, a gap has been identified, similar to the structure previously observed on BTC. Based on this behavior, ETH appears to be following BTC’s price pattern, suggesting a potential bullish move as the market may attempt to fill the gap.
⚠️ Always remember to protect your capital with a proper stop-loss and disciplined risk management.
CBLL Long in anticipation of flag brake out. at $21.50CBLL Long in anticipation of flag brake out. at $21.50
ETH to 3200Price already broke above 2980 on 4H. Liquidity below 2980 is expected to be swept before heading straight to 3200.
Gold Holds Firm as Markets Reassess MomentumOANDA:XAUUSD is trading around 4,500 USD per ounce, easing slightly from recent highs after an extended rally. The current price action reflects a short-term technical consolidation, as traders lock in profits following the establishment of new record levels.
The recent surge in gold has been driven by a combination of key macroeconomic factors. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, particularly in the Middle East, while developments surrounding energy sanctions and trade flows in the Americas have increased risk aversion. These conditions continue to channel capital into gold as a preferred safe-haven asset.
At the same time, expectations of looser monetary policy remain a critical pillar of support. Recent U.S. economic data point to slowing growth, moderating inflation, and a softer labor market, reinforcing the view that the Federal Reserve could begin an interest-rate cutting cycle next year. This environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold.
From a technical standpoint, gold has broken above multiple consolidation zones and is now holding above a strong high-price base, suggesting that selling pressure remains limited. As long as key support levels are respected, the current pullback is viewed as constructive rather than trend-changing.
In the near term, gold may continue to move sideways while the market awaits fresh catalysts. However, with persistent geopolitical risks and expectations of lower interest rates, the medium-term outlook remains constructive, leaving the door open for another upside extension once buying momentum returns.
Bitcoin Breaks Structure: Bullish Setup Toward 92KThis is a 1-hour BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs US Dollar) TradingView chart showing a bullish continuation setup after a period of consolidation.
Key elements visible on the chart:
Sideways consolidation earlier, marked by range-bound price action.
A CHOCH (Change of Character) followed by BOS (Break of Structure), signaling a shift from consolidation to bullish momentum.
Order Block identified as a key demand zone where price reacted strongly.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) acting as support during the bullish move.
Ichimoku Cloud turning supportive, indicating trend strength.
Price moving inside an ascending channel, respecting higher highs and higher lows.
Two clearly marked upside targets:
1st Target: ~90,545
2nd Target: ~92,385
Overall, the chart suggests bullish momentum continuation as long as price holds above the order block and channel support.
STBL building a structure. Can price make a reversal?STBL is compressing into the apex of a falling wedge while sitting on a high-volume demand zone. Downtrend momentum is clearly fading, and the latest push is attempting to form a higher low.
This is a key decision area. Acceptance back above the range would signal a potential structure shift and open room toward higher volume nodes. Failure to hold the base keeps the broader downtrend intact.
Not a breakout yet, but structure is tightening.
Watching for confirmation before pressing.
Reclaim or rejection from here?
LTCUSDT - Retest of the liquidity zone on a downtrendBINANCE:LTCUSDT.P is forming a local rally after breaking through resistance at 78.0. The market is bearish, but within the bullish run, the altcoin may test liquidity at 79.4 - 81.0.
Bitcoin looks weak, a rebound from resistance is forming, and Friday's daily bar indicates strong bearish dominance. A fall in the flagship currency could trigger a fall in LTC after a local rally...
LTC looks slightly stronger than the market. The target of such a rally may be hidden behind 79.4 - 81.0. In the current situation: global downtrend, low market liquidity, I see this as a manipulative hunt for liquidity before a decline.
Resistance levels: 79.4, 81.0
Support levels: 78.0, 77.0, 75.4
A retest of this resistance cluster could end in liquidity capture and a false breakout. Consolidation below 79.4 could trigger a reversal and a decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN rejected its 1D MA50 after 2 months! 100k or 77k next??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today for the first time after 2 months (since October 28) and immediately got rejected. This is potentially an early sign that not only does the market remain bearish, but it prepares a strong move downwards.
However, that can't be confirmed as long as the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) holds, which as you see has been tested and held (closed all candles above it) 3 times since November 21.
The above mentioned MA trend-lines go along a Lower Highs and Higher Lows trend-line respectively, acting as the Resistance and Support of the market since its October All Time High (ATH).
As a result, if the price breaks above the Lower Highs trend-line, we expect that counter-trend rally in early 2026 to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and this at least $100000, like BTC did during all its previous Bear Cycles. If on the other hand the Higher Lows trend-line breaks first, we expect a minimum -14.96% decline (the least drop sequence since the start of the Bear Cycle) targeting $77000.
So which do you think will come first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bullish continuation?Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which is an overlap support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a multi-swing high resistance.
Pivot: 1.1687
1st Support: 1.1550
1st Resistance: 1.1807
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
A false breakout of gold?XAU/USD has reached a strong breakout selling zone after an impulsive bullish rally. Price is showing rejection near the highs, indicating potential buy-side liquidity sweep and early signs of distribution. A failure to sustain above the 4508–4477 support band may confirm a fake breakout, opening the door for a deeper corrective move. Downside continuation could target the major demand and liquidity area near 4338, which aligns with prior structure support.
Price Is Rising Fast, but the Key Move Lies in the Pullback to 4Hello, I'm Domic.
Looking closely at the H4 chart, gold is currently in a very strong acceleration phase. A steep sequence of bullish candles has pushed price into the 4.48xx area, while both trendlines on the chart are clearly sloping upward. This confirms that the uptrend remains dominant, but it also shows that price is running ahead of its underlying support — and that is usually when the market needs a pullback to reassess buying strength.
From a fundamental perspective, this rally is not happening in a vacuum. Geopolitical and energy risks are resurfacing as a key backdrop: the US tightening restrictions on Venezuelan oil and renewed tensions between Russia and Ukraine are classic drivers of safe-haven demand, pulling capital back into gold. On the other hand, more cautious signals from some Fed officials regarding the pace of rate cuts could keep the USD and bond yields firm, making it difficult for gold to rise in a straight line without intermittent corrections. In addition, a dense calendar of upcoming US economic data suggests intraday volatility may remain elevated but uneven.
The zone I am watching most closely is around 4,360–4,330. In fast “momentum-driven” uptrends like this, the market often repeats a familiar pattern: a sharp push higher that creates a breakout narrative, followed by a pullback to test the base and trend support, and only then does the market decide whether it has enough strength to continue higher. If gold can hold the 4,360–4,330 area and show a clear buying reaction, the bullish structure will remain clean and intact.
Wishing you successful trading!
1 XRP = $15 in 2026Dear friends,
Let’s take a look at the weekly chart and let’s talk about real numbers and facts.
On the weekly timeframe we are currently testing a major support zone. It’s not weird that we are consolidating after such a rally of almost 400%!
It is possible that we break support and quickly move back into the channel.
I’m keeping an eye on the 3D chart because of the historical data.
The RSI is oversold and in the 30 region.
Last times we were this oversold we saw following rallies;
2/03/2017 0,0053 => 3,57 +56000% (1year)
09/2018 0,25 => 0,78 +200% (1month)
12/2019 0,17 => 0,34 + 100% (3months)
03/2020 0,11 => 0,80 + 600% (8 months)
01/01/2022 0,55 => 0,91 + 60% (2 weeks)
01/02/2024 0,48 => 0,73 +50% ( 1 month)
07/2024 0,40 => 3,3 + 700% (1 year)
In 2017 we had a extreme bullish market with extreme movements so I will not take this in the average returns but if take a look at the other data we can see a rally between 50 and 700% movement.
Will this time be different or is a rally close?
I believe the bullrun (for alts) isn’t over and I believe 15 dollar is a realistic target for XRP to reach.
I wish you all the best for 2026!!
Market Analysis: AUD/USD StrengthensMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Strengthens
AUD/USD started a fresh increase above 0.6700.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started an increase above 0.6650 against the US Dollar.
- There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6695 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from 0.6600. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear 0.6650 to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above 0.6580 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested 0.6725. A high was formed near 0.6724 and the pair recently started a short-term downside correction. There was a minor decline below 0.6700.
On the downside, initial support is near a short-term bullish trend line at 0.6695 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The next area of interest could be 0.6665 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6604 swing low to the 0.6724 high.
If there is a downside break below 0.6665, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6650 zone. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6635 and the 76.4% Fib retracement.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6725. The first major hurdle for the bulls might be 0.6750. An upside break above 0.6750 might send the pair further higher. The next stop is near 0.6800. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward 0.6850.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY H4 Pullback and Bullish Continuation Toward 157.7📝 Description
USDJPY on H4 is trading inside a bullish corrective leg after a strong impulse. Price has reacted cleanly from H4 BPR + FVG, holding above discount and showing signs of continuation rather than reversal. Structure remains bullish as long as price stays supported above the recent mitigation zone.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation while above 156.00–156.10
Long Setup (Preferred):
• Entry (Buy): 156.3
• Stop Loss: Below 156
• TP1: 156.85
• TP2: 157.25
• TP3: 157.68 (HTF liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong bullish impulse followed by healthy pullback
• Price respecting H4 BPR + FVG confluence
• BSL resting above recent highs
• No bearish CHOCH on HTF
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🧩 Summary
This looks like a classic pullback-for-continuation setup. As long as price holds above the mitigation zone, odds favor a push toward 157.2 and 157.7 liquidity. Shorts only make sense if structure breaks.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
USDJPY remains sensitive to US yields and BOJ expectations. Any delay in BOJ tightening or strength in US data can fuel further upside, keeping the bullish continuation scenario intact.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
TheGrove | EURUSD buy | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving in an UP trend channel and moving on Resistance area .
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Analytics: market outlook and forecasts
WHAT HAPPENED?
Bitcoin has spent the past week in a sideways trend. There was no expansion in any direction, no more global zones were reached, but new ones were formed.
When trying to update the local minimum, we got a fairly strong deviation on the cluster graph. This triggered a rebound and an impulsive movement to the upper limit of the range.
Now we have tested the local $90,000 zone again, where protection is being formed not for the first time — another deviation in the cluster schedule is observed.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
As part of the current correction, special attention should be paid to the $89,400-$88,800 zone. This area previously acted as a resistance formed on December 26, and was impulsively broken through.
When we return to it, we can get a reaction and try to break through the $90,000 level for the fourth time. If successful, the accumulated liquidity should be enough to develop a movement towards a more global sideways boundary around $94,600.
In the absence of a reaction, the local sideways trend may persist, and the range expansion will be implemented in a downward direction. Moreover, there are a sufficient number of zones below that can temporarily hold the price.
Buy zones
$89,400–$88,800 (mirror volume zone)
$87,200–$86,800 (anomalous activity)
$86,000–$84,800 (anomalous activity)
$84,000–$82,000 (strong volume anomalies)
Sell zones
$90,000 (local zone)
~$92,400 (local zone)
$94,000–$97,500 (volume zone)
$101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volume)
IMPORTANT DATES
The holidays are continuing, so there are still not many macroeconomic events:
• Tuesday, December 30, 19:00 (UTC) — publication of the US FOMC minutes;
• Wednesday, December 31, 1:30 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the Chinese manufacturing sector for December;
• Wednesday, December 31, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, January 2, 14:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for December.
*This post is not financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
DeGRAM | SOLUSD broke the dynamic resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● SOL/USD continues to respect a medium-term ascending structure after forming higher lows since October. Pullbacks into the rising support zone are being absorbed, indicating accumulation and trend stability.
● Price action shows consolidation below a key resistance band, suggesting a continuation phase. A sustained breakout would open the way toward the next upside leg, in line with the broader impulsive wave structure.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Solana benefits from steady network activity growth and improving risk appetite in the crypto market, while expectations of looser global financial conditions support medium-term upside for high-beta assets.
✨ Summary
● Bullish medium-term bias. Key support holds the trend. A breakout above resistance favors continuation toward higher targets, while structure remains constructive as long as ascending support is intact.
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AUD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 8H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.664 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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